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Taxation without Legislation


Sustained upward movement in aggregate
price level



In equation, Inflation = % ∆ P (P is price level)


Ratio of actual real GDP to natural real GDP
(i.e. Y/YN )
 If Y/YN = 100%, p is constant
 If Y/YN > 100%, p is accelerating
 If Y/YN < 100%, p is decelerating
Output Ratio

Demand Shock - a
sustained acceleration
or deceleration in
aggregate demand
Supply Shock - caused
by a sharp change in
the price of an
important commodity


Demand Side
 Increase in Money Supply
 Increase in the Disposable Income
 Deficit Financing



Supply Side
 Agricultural Price Policy
 Slow Industrial Growth
 Rise in Government Administered Prices
It is summer holidays and kids living
in a posh building – “Inflationary
Heights” are having great fun. Their
parents have filled their pockets with
money and the kids now have
buying power. There is an ice cream
parlor down the street. The man in
charge of the parlor is glad for
making all the children happy with
his different ice cream flavors.
There is a nice balance between
the joy of selling and buying ice
cream. But this summer
something happened.
The kids from “Inflationary
Heights” start consuming double
the volume of ice cream that they
normally do.
The parlor man soon realizes that
the children from “Inflationary
Heights” are eating more ice
cream. He increases prices and
the demand continues unabated.
While the parlor man gets richer
by the day, the other children of
the area can’t afford the ice
cream any longer.
They decide to meet the parents
of the children of “Inflationary
Heights”.
They request the parents to
reduce the pocket money
allowance of their children.
With less money in their pockets,
their demand would drop and so
would the price of ice cream.
The parents are in a fix. They know
that this will not be accepted by their
children.
But they do understand that if they
reduce the allowance, their kids would
have less money and consequently the
demand for ice cream would drop.
Thus the inflation in ice cream at the
parlor could be reduced by reducing
the availability of money.
In a similar fashion to the parents
having the option to regulate the
prices of the ice cream parlor, by
controlling the pocket money of their
children, the RBI (Reserve Bank of
India) has the option to regulate the
flow of money into the economy and
control prices. This is called demand
side inflation. This may get controlled
by monetary policy measures.


Agricultural scarcity or damage in transit



High cost of labor follows high administered
costs, which in turn follow high labor costs.



Increases production cost of the commodity,
and thus, its price increases.
After the meeting, one of the parents,
Mr. Idea Shankar comes up with an
idea. The next day, Mr. Idea Shankar
calls on a few competitors of the Ice
Cream Parlor and tips them of the
huge business potential in their area.
He tells the competitors that the children
of “Inflationary Heights” have more cash
to spend due to their higher allowance.
Within two days, four new parlors spring
up in the area. Seeing this and fearing
that he would lose business to
competition, the parlor man immediately
brings down prices. Now there are
enough parlors and enough customers.
In this scenario, the higher allowance
does not impact prices in the parlors
because there is enough supply.
In fact, some of the parlors start
offering discounts. All the children in
the area are happy now. In fact, they
can now eat more due to the
discounts.
The manner in which prices were
regulated this time was by increasing
the supply of ice cream.
In the same manner, the
government may control inflation by
increasing the supply of products
and services in the economy.
This is the concept of supply side
inflation.

But there is a challenge.
While it is easier to set up a few ice
cream parlors, it is not as easy to set up
many factories and services as it would
need land, labor and capital plus time to
set up the supply.


Changes the pattern of income distribution –
leading to many economic problems



Promotes Black Marketing – as there is
greater probability of earning profits through
increased prices



People with fixed income (middle class and
lower class income groups) worst affected


Add inefficiencies to the market – difficult for
companies to budget or plan long-term



Discourages investment as there is
uncertainty on the future purchasing power



Increased instability to prices (exchange rate)
Monetary
Policy

Key to
control
Inflation
Fiscal
Policy


Objective – reduce money supply through the
use of central bank



Raising interest rates



Ensuring strict credit control




Conducting Open Market Operations
Demonetization of currency


Objective – check money supply and create
additional supply through government



Increasing the tax rate structure



Adoption of surplus budgets



Set limit on the growth of wages



Reform the long-term policies related to labor
and the supply side


Indian economy stands at a cross road as the
effectiveness of RBI to control inflation is
reducing and the need for creating additional
supply by the government is increasing.



Policies need to be framed that attract
entrepreneurs to invest in the economy so that
they can additional create supply



Creation of additional supply will create jobs,
improve sentiments, increase demand and
restore balance into the economy
In India, it is a policy dilemma.

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Inflation: Taxation without Legislation

  • 2.  Sustained upward movement in aggregate price level  In equation, Inflation = % ∆ P (P is price level)
  • 3.
  • 4.  Ratio of actual real GDP to natural real GDP (i.e. Y/YN )  If Y/YN = 100%, p is constant  If Y/YN > 100%, p is accelerating  If Y/YN < 100%, p is decelerating
  • 5. Output Ratio Demand Shock - a sustained acceleration or deceleration in aggregate demand Supply Shock - caused by a sharp change in the price of an important commodity
  • 6.  Demand Side  Increase in Money Supply  Increase in the Disposable Income  Deficit Financing  Supply Side  Agricultural Price Policy  Slow Industrial Growth  Rise in Government Administered Prices
  • 7.
  • 8.
  • 9. It is summer holidays and kids living in a posh building – “Inflationary Heights” are having great fun. Their parents have filled their pockets with money and the kids now have buying power. There is an ice cream parlor down the street. The man in charge of the parlor is glad for making all the children happy with his different ice cream flavors.
  • 10. There is a nice balance between the joy of selling and buying ice cream. But this summer something happened. The kids from “Inflationary Heights” start consuming double the volume of ice cream that they normally do.
  • 11. The parlor man soon realizes that the children from “Inflationary Heights” are eating more ice cream. He increases prices and the demand continues unabated. While the parlor man gets richer by the day, the other children of the area can’t afford the ice cream any longer.
  • 12. They decide to meet the parents of the children of “Inflationary Heights”. They request the parents to reduce the pocket money allowance of their children. With less money in their pockets, their demand would drop and so would the price of ice cream.
  • 13. The parents are in a fix. They know that this will not be accepted by their children. But they do understand that if they reduce the allowance, their kids would have less money and consequently the demand for ice cream would drop. Thus the inflation in ice cream at the parlor could be reduced by reducing the availability of money.
  • 14. In a similar fashion to the parents having the option to regulate the prices of the ice cream parlor, by controlling the pocket money of their children, the RBI (Reserve Bank of India) has the option to regulate the flow of money into the economy and control prices. This is called demand side inflation. This may get controlled by monetary policy measures.
  • 15.
  • 16.  Agricultural scarcity or damage in transit  High cost of labor follows high administered costs, which in turn follow high labor costs.  Increases production cost of the commodity, and thus, its price increases.
  • 17.
  • 18. After the meeting, one of the parents, Mr. Idea Shankar comes up with an idea. The next day, Mr. Idea Shankar calls on a few competitors of the Ice Cream Parlor and tips them of the huge business potential in their area.
  • 19. He tells the competitors that the children of “Inflationary Heights” have more cash to spend due to their higher allowance. Within two days, four new parlors spring up in the area. Seeing this and fearing that he would lose business to competition, the parlor man immediately brings down prices. Now there are enough parlors and enough customers.
  • 20. In this scenario, the higher allowance does not impact prices in the parlors because there is enough supply. In fact, some of the parlors start offering discounts. All the children in the area are happy now. In fact, they can now eat more due to the discounts.
  • 21. The manner in which prices were regulated this time was by increasing the supply of ice cream. In the same manner, the government may control inflation by increasing the supply of products and services in the economy.
  • 22. This is the concept of supply side inflation. But there is a challenge. While it is easier to set up a few ice cream parlors, it is not as easy to set up many factories and services as it would need land, labor and capital plus time to set up the supply.
  • 23.  Changes the pattern of income distribution – leading to many economic problems  Promotes Black Marketing – as there is greater probability of earning profits through increased prices  People with fixed income (middle class and lower class income groups) worst affected
  • 24.  Add inefficiencies to the market – difficult for companies to budget or plan long-term  Discourages investment as there is uncertainty on the future purchasing power  Increased instability to prices (exchange rate)
  • 26.  Objective – reduce money supply through the use of central bank  Raising interest rates  Ensuring strict credit control   Conducting Open Market Operations Demonetization of currency
  • 27.  Objective – check money supply and create additional supply through government  Increasing the tax rate structure  Adoption of surplus budgets  Set limit on the growth of wages  Reform the long-term policies related to labor and the supply side
  • 28.  Indian economy stands at a cross road as the effectiveness of RBI to control inflation is reducing and the need for creating additional supply by the government is increasing.  Policies need to be framed that attract entrepreneurs to invest in the economy so that they can additional create supply  Creation of additional supply will create jobs, improve sentiments, increase demand and restore balance into the economy
  • 29. In India, it is a policy dilemma.