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Future Focus &
Prevention
Session 4
USC Fall Course:
The Future of Healthcare 2050
Jeff Upperman, MD
Ken Geller, MD
@PedsTraumaMan
jupperman@chla.usc.edu
No Sickness
https://video.search.yahoo.com/yhs/search?fr=yhs-mozilla-
002&hsimp=yhs-
002&hspart=mozilla&p=elysium#id=2&vid=0925a86c99fb69e4b708141
c3202840d&action=click
Objectives
1. Review Healthcare Management &
Philosophy
2. Baseline & Alternative Futures
Overview
3. IMPROV: What iffing? Futures
Exercise
Resources
• https://www.khanacademy.org/science/healt
h-and-medicine/health-care-
system/v/healthcare-system-overview
• https://www.healthcare.gov/coverage/preven
tive-care-benefits/
preventive care
Rx
https://www.healthec.com/pqrs_pdf/2016-Preventive-Care.pdf
Education
Access
Finances
prevention
Key factors
Data
Data
Data
Data
Data
Data
Data
Data
analyze
manage
summary
1. Complex
2. Costly
3. Holistic
Baseline &
Alternative Futures:
Forecasting
plan
trends
plans
Projections
cycles
cycles cycles
cycles
trends
plans
cycles
In 3 minutes,
write out as
many “cycles”
that you can.
projections
S.T.E.E.P.
http://www.driversofchange.com/tool
s/doc./
Improv:
“What if?”
How to Play?
• Pick team of 4
• Select captain/scribe
• Each team each round has 60 secs to list
alternative “futures” for item shown.
• Win if:
– Most futures listed
– Highest quality futures listed (rational, plausible)
1.Medicine
2.Reusable energy
3.Bullet proof
4.Self cleaning
What if…
*MUST BE NEW OR INNOVATIVE
USC Fall Course:
The Future of Healthcare 2050
Jeff Upperman, MD
Ken Geller, MD
@PedsTraumaMan
jupperman@chla.usc.edu

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Lecture 4 prevention & futures

Editor's Notes

  1. Strategic Foresight Approach Domain Selection Current Assessment Current conditions Stakeholders History Hit Form pg 382 Baseline & Alternative Futures Degrees of Uncertainty Alt Futures Inputs Visioning: Preferred Future & Implications Analysis Vision & Mission Statements Implications Analysis Options: Issues or Opportunities Prioritize the Implications Outline options for addressing Implications Craft Elevator speech Indicators Focused info describing resolution of uncertainty Specific measures
  2. Social Technologica Economic Environmental Political