20. Latest Holders
Holder Common Stock Equivalent Held % Of CSO Market Value (USD in mm) Position Date
T. Row e Price Group, Inc. (NasdaqGS:TROW) 7,358,111 7.916 351.1 Sep-30-2014
BlackRock, Inc. (NYSE:BLK) 7,174,420 7.718 342.4 Sep-30-2014
Fidelity Investments 5,944,993 6.396 283.7 Sep-30-2014
The Vanguard Group, Inc. 5,647,282 6.075 269.5 Sep-30-2014
Robeco Group N.V. 4,902,264 5.274 233.9 Sep-30-2014
WEDGE Capital Management L.L.P. 3,327,695 3.58 158.8 Sep-30-2014
State Street Global Advisors, Inc. 3,110,169 3.346 148.4 Sep-30-2014
Invesco Ltd. (NYSE:IVZ) 2,753,893 2.963 131.4 Sep-30-2014
Daruma Capital Management, LLC 1,980,032 2.13 94.5 Sep-30-2014
Barrow , Hanley, Mew hinney & Strauss, Inc. 1,919,159 2.065 91.6 Sep-30-2014
1832 Asset Management L.P. 1,757,719 1.891 83.9 Sep-30-2014
Chartw ell Investment Partners, L.P. 1,657,209 1.783 79.1 Sep-30-2014
Franklin Resources Inc. (NYSE:BEN) 1,560,300 1.679 74.5 Sep-30-2014
Northern Trust Global Investments 1,500,927 1.615 71.6 Sep-30-2014
Pyramis Global Advisors, LLC 1,243,750 1.338 59.4 Sep-30-2014
Schroder Investment Management Limited 1,157,600 1.245 55.2 Sep-30-2014
Goldman Sachs Asset Management, L.P. 994,665 1.07 47.5 Sep-30-2014
Teachers Insurance and Annuity Association College Retirement Equities
Fund
952,071 1.024 45.4 Sep-30-2014
21.
22. Deal TypeAnnounce DateTarget NameAcquirer NameSeller NameAnnounced Total Value (mil.)Payment TypeTV/EBITDADeal StatusM&A5/29/2013Smithfield Foods IncWH Group Ltd6955.21Cash9.35CompletedM&A5/21/2012HealthCare Partners Holdings LLCDaVita HealthCare Partners Inc4459.19Cash and Stock CompletedM&A11/12/2012Jefferies Group LLCLeucadia National Corp2639.39Stock2.65CompletedM&A6/23/2014Central Garden and Pet CoHarbinger Group Inc992Cash13.07TerminatedM&A1/6/2014Stream Global Services IncConvergys CorpAyala Corp,Ares Management LLC (Fund: Ares Corporate Opportunities Fund II LP),Providence Equity Partners Inc (Fund: Providence Equity Partners VI LP)820Cash CompletedM&A6/18/2012Bluegreen CorpDiamond Resorts Parent LLC777.89Cash23.66TerminatedM&A10/23/2012Intown Hospitality Investors LPStarwood Capital Group LLCKimco Realty Corp735Cash CompletedM&A5/21/2013Philip Morris Mexico SA de CVPhilip Morris International IncGrupo Carso SAB de CV700Cash CompletedM&A7/29/2014New Breed Holding CoXPO Logistics Inc615Undisclosed CompletedM&A7/17/2013Lincoln Benefit Life CoResolution Life Holdings IncAllstate Corp/The600Undisclosed CompletedM&A8/26/2013TMS International CorpPritzker Organization534.82Cash3.68CompletedM&A9/16/201356 skilled nursing facilitiesOmega Healthcare Investors IncArk Holding Co525Cash CompletedM&A4/14/2014Wood Preservation & Railroad Services businessesKoppers Holdings IncOsmose Holdings Inc460Cash CompletedINV6/25/2014Masin-AES Pte LtdElectricity Generating PCLAES Corp/VA453Cash CompletedM&A11/5/2012US conventional oil & gas assetsHarbinger Group IncEXCO Resources Inc372.5Cash CompletedM&A6/30/2013WilcoHess LLCHess CorpAT Williams Oil Co290Cash CompletedM&A2/28/2014Certain AssetsHomefed CorpLeucadia National Corp277.22Stock CompletedINV3/18/2014Harbinger Group IncLeucadia National Corp253Cash2.75CompletedM&A12/15/2013Hard Rock Hotel & CasinoTwin River Worldwide Holdings IncLeucadia National Corp250Cash CompletedM&A4/7/2014Tropical Shipping & Construction LtdSaltchuk Resources IncAGL Resources Inc220Cash CompletedM&A1/22/2014St Regis Bal Harbour ResortAl Faisal Holding CoStarwood Hotels & Resorts Worldwide Inc213Cash CompletedINV10/11/2013ShopRunner IncAmerican Express Co,Alibaba Group Holding Ltd,Kynetic LLC206Cash CompletedSPIN2/1/2013Crimson Wine Group LtdShareholdersLeucadia National Corp201.46 CompletedM&A10/20/2014WesTower Communications IncMasTec IncExchange Income Corp199Cash CompletedINV9/27/2013Harbinger Group IncLeucadia National Corp139.78Cash1.16CompletedM&A11/26/2012Cimarron Energy Holding Co LLCCurtiss-Wright Corp135.1Cash CompletedM&A7/24/2014WJRT-TV & WTVG-TV stationsGray Television IncSJL Holdings LLC128Cash CompletedM&A10/6/2014Compass Production Partners LPHarbinger Group IncEXCO Resources Inc118.75Cash CompletedINV11/6/2013National Bank Holdings CorpNational Bank Holdings Corp100.3Cash CompletedM&A5/9/2014Turf & ornamental businessKoch Industries IncAgrium Inc85Cash CompletedM&A5/15/2013EF&A Funding LLCAres Commercial Real Estate CorpAlliant Co LLC/The62.69Cash and Stock CompletedINV5/2/2013Proteus Digital Health IncOracle Corp,Private Investor,Otsuka Holdings Co Ltd,Novartis BioVentures Ltd (Fund: Novartis Option Fund),Sino Portfolio International Ltd 62.5Cash CompletedINV4/30/2014Ambri IncTotal SA,Private Investor,Khosla Ventures LLC,KLP Enterprises LLC35Cash CompletedM&A9/30/2013Frederick's of Hollywood Group IncBank of New York Mellon Corp/The,Harbinger Group Inc,Tokarz Investments LLC,TTG Apparel LLC,Arsenal Group LLC 24.76Cash CompletedM&A2/10/2014ICG Addcar Systems LLCUGM Holdings Pty LtdArch Coal Inc21Cash CompletedINV10/27/2014iMATCHATIVE IncWells Fargo & Co,Investor Group,Inmobiliaria Carso SA de CV20Cash CompletedINV8/21/2013Backplane Inc/TheCoca-Cola Enterprises Inc,Menlo Ventures,Google Ventures,SV Angel,Founders Fund Management LLC (Fund: FF Angel LLC),Groupe Cirque du Soleil Inc,Tomorrow Ventures LLC,Lerer Hippeau Ventures Management LLC (Fund: Lerer Ventures II LP) 12Cash CompletedM&A7/5/2013Certain AssetsGarvey Group LLC/TheSchawk Inc10.2Cash and Debt CompletedM&A2/19/2013Empire Insurance CoWhite Mountains Insurance Group LtdLeucadia National Corp3.2Cash CompletedM&A5/9/2013CMBS Special Servicing BusinessKeyCorpLeucadia National CorpN/ACash CompletedM&A6/19/2013Paper and print media products business in WesternSequana SAXerox CorpN/ACash CompletedM&A5/28/2014Keystone Commercial Capital Ca IncLeucadia National CorpN/AUndisclosed CompletedM&A10/1/2013Peak Oilfield Services CoBristol Bay Native CorpNabors Industries LtdN/AUndisclosed CompletedM&A8/7/2013Eastern Associated TerminalCSX CorpIngram Industries IncN/ACash CompletedM&A2/19/2014Headliner and sun visor businessAtlas Holdings LLCJohnson Controls IncN/ACash CompletedM&A1/7/2013Masco Framing CorpAtlas Holdings LLCMasco CorpN/AUndisclosed CompletedM&A9/18/2014Eagle Ford Shale oil & gas leasesLeucadia National CorpN/ACash CompletedM&A2/11/2013Certain Roadbuilding assets and operationsFayat SASTerex CorpN/ACash CompletedM&A8/23/2013Property Claims Services IncT&H Global Holdings LLCSolera Holdings IncN/AUndisclosed CompletedM&A12/4/2013Footman James UK LtdTowergate Insurance LtdAon PLCN/AUndisclosed CompletedINV2/5/2014DataMentors Holdings IncAffiliated Managers Group Inc,Clear Choice Financial Inc,Brook Venture PartnersN/ACash CompletedINV7/14/2014CorAmerica Capital LLCHarbinger Group IncN/AUndisclosed CompletedM&A8/25/2014Sun Catalytix CorpLockheed Martin CorpTata Group,Polaris Venture Partners (Fund: Polaris Venture Partners V LP)N/AUndisclosed CompletedM&A6/25/2014Retirement services recordkeeping businessAmerican United Mutual Insurance Holding CoCity National Corp/CAN/ACash CompletedM&A11/10/2014xpient Solutions LLCHeartland Payment Systems IncN/AUndisclosed Completed
23. Deal AttributeTarget Multiples# DealsMin - MaxMedianMinMaxMean Free Cashflow47.18 - 33.3718.4 x7.1833.3720.3 x Income B/F XO53.88 - 37.8416.4 x3.8837.8420.9 x Net Income43.81 - 37.8415.5 x3.8137.8420.8 x Net Income + Deprec61.77 - 30.1013.6 x1.7730.115.9 x EBIT71.79 - 37.968.9 x1.7937.9619.9 x Cashflow from Ops.72.36 - 40.275.0 x2.3640.2721.3 x EBITDA71.16 - 23.663.7 x1.1623.6612.4 x Book Value8.98 - 4.971.9 x0.984.973.0 x Market Cap8.92 - 5.771.8 x0.925.773.3 x Stockholder Eqty8.70 - 2.511.8 x0.72.511.6 x Enterprise Value8.15 - 1.200.6 x0.151.20.7 x Total Assets9.04 - .900.5 x0.040.90.5 x Revenue8.23 - 2.440.5 x0.232.441.3 xPremiums Paid# DealsVolumePercent 25.01-50%26.98B28%28% 10.01-25%44.94B20%20%
25. WACC Analysis
($ in millions, except per share data)
Discount Rate Calculation - Assumptions
Risk-Free Rate: 2.4%
Equity Risk Premium: 7.0%
Interest Rate on Debt: 6.2% LIBOR + 225 basis points
Comparable Companies - Unlevered Beta Calculation
Levered Equi ty Unlevered
Name Beta Debt Value Tax Rate Beta
Polaris Industries Inc. 1.16 $ 288 $ 8,806 33.7% 1.14
HARLEY-DAVIDSON, INC. 1.25 5,259 14,261 34.1% 1.01
Hasbro, Inc. 0.84 1,397 6,550 19.3% 0.72
MATTEL, INC. 1.02 1,604 14,949 17.8% 0.94
THOR INDUSTRIES, INC. 0.89 - 2,792 30.6% 0.89
BRP Inc. 0.44 795 3,112 49.0% 0.39
Median 0.96 0.91
Brunswick Corporation 1.56 $ 460 $ 4,096 34%
Brunswick Corporation - Levered Beta & WACC Calculation
Unlevered Equi ty Levered
Beta Debt Value Tax Rate Beta
Brunswick Corporation 0.91 $ 460 $ 4,096 34% $ 0.98
Cost of Equity Based on Comparables: 9.3%
Cost of Equity Based on Historical Beta: 13.3%
WACC 8.7%
WACC = Cost of Equity * % Equity + Cost of Debt * % Debt *
(1 - Tax Rate) + Cost of Preferred Stock * % Preferred Stock
26. Capitalization Table
Consolidated Market Cap 4,417
- Cash and Short Term 624
+ Short Term Debt 4
+ Long Term Debt 452
+ Preferred Stock -
+ Minority Interest -
= Enterprise Value 4,249
Multiples Range Implied Price
Publ ic Company Comparables: Low High Metric Low High
LTM EV / Revenue 1.9 x 2.0 x $3,801.60 $79.28 $ 84.55
FY1 EV / Revenue 1.9 x 2.0 x $3,824.08 $79.79 $83.73
LTM EV / EBITDA 11.9 x 12.2 x $414.60 $54.85 $56.12
FY1 EV / EBITDA 10.6 x 10.9 x $440.55 $51.90 $53.38
LTM P / E 18.1 x 22.8 x $222.20 $44.96 $56.29
FY1 P / E 16.4 x 17.0 x $280.70 $51.44 $53.22
Discounted Cash Flow
DCF Multiples Method (7-11%, 6.0-14.0 x) $59.63 $71.54
DCF Gordon Growth (7-11%, 1-5% Growth) $46.28 $59.78
Precedent Transac tion Analysis
EV / Net Income 15.5x 20.8x $281 $48.50 $64.66
EV / FCF 18.4x 20.3x $339 $68.75 $75.73
EV / Net Income + Dep 13.6x 15.9x $368 $55.62 $64.81
SOTP and Analyst Price Targets
SOTP Valuation $75.85 $79.05
Analyst Price Targets $46.00 $59.00
Balance Sheet Adjustment 168.00
Outstanding Shares 93.00
27. Marine EnginesCompany NameExchange:TickerIndustry ClassificationsMarket Cap ($$ mm)TEV/Forward Total RevenueTidewater Inc. (NYSE:TDW)NYSE:TDWMarine 1,767.8 2.1 xSEACOR Holdings Inc. (NYSE:CKH)NYSE:CKHMarine 1,369.5 1.4 xInternational Shipholding Corp. (NYSE:ISH) NYSE:ISHMarine (Primary) 121.3 1.2 xScorpio Bulkers Inc. (NYSE:SALT)NYSE:SALTMarine (Primary) 477.0 2.4 xMean1.8 xMedian1.7 xBoatsCompany NameExchange:TickerIndustry ClassificationsMarket Cap ($$ mm)TEV/Forward Total RevenueQingdao Port International Co., Ltd. (SEHK:6198) SEHK:6198Commercial Marine Crafts 2,200.0 1.6 xChina Fishery Group Limited (SGX:B0Z) SGX:B0ZCommercial Marine Crafts 457.1 2.4 xSwiber Holdings Limited (SGX:AK3)SGX:AK3Commercial Marine Crafts 153.0 1.8 xMaridive & Oil Services SAE (CASE:MOIL) CASE:MOILCommercial Marine Crafts 331.8 2.4 xPan-United Corporation Ltd (SGX:P52) SGX:P52Commercial Marine Crafts 370.2 0.9 xASL Marine Holdings Ltd. (SGX:A04)SGX:A04Commercial Marine Crafts159.91.44Mean1.8 xMedian1.7 xFitnessCompany NameExchange:TickerIndustry ClassificationsMarket Cap ($$ mm)TEV/Forward Total RevenueTube Investments of India Limited (BSE:504973) BSE:504973Fitness Equipment 1,023.7 2.2 xAmer Sports Corp. (HLSE:AMEAS)HLSE:AMEASFitness Equipment (Primary) 2,420.2 1.1 xFolli Follie S.A. Commercial Industrial and Technical Company (ATSE:FFGRP) ATSE:FFGRPFitness Equipment 2,396.2 1.9 xNautilus Inc. (NYSE:NLS)NYSE:NLSFitness Equipment (Primary) 402.9 1.3 xEscalade Inc. (NasdaqGM:ESCA)NasdaqGM:ESCAFitness Equipment (Primary) 187.1 1.4 xMean1.6 xMedian1.4 x
29. 0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
BMO CapitalMarkets
SunTrustRobinsonHumphrey
Robert W. Baird & Co
Wells FargoSecurities
LongbowResearch
WunderlichSecurities
EVA Dimensions
RBC CapitalMarkets
KeyBanc CapitalMarkets
Raymond James
B Riley & Co
Brokers' Target Price
BrokerAnalystRecommendationTargetDateBMO Capital MarketsGERRICK L JOHNSONoutperform53.0021-Nov-14SunTrust Robinson HumphreyMICHAEL A SWARTZbuy55.0019-Nov-14Robert W. Baird & CoCRAIG R KENNISONoutperform54.0019-Nov-14Wells Fargo SecuritiesTIMOTHY A CONDERoutperform18-Nov-14Longbow ResearchDAVID S MACGREGORbuy50.0018-Nov-14Wunderlich SecuritiesROMMEL DIONISIObuy57.0017-Nov-14EVA DimensionsCRAIG STERLINGbuy14-Nov-14RBC Capital MarketsJOSEPH SPAKsector perform46.0024-Oct-14KeyBanc Capital MarketsSCOTT W HAMANNbuy55.0024-Oct-14Raymond JamesJOSEPH D HOVORKAstrong buy51.0024-Oct-14B Riley & CoJIMMY BAKERbuy59.0024-Oct-14
30. Holder NamePositionPosition ChangeMarket Value% of OwnershipReport DateSourceMCCOY DUSTAN E508,88424,283,9440.55%5/6/2014Form 4STAYER RALPH C90,8381,5254,334,7890.10%10/31/2014Form 4FERNANDEZ MANUEL A75,3391,7873,595,1770.08%10/31/2014Form 4ARCHIBALD NOLAN D75,1242063,584,9170.08%10/31/2014Form 4METZGER WILLIAM L71,7873,425,6760.08%3/4/2014Proxy
31. Ownership Statistics
Shares Outstanding (M) 92.4
Float 98.6%
Short Interest (M) 3.7
Short Interest as % of Float 4.07%
Days to Cover Shorts 2.57
Ownership (Institutional) 104.94%
Ownership (Retail & Other) -6.33%
Ownership (Insider) 1.39%
93%
-6% 1%
Ownership Type
Ownership (Institutional)
Ownership (Retail & Other)
Ownership (Insider)
Geographic Ownership Distribution
United States 92.59%
Canada 2.37%
Britain 2.09%
Unknown Country 1.31%
Norway 0.75%
Switzerland 0.35%
Japan 0.17%
Others 0.36%
Institutional Ownership Distribution
Investment Advisor 81.94%
Hedge Fund Manager 12.29%
Pension Fund (Erisa) 1.96%
Individual 1.31%
Others 2.51%
93%
3%
2%
1%
1%0% 0%
0%
Geographic Ownership
United States Canada
Britain Unknown Country
Norway Switzerland
Japan Others
82%
12%
2%
1% 3%
Institutional Ownership
Investment Advisor Hedge Fund Manager
Pension Fund (Erisa) Individual
Others