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Understanding Martyrdom Terrorism
Understanding
Martyrdom Terrorism
in Europe
Understanding Martyrdom Terrorism
Dr Lewis Herrington
• MEng in Computer Science
• MA in Politics and IR Theory
• PhD in Counter Terrorism
• Government Advisor (UK/Israel)
• Book: Understanding Martyrdom
• Twitter.com/herringtonlewis
Understanding Martyrdom Terrorism
What is
martyrdom
terrorism?
Understanding Martyrdom Terrorism
Martyrdom-Terrorism:
Conspiracy to murder, accompanied by self-
inflicted death or long-term suffering designed to
satisfy a power greater than myself
Understanding Martyrdom Terrorism
What is the nature of
martyrdom terrorism in
Europe?
Who is responsible for
this recent
phenomenon?
How does a person
become a martyr
terrorist?
Why do men pursue
martyrdom?
What, Who, How and Why
Understanding Martyrdom Terrorism
A few words on methodology
• No absolute truth in social science – Why do you smoke?
• Very few empirical studies in terrorism
• Fewer in respect of martyrdom terrorism
• Mostly qualitative, anecdotal and small n
• Conflation of jihad (insurgency), terrorism and martyrdom
• Correlation is not causation
• Problem of specificity
Understanding Martyrdom Terrorism
The first individual level dataset…
• I adopted a mixed methods approach
• Forty-Eight Successful attacks in Europe 2001 to 2018
• Eighty Martyr Terrorists
• Seventy independent binary variables
• Pre-Radicalisation, Radicalisation, Martyrdom
• Check against detailed life stories
• Grounded Theory – Constantly reworking dataset
Understanding Martyrdom Terrorism
What is the nature of martyrdom terrorism in Europe?
• Martyrdom Terrorism is Spiritual not Religious
• Emerged from Islamist fellowships across Europe
• Driven by love for God, not Religion or Politics
• Relies on a socially constructed solution to Sin
• Sin = Disconnected from God
• Mostly self-starters with no connection to Al-Qaeda
Understanding Martyrdom Terrorism
What is the
Nature of
Martyrdom
Terrorism?
Two Peaks
2005 & 2017
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
2001 - 2003 2004 - 2006 2007 - 2009 2010 - 2012 2013 - 2015 2016 - 2018 2019 - 2020
What is the Nature of Martyrdom Terrorism in Europe?
Understanding Martyrdom Terrorism
Role of
Proscribed
Terrorist
Groups
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
2001 - 2003 2004 - 2006 2007 - 2009 2010 - 2012 2013 - 2015 2016 - 2018
Connected Inspired Unconnected
What is the Nature of Martyrdom Terrorism in Europe?
Understanding Martyrdom Terrorism
Modus
Operandi
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
2001 - 2003 2004 - 2006 2007 - 2009 2010 - 2012 2013 - 2015 2016 - 2018
Explosives Shooting Vehicle Stabbing
What is the Nature of Martyrdom Terrorism in Europe?
Understanding Martyrdom Terrorism
Who becomes a martyr terrorist in Europe?
• On average, martyr terrorists become increasingly religious in their early 20’s,
become active extremists by 25 and carry out an attack by 27.
• About (24%) attend university - same as national average.
• The vast majority (75%) are raised in working-class or privileged homes by two
stable parents.
• Well over half (65%) were not married and (76%) had no children.
• Significantly, at least (73%) were regular drug users before turning to religion.
Cannabis was the drug of choice but there have also been cocaine and heroin
addicts.
• Evidence of psychopathology in around 30% of cases.
Understanding Martyrdom Terrorism
Key Ages in
the Process of
Radicalisation
0
5
10
15
20
25
<18 18-20 21-23 24-26 27-29 30-32 33-35 >35
Increase Religiosity Extremist Attacked
Who becomes a Martyrdom Terrorist in Europe?
Only 5% of martyrs were over 30 when they first turned to religion
Understanding Martyrdom Terrorism
Who
becomes a
Martyr
terrorist?
Heritage
40%
14%
10%
4%
32%
Morrocan
Algerian
Tunisian
Pakistani
Other
Who becomes a Martyrdom Terrorist in Europe?
Understanding Martyrdom Terrorism
Who
becomes a
Martyrdom
Terrorist in
Europe?
Who
becomes a
Martyr
terrorist?
Childhood
7%
56%
16%
21%
Poverty
Working Class
Priviledge
Dysfunctional
Who becomes a Martyrdom Terrorist in Europe?
Understanding Martyrdom Terrorism
Who becomes a martyr terrorist in Europe?
Type Description Label Count
1
Mostly unmarried, turned to religion in
late teens
Healthy 15
2 Drug users, mostly with a criminal record Dysfunctional 28
3
Non-violent drug users with a history of
psychopathology
Psychotic 10
4
Mostly drug addicted violent career
criminals but with no history of
psychopathology
Violent 11
5
Violent drug addicted career criminals
with a history of psychopathology
Violent Psychotic 11
Understanding Martyrdom Terrorism
%
Turned to
Religion
Observed
Extremist
Attacked
Lone
Actors
Partnerships
Cell
Leaders
Cell
Followers
Healthy (19) 18.3 21.13 22.73 2 3 0 10
Dysfunctional (35) 20.78 24.29 26.48 10 2 2 14
Psychotic (12) 22 25.69 29 8 1 1 0
Violent (14) 25 26.45 29.63 3 3 4 1
Violent
Psychotic
(12) 26.13 31.3 32.6 8 2 0 1
Who becomes a martyr terrorist in Europe?
* Healthy young men are most likely to be drawn into a terrorist cell as followers on the periphery
**Drug use is progressive. As users get older, tolerance increases concomitant with dysfunctional
Understanding Martyrdom Terrorism
How does someone become a martyr terrorist?
Step 1 –
Admitted we
had a
problem
Step 2 –
Failed with
mainstream
solutions
Step 3 –
Identification
with
likeminded
individuals
Step 4 –
Acceptance
of the
Fellowship &
Programme
Step 5 –
Spiritual
Growth
Revolving Door
Understanding Martyrdom Terrorism
What is the Fellowship of Likeminded Individuals?
International (ISIS)
Regional (Sharia4UK)
Local (Small Group)
Private (Alone/Pairs)
Wide
Narrow
Understanding Martyrdom Terrorism
What is the Programme?
Prayer Preaching Sponsoring Socialising Studying
Understanding Martyrdom Terrorism
Why do men in Europe
pursue martyrdom?
• All humans worship a higher power – Self, Drugs,
Money, Ideology, Group (Religion/Cult/Fellowship)
• Spiritual experience: Positive change of higher power
• Spiritual awakening: Higher power becomes God
• All human decision making is motivated by love,
resentment, fear or amends towards higher power
• Following a period of spiritual growth (average 2-5
years) -> Decision to pursue martyrdom
• Two unique types of martyr terrorist
Understanding Martyrdom Terrorism
Two Types of Martyr Terrorist in Europe
Type A: Euphoric Type B: Melancholy
Spiritual Awakening Spiritual Experiences
Higher Power = God
Higher Power = Self or
Fellowship
Motivation:
Love & Amends
Motivation:
Fear & Resentment
Estimate: (57%) Estimate: (43%)
Mohammed Khan (7/7) Anis Amri (Berlin Market)
Understanding Martyrdom Terrorism
Thank you for listening
Any Questions?

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Understanding Martyrdom Terrorism in Europe

  • 2. Understanding Martyrdom Terrorism Dr Lewis Herrington • MEng in Computer Science • MA in Politics and IR Theory • PhD in Counter Terrorism • Government Advisor (UK/Israel) • Book: Understanding Martyrdom • Twitter.com/herringtonlewis
  • 3. Understanding Martyrdom Terrorism What is martyrdom terrorism?
  • 4. Understanding Martyrdom Terrorism Martyrdom-Terrorism: Conspiracy to murder, accompanied by self- inflicted death or long-term suffering designed to satisfy a power greater than myself
  • 5. Understanding Martyrdom Terrorism What is the nature of martyrdom terrorism in Europe? Who is responsible for this recent phenomenon? How does a person become a martyr terrorist? Why do men pursue martyrdom? What, Who, How and Why
  • 6. Understanding Martyrdom Terrorism A few words on methodology • No absolute truth in social science – Why do you smoke? • Very few empirical studies in terrorism • Fewer in respect of martyrdom terrorism • Mostly qualitative, anecdotal and small n • Conflation of jihad (insurgency), terrorism and martyrdom • Correlation is not causation • Problem of specificity
  • 7. Understanding Martyrdom Terrorism The first individual level dataset… • I adopted a mixed methods approach • Forty-Eight Successful attacks in Europe 2001 to 2018 • Eighty Martyr Terrorists • Seventy independent binary variables • Pre-Radicalisation, Radicalisation, Martyrdom • Check against detailed life stories • Grounded Theory – Constantly reworking dataset
  • 8. Understanding Martyrdom Terrorism What is the nature of martyrdom terrorism in Europe? • Martyrdom Terrorism is Spiritual not Religious • Emerged from Islamist fellowships across Europe • Driven by love for God, not Religion or Politics • Relies on a socially constructed solution to Sin • Sin = Disconnected from God • Mostly self-starters with no connection to Al-Qaeda
  • 9. Understanding Martyrdom Terrorism What is the Nature of Martyrdom Terrorism? Two Peaks 2005 & 2017 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 2001 - 2003 2004 - 2006 2007 - 2009 2010 - 2012 2013 - 2015 2016 - 2018 2019 - 2020 What is the Nature of Martyrdom Terrorism in Europe?
  • 10. Understanding Martyrdom Terrorism Role of Proscribed Terrorist Groups 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 2001 - 2003 2004 - 2006 2007 - 2009 2010 - 2012 2013 - 2015 2016 - 2018 Connected Inspired Unconnected What is the Nature of Martyrdom Terrorism in Europe?
  • 11. Understanding Martyrdom Terrorism Modus Operandi 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 2001 - 2003 2004 - 2006 2007 - 2009 2010 - 2012 2013 - 2015 2016 - 2018 Explosives Shooting Vehicle Stabbing What is the Nature of Martyrdom Terrorism in Europe?
  • 12. Understanding Martyrdom Terrorism Who becomes a martyr terrorist in Europe? • On average, martyr terrorists become increasingly religious in their early 20’s, become active extremists by 25 and carry out an attack by 27. • About (24%) attend university - same as national average. • The vast majority (75%) are raised in working-class or privileged homes by two stable parents. • Well over half (65%) were not married and (76%) had no children. • Significantly, at least (73%) were regular drug users before turning to religion. Cannabis was the drug of choice but there have also been cocaine and heroin addicts. • Evidence of psychopathology in around 30% of cases.
  • 13. Understanding Martyrdom Terrorism Key Ages in the Process of Radicalisation 0 5 10 15 20 25 <18 18-20 21-23 24-26 27-29 30-32 33-35 >35 Increase Religiosity Extremist Attacked Who becomes a Martyrdom Terrorist in Europe? Only 5% of martyrs were over 30 when they first turned to religion
  • 14. Understanding Martyrdom Terrorism Who becomes a Martyr terrorist? Heritage 40% 14% 10% 4% 32% Morrocan Algerian Tunisian Pakistani Other Who becomes a Martyrdom Terrorist in Europe?
  • 15. Understanding Martyrdom Terrorism Who becomes a Martyrdom Terrorist in Europe? Who becomes a Martyr terrorist? Childhood 7% 56% 16% 21% Poverty Working Class Priviledge Dysfunctional Who becomes a Martyrdom Terrorist in Europe?
  • 16. Understanding Martyrdom Terrorism Who becomes a martyr terrorist in Europe? Type Description Label Count 1 Mostly unmarried, turned to religion in late teens Healthy 15 2 Drug users, mostly with a criminal record Dysfunctional 28 3 Non-violent drug users with a history of psychopathology Psychotic 10 4 Mostly drug addicted violent career criminals but with no history of psychopathology Violent 11 5 Violent drug addicted career criminals with a history of psychopathology Violent Psychotic 11
  • 17. Understanding Martyrdom Terrorism % Turned to Religion Observed Extremist Attacked Lone Actors Partnerships Cell Leaders Cell Followers Healthy (19) 18.3 21.13 22.73 2 3 0 10 Dysfunctional (35) 20.78 24.29 26.48 10 2 2 14 Psychotic (12) 22 25.69 29 8 1 1 0 Violent (14) 25 26.45 29.63 3 3 4 1 Violent Psychotic (12) 26.13 31.3 32.6 8 2 0 1 Who becomes a martyr terrorist in Europe? * Healthy young men are most likely to be drawn into a terrorist cell as followers on the periphery **Drug use is progressive. As users get older, tolerance increases concomitant with dysfunctional
  • 18. Understanding Martyrdom Terrorism How does someone become a martyr terrorist? Step 1 – Admitted we had a problem Step 2 – Failed with mainstream solutions Step 3 – Identification with likeminded individuals Step 4 – Acceptance of the Fellowship & Programme Step 5 – Spiritual Growth Revolving Door
  • 19. Understanding Martyrdom Terrorism What is the Fellowship of Likeminded Individuals? International (ISIS) Regional (Sharia4UK) Local (Small Group) Private (Alone/Pairs) Wide Narrow
  • 20. Understanding Martyrdom Terrorism What is the Programme? Prayer Preaching Sponsoring Socialising Studying
  • 21. Understanding Martyrdom Terrorism Why do men in Europe pursue martyrdom? • All humans worship a higher power – Self, Drugs, Money, Ideology, Group (Religion/Cult/Fellowship) • Spiritual experience: Positive change of higher power • Spiritual awakening: Higher power becomes God • All human decision making is motivated by love, resentment, fear or amends towards higher power • Following a period of spiritual growth (average 2-5 years) -> Decision to pursue martyrdom • Two unique types of martyr terrorist
  • 22. Understanding Martyrdom Terrorism Two Types of Martyr Terrorist in Europe Type A: Euphoric Type B: Melancholy Spiritual Awakening Spiritual Experiences Higher Power = God Higher Power = Self or Fellowship Motivation: Love & Amends Motivation: Fear & Resentment Estimate: (57%) Estimate: (43%) Mohammed Khan (7/7) Anis Amri (Berlin Market)
  • 23. Understanding Martyrdom Terrorism Thank you for listening Any Questions?