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NYC
Jessica Freaner
DATA SCIENTIST
Who Am I ?
Psychology BA - NYU
Self taught programmer
4+ years experience in Trade Finance as
programmer
World traveler - Multilingual
Data Scientist
Gentrification
Identifying Early Signals of Impending Change
“New York, concrete jungle where dreams are made
There's nothing you can’t do
Now you’re in New York”
–Jay Z
Gentrification
Gentrification
DEFINITION: rapid change of demographics in city
Gentrification
DEFINITION: rapid change of demographics in city
Gentrification - Signals
• Property Values:
( % ) Change from
Previous Year
Gentrification - WHY does it happen
Where it does???
Historical NYC Examples:
SoHo
East Village
Williamsburg
Gentrification
FIRST - Artists / Young People
Gentrification - Signals
Gentrification - Signals
THEN Development
Gentrification - Signals
AND Tourists
How to Capture Change???
How to Capture Change???
HYPOTHESIS: people’s voluntary movements (i.e., not for
work) signal movements of demographics
How to Capture Change???
HYPOTHESIS: people’s voluntary movements (i.e., not for
work) signal movements of demographics
Where do people go for FUN?
How to Capture Change???
HYPOTHESIS: people’s voluntary movements (i.e., not for
work) signal movements of demographics
Where do people go for FUN?
INSIGHT: look at MTA turnstile data during
Fri. / Sat. Night
Sat. / Sun. Brunch
NOT Morning Commute
Nite Life on Subway
Brunch!!!
Gentrification - Product
• Interactive Visualization: historic Property Values / MTA Activity
( 2010 - 2014 )
Utility
• Developers: profit
• Communities: empower community boards to influence incoming
development to serve their interests
• Renters / Buyers: guide for neighborhoods to avoid
• D3 Users: explore utility of D3 (will be published on GitHub)
• Turnstile Counts - web scraped (BeautifulSoup) urls & wget for
MTA
• MTA Station Lat./Long. - GitHub repository
• NTA GeoJSON & Property Values - Extracted from d3
visualization by MIT Labs
• Inflation Adjuster - Wolfram Alpha
Data Sources
Data Complexity
• Turnstile Counts -
• combined data across 2 formats
• handled cumulative counts by turnstile; combined to station level
• combine across different dates for Friday & Saturday Night ( 8pm - 4am )
• included PATH stations, MTA Card Van
• errors in counts ( e.g., 35,000,000 entries in 1 turnstile!!! )
• MTA Station Lat./Long. - GitHub repository
• point-in-polygon logic: initial polygons located over Long Island; OOPS!
• Some stations mistakenly identified as in park-cemetery-etc; OOPS!
Cleaning Data!!!
MTA Turnstile Data BeautifulSoup
wget SQL
clean clean
MTA Geocodes
Property Values
&
GeoJSONs
Inflation Adjuster
Map Stations to
Neighborhoods Filter /
Aggregate
Extract
Polygons Map Property
Values to
Neighborhoods
d3 Viz
OTHER DATA

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Project Kojak - Gentrification