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Derivatives
Tool for Strategic Investment
Derivatives Defined
• Derivative is a product whose value is
derived from the value of underlying asset
in a contractual manner.
• In simple terms they are contracts for future
delivery of assets and payment for them.
Emergence of the Market
• Can be traced back to the willingness of
risk-averse economic agents to guard
themselves against uncertainties arising out
of fluctuations in asset prices.
• Through the use of derivative products, it is
possible to partially or fully transfer price
risks by locking in asset prices.
Role of Derivatives
• As instruments of risk management, these
generally do not influence the fluctuations in the
underlying asset prices.
• However, by locking-in asset prices, derivative
products minimize the impact of fluctuations in
asset prices on the profitability and cash flow
situation of risk-averse investors.
Initial Derivative Instruments
• Commodity derivatives
• Financial derivatives
• 1972 - CME started trading currency futures.
• 1973- CBOE – Equity options
• 1976 – CME Treasury Bill futures
• Now financial derivatives are very popular.
• Account for about two-thirds of total transactions
in derivative products.
Factors Driving Growth of
Derivatives Use
• Increased volatility in prices in financial
markets.
• Increased integration of stock markets
world-wide
• Improvement in communication facilities
• Development of sophisticated risk
management tools and strategies.
• Innovations in derivative markets.
Derivative Markets- Economic
Functions
• Derivatives help in discovery of future as well as
current prices.
• Helps to transfer risks from those who have them
but may not like them.
• Linkage to the underlying cash markets. Cash
markets witnesses higher trading volumes because
of participation by more players who would not
otherwise participate for lack of an arrangement to
transfer risk.
Derivative Markets- Economic
Functions (contd.)
• Speculative trades shift to a more controlled
environment.
• Derivatives have a history of attracting bright,
creative, well-educated people with an
entrepreneurial attitude. They create new products.
• Help increase savings and investments in the long
run. Transfer of risk enables market participants to
expand their volume of activity.
Development of Derivative
Exchanges
• Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) in 1848.
Exchange for forward contracts.
• In 1865, first futures contract was
introduced in CBOT.
• In 1876 “Grain Call” trading established in
Kansas City Board of Trade.
Indian Derivatives Market
The Road Ahead
• CASH MARKET
• Investments
• Day Trading
• Rolling Settlement
• Derivatives Market
• Hedging
• Speculation
• Arbitrage
• Index Based
• Scrip Based
Stock Index Futures
• Is a derivative contract whose underlying is
a stock index.
Why index future??
 The market is conditioned to think in terms
of the index and therefore would prefer to
trade in stock index futures. Further, the
chances of manipulation are much lesser
 The transaction cost is lower.
Futures Terminology
• Spot price: The price at which an asset
trades in the spot market.
• Futures price: The price at which the futures
contract trades in the futures market.
• Contract cycle: The period over which a
contract trades. The index futures contracts
on the NSE have one-month, two-months
and three-months expiry cycles.
Futures Terminology (contd.)
• The index futures of a month expire on the last
Thursday of the month.
• On the Friday following the last Thursday of the
month, a new contract having three-month expiry
period would be introduced for trading.
• Expiry Date: It is the last day on which the
contract will be traded and at the end of which it
will cease to exist.
Futures Terminology (contd.)
• Contract Size: The amount of asset that has
to be delivered under one contract. For
instance, the contract size on NSE future
market is 200 Nifties.
• Future prices normally exceed spot prices.
QUESTION
If you have a portfolio of 2 crores
and you expect the market to come
down by 1000 points in the short
term, what will be the most
prudent way to reduce your risk?
CHOICES
• Sell your portfolio in the cash market
• Ask your Family Astrologer
• Use Index Derivatives to hedge your
Portfolio
• Do nothing and observe your portfolio
eroding.
Indexes
• In recent years, indexes have come to the
forefront owing to direct application in
finance in the form of index funds and
index derivatives.
• Index derivatvies allow people to cheaply
alter their risk exposure to an
index(hedging) and to implement forecasts
about index movements (speculation)
Purpose of Index Futures
• Hedging
• Speculation
• Arbitrage
Derivative Market Dynamics
• Hedgers – FII’s, Mutual Funds, Pension
Funds, Insurance Companies, HNI’s
• Speculators – Big Operators, HNI’s,
Proprietary Traders
Hedging
• A Hedge is a combination of positions, where one
position profits and the other position loses.
• So a hedge can be thought of as an insurance
against being wrong.
• A hedge can help lock existing profit.
• Its purpose is to reduce the volatility of a
portfolio, by reducing risk.
• Derivatives are widely used for hedging.
Speculation
• Bullish index, long Nifty futures
• Bearish index, short Nifty futures
Speculation
Buy(in July) {Spot Nifty-1120}
August contract at 1125 NSE Nifty
Exposure 1125 x200 = Rs.2,25,000
Margin @ 15% = Rs. 33,750/-
Sell (after a few days)
August Contract at 1165 NSE Nifty at 1160
Profit on square off = [1165-1125]x200 = Rs.8000
Return on margin = Rs.8000/33750 = 23.70%
Amount released on square off =Rs.33750 + Rs.8000
Pay-off for a future buyer
-80
-60
-40
-20
0
20
40
60
80
1065 1085 1105 1125 1145 1165 1185
Nifty
Pay-off for a future seller
-80
-60
-40
-20
0
20
40
60
80
1065 1085 1105 1125 1145 1165 1185
Profit
Arbitrage
• The cash markets and the futures markets are
tightly linked.
• On the day of maturity, cash and future market
index converge.
• Arbitrageurs bring price uniformity and help price
discovery.
• The cash market and index futures provide
arbitrage opportunities which arise due to
imbalance between hedgers and speculators.
Arbitrage
• Have funds, lend them to the market
• Have securities, lend them to the market
Example
• You own a 1 million portfolio with a beta of 1.25. Current
Nifty level 1250. Three month puts at a strike of 1100 are
available. How many put contracts should you buy for
insuring your portfolio against an index fall below 1100?
• 1. Four
• 2. Five
• 3. Eight
• 4. Ten
• The answer is -----
….the answer is
At a spot Nifty level of 1250 for a portfolio value of
1 million with beta of 1.25, the number of puts to
buy is (10,00,000*1.25) / 1250 =1000 puts. At a
market lot of 200 per contracts you have to buy 5
contracts to insure your portfolio.
Advantage of Futures Trading
• Day traders delight
– At a single price buying/selling market lot.
– Ability to exit with small movement in price.
– Advantage of no circuits
– Fear of market lot negated with small price movements
• Highly leveraged position.(double edged sword)
• Positions carried overnight based on closing market
trend.
• Position can be carried forward for 1-3 months.
Standard Portfolio Analysis of Risk
(SPAN)
• A methodology to evaluate risk
• Risk-based, portfolio-approach
margining
• Part of the VAR family
• A flexible framework
• Efficient and understandable
• An industry-standard
SPAN History
• Developed by CME in 1988
• Rapidly adopted by all US futures markets
• The standard in financial capitals worldwide --
Tokyo, Osaka, Singapore, Hong Kong,
Sydney, London, Paris, Toronto, New York,
Chicago, and now Mumbai
• Numerous other markets are in the “SPAN
adoption pipeline”
Uses for SPAN
• Margin (performance bond) calculation
• General-purpose risk analysis
• Stress testing
• Real-time pre- or post-execution risk-
based credit controls
• Risk-based capital requirements
SPAN and margining
• SPAN makes it easy to support cross-
margin agreements between clearing
organizations
• Scan risk -- the core of SPAN --
determines the worst possible loss
assuming perfect correlation of price
movements across contract months
SPAN Mechanics
• The exchange sets the inputs to SPAN,
modifying them as often as desired
• Every day, the exchange calculates SPAN
risk arrays for all of its products and
packages all of its SPAN data into its daily
SPAN risk parameter file, which is then
published
• Members, firms, customers etc. then use the
data from the SPAN file, together with their
positions data, to calculate SPAN margin
requirements
PC SPAN
PC SPAN
Master file
Risk parameter
files
Position file
Output /
Margin
(Report form or
file form- XML)
Options
Options
An instrument which gives the buyer
substantial upside potential
but with
limited downside risk / cost
Options
• Deferred delivery contracts
• give the buyer the right
• not the obligation
• to buy or sell
• a specified underlying
• at a set price
• on or before a specified date
Option Premium
• Premium : The fee that the buyer pays the option
writer up front while buying. It is the maximum
loss the buyer can suffer.
• The premium is also referred to as value of the
option or price of the option.
Index Options
Index options are European options, which means
contracts will be settled on date of expiry only.
The date of expiry shall be the last Thursday of the
contract month.
The contracts shall be available for 1,2 and 3
months.
The underlying for Index Options
-for BSE- 30Sensex
-for NSE- Nifty
Strike Price or Exercise Price
• The price at which the buyer of a call option
has the right (but not the obligation) to
purchase the underlying.
• The price at which the buyer of a put option
has the right (but not the obligation) to sell
the underlying.
Call Option
• Right to BUY a specified underlying at a set
price on or before an expiration date.
• The holder of a RIL Dec 500 call option has
the right to buy (or go long) 100 RIL shares
at a price of 500 anytime between purchase
and expiration.
Call Buyer Vs Seller
• Call Buyer
– Pays premium
– Has choice to exercise to buy the asset
• Call Seller
– Collects premium
– Has obligation to give the asset
Example
Deepak is bullish about the index spot nifty 1250.
He decides to buy 3-month Nifty call contract
with strike of 1290. Three month later the
index closes at 1300. His pay-off on the
position is ..
1. Rs.7,000
2. Rs.2,000
3. Rs.19,000
4. None of the above.
Put Option
• Right to SELL a specified underlying at a
set price on or before an expiration date.
• The holder of a RIL Dec 250 put option has
the right to sell (or go short) a RIL share at
a price of 250 anytime between purchase
and expiration.
Put Buyer Vs Seller
• Put Buyer
– Pays premium
– Has choice to deliver asset
• Put Seller
– Collects premium
– Has obligation to take the asset.
Bearish Index- Buy Puts or Sell Call
Buy Put
First time you shall buy when you are bearish in
market.
If the index falls you gain and you lose premium if
index moves up.The premium and your belief
the fall in index again plays a big role in
selection of which PUT to BUY.
Example
• Anand is bearish when Nifty is at 1240.He decides
to buy one 2-month put option at strike of 1225
for a premium of Rs.34.50. Two months later
Nifty is 1280. His pay-off is :
• Rs. -6900
• Rs.-4000
• Rs.-5300
• Rs.-12000
Types of Options
• American Option
– can be exercised any time on or before the
expiration date
• European Option
– can be exercised only on the expiration date
Scrip Options
Scrip options shall be American which means it can be
settled same day
The writer of option will be strictly monitored with
MTM margins.
The value of premium shall be critical and bring in
speculators and arbitrageurs to take position.
Option Calculator
The premium calculator helps the user to
understand how a change in any one of the factors
or more, will affect the option price
Professional traders for trading & managing the
risk of large positions in options & stocks use
option Greeks which are available in the option
calculator
Option Pricing Models
• Black-Scholes Model
– Pce = S*N(d1) - X e -Rf.t
* N(d2)
– Normal Distribution Function
• Binomial (Cox-Ross-Rubenstein) Model
– Ppe = X e -Rf.t
* N(-d2) - S*N(-d1)
– Binomial Distribution Function
Factors affecting Option
Values
Current Price of the underlying asset (S)
Exercise Price of the option(X)
Time to Expiry (T)
Volatility of prices of the underlying asset
(σ)
Interest Rates (Rf)
Option Greeks
Option Greeks are:
Delta: is the option Greek that measures the estimated
change in option premium/price for a change in the price
of the underlying.
Gamma : measures the estimated change in the Delta of
an option for a change in the price of the underlying
Vega : measures the estimated change in the option price
for a change in the volatility of the underlying.
Theta: measures the estimated change in the option price
for a change in the time to option expiry.
Rho: measures the estimated change in the option price
for a change in the risk free interest rates.
Delta (∆)
• Derivative of the option pricing formula
with reference to the asset price (S)
• Measures the estimated change in the option
premium for a change in S
• For example: If underlying increases by 1
point, a call option whose delta is 0.5 would
increase only 0.5 points.
• Delta for futures is always near 100%
Delta
• In-the-money option: Higher Deltas (.8)
• At-the-money option: Average Deltas (.5)
• Out-of-the-money option: Lower Deltas (.2)
Delta
• Deep In-the-money options
– Delta converges to 1.00
– Premium will typically move bit-by-bit with
underlying
• Deep Out-of-the-money options
– Delta converges to Zero
– Premium will generally be very unresponsive to
movement in underlying
Knowing an Option’s Delta
• Can Help the Trader
– Estimate the change in the option premium
compared to the change in the underlying
– Determine the number of options needed to
equal one futures contract.
– Determine the probability that the option will
expire in-the-money
– In margining and risk analysis
Delta
• Bullish Positions
• Long futures
• Long call
• Short put
Have positive (+) deltas
• Bearish Positions
• Short futures
• Short call
• Long put
Have negative (-) deltas
Understanding “Delta”
15 Days to expiry – assumed
Call
Strike
price
Delta Premiums at different market price
Rs.240 Rs.250 Rs.260
200 0.99 40.95 50.85 60.83
220 0.88 22.20 31.35 41.05
240 0.54 8.30 14.65 22.60
260 0.19 2.00 4.60 9.00
280 0.04 0.25 0.91 2.40
Gamma (γ)
• Second derivative of the option pricing
formula with reference to the asset price (S)
• Measures the estimated change in the delta
of the option for a change in S
Sensex 4000 call
w ith 30 days to expiry
0
0.001
0.002
3600
3700
3800
3900
4000
4100
4200
4300
4400
Sensex level
Gamma
Gamma
• Sensex call 4000 at Sensex level of 4000
• Delta = 0.568 and gamma = 0.002 If Sensex
increases by one point to 4001 then delta (not the
premium) will increase by 0.002 points to 0.57
(0.0568 + 0.002). In other words, the option
premium will increase or decrease in value by
0.568 point when Sensex rises to 4001 and by
0.057 points when Sensex rises from 4001 to 4002
level.
Gamma
• Positive Gamma Position
– Long Calls
– Long Puts
• Negative Gamma Position
– Short Calls
– Short Puts
• (Delta)+(Gamma)=(New Delta) for incremental
increase in the underlying
• (Delta)-(Gamma)=(New Delta) for incremental
decrease in the underlying
Vega (κ)
• Derivative of the option pricing formula
with reference to the volatility of the asset
returns (σ)
• Measures the estimated change in the option
premium for a change in σ
Vega (κ)
• For Sensex Call 4000 at Sensex level of
4000 having 30 days to expire when
implied volatility is 20%, interest rate is
10% and dividend yield is nil, the premium
is 108 and Vega is 4.50, the premium would
increase to 112.50 when implied volatility
moves up to 21%.
Vega
• Positive Vega Position
– Long Calls
– Long Puts
• Negative Vega Position
– Short Calls
– Short Puts
Vega
• Original Option Premium + Vega = New
Option Premium for 1% increase in Implied
Volatility
• Original Option Premium - Vega = New
Option Premium for 1% de crease in
Implied Volatility
Theta (τ)
• Derivative of the option pricing formula
with reference to the time to option expiry
(T)
• Measures the estimated change in the option
premium for a change in T
Theta (τ)
• For Sensex Call 4000 at Sensex level of
4000 having 30 days to expire when
implied volatility is 20%, interest rate is
10% and dividend yield is nil, the premium
is 108 and Theta is 2.1, the premium would
decrease to 105.9 on next day when days to
expiry remains 29.
Rho (ρ)
• Derivative of the option pricing formula
with reference to the risk free rate (Rf)
• Measures the estimated change in the option
premium for a change in Rf
Premium Value
• Option premium is based on factors
Intrinsic value
Time value
Volatility
Intrinsic value
• The difference between strike and spot
when it is in-the-money option.
• Intrinsic value is Zero for all out-of-the
money option.
Time Value of option
• Value of an option is usually greater than
intrinsic value because of probability that
spot will rise / fall in future.
• The time value of an option decreases as the
time to maturity decreases.
Intrinsic value & Time Value
Current market price of Satyam Rs.240
Call Strike
Price
Premium Intrinsic
Value
Time Value
200 40.95 40 0.95
220 22.20 20 2.20
240 8.30 0 8.30
260 2.00 0 2.00
280 0.25 0 0.25
Understanding Time value
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
6 5 4 3 2 1
No. of balls remaining
Runrate
Run Rate
Probability to win
Volatility
Scrip Volatility STRIKE SPOT Premium
HLL 3% 200 190 5
Satyam 12% 200 190 10
Futures V/s Options
• Trading Futures may be viewed as a one-
dimensional game. Only the market price
has an impact on your profit and loss.
Futures V/s Options
• Risk- Futures have unlimited & Options
buying have limited risk
• Trading Options may be viewed as a two
dimensional game. Changes in an:
– Option’s underlying price, and/or
– Option’s implied volatility will have an impact
on your profit or loss
Index Options -Margins
Margins is the sum of following 3 parts
Part A -SPAN Margin
1. Risk Parameter file shall be generated 3 times
and uploaded to trading member for margins.
Opening
Afternoon(1.00PM)
Closing
2 Net Option Value(NOV)=(Long Option value-
Short Option Value)* the number of contracts
Index Options -Margins
• Margin (Part A)
Span margin-Net Option value
Part B.SEBI prescribed 3% margin on exposure
Future exposure= No.of contracts*50*last closing
price*0.03
+
Long Option= No exposure margin reqd.
+
Short Option= No.of contracts*50*last closing
price*0.03
Options trading
Basic Methods:
Bullish on index = Buy call
Bearish on index= Buy Put
Anticipate volatility = Buy a Call and a Put
at same strike price
Sideways Market = Sell a Call and a Put of
different strike price
Long Options Contracts
• Highly leveraged positions with limited
risk.
– Risk is limited to the original premium paid.
Bullish market- BUY CALL
Buying Call
The spot Nifty is 1100. Which call to buy???
The call with strike 1060 is deep-in-the-money and hence
has higher premium.The call with strike 1120 is out-of-
money and trades at lower premium. The 1180 call is
deep-out-of-money and buying this is buying lottery.
Decide your trade based on where you feel the Nifty will
move and then the premium comes in play. (Generally at
the money call has good chance of making profit)
Pay-off for Call buyer at 1080
-30
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
1040 1060 1080 1100 1120 1140 1160
Pay-off
Economic Payoff for Call Option
-20
-15
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
20
80
82
84
86
88
90
92
94
96
98
100
102
104
106
108
110
112
114
116
118
120
Asset Price
Gain/Loss
Buy Call
Sell Call
Bearish on market- Buy Put
Buying Put
• First time you shall buy when you are
bearish in market.
• If the index falls you gain and you lose only
premium if index moves up.
• The premium and your market study on
extent of index fall again plays a big role in
selection of which PUT to BUY.
Pay-off for Put buyer at 1120
-30
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
1040 1060 1080 1100 1120 1140 1160
Pay-off
Economic Payoff for Put Option
-20
-15
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
20
80
82
84
86
88
90
92
94
96
98
100
102
104
106
108
110
112
114
116
118
120
Asset Price
Gain/Loss
Buy Put
Sell Put
Volatile market
• BUY a CALL and a PUT at same strike
A variation combining the buy call and buy put
strategy is called a straddle.
It involves holding both a long call and long put
position with same strike price and time to
expiration.
E.g. Buy Call = 1100 Premium = 10
Buy Put = 1100 Premium = 10
Pay-off for straddle at strike of 1100
-30
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
1040 1060 1080 1100 1120 1140 1160
Pay-off
Option Strangles
• Consist of buying a put and buying a call
(Long Strangle) with the put strike lower
than the call strike, and both option legs
have the same expiration;
OR
• Consist of selling a put and selling a call
(Short Strangle) with the put strike lower
than the call strike, and both options legs
have the same expiration
Long Strangles
• Maximum loss is equal to net debit, or total
premium paid
• Maximum profit is unlimited
• Breakeven levels are equal to:
– put strike minus net debit
– call strike plus net debit
• Net delta is approximately zero when
strikes are equi-distant from current
underlying price
Economic Pay off for Long Strangle
-200
-100
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
Sensex level
Profit/Loss
Short Strangles
• Maximum profit is equal to net credit
• Maximum loss = unlimited
• Breakeven levels are equal to:
– put strike minus net credit
– call strike plus net credit
• Net delta is approximately zero when
strikes are equi-distant from current
underlying price
Economic Pay off for Short
Strangle
-600
-400
-200
0
200
Sensex level
Profit/Loss
Bullish on index-Buy Call or Sell puts
Buying Call
The spot nifty is 1250. Which call to buy???
The call with strike 1200 is deep-in-the-money and hence
higher premium.The call with strike 1275 is out-of-
money and trades at lower premium. The 1300 call is
deep-out-of-money and buying this is buying lottery.
Decide your call based on where you feel the Nifty move
and then the premium comes in play. (Generally at the
money call has good chance of making profit)
Vertical Spreads
• Buying a call (put) and selling a call (put)
with different strike prices but the same
expiration month.
• Two types of vertical spreads
– Bull Spreads
– Bear Spreads
Debit / Credit Spreads
• Debit Spreads entail a net pay-out of option
premium
• Credit Spreads entail a net collect of option
premium
Bear Vertical Spreads
• Bear Call Spread (Credit Spread)
• Bear Put Spread (Debit Spread)
Bear Spreads have a negative delta and
consist of:
– Buying the higher strike call (put)
– Selling the lower strike call (put)
Economic Payoff of Bear Spread
-200
-150
-100
-50
0
50
100
150
200
3000
3100
3200
3300
3400
3500
3600
3700
3800
3900
4000
4100
4200
4300
4400
4500
4600
4700
4800
4900
5000
Sensex Level
Profit/Loss
Bear Vertical Spreads
• Maximum loss occurs above upper strike
price
• Maximum profit occurs below lower strike
price
• Breakeven level equals:
– Lower strike plus credit (call spread)
– Upper strike minus debit (put spread)
• Have net negative delta, that is, benefit
from a decline in market price levels.
Bull Vertical Spreads
• Bull Call Spread (Debit Spread)
• Bull Put Spread (Credit Spread)
Bull Spreads have a positive delta and consist
of:
– Buying the lower strike price call (put)
– Selling the higher strike price call (put)
Bull Vertical Spreads
• Maximum loss occurs below lower strike
price
• Maximum profit occurs above upper strike
price
• Breakeven level equals:
– Lower strike plus debit (call spread)
– Upper strike minus credit (put spread)
• Have net positive delta, that is, benefit from
an increase in market price levels.
Economic Pay off for Bull Spread
-150
-100
-50
0
50
100
150
Sensex level
Profit/Loss

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Derivatives

  • 2. Derivatives Defined • Derivative is a product whose value is derived from the value of underlying asset in a contractual manner. • In simple terms they are contracts for future delivery of assets and payment for them.
  • 3. Emergence of the Market • Can be traced back to the willingness of risk-averse economic agents to guard themselves against uncertainties arising out of fluctuations in asset prices. • Through the use of derivative products, it is possible to partially or fully transfer price risks by locking in asset prices.
  • 4. Role of Derivatives • As instruments of risk management, these generally do not influence the fluctuations in the underlying asset prices. • However, by locking-in asset prices, derivative products minimize the impact of fluctuations in asset prices on the profitability and cash flow situation of risk-averse investors.
  • 5. Initial Derivative Instruments • Commodity derivatives • Financial derivatives • 1972 - CME started trading currency futures. • 1973- CBOE – Equity options • 1976 – CME Treasury Bill futures • Now financial derivatives are very popular. • Account for about two-thirds of total transactions in derivative products.
  • 6. Factors Driving Growth of Derivatives Use • Increased volatility in prices in financial markets. • Increased integration of stock markets world-wide • Improvement in communication facilities • Development of sophisticated risk management tools and strategies. • Innovations in derivative markets.
  • 7. Derivative Markets- Economic Functions • Derivatives help in discovery of future as well as current prices. • Helps to transfer risks from those who have them but may not like them. • Linkage to the underlying cash markets. Cash markets witnesses higher trading volumes because of participation by more players who would not otherwise participate for lack of an arrangement to transfer risk.
  • 8. Derivative Markets- Economic Functions (contd.) • Speculative trades shift to a more controlled environment. • Derivatives have a history of attracting bright, creative, well-educated people with an entrepreneurial attitude. They create new products. • Help increase savings and investments in the long run. Transfer of risk enables market participants to expand their volume of activity.
  • 9. Development of Derivative Exchanges • Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) in 1848. Exchange for forward contracts. • In 1865, first futures contract was introduced in CBOT. • In 1876 “Grain Call” trading established in Kansas City Board of Trade.
  • 11. The Road Ahead • CASH MARKET • Investments • Day Trading • Rolling Settlement • Derivatives Market • Hedging • Speculation • Arbitrage • Index Based • Scrip Based
  • 12. Stock Index Futures • Is a derivative contract whose underlying is a stock index.
  • 13. Why index future??  The market is conditioned to think in terms of the index and therefore would prefer to trade in stock index futures. Further, the chances of manipulation are much lesser  The transaction cost is lower.
  • 14. Futures Terminology • Spot price: The price at which an asset trades in the spot market. • Futures price: The price at which the futures contract trades in the futures market. • Contract cycle: The period over which a contract trades. The index futures contracts on the NSE have one-month, two-months and three-months expiry cycles.
  • 15. Futures Terminology (contd.) • The index futures of a month expire on the last Thursday of the month. • On the Friday following the last Thursday of the month, a new contract having three-month expiry period would be introduced for trading. • Expiry Date: It is the last day on which the contract will be traded and at the end of which it will cease to exist.
  • 16. Futures Terminology (contd.) • Contract Size: The amount of asset that has to be delivered under one contract. For instance, the contract size on NSE future market is 200 Nifties. • Future prices normally exceed spot prices.
  • 17. QUESTION If you have a portfolio of 2 crores and you expect the market to come down by 1000 points in the short term, what will be the most prudent way to reduce your risk?
  • 18. CHOICES • Sell your portfolio in the cash market • Ask your Family Astrologer • Use Index Derivatives to hedge your Portfolio • Do nothing and observe your portfolio eroding.
  • 19. Indexes • In recent years, indexes have come to the forefront owing to direct application in finance in the form of index funds and index derivatives. • Index derivatvies allow people to cheaply alter their risk exposure to an index(hedging) and to implement forecasts about index movements (speculation)
  • 20. Purpose of Index Futures • Hedging • Speculation • Arbitrage
  • 21. Derivative Market Dynamics • Hedgers – FII’s, Mutual Funds, Pension Funds, Insurance Companies, HNI’s • Speculators – Big Operators, HNI’s, Proprietary Traders
  • 22. Hedging • A Hedge is a combination of positions, where one position profits and the other position loses. • So a hedge can be thought of as an insurance against being wrong. • A hedge can help lock existing profit. • Its purpose is to reduce the volatility of a portfolio, by reducing risk. • Derivatives are widely used for hedging.
  • 23. Speculation • Bullish index, long Nifty futures • Bearish index, short Nifty futures
  • 24. Speculation Buy(in July) {Spot Nifty-1120} August contract at 1125 NSE Nifty Exposure 1125 x200 = Rs.2,25,000 Margin @ 15% = Rs. 33,750/- Sell (after a few days) August Contract at 1165 NSE Nifty at 1160 Profit on square off = [1165-1125]x200 = Rs.8000 Return on margin = Rs.8000/33750 = 23.70% Amount released on square off =Rs.33750 + Rs.8000
  • 25. Pay-off for a future buyer -80 -60 -40 -20 0 20 40 60 80 1065 1085 1105 1125 1145 1165 1185 Nifty
  • 26. Pay-off for a future seller -80 -60 -40 -20 0 20 40 60 80 1065 1085 1105 1125 1145 1165 1185 Profit
  • 27. Arbitrage • The cash markets and the futures markets are tightly linked. • On the day of maturity, cash and future market index converge. • Arbitrageurs bring price uniformity and help price discovery. • The cash market and index futures provide arbitrage opportunities which arise due to imbalance between hedgers and speculators.
  • 28. Arbitrage • Have funds, lend them to the market • Have securities, lend them to the market
  • 29. Example • You own a 1 million portfolio with a beta of 1.25. Current Nifty level 1250. Three month puts at a strike of 1100 are available. How many put contracts should you buy for insuring your portfolio against an index fall below 1100? • 1. Four • 2. Five • 3. Eight • 4. Ten • The answer is -----
  • 30. ….the answer is At a spot Nifty level of 1250 for a portfolio value of 1 million with beta of 1.25, the number of puts to buy is (10,00,000*1.25) / 1250 =1000 puts. At a market lot of 200 per contracts you have to buy 5 contracts to insure your portfolio.
  • 31. Advantage of Futures Trading • Day traders delight – At a single price buying/selling market lot. – Ability to exit with small movement in price. – Advantage of no circuits – Fear of market lot negated with small price movements • Highly leveraged position.(double edged sword) • Positions carried overnight based on closing market trend. • Position can be carried forward for 1-3 months.
  • 32. Standard Portfolio Analysis of Risk (SPAN) • A methodology to evaluate risk • Risk-based, portfolio-approach margining • Part of the VAR family • A flexible framework • Efficient and understandable • An industry-standard
  • 33. SPAN History • Developed by CME in 1988 • Rapidly adopted by all US futures markets • The standard in financial capitals worldwide -- Tokyo, Osaka, Singapore, Hong Kong, Sydney, London, Paris, Toronto, New York, Chicago, and now Mumbai • Numerous other markets are in the “SPAN adoption pipeline”
  • 34. Uses for SPAN • Margin (performance bond) calculation • General-purpose risk analysis • Stress testing • Real-time pre- or post-execution risk- based credit controls • Risk-based capital requirements
  • 35. SPAN and margining • SPAN makes it easy to support cross- margin agreements between clearing organizations • Scan risk -- the core of SPAN -- determines the worst possible loss assuming perfect correlation of price movements across contract months
  • 36. SPAN Mechanics • The exchange sets the inputs to SPAN, modifying them as often as desired • Every day, the exchange calculates SPAN risk arrays for all of its products and packages all of its SPAN data into its daily SPAN risk parameter file, which is then published • Members, firms, customers etc. then use the data from the SPAN file, together with their positions data, to calculate SPAN margin requirements
  • 37. PC SPAN PC SPAN Master file Risk parameter files Position file Output / Margin (Report form or file form- XML)
  • 39. Options An instrument which gives the buyer substantial upside potential but with limited downside risk / cost
  • 40. Options • Deferred delivery contracts • give the buyer the right • not the obligation • to buy or sell • a specified underlying • at a set price • on or before a specified date
  • 41. Option Premium • Premium : The fee that the buyer pays the option writer up front while buying. It is the maximum loss the buyer can suffer. • The premium is also referred to as value of the option or price of the option.
  • 42. Index Options Index options are European options, which means contracts will be settled on date of expiry only. The date of expiry shall be the last Thursday of the contract month. The contracts shall be available for 1,2 and 3 months. The underlying for Index Options -for BSE- 30Sensex -for NSE- Nifty
  • 43. Strike Price or Exercise Price • The price at which the buyer of a call option has the right (but not the obligation) to purchase the underlying. • The price at which the buyer of a put option has the right (but not the obligation) to sell the underlying.
  • 44. Call Option • Right to BUY a specified underlying at a set price on or before an expiration date. • The holder of a RIL Dec 500 call option has the right to buy (or go long) 100 RIL shares at a price of 500 anytime between purchase and expiration.
  • 45. Call Buyer Vs Seller • Call Buyer – Pays premium – Has choice to exercise to buy the asset • Call Seller – Collects premium – Has obligation to give the asset
  • 46. Example Deepak is bullish about the index spot nifty 1250. He decides to buy 3-month Nifty call contract with strike of 1290. Three month later the index closes at 1300. His pay-off on the position is .. 1. Rs.7,000 2. Rs.2,000 3. Rs.19,000 4. None of the above.
  • 47. Put Option • Right to SELL a specified underlying at a set price on or before an expiration date. • The holder of a RIL Dec 250 put option has the right to sell (or go short) a RIL share at a price of 250 anytime between purchase and expiration.
  • 48. Put Buyer Vs Seller • Put Buyer – Pays premium – Has choice to deliver asset • Put Seller – Collects premium – Has obligation to take the asset.
  • 49. Bearish Index- Buy Puts or Sell Call Buy Put First time you shall buy when you are bearish in market. If the index falls you gain and you lose premium if index moves up.The premium and your belief the fall in index again plays a big role in selection of which PUT to BUY.
  • 50. Example • Anand is bearish when Nifty is at 1240.He decides to buy one 2-month put option at strike of 1225 for a premium of Rs.34.50. Two months later Nifty is 1280. His pay-off is : • Rs. -6900 • Rs.-4000 • Rs.-5300 • Rs.-12000
  • 51. Types of Options • American Option – can be exercised any time on or before the expiration date • European Option – can be exercised only on the expiration date
  • 52. Scrip Options Scrip options shall be American which means it can be settled same day The writer of option will be strictly monitored with MTM margins. The value of premium shall be critical and bring in speculators and arbitrageurs to take position.
  • 53. Option Calculator The premium calculator helps the user to understand how a change in any one of the factors or more, will affect the option price Professional traders for trading & managing the risk of large positions in options & stocks use option Greeks which are available in the option calculator
  • 54. Option Pricing Models • Black-Scholes Model – Pce = S*N(d1) - X e -Rf.t * N(d2) – Normal Distribution Function • Binomial (Cox-Ross-Rubenstein) Model – Ppe = X e -Rf.t * N(-d2) - S*N(-d1) – Binomial Distribution Function
  • 55. Factors affecting Option Values Current Price of the underlying asset (S) Exercise Price of the option(X) Time to Expiry (T) Volatility of prices of the underlying asset (σ) Interest Rates (Rf)
  • 56. Option Greeks Option Greeks are: Delta: is the option Greek that measures the estimated change in option premium/price for a change in the price of the underlying. Gamma : measures the estimated change in the Delta of an option for a change in the price of the underlying Vega : measures the estimated change in the option price for a change in the volatility of the underlying. Theta: measures the estimated change in the option price for a change in the time to option expiry. Rho: measures the estimated change in the option price for a change in the risk free interest rates.
  • 57. Delta (∆) • Derivative of the option pricing formula with reference to the asset price (S) • Measures the estimated change in the option premium for a change in S • For example: If underlying increases by 1 point, a call option whose delta is 0.5 would increase only 0.5 points. • Delta for futures is always near 100%
  • 58. Delta • In-the-money option: Higher Deltas (.8) • At-the-money option: Average Deltas (.5) • Out-of-the-money option: Lower Deltas (.2)
  • 59. Delta • Deep In-the-money options – Delta converges to 1.00 – Premium will typically move bit-by-bit with underlying • Deep Out-of-the-money options – Delta converges to Zero – Premium will generally be very unresponsive to movement in underlying
  • 60. Knowing an Option’s Delta • Can Help the Trader – Estimate the change in the option premium compared to the change in the underlying – Determine the number of options needed to equal one futures contract. – Determine the probability that the option will expire in-the-money – In margining and risk analysis
  • 61. Delta • Bullish Positions • Long futures • Long call • Short put Have positive (+) deltas • Bearish Positions • Short futures • Short call • Long put Have negative (-) deltas
  • 62. Understanding “Delta” 15 Days to expiry – assumed Call Strike price Delta Premiums at different market price Rs.240 Rs.250 Rs.260 200 0.99 40.95 50.85 60.83 220 0.88 22.20 31.35 41.05 240 0.54 8.30 14.65 22.60 260 0.19 2.00 4.60 9.00 280 0.04 0.25 0.91 2.40
  • 63. Gamma (γ) • Second derivative of the option pricing formula with reference to the asset price (S) • Measures the estimated change in the delta of the option for a change in S
  • 64. Sensex 4000 call w ith 30 days to expiry 0 0.001 0.002 3600 3700 3800 3900 4000 4100 4200 4300 4400 Sensex level Gamma
  • 65. Gamma • Sensex call 4000 at Sensex level of 4000 • Delta = 0.568 and gamma = 0.002 If Sensex increases by one point to 4001 then delta (not the premium) will increase by 0.002 points to 0.57 (0.0568 + 0.002). In other words, the option premium will increase or decrease in value by 0.568 point when Sensex rises to 4001 and by 0.057 points when Sensex rises from 4001 to 4002 level.
  • 66. Gamma • Positive Gamma Position – Long Calls – Long Puts • Negative Gamma Position – Short Calls – Short Puts • (Delta)+(Gamma)=(New Delta) for incremental increase in the underlying • (Delta)-(Gamma)=(New Delta) for incremental decrease in the underlying
  • 67. Vega (κ) • Derivative of the option pricing formula with reference to the volatility of the asset returns (σ) • Measures the estimated change in the option premium for a change in σ
  • 68. Vega (κ) • For Sensex Call 4000 at Sensex level of 4000 having 30 days to expire when implied volatility is 20%, interest rate is 10% and dividend yield is nil, the premium is 108 and Vega is 4.50, the premium would increase to 112.50 when implied volatility moves up to 21%.
  • 69. Vega • Positive Vega Position – Long Calls – Long Puts • Negative Vega Position – Short Calls – Short Puts
  • 70. Vega • Original Option Premium + Vega = New Option Premium for 1% increase in Implied Volatility • Original Option Premium - Vega = New Option Premium for 1% de crease in Implied Volatility
  • 71. Theta (τ) • Derivative of the option pricing formula with reference to the time to option expiry (T) • Measures the estimated change in the option premium for a change in T
  • 72. Theta (τ) • For Sensex Call 4000 at Sensex level of 4000 having 30 days to expire when implied volatility is 20%, interest rate is 10% and dividend yield is nil, the premium is 108 and Theta is 2.1, the premium would decrease to 105.9 on next day when days to expiry remains 29.
  • 73. Rho (ρ) • Derivative of the option pricing formula with reference to the risk free rate (Rf) • Measures the estimated change in the option premium for a change in Rf
  • 74. Premium Value • Option premium is based on factors Intrinsic value Time value Volatility
  • 75. Intrinsic value • The difference between strike and spot when it is in-the-money option. • Intrinsic value is Zero for all out-of-the money option.
  • 76. Time Value of option • Value of an option is usually greater than intrinsic value because of probability that spot will rise / fall in future. • The time value of an option decreases as the time to maturity decreases.
  • 77. Intrinsic value & Time Value Current market price of Satyam Rs.240 Call Strike Price Premium Intrinsic Value Time Value 200 40.95 40 0.95 220 22.20 20 2.20 240 8.30 0 8.30 260 2.00 0 2.00 280 0.25 0 0.25
  • 78. Understanding Time value 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 6 5 4 3 2 1 No. of balls remaining Runrate Run Rate Probability to win
  • 79. Volatility Scrip Volatility STRIKE SPOT Premium HLL 3% 200 190 5 Satyam 12% 200 190 10
  • 80. Futures V/s Options • Trading Futures may be viewed as a one- dimensional game. Only the market price has an impact on your profit and loss.
  • 81. Futures V/s Options • Risk- Futures have unlimited & Options buying have limited risk • Trading Options may be viewed as a two dimensional game. Changes in an: – Option’s underlying price, and/or – Option’s implied volatility will have an impact on your profit or loss
  • 82. Index Options -Margins Margins is the sum of following 3 parts Part A -SPAN Margin 1. Risk Parameter file shall be generated 3 times and uploaded to trading member for margins. Opening Afternoon(1.00PM) Closing 2 Net Option Value(NOV)=(Long Option value- Short Option Value)* the number of contracts
  • 83. Index Options -Margins • Margin (Part A) Span margin-Net Option value Part B.SEBI prescribed 3% margin on exposure Future exposure= No.of contracts*50*last closing price*0.03 + Long Option= No exposure margin reqd. + Short Option= No.of contracts*50*last closing price*0.03
  • 84. Options trading Basic Methods: Bullish on index = Buy call Bearish on index= Buy Put Anticipate volatility = Buy a Call and a Put at same strike price Sideways Market = Sell a Call and a Put of different strike price
  • 85. Long Options Contracts • Highly leveraged positions with limited risk. – Risk is limited to the original premium paid.
  • 86. Bullish market- BUY CALL Buying Call The spot Nifty is 1100. Which call to buy??? The call with strike 1060 is deep-in-the-money and hence has higher premium.The call with strike 1120 is out-of- money and trades at lower premium. The 1180 call is deep-out-of-money and buying this is buying lottery. Decide your trade based on where you feel the Nifty will move and then the premium comes in play. (Generally at the money call has good chance of making profit)
  • 87. Pay-off for Call buyer at 1080 -30 -20 -10 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 1040 1060 1080 1100 1120 1140 1160 Pay-off
  • 88. Economic Payoff for Call Option -20 -15 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 20 80 82 84 86 88 90 92 94 96 98 100 102 104 106 108 110 112 114 116 118 120 Asset Price Gain/Loss Buy Call Sell Call
  • 89. Bearish on market- Buy Put Buying Put • First time you shall buy when you are bearish in market. • If the index falls you gain and you lose only premium if index moves up. • The premium and your market study on extent of index fall again plays a big role in selection of which PUT to BUY.
  • 90. Pay-off for Put buyer at 1120 -30 -20 -10 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 1040 1060 1080 1100 1120 1140 1160 Pay-off
  • 91. Economic Payoff for Put Option -20 -15 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 20 80 82 84 86 88 90 92 94 96 98 100 102 104 106 108 110 112 114 116 118 120 Asset Price Gain/Loss Buy Put Sell Put
  • 92. Volatile market • BUY a CALL and a PUT at same strike A variation combining the buy call and buy put strategy is called a straddle. It involves holding both a long call and long put position with same strike price and time to expiration. E.g. Buy Call = 1100 Premium = 10 Buy Put = 1100 Premium = 10
  • 93. Pay-off for straddle at strike of 1100 -30 -20 -10 0 10 20 30 40 50 1040 1060 1080 1100 1120 1140 1160 Pay-off
  • 94. Option Strangles • Consist of buying a put and buying a call (Long Strangle) with the put strike lower than the call strike, and both option legs have the same expiration; OR • Consist of selling a put and selling a call (Short Strangle) with the put strike lower than the call strike, and both options legs have the same expiration
  • 95. Long Strangles • Maximum loss is equal to net debit, or total premium paid • Maximum profit is unlimited • Breakeven levels are equal to: – put strike minus net debit – call strike plus net debit • Net delta is approximately zero when strikes are equi-distant from current underlying price
  • 96. Economic Pay off for Long Strangle -200 -100 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 Sensex level Profit/Loss
  • 97. Short Strangles • Maximum profit is equal to net credit • Maximum loss = unlimited • Breakeven levels are equal to: – put strike minus net credit – call strike plus net credit • Net delta is approximately zero when strikes are equi-distant from current underlying price
  • 98. Economic Pay off for Short Strangle -600 -400 -200 0 200 Sensex level Profit/Loss
  • 99. Bullish on index-Buy Call or Sell puts Buying Call The spot nifty is 1250. Which call to buy??? The call with strike 1200 is deep-in-the-money and hence higher premium.The call with strike 1275 is out-of- money and trades at lower premium. The 1300 call is deep-out-of-money and buying this is buying lottery. Decide your call based on where you feel the Nifty move and then the premium comes in play. (Generally at the money call has good chance of making profit)
  • 100. Vertical Spreads • Buying a call (put) and selling a call (put) with different strike prices but the same expiration month. • Two types of vertical spreads – Bull Spreads – Bear Spreads
  • 101. Debit / Credit Spreads • Debit Spreads entail a net pay-out of option premium • Credit Spreads entail a net collect of option premium
  • 102. Bear Vertical Spreads • Bear Call Spread (Credit Spread) • Bear Put Spread (Debit Spread) Bear Spreads have a negative delta and consist of: – Buying the higher strike call (put) – Selling the lower strike call (put)
  • 103. Economic Payoff of Bear Spread -200 -150 -100 -50 0 50 100 150 200 3000 3100 3200 3300 3400 3500 3600 3700 3800 3900 4000 4100 4200 4300 4400 4500 4600 4700 4800 4900 5000 Sensex Level Profit/Loss
  • 104. Bear Vertical Spreads • Maximum loss occurs above upper strike price • Maximum profit occurs below lower strike price • Breakeven level equals: – Lower strike plus credit (call spread) – Upper strike minus debit (put spread) • Have net negative delta, that is, benefit from a decline in market price levels.
  • 105. Bull Vertical Spreads • Bull Call Spread (Debit Spread) • Bull Put Spread (Credit Spread) Bull Spreads have a positive delta and consist of: – Buying the lower strike price call (put) – Selling the higher strike price call (put)
  • 106. Bull Vertical Spreads • Maximum loss occurs below lower strike price • Maximum profit occurs above upper strike price • Breakeven level equals: – Lower strike plus debit (call spread) – Upper strike minus credit (put spread) • Have net positive delta, that is, benefit from an increase in market price levels.
  • 107. Economic Pay off for Bull Spread -150 -100 -50 0 50 100 150 Sensex level Profit/Loss