Executive Director Steven Tobin was a keynote speaker at the Growing Your Workforce Conference hosted by Workforce Planning West and Learning Networks of Western Region.
Growing Your Workforce: Attraction, Development and Retention
1. LABOUR MARKET INFORMATION COUNCIL
CONSEIL DE L’INFORMATION SUR LE MARCHÉ DU TRAVAIL
Growing Your Workforce:
Attraction, Development and Retention
23 October 2019
2. LABOUR MARKET INFORMATION COUNCIL
CONSEIL DE L’INFORMATION SUR LE MARCHÉ DU TRAVAIL
Outline
1. Current snapshot
2. What does the future old?
3. What can we do?
3. LABOUR MARKET INFORMATION COUNCIL
CONSEIL DE L’INFORMATION SUR LE MARCHÉ DU TRAVAIL
Unemployment rate is lower than rest of Canada
5.6% 6.0%
4. LABOUR MARKET INFORMATION COUNCIL
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With some regional variation in unemployment
2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5%
Starford-Bruce Penisula
Kitchener-Waterloo-Barrie
Ottawa
Northwest
Kingston-Pembroke
Hamilton-Niagara Penisula
London
Windsor-Sarnia
Rest of Canada
Toronto
Muskoka-Kawarthas
Northeast
5. LABOUR MARKET INFORMATION COUNCIL
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… and job vacancy growth
-10.0% -5.0% 0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0% 30.0%
Starford-Bruce Penisula
Windsor-Sarnia
Hamilton-Niagara Penisula
Muskoka-Kawarthas
Northwest
Kitchener-Waterloo-Barrie
London
Ontario
Toronto
Ottawa
Kingston-Pembroke
Northeast
Q2 2019 vs Q2 2018
6. LABOUR MARKET INFORMATION COUNCIL
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Top employer challenges
21% 35% 39%
Succession
Planning
Finding skilled
workers
Retaining
workers
7. LABOUR MARKET INFORMATION COUNCIL
CONSEIL DE L’INFORMATION SUR LE MARCHÉ DU TRAVAIL
Outline
1. Current snapshot
2. What does the future look like?
3. What can we do?
8. LABOUR MARKET INFORMATION COUNCIL
CONSEIL DE L’INFORMATION SUR LE MARCHÉ DU TRAVAIL
The robots are coming?
vs
9. LABOUR MARKET INFORMATION COUNCIL
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Too many workers?
Jobs: 9% - 42% affected by automation
Tasks: Up to 50% of work activities at risk
10. LABOUR MARKET INFORMATION COUNCIL
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Not enough workers?
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
Ontario Canada
1995-2019 2019-2043
Labour force growth: Past trends and future scenarios
11. LABOUR MARKET INFORMATION COUNCIL
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Not enough workers?
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
Ontario Canada
1995-2019 2019-2043
Labour force growth: Past trends and future scenarios
12. LABOUR MARKET INFORMATION COUNCIL
CONSEIL DE L’INFORMATION SUR LE MARCHÉ DU TRAVAIL
There’s more to it than education
20%
22%
24%
26%
28%
30%
32%
34%
36%
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Ontario Canada
*Overqualified is defined as employer persons with an educational level greater than required by their current
occupation (as defined by the NOC skill level).
Share of over-qualified workers
13. LABOUR MARKET INFORMATION COUNCIL
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What we do know
Workforce attraction/retention
1. People and occupations are not the same thing
2. Population ageing is here to stay
Workforce Development
1. New occupations are always emerging
2. Increased emphasis on skills
14. LABOUR MARKET INFORMATION COUNCIL
CONSEIL DE L’INFORMATION SUR LE MARCHÉ DU TRAVAIL
Outline
1. Current snapshot
2. What does the future look like?
3. What can we do?
15. LABOUR MARKET INFORMATION COUNCIL
CONSEIL DE L’INFORMATION SUR LE MARCHÉ DU TRAVAIL
What can we do: Multipronged strategy
1. Immigration, women, older workers,
Indigenous peoples, persons with
disabilities….
16. LABOUR MARKET INFORMATION COUNCIL
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Attraction + Retention: Multipronged strategy is required
0%
10%
20%
30%
No Economic
Migrants
Close gap with
Canada
55+ gap cut in half Gender gap
Labour force growth: Illustrative scenarios 2043
17. LABOUR MARKET INFORMATION COUNCIL
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Attraction + Retention: Multipronged strategy is required
0%
10%
20%
30%
No Economic
Migrants
Close gap with
Canada
55+ gap cut in half Gender gap
Labour force growth: Illustrative scenarios 2043
18. LABOUR MARKET INFORMATION COUNCIL
CONSEIL DE L’INFORMATION SUR LE MARCHÉ DU TRAVAIL
Attraction + Retention: Multipronged strategy is required
0%
10%
20%
30%
No Economic
Migrants
Close gap with
Canada
55+ gap cut in half Gender gap
Labour force growth: Illustrative scenarios 2043
19. LABOUR MARKET INFORMATION COUNCIL
CONSEIL DE L’INFORMATION SUR LE MARCHÉ DU TRAVAIL
Attraction + Retention: Multipronged strategy is required
0%
10%
20%
30%
No Economic
Migrants
Close gap with
Canada
55+ gap cut in half Gender gap
Labour force growth: Illustrative scenarios 2043
20. LABOUR MARKET INFORMATION COUNCIL
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What can we do: Better information on skills
2. Improve our understandings of how
jobs are changing through the lens of
skills
NOC
21. LABOUR MARKET INFORMATION COUNCIL
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Understanding skills: Being more precise
1. Skills definitions? Limited and confusing
Multiple taxonomies (“soft skills”, “essential skills”, “technical
skills”, “transferable skills”, hard skills”, “STEM skills”, etc.)
2. Measurement challenges
22. LABOUR MARKET INFORMATION COUNCIL
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Mapping approaches being explored
Potential Approaches Examples Description
Consult occupational experts O*NET Experts review data from a variety of sources
(surveys, job postings, academic literature) and
assign skills to occupations
Survey workers directly O*NET Individuals self-assess skills in their current
role/occupation
Leverage web-scraped data Nesta, LinkedIn After coding online job postings with NOC, the data
are empirically associated with skills (e.g.,
incidence rate)
Hybrid of the above ? To be determined
23. LABOUR MARKET INFORMATION COUNCIL
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What can we do: Moving beyond socio-demographics
3. Target the disadvantage not just the
disadvantaged
24. LABOUR MARKET INFORMATION COUNCIL
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What can we do: Program design
Systematic gathering of data, including
control groups
Impact evaluations: Beyond monitoring
that allow for the identification of “what
works” and in which context
Time matters
25. LABOUR MARKET INFORMATION COUNCIL
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Conclusion
1. Multi-tiered strategy for workforce attraction
and retention – that focuses on barriers
2. Refined understanding of skills are key to
helping worker transitions
3. Moving beyond nets and averages
4. We can do better to build lessons for the future
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Contact
www.lmic-cimt.ca
steven.tobin@lmic-cimt.ca
@StevenTobinLMIC