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Daily Commodity Report

                                                                                                          22nd October 2012
                                                            MCX GOLD (5 DECEMBER 12) –
                    Gold          Silver        Crude
                   (5 Dec-12)    (5 Dec-12)    (15Nov-12)   Gold opened higher at 31262 but moved lower to touch an intra-
 Open                 31,262         59,804         4,912   day low of 31250. However, it managed to bounce back and
                                                            moved higher to touch an intra-day high of 31291. It ended the day
 High                 31,291         59,877         4,921
                                                            with marginal gains to close at 31287.
 Low                  31,250         59,738         4,912
                                                            The RSI and the Stochastic are placed above their respective
 Close                31,287         59,841         4,914   averages, which would lead to buying support. The ADX line, -DI
 Prev. Close          31,258         59,872         4,918   line and +DI line are moving sideways, indicating a range bound
                                                            trend. MCX Gold faces resistance at 31348, 31467, 31937, 32100,
 % Change              0.09%         -0.05%        -0.08%
                                                            32393 and 32421 while the support levels are placed at 30837,
Source – MCX                                                30428, 30340, 30179, 29668 and 28859.

                    Volume (In 000's)                       Positional Call – BUY MCX GOLD (5 DECEMBER 12) @ 31375,
                                                            Stop Loss 31040 Target of 32100
                   20-Oct-12      19-Oct-12       % Chg.

 Gold (gms)           1,179.0      34,622.0      -96.59%    MCX SILVER (5 DECEMBER 12) –
 Silver (kgs)            48.4        2,051.1     -97.64%
                                                            Silver opened lower at 59804 and moved further lower to touch an
 Crude (bbl)           413.2       16,134.9      -97.44%    intra-day low of 59738. However, it managed to bounce back and
                                                            moved higher to touch an intra-day high of 59877. It ended the day
Source – MCX
                                                            with marginal losses to close at 59841.
                   Turnover (In Lacs)                       The Stochastic and the RSI are placed below their respective
                   20-Oct-12      19-Oct-12       % Chg.
                                                            average’s, which would lead to selling pressure. The ADX line, the
                                                            +DI line and the -DI line are moving sideways indicating a range
Gold                 36,879.2    1,085,115.2     -96.60%    bound trend. MCX Silver faces resistance at 60750, 61398, 61912,
                                                            62273, and 64600 while the supports are placed at 59512, 56953
Silver               28,948.4    1,234,166.0     -97.65%
                                                            and 53621 levels.
Crude                20,319.6     795,575.3      -97.45%
                                                            MCX CRUDE (15 November 12) –
Source – MCX
                                                            Crude opened higher at 4912. Incidentally, this was the lowest
                Global Market (Nymex - $)                   price recorded for the day. It moved higher to touch an intra-day
                    22/10/2012    19/10/2012      % Chg.    high of 4921. It ended the day with moderate gains to close at
                                                            4914.
 Gold (oz)            1,725.30      1,724.00       0.08%
                                                            The Stochastic is placed below its average, which would lead to
 Silver (oz)             32.23         32.10       0.41%
                                                            selling pressure. However, the RSI is still placed above its average,
 WTI Crude               90.22         90.05       0.19%    which would lead to buying support. The ADX line, the +DI line and
 Brent Crude            110.51        110.14       0.34%    the -DI line are moving sideways indicating a range bound trend. It
                                                            faces resistance at 4950 and 5050 while the supports are placed at
 Dollar Index            79.55         79.63       -0.10%
                                                            4892, 4760, 4692, 4603, 4578 and 4467
Source – www.cmegroup.com
                                                            NOTE – Stop Losses should be considered strictly on Closing
                                                            Basis




                                                        Keynote Capitals Ltd.
             The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088.
                                                   www.keynotecapitals.com
Commodity News:
Guar seed, gum prices rise on relisting buzz; confidence soars
Guar prices are inching up following speculation that the commodity would be relisted on the futures market, easing
worries of farmers who have made huge investments this year in anticipation of good returns. The price of guar gum in
Jodhpur spot market in Rajasthan was quoted at Rs 31,000 a tonne, up from Rs 20,000 a tonne a fortnight ago.
UP mills oppose move to nix custom duty on raw sugar.
Uttar Pradesh sugar millers have written to Chief Minister Akhilesh Yadav saying the Union government's proposal to
reduce the custom duty on imported raw sugar will hurt mills and farmers. The union food minister has said the
government was considering a reduction in the custom duty on raw sugar from 10% to zero per cent. This would make
sugar mills in Uttar Pradesh and other northern states financially nonviable as it would bring down sugar prices in the
market, said a sugar industry official. However, millers and refiners in coastal states like Maharashtra may not feel the
pinch as being located close to ports they would import cheap raw sugar and dump them in the market, said a private
sugar miller.
Gold, silver rise for the 3rd day on festive demand
Both gold and silver rose for the third day in a row in the bullion market on buying by stockists and retailers for the
ongoing festive season. Gold gained Rs 175 to Rs 31,725 per 10 grams, while silver added Rs 50 to Rs 60,600 per
kg. Traders said both precious metals rose despite a weak global trend on increased buying for 'Navratras' -- an
auspicious week for buying new things in Hindu mythology.
Source: ET

Economic Calendar:

   Countries /                   Monday                             Tuesday                           Wednesday

    Regions                       22/Oct                             23/Oct                              24/Oct

      India




                                                                                                 Markit Manufacturing PMI
       US                                                           Presidential Debate
                                                                                                                    (Oct)
                                                         Richmond Fed Manufacturing
                                                                                            New Home Sales (MoM) (Sep)
                                                                        Index (Oct)
                                                                                                Fed Interest Rate Decision
                                                                                                                  (Oct 24)



                            UK Nationwide Housing           Canada Retail Sales (MoM)          China HSBC Manufacturing
     Global
                            Prices n.s.a (YoY) (Sep)                             (Aug)                        PMI (Oct)
                                                                                                Euro Markit Manufacturing
                                                                                                                PMI (Oct)
                                                                                                 Euro ECB President Mario
                                                                                                    Draghi Visits Germany




                                                   Keynote Capitals Ltd.
            The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088.
                                                  www.keynotecapitals.com
Disclaimer
This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or
redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions.
This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not
to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation
would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or
take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients.
We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or
completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the
use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price
and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance.
Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve
substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price
movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a
company’s fundamentals.
Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable
basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so.
Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change
without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the
recommendations expressed herein.
We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or
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The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the
subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly
related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report.
No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent.




                                                           Keynote Capitals Ltd.
           The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088.
                                                 www.keynotecapitals.com

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Keynote commodity daily report for 221012

  • 1. Daily Commodity Report 22nd October 2012 MCX GOLD (5 DECEMBER 12) – Gold Silver Crude (5 Dec-12) (5 Dec-12) (15Nov-12) Gold opened higher at 31262 but moved lower to touch an intra- Open 31,262 59,804 4,912 day low of 31250. However, it managed to bounce back and moved higher to touch an intra-day high of 31291. It ended the day High 31,291 59,877 4,921 with marginal gains to close at 31287. Low 31,250 59,738 4,912 The RSI and the Stochastic are placed above their respective Close 31,287 59,841 4,914 averages, which would lead to buying support. The ADX line, -DI Prev. Close 31,258 59,872 4,918 line and +DI line are moving sideways, indicating a range bound trend. MCX Gold faces resistance at 31348, 31467, 31937, 32100, % Change 0.09% -0.05% -0.08% 32393 and 32421 while the support levels are placed at 30837, Source – MCX 30428, 30340, 30179, 29668 and 28859. Volume (In 000's) Positional Call – BUY MCX GOLD (5 DECEMBER 12) @ 31375, Stop Loss 31040 Target of 32100 20-Oct-12 19-Oct-12 % Chg. Gold (gms) 1,179.0 34,622.0 -96.59% MCX SILVER (5 DECEMBER 12) – Silver (kgs) 48.4 2,051.1 -97.64% Silver opened lower at 59804 and moved further lower to touch an Crude (bbl) 413.2 16,134.9 -97.44% intra-day low of 59738. However, it managed to bounce back and moved higher to touch an intra-day high of 59877. It ended the day Source – MCX with marginal losses to close at 59841. Turnover (In Lacs) The Stochastic and the RSI are placed below their respective 20-Oct-12 19-Oct-12 % Chg. average’s, which would lead to selling pressure. The ADX line, the +DI line and the -DI line are moving sideways indicating a range Gold 36,879.2 1,085,115.2 -96.60% bound trend. MCX Silver faces resistance at 60750, 61398, 61912, 62273, and 64600 while the supports are placed at 59512, 56953 Silver 28,948.4 1,234,166.0 -97.65% and 53621 levels. Crude 20,319.6 795,575.3 -97.45% MCX CRUDE (15 November 12) – Source – MCX Crude opened higher at 4912. Incidentally, this was the lowest Global Market (Nymex - $) price recorded for the day. It moved higher to touch an intra-day 22/10/2012 19/10/2012 % Chg. high of 4921. It ended the day with moderate gains to close at 4914. Gold (oz) 1,725.30 1,724.00 0.08% The Stochastic is placed below its average, which would lead to Silver (oz) 32.23 32.10 0.41% selling pressure. However, the RSI is still placed above its average, WTI Crude 90.22 90.05 0.19% which would lead to buying support. The ADX line, the +DI line and Brent Crude 110.51 110.14 0.34% the -DI line are moving sideways indicating a range bound trend. It faces resistance at 4950 and 5050 while the supports are placed at Dollar Index 79.55 79.63 -0.10% 4892, 4760, 4692, 4603, 4578 and 4467 Source – www.cmegroup.com NOTE – Stop Losses should be considered strictly on Closing Basis Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088. www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. Commodity News: Guar seed, gum prices rise on relisting buzz; confidence soars Guar prices are inching up following speculation that the commodity would be relisted on the futures market, easing worries of farmers who have made huge investments this year in anticipation of good returns. The price of guar gum in Jodhpur spot market in Rajasthan was quoted at Rs 31,000 a tonne, up from Rs 20,000 a tonne a fortnight ago. UP mills oppose move to nix custom duty on raw sugar. Uttar Pradesh sugar millers have written to Chief Minister Akhilesh Yadav saying the Union government's proposal to reduce the custom duty on imported raw sugar will hurt mills and farmers. The union food minister has said the government was considering a reduction in the custom duty on raw sugar from 10% to zero per cent. This would make sugar mills in Uttar Pradesh and other northern states financially nonviable as it would bring down sugar prices in the market, said a sugar industry official. However, millers and refiners in coastal states like Maharashtra may not feel the pinch as being located close to ports they would import cheap raw sugar and dump them in the market, said a private sugar miller. Gold, silver rise for the 3rd day on festive demand Both gold and silver rose for the third day in a row in the bullion market on buying by stockists and retailers for the ongoing festive season. Gold gained Rs 175 to Rs 31,725 per 10 grams, while silver added Rs 50 to Rs 60,600 per kg. Traders said both precious metals rose despite a weak global trend on increased buying for 'Navratras' -- an auspicious week for buying new things in Hindu mythology. Source: ET Economic Calendar: Countries / Monday Tuesday Wednesday Regions 22/Oct 23/Oct 24/Oct India Markit Manufacturing PMI US Presidential Debate (Oct) Richmond Fed Manufacturing New Home Sales (MoM) (Sep) Index (Oct) Fed Interest Rate Decision (Oct 24) UK Nationwide Housing Canada Retail Sales (MoM) China HSBC Manufacturing Global Prices n.s.a (YoY) (Sep) (Aug) PMI (Oct) Euro Markit Manufacturing PMI (Oct) Euro ECB President Mario Draghi Visits Germany Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088. www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3. Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088. www.keynotecapitals.com