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REAL	
  ESTATE	
  UPDATE	
  
OCTOBER	
  2015	
  
	
  
	
  
Introducing	
  HLA’s	
  Real	
  Estate	
  Update	
  (Volume	
  I)	
  
	
  
	
  
Over	
   the	
   past	
   3	
   quarters	
   of	
   2015,	
   HLA	
   Ventures	
   has	
   underwritten	
   and	
   pursued	
  
numerous	
  projects.	
  We	
  have	
  been	
  very	
  selective	
  about	
  the	
  location	
  of	
  our	
  investments	
  
and	
  mindful	
  of	
  risk-­‐adjusted	
  returns.	
  We	
  consistently	
  endeavor	
  to	
  provide	
  our	
  Investors	
  
with	
  projects	
  that	
  provide	
  both	
  in-­‐place	
  cash	
  flow	
  and	
  a	
  mid-­‐term,	
  moderately	
  leveraged,	
  
value-­‐add	
  component.	
  	
  
	
  
Aside	
  from	
  our	
  consulting	
  involvement	
  earlier	
  this	
  year	
  in	
  the	
  acquisition	
  of	
  Smithridge	
  
Shopping	
  Center,	
  a	
  138,000	
  square	
  foot	
  Trader	
  Joe’s	
  retail	
  project	
  located	
  in	
  Reno,	
  we	
  
have	
  passed	
  on	
  many	
  opportunities.	
  HLA	
  opted	
  to	
  consult	
  to	
  the	
  buying	
  entity	
  on	
  the	
  
Smithridge	
  transaction	
  as	
  opposed	
  to	
  engaging	
  as	
  a	
  general	
  partner	
  primarily	
  due	
  to	
  the	
  
fact	
   that	
   sponsorship	
   was	
   focused	
   on	
   the	
   enhancement	
   of	
   returns	
   by	
   leveraging	
   the	
  
acquisition	
  with	
  90%	
  loan-­‐to-­‐cost	
  financing.	
  This	
  included	
  both	
  senior	
  and	
  mezzanine	
  
debt.	
  
	
  
We	
  continue	
  our	
  search	
  for	
  projects	
  in	
  Northern	
  California	
  with	
  an	
  emphasis	
  on	
  the	
  true	
  
execution	
  of	
  a	
  value-­‐add	
  business	
  plan.	
  This	
  includes	
  identifying	
  assets	
  with	
  meaningful	
  
vacancy,	
   in	
   need	
   of	
   significant	
   renovation,	
   and	
   that	
   require	
   unique	
   value	
   creation	
  
strategies.	
  In	
  the	
  meantime,	
  we	
  plan	
  to	
  send	
  out	
  periodic	
  updates	
  that	
  offer	
  updates	
  on	
  
the	
  commercial	
  real	
  estate	
  market	
  that	
  have	
  some	
  relevance	
  to	
  your	
  investments	
  with	
  us.	
  
	
  
	
  
The	
  National	
  Commercial	
  Real	
  Estate	
  (CRE)	
  Landscape:	
  
	
  
	
  
Notwithstanding	
   the	
   past	
   4-­‐5	
   years	
   of	
   yield	
   compression,	
   the	
   recent	
   influx	
   of	
   capital	
  
from	
   domestic	
   and	
   foreign	
   investors	
   to	
   core	
   US	
   markets	
   is	
   shifting	
   the	
   transaction	
  
landscape.	
  Given	
  the	
  volatility	
  in	
  the	
  capital	
  markets,	
  CRE	
  has	
  demonstrated	
  a	
  notable	
  
increase	
  in	
  investment	
  activity	
  as	
  investors	
  search	
  for	
  product	
  and	
  yield	
  at	
  perceived	
  
risk-­‐adjusted	
  returns.	
  Recent	
  European	
  and	
  Asian	
  woes	
  have	
  failed	
  to	
  derail	
  activity	
  and,	
  
in	
  fact,	
  have	
  encouraged	
  real	
  estate	
  investment	
  in	
  the	
  U.S.	
  Although	
  the	
  pending	
  interest	
  
rate	
   rise	
   will	
   test	
   CAP	
   rates	
   and	
   other	
   valuation	
   metrics,	
   it	
   is	
   widely	
   agreed	
   that	
  
continued	
  positive	
  market	
  fundamentals	
  will	
  continue	
  in	
  2016.	
  
	
  
The	
  retail	
  real	
  estate	
  recovery	
  has	
  lagged	
  behind	
  all	
  of	
  the	
  major	
  property	
  types	
  but	
  its	
  
current	
  pace	
  of	
  growth	
  translates	
  into	
  real	
  opportunity	
  in	
  the	
  next	
  several	
  years.	
  	
  The	
  
acquisition	
   of	
   Class	
   “B”	
   and	
   “C”	
   shopping	
   centers	
   in	
   secondary	
   and	
   tertiary	
   markets	
  
continue	
  to	
  be	
  on	
  the	
  rise	
  as	
  “cap	
  rate	
  compression”	
  is	
  rampant	
  in	
  the	
  primary	
  markets.	
  
 
1. Wikipedia
2. Globe Street
	
  
Despite	
   this	
   compression,	
   the	
   anticipated	
   modest	
   interest	
   rate	
   increases	
   (still	
  
historically	
   low	
   interest	
   rates),	
   strong	
   rent	
   growth,	
   and	
   deepened	
   liquidity	
   should	
  
support	
  the	
  continued	
  interest	
  in	
  lagging	
  secondary	
  and	
  non-­‐core	
  markets.	
  This	
  bodes	
  
positively	
   on	
   our	
   acquisition	
   and	
   operating	
   strategy	
   of	
   assets	
   located	
   in	
   Sacramento,	
  
Petaluma,	
  and	
  Stockton.	
  
	
  
	
  
The	
  Rising	
  Popularity	
  of	
  Pop-­‐Up	
  Retail	
  Stores	
  
	
  
	
  
A	
  pop-­‐up	
  retail	
  space	
  is	
  a	
  venue	
  that	
  is	
  temporary.	
  The	
  trend	
  involves	
  stores	
  that	
  "pop	
  
up"	
  one	
  day,	
  then	
  disappear	
  anywhere	
  from	
  one	
  day	
  to	
  several	
  weeks	
  later.	
  These	
  shops,	
  
while	
  small	
  and	
  temporary,	
  can	
  build	
  up	
  interest	
  by	
  consumer	
  exposure.	
  Pop-­‐up	
  retail	
  
allows	
   a	
   company	
   to	
   create	
   a	
   unique	
   environment	
   that	
   engages	
   their	
   customers	
   and	
  
generates	
  a	
  feeling	
  of	
  relevance	
  and	
  interactivity.	
  1	
  
	
  
There	
  are	
  different	
  benefits	
  to	
  popups	
  such	
  as	
  marketing,	
  testing	
  products,	
  locations,	
  or	
  
markets,	
  and	
  as	
  a	
  low	
  cost	
  way	
  to	
  start	
  a	
  business.	
  Some	
  pop	
  up	
  shops,	
  such	
  as	
  Ricky's	
  
and	
  other	
  Halloween	
  stores,	
  are	
  seasonal,	
  allowing	
  brands	
  to	
  capture	
  foot	
  traffic	
  without	
  
committing	
  to	
  a	
  long-­‐term	
  lease.	
  
	
  
The	
  Ritual	
  Expo	
  was	
  one	
  of	
  the	
  first	
  iterations	
  of	
  the	
  pop-­‐up	
  retail	
  store.	
  Not	
  yet	
  referred	
  
to	
  as	
  pop-­‐up	
  retail,	
  the	
  1997	
  Los	
  Angeles	
  event	
  was	
  later	
  branded	
  as	
  a	
  one-­‐day	
  "ultimate	
  
hipster	
   mall.”	
   The	
   event	
   quickly	
   caught	
   the	
   eye	
   of	
   large	
   brands	
   such	
   as	
   AT&T,	
   Levi-­‐
Strauss,	
   and	
   Motorola	
   that	
   saw	
   the	
   potential	
   of	
   creating	
   short-­‐term	
   experiences	
   to	
  
promote	
  their	
  products	
  to	
  target	
  audiences.	
  	
  
	
  
Recently,	
  The	
  UGG	
  brand,	
  a	
  division	
  of	
  Deckers	
  Brands,	
  opened	
  an	
  UGG	
  for	
  Men	
  pop-­‐up	
  
shop	
  in	
  San	
  Francisco.	
  Complementing	
  the	
  brand's	
  permanent	
  men's-­‐only	
  locations	
  in	
  
New	
  York	
  and	
  Hawaii,	
  the	
  new	
  554-­‐square-­‐foot	
  pop-­‐up	
  store	
  is	
  located	
  in	
  the	
  Westfield	
  
Centre	
  in	
  the	
  Union	
  Square	
  area	
  of	
  San	
  Francisco.	
  
	
  
"San	
  Francisco	
  is	
  a	
  city	
  known	
  for	
  being	
  on	
  the	
  cutting	
  edge	
  of	
  technology,	
  making	
  it	
  the	
  
perfect	
   home	
   to	
   our	
   first-­‐ever	
   UGG	
   for	
   Men	
   pop-­‐up	
   shop,"	
   says	
   Gerard	
   Marceda,	
   vice	
  
president	
  of	
  North	
  America	
  retail	
  for	
  Deckers	
  Brands.	
  "Our	
  UGG	
  for	
  Men	
  collections	
  are	
  
built	
   on	
   a	
   legendary	
   foundation	
   of	
   comfort	
   and	
   innovative	
   technology,	
   which	
   are	
   key	
  
points	
   of	
   differentiation	
   that	
   distinguish	
   UGG	
   from	
   other	
   men's	
   brands	
   in	
   the	
  
marketplace.	
  Our	
  new	
  pop-­‐up	
  men's	
  location	
  offers	
  our	
  tech-­‐savvy	
  customers	
  a	
  chance	
  
to	
  experience	
  firsthand	
  all	
  the	
  brand	
  has	
  to	
  offer."2	
  
	
  
Although	
  we	
  do	
  not	
  expect	
  pop-­‐up	
  stores	
  to	
  appear	
  anytime	
  soon	
  in	
  secondary	
  and	
  
tertiary	
  markets,	
  we	
  see	
  this	
  trend	
  continuing	
  to	
  expand	
  in	
  popularity	
  and	
  to	
  have	
  a	
  
noticeable	
  effect	
  on	
  how	
  retailers	
  promote	
  their	
  brands	
  in	
  the	
  future.	
  
	
  
We	
  hope	
  that	
  this	
  letter	
  provided	
  some	
  interesting	
  information.	
  We	
  look	
  forward	
  to	
  
sharing	
  the	
  next	
  of	
  these	
  updates	
  with	
  you	
  before	
  Christmas.	
  
	
  
	
  
Yours	
  truly,	
  
	
  
	
  
HLA	
  Ventures,	
  LLC.	
  
	
  
	
   	
   	
  
Jeffrey	
  S.	
  Leon	
  
	
  
JSL/	
   	
  

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Real Estate Update 100515

  • 1.       REAL  ESTATE  UPDATE   OCTOBER  2015       Introducing  HLA’s  Real  Estate  Update  (Volume  I)       Over   the   past   3   quarters   of   2015,   HLA   Ventures   has   underwritten   and   pursued   numerous  projects.  We  have  been  very  selective  about  the  location  of  our  investments   and  mindful  of  risk-­‐adjusted  returns.  We  consistently  endeavor  to  provide  our  Investors   with  projects  that  provide  both  in-­‐place  cash  flow  and  a  mid-­‐term,  moderately  leveraged,   value-­‐add  component.       Aside  from  our  consulting  involvement  earlier  this  year  in  the  acquisition  of  Smithridge   Shopping  Center,  a  138,000  square  foot  Trader  Joe’s  retail  project  located  in  Reno,  we   have  passed  on  many  opportunities.  HLA  opted  to  consult  to  the  buying  entity  on  the   Smithridge  transaction  as  opposed  to  engaging  as  a  general  partner  primarily  due  to  the   fact   that   sponsorship   was   focused   on   the   enhancement   of   returns   by   leveraging   the   acquisition  with  90%  loan-­‐to-­‐cost  financing.  This  included  both  senior  and  mezzanine   debt.     We  continue  our  search  for  projects  in  Northern  California  with  an  emphasis  on  the  true   execution  of  a  value-­‐add  business  plan.  This  includes  identifying  assets  with  meaningful   vacancy,   in   need   of   significant   renovation,   and   that   require   unique   value   creation   strategies.  In  the  meantime,  we  plan  to  send  out  periodic  updates  that  offer  updates  on   the  commercial  real  estate  market  that  have  some  relevance  to  your  investments  with  us.       The  National  Commercial  Real  Estate  (CRE)  Landscape:       Notwithstanding   the   past   4-­‐5   years   of   yield   compression,   the   recent   influx   of   capital   from   domestic   and   foreign   investors   to   core   US   markets   is   shifting   the   transaction   landscape.  Given  the  volatility  in  the  capital  markets,  CRE  has  demonstrated  a  notable   increase  in  investment  activity  as  investors  search  for  product  and  yield  at  perceived   risk-­‐adjusted  returns.  Recent  European  and  Asian  woes  have  failed  to  derail  activity  and,   in  fact,  have  encouraged  real  estate  investment  in  the  U.S.  Although  the  pending  interest   rate   rise   will   test   CAP   rates   and   other   valuation   metrics,   it   is   widely   agreed   that   continued  positive  market  fundamentals  will  continue  in  2016.     The  retail  real  estate  recovery  has  lagged  behind  all  of  the  major  property  types  but  its   current  pace  of  growth  translates  into  real  opportunity  in  the  next  several  years.    The   acquisition   of   Class   “B”   and   “C”   shopping   centers   in   secondary   and   tertiary   markets   continue  to  be  on  the  rise  as  “cap  rate  compression”  is  rampant  in  the  primary  markets.  
  • 2.   1. Wikipedia 2. Globe Street   Despite   this   compression,   the   anticipated   modest   interest   rate   increases   (still   historically   low   interest   rates),   strong   rent   growth,   and   deepened   liquidity   should   support  the  continued  interest  in  lagging  secondary  and  non-­‐core  markets.  This  bodes   positively   on   our   acquisition   and   operating   strategy   of   assets   located   in   Sacramento,   Petaluma,  and  Stockton.       The  Rising  Popularity  of  Pop-­‐Up  Retail  Stores       A  pop-­‐up  retail  space  is  a  venue  that  is  temporary.  The  trend  involves  stores  that  "pop   up"  one  day,  then  disappear  anywhere  from  one  day  to  several  weeks  later.  These  shops,   while  small  and  temporary,  can  build  up  interest  by  consumer  exposure.  Pop-­‐up  retail   allows   a   company   to   create   a   unique   environment   that   engages   their   customers   and   generates  a  feeling  of  relevance  and  interactivity.  1     There  are  different  benefits  to  popups  such  as  marketing,  testing  products,  locations,  or   markets,  and  as  a  low  cost  way  to  start  a  business.  Some  pop  up  shops,  such  as  Ricky's   and  other  Halloween  stores,  are  seasonal,  allowing  brands  to  capture  foot  traffic  without   committing  to  a  long-­‐term  lease.     The  Ritual  Expo  was  one  of  the  first  iterations  of  the  pop-­‐up  retail  store.  Not  yet  referred   to  as  pop-­‐up  retail,  the  1997  Los  Angeles  event  was  later  branded  as  a  one-­‐day  "ultimate   hipster   mall.”   The   event   quickly   caught   the   eye   of   large   brands   such   as   AT&T,   Levi-­‐ Strauss,   and   Motorola   that   saw   the   potential   of   creating   short-­‐term   experiences   to   promote  their  products  to  target  audiences.       Recently,  The  UGG  brand,  a  division  of  Deckers  Brands,  opened  an  UGG  for  Men  pop-­‐up   shop  in  San  Francisco.  Complementing  the  brand's  permanent  men's-­‐only  locations  in   New  York  and  Hawaii,  the  new  554-­‐square-­‐foot  pop-­‐up  store  is  located  in  the  Westfield   Centre  in  the  Union  Square  area  of  San  Francisco.     "San  Francisco  is  a  city  known  for  being  on  the  cutting  edge  of  technology,  making  it  the   perfect   home   to   our   first-­‐ever   UGG   for   Men   pop-­‐up   shop,"   says   Gerard   Marceda,   vice   president  of  North  America  retail  for  Deckers  Brands.  "Our  UGG  for  Men  collections  are   built   on   a   legendary   foundation   of   comfort   and   innovative   technology,   which   are   key   points   of   differentiation   that   distinguish   UGG   from   other   men's   brands   in   the   marketplace.  Our  new  pop-­‐up  men's  location  offers  our  tech-­‐savvy  customers  a  chance   to  experience  firsthand  all  the  brand  has  to  offer."2     Although  we  do  not  expect  pop-­‐up  stores  to  appear  anytime  soon  in  secondary  and   tertiary  markets,  we  see  this  trend  continuing  to  expand  in  popularity  and  to  have  a   noticeable  effect  on  how  retailers  promote  their  brands  in  the  future.    
  • 3. We  hope  that  this  letter  provided  some  interesting  information.  We  look  forward  to   sharing  the  next  of  these  updates  with  you  before  Christmas.       Yours  truly,       HLA  Ventures,  LLC.           Jeffrey  S.  Leon     JSL/