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First Quarter Coupon Trends Update
April 18, 2012




                     Matthew Tilley
                     Director of Marketing, Promotions Network
The Big Story
                                                                                Redemption



                                                                                -7.2%
                                                                                Q1 2012
                                                                                  vs.
                                                                                Q1 2011



®
    © 2012 Inmar, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
                                                                                             2
    Not to be reproduced or distributed without written permission from Inmar
Distribution Down Slightly, Leveling Out
                                                                                Distribution


                                                                                -1.5%
                                                                                Q1 2012
                                                                                  vs.
                                                                                Q1 2011



®
    © 2012 Inmar, Inc. All Rights Reserved.                                                    3
    Not to be reproduced or distributed without written permission from Inmar
Long-term Trend: Redemption Growth



                                                                                               2011
                                                                                               3.5 billion
                                                                                2009
                                                                                3.3 billion
                                        2006
                                        2.6 billion
                                                                                              growth rate!
®
    © 2012 Inmar, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
                                                                                                             4
    Not to be reproduced or distributed without written permission from Inmar
Other Tactics Have Minimal Redemption Impact

                                                                                                      Average
                      Average                                                   Average Purchase
                                                                                                    Redemption
               Face Value                                                       Requirements
                                                                                                      Periods

              Distributed:                                                         Distributed:     Distributed:
             $1.61/coupon                                                       1.61 units/coupon   2.2 months
                (+0.6%)                                                              (+3.9%)         (-12.0%)

              Redeemed:                                                            Redeemed:         Redeemed:
             $1.34/coupon                                                       1.58 units/coupon    5.0 months
                (+2.3%)
                                                                                      (-3.7%)         (-10.7%)



®
    © 2012 Inmar, Inc. All Rights Reserved.                                                                        5
    Not to be reproduced or distributed without written permission from Inmar
Economic Drivers Conclusion

                                                                                Economic pressures
                                                                                encourage coupon use
                                                                                • Analysis: prices not a factor
                                                                                • Unemployment is key

                                                                                Open question: What impact
                                                                                will improving unemployment
                                                                                figures have on coupon use?




®
    © 2012 Inmar, Inc. All Rights Reserved.                                                                   6
    Not to be reproduced or distributed without written permission from Inmar
Tactical Drivers Conclusion

                                                                                Distribution decline drives
                                                                                short term redemption drop
                                                                                • Course correction
                                                                                • Focus on “tried & true”
                                                                                • Cost of 2nd half 2012
                                                                                  distribution choices




®
    © 2012 Inmar, Inc. All Rights Reserved.                                                                   7
    Not to be reproduced or distributed without written permission from Inmar
Shopper Drivers Conclusion

                                                                                Shoppers still tuned in:
                                                                                • “Smart Living” mindset
                                                                                • Promise of new methods
                                                                                • Impact of improved
                                                                                  unemployment levels




®
    © 2012 Inmar, Inc. All Rights Reserved.                                                                8
    Not to be reproduced or distributed without written permission from Inmar
There’s More…

     This is just the beginning of our research and findings- visit
     www.inmar.com/couponreport for the rest!




®
    © 2012 Inmar, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
                                                                                                                                              9
                                                                                © 2012 Inmar, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
    Not to be reproduced or distributed without written permission from Inmar   Not to be reproduced or distributed without written permission from Inmar
For more information:
  Matthew Tilley
  Matthew.Tilley@inmar.com
  336.631.2524
  www.inmar.com/couponreport
     @matthewjtilley

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2012 Q1 Coupon Trends from Inmar

  • 1. First Quarter Coupon Trends Update April 18, 2012 Matthew Tilley Director of Marketing, Promotions Network
  • 2. The Big Story Redemption -7.2% Q1 2012 vs. Q1 2011 ® © 2012 Inmar, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 2 Not to be reproduced or distributed without written permission from Inmar
  • 3. Distribution Down Slightly, Leveling Out Distribution -1.5% Q1 2012 vs. Q1 2011 ® © 2012 Inmar, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 3 Not to be reproduced or distributed without written permission from Inmar
  • 4. Long-term Trend: Redemption Growth 2011 3.5 billion 2009 3.3 billion 2006 2.6 billion growth rate! ® © 2012 Inmar, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 4 Not to be reproduced or distributed without written permission from Inmar
  • 5. Other Tactics Have Minimal Redemption Impact Average Average Average Purchase Redemption Face Value Requirements Periods Distributed: Distributed: Distributed: $1.61/coupon 1.61 units/coupon 2.2 months (+0.6%) (+3.9%) (-12.0%) Redeemed: Redeemed: Redeemed: $1.34/coupon 1.58 units/coupon 5.0 months (+2.3%) (-3.7%) (-10.7%) ® © 2012 Inmar, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 5 Not to be reproduced or distributed without written permission from Inmar
  • 6. Economic Drivers Conclusion Economic pressures encourage coupon use • Analysis: prices not a factor • Unemployment is key Open question: What impact will improving unemployment figures have on coupon use? ® © 2012 Inmar, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 6 Not to be reproduced or distributed without written permission from Inmar
  • 7. Tactical Drivers Conclusion Distribution decline drives short term redemption drop • Course correction • Focus on “tried & true” • Cost of 2nd half 2012 distribution choices ® © 2012 Inmar, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 7 Not to be reproduced or distributed without written permission from Inmar
  • 8. Shopper Drivers Conclusion Shoppers still tuned in: • “Smart Living” mindset • Promise of new methods • Impact of improved unemployment levels ® © 2012 Inmar, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 8 Not to be reproduced or distributed without written permission from Inmar
  • 9. There’s More… This is just the beginning of our research and findings- visit www.inmar.com/couponreport for the rest! ® © 2012 Inmar, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 9 © 2012 Inmar, Inc. All Rights Reserved. Not to be reproduced or distributed without written permission from Inmar Not to be reproduced or distributed without written permission from Inmar
  • 10. For more information: Matthew Tilley Matthew.Tilley@inmar.com 336.631.2524 www.inmar.com/couponreport @matthewjtilley

Editor's Notes

  1. Welcome to the first quarter update to the coupon industry from Inmar. I plan to give you some highlights of the numbers, offer some perspective and guidance and introduce you to a few tools along the way. For those of you new to Inmar or maybe unfamiliar with our annual coupon trends report, this is one of the quarterly updates we do on the coupon industry. You can download the annual report we produce by visiting our website: www.inmar.com/couponreport. There you will find that full report as well as some other coupon trends resources that you may want to reference.Right now, I’m going to give you a quick overview of how the industry is moving now that we’re three months into 2012.We look at CPG coupons in the US. Does not include store issued coupons or QSR coupons or local coupons. We do refer to “in-ads” but we’re only talking about manufacturer funded in-ads, not retailer funded.
  2. The big story is coupon redemption.At the end of 2011, we reported a 6.1% increase in redemption over the course of the year and I anticipated that we would see continued strong coupon response through the rest of 2012.But in the first quarter, we’re seeing redemption down 7.2% vs. the same period last year.
  3. The most apparent metric of this is the distribution level. While we were down 7.5% at the end of 2011, in the first quarter, while still down, the decline has levelled out some to 1.5%
  4. What makes this news is that overall, coupons are solidly part of a new normal. A 5-year trend shows nearly 35% growth in coupon response (since 2006). We are definitely on the upswing … not just this year, but generally.
  5. Other tactically levels – face value, purchase requirements and redemption periods – don’t seem to be having much of an effect, positively or negatively.But they are worth noting:Face values are essentially flat Purchase requirements were up a littleRedemption periods were down quite a bit, but still inline with the annual average of 2.4 months
  6. So there are economic pressures that are encouraging more coupon use … but prices aren’t really one of them. Instead, it’s the unemployment rate. So, given that it’s starting to trend down in recent months, the open question is what kind of impact will that have on coupon use?
  7. In short, the tactics had a pretty big impact on the bottom line redemption number … largely due to the pullback in distribution in the fourth quarter.
  8. While that’s good for the overall economy, it does beg the question of how shoppers will think about promotion when things are good again. All things being equal, if the improving unemployment continues, redemption is likely to drop. Maybe digital and some of the new tactics available are the way to supplement your marketing plans to keep them interested and engaged?
  9. Thank you for your time and attention. I hope this session was useful to you and gave you some helpful insights and tools. Please contact me with any questions and follow me on Twitter.We’ll be back next quarter with an update on how things are going.