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AMERICAN ECONOMY
WHILE THE EUROZONE IS STRUGGLING THROUGH
CRISIS, HOW DOES AMERICA FARE?



           De Vos Margot
Overview

              Current developments:
               careful positive prospect
              Climbing stock
               exchanges
              Good third-quarter
               earnings
              Political actions
              Conclusion
1. A first promising signal

   Remarkably positive third-quarter earnings
   S&P 500 (October):
    Up > 9%
   Best performing sectors;
    energy, materials, industrials
   Bargains in struggling Europe 1: Sector breakdown
                                  Graph
Reasons to remain cautious

   European bank problems can be contagious
   restructuring and recapitalization is needed
   Unknown impact of these measures
   Recovery will take years
   LT: cost-cutting and strong(er) economy
2. American stock exchanges

   October → DJ Industrial average rose over 1200
    points
   Two important indicators:
    - eurozone crisis
    - second recession in America
    => people respond
   GDM + 2.5% (third-quarter)
Dow Jones Industrial Average




   Graph 2. Dow jones industrial average
3. Political action
   Senate, Oct. 11th: Currency
    Exchange Rate Oversight Reform Act
   „subsidy subject to countervailing
    duties‟
   Similar initiatives but none successful




                                 Graph 3: Yuan
Oversight Reform Act: a good
idea?

   Contradictory to „doubling export‟ goal
   America‟s legitimate beefs with China
   Envy with china‟s galloping economic
   Consequences WTO
   Danger: provocation of a trade war
4. Conclusion
Despite some promising news, there are still
many efforts needed to fully recover from the
economic crisis. The financial world should not
be blindfolded by temporary positive signs but
needs to focus on long term results.
Sources
   The economist (15 October 2011)
    “ And now, protectionism”
    Financial Times (21 October 2011)
    “US earnings tell story of resilience”
    The guardian (28 October 2011)
    “October set to end as one of the best ever for
    US stocks”
   S&P 500:
    http://www.standardandpoors.com/indices/sp-
    500/en/eu/?indexId=spusa-500-usduf--p-us-l--
Thank you for your attention
De Vos Margot

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While the eurozone is struggling through crisis, how does America fare?

  • 1. AMERICAN ECONOMY WHILE THE EUROZONE IS STRUGGLING THROUGH CRISIS, HOW DOES AMERICA FARE? De Vos Margot
  • 2. Overview  Current developments: careful positive prospect  Climbing stock exchanges  Good third-quarter earnings  Political actions  Conclusion
  • 3. 1. A first promising signal  Remarkably positive third-quarter earnings  S&P 500 (October): Up > 9%  Best performing sectors; energy, materials, industrials  Bargains in struggling Europe 1: Sector breakdown Graph
  • 4. Reasons to remain cautious  European bank problems can be contagious  restructuring and recapitalization is needed  Unknown impact of these measures  Recovery will take years  LT: cost-cutting and strong(er) economy
  • 5. 2. American stock exchanges  October → DJ Industrial average rose over 1200 points  Two important indicators: - eurozone crisis - second recession in America => people respond  GDM + 2.5% (third-quarter)
  • 6. Dow Jones Industrial Average Graph 2. Dow jones industrial average
  • 7. 3. Political action  Senate, Oct. 11th: Currency Exchange Rate Oversight Reform Act  „subsidy subject to countervailing duties‟  Similar initiatives but none successful Graph 3: Yuan
  • 8. Oversight Reform Act: a good idea?  Contradictory to „doubling export‟ goal  America‟s legitimate beefs with China  Envy with china‟s galloping economic  Consequences WTO  Danger: provocation of a trade war
  • 9. 4. Conclusion Despite some promising news, there are still many efforts needed to fully recover from the economic crisis. The financial world should not be blindfolded by temporary positive signs but needs to focus on long term results.
  • 10. Sources  The economist (15 October 2011) “ And now, protectionism”  Financial Times (21 October 2011) “US earnings tell story of resilience”  The guardian (28 October 2011) “October set to end as one of the best ever for US stocks”  S&P 500: http://www.standardandpoors.com/indices/sp- 500/en/eu/?indexId=spusa-500-usduf--p-us-l--
  • 11. Thank you for your attention De Vos Margot