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Introduction to Competition
Economics
University of Sydney Law School
Competition Law 2015
Dr Luke Wainscoat
Senior Economist, HoustonKemp
© 2015
HoustonKemp.com
Economics provides insights into competition law
• Competition and Consumer Act is based largely on
what economics tells us harms consumers
• Economics will help you understand cases and
judgments (to an extent…)
• You will not be examined directly on your
understanding of economics
2
HoustonKemp.com
Economics is a language and set of analytical tools
• No single answer to each economic problem
› “economics is the only field in which two people can get a
Nobel Prize for saying exactly the opposite thing” Anon
› “Give me a one handed economist” Harry S Truman
• Different economic approaches
› Classical economics/price theory (Smith, 1766)
› Structure/conduct/performance (Chamberlain & Robinson,
1930’s)
› Game theory (von Neumann & Nash, 1930’s and 1940’s)
› Behavioural economics (1980’s but mostly 2000’s)
• You will learn method for analysing problems and
language
3
HoustonKemp.com
Outline
• Lecture 1:
› Demand and supply model
› Perfect competition vs. monopoly
› Economic welfare and market power
• Lecture 2:
› Game theory
› Price and quantity setting competition
› Other applied topics such as collusion and predatory pricing
4
HoustonKemp.com
Demand and Supply
The key to understanding firm conduct
HoustonKemp.com
Demand - How much is one customer willing to
purchase?
6
Price
Quantity
Demand
10 12
5
6 X
Y
7
HoustonKemp.com
Price elasticity of demand
• Percentage increase in demand from one per cent
increase in price (ie, a negative number)
7
Price
Quantity
Demand
98 100
100
X
Y
101
Elasticity=-2
Elasticity=-0.5
(less elastic)
99.5
• Elasticities of demand and supply are usually higher in the
long run than in the short run
HoustonKemp.com
Price elasticity of demand - examples
8
Luxury watches
Mars bar
HoustonKemp.com
Cross-price elasticity of demand
• The percentage increase in quantity demanded
from a one per cent increase in some other price
• Negative for complements
• Positive for substitutes
9
HoustonKemp.com
Supply - How much is one firm willing to supply?
10
Price
Quantity
Supply
10
5
12
6
15
HoustonKemp.com
Equilibrium is where demand is equal to supply
11
Price
Quantity
Supply
10
5
12
Demand
Excess supply
Excess demand
7
6
HoustonKemp.com
Increase in supply leads to lower prices and
greater sales
12
Price
Quantity
Supply
10
5
12
Demand
X
Y
11
4
Excess supply
HoustonKemp.com
Increase in demand leads to higher prices and
greater sales
13
Price
Quantity
Supply
10
5
12
Demand
X
Y
11
4
Excess demand
HoustonKemp.com
Market demand is the sum of individual demands
14
Price
Quantity5 11
Market
demand
6
4
HoustonKemp.com
What affects market demand?
• Price of product (move along demand curve)
• Price of substitutes (shift demand curve)
• Price of complements (shift)
• Income (shift)
• Tastes/technology (shift)
15
HoustonKemp.com
Increase in price of substitute will lead to rise in
market demand
16
Price
Quantity
Market
demand for
Weetbix
Price of
cornflakes
goes up
HoustonKemp.com
Market supply is the sum of individual supplies
17
Price
Quantity
6
Market
supply for
cereal
Supply of
Cornflakes
Supply of
Weetbix
2 3 5
HoustonKemp.com
Most significant change price change in 2014
• Short run demand (and supply) for crude oil are inelastic
18
18
Price
Quantity
Supply
Jan-2014 =
$110/barrel
Demand
Dec-2014 =
$50/barrel
~2% ↑ in 2014
~55% ↓ in 2014
Source: http://www.vox.com/2014/12/16/7401705/oil-prices-falling
HoustonKemp.com
Opportunity and sunk costs
• Opportunity cost
› Cost of doing something relative to next best alternative
• Sunk cost
› Already incurred and can never be recovered
19
HoustonKemp.com
Total cost curve
20
$
Quantity
Cost of
supplying
Weetbix
Fixed cost
Economies of
scale
Diseconomies of
scale
Variable
costs
HoustonKemp.com
Average and marginal cost
21
$
Quantity
Marginal cost
Average cost
Efficient scale of
production
Marginal cost less
than average
cost
Marginal cost more than average
cost
HoustonKemp.com
Example - supply curve for global iron ore
22
Source: RBA Statement of Monetary Policy August 2014, Box B,
http://www.rba.gov.au/publications/smp/boxes/2014/aug/b.pdf
Average variable cost
of production for each
mine:
• Wages
• Processing costs
• Cost of transport
Not including:
• Return on capital
• Debt-servicing costs
• Fixed costs
associated with
running a mine
HoustonKemp.com
Example – shifts in supply curve for iron ore
23
Source: RBA Statement of Monetary Policy August 2014, Box B,
http://www.rba.gov.au/publications/smp/boxes/2014/aug/b.pdf
HoustonKemp.com
Break
24
HoustonKemp.com
Competition and
Monopoly
An introduction to market power
HoustonKemp.com
Economic models
• You have learnt:
› Basic concepts – demand, supply, elasticity, average and
marginal cost – that are building blocks for economic models
› One “model” – the basic demand/supply framework
• Now we learn:
› Some models of markets with different characteristics and
outcomes
› Start with the basic perfect competition and monopoly
models
• Economics offers many models; the trick is knowing
and applying the most relevant one
26
HoustonKemp.com
Efficiency and welfare
• Economic welfare: consumer surplus + producer
surplus
• Consumer surplus: difference between valuation (i.e.
willingness to pay) and actual price paid for all
consumers
• Producer surplus: difference between price received
and cost (willingness to supply) for all units sold
› Not necessarily equal to profit to shareholders
› Producer surplus might also accrue to owners of scarce
inputs: e.g. the owners of the lowest-cost oilfields / agricultural
land, or skilled employees/managers in short supply
• Economic welfare = ‘gains from trade’
• An efficient allocation means welfare is maximised
27
HoustonKemp.com
Perfect competition
• Defined by:
› Many firms – individual firms are ‘price takers’
› Many consumers – individual consumers are price takers
› Homogeneous goods
› No barriers to entry
• Outcomes:
› Zero economic profit (revenue=opportunity cost)
› Firms operate at efficient scale
› Price=marginal cost
• Markets that approach PC in practice: prices similar
for similar products, prices of firms move together,
prices move in line with costs
28
HoustonKemp.com
Perfect competition illustrated
2929
Price
Quantity
Supply
Demand
PC
price
PC
output
Each firmThe market
Quantity
Average
cost
Marginal
cost
Efficient
scale
Demand
Supply
HoustonKemp.com
Monopoly
• Defined by:
› A single firm which is a ‘price maker’
› The less it sells the higher the price; equivalently it can raise its
price without losing all its sales
› Barriers to entry prevent new suppliers entering
• Outcomes:
› Price higher than both marginal and average cost
› Higher prices and lower output than in competitive markets
› ‘Supernormal’ profits
› Some consumers with willingness-to-pay above marginal cost
nonetheless are priced out.
30
HoustonKemp.com
Monopoly in practice
• Statutory monopoly
› Privatised government businesses: e.g. electricity distribution
› Monopoly licensing: eg Star casino, Tabcorp wagering
› Proprietary knowledge protected by patent/copyright, eg
drug companies, musicians
• Natural monopoly
› Increasing economies of scale - efficient scale of production
is such that one firm can always produce cheaper than two,
eg telecommunications wires businesses
• Often both
31
HoustonKemp.com
Natural monopoly
32
$
Quantity
Average
cost
Efficient scale of
production
Demand
HoustonKemp.com
Monopoly illustrated
3333
Price
Quantity
Marginal
cost
Monopoly
output
Monopoly
price
Demand=Average
revenue=Price
Marginal revenue
PC price
PC
output
HoustonKemp.com
Efficiency and welfare
3434
Price
Quantity
Marginal cost /
Supply
Monopoly
output
Monopoly
price
Demand
PC price
PC
output
Producer surplus
DWL
Consumer
surplus
HoustonKemp.com
Efficiency and welfare
• Allocative efficiency
• Productive efficiency
• Dynamic efficiency
35
HoustonKemp.com
Preview of Lecture 2
• Game theory
› What do the monopoly and PC models leave out?
› A toolkit for analysing strategic interactions
› Examples of entry deterrence and collusion
• Models of price (Bertrand) and quantity (Cournot)
competition
• Other applied situations
36

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Economics insights into competition law

  • 1. HoustonKemp.comHoustonKemp.com Introduction to Competition Economics University of Sydney Law School Competition Law 2015 Dr Luke Wainscoat Senior Economist, HoustonKemp © 2015
  • 2. HoustonKemp.com Economics provides insights into competition law • Competition and Consumer Act is based largely on what economics tells us harms consumers • Economics will help you understand cases and judgments (to an extent…) • You will not be examined directly on your understanding of economics 2
  • 3. HoustonKemp.com Economics is a language and set of analytical tools • No single answer to each economic problem › “economics is the only field in which two people can get a Nobel Prize for saying exactly the opposite thing” Anon › “Give me a one handed economist” Harry S Truman • Different economic approaches › Classical economics/price theory (Smith, 1766) › Structure/conduct/performance (Chamberlain & Robinson, 1930’s) › Game theory (von Neumann & Nash, 1930’s and 1940’s) › Behavioural economics (1980’s but mostly 2000’s) • You will learn method for analysing problems and language 3
  • 4. HoustonKemp.com Outline • Lecture 1: › Demand and supply model › Perfect competition vs. monopoly › Economic welfare and market power • Lecture 2: › Game theory › Price and quantity setting competition › Other applied topics such as collusion and predatory pricing 4
  • 5. HoustonKemp.com Demand and Supply The key to understanding firm conduct
  • 6. HoustonKemp.com Demand - How much is one customer willing to purchase? 6 Price Quantity Demand 10 12 5 6 X Y 7
  • 7. HoustonKemp.com Price elasticity of demand • Percentage increase in demand from one per cent increase in price (ie, a negative number) 7 Price Quantity Demand 98 100 100 X Y 101 Elasticity=-2 Elasticity=-0.5 (less elastic) 99.5 • Elasticities of demand and supply are usually higher in the long run than in the short run
  • 8. HoustonKemp.com Price elasticity of demand - examples 8 Luxury watches Mars bar
  • 9. HoustonKemp.com Cross-price elasticity of demand • The percentage increase in quantity demanded from a one per cent increase in some other price • Negative for complements • Positive for substitutes 9
  • 10. HoustonKemp.com Supply - How much is one firm willing to supply? 10 Price Quantity Supply 10 5 12 6 15
  • 11. HoustonKemp.com Equilibrium is where demand is equal to supply 11 Price Quantity Supply 10 5 12 Demand Excess supply Excess demand 7 6
  • 12. HoustonKemp.com Increase in supply leads to lower prices and greater sales 12 Price Quantity Supply 10 5 12 Demand X Y 11 4 Excess supply
  • 13. HoustonKemp.com Increase in demand leads to higher prices and greater sales 13 Price Quantity Supply 10 5 12 Demand X Y 11 4 Excess demand
  • 14. HoustonKemp.com Market demand is the sum of individual demands 14 Price Quantity5 11 Market demand 6 4
  • 15. HoustonKemp.com What affects market demand? • Price of product (move along demand curve) • Price of substitutes (shift demand curve) • Price of complements (shift) • Income (shift) • Tastes/technology (shift) 15
  • 16. HoustonKemp.com Increase in price of substitute will lead to rise in market demand 16 Price Quantity Market demand for Weetbix Price of cornflakes goes up
  • 17. HoustonKemp.com Market supply is the sum of individual supplies 17 Price Quantity 6 Market supply for cereal Supply of Cornflakes Supply of Weetbix 2 3 5
  • 18. HoustonKemp.com Most significant change price change in 2014 • Short run demand (and supply) for crude oil are inelastic 18 18 Price Quantity Supply Jan-2014 = $110/barrel Demand Dec-2014 = $50/barrel ~2% ↑ in 2014 ~55% ↓ in 2014 Source: http://www.vox.com/2014/12/16/7401705/oil-prices-falling
  • 19. HoustonKemp.com Opportunity and sunk costs • Opportunity cost › Cost of doing something relative to next best alternative • Sunk cost › Already incurred and can never be recovered 19
  • 20. HoustonKemp.com Total cost curve 20 $ Quantity Cost of supplying Weetbix Fixed cost Economies of scale Diseconomies of scale Variable costs
  • 21. HoustonKemp.com Average and marginal cost 21 $ Quantity Marginal cost Average cost Efficient scale of production Marginal cost less than average cost Marginal cost more than average cost
  • 22. HoustonKemp.com Example - supply curve for global iron ore 22 Source: RBA Statement of Monetary Policy August 2014, Box B, http://www.rba.gov.au/publications/smp/boxes/2014/aug/b.pdf Average variable cost of production for each mine: • Wages • Processing costs • Cost of transport Not including: • Return on capital • Debt-servicing costs • Fixed costs associated with running a mine
  • 23. HoustonKemp.com Example – shifts in supply curve for iron ore 23 Source: RBA Statement of Monetary Policy August 2014, Box B, http://www.rba.gov.au/publications/smp/boxes/2014/aug/b.pdf
  • 26. HoustonKemp.com Economic models • You have learnt: › Basic concepts – demand, supply, elasticity, average and marginal cost – that are building blocks for economic models › One “model” – the basic demand/supply framework • Now we learn: › Some models of markets with different characteristics and outcomes › Start with the basic perfect competition and monopoly models • Economics offers many models; the trick is knowing and applying the most relevant one 26
  • 27. HoustonKemp.com Efficiency and welfare • Economic welfare: consumer surplus + producer surplus • Consumer surplus: difference between valuation (i.e. willingness to pay) and actual price paid for all consumers • Producer surplus: difference between price received and cost (willingness to supply) for all units sold › Not necessarily equal to profit to shareholders › Producer surplus might also accrue to owners of scarce inputs: e.g. the owners of the lowest-cost oilfields / agricultural land, or skilled employees/managers in short supply • Economic welfare = ‘gains from trade’ • An efficient allocation means welfare is maximised 27
  • 28. HoustonKemp.com Perfect competition • Defined by: › Many firms – individual firms are ‘price takers’ › Many consumers – individual consumers are price takers › Homogeneous goods › No barriers to entry • Outcomes: › Zero economic profit (revenue=opportunity cost) › Firms operate at efficient scale › Price=marginal cost • Markets that approach PC in practice: prices similar for similar products, prices of firms move together, prices move in line with costs 28
  • 29. HoustonKemp.com Perfect competition illustrated 2929 Price Quantity Supply Demand PC price PC output Each firmThe market Quantity Average cost Marginal cost Efficient scale Demand Supply
  • 30. HoustonKemp.com Monopoly • Defined by: › A single firm which is a ‘price maker’ › The less it sells the higher the price; equivalently it can raise its price without losing all its sales › Barriers to entry prevent new suppliers entering • Outcomes: › Price higher than both marginal and average cost › Higher prices and lower output than in competitive markets › ‘Supernormal’ profits › Some consumers with willingness-to-pay above marginal cost nonetheless are priced out. 30
  • 31. HoustonKemp.com Monopoly in practice • Statutory monopoly › Privatised government businesses: e.g. electricity distribution › Monopoly licensing: eg Star casino, Tabcorp wagering › Proprietary knowledge protected by patent/copyright, eg drug companies, musicians • Natural monopoly › Increasing economies of scale - efficient scale of production is such that one firm can always produce cheaper than two, eg telecommunications wires businesses • Often both 31
  • 34. HoustonKemp.com Efficiency and welfare 3434 Price Quantity Marginal cost / Supply Monopoly output Monopoly price Demand PC price PC output Producer surplus DWL Consumer surplus
  • 35. HoustonKemp.com Efficiency and welfare • Allocative efficiency • Productive efficiency • Dynamic efficiency 35
  • 36. HoustonKemp.com Preview of Lecture 2 • Game theory › What do the monopoly and PC models leave out? › A toolkit for analysing strategic interactions › Examples of entry deterrence and collusion • Models of price (Bertrand) and quantity (Cournot) competition • Other applied situations 36