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It’s not to late
to be early:
The Mobile (R)evolution
Ian Carrington
Director Mobile Advertising, NACE




                                    Google Confidential and Proprietary
Google Confidential and Proprietary
Change is cyclical…and happening quicker
                                   iPhone Internet                   TV                                                                     Radio
                              50

                              45

                              40
  Number of Users (Million)




                              35

                              30

                              25

                              20

                              15

                              10

                              5

                              0
                                   0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38


                                                                                                                                        Years

                                                                                                                     Google Confidential and Proprietary

Source: econsultancy.com 2009
2012:
                            Smartphone sales overtake
                                    PC sales




Source: Morgan Stanley Nov, 2010
32%
                                      number of NL mobile subscribers with a
                                                  smart phone




                                                                               Google Confidential and Proprietary

Source: strategy analytics Oct 2010
Global Smartphone penetration rates: Q4 2010
                                 Europe                                Asia
                             36%     30%         25%             1%                            3%
                                25%        20%




     Americas
        45%

                  28%

                                                         JAPAC
                                                   22%      5%              27%
                                                                 Google Confidential and Proprietary   6

Source: Strategy Analytics
Global Smartphone penetration rates: 2015
                               Europe                        Asia
                             77% 61%    60%            6%                        10%
                               55%   52%




     Americas
                79%
                62%
                                               JAPAC
Source: Strategy Analytics
                                         52%    35%             55%
                                                       Google Confidential and Proprietary   7
64%
                      number of NL mobile subscribers with a smart phone in   2015




                                                                              Google Confidential and Proprietary

Source: strategy analytics Oct 2010
Is your business not keeping
up with demand




                               Google Confidential and Proprietary   9
How are people using their Mobile Phones?
                                                                                          In Europe:
     70%                    Japan            United States           Europe      • 26% Browse the web
                                                                                      •
     60%                                                                         • 25% Use Applications
     50%
                                                                                 • 19% Use Email
                                                                                 • 7% M-Banking
     40%
                                                                                 • 6% watch Video
     30%                                                                         • 4% Purchase online
     20%

     10%

        0%
                       Browser             Applications      Email      Online Retail   Accessed          Watched
                                                                                          Bank                video
                                                                                        Accounts Confidential and Proprietary
                                                                                             Google                             10

Source: ComScore Press Realease Oct 2010
Life Critical
                                       …Mobiles have developed beyond
                              6,0 Bn
                                       just a form of communication. Commerce
                              5,0 Bn
Global Mobile Subscriptions




                              4,0 Bn


                                                                                    Entertainment
                              3,0 Bn



                              2,0 Bn   Communication

                              1,0 Bn



                              0,0 Bn
                                   1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014




                               1G                                2G                                                  3G                                    4G
                                                                                                                               Google Confidential and Proprietary
                              Analog                           1 Mbit/s                                           14 Mbit/s                        100 Mbit/s
40%
of all tweets
 are mobile


                Google Confidential and Proprietary   12
125 Years of Angry Birds is played...




            ...every day    Google Confidential and Proprietary


                                                                  13
40%
of Google maps usage is on mobile




                          Google Confidential and Proprietary   15
1+ bn
mobile internet users globally




                        Google Confidential and Proprietary   16
Mobile web



23%
of all time accessing
  the web is done
  through mobile
                        Google Confidential and Proprietary
M-commerce


      $119 bn
         by 2015




                   Google Confidential and Proprietary   18
On   eBay




            sale is made every
            Second on Mobile
                      Google Confidential and Proprietary
600%                     19%                  One Third
  growth in mobile      of all bets made come   of UK shoppers engaged in
sales since June 2010       through mobile      m-commerce during Xmas
50% start with a search
of mobile internet users




   21
                +400% YoY
Entertainment searches    Retail searches

 Mobile queries are      Mobile queries are


      8%                     6%
 compared to 3% a        compared to 1% a
    year ago                year ago

    Tech searches          Travel searches

 Mobile queries are      Mobile queries are


     10%                      7%
  compared to 3% a       compared to 2% a
     year ago               year ago
Source: Google Internal Data
Augmented reality

  In 2010 augmented reality is set
  to generate $2m in revenue...



  ...by 2014 it will be
  $714m




Source: Juniper research 09
                                     2
5 factors driving the growth in mobile internet usage

  1.Computing Power

       Memory cost
                                                    2.Clever
                     Transistors                    Devices
                      per chip



              Time


                                   3.Connectivity
                                     increasing



                                                     5.Cloud
                                                    Computing
  4.Costs Decreasing                                  Google Confidential and Proprietary   25
Google Confidential and Proprietary   26
Google Confidential and Proprietary   27

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Mobile Convention Amsterdam - Google - Ian Carrington

  • 1. It’s not to late to be early: The Mobile (R)evolution Ian Carrington Director Mobile Advertising, NACE Google Confidential and Proprietary
  • 3. Change is cyclical…and happening quicker iPhone Internet TV Radio 50 45 40 Number of Users (Million) 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 Years Google Confidential and Proprietary Source: econsultancy.com 2009
  • 4. 2012: Smartphone sales overtake PC sales Source: Morgan Stanley Nov, 2010
  • 5. 32% number of NL mobile subscribers with a smart phone Google Confidential and Proprietary Source: strategy analytics Oct 2010
  • 6. Global Smartphone penetration rates: Q4 2010 Europe Asia 36% 30% 25% 1% 3% 25% 20% Americas 45% 28% JAPAC 22% 5% 27% Google Confidential and Proprietary 6 Source: Strategy Analytics
  • 7. Global Smartphone penetration rates: 2015 Europe Asia 77% 61% 60% 6% 10% 55% 52% Americas 79% 62% JAPAC Source: Strategy Analytics 52% 35% 55% Google Confidential and Proprietary 7
  • 8. 64% number of NL mobile subscribers with a smart phone in 2015 Google Confidential and Proprietary Source: strategy analytics Oct 2010
  • 9. Is your business not keeping up with demand Google Confidential and Proprietary 9
  • 10. How are people using their Mobile Phones? In Europe: 70% Japan United States Europe • 26% Browse the web • 60% • 25% Use Applications 50% • 19% Use Email • 7% M-Banking 40% • 6% watch Video 30% • 4% Purchase online 20% 10% 0% Browser Applications Email Online Retail Accessed Watched Bank video Accounts Confidential and Proprietary Google 10 Source: ComScore Press Realease Oct 2010
  • 11. Life Critical …Mobiles have developed beyond 6,0 Bn just a form of communication. Commerce 5,0 Bn Global Mobile Subscriptions 4,0 Bn Entertainment 3,0 Bn 2,0 Bn Communication 1,0 Bn 0,0 Bn 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 1G 2G 3G 4G Google Confidential and Proprietary Analog 1 Mbit/s 14 Mbit/s 100 Mbit/s
  • 12. 40% of all tweets are mobile Google Confidential and Proprietary 12
  • 13. 125 Years of Angry Birds is played... ...every day Google Confidential and Proprietary 13
  • 14.
  • 15. 40% of Google maps usage is on mobile Google Confidential and Proprietary 15
  • 16. 1+ bn mobile internet users globally Google Confidential and Proprietary 16
  • 17. Mobile web 23% of all time accessing the web is done through mobile Google Confidential and Proprietary
  • 18. M-commerce $119 bn by 2015 Google Confidential and Proprietary 18
  • 19. On eBay sale is made every Second on Mobile Google Confidential and Proprietary
  • 20. 600% 19% One Third growth in mobile of all bets made come of UK shoppers engaged in sales since June 2010 through mobile m-commerce during Xmas
  • 21. 50% start with a search of mobile internet users 21 +400% YoY
  • 22. Entertainment searches Retail searches Mobile queries are Mobile queries are 8% 6% compared to 3% a compared to 1% a year ago year ago Tech searches Travel searches Mobile queries are Mobile queries are 10% 7% compared to 3% a compared to 2% a year ago year ago
  • 24. Augmented reality In 2010 augmented reality is set to generate $2m in revenue... ...by 2014 it will be $714m Source: Juniper research 09 2
  • 25. 5 factors driving the growth in mobile internet usage 1.Computing Power Memory cost 2.Clever Transistors Devices per chip Time 3.Connectivity increasing 5.Cloud Computing 4.Costs Decreasing Google Confidential and Proprietary 25
  • 26. Google Confidential and Proprietary 26
  • 27. Google Confidential and Proprietary 27