SlideShare a Scribd company logo
1 of 8
Download to read offline
1Quayyum Z, et al. BMJ Open 2017;7:e014849. doi:10.1136/bmjopen-2016-014849
Open Access
Abstract
Introduction  Emergency percutaneous coronary
intervention (PCI) of the culprit lesion for patients with
acute myocardial infarctions is an accepted practice. A
majority of patients present with multivessel disease with
additional relevant stenoses apart from the culprit lesion.
In haemodynamically stable patients, there is increasing
evidence from randomised trials to support the practice
of immediate complete revascularisation. However, in the
presence of cardiogenic shock, the optimal management
strategy for additional non-culprit lesions is unknown. A
multicentre randomised controlled trial, CULPRIT-SHOCK, is
examining whether culprit vessel only PCI with potentially
subsequent staged revascularisation is more effective
than immediate multivessel PCI. This paper describes the
intended economic evaluation of the trial.
Methods and analysis  The economic evaluation will be
conducted using a pre-trial decision model and within-
trial analysis. The modelling-based analysis will provide
expected costs and health outcomes, and incremental
cost-effectiveness ratio over the lifetime for the cohort
of patients included in the trial. The within-trial analysis
will provide estimates of cost per life saved at 30 days
and in 1 year, and estimates of health-related quality of
life. Bootstrapping and cost-effectiveness acceptability
curves will be used to address any uncertainty around
these estimates. Different types of regression models
within a generalised estimating equation framework
will be used to examine how the total cost and
quality-adjusted life years are explained by patients’
characteristics, revascularisation strategy, country and
centre. The cost-effectiveness analysis will be from the
perspective of each country’s national health services,
where costs will be expressed in euros adjusted for
purchasing power parity.
Ethics and dissemination  Ethical approval for the
study was granted by the local Ethics Committee at each
recruiting centre. The economic evaluation analyses will
be published in peer-reviewed journals of the concerned
literature and communicated through the profiles of the
authors at www.​twitter.​com and www.​researchgate.​net.
Trial registration number  NCT01927549; Pre-results.
Background
Among all the patients admitted to hospi-
tals in Europe with acute myocardial
infarction (AMI),1
about 7%–8% develop
cardiogenic shock and most of these patients
(about 70%–80%) have multivessel coro-
nary artery disease.2–4
In these patients, early
mechanical reperfusion of the culprit lesion
by percutaneous coronary intervention
(PCI) is considered to be the most effec-
tive and important therapeutic measure.
Protocol for an economic evaluation of
the randomised controlled trial of
culprit lesion only PCI versus
immediate multivessel PCI in acute
myocardial infarction complicated by
cardiogenic shock: CULPRIT-
SHOCK trial
Zahidul Quayyum,1,2
Andrew Briggs,1
Jose Robles-Zurita,1
Keith Oldroyd,3
Uwe Zeymer,4
Steffen Desch,5
Suzanne de Waha,5
Holger Thiele6
To cite: Quayyum Z, Briggs A,
Robles-Zurita J, et al. Protocol
for an economic evaluation
of the randomised controlled
trial of culprit lesion only PCI
versus immediate multivessel
PCI in acute myocardial
infarction complicated by
cardiogenic shock: CULPRIT-
SHOCK trial. BMJ Open
2017;7:e014849. doi:10.1136/
bmjopen-2016-014849
â–șâ–ș Prepublication history and
additional material for this
paper are available online. To
view these files, please visit
the journal online (http://​dx.​doi.​
org/​10.​1136/​bmjopen-​2016-​
014849).
Received 21 October 2016
Revised 26 May 2017
Accepted 8 June 2017
For numbered affiliations see
end of article.
Correspondence to
Dr Jose Robles-Zurita;
​JoseAntonio.​Robles-​Zurita@​
glasgow.​ac.​uk
Protocol
Strengths and limitations of this study
â–șâ–ș First economic evaluation of culprit only
percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) compared
with immediate multivessel PCI within a trial with
patients in cardiogenic shock.
â–șâ–ș The economic evaluation within the pragmatic
multicountry trial design will enrich the external
validity of results.
â–șâ–ș The methodological approach of a ‘fully pooled with
multicountry costing’ will address heterogeneity in
costs of resource use and drug prices across trial
participating countries.
â–șâ–ș A pre-trial model is considered to extrapolate within-
trial results in the long term for a lifetime economic
evaluation.
â–șâ–ș Data completeness and plausibility checks are
instituted in the electronic case report form to
ensure robust and complete data collection.
2 Quayyum Z, et al. BMJ Open 2017;7:e014849. doi:10.1136/bmjopen-2016-014849
Open Access
However, even with advanced haemodynamic support,
the mortality rate remains as high as 40%–70%.2–7
Imme-
diate multivessel PCI may prevent potentially recurrent
ischaemic cardiac events and improve outcomes but may
also be associated with a higher risk of serious adverse
events including iatrogenic myocardial infarction,
contrast-induced nephropathy and an increased need
for subsequent revascularisation procedures due to rest-
enosis.8
There are uncertainties and differences regarding
patient management. Current guideline recommen-
dations in Europe suggest that primary PCI should be
restricted to the culprit vessel with exception of cardio-
genic shock and continuing ischaemia after PCI of the
culprit lesion,8–10
while there are no specific recommen-
dations by the American Heart Association/American
College of Cardiology.1 8
Given the lack of randomised clinical trial data, a collab-
orative consortium of European partners (in Austria,
France, Germany, Italy, Lithuania, The Netherlands,
Poland, Slovenia, Belgium, Switzerland and UK) has been
formed to conduct a large-scale prospective randomised,
controlled, international multicentre trial.8
The trial is an
attempt to determine the optimal percutaneous revascu-
larisation strategy in patients with AMI and multivessel
disease complicated by cardiogenic shock (see ref. 8 for
further detail on trial design). The decision problems
that the trial attempts to address are:
â–șâ–ș Whether performing immediate culprit vessel only
PCI with potential subsequent staged revascularisa-
tion reduces the incidence of the combined endpoint
of 30-day mortality and severe renal failure (requiring
renal replacement therapy) compared with immedi-
ate multivessel percutaneous revascularisation.
â–șâ–ș Whether immediate culprit vessel only PCI improves
quality of life compared with immediate multivessel
percutaneous revascularisation.
â–șâ–ș Whether culprit vessel only PCI with potential subse-
quent staged revascularisation is cost-effective com-
pared with immediate multivessel revascularisation.
This study protocol addresses the third decision
problem. The need for a cost-effectiveness analysis (CEA)
relies on the fact that we could expect culprit vessel
revascularisation to be a safer strategy for patients with
cardiogenic shock and, at the same time, there are reasons
to anticipate higher costs due to the need for subsequent
staged revascularisation and different resources like
mechanical support devices.
Methods
Population, setting and location, and comparators
The details of the methods and design of the trial have
been published previously in a separate manuscript.8
The
CULPRIT-SHOCK study is a prospective, randomised,
open-label trial in patients with multivessel coronary
artery disease and AMI including both ST-elevation and
non-ST-elevation myocardial infarction complicated by
cardiogenic shock. The trial will recruit 706 patients with
AMI with cardiogenic shock and multivessel disease, half
of this population will be receiving culprit vessel only
PCI with potentially subsequent staged revascularisation
and the rest will receive immediate multivessel revascu-
larisation by PCI. This international trial is conducted in
approximately 100 centres of the 11 participating coun-
tries.8
Type of economic evaluation
The economic evaluation will be composed of both CEA
and cost-utility analysis (CUA). The CEA will use the
outcome measures of 30-day mortality and renal failure.
Quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) will be used for the
CUA.
Time horizon
The CEA will rely on the information collected during
the first 30-day period after revascularisation. On the
contrary, two different CUAs will be considered: a with-
in-trial economic evaluation using information collected
during a 1-year follow-up period and economic evalua-
tion based on a long-term model.
Study perspective
The economic evaluation will have health systems and
societal perspectives. Initially, the costs for each type of
revascularisation strategies will be derived from Germa-
ny’s national health service perspective. In addition, the
perspective of each country’s national health service will
also be considered.
Discount rate
The base case analysis rate that will be used for discounting
future costs and effects will be 3% in accordance with
the Institute for Quality and Efficiency in Health Care
guideline.11
The discounting rate will be adapted to suit
different payers’ perspectives in the 11 trial participating
countries.
Identification, measurements and valuation of outcomes
The health outcome measures that will be used for the
economic evaluation and endpoints of the data collection
are presented in table 1.
The EuroQol five-dimensions (EQ-5D) three-level12
will be used to assess the quality of life for each patient.
EQ-5D data will be collected at 1 month post procedure
(follow-up on 30 days), 6 and 12 months after randomisa-
tion. The utility weights for each health states at different
periods will be obtained by using the EQ-5D index tariff
developed for the German population. Mean differences
in EQ-5D between the groups will be estimated and will
be presented with statistical tests of significance for the
different follow-up periods. Country-specific tariffs will
also be analysed. The probable imbalances in baseline
utility will be adjusted to estimate differential mean
QALYs as suggested by Manca et al.13
3Quayyum Z, et al. BMJ Open 2017;7:e014849. doi:10.1136/bmjopen-2016-014849
Open Access
Table 1  The outcome measures and means of data collection
Outcome measures Means of data collection Time of collection
Mortality eCRF 30 days after randomisation, 6 and 12 months follow-up
Severe renal failure* eCRF 30 days after randomisation, 6 and 12 months follow-up
Heart failure* eCRF 30 days after randomisation, 6 and 12 months follow-up
MACE† eCRF 30 days after randomisation, 6 and 12 months follow-up
Quality of life eCRF 30 days after randomisation, 6 and 12 months follow-up
*Heart and renal failure are health conditions for which specific long-term treatment is needed.
†Major advanced cardiac events (myocardial infarction, non-fatal stroke and need for repeat revascularisation).
eCRF, electronic case report form; MACE, major advanced cardiac events.
Identification, measurement and valuation of resource use
The primary objective of the cost analysis will be
identifying, quantifying and valuing resources use accom-
panying the revascularisation strategies. The registry data
on patients not randomised for the trial but collected
within the project will also be used for supplementary
information on resources use. The costs will be classified
into the following major groups:
Intervention costs
Themainitemsoftheinterventioncosts(CInt)willinclude
the resource use for index revascularisation procedure
(PCI) and repeat/staged revascularisation procedure
(PCI or coronary artery bypass surgery (CABG)). The
resource use for investigations (eg, non-invasive evalua-
tion for residual myocardial ischaemia at 1–4 weeks post
index PCI of the culprit lesion such as nuclear perfusion
scintigraphy, stress echocardiography or stress MRI) and
other procedures (angiography, stenting, internal cardio-
verter defibrillator implants, extracorporeal membrane
oxygenation, intra-aortic balloon pump, left ventric-
ular assist devices, heart transplantation), treatments of
renal failure, heart failure and major advanced cardiac
events (MACE) will constitute the cost of health services
use (CHServ). The electronic case report forms (eCRFs)
are used for collecting all the above mentioned resources.
Cost of medication
Information on use of medications during the trial period
is collected in eCRF to estimate the cost of medication
(CMed).
Loss of productivity
Data on loss of days of work are collected using the eCRF.
The cost of productivity loss (CostLp) for trial patients
will be calculated using a human capital approach.
Table 2 presents the resources items, data collection
and source of unit cost. The costs will be converted into
base year 2014 and will then be converted into euros
using consumer price index and purchasing power parity
conversion rates, respectively, provided by the Organisa-
tion for Economic Co-operation and Development.
The total cost (CTot) for each strategy will be given by
the next equation:
	 CTot = CInt + CHServ + CMed + CostLp.
The within-trial analyses of this multinational economic
evaluation will employ a ‘multicountry costing’; that is, the
source of clinical effectiveness and resource use data will
be pooled, combined with country-specific unit costs.14
This will be contrasted with a ‘single-country’ approach
of applying a single country’s unit costs to the whole trial
dataset.15
Modelling
A pre-trial decision model will be used for the long-term
analysis.
Initially, the modelling exercise for the economic eval-
uation will be from Germany perspective and will be later
adapted for the rest of the trial participating countries
keeping the basic structure unchanged.
The population that will be considered in the model is
similar to the patients included in the trial. The model
is presented in schematic diagrams in figures 1 and 2.
The figures show the stages or pathways of the patients.
First stage (figure 1—initial procedure decision) is where
the patients are provided with the revascularisation treat-
ments. At this stage, the model will be based on a decision
tree for the first year after randomisation. Assuming that
the diagnostic angiography can correctly identify culprit
lesions, the two options of treatment that are available for
the patients are (1) immediate multivessel revascularisa-
tion of all vessels by PCI or (2) revascularisation by PCI
of culprit lesion only and potentially staged revascularisa-
tion (either by PCI or CABG).
The patients after the index revascularisation and the
planned staged revascularisation can die or can be alive
with initial success of the treatment. Within 30 days,
patients can survive with index revascularisation or can
die. It is assumed that those who survive can either remain
stable and alive or (1) can have renal failure or (2) can
suffer from MACE (viz. ie, myocardial infarction/repeat
infarction, stroke and revascularisation) or (3) have heart
failure or (4) die due to cardiac events or other causes.
Patients who survive initially from all these health states
will move to the next stage shown in figure 2.
The next stage of the model (figure 2), a Markov model,
shows the different health states for the patients for their
lifetime period. It is assumed that the patients can move
to one of the five different health states (similar to what is
noted in figure 1). A patient who is alive and stable after
4 Quayyum Z, et al. BMJ Open 2017;7:e014849. doi:10.1136/bmjopen-2016-014849
Open Access
Table 2  The resource use, cost measures and means of data collections in Germany
Resources use and costs measures Means for data collection Time of collection
Source of data
for unit cost
Intervention
 Multivessel revascularisation eCRF Baseline, 30 days, 6 and 12 months InEK
 Culprit vessel revascularisation eCRF Baseline, 30 days, 6 and 12 months InEK
 Repeat revascularisation eCRF Baseline, 30 days, 6 and 12 months InEK
Health services use
 Investigations eCRF Baseline, 30 days, 6 and 12 months InEK
 Other procedures
  Angiography eCRF Baseline, 30 days, 6 and 12 months InEK
  Stenting eCRF Baseline, 30 days, 6 and 12 months InEK
  ICD implant eCRF Baseline, 30 days, 6 and 12 months InEK
  ECMO eCRF Baseline, 30 days, 6 and 12 months InEK
  IABP eCRF Baseline, 30 days, 6 and 12 months InEK
  LVAD eCRF Baseline, 30 days, 6 and 12 months InEK
  Heart transplant eCRF Baseline, 30 days, 6 and 12 months InEK
 Treatment for
  MACE eCRF Baseline, 30 days, 6 and 12 months InEK
  Renal failure eCRF Baseline, 30 days, 6 and 12 months InEK
  Heart failure eCRF Baseline, 30 days, 6 and 12 months InEK
  Stroke eCRF Baseline, 30 days, 6 and 12 months InEK
 Medication eCRF Baseline, 30 days, 6 and 12 months InEK
Loss of Productivity eCRF 6 and 12 months follow-up Destatis
Destatis, Federal Statistical Office; ECMO, extracorporeal membrane oxygenation; eCRF, electronic case report form; InEK, Institute for the
Hospital Remuneration System; IABP, intra-aortic balloon pump; ICD, internal cardioverter defibrillator; LVAD, left ventricular assist device;
MACE, major advanced cardiac events.
1 year may suffer MACE and go back to alive and stable
health state. It is also assumed that patients after having
heart or renal failure can suffer from MACE and can
go back and remain stable with the condition. Only the
patients who remain alive and stable are assumed to
transit to health states of renal or heart failure but the
opposite pathway is not permitted. Finally, patients can
also end up at absorbing health state death from all those
health states.
Model parameters
The Markov model will be populated with transition
probabilities and with cost and utility data conditional
on health status. For the Markov stage, the transitions
to different health states will be conditional on previous
health state and on the type of revascularisation. The
cycle length will be assumed to be 1 month. It is expected
that there will be utility decrements accompanying renal
failure, the possible adverse cardiac events and hence
loss of QALYs. Values of the effectiveness parameters,
transition probability of moving from health states and
utilities will be based on the review of selected studies on
clinical effectiveness and economic evaluations studies,
previous reviews and expert advice from clinicians from
trial participating countries. The model’s parameters are
listed in online supplementary annex 1.
Statistical analyses of the trial data and registry data
will provide more information that will enable us to have
robust values for the pre-trial model parameters. With the
survival analysis using trial data, the survival probability
will be calculated to populate the model with revised
transition probability to deaths that can be attributed to
clinical conditions and MACE. The validation of model
will be conducted by looking at the internal and external
validity.16
Analysis
Within-trial analysis
Statistical analyses and CEAs will be carried out using
trial data where information on a range of resource
use and outcome measures are collected at the patient
level across the trial participating countries. The basis
of analysis will be intention to treat.
Handling missing data
Cost data are characterised by severe skewness in their
probability distribution17 18
and it may be the case
5Quayyum Z, et al. BMJ Open 2017;7:e014849. doi:10.1136/bmjopen-2016-014849
Open Access
Figure 1  Post index revascularisation, from 30 days to 1 year. AMI, acute myocardial infarction; MACE, major advanced
cardiac events.
that a few patients may have very high resource use
and hence high cost, and a large number of patients
may have low cost. There may be incomplete data
and cost data can be missing at individual item level.
Appropriate methods will be used to treat missing
information. Multiple imputation method has been
widely recommended by experts and by ISPOR17 19–21
as
this method helps to reveal the uncertainty that occurs
where the missing data are replaced in the imputation
process.19
A descriptive analysis will be undertaken to
check the nature of missing data before such method is
used. As suggested by Faria et al,22
a sensitivity analysis
will be conducted to examine the impact of alternative
assumptions about the mechanism of missing data.
Base case analysis and regression
Baseline characteristics of the patients in the two
different intervention groups will be summarised.
Differences in resource use and costs between the
two groups will be tested using two-sample t-tests (or
non-parametric equivalents) and Χ2
tests for contin-
uous and categorical variables, respectively. The mean
costs of resource use in each arm of the care interven-
tion and the differences in costs between the two arms
will be calculated with 95% CIs. Similarly, the mean
QALY score for each group will be estimated.
Regression analyses will be conducted to examine
how the total cost and health outcomes may be
explained by the patient characteristics, interven-
tion type, country and centres. Different types of
models will be explored within generalised estimating
equation framework that can take into account the
clustering of the data within the countries.
CEA with trial data
CEA will be presented as incremental cost per 30-day
mortality averted and incremental cost per QALY gained.
The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) will be
calculated as:
	 ICER = Costco−Costmv
QALYco−QALYmv
where Costco is the total cost of treating the patients by
revascularisation of the culprit vessel only and Costmv
is the total cost of treating the patients by immediate
multivessel revascularisation. QALYco is total QALYs for the
patients having culprit vessel revascularisation only and
QALYmv is total QALYs for the patients having immediate
multivessel revascularisation.
Subgroup analyses for gender, age groups (50 years,
50–75 years, 75 years) and patients with diabetes will be
considered to address the issue of underlying heteroge-
neity.23 24
The results of the cost-effectiveness including the
subgroup and sensitivity analyses will be presented both
in terms of point estimates and cost-effectiveness planes,
and cost-effectiveness acceptability curves (CEACs).25
Thetworevascularisationstrategieswillbealsocompared
on the basis of incremental net monetary benefits. The
net monetary benefit of revascularisation multivessel
(strategy 1) or revascularisation of culprit vessel only
(strategy 2) will be calculated as: the mean QALYs (qi)
multiplied by the acceptable threshold values for a QALY
6 Quayyum Z, et al. BMJ Open 2017;7:e014849. doi:10.1136/bmjopen-2016-014849
Open Access
Figure 2  Post 1 year and end of life—Markov model. MACE, major advanced cardiac events.
(λ), minus the mean cost of implementing the strategy.1
This can be given as:
	 NMBi = λqi − ci, where i = strategy 1 or strategy 2.
The threshold value (λ) should be interpreted as the
monetary value of a QALY. Different values will be used
for different countries assuming that this parameter will
be different or may be unknown.
The effectiveness measure and CEA in the model-based
analysis
The effectiveness measure for economic outcomes in our
model-based analysis will be QALYs. Model results will
provide estimates for the ICER considering long-term
health outcomes and costs.
The results of the economic evaluation including the
subgroup and sensitivity analyses will be presented in
terms of point estimates, cost-effectiveness planes and
CEACs.25
Handling uncertainty
To present, the robustness of our estimation of cost-effec-
tiveness non-parametric bootstrapping techniques will be
used.26
 CEACs will illustrate the uncertainty surrounding
the estimate of cost-effectiveness.25
This curve will show us
the probability of culprit only revascularisation strategy to
be cost-effective compared with the immediate multivessel
revascularisation strategy for a range of monetary values
of a QALY. Both probabilistic and deterministic sensitivity
analyses will be used to explore statistical and other forms
of uncertainty arising from the imprecision with which
model parameters are estimated.
Value of information
Value of information analysis will also be conducted.
Such analysis will help to determine whether additional
research will be required to inform the future decision27
about immediate revascularisation in case of acute AMI
with multivessel diseases and complicated by cardiogenic
shock.
Ethics and dissemination
Ethical approval for the study was granted by the local
Ethics Committee at each recruiting centre. Ethical
approvals by the lead ethical committees for each country
are: (a) Germany, Ethical Committee at the University
of Luebeck: reference number 13-142; (b) Netherlands,
Medisch Ethische Toetsingscommissie (Academisch
Medisch Centrum, University of Amsterdam): refer-
ence number E2-170; (c) Austria, Magistratsabteilung
15-Gesundheitsdienst der Stadt Wien: reference number
EK-13-241-0214; (d) Lithuania, Lietuvos Bioetikos
Komitetas: reference numbers L-14-01/1 and L-14-01/2;
(e) France, Comité de Protection des Personnes, Ile de
France 1: reference number 2014-janvier.-13464; (f)
Poland, Klinika Intensywnej Terapii Kardiologicznej:
reference number IK-NP-0021-97/1408/13; (g) Slovenia,
Komisija Republike Slovenije za medicinsko etiko: refer-
ence numbers 63/12/13 and 60/09/14; (h) Switzerland,
Kantonale Ethikkommission Bern (KEK): reference
number 041/14; (i) Italy, Comitato Etico Provinciale
di Reggio Emilia: reference number 2013/0029992; (j)
Belgium, Universiteit Antwerpen (Ethics Committee):
reference number 15/11/116; (k) UK, National Health
Service (NHS) (Scotland Research Ethics Committee):
reference number 14/YH/0116; and (l) Scotland,
NHS (Scotland rEsearch Ethics Committee): reference
number 14/SS/0072.
The economic evaluation analyses will be published in
peer-reviewed journals of the concerned literature and
communicated through the profiles of the authors at
www.​twitter.​com and www.​researchgate.​net.
7Quayyum Z, et al. BMJ Open 2017;7:e014849. doi:10.1136/bmjopen-2016-014849
Open Access
Discussion
This will be the first economic evaluation where effec-
tiveness of culprit only PCI with potential staged
revascularisation will be tested against immediate
multivessel PCI within a trial. A pre-trial decision model
will provide estimates of incremental cost per QALY
generated by culprit vessel revascularisation over the prac-
tice of all vessel revascularisation. According to a previous
analysis performed by us, based on a simulation of this
model populated with parameters from the literature,
an ICER of about ÂŁ2000/QALY is expected. However,
there is a large uncertainty around these estimates since
existing evidence on the two strategies compared is based
on observational data rather than on randomised control
trials. We acknowledge that parameters could be biased
and changing just one parameter (eg, probability of
MACE, or renal failure or cost of MACE) could increase
the ICER to about £12 000.
On the contrary, the within-trial analysis would help
to obtain robust values for the pre-trial model param-
eters and the survival analysis will provide revised
transition probability to deaths that can be attributed
to clinical conditions and MACE. Transferability of the
decision-analytical model can be improved by using the
jurisdiction-specific price weights and baseline risk of
health states.
The results on predicted costs and outcomes from trial-
based economic analysis will help to conduct extrapolated
analysis beyond the trial period using the decision model
incorporating the sensitivity analyses and subgroup anal-
ysis.
Strengths
This economic analysis of the largest randomised trial in
cardiogenic shock will provide detailed health economic
analyses further supporting potential treatment strategies
in cardiogenic shock. The economic evaluation within
the pragmatic multicountry trial design will enrich the
external validity. This will enable us to assess the value
of the revascularisation strategies for patients with cardio-
genic shock in a real-world scenario.
Limitations
Given that there are differences in the health systems and
reimbursement policy in the trial participating countries,
potential differences in the unit prices of similar health-
care resources and medications are expected to be found.
Trial-wide estimates of CEAs will suffer from problems
associated with heterogeneity in costs of resource use and
drug prices across trial participating countries. The meth-
odological approach of a ‘fully pooled with multicountry
costing’ framework14
will address this potential problem.
There is a particular challenge with respect to data
collection given that the existence of missing informa-
tion could affect the validity of the results. In that case,
statistical techniques will be used to handle missing data.
Nonetheless, an automated data check for completeness
and data plausibility has been instituted in the eCRF to
ensure robust and complete data collection. Further-
more, monitoring ensures data completeness and data
plausibility—a final close-out monitoring visit is manda-
tory for all centres. In addition, case payment is only
performed if all data are complete in the eCRF and data
are checked for plausibility.
Author affiliations
1
Health Economics and Health Technology Assessment, Institute of Health and
Wellbeing, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, UK
2
Currently at Centre for Primary Care and Public Health, Queen Mary University of
London, London, UK
3
West of Scotland Regional Heart and Lung Centre, Golden Jubilee National
Hospital, Glasgow, UK
4
Klinikum Ludwigshafen and Institut fĂŒr Herzinfarktforschung, Ludwigshafen,
Germany
5
University Heart Center LĂŒbeck, University Hospital Schleswig-Holstein, LĂŒbeck,
Germany
6
Department of Internal Medicine and Cardiology, University of Leipzig - Heart
Center, Leipzig, Germany
Acknowledgements  The authors would like to thank the members of the
CULPRIT-SHOCK trial team for their help in developing the economic evaluation
protocol and to acknowledge the inputs of the investigators contributing to the
development of the trial.
Contributors  ZQ drafted the manuscript. AB supervised the drafted manuscript
and its revisions. JR-Z was in charge of subsequent revisions of the drafted
manuscript. KO, UZ, SD, SW and HT reviewed and authorised the final version of the
paper.
Funding  CULPRIT-SHOCK is a Collaboration Project funded by the European Union
under the 7th Framework Programme under grant agreement no 602202).
Competing interests  None declared.
Provenance and peer review  Not commissioned; externally peer reviewed.
Open Access  This is an Open Access article distributed in accordance with the
Creative Commons Attribution Non Commercial (CC BY-NC 4.0) license, which
permits others to distribute, remix, adapt, build upon this work non-commercially,
and license their derivative works on different terms, provided the original work is
properly cited and the use is non-commercial. See: http://​creativecommons.​org/​
licenses/​by-​nc/​4.​0/
© Article author(s) (or their employer(s) unless otherwise stated in the text of the
article) 2017. All rights reserved. No commercial use is permitted unless otherwise
expressly granted.
References
	 1.	 O'Gara PT, Kushner FG, Ascheim DD, et al. 2013 ACCF/AHA
Guideline for the Management of ST-Elevation Myocardial Infarction:
Executive Summary: A Report of the American College of Cardiology
Foundation/American Heart Association Task Force on Practice
Guidelines. Circulation 2013;127:529–55.
	 2.	 Aissaoui N, Puymirat E, Tabone X, et al. Improved outcome of
cardiogenic shock at the acute stage of myocardial infarction:
a report from the USIK 1995, USIC 2000, and FAST-MI French
nationwide registries. Eur Heart J 2012;33:2535–43.
	 3.	 Jeger RV, Radovanovic D, Hunziker PR, et al. Ten-year trends in
the incidence and treatment of cardiogenic shock. Ann Intern Med
2008;149:618–26.
	 4.	 Thiele H, Allam B, Chatellier G, et al. Shock in acute myocardial
infarction: the Cape Horn for trials? Eur Heart J 2010;31:1828–35.
	 5.	 Thiele H, Ohman EM, Desch S, et al. Management of cardiogenic
shock. Eur Heart J 2015;36:1223–30.
	 6.	 Thiele H, Zeymer U, Neumann FJ, et al. Intra-aortic balloon
counterpulsation in acute myocardial infarction complicated by
cardiogenic shock (IABP-SHOCK II): final 12 month results of a
randomised, open-label trial. Lancet 2013;382:1638–45.
	 7.	 Thiele H, Zeymer U, Neumann FJ, et al. Intraaortic balloon support
for myocardial infarction with cardiogenic shock. N Engl J Med
2012;367:1287–96.
8 Quayyum Z, et al. BMJ Open 2017;7:e014849. doi:10.1136/bmjopen-2016-014849
Open Access
	 8.	 Thiele H, Desch S, Piek JJ, et al. Multivessel versus culprit
lesion only percutaneous revascularization plus potential staged
revascularization in patients with acute myocardial infarction
complicated by cardiogenic shock: Design and rationale of CULPRIT-
SHOCK trial. Am Heart J 2016;172:160–9.
	 9.	 Steg PG, James SK, Atar D, et al. ESC Guidelines for the
management of acute myocardial infarction in patients presenting
with ST-segment elevation. Eur Heart J 2012;33:2569–619.
	10.	 Windecker S, Kolh P, Alfonso F, et al. ESC/EACTS guidelines
on myocardial revascularization. European Heart Journal
20142014;35:2541–619.
	11.	 IQWiG. General methods. Version 4.2 of 22 April 2015. Secondary
General methods. Version 4.2 of 22 April 2015 2015. https://www.​
iqwig.​de/​download/​IQWiG_​General_​Methods_​Version_%​204-​2.​pdf.
	12.	 Brooks R. EuroQol: the current state of play. Health Policy
1996;37:53–72.
	13.	 Manca A, Hawkins N, Sculpher MJ. Estimating mean QALYs in trial-
based cost-effectiveness analysis: the importance of controlling for
baseline utility. Health Econ 2005;14:487–96.
	14.	 Reed SD, Anstrom KJ, Bakhai A, et al. Conducting economic
evaluations alongside multinational clinical trials: toward a research
consensus. Am Heart J 2005;149:434–43.
	15.	 Willke RJ, Glick HA, Polsky D, et al. Estimating country-specific
cost-effectiveness from multinational clinical trials. Health Econ
1998;7:481–93.
	16.	 Weinstein MC, O'Brien B, Hornberger J, et al. Principles of good
practice for decision analytic modeling in health-care evaluation:
report of the ISPOR Task Force on Good Research Practices--
Modeling Studies. Value Health 2003;6:9–17.
	17.	 Gomes M, DĂ­az-Ordaz K, Grieve R, et al. Multiple imputation
methods for handling missing data in cost-effectiveness analyses
that use data from hierarchical studies: an application to cluster
randomized trials. Med Decis Making 2013;33:1051–63.
	18.	 Oostenbrink JB, Al MJ, Rutten-van Mölken MP. Methods to analyse
cost data of patients who withdraw in a clinical trial setting.
Pharmacoeconomics 2003;21:1103–12.
	19.	 Ramsey S, Willke R, Briggs A, et al. Good research practices for
cost-effectiveness analysis alongside clinical trials: the ISPOR RCT-
CEA Task Force report. Value Health 2005;8:521–33.
	20.	 Briggs A, Clark T, Wolstenholme J, et al. Missing presumed
at random: cost-analysis of incomplete data. Health Econ
2003;12:377–92.
	21.	 Drummond MF, Jefferson TO. Guidelines for authors and
peer reviewers of economic submissions to the BMJ. BMJ
1996;313:275–83.
	22.	 Faria R, Gomes M, Epstein D, et al. A guide to handling missing
data in cost-effectiveness analysis conducted within randomised
controlled trials. Pharmacoeconomics 2014;32:1157–70.
	23.	 Nixon RM, Thompson SG. Methods for incorporating covariate
adjustment, subgroup analysis and between-centre
differences into cost-effectiveness evaluations. Health Econ
2005;14:1217–29.
	24.	 Marshall DA, Hux M. Design and analysis issues for economic
analysis alongside clinical trials. Med Care 2009;47:S14–S20.
	25.	 Fenwick E, Claxton K, Sculpher M. Representing uncertainty: the
role of cost-effectiveness acceptability curves. Health Econ
2001;10:779–87.
	26.	 Briggs AH, Wonderling DE, Mooney CZ. Pulling cost-effectiveness
analysis up by its bootstraps: a non-parametric approach to
confidence interval estimation. Health Econ 1997;6:327–40.
	27.	 Claxton K, Posnett J. An economic approach to clinical trial design
and research priority-setting. Health Econ 1996;5:513–24.

More Related Content

What's hot

J vasc surg_review_2013
J vasc surg_review_2013J vasc surg_review_2013
J vasc surg_review_2013samirsharshar
 
Cardiology Journal club
Cardiology Journal clubCardiology Journal club
Cardiology Journal clubPRAVEEN GUPTA
 
CT Coronary Angiogram VS Cardiac Stress Test
CT Coronary Angiogram VS Cardiac Stress TestCT Coronary Angiogram VS Cardiac Stress Test
CT Coronary Angiogram VS Cardiac Stress Testahvc0858
 
Insertable cardiac monitors to detect AF and subsequently moderate stroke ris...
Insertable cardiac monitors to detect AF and subsequently moderate stroke ris...Insertable cardiac monitors to detect AF and subsequently moderate stroke ris...
Insertable cardiac monitors to detect AF and subsequently moderate stroke ris...Alex Diamantopoulos
 
3rd year stroke prevention in af
3rd year stroke prevention in af3rd year stroke prevention in af
3rd year stroke prevention in afSwapnil Garde
 
Percutaneous image-guided cryoablation of spinal metastases: A systematic review
Percutaneous image-guided cryoablation of spinal metastases: A systematic reviewPercutaneous image-guided cryoablation of spinal metastases: A systematic review
Percutaneous image-guided cryoablation of spinal metastases: A systematic reviewAhmad Ozair
 
Actigraphy as a Metric in PAH Research and Clinical Care
Actigraphy as a Metric in PAH Research and Clinical CareActigraphy as a Metric in PAH Research and Clinical Care
Actigraphy as a Metric in PAH Research and Clinical CareDuke Heart
 
What is the place of CT coronary angiography in ED chest pain?
What is the place of CT coronary angiography in ED chest pain?What is the place of CT coronary angiography in ED chest pain?
What is the place of CT coronary angiography in ED chest pain?kellyam18
 
9. #ifad2019 review of recent fluid trials (funcke)
9. #ifad2019 review of recent fluid trials (funcke)9. #ifad2019 review of recent fluid trials (funcke)
9. #ifad2019 review of recent fluid trials (funcke)International Fluid Academy
 
Blood conservationupdate0311
Blood conservationupdate0311Blood conservationupdate0311
Blood conservationupdate0311Azad Abul Kalam
 
2. continuous renal replacement therapy recent advances and future research
2. continuous renal replacement therapy recent advances and future research2. continuous renal replacement therapy recent advances and future research
2. continuous renal replacement therapy recent advances and future researchEdleo13
 
Surgical or Transcatheter Valve Surgery: What Your Patients Need To Know In A...
Surgical or Transcatheter Valve Surgery: What Your Patients Need To Know In A...Surgical or Transcatheter Valve Surgery: What Your Patients Need To Know In A...
Surgical or Transcatheter Valve Surgery: What Your Patients Need To Know In A...ahvc0858
 
Door to ecg time copyrighted
Door to ecg time   copyrightedDoor to ecg time   copyrighted
Door to ecg time copyrightedAhmad Amirdash
 
Cardiopulmonary testing preoperative
Cardiopulmonary testing preoperativeCardiopulmonary testing preoperative
Cardiopulmonary testing preoperativeDR RML DELHI
 

What's hot (20)

J vasc surg_review_2013
J vasc surg_review_2013J vasc surg_review_2013
J vasc surg_review_2013
 
Cardiology Journal club
Cardiology Journal clubCardiology Journal club
Cardiology Journal club
 
CT Coronary Angiogram VS Cardiac Stress Test
CT Coronary Angiogram VS Cardiac Stress TestCT Coronary Angiogram VS Cardiac Stress Test
CT Coronary Angiogram VS Cardiac Stress Test
 
Hahalis G - AIMRADIAL 2013 - Ulnar catheterization
Hahalis G - AIMRADIAL 2013 - Ulnar catheterizationHahalis G - AIMRADIAL 2013 - Ulnar catheterization
Hahalis G - AIMRADIAL 2013 - Ulnar catheterization
 
Hemorrhage
HemorrhageHemorrhage
Hemorrhage
 
Insertable cardiac monitors to detect AF and subsequently moderate stroke ris...
Insertable cardiac monitors to detect AF and subsequently moderate stroke ris...Insertable cardiac monitors to detect AF and subsequently moderate stroke ris...
Insertable cardiac monitors to detect AF and subsequently moderate stroke ris...
 
3rd year stroke prevention in af
3rd year stroke prevention in af3rd year stroke prevention in af
3rd year stroke prevention in af
 
Applegate RJ - AIMRADIAL 2013 - Learning curve
Applegate RJ - AIMRADIAL 2013 - Learning curveApplegate RJ - AIMRADIAL 2013 - Learning curve
Applegate RJ - AIMRADIAL 2013 - Learning curve
 
Percutaneous image-guided cryoablation of spinal metastases: A systematic review
Percutaneous image-guided cryoablation of spinal metastases: A systematic reviewPercutaneous image-guided cryoablation of spinal metastases: A systematic review
Percutaneous image-guided cryoablation of spinal metastases: A systematic review
 
Actigraphy as a Metric in PAH Research and Clinical Care
Actigraphy as a Metric in PAH Research and Clinical CareActigraphy as a Metric in PAH Research and Clinical Care
Actigraphy as a Metric in PAH Research and Clinical Care
 
What is the place of CT coronary angiography in ED chest pain?
What is the place of CT coronary angiography in ED chest pain?What is the place of CT coronary angiography in ED chest pain?
What is the place of CT coronary angiography in ED chest pain?
 
9. #ifad2019 review of recent fluid trials (funcke)
9. #ifad2019 review of recent fluid trials (funcke)9. #ifad2019 review of recent fluid trials (funcke)
9. #ifad2019 review of recent fluid trials (funcke)
 
Blood conservationupdate0311
Blood conservationupdate0311Blood conservationupdate0311
Blood conservationupdate0311
 
Abdelaal E 201304
Abdelaal E 201304Abdelaal E 201304
Abdelaal E 201304
 
2. continuous renal replacement therapy recent advances and future research
2. continuous renal replacement therapy recent advances and future research2. continuous renal replacement therapy recent advances and future research
2. continuous renal replacement therapy recent advances and future research
 
Patel TM 201111
Patel TM 201111Patel TM 201111
Patel TM 201111
 
Surgical or Transcatheter Valve Surgery: What Your Patients Need To Know In A...
Surgical or Transcatheter Valve Surgery: What Your Patients Need To Know In A...Surgical or Transcatheter Valve Surgery: What Your Patients Need To Know In A...
Surgical or Transcatheter Valve Surgery: What Your Patients Need To Know In A...
 
Door to ecg time copyrighted
Door to ecg time   copyrightedDoor to ecg time   copyrighted
Door to ecg time copyrighted
 
Mamas M - AIMRADIAL 2015 - Access vs. non-access site bleeding
Mamas M - AIMRADIAL 2015 - Access vs. non-access site bleedingMamas M - AIMRADIAL 2015 - Access vs. non-access site bleeding
Mamas M - AIMRADIAL 2015 - Access vs. non-access site bleeding
 
Cardiopulmonary testing preoperative
Cardiopulmonary testing preoperativeCardiopulmonary testing preoperative
Cardiopulmonary testing preoperative
 

Similar to Cardiogenic shock

Nov journal watch
Nov journal watchNov journal watch
Nov journal watchkatejohnpunag
 
10 the importance of audit to monitor applications of procedures and improve ...
10 the importance of audit to monitor applications of procedures and improve ...10 the importance of audit to monitor applications of procedures and improve ...
10 the importance of audit to monitor applications of procedures and improve ...NPSAIC
 
Optimising physiological-endpoints-of-percutaneous-coronary-intervention(1)
Optimising physiological-endpoints-of-percutaneous-coronary-intervention(1)Optimising physiological-endpoints-of-percutaneous-coronary-intervention(1)
Optimising physiological-endpoints-of-percutaneous-coronary-intervention(1)Ramachandra Barik
 
Principles of preoperative and operative surgery
Principles of preoperative and operative surgeryPrinciples of preoperative and operative surgery
Principles of preoperative and operative surgeryMEEQAT HOSPITAL
 
Management of-pulmonary-embolism--a 2016-journal-of-the-american-college-of-
Management of-pulmonary-embolism--a 2016-journal-of-the-american-college-of-Management of-pulmonary-embolism--a 2016-journal-of-the-american-college-of-
Management of-pulmonary-embolism--a 2016-journal-of-the-american-college-of-Pitchya Wangmeesri
 
Journal Reading 2.pptx
Journal Reading 2.pptxJournal Reading 2.pptx
Journal Reading 2.pptxnadiashabri2
 
DU PERF SCORING
DU PERF SCORINGDU PERF SCORING
DU PERF SCORINGNHS
 
ScHARR, ISPOR Presentation, Madrid, November, 2011
ScHARR, ISPOR Presentation, Madrid, November, 2011ScHARR, ISPOR Presentation, Madrid, November, 2011
ScHARR, ISPOR Presentation, Madrid, November, 2011ScHARR HEDS
 
20150300.0 00007
20150300.0 0000720150300.0 00007
20150300.0 00007samirsharshar
 
Acute Ischemic Stroke (AIS) Trial Considerations / Challenges
Acute Ischemic Stroke (AIS) Trial Considerations / ChallengesAcute Ischemic Stroke (AIS) Trial Considerations / Challenges
Acute Ischemic Stroke (AIS) Trial Considerations / ChallengesCovance
 
publishedpaper2011
publishedpaper2011publishedpaper2011
publishedpaper2011John Cooper
 
Tratamiento del choque septico
Tratamiento del choque septicoTratamiento del choque septico
Tratamiento del choque septicoAivan Lima
 
Leads free trial)
Leads free trial)Leads free trial)
Leads free trial)Iqbal Dar
 
Resuscitation from Severe Sepsis: do we need care bundles?
Resuscitation from Severe Sepsis: do we need care bundles?Resuscitation from Severe Sepsis: do we need care bundles?
Resuscitation from Severe Sepsis: do we need care bundles?International Fluid Academy
 

Similar to Cardiogenic shock (20)

International Journal of Clinical Cardiology & Research
International Journal of Clinical Cardiology & ResearchInternational Journal of Clinical Cardiology & Research
International Journal of Clinical Cardiology & Research
 
Nov journal watch
Nov journal watchNov journal watch
Nov journal watch
 
10 the importance of audit to monitor applications of procedures and improve ...
10 the importance of audit to monitor applications of procedures and improve ...10 the importance of audit to monitor applications of procedures and improve ...
10 the importance of audit to monitor applications of procedures and improve ...
 
Optimising physiological-endpoints-of-percutaneous-coronary-intervention(1)
Optimising physiological-endpoints-of-percutaneous-coronary-intervention(1)Optimising physiological-endpoints-of-percutaneous-coronary-intervention(1)
Optimising physiological-endpoints-of-percutaneous-coronary-intervention(1)
 
Principles of preoperative and operative surgery
Principles of preoperative and operative surgeryPrinciples of preoperative and operative surgery
Principles of preoperative and operative surgery
 
23
2323
23
 
Management of-pulmonary-embolism--a 2016-journal-of-the-american-college-of-
Management of-pulmonary-embolism--a 2016-journal-of-the-american-college-of-Management of-pulmonary-embolism--a 2016-journal-of-the-american-college-of-
Management of-pulmonary-embolism--a 2016-journal-of-the-american-college-of-
 
Journal Reading 2.pptx
Journal Reading 2.pptxJournal Reading 2.pptx
Journal Reading 2.pptx
 
Acute Critical Care Research: Massey Family Foundation Emergency Critical Car...
Acute Critical Care Research: Massey Family Foundation Emergency Critical Car...Acute Critical Care Research: Massey Family Foundation Emergency Critical Car...
Acute Critical Care Research: Massey Family Foundation Emergency Critical Car...
 
DU PERF SCORING
DU PERF SCORINGDU PERF SCORING
DU PERF SCORING
 
ScHARR, ISPOR Presentation, Madrid, November, 2011
ScHARR, ISPOR Presentation, Madrid, November, 2011ScHARR, ISPOR Presentation, Madrid, November, 2011
ScHARR, ISPOR Presentation, Madrid, November, 2011
 
20150300.0 00007
20150300.0 0000720150300.0 00007
20150300.0 00007
 
Acute Ischemic Stroke (AIS) Trial Considerations / Challenges
Acute Ischemic Stroke (AIS) Trial Considerations / ChallengesAcute Ischemic Stroke (AIS) Trial Considerations / Challenges
Acute Ischemic Stroke (AIS) Trial Considerations / Challenges
 
Estudio Xatoa
Estudio Xatoa Estudio Xatoa
Estudio Xatoa
 
14 ijcse-01234
14 ijcse-0123414 ijcse-01234
14 ijcse-01234
 
publishedpaper2011
publishedpaper2011publishedpaper2011
publishedpaper2011
 
Tratamiento del choque septico
Tratamiento del choque septicoTratamiento del choque septico
Tratamiento del choque septico
 
International Journal of Clinical Cardiology & Research
International Journal of Clinical Cardiology & ResearchInternational Journal of Clinical Cardiology & Research
International Journal of Clinical Cardiology & Research
 
Leads free trial)
Leads free trial)Leads free trial)
Leads free trial)
 
Resuscitation from Severe Sepsis: do we need care bundles?
Resuscitation from Severe Sepsis: do we need care bundles?Resuscitation from Severe Sepsis: do we need care bundles?
Resuscitation from Severe Sepsis: do we need care bundles?
 

More from MedicinaIngles

Cor pulmonare algorithm
Cor pulmonare algorithmCor pulmonare algorithm
Cor pulmonare algorithmMedicinaIngles
 
Irritable bowel syndrome
Irritable bowel syndromeIrritable bowel syndrome
Irritable bowel syndromeMedicinaIngles
 
Intestinal inflammatory disease
Intestinal inflammatory diseaseIntestinal inflammatory disease
Intestinal inflammatory diseaseMedicinaIngles
 
Infection by helicobacter pylori
Infection by helicobacter pyloriInfection by helicobacter pylori
Infection by helicobacter pyloriMedicinaIngles
 
Gastroduodenal tumors
Gastroduodenal tumorsGastroduodenal tumors
Gastroduodenal tumorsMedicinaIngles
 
Esophageal motor disorders
Esophageal motor disordersEsophageal motor disorders
Esophageal motor disordersMedicinaIngles
 
Disease of the rectum and anus
Disease of the rectum and anusDisease of the rectum and anus
Disease of the rectum and anusMedicinaIngles
 
Disease of the mouth cavity
Disease of the mouth cavityDisease of the mouth cavity
Disease of the mouth cavityMedicinaIngles
 
Digestive hemorrhage
Digestive hemorrhageDigestive hemorrhage
Digestive hemorrhageMedicinaIngles
 
Pulmonary tuberculosis
Pulmonary tuberculosisPulmonary tuberculosis
Pulmonary tuberculosisMedicinaIngles
 
Pulmonary tromboembolia
Pulmonary tromboemboliaPulmonary tromboembolia
Pulmonary tromboemboliaMedicinaIngles
 

More from MedicinaIngles (20)

Cor pulmonare algorithm
Cor pulmonare algorithmCor pulmonare algorithm
Cor pulmonare algorithm
 
Peptic ulcer
Peptic ulcerPeptic ulcer
Peptic ulcer
 
Pancreatitis
PancreatitisPancreatitis
Pancreatitis
 
Irritable bowel syndrome
Irritable bowel syndromeIrritable bowel syndrome
Irritable bowel syndrome
 
Intestinal inflammatory disease
Intestinal inflammatory diseaseIntestinal inflammatory disease
Intestinal inflammatory disease
 
Infection by helicobacter pylori
Infection by helicobacter pyloriInfection by helicobacter pylori
Infection by helicobacter pylori
 
Gerd
GerdGerd
Gerd
 
Gastroenteritis
GastroenteritisGastroenteritis
Gastroenteritis
 
Gastroduodenal tumors
Gastroduodenal tumorsGastroduodenal tumors
Gastroduodenal tumors
 
Gastritis
GastritisGastritis
Gastritis
 
Esophageal motor disorders
Esophageal motor disordersEsophageal motor disorders
Esophageal motor disorders
 
Dyspepsia
DyspepsiaDyspepsia
Dyspepsia
 
Disease of the rectum and anus
Disease of the rectum and anusDisease of the rectum and anus
Disease of the rectum and anus
 
Disease of the mouth cavity
Disease of the mouth cavityDisease of the mouth cavity
Disease of the mouth cavity
 
Digestive hemorrhage
Digestive hemorrhageDigestive hemorrhage
Digestive hemorrhage
 
Diarrhea
DiarrheaDiarrhea
Diarrhea
 
Constipation
ConstipationConstipation
Constipation
 
Sleep apnea
Sleep apneaSleep apnea
Sleep apnea
 
Pulmonary tuberculosis
Pulmonary tuberculosisPulmonary tuberculosis
Pulmonary tuberculosis
 
Pulmonary tromboembolia
Pulmonary tromboemboliaPulmonary tromboembolia
Pulmonary tromboembolia
 

Recently uploaded

What are the advantages and disadvantages of membrane structures.pptx
What are the advantages and disadvantages of membrane structures.pptxWhat are the advantages and disadvantages of membrane structures.pptx
What are the advantages and disadvantages of membrane structures.pptxwendy cai
 
Sachpazis Costas: Geotechnical Engineering: A student's Perspective Introduction
Sachpazis Costas: Geotechnical Engineering: A student's Perspective IntroductionSachpazis Costas: Geotechnical Engineering: A student's Perspective Introduction
Sachpazis Costas: Geotechnical Engineering: A student's Perspective IntroductionDr.Costas Sachpazis
 
🔝9953056974🔝!!-YOUNG call girls in Rajendra Nagar Escort rvice Shot 2000 nigh...
🔝9953056974🔝!!-YOUNG call girls in Rajendra Nagar Escort rvice Shot 2000 nigh...🔝9953056974🔝!!-YOUNG call girls in Rajendra Nagar Escort rvice Shot 2000 nigh...
🔝9953056974🔝!!-YOUNG call girls in Rajendra Nagar Escort rvice Shot 2000 nigh...9953056974 Low Rate Call Girls In Saket, Delhi NCR
 
DATA ANALYTICS PPT definition usage example
DATA ANALYTICS PPT definition usage exampleDATA ANALYTICS PPT definition usage example
DATA ANALYTICS PPT definition usage examplePragyanshuParadkar1
 
CCS355 Neural Networks & Deep Learning Unit 1 PDF notes with Question bank .pdf
CCS355 Neural Networks & Deep Learning Unit 1 PDF notes with Question bank .pdfCCS355 Neural Networks & Deep Learning Unit 1 PDF notes with Question bank .pdf
CCS355 Neural Networks & Deep Learning Unit 1 PDF notes with Question bank .pdfAsst.prof M.Gokilavani
 
Study on Air-Water & Water-Water Heat Exchange in a Finned ï»żTube Exchanger
Study on Air-Water & Water-Water Heat Exchange in a Finned ï»żTube ExchangerStudy on Air-Water & Water-Water Heat Exchange in a Finned ï»żTube Exchanger
Study on Air-Water & Water-Water Heat Exchange in a Finned ï»żTube ExchangerAnamika Sarkar
 
Concrete Mix Design - IS 10262-2019 - .pptx
Concrete Mix Design - IS 10262-2019 - .pptxConcrete Mix Design - IS 10262-2019 - .pptx
Concrete Mix Design - IS 10262-2019 - .pptxKartikeyaDwivedi3
 
CCS355 Neural Network & Deep Learning Unit II Notes with Question bank .pdf
CCS355 Neural Network & Deep Learning Unit II Notes with Question bank .pdfCCS355 Neural Network & Deep Learning Unit II Notes with Question bank .pdf
CCS355 Neural Network & Deep Learning Unit II Notes with Question bank .pdfAsst.prof M.Gokilavani
 
Risk Assessment For Installation of Drainage Pipes.pdf
Risk Assessment For Installation of Drainage Pipes.pdfRisk Assessment For Installation of Drainage Pipes.pdf
Risk Assessment For Installation of Drainage Pipes.pdfROCENODodongVILLACER
 
Introduction-To-Agricultural-Surveillance-Rover.pptx
Introduction-To-Agricultural-Surveillance-Rover.pptxIntroduction-To-Agricultural-Surveillance-Rover.pptx
Introduction-To-Agricultural-Surveillance-Rover.pptxk795866
 
VICTOR MAESTRE RAMIREZ - Planetary Defender on NASA's Double Asteroid Redirec...
VICTOR MAESTRE RAMIREZ - Planetary Defender on NASA's Double Asteroid Redirec...VICTOR MAESTRE RAMIREZ - Planetary Defender on NASA's Double Asteroid Redirec...
VICTOR MAESTRE RAMIREZ - Planetary Defender on NASA's Double Asteroid Redirec...VICTOR MAESTRE RAMIREZ
 
Past, Present and Future of Generative AI
Past, Present and Future of Generative AIPast, Present and Future of Generative AI
Past, Present and Future of Generative AIabhishek36461
 
GDSC ASEB Gen AI study jams presentation
GDSC ASEB Gen AI study jams presentationGDSC ASEB Gen AI study jams presentation
GDSC ASEB Gen AI study jams presentationGDSCAESB
 
Architect Hassan Khalil Portfolio for 2024
Architect Hassan Khalil Portfolio for 2024Architect Hassan Khalil Portfolio for 2024
Architect Hassan Khalil Portfolio for 2024hassan khalil
 
Arduino_CSE ece ppt for working and principal of arduino.ppt
Arduino_CSE ece ppt for working and principal of arduino.pptArduino_CSE ece ppt for working and principal of arduino.ppt
Arduino_CSE ece ppt for working and principal of arduino.pptSAURABHKUMAR892774
 
Software and Systems Engineering Standards: Verification and Validation of Sy...
Software and Systems Engineering Standards: Verification and Validation of Sy...Software and Systems Engineering Standards: Verification and Validation of Sy...
Software and Systems Engineering Standards: Verification and Validation of Sy...VICTOR MAESTRE RAMIREZ
 
Decoding Kotlin - Your guide to solving the mysterious in Kotlin.pptx
Decoding Kotlin - Your guide to solving the mysterious in Kotlin.pptxDecoding Kotlin - Your guide to solving the mysterious in Kotlin.pptx
Decoding Kotlin - Your guide to solving the mysterious in Kotlin.pptxJoĂŁo Esperancinha
 

Recently uploaded (20)

What are the advantages and disadvantages of membrane structures.pptx
What are the advantages and disadvantages of membrane structures.pptxWhat are the advantages and disadvantages of membrane structures.pptx
What are the advantages and disadvantages of membrane structures.pptx
 
9953056974 Call Girls In South Ex, Escorts (Delhi) NCR.pdf
9953056974 Call Girls In South Ex, Escorts (Delhi) NCR.pdf9953056974 Call Girls In South Ex, Escorts (Delhi) NCR.pdf
9953056974 Call Girls In South Ex, Escorts (Delhi) NCR.pdf
 
Sachpazis Costas: Geotechnical Engineering: A student's Perspective Introduction
Sachpazis Costas: Geotechnical Engineering: A student's Perspective IntroductionSachpazis Costas: Geotechnical Engineering: A student's Perspective Introduction
Sachpazis Costas: Geotechnical Engineering: A student's Perspective Introduction
 
🔝9953056974🔝!!-YOUNG call girls in Rajendra Nagar Escort rvice Shot 2000 nigh...
🔝9953056974🔝!!-YOUNG call girls in Rajendra Nagar Escort rvice Shot 2000 nigh...🔝9953056974🔝!!-YOUNG call girls in Rajendra Nagar Escort rvice Shot 2000 nigh...
🔝9953056974🔝!!-YOUNG call girls in Rajendra Nagar Escort rvice Shot 2000 nigh...
 
DATA ANALYTICS PPT definition usage example
DATA ANALYTICS PPT definition usage exampleDATA ANALYTICS PPT definition usage example
DATA ANALYTICS PPT definition usage example
 
CCS355 Neural Networks & Deep Learning Unit 1 PDF notes with Question bank .pdf
CCS355 Neural Networks & Deep Learning Unit 1 PDF notes with Question bank .pdfCCS355 Neural Networks & Deep Learning Unit 1 PDF notes with Question bank .pdf
CCS355 Neural Networks & Deep Learning Unit 1 PDF notes with Question bank .pdf
 
Study on Air-Water & Water-Water Heat Exchange in a Finned ï»żTube Exchanger
Study on Air-Water & Water-Water Heat Exchange in a Finned ï»żTube ExchangerStudy on Air-Water & Water-Water Heat Exchange in a Finned ï»żTube Exchanger
Study on Air-Water & Water-Water Heat Exchange in a Finned ï»żTube Exchanger
 
Concrete Mix Design - IS 10262-2019 - .pptx
Concrete Mix Design - IS 10262-2019 - .pptxConcrete Mix Design - IS 10262-2019 - .pptx
Concrete Mix Design - IS 10262-2019 - .pptx
 
CCS355 Neural Network & Deep Learning Unit II Notes with Question bank .pdf
CCS355 Neural Network & Deep Learning Unit II Notes with Question bank .pdfCCS355 Neural Network & Deep Learning Unit II Notes with Question bank .pdf
CCS355 Neural Network & Deep Learning Unit II Notes with Question bank .pdf
 
Risk Assessment For Installation of Drainage Pipes.pdf
Risk Assessment For Installation of Drainage Pipes.pdfRisk Assessment For Installation of Drainage Pipes.pdf
Risk Assessment For Installation of Drainage Pipes.pdf
 
Introduction-To-Agricultural-Surveillance-Rover.pptx
Introduction-To-Agricultural-Surveillance-Rover.pptxIntroduction-To-Agricultural-Surveillance-Rover.pptx
Introduction-To-Agricultural-Surveillance-Rover.pptx
 
POWER SYSTEMS-1 Complete notes examples
POWER SYSTEMS-1 Complete notes  examplesPOWER SYSTEMS-1 Complete notes  examples
POWER SYSTEMS-1 Complete notes examples
 
VICTOR MAESTRE RAMIREZ - Planetary Defender on NASA's Double Asteroid Redirec...
VICTOR MAESTRE RAMIREZ - Planetary Defender on NASA's Double Asteroid Redirec...VICTOR MAESTRE RAMIREZ - Planetary Defender on NASA's Double Asteroid Redirec...
VICTOR MAESTRE RAMIREZ - Planetary Defender on NASA's Double Asteroid Redirec...
 
Past, Present and Future of Generative AI
Past, Present and Future of Generative AIPast, Present and Future of Generative AI
Past, Present and Future of Generative AI
 
GDSC ASEB Gen AI study jams presentation
GDSC ASEB Gen AI study jams presentationGDSC ASEB Gen AI study jams presentation
GDSC ASEB Gen AI study jams presentation
 
Architect Hassan Khalil Portfolio for 2024
Architect Hassan Khalil Portfolio for 2024Architect Hassan Khalil Portfolio for 2024
Architect Hassan Khalil Portfolio for 2024
 
Arduino_CSE ece ppt for working and principal of arduino.ppt
Arduino_CSE ece ppt for working and principal of arduino.pptArduino_CSE ece ppt for working and principal of arduino.ppt
Arduino_CSE ece ppt for working and principal of arduino.ppt
 
Software and Systems Engineering Standards: Verification and Validation of Sy...
Software and Systems Engineering Standards: Verification and Validation of Sy...Software and Systems Engineering Standards: Verification and Validation of Sy...
Software and Systems Engineering Standards: Verification and Validation of Sy...
 
Decoding Kotlin - Your guide to solving the mysterious in Kotlin.pptx
Decoding Kotlin - Your guide to solving the mysterious in Kotlin.pptxDecoding Kotlin - Your guide to solving the mysterious in Kotlin.pptx
Decoding Kotlin - Your guide to solving the mysterious in Kotlin.pptx
 
Exploring_Network_Security_with_JA3_by_Rakesh Seal.pptx
Exploring_Network_Security_with_JA3_by_Rakesh Seal.pptxExploring_Network_Security_with_JA3_by_Rakesh Seal.pptx
Exploring_Network_Security_with_JA3_by_Rakesh Seal.pptx
 

Cardiogenic shock

  • 1. 1Quayyum Z, et al. BMJ Open 2017;7:e014849. doi:10.1136/bmjopen-2016-014849 Open Access Abstract Introduction  Emergency percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) of the culprit lesion for patients with acute myocardial infarctions is an accepted practice. A majority of patients present with multivessel disease with additional relevant stenoses apart from the culprit lesion. In haemodynamically stable patients, there is increasing evidence from randomised trials to support the practice of immediate complete revascularisation. However, in the presence of cardiogenic shock, the optimal management strategy for additional non-culprit lesions is unknown. A multicentre randomised controlled trial, CULPRIT-SHOCK, is examining whether culprit vessel only PCI with potentially subsequent staged revascularisation is more effective than immediate multivessel PCI. This paper describes the intended economic evaluation of the trial. Methods and analysis  The economic evaluation will be conducted using a pre-trial decision model and within- trial analysis. The modelling-based analysis will provide expected costs and health outcomes, and incremental cost-effectiveness ratio over the lifetime for the cohort of patients included in the trial. The within-trial analysis will provide estimates of cost per life saved at 30 days and in 1 year, and estimates of health-related quality of life. Bootstrapping and cost-effectiveness acceptability curves will be used to address any uncertainty around these estimates. Different types of regression models within a generalised estimating equation framework will be used to examine how the total cost and quality-adjusted life years are explained by patients’ characteristics, revascularisation strategy, country and centre. The cost-effectiveness analysis will be from the perspective of each country’s national health services, where costs will be expressed in euros adjusted for purchasing power parity. Ethics and dissemination  Ethical approval for the study was granted by the local Ethics Committee at each recruiting centre. The economic evaluation analyses will be published in peer-reviewed journals of the concerned literature and communicated through the profiles of the authors at www.​twitter.​com and www.​researchgate.​net. Trial registration number  NCT01927549; Pre-results. Background Among all the patients admitted to hospi- tals in Europe with acute myocardial infarction (AMI),1 about 7%–8% develop cardiogenic shock and most of these patients (about 70%–80%) have multivessel coro- nary artery disease.2–4 In these patients, early mechanical reperfusion of the culprit lesion by percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) is considered to be the most effec- tive and important therapeutic measure. Protocol for an economic evaluation of the randomised controlled trial of culprit lesion only PCI versus immediate multivessel PCI in acute myocardial infarction complicated by cardiogenic shock: CULPRIT- SHOCK trial Zahidul Quayyum,1,2 Andrew Briggs,1 Jose Robles-Zurita,1 Keith Oldroyd,3 Uwe Zeymer,4 Steffen Desch,5 Suzanne de Waha,5 Holger Thiele6 To cite: Quayyum Z, Briggs A, Robles-Zurita J, et al. Protocol for an economic evaluation of the randomised controlled trial of culprit lesion only PCI versus immediate multivessel PCI in acute myocardial infarction complicated by cardiogenic shock: CULPRIT- SHOCK trial. BMJ Open 2017;7:e014849. doi:10.1136/ bmjopen-2016-014849 â–șâ–ș Prepublication history and additional material for this paper are available online. To view these files, please visit the journal online (http://​dx.​doi.​ org/​10.​1136/​bmjopen-​2016-​ 014849). Received 21 October 2016 Revised 26 May 2017 Accepted 8 June 2017 For numbered affiliations see end of article. Correspondence to Dr Jose Robles-Zurita; ​JoseAntonio.​Robles-​Zurita@​ glasgow.​ac.​uk Protocol Strengths and limitations of this study â–șâ–ș First economic evaluation of culprit only percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) compared with immediate multivessel PCI within a trial with patients in cardiogenic shock. â–șâ–ș The economic evaluation within the pragmatic multicountry trial design will enrich the external validity of results. â–șâ–ș The methodological approach of a ‘fully pooled with multicountry costing’ will address heterogeneity in costs of resource use and drug prices across trial participating countries. â–șâ–ș A pre-trial model is considered to extrapolate within- trial results in the long term for a lifetime economic evaluation. â–șâ–ș Data completeness and plausibility checks are instituted in the electronic case report form to ensure robust and complete data collection.
  • 2. 2 Quayyum Z, et al. BMJ Open 2017;7:e014849. doi:10.1136/bmjopen-2016-014849 Open Access However, even with advanced haemodynamic support, the mortality rate remains as high as 40%–70%.2–7 Imme- diate multivessel PCI may prevent potentially recurrent ischaemic cardiac events and improve outcomes but may also be associated with a higher risk of serious adverse events including iatrogenic myocardial infarction, contrast-induced nephropathy and an increased need for subsequent revascularisation procedures due to rest- enosis.8 There are uncertainties and differences regarding patient management. Current guideline recommen- dations in Europe suggest that primary PCI should be restricted to the culprit vessel with exception of cardio- genic shock and continuing ischaemia after PCI of the culprit lesion,8–10 while there are no specific recommen- dations by the American Heart Association/American College of Cardiology.1 8 Given the lack of randomised clinical trial data, a collab- orative consortium of European partners (in Austria, France, Germany, Italy, Lithuania, The Netherlands, Poland, Slovenia, Belgium, Switzerland and UK) has been formed to conduct a large-scale prospective randomised, controlled, international multicentre trial.8 The trial is an attempt to determine the optimal percutaneous revascu- larisation strategy in patients with AMI and multivessel disease complicated by cardiogenic shock (see ref. 8 for further detail on trial design). The decision problems that the trial attempts to address are: â–șâ–ș Whether performing immediate culprit vessel only PCI with potential subsequent staged revascularisa- tion reduces the incidence of the combined endpoint of 30-day mortality and severe renal failure (requiring renal replacement therapy) compared with immedi- ate multivessel percutaneous revascularisation. â–șâ–ș Whether immediate culprit vessel only PCI improves quality of life compared with immediate multivessel percutaneous revascularisation. â–șâ–ș Whether culprit vessel only PCI with potential subse- quent staged revascularisation is cost-effective com- pared with immediate multivessel revascularisation. This study protocol addresses the third decision problem. The need for a cost-effectiveness analysis (CEA) relies on the fact that we could expect culprit vessel revascularisation to be a safer strategy for patients with cardiogenic shock and, at the same time, there are reasons to anticipate higher costs due to the need for subsequent staged revascularisation and different resources like mechanical support devices. Methods Population, setting and location, and comparators The details of the methods and design of the trial have been published previously in a separate manuscript.8 The CULPRIT-SHOCK study is a prospective, randomised, open-label trial in patients with multivessel coronary artery disease and AMI including both ST-elevation and non-ST-elevation myocardial infarction complicated by cardiogenic shock. The trial will recruit 706 patients with AMI with cardiogenic shock and multivessel disease, half of this population will be receiving culprit vessel only PCI with potentially subsequent staged revascularisation and the rest will receive immediate multivessel revascu- larisation by PCI. This international trial is conducted in approximately 100 centres of the 11 participating coun- tries.8 Type of economic evaluation The economic evaluation will be composed of both CEA and cost-utility analysis (CUA). The CEA will use the outcome measures of 30-day mortality and renal failure. Quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) will be used for the CUA. Time horizon The CEA will rely on the information collected during the first 30-day period after revascularisation. On the contrary, two different CUAs will be considered: a with- in-trial economic evaluation using information collected during a 1-year follow-up period and economic evalua- tion based on a long-term model. Study perspective The economic evaluation will have health systems and societal perspectives. Initially, the costs for each type of revascularisation strategies will be derived from Germa- ny’s national health service perspective. In addition, the perspective of each country’s national health service will also be considered. Discount rate The base case analysis rate that will be used for discounting future costs and effects will be 3% in accordance with the Institute for Quality and Efficiency in Health Care guideline.11 The discounting rate will be adapted to suit different payers’ perspectives in the 11 trial participating countries. Identification, measurements and valuation of outcomes The health outcome measures that will be used for the economic evaluation and endpoints of the data collection are presented in table 1. The EuroQol five-dimensions (EQ-5D) three-level12 will be used to assess the quality of life for each patient. EQ-5D data will be collected at 1 month post procedure (follow-up on 30 days), 6 and 12 months after randomisa- tion. The utility weights for each health states at different periods will be obtained by using the EQ-5D index tariff developed for the German population. Mean differences in EQ-5D between the groups will be estimated and will be presented with statistical tests of significance for the different follow-up periods. Country-specific tariffs will also be analysed. The probable imbalances in baseline utility will be adjusted to estimate differential mean QALYs as suggested by Manca et al.13
  • 3. 3Quayyum Z, et al. BMJ Open 2017;7:e014849. doi:10.1136/bmjopen-2016-014849 Open Access Table 1  The outcome measures and means of data collection Outcome measures Means of data collection Time of collection Mortality eCRF 30 days after randomisation, 6 and 12 months follow-up Severe renal failure* eCRF 30 days after randomisation, 6 and 12 months follow-up Heart failure* eCRF 30 days after randomisation, 6 and 12 months follow-up MACE† eCRF 30 days after randomisation, 6 and 12 months follow-up Quality of life eCRF 30 days after randomisation, 6 and 12 months follow-up *Heart and renal failure are health conditions for which specific long-term treatment is needed. †Major advanced cardiac events (myocardial infarction, non-fatal stroke and need for repeat revascularisation). eCRF, electronic case report form; MACE, major advanced cardiac events. Identification, measurement and valuation of resource use The primary objective of the cost analysis will be identifying, quantifying and valuing resources use accom- panying the revascularisation strategies. The registry data on patients not randomised for the trial but collected within the project will also be used for supplementary information on resources use. The costs will be classified into the following major groups: Intervention costs Themainitemsoftheinterventioncosts(CInt)willinclude the resource use for index revascularisation procedure (PCI) and repeat/staged revascularisation procedure (PCI or coronary artery bypass surgery (CABG)). The resource use for investigations (eg, non-invasive evalua- tion for residual myocardial ischaemia at 1–4 weeks post index PCI of the culprit lesion such as nuclear perfusion scintigraphy, stress echocardiography or stress MRI) and other procedures (angiography, stenting, internal cardio- verter defibrillator implants, extracorporeal membrane oxygenation, intra-aortic balloon pump, left ventric- ular assist devices, heart transplantation), treatments of renal failure, heart failure and major advanced cardiac events (MACE) will constitute the cost of health services use (CHServ). The electronic case report forms (eCRFs) are used for collecting all the above mentioned resources. Cost of medication Information on use of medications during the trial period is collected in eCRF to estimate the cost of medication (CMed). Loss of productivity Data on loss of days of work are collected using the eCRF. The cost of productivity loss (CostLp) for trial patients will be calculated using a human capital approach. Table 2 presents the resources items, data collection and source of unit cost. The costs will be converted into base year 2014 and will then be converted into euros using consumer price index and purchasing power parity conversion rates, respectively, provided by the Organisa- tion for Economic Co-operation and Development. The total cost (CTot) for each strategy will be given by the next equation: CTot = CInt + CHServ + CMed + CostLp. The within-trial analyses of this multinational economic evaluation will employ a ‘multicountry costing’; that is, the source of clinical effectiveness and resource use data will be pooled, combined with country-specific unit costs.14 This will be contrasted with a ‘single-country’ approach of applying a single country’s unit costs to the whole trial dataset.15 Modelling A pre-trial decision model will be used for the long-term analysis. Initially, the modelling exercise for the economic eval- uation will be from Germany perspective and will be later adapted for the rest of the trial participating countries keeping the basic structure unchanged. The population that will be considered in the model is similar to the patients included in the trial. The model is presented in schematic diagrams in figures 1 and 2. The figures show the stages or pathways of the patients. First stage (figure 1—initial procedure decision) is where the patients are provided with the revascularisation treat- ments. At this stage, the model will be based on a decision tree for the first year after randomisation. Assuming that the diagnostic angiography can correctly identify culprit lesions, the two options of treatment that are available for the patients are (1) immediate multivessel revascularisa- tion of all vessels by PCI or (2) revascularisation by PCI of culprit lesion only and potentially staged revascularisa- tion (either by PCI or CABG). The patients after the index revascularisation and the planned staged revascularisation can die or can be alive with initial success of the treatment. Within 30 days, patients can survive with index revascularisation or can die. It is assumed that those who survive can either remain stable and alive or (1) can have renal failure or (2) can suffer from MACE (viz. ie, myocardial infarction/repeat infarction, stroke and revascularisation) or (3) have heart failure or (4) die due to cardiac events or other causes. Patients who survive initially from all these health states will move to the next stage shown in figure 2. The next stage of the model (figure 2), a Markov model, shows the different health states for the patients for their lifetime period. It is assumed that the patients can move to one of the five different health states (similar to what is noted in figure 1). A patient who is alive and stable after
  • 4. 4 Quayyum Z, et al. BMJ Open 2017;7:e014849. doi:10.1136/bmjopen-2016-014849 Open Access Table 2  The resource use, cost measures and means of data collections in Germany Resources use and costs measures Means for data collection Time of collection Source of data for unit cost Intervention  Multivessel revascularisation eCRF Baseline, 30 days, 6 and 12 months InEK  Culprit vessel revascularisation eCRF Baseline, 30 days, 6 and 12 months InEK  Repeat revascularisation eCRF Baseline, 30 days, 6 and 12 months InEK Health services use  Investigations eCRF Baseline, 30 days, 6 and 12 months InEK  Other procedures   Angiography eCRF Baseline, 30 days, 6 and 12 months InEK   Stenting eCRF Baseline, 30 days, 6 and 12 months InEK   ICD implant eCRF Baseline, 30 days, 6 and 12 months InEK   ECMO eCRF Baseline, 30 days, 6 and 12 months InEK   IABP eCRF Baseline, 30 days, 6 and 12 months InEK   LVAD eCRF Baseline, 30 days, 6 and 12 months InEK   Heart transplant eCRF Baseline, 30 days, 6 and 12 months InEK  Treatment for   MACE eCRF Baseline, 30 days, 6 and 12 months InEK   Renal failure eCRF Baseline, 30 days, 6 and 12 months InEK   Heart failure eCRF Baseline, 30 days, 6 and 12 months InEK   Stroke eCRF Baseline, 30 days, 6 and 12 months InEK  Medication eCRF Baseline, 30 days, 6 and 12 months InEK Loss of Productivity eCRF 6 and 12 months follow-up Destatis Destatis, Federal Statistical Office; ECMO, extracorporeal membrane oxygenation; eCRF, electronic case report form; InEK, Institute for the Hospital Remuneration System; IABP, intra-aortic balloon pump; ICD, internal cardioverter defibrillator; LVAD, left ventricular assist device; MACE, major advanced cardiac events. 1 year may suffer MACE and go back to alive and stable health state. It is also assumed that patients after having heart or renal failure can suffer from MACE and can go back and remain stable with the condition. Only the patients who remain alive and stable are assumed to transit to health states of renal or heart failure but the opposite pathway is not permitted. Finally, patients can also end up at absorbing health state death from all those health states. Model parameters The Markov model will be populated with transition probabilities and with cost and utility data conditional on health status. For the Markov stage, the transitions to different health states will be conditional on previous health state and on the type of revascularisation. The cycle length will be assumed to be 1 month. It is expected that there will be utility decrements accompanying renal failure, the possible adverse cardiac events and hence loss of QALYs. Values of the effectiveness parameters, transition probability of moving from health states and utilities will be based on the review of selected studies on clinical effectiveness and economic evaluations studies, previous reviews and expert advice from clinicians from trial participating countries. The model’s parameters are listed in online supplementary annex 1. Statistical analyses of the trial data and registry data will provide more information that will enable us to have robust values for the pre-trial model parameters. With the survival analysis using trial data, the survival probability will be calculated to populate the model with revised transition probability to deaths that can be attributed to clinical conditions and MACE. The validation of model will be conducted by looking at the internal and external validity.16 Analysis Within-trial analysis Statistical analyses and CEAs will be carried out using trial data where information on a range of resource use and outcome measures are collected at the patient level across the trial participating countries. The basis of analysis will be intention to treat. Handling missing data Cost data are characterised by severe skewness in their probability distribution17 18 and it may be the case
  • 5. 5Quayyum Z, et al. BMJ Open 2017;7:e014849. doi:10.1136/bmjopen-2016-014849 Open Access Figure 1  Post index revascularisation, from 30 days to 1 year. AMI, acute myocardial infarction; MACE, major advanced cardiac events. that a few patients may have very high resource use and hence high cost, and a large number of patients may have low cost. There may be incomplete data and cost data can be missing at individual item level. Appropriate methods will be used to treat missing information. Multiple imputation method has been widely recommended by experts and by ISPOR17 19–21 as this method helps to reveal the uncertainty that occurs where the missing data are replaced in the imputation process.19 A descriptive analysis will be undertaken to check the nature of missing data before such method is used. As suggested by Faria et al,22 a sensitivity analysis will be conducted to examine the impact of alternative assumptions about the mechanism of missing data. Base case analysis and regression Baseline characteristics of the patients in the two different intervention groups will be summarised. Differences in resource use and costs between the two groups will be tested using two-sample t-tests (or non-parametric equivalents) and Χ2 tests for contin- uous and categorical variables, respectively. The mean costs of resource use in each arm of the care interven- tion and the differences in costs between the two arms will be calculated with 95% CIs. Similarly, the mean QALY score for each group will be estimated. Regression analyses will be conducted to examine how the total cost and health outcomes may be explained by the patient characteristics, interven- tion type, country and centres. Different types of models will be explored within generalised estimating equation framework that can take into account the clustering of the data within the countries. CEA with trial data CEA will be presented as incremental cost per 30-day mortality averted and incremental cost per QALY gained. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) will be calculated as: ICER = Costco−Costmv QALYco−QALYmv where Costco is the total cost of treating the patients by revascularisation of the culprit vessel only and Costmv is the total cost of treating the patients by immediate multivessel revascularisation. QALYco is total QALYs for the patients having culprit vessel revascularisation only and QALYmv is total QALYs for the patients having immediate multivessel revascularisation. Subgroup analyses for gender, age groups (50 years, 50–75 years, 75 years) and patients with diabetes will be considered to address the issue of underlying heteroge- neity.23 24 The results of the cost-effectiveness including the subgroup and sensitivity analyses will be presented both in terms of point estimates and cost-effectiveness planes, and cost-effectiveness acceptability curves (CEACs).25 Thetworevascularisationstrategieswillbealsocompared on the basis of incremental net monetary benefits. The net monetary benefit of revascularisation multivessel (strategy 1) or revascularisation of culprit vessel only (strategy 2) will be calculated as: the mean QALYs (qi) multiplied by the acceptable threshold values for a QALY
  • 6. 6 Quayyum Z, et al. BMJ Open 2017;7:e014849. doi:10.1136/bmjopen-2016-014849 Open Access Figure 2  Post 1 year and end of life—Markov model. MACE, major advanced cardiac events. (λ), minus the mean cost of implementing the strategy.1 This can be given as: NMBi = λqi − ci, where i = strategy 1 or strategy 2. The threshold value (λ) should be interpreted as the monetary value of a QALY. Different values will be used for different countries assuming that this parameter will be different or may be unknown. The effectiveness measure and CEA in the model-based analysis The effectiveness measure for economic outcomes in our model-based analysis will be QALYs. Model results will provide estimates for the ICER considering long-term health outcomes and costs. The results of the economic evaluation including the subgroup and sensitivity analyses will be presented in terms of point estimates, cost-effectiveness planes and CEACs.25 Handling uncertainty To present, the robustness of our estimation of cost-effec- tiveness non-parametric bootstrapping techniques will be used.26  CEACs will illustrate the uncertainty surrounding the estimate of cost-effectiveness.25 This curve will show us the probability of culprit only revascularisation strategy to be cost-effective compared with the immediate multivessel revascularisation strategy for a range of monetary values of a QALY. Both probabilistic and deterministic sensitivity analyses will be used to explore statistical and other forms of uncertainty arising from the imprecision with which model parameters are estimated. Value of information Value of information analysis will also be conducted. Such analysis will help to determine whether additional research will be required to inform the future decision27 about immediate revascularisation in case of acute AMI with multivessel diseases and complicated by cardiogenic shock. Ethics and dissemination Ethical approval for the study was granted by the local Ethics Committee at each recruiting centre. Ethical approvals by the lead ethical committees for each country are: (a) Germany, Ethical Committee at the University of Luebeck: reference number 13-142; (b) Netherlands, Medisch Ethische Toetsingscommissie (Academisch Medisch Centrum, University of Amsterdam): refer- ence number E2-170; (c) Austria, Magistratsabteilung 15-Gesundheitsdienst der Stadt Wien: reference number EK-13-241-0214; (d) Lithuania, Lietuvos Bioetikos Komitetas: reference numbers L-14-01/1 and L-14-01/2; (e) France, ComitĂ© de Protection des Personnes, Ile de France 1: reference number 2014-janvier.-13464; (f) Poland, Klinika Intensywnej Terapii Kardiologicznej: reference number IK-NP-0021-97/1408/13; (g) Slovenia, Komisija Republike Slovenije za medicinsko etiko: refer- ence numbers 63/12/13 and 60/09/14; (h) Switzerland, Kantonale Ethikkommission Bern (KEK): reference number 041/14; (i) Italy, Comitato Etico Provinciale di Reggio Emilia: reference number 2013/0029992; (j) Belgium, Universiteit Antwerpen (Ethics Committee): reference number 15/11/116; (k) UK, National Health Service (NHS) (Scotland Research Ethics Committee): reference number 14/YH/0116; and (l) Scotland, NHS (Scotland rEsearch Ethics Committee): reference number 14/SS/0072. The economic evaluation analyses will be published in peer-reviewed journals of the concerned literature and communicated through the profiles of the authors at www.​twitter.​com and www.​researchgate.​net.
  • 7. 7Quayyum Z, et al. BMJ Open 2017;7:e014849. doi:10.1136/bmjopen-2016-014849 Open Access Discussion This will be the first economic evaluation where effec- tiveness of culprit only PCI with potential staged revascularisation will be tested against immediate multivessel PCI within a trial. A pre-trial decision model will provide estimates of incremental cost per QALY generated by culprit vessel revascularisation over the prac- tice of all vessel revascularisation. According to a previous analysis performed by us, based on a simulation of this model populated with parameters from the literature, an ICER of about ÂŁ2000/QALY is expected. However, there is a large uncertainty around these estimates since existing evidence on the two strategies compared is based on observational data rather than on randomised control trials. We acknowledge that parameters could be biased and changing just one parameter (eg, probability of MACE, or renal failure or cost of MACE) could increase the ICER to about ÂŁ12 000. On the contrary, the within-trial analysis would help to obtain robust values for the pre-trial model param- eters and the survival analysis will provide revised transition probability to deaths that can be attributed to clinical conditions and MACE. Transferability of the decision-analytical model can be improved by using the jurisdiction-specific price weights and baseline risk of health states. The results on predicted costs and outcomes from trial- based economic analysis will help to conduct extrapolated analysis beyond the trial period using the decision model incorporating the sensitivity analyses and subgroup anal- ysis. Strengths This economic analysis of the largest randomised trial in cardiogenic shock will provide detailed health economic analyses further supporting potential treatment strategies in cardiogenic shock. The economic evaluation within the pragmatic multicountry trial design will enrich the external validity. This will enable us to assess the value of the revascularisation strategies for patients with cardio- genic shock in a real-world scenario. Limitations Given that there are differences in the health systems and reimbursement policy in the trial participating countries, potential differences in the unit prices of similar health- care resources and medications are expected to be found. Trial-wide estimates of CEAs will suffer from problems associated with heterogeneity in costs of resource use and drug prices across trial participating countries. The meth- odological approach of a ‘fully pooled with multicountry costing’ framework14 will address this potential problem. There is a particular challenge with respect to data collection given that the existence of missing informa- tion could affect the validity of the results. In that case, statistical techniques will be used to handle missing data. Nonetheless, an automated data check for completeness and data plausibility has been instituted in the eCRF to ensure robust and complete data collection. Further- more, monitoring ensures data completeness and data plausibility—a final close-out monitoring visit is manda- tory for all centres. In addition, case payment is only performed if all data are complete in the eCRF and data are checked for plausibility. Author affiliations 1 Health Economics and Health Technology Assessment, Institute of Health and Wellbeing, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, UK 2 Currently at Centre for Primary Care and Public Health, Queen Mary University of London, London, UK 3 West of Scotland Regional Heart and Lung Centre, Golden Jubilee National Hospital, Glasgow, UK 4 Klinikum Ludwigshafen and Institut fĂŒr Herzinfarktforschung, Ludwigshafen, Germany 5 University Heart Center LĂŒbeck, University Hospital Schleswig-Holstein, LĂŒbeck, Germany 6 Department of Internal Medicine and Cardiology, University of Leipzig - Heart Center, Leipzig, Germany Acknowledgements  The authors would like to thank the members of the CULPRIT-SHOCK trial team for their help in developing the economic evaluation protocol and to acknowledge the inputs of the investigators contributing to the development of the trial. Contributors  ZQ drafted the manuscript. AB supervised the drafted manuscript and its revisions. JR-Z was in charge of subsequent revisions of the drafted manuscript. KO, UZ, SD, SW and HT reviewed and authorised the final version of the paper. Funding  CULPRIT-SHOCK is a Collaboration Project funded by the European Union under the 7th Framework Programme under grant agreement no 602202). Competing interests  None declared. Provenance and peer review  Not commissioned; externally peer reviewed. Open Access  This is an Open Access article distributed in accordance with the Creative Commons Attribution Non Commercial (CC BY-NC 4.0) license, which permits others to distribute, remix, adapt, build upon this work non-commercially, and license their derivative works on different terms, provided the original work is properly cited and the use is non-commercial. See: http://​creativecommons.​org/​ licenses/​by-​nc/​4.​0/ © Article author(s) (or their employer(s) unless otherwise stated in the text of the article) 2017. All rights reserved. No commercial use is permitted unless otherwise expressly granted. References 1. O'Gara PT, Kushner FG, Ascheim DD, et al. 2013 ACCF/AHA Guideline for the Management of ST-Elevation Myocardial Infarction: Executive Summary: A Report of the American College of Cardiology Foundation/American Heart Association Task Force on Practice Guidelines. Circulation 2013;127:529–55. 2. Aissaoui N, Puymirat E, Tabone X, et al. Improved outcome of cardiogenic shock at the acute stage of myocardial infarction: a report from the USIK 1995, USIC 2000, and FAST-MI French nationwide registries. Eur Heart J 2012;33:2535–43. 3. Jeger RV, Radovanovic D, Hunziker PR, et al. Ten-year trends in the incidence and treatment of cardiogenic shock. Ann Intern Med 2008;149:618–26. 4. Thiele H, Allam B, Chatellier G, et al. Shock in acute myocardial infarction: the Cape Horn for trials? Eur Heart J 2010;31:1828–35. 5. Thiele H, Ohman EM, Desch S, et al. Management of cardiogenic shock. Eur Heart J 2015;36:1223–30. 6. Thiele H, Zeymer U, Neumann FJ, et al. Intra-aortic balloon counterpulsation in acute myocardial infarction complicated by cardiogenic shock (IABP-SHOCK II): final 12 month results of a randomised, open-label trial. Lancet 2013;382:1638–45. 7. Thiele H, Zeymer U, Neumann FJ, et al. Intraaortic balloon support for myocardial infarction with cardiogenic shock. N Engl J Med 2012;367:1287–96.
  • 8. 8 Quayyum Z, et al. BMJ Open 2017;7:e014849. doi:10.1136/bmjopen-2016-014849 Open Access 8. Thiele H, Desch S, Piek JJ, et al. Multivessel versus culprit lesion only percutaneous revascularization plus potential staged revascularization in patients with acute myocardial infarction complicated by cardiogenic shock: Design and rationale of CULPRIT- SHOCK trial. Am Heart J 2016;172:160–9. 9. Steg PG, James SK, Atar D, et al. ESC Guidelines for the management of acute myocardial infarction in patients presenting with ST-segment elevation. Eur Heart J 2012;33:2569–619. 10. Windecker S, Kolh P, Alfonso F, et al. ESC/EACTS guidelines on myocardial revascularization. European Heart Journal 20142014;35:2541–619. 11. IQWiG. General methods. Version 4.2 of 22 April 2015. Secondary General methods. Version 4.2 of 22 April 2015 2015. https://www.​ iqwig.​de/​download/​IQWiG_​General_​Methods_​Version_%​204-​2.​pdf. 12. Brooks R. EuroQol: the current state of play. Health Policy 1996;37:53–72. 13. Manca A, Hawkins N, Sculpher MJ. Estimating mean QALYs in trial- based cost-effectiveness analysis: the importance of controlling for baseline utility. Health Econ 2005;14:487–96. 14. Reed SD, Anstrom KJ, Bakhai A, et al. Conducting economic evaluations alongside multinational clinical trials: toward a research consensus. Am Heart J 2005;149:434–43. 15. Willke RJ, Glick HA, Polsky D, et al. Estimating country-specific cost-effectiveness from multinational clinical trials. Health Econ 1998;7:481–93. 16. Weinstein MC, O'Brien B, Hornberger J, et al. Principles of good practice for decision analytic modeling in health-care evaluation: report of the ISPOR Task Force on Good Research Practices-- Modeling Studies. Value Health 2003;6:9–17. 17. Gomes M, DĂ­az-Ordaz K, Grieve R, et al. Multiple imputation methods for handling missing data in cost-effectiveness analyses that use data from hierarchical studies: an application to cluster randomized trials. Med Decis Making 2013;33:1051–63. 18. Oostenbrink JB, Al MJ, Rutten-van Mölken MP. Methods to analyse cost data of patients who withdraw in a clinical trial setting. Pharmacoeconomics 2003;21:1103–12. 19. Ramsey S, Willke R, Briggs A, et al. Good research practices for cost-effectiveness analysis alongside clinical trials: the ISPOR RCT- CEA Task Force report. Value Health 2005;8:521–33. 20. Briggs A, Clark T, Wolstenholme J, et al. Missing presumed at random: cost-analysis of incomplete data. Health Econ 2003;12:377–92. 21. Drummond MF, Jefferson TO. Guidelines for authors and peer reviewers of economic submissions to the BMJ. BMJ 1996;313:275–83. 22. Faria R, Gomes M, Epstein D, et al. A guide to handling missing data in cost-effectiveness analysis conducted within randomised controlled trials. Pharmacoeconomics 2014;32:1157–70. 23. Nixon RM, Thompson SG. Methods for incorporating covariate adjustment, subgroup analysis and between-centre differences into cost-effectiveness evaluations. Health Econ 2005;14:1217–29. 24. Marshall DA, Hux M. Design and analysis issues for economic analysis alongside clinical trials. Med Care 2009;47:S14–S20. 25. Fenwick E, Claxton K, Sculpher M. Representing uncertainty: the role of cost-effectiveness acceptability curves. Health Econ 2001;10:779–87. 26. Briggs AH, Wonderling DE, Mooney CZ. Pulling cost-effectiveness analysis up by its bootstraps: a non-parametric approach to confidence interval estimation. Health Econ 1997;6:327–40. 27. Claxton K, Posnett J. An economic approach to clinical trial design and research priority-setting. Health Econ 1996;5:513–24.