23. 371377193.xlsx
Valuation: Residual Income 1 2 3 4
2013 2014 2015 2016
Net Earnings 1446.3 1480.6 1701.2 2002.1
Lagged Book Value Equity 4214.0 5295.3 5389.9 5520.3
Normal Earnings (Re * BVt-1) 207.8 261.1 265.7 272.2
Abnormal Earnings 1238.5 1219.5 1435.5 1730.0
Present Value Factors 0.953 0.908 0.866 0.825
PV Abnormal Earnings 1180.3 1107.6 1242.5 1427.1
Sum PV Abnormal Earnings thru Year +10 12,030.6 Sensitivity to growth
PV of Continuing Abnormal Earnings 35,532.1 98.80
Add: Beginning Book Value of Equity 4,214.0 0%
PV of Equity 51,776.7 1%
2%
Adjust to midyear 1.02 3%
Total PV Abnormal Earnings 53,053.01 4%
Shares Outstanding 537.00
Estimated Value per Share 99
Valuation: Dividends 1 2 3 4
2013 2014 2015 2016
Dividends 277.0 1268.3 1451.1 1746.0
(1+Re) 1.049 1.101 1.155 1.212
V0 264.0 1151.9 1256.0 1440.3
Sum of V0 11398.8
D t+1 1390.9 1404.3 1627.5 1931.8
Earnings 1446 1481 1701 2002
(1+g) 1.020 1.020 1.020 1.020
Earnings*(1+g) 1475.2 1510.2 1735.3 2042.2
24. 371377193.xlsx
BV t 4214.0 5295.3 5389.9 5520.3
BV t * (1+g) 4298.3 5401.2 5497.7 5630.7
(Re-g) 2.93% 2.93% 2.93% 2.93%
Vt
PV of Vt 40,278.69
V 51677.5 Sensitivity to growth
Midterm year 1.02 98
V 52711.06 0%
1% #REF!
Shares outstanding 537.00 2% #REF!
Value Per Share 98 3% #REF!
25. 371377193.xlsx
4% #REF!
Valuation:
Free Cash Flow for Common Equity
Ending Invested capital 14237.48
ROIC beyond horizon 15.80%
cost of equity 4.93%
growth 2.0%
Horizon value 67057.07
Present value of horizon 41442.68
PV of FCF 17580.63
Total PV 59023.31
Midterm Year 1.02
Value of operation 60203.78
Add non operating assets
Cash and temporary cash investments 238.00
Deposits in-transit 955.00
Value of enterprise 61396.78
Deduct debt
2734
6145
Noncontrolling interests 7
Total deduction 8886
Value of Common equity 52510.78
Shares outstanding 537.00
Current portion of long-term debt including obligations under
capital leases and financing obligations
Long-term debt including obligations under capital leases and
financing