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Stats for Quant:
Statistical Assessment of Reproducibility in
Quantitative Studies
Dr. Kelsey Boes | Vinueza Labs
April 12, 2018
three main
measures of
reproducibility
1. accuracy
2. precision
3. limit of quantitation (LLOQ)
percent error*
coefficient of variation* (CV%)
lower limit of quantitation
1
corresponding
statistical measures
*should be calculated for
intraday (across the course of one day) and
interday (across the course of several days)
Reference: U.S. Food and Drug Administration: Guidance for Industry Bioanalytical Method Validation. (2001)
FDA standards for validation of
quantitation method
2
validation parameter measure FDA target
linearity R2 good
precision coefficient of variation 0±15%
(±20% at limit-of-quantitation)
accuracy percent error 100±15%
(±20% at limit-of-quantitation)
sensitivity lower limit-of-quantitation
good enough for
application
Reference: U.S. Food and Drug Administration: Guidance for Industry Bioanalytical Method Validation. (2001)
General Workflow
• Data Collection
• run your quantitation curve samples
• in triplicate on three different days
• Regression
• plot each run of data (concentration vs. response)
• fit each plot with a linear regression
• Statistics
• assess accuracy with coefficient of variation
• assess precision with percent error
• assess lower limit of quantitation
3
Linear Regressions
creating your quantitation curves
4
Building the Quantitation Curve
5
• plot concentration (x) vs. analyte response (y)
• if internal standard was used, divide analyte
response by internal standard response
• generate a linear regression
• check that R2 value is close to 1.0
• note the slope (m) and y-intercept (b)
• repeat for every run
• 3+ plots and linear regressions per day
• 9+ plots and linear regressions total
Accuracy
measured through percent error
6
accuracy | intraday
7
analyte peak height (or area)
divided by
internal standard peak height
(or area)
arithmetic mean
= 100 +
𝑐𝑎𝑙𝑐𝑢𝑙𝑎𝑡𝑒𝑑 𝑐𝑜𝑛𝑐 − 𝑡ℎ𝑒𝑜𝑟𝑒𝑡𝑖𝑐𝑎𝑙 𝑐𝑜𝑛𝑐
𝑡ℎ𝑒𝑜𝑟𝑒𝑡𝑖𝑐𝑎𝑙 𝑐𝑜𝑛𝑐𝑒𝑛𝑡𝑟𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛
∗ 100%
= (𝑎𝑣𝑔 𝑜𝑓 𝑟𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑠 – 𝒃) 𝒎
where b and m are taken from
the average of the day’s linear
regressions of the quantitation
curves, y=mx+b (average of m
values and average of b values)
accuracy | interday
8
arithmetic mean of the
avg ratios from each day
= 100 +
𝑐𝑎𝑙𝑐𝑢𝑙𝑎𝑡𝑒𝑑 𝑐𝑜𝑛𝑐 − 𝑡ℎ𝑒𝑜𝑟𝑒𝑡𝑖𝑐𝑎𝑙 𝑐𝑜𝑛𝑐
𝑡ℎ𝑒𝑜𝑟𝑒𝑡𝑖𝑐𝑎𝑙 𝑐𝑜𝑛𝑐𝑒𝑛𝑡𝑟𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛
∗ 100%
= (𝑎𝑣𝑔 𝑜𝑓 𝑟𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑠 – 𝒃) 𝒎
where b and m are taken from
the average of all the linear
regressions of the quantitation
curves from every day run,
y=mx+b (average of all m values
and average of all b values)
Precision
measured through coefficient of variation (CV%)
9
precision | intraday
10
analyte peak height (or area)
divided by
internal standard peak height (or area)
arithmetic mean
= (𝑟𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜 – 𝒃) 𝒎 where b and m are taken from
that specific run’s linear
regression of the quantitation
curve, y=mx+b
= 𝑆𝑇𝐷𝐸𝑉. 𝑆(𝑎𝑙𝑙 𝑐𝑎𝑙𝑐 𝑐𝑜𝑛𝑐)
=
𝑠𝑡𝑑 𝑑𝑒𝑣
𝑎𝑣𝑔 𝑜𝑓 𝑐𝑎𝑙𝑐 𝑐𝑜𝑛𝑐
∗ 100
precision | interday
11
= 𝑆𝑇𝐷𝐸𝑉. 𝑆(“𝑎𝑣𝑔 𝑜𝑓 𝑐𝑎𝑙𝑐 𝑐𝑜𝑛𝑐” 𝑓𝑟𝑜𝑚 𝑒𝑎𝑐ℎ 𝑑𝑎𝑦)
=
𝑠𝑡𝑑 𝑑𝑒𝑣
𝑎𝑣𝑔 𝑜𝑓 𝑐𝑎𝑙𝑐 𝑐𝑜𝑛𝑐
∗ 100
arithmetic mean of the
“avg of calc conc” from each day
Lower Limit-of-Quantitation
based on variability in slope and y-intercept of quantitation curve
12
lower limit of quantitation
13
arithmetic mean of each day’s avg
where b and m are taken from that
specific run’s linear regression of the
quantitation curve, y=mx+b
= 𝑆𝑇𝐷𝐸𝑉. 𝑆(𝑒𝑎𝑐ℎ 𝑑𝑎𝑦′
𝑠 “𝑎𝑣𝑔”)
=
𝑠𝑡𝑑 𝑑𝑒𝑣
# 𝑜𝑓 𝑑𝑎𝑦𝑠
= 10 ∗
𝑠𝑡𝑑 𝑒𝑟𝑟𝑜𝑟 𝑜𝑓 𝒃
𝑎𝑣𝑔 𝒎
Reference: Shrivastava, A., Gupta, V.B.: Methods for the
determination of limit of detection and limit of quantitation of
the analytical methods. Chronicles Young Sci. 2, 21–25
(2011). doi:10.4103/2229-5186.79345
14

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Stats for Quantitation: Statistical Assessment of Reproducibility in Quantitative Studies

  • 1. Stats for Quant: Statistical Assessment of Reproducibility in Quantitative Studies Dr. Kelsey Boes | Vinueza Labs April 12, 2018
  • 2. three main measures of reproducibility 1. accuracy 2. precision 3. limit of quantitation (LLOQ) percent error* coefficient of variation* (CV%) lower limit of quantitation 1 corresponding statistical measures *should be calculated for intraday (across the course of one day) and interday (across the course of several days) Reference: U.S. Food and Drug Administration: Guidance for Industry Bioanalytical Method Validation. (2001)
  • 3. FDA standards for validation of quantitation method 2 validation parameter measure FDA target linearity R2 good precision coefficient of variation 0±15% (±20% at limit-of-quantitation) accuracy percent error 100±15% (±20% at limit-of-quantitation) sensitivity lower limit-of-quantitation good enough for application Reference: U.S. Food and Drug Administration: Guidance for Industry Bioanalytical Method Validation. (2001)
  • 4. General Workflow • Data Collection • run your quantitation curve samples • in triplicate on three different days • Regression • plot each run of data (concentration vs. response) • fit each plot with a linear regression • Statistics • assess accuracy with coefficient of variation • assess precision with percent error • assess lower limit of quantitation 3
  • 5. Linear Regressions creating your quantitation curves 4
  • 6. Building the Quantitation Curve 5 • plot concentration (x) vs. analyte response (y) • if internal standard was used, divide analyte response by internal standard response • generate a linear regression • check that R2 value is close to 1.0 • note the slope (m) and y-intercept (b) • repeat for every run • 3+ plots and linear regressions per day • 9+ plots and linear regressions total
  • 8. accuracy | intraday 7 analyte peak height (or area) divided by internal standard peak height (or area) arithmetic mean = 100 + 𝑐𝑎𝑙𝑐𝑢𝑙𝑎𝑡𝑒𝑑 𝑐𝑜𝑛𝑐 − 𝑡ℎ𝑒𝑜𝑟𝑒𝑡𝑖𝑐𝑎𝑙 𝑐𝑜𝑛𝑐 𝑡ℎ𝑒𝑜𝑟𝑒𝑡𝑖𝑐𝑎𝑙 𝑐𝑜𝑛𝑐𝑒𝑛𝑡𝑟𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛 ∗ 100% = (𝑎𝑣𝑔 𝑜𝑓 𝑟𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑠 – 𝒃) 𝒎 where b and m are taken from the average of the day’s linear regressions of the quantitation curves, y=mx+b (average of m values and average of b values)
  • 9. accuracy | interday 8 arithmetic mean of the avg ratios from each day = 100 + 𝑐𝑎𝑙𝑐𝑢𝑙𝑎𝑡𝑒𝑑 𝑐𝑜𝑛𝑐 − 𝑡ℎ𝑒𝑜𝑟𝑒𝑡𝑖𝑐𝑎𝑙 𝑐𝑜𝑛𝑐 𝑡ℎ𝑒𝑜𝑟𝑒𝑡𝑖𝑐𝑎𝑙 𝑐𝑜𝑛𝑐𝑒𝑛𝑡𝑟𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛 ∗ 100% = (𝑎𝑣𝑔 𝑜𝑓 𝑟𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑠 – 𝒃) 𝒎 where b and m are taken from the average of all the linear regressions of the quantitation curves from every day run, y=mx+b (average of all m values and average of all b values)
  • 11. precision | intraday 10 analyte peak height (or area) divided by internal standard peak height (or area) arithmetic mean = (𝑟𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜 – 𝒃) 𝒎 where b and m are taken from that specific run’s linear regression of the quantitation curve, y=mx+b = 𝑆𝑇𝐷𝐸𝑉. 𝑆(𝑎𝑙𝑙 𝑐𝑎𝑙𝑐 𝑐𝑜𝑛𝑐) = 𝑠𝑡𝑑 𝑑𝑒𝑣 𝑎𝑣𝑔 𝑜𝑓 𝑐𝑎𝑙𝑐 𝑐𝑜𝑛𝑐 ∗ 100
  • 12. precision | interday 11 = 𝑆𝑇𝐷𝐸𝑉. 𝑆(“𝑎𝑣𝑔 𝑜𝑓 𝑐𝑎𝑙𝑐 𝑐𝑜𝑛𝑐” 𝑓𝑟𝑜𝑚 𝑒𝑎𝑐ℎ 𝑑𝑎𝑦) = 𝑠𝑡𝑑 𝑑𝑒𝑣 𝑎𝑣𝑔 𝑜𝑓 𝑐𝑎𝑙𝑐 𝑐𝑜𝑛𝑐 ∗ 100 arithmetic mean of the “avg of calc conc” from each day
  • 13. Lower Limit-of-Quantitation based on variability in slope and y-intercept of quantitation curve 12
  • 14. lower limit of quantitation 13 arithmetic mean of each day’s avg where b and m are taken from that specific run’s linear regression of the quantitation curve, y=mx+b = 𝑆𝑇𝐷𝐸𝑉. 𝑆(𝑒𝑎𝑐ℎ 𝑑𝑎𝑦′ 𝑠 “𝑎𝑣𝑔”) = 𝑠𝑡𝑑 𝑑𝑒𝑣 # 𝑜𝑓 𝑑𝑎𝑦𝑠 = 10 ∗ 𝑠𝑡𝑑 𝑒𝑟𝑟𝑜𝑟 𝑜𝑓 𝒃 𝑎𝑣𝑔 𝒎 Reference: Shrivastava, A., Gupta, V.B.: Methods for the determination of limit of detection and limit of quantitation of the analytical methods. Chronicles Young Sci. 2, 21–25 (2011). doi:10.4103/2229-5186.79345
  • 15. 14

Editor's Notes

  1. After developing our quantitation method, we used FDA standards for validation.
  2. Change “theoretical” to “calculated”!