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THE METRICS THAT REALLY MATTER:
An operational framework for running your subscription
business
Matthew Tribe, Consulting CFO
It’s time for a new framework of cross-functional
accountability in our growing subscription
economy.
Tech companies are trying to make big ideas
and big plans a reality.
Tech companies are trying to make big ideas
and big plans a reality.
• Today’s companies are continuously evolving.
Tech companies are trying to make big ideas
and big plans a reality.
• Today’s companies are continuously evolving.
• Retrospective, isolated measures are not enough.
Tech companies are trying to make big ideas
and big plans a reality.
• Today’s companies are continuously evolving.
• Retrospective, isolated measures are not enough.
• Are we on track to achieve the goals of our business plan?
Tech companies are trying to make big ideas
and big plans a reality.
• Today’s companies are continuously evolving.
• Retrospective, isolated measures are not enough.
• Are we on track to achieve the goals of our business plan?
We need new metrics that measure our progress on forward-looking plans
and incorporate cohesive measures of the critical elements of our business.
The four key metrics are:
The four key metrics are:
1.) Efficient customer acquisition and ARR growth
The four key metrics are:
1.) Efficient customer acquisition and ARR growth
2.) Churn measurement and management
The four key metrics are:
1.) Efficient customer acquisition and ARR growth
2.) Churn measurement and management
3.) Net recurring profit margin
The four key metrics are:
1.) Efficient customer acquisition and ARR growth
2.) Churn measurement and management
3.) Net recurring profit margin
4.) The "golden metric" unique to your business
Month 1 2 3 6 9 12
Customers
Opening - 12 24 69 126 199
New 12 13 15 19 26 34
Churned (0.25) (1) (1) (2) (3) (5)
Closing 12 24 38 86 148 228
Cohort Revenue
Month 1 1,175 1,151 1,126 1,053 979 906
Month 2 1,293 1,266 1,185 1,104 1,023
Month 3 1,422 1,333 1,244 1,155
Month 6 1,892 1,774 1,656
Month 9 2,519 2,361
Month 12 3,352
Revenue 1,175 2,443 3,813 8,646 14,835 22,830
COGS 353 733 1,144 2,594 4,451 6,849
Gross Profit 823 1,710 2,669 6,052 10,385 15,981
MOM Growth - 108% 56% 25% 18% 15%
Sales and Marketing (3,375) (3,544) (3,721) (4,307) (4,986) (5,772)
Product (900) (945) (992) (1,149) (1,330) (1,539)
G&A (225) (236) (248) (287) (332) (385)
Expenses (4,500) (4,725) (4,961) (5,743) (6,649) (7,697)
EBITDA (3,677) (3,015) (2,292) 309 3,736 8,285
Cash (1,677) (4,692) (6,984) (8,815) (1,246) 18,772
CAC 281$ 268$ 256$ 223$ 194$ 169$
Months to recover CAC 4.0 mths 3.8 mths 3.7 mths 3.2 mths 2.8 mths 2.4 mths
Churn 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2%
Recurring profit margin (302) 529 1,429 4,616 8,723 14,057
LTV 1,681 1,681 1,681 1,681 1,681 1,681
LTV:CAC 5.98 6.26 6.56 7.54 8.67 9.97
(15,000)
(10,000)
(5,000)
-
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
The SaaS Business
Model
Gross Profit Expenses EBITDA Cash
Month 1 2 3 6 9 12
Customers
Opening - 12 24 69 126 199
New 12 13 15 19 26 34
Churned (0.25) (1) (1) (2) (3) (5)
Closing 12 24 38 86 148 228
Cohort Revenue
Month 1 1,175 1,151 1,126 1,053 979 906
Month 2 1,293 1,266 1,185 1,104 1,023
Month 3 1,422 1,333 1,244 1,155
Month 6 1,892 1,774 1,656
Month 9 2,519 2,361
Month 12 3,352
Revenue 1,175 2,443 3,813 8,646 14,835 22,830
COGS 353 733 1,144 2,594 4,451 6,849
Gross Profit 823 1,710 2,669 6,052 10,385 15,981
MOM Growth - 108% 56% 25% 18% 15%
Sales and Marketing (3,375) (3,544) (3,721) (4,307) (4,986) (5,772)
Product (900) (945) (992) (1,149) (1,330) (1,539)
G&A (225) (236) (248) (287) (332) (385)
Expenses (4,500) (4,725) (4,961) (5,743) (6,649) (7,697)
EBITDA (3,677) (3,015) (2,292) 309 3,736 8,285
Cash (1,677) (4,692) (6,984) (8,815) (1,246) 18,772
CAC 281$ 268$ 256$ 223$ 194$ 169$
Months to recover CAC 4.0 mths 3.8 mths 3.7 mths 3.2 mths 2.8 mths 2.4 mths
Churn 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2%
Recurring profit margin (302) 529 1,429 4,616 8,723 14,057
LTV 1,681 1,681 1,681 1,681 1,681 1,681
LTV:CAC 5.98 6.26 6.56 7.54 8.67 9.97
(15,000)
(10,000)
(5,000)
-
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
The SaaS Business
Model
Gross Profit Expenses EBITDA Cash
1.) Efficient customer acquisition and ARR Growth
1.) Efficient customer acquisition and ARR Growth
• Customer acquisition and increased ARR is necessary
for growth
1.) Efficient customer acquisition and ARR Growth
• Customer acquisition and increased ARR is necessary
for growth
• Efficient customer acquisition supports the long-term
value of the business
Month 3
Customers
Opening 24
New 15
Churned (1)
Customer Acquisition Cost (CAC) = total sales and marketing costs = 3,721 = 256$ Closing 38
number of customers acquired 15
Revenue 3,813
COGS 1,144
Gross Profit 2,669
Sales and Marketing (3,721)
Product (992)
G&A (248)
Expenses (4,961)
EBITDA (2,292)
Cash (6,984)
CAC 256$
Months to recover CAC 3.7 mths
Churn 2%
Recurring profit margin 1,429
LTV 1,681
LTV:CAC 6.56
Lifetime Value (LTV) = the discounted future cash flows
from a customer over its lifetime
Lifetime Value (LTV) = the discounted future cash flows
from a customer over its lifetime
• Companies generally aim for ratio of LTV : CAC of greater than 3x
Lifetime Value (LTV) = the discounted future cash flows
from a customer over its lifetime
• Companies generally aim for ratio of LTV : CAC of greater than 3x
• Difficult to calculate
Months to Recover CAC
Months to recover CAC = Cost of Acquisition = 256$ = 3.7 months
GP from new customers 100 x 70%
Months to Recover CAC
What is a good CAC recovery period?
• For enterprise businesses: less than 12 months
• For SMB businesses: less than 6 months
Months to recover CAC = Cost of Acquisition = 256$ = 3.7 months
GP from new customers 100 x 70%
Months to Recover CAC
What is a good CAC recovery period?
• For enterprise businesses: less than 12 months
• For SMB businesses: less than 6 months
Months to recover CAC incorporates:
• New customers acquired
• Sales and marketing cost
• Revenue, COGS, and gross profit generated by new customers
Months to recover CAC = Cost of Acquisition = 256$ = 3.7 months
GP from new customers 100 x 70%
2.) Churn measurement and management
2.) Churn measurement and management
Churn = the rate at which we lose customers or revenue over time.
2.) Churn measurement and management
Churn = the rate at which we lose customers or revenue over time.
The key is to have a measure that:
• Closely approximates the average lifetime of the customer
• Is measured consistently
2.) Churn measurement and management
Churn = the rate at which we lose customers or revenue over time.
The key is to have a measure that:
• Closely approximates the average lifetime of the customer
• Is measured consistently
Churn incorporates:
• The rate of ARR growth and trajectory of the customer journey
• Customer support costs
• Whether product spend is driving retention
• Whether pricing strategy is effective
3.) Net recurring profit margin
3.) Net recurring profit margin
Recurring profit margin = the business’s ability to pay for
recurring expenses with recurring revenue
3.) Net recurring profit margin
Recurring profit margin = the business’s ability to pay for
recurring expenses with recurring revenue
Recurring gross profit – Recurring expenses
Month 3
Customers
Opening 24
New 15
Net Recurring Profit Margin = Recurring Gross Profit - Recurring Expenses. Churned (1)
Closing 38
Recurring income Gross profit 2,669
Less Revenue 3,813
Recurring expenses Product (992) COGS 1,144
G&A (248) Gross Profit 2,669
(1,240)
Sales and Marketing (3,721)
Recurring profit margin 1,429 Product (992)
G&A (248)
Expenses (4,961)
Recurring profit margin is the lever we can pull to drive sustainability. EBITDA (2,292)
Cash (6,984)
CAC 256$
Months to recover CAC 3.7 mths
Churn 2%
Recurring profit margin 1,429
LTV 1,681
LTV:CAC 6.56
4.) The “golden metric”
4.) The “golden metric”
The “golden metric” = the key element that pinpoints alignment
to the long-term revenue growth and success of your business
Conclusion
Conclusion
The key to success in a SaaS business = winning new customers profitably
and having an ongoing profitable relationship with those customers
Conclusion
The key to success in a SaaS business = winning new customers profitably
and having an ongoing profitable relationship with those customers
We need a plan that incorporates:
1.) Efficient customer acquisition and ARR Growth
2.) Churn measurement and management
3.) Net recurring profit margin
4.) The “golden metric”
Presenter – Matthew Tribe
• matthew@adeptfinance.com.au
• linkedin.com/in/matthew-tribe/

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The Metrics That Matter - Zuora Subscribed 2017

  • 1. THE METRICS THAT REALLY MATTER: An operational framework for running your subscription business Matthew Tribe, Consulting CFO
  • 2. It’s time for a new framework of cross-functional accountability in our growing subscription economy.
  • 3. Tech companies are trying to make big ideas and big plans a reality.
  • 4. Tech companies are trying to make big ideas and big plans a reality. • Today’s companies are continuously evolving.
  • 5. Tech companies are trying to make big ideas and big plans a reality. • Today’s companies are continuously evolving. • Retrospective, isolated measures are not enough.
  • 6. Tech companies are trying to make big ideas and big plans a reality. • Today’s companies are continuously evolving. • Retrospective, isolated measures are not enough. • Are we on track to achieve the goals of our business plan?
  • 7. Tech companies are trying to make big ideas and big plans a reality. • Today’s companies are continuously evolving. • Retrospective, isolated measures are not enough. • Are we on track to achieve the goals of our business plan? We need new metrics that measure our progress on forward-looking plans and incorporate cohesive measures of the critical elements of our business.
  • 8. The four key metrics are:
  • 9. The four key metrics are: 1.) Efficient customer acquisition and ARR growth
  • 10. The four key metrics are: 1.) Efficient customer acquisition and ARR growth 2.) Churn measurement and management
  • 11. The four key metrics are: 1.) Efficient customer acquisition and ARR growth 2.) Churn measurement and management 3.) Net recurring profit margin
  • 12. The four key metrics are: 1.) Efficient customer acquisition and ARR growth 2.) Churn measurement and management 3.) Net recurring profit margin 4.) The "golden metric" unique to your business
  • 13. Month 1 2 3 6 9 12 Customers Opening - 12 24 69 126 199 New 12 13 15 19 26 34 Churned (0.25) (1) (1) (2) (3) (5) Closing 12 24 38 86 148 228 Cohort Revenue Month 1 1,175 1,151 1,126 1,053 979 906 Month 2 1,293 1,266 1,185 1,104 1,023 Month 3 1,422 1,333 1,244 1,155 Month 6 1,892 1,774 1,656 Month 9 2,519 2,361 Month 12 3,352 Revenue 1,175 2,443 3,813 8,646 14,835 22,830 COGS 353 733 1,144 2,594 4,451 6,849 Gross Profit 823 1,710 2,669 6,052 10,385 15,981 MOM Growth - 108% 56% 25% 18% 15% Sales and Marketing (3,375) (3,544) (3,721) (4,307) (4,986) (5,772) Product (900) (945) (992) (1,149) (1,330) (1,539) G&A (225) (236) (248) (287) (332) (385) Expenses (4,500) (4,725) (4,961) (5,743) (6,649) (7,697) EBITDA (3,677) (3,015) (2,292) 309 3,736 8,285 Cash (1,677) (4,692) (6,984) (8,815) (1,246) 18,772 CAC 281$ 268$ 256$ 223$ 194$ 169$ Months to recover CAC 4.0 mths 3.8 mths 3.7 mths 3.2 mths 2.8 mths 2.4 mths Churn 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% Recurring profit margin (302) 529 1,429 4,616 8,723 14,057 LTV 1,681 1,681 1,681 1,681 1,681 1,681 LTV:CAC 5.98 6.26 6.56 7.54 8.67 9.97 (15,000) (10,000) (5,000) - 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 The SaaS Business Model Gross Profit Expenses EBITDA Cash
  • 14. Month 1 2 3 6 9 12 Customers Opening - 12 24 69 126 199 New 12 13 15 19 26 34 Churned (0.25) (1) (1) (2) (3) (5) Closing 12 24 38 86 148 228 Cohort Revenue Month 1 1,175 1,151 1,126 1,053 979 906 Month 2 1,293 1,266 1,185 1,104 1,023 Month 3 1,422 1,333 1,244 1,155 Month 6 1,892 1,774 1,656 Month 9 2,519 2,361 Month 12 3,352 Revenue 1,175 2,443 3,813 8,646 14,835 22,830 COGS 353 733 1,144 2,594 4,451 6,849 Gross Profit 823 1,710 2,669 6,052 10,385 15,981 MOM Growth - 108% 56% 25% 18% 15% Sales and Marketing (3,375) (3,544) (3,721) (4,307) (4,986) (5,772) Product (900) (945) (992) (1,149) (1,330) (1,539) G&A (225) (236) (248) (287) (332) (385) Expenses (4,500) (4,725) (4,961) (5,743) (6,649) (7,697) EBITDA (3,677) (3,015) (2,292) 309 3,736 8,285 Cash (1,677) (4,692) (6,984) (8,815) (1,246) 18,772 CAC 281$ 268$ 256$ 223$ 194$ 169$ Months to recover CAC 4.0 mths 3.8 mths 3.7 mths 3.2 mths 2.8 mths 2.4 mths Churn 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% Recurring profit margin (302) 529 1,429 4,616 8,723 14,057 LTV 1,681 1,681 1,681 1,681 1,681 1,681 LTV:CAC 5.98 6.26 6.56 7.54 8.67 9.97 (15,000) (10,000) (5,000) - 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 The SaaS Business Model Gross Profit Expenses EBITDA Cash
  • 15. 1.) Efficient customer acquisition and ARR Growth
  • 16. 1.) Efficient customer acquisition and ARR Growth • Customer acquisition and increased ARR is necessary for growth
  • 17. 1.) Efficient customer acquisition and ARR Growth • Customer acquisition and increased ARR is necessary for growth • Efficient customer acquisition supports the long-term value of the business
  • 18. Month 3 Customers Opening 24 New 15 Churned (1) Customer Acquisition Cost (CAC) = total sales and marketing costs = 3,721 = 256$ Closing 38 number of customers acquired 15 Revenue 3,813 COGS 1,144 Gross Profit 2,669 Sales and Marketing (3,721) Product (992) G&A (248) Expenses (4,961) EBITDA (2,292) Cash (6,984) CAC 256$ Months to recover CAC 3.7 mths Churn 2% Recurring profit margin 1,429 LTV 1,681 LTV:CAC 6.56
  • 19. Lifetime Value (LTV) = the discounted future cash flows from a customer over its lifetime
  • 20. Lifetime Value (LTV) = the discounted future cash flows from a customer over its lifetime • Companies generally aim for ratio of LTV : CAC of greater than 3x
  • 21. Lifetime Value (LTV) = the discounted future cash flows from a customer over its lifetime • Companies generally aim for ratio of LTV : CAC of greater than 3x • Difficult to calculate
  • 22. Months to Recover CAC Months to recover CAC = Cost of Acquisition = 256$ = 3.7 months GP from new customers 100 x 70%
  • 23. Months to Recover CAC What is a good CAC recovery period? • For enterprise businesses: less than 12 months • For SMB businesses: less than 6 months Months to recover CAC = Cost of Acquisition = 256$ = 3.7 months GP from new customers 100 x 70%
  • 24. Months to Recover CAC What is a good CAC recovery period? • For enterprise businesses: less than 12 months • For SMB businesses: less than 6 months Months to recover CAC incorporates: • New customers acquired • Sales and marketing cost • Revenue, COGS, and gross profit generated by new customers Months to recover CAC = Cost of Acquisition = 256$ = 3.7 months GP from new customers 100 x 70%
  • 25. 2.) Churn measurement and management
  • 26. 2.) Churn measurement and management Churn = the rate at which we lose customers or revenue over time.
  • 27. 2.) Churn measurement and management Churn = the rate at which we lose customers or revenue over time. The key is to have a measure that: • Closely approximates the average lifetime of the customer • Is measured consistently
  • 28. 2.) Churn measurement and management Churn = the rate at which we lose customers or revenue over time. The key is to have a measure that: • Closely approximates the average lifetime of the customer • Is measured consistently Churn incorporates: • The rate of ARR growth and trajectory of the customer journey • Customer support costs • Whether product spend is driving retention • Whether pricing strategy is effective
  • 29. 3.) Net recurring profit margin
  • 30. 3.) Net recurring profit margin Recurring profit margin = the business’s ability to pay for recurring expenses with recurring revenue
  • 31. 3.) Net recurring profit margin Recurring profit margin = the business’s ability to pay for recurring expenses with recurring revenue Recurring gross profit – Recurring expenses
  • 32. Month 3 Customers Opening 24 New 15 Net Recurring Profit Margin = Recurring Gross Profit - Recurring Expenses. Churned (1) Closing 38 Recurring income Gross profit 2,669 Less Revenue 3,813 Recurring expenses Product (992) COGS 1,144 G&A (248) Gross Profit 2,669 (1,240) Sales and Marketing (3,721) Recurring profit margin 1,429 Product (992) G&A (248) Expenses (4,961) Recurring profit margin is the lever we can pull to drive sustainability. EBITDA (2,292) Cash (6,984) CAC 256$ Months to recover CAC 3.7 mths Churn 2% Recurring profit margin 1,429 LTV 1,681 LTV:CAC 6.56
  • 33. 4.) The “golden metric”
  • 34. 4.) The “golden metric” The “golden metric” = the key element that pinpoints alignment to the long-term revenue growth and success of your business
  • 36. Conclusion The key to success in a SaaS business = winning new customers profitably and having an ongoing profitable relationship with those customers
  • 37. Conclusion The key to success in a SaaS business = winning new customers profitably and having an ongoing profitable relationship with those customers We need a plan that incorporates: 1.) Efficient customer acquisition and ARR Growth 2.) Churn measurement and management 3.) Net recurring profit margin 4.) The “golden metric”
  • 38. Presenter – Matthew Tribe • matthew@adeptfinance.com.au • linkedin.com/in/matthew-tribe/