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Money Supply
Introduction
The total stock of money circulating in an economy is the
money supply. The circulating money involves the currency,
printed notes, money in the deposit accounts and in the
form of other liquid assets.
ApproachesMoneysupply
Functions of Money
Measures of Money Supply
M1= C+DD+OD
M2= C+DD+OD+POSBD
M3= C+DD+OD+TD
M4= C+DD+OD+TD+TPOD
ImpactofmoneysupplyinForex
An increase in a country’s money supply causes its currency to
depreciate in forex market.
A decrease in a country’s money supply causes its currency to
appreciate in forex market.
It is showing indirect relationship between money supply & Currency.
MS = C (Vice versa)
Recent quarterly trend of Indian money supply
India
Money
Last Previous Highest Lowest Unit
Interest Rate 6.50 6.25 14.50 4.25 percent
Cash Reserve
Ratio
4.00 4.00 10.50 4.00 percent
Interbank Rate 6.81 6.77 12.97 3.10 percent
Money Supply
M1
31891.30 31639.00 32788.10 80.15 INR Billion
Money Supply
M2
32980.70 32897.08 32980.70 1127.49 INR Billion
Money Supply
M3
142070.49 141370.26 142070.49 123.52 INR Billion
Central Bank
Balance Sheet
16198.64 16484.25 23419.03 1624.31 INR Billions
Foreign Exchange
Reserves
401290.00 400850.00 426080.00 29048.00 USD Million
Loan Growth 12.90 12.70 18.70 4.10 percent
Reverse Repo
Rate
6.25 6.00 13.50 3.25 percent
Data of money supply in India
Forecasting trend of money supply
India Money Last Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19 Q2/19 2020
Interest Rate 6.5 6.5 6.75 6.75 6.75 5.75
Cash Reserve
Ratio
4 4 4 4 4 4
Interbank Rate 6.81 6.81 7.06 7.06 7.06 6.06
Money Supply
M1
31891 31310 31385 31274 31327 31326
Money Supply
M2
32981 33072 32924 32964 32965 32960
Money Supply
M3
142070 143013 145790 148540 151281 178398
Central Bank
Balance Sheet
16199 16701 16649 16595 16621 16617
Foreign
Exchange
Reserves
401290 398550 394810 392878 391882 390822
Loan Growth 12.9 12.86 12.5 12.86 12.86 12
Reverse Repo
Rate
6.25 6.25 6.5 6.5 6.5 5.5
Forecasting of money supply
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Forex exchange rate influence by money supply

  • 2. Introduction The total stock of money circulating in an economy is the money supply. The circulating money involves the currency, printed notes, money in the deposit accounts and in the form of other liquid assets.
  • 5. Measures of Money Supply M1= C+DD+OD M2= C+DD+OD+POSBD M3= C+DD+OD+TD M4= C+DD+OD+TD+TPOD
  • 6. ImpactofmoneysupplyinForex An increase in a country’s money supply causes its currency to depreciate in forex market. A decrease in a country’s money supply causes its currency to appreciate in forex market. It is showing indirect relationship between money supply & Currency. MS = C (Vice versa)
  • 7. Recent quarterly trend of Indian money supply
  • 8. India Money Last Previous Highest Lowest Unit Interest Rate 6.50 6.25 14.50 4.25 percent Cash Reserve Ratio 4.00 4.00 10.50 4.00 percent Interbank Rate 6.81 6.77 12.97 3.10 percent Money Supply M1 31891.30 31639.00 32788.10 80.15 INR Billion Money Supply M2 32980.70 32897.08 32980.70 1127.49 INR Billion Money Supply M3 142070.49 141370.26 142070.49 123.52 INR Billion Central Bank Balance Sheet 16198.64 16484.25 23419.03 1624.31 INR Billions Foreign Exchange Reserves 401290.00 400850.00 426080.00 29048.00 USD Million Loan Growth 12.90 12.70 18.70 4.10 percent Reverse Repo Rate 6.25 6.00 13.50 3.25 percent Data of money supply in India
  • 9. Forecasting trend of money supply
  • 10. India Money Last Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19 Q2/19 2020 Interest Rate 6.5 6.5 6.75 6.75 6.75 5.75 Cash Reserve Ratio 4 4 4 4 4 4 Interbank Rate 6.81 6.81 7.06 7.06 7.06 6.06 Money Supply M1 31891 31310 31385 31274 31327 31326 Money Supply M2 32981 33072 32924 32964 32965 32960 Money Supply M3 142070 143013 145790 148540 151281 178398 Central Bank Balance Sheet 16199 16701 16649 16595 16621 16617 Foreign Exchange Reserves 401290 398550 394810 392878 391882 390822 Loan Growth 12.9 12.86 12.5 12.86 12.86 12 Reverse Repo Rate 6.25 6.25 6.5 6.5 6.5 5.5 Forecasting of money supply