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Capitalizing

                                on the


                                   Emerging Markets
                                          of strength, especially in the labor            policies impacted growth. In the short
                                          markets. If one wants to be optimistic,         term, they must focus on where the
                                          one could argue that this could trigger a       vulnerabilities and solvency problems
                                          positive feedback loop and lead to              exist, and hedge against risks.
                                          stronger growth. We still predict a two
                                          per cent growth rate for 2012 and               They should consider assets in emerging
                                          slightly lower for 2013.                        markets with strong fundamentals and
                                                                                          demographics, and potential
                                          We cannot look at the US in a vacuum            productivity gains.
                                          as there is still plenty of external risk.
                                          Oil prices are rising dangerously and the       What implications will the Chinese
                                          Eurozone is a significant external risk. A      slowdown have on the US economy?
                                          tightening of credit conditions in Europe
Interview with: Christian Menegatti,      could have a negative impact.                   China is one of the largest contributors
Managing Director & Head of Global                                                        to global growth, although subsidized by
Economic Research, Roubini Global         In terms of internal risk, the US is            its government.
Economics                                 undergoing a deleveraging process
                                          mostly in the private sector, but it will       We cannot predict if the Chinese
                                          eventually have to deal with an                 slowdown will have a soft or hard
The US economy is showing signs of        unsustainable fiscal outlook. The               landing, but the effects will be global.
growth, but there is plenty of internal   question is if the forthcoming fiscal drag
and external risk factors to keep Chief   will be offset by strong growth in the
Investment Officers (CIOs) of             private sector as payroll tax cuts,
foundations and endowments at             unemployment benefits and the
guard, says Christian Menegatti,          recovery package are all expiring by the
Managing Director & Head of Global
Economic Research, Roubini Global
                                          end of the year. This could tilt the US
                                          economy into a recession.
                                                                                                US investors
Economics. In the meantime, emerging
markets are proving lucrative, but they   What    impact      will   the           US
                                                                                                  need to
should not be lumped into one category
when they have very differen t
                                          Presidential elections have?
                                                                                                look beyond
                                                                                                   China
characteristics, potential growth rates   The US has shown a significant increase
and political risk, he adds.              in polarization and political risk inside its
                                          system, which will not change after the
A speaker at the marcus evans             elections. The Republicans are not in
Foundations        &    Endowments        favour of further spending, while the
Investment Summit Spring 2012, in         Democrats would prefer to address the
Wheeling, Illinois, July 23 -25,          deficit later rather than sooner. If the        Any final words of wisdom to CIOs?
Menegatti, from one of the world’s        expiring programs are not extended, it
leading economic and market research      could lead to a US recession or fragile         CIOs have the opportunity to broaden
firms, talks about the US recovery, the   recovery.                                       their investment spectrum towards
Chinese economic slowdown and                                                             economies that were not necessarily
emerging market investment                How should CIOs           invest   in   this    part of the investment mix before.
opportunities.                            environment?
                                                                                          The opportunity here is to learn to be
What are your predictions for the         Although volatility is low, CIOs cannot         more selective and not to lump
US economy?                               count on cash, government bonds or              emerging markets into one category, as
                                          safe investments. They need to study            they have very different characteristics,
The US economy has shown good signs       past deleveraging cycles and how                potential growth rates and political risk.
About the Foundations and Endowments Investment Summit
  The   Investment        Network         -
                                               Spring 2012
  marcus evans Summits group
  delivers peer-to-peer information            This unique forum will take place at the Westin Chicago North Shore, Wheeling,
  on strategic matters, professional           Illinois, July 23-25, 2012. Offering much more than any conference, exhibition or
  trends       and      breakthrough           trade show, this exclusive meeting will bring together esteemed industry thought
  innovations.                                 leaders and solution providers to a highly focused and interactive networking event.
                                               The Summit includes presentations on the rebounding investment market,
                                               developing innovative asset allocation strategies and forging groundbreaking tactics
                                               for the future.

                                               www.foundations-endowmentssummit.com


  Please note that the Summit is a
  closed     business   event     and   the
                                                Contact
  number      of   participants    strictly
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                                                Division

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marcus evans Summits are high level business forums for the world’s leading decision-makers to meet, learn and discuss
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To view the web version of this interview please, click here: www.foundations-endowmentssummit.com/ChristianMenegatti

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Capitalizing on the Emerging Markets - Interview with: Christian Menegatti, Roubini Global Economics - North American Investors Summit

  • 1. Capitalizing on the Emerging Markets of strength, especially in the labor policies impacted growth. In the short markets. If one wants to be optimistic, term, they must focus on where the one could argue that this could trigger a vulnerabilities and solvency problems positive feedback loop and lead to exist, and hedge against risks. stronger growth. We still predict a two per cent growth rate for 2012 and They should consider assets in emerging slightly lower for 2013. markets with strong fundamentals and demographics, and potential We cannot look at the US in a vacuum productivity gains. as there is still plenty of external risk. Oil prices are rising dangerously and the What implications will the Chinese Eurozone is a significant external risk. A slowdown have on the US economy? tightening of credit conditions in Europe Interview with: Christian Menegatti, could have a negative impact. China is one of the largest contributors Managing Director & Head of Global to global growth, although subsidized by Economic Research, Roubini Global In terms of internal risk, the US is its government. Economics undergoing a deleveraging process mostly in the private sector, but it will We cannot predict if the Chinese eventually have to deal with an slowdown will have a soft or hard The US economy is showing signs of unsustainable fiscal outlook. The landing, but the effects will be global. growth, but there is plenty of internal question is if the forthcoming fiscal drag and external risk factors to keep Chief will be offset by strong growth in the Investment Officers (CIOs) of private sector as payroll tax cuts, foundations and endowments at unemployment benefits and the guard, says Christian Menegatti, recovery package are all expiring by the Managing Director & Head of Global Economic Research, Roubini Global end of the year. This could tilt the US economy into a recession. US investors Economics. In the meantime, emerging markets are proving lucrative, but they What impact will the US need to should not be lumped into one category when they have very differen t Presidential elections have? look beyond China characteristics, potential growth rates The US has shown a significant increase and political risk, he adds. in polarization and political risk inside its system, which will not change after the A speaker at the marcus evans elections. The Republicans are not in Foundations & Endowments favour of further spending, while the Investment Summit Spring 2012, in Democrats would prefer to address the Wheeling, Illinois, July 23 -25, deficit later rather than sooner. If the Any final words of wisdom to CIOs? Menegatti, from one of the world’s expiring programs are not extended, it leading economic and market research could lead to a US recession or fragile CIOs have the opportunity to broaden firms, talks about the US recovery, the recovery. their investment spectrum towards Chinese economic slowdown and economies that were not necessarily emerging market investment How should CIOs invest in this part of the investment mix before. opportunities. environment? The opportunity here is to learn to be What are your predictions for the Although volatility is low, CIOs cannot more selective and not to lump US economy? count on cash, government bonds or emerging markets into one category, as safe investments. They need to study they have very different characteristics, The US economy has shown good signs past deleveraging cycles and how potential growth rates and political risk.
  • 2. About the Foundations and Endowments Investment Summit The Investment Network - Spring 2012 marcus evans Summits group delivers peer-to-peer information This unique forum will take place at the Westin Chicago North Shore, Wheeling, on strategic matters, professional Illinois, July 23-25, 2012. Offering much more than any conference, exhibition or trends and breakthrough trade show, this exclusive meeting will bring together esteemed industry thought innovations. leaders and solution providers to a highly focused and interactive networking event. The Summit includes presentations on the rebounding investment market, developing innovative asset allocation strategies and forging groundbreaking tactics for the future. www.foundations-endowmentssummit.com Please note that the Summit is a closed business event and the Contact number of participants strictly limited. Sarin Kouyoumdjian-Gurunlian, Press Manager, marcus evans, Summits Division Tel: + 357 22 849 313 Email: press@marcusevanscy.com For more information please send an email to info@marcusevanscy.com All rights reserved. The above content may be republished or reproduced. Kindly inform us by sending an email to press@marcusevanscy.com About marcus evans Summits marcus evans Summits are high level business forums for the world’s leading decision-makers to meet, learn and discuss strategies and solutions. Held at exclusive locations around the world, these events provide attendees with a unique opportunity to individually tailor their schedules of keynote presentations, think tanks, seminars and one-on-one business meetings. For more information, please visit: www.marcusevans.com Upcoming Events European Pensions & Investments Summit - www.epi-summit.com US Pensions Summit - www.uspensions-summit.com To view the web version of this interview please, click here: www.foundations-endowmentssummit.com/ChristianMenegatti