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© The INFRARISK Consortium     
 
FP7 2013 Cooperation Work Programme 
Theme 6: Environment (Including Climate Change) 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Novel indicators for identifying critical 
INFRAstructure at RISK from Natural Hazards 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
This project has received funding from the European Union’s Seventh Programme for research, 
technological development and demonstration under grant agreement No 603960. 
 
Primary Author  Bryan  Adey  &  Jürgen  Hackl,  /Eidgenössische  Technische 
Hochschule Zürich (ETHZ) 
WP  N/A 
Submission Date  N/A 
Primary Reviewer  Mark Tucker (ROD) & All Partners 
Dissemination Level  PU 
INFRARISK Terminology
INFRARISK    INFRARISK Terminology 
© The INFRARISK Consortium    i 
 
Project Information 
Project Duration:  1/10/2013 ‐ 30/09/2016 
Project Coordinator:  Professor Eugene O' Brien 
Roughan & O’ Donovan Limited 
eugene.obrien@rod.ie 
Work Programme: 
2013 Cooperation Theme 6:  
Environment (Including Climate Change). 
   
Call Topic: 
Env.2013.6.4‐4 Towards Stress Testing of Critical Infrastructure 
Against Natural Hazards‐FP7‐ENV‐2013‐two stage. 
Project Website:  www.infrarisk‐fp7.eu 
   
   
Partners:   
  Roughan & O’ Donovan Limited, Ireland 
 
Eidgenössische Technische Hochschule Zürich, Switzerland. 
 
Dragados SA, Spain. 
 
Gavin and Doherty Geosolutions Ltd., Ireland. 
 
Probabilistic Solutions Consult and Training BV, Netherlands. 
 
Agencia Estatal Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas, 
Spain. 
  University College London, United Kingdom. 
 
PSJ, Netherlands. 
  Stiftelsen SINTEF, Norway. 
 
Ritchey Consulting AB, Sweden. 
  University  of  Southampton  (IT  Innovation  Centre),  United 
Kingdom. 
INFRARISK    INFRARISK Terminology 
© The INFRARISK Consortium    ii 
 
Document Information 
Version  Date  Description  Primary Author 
Rev01  18/02/2014  Draft for review  Bryan Adey, Jurgen 
Hackl 
Rev02  05/04/2014  Revised Draft for 
review 
Bryan Adey, Jurgen 
Hackl 
 Rev03  10/12/14  Final  Bryan Adey, Jurgen 
Hackl 
This document and the information contained herein may not be copied, used or disclosed in whole 
or part except with the prior written permission of the partners of the INFRARISK Consortium. The 
copyright and foregoing restriction on copying, use and disclosure extend to all media in which this 
information may be embodied, including magnetic storage, computer print‐out, visual display, etc.  
The  information  included  in  this  document  is  correct  to  the  best  of  the  authors’  knowledge. 
However, the document is supplied without liability for errors and omissions.  
All rights reserved. 
 
 
 
INFRARISK    INFRARISK Terminology 
© The INFRARISK Consortium    iii 
 
Table of Contents 
1.0  INTRODUCTION ......................................................................................................................... 4 
2.0  GLOSSARY OF TERMS ................................................................................................................ 5 
2.1  General Items ............................................................................................................................ 5 
2.2  Risk Communication .................................................................................................................. 7 
2.3  Risk Assessment ......................................................................................................................... 7 
2.4  Risk Control ................................................................................................................................ 8 
 
INFRARISK    INFRARISK Terminology 
© The INFRARISK Consortium    4 
 
1.0 INTRODUCTION 
This  document  provides  a  glossary  of  terms  sue  dint  he  INFRARISK  project.  The  purpose  of  this 
document is to ensure that all terms used in the project have a specific definition and all partners 
have a common understanding of the terms and their definition. 
If requested, this terminology document will also be made available to the commission and those 
projects  with  which  coordination  is  required,  in  order  to  ensure  a  common  terminology  is  used 
between the various projects. 
 
 
   
INFRARISK    INFRARISK Terminology 
© The INFRARISK Consortium    5 
 
2.0 GLOSSARY OF TERMS 
2.1 General Items 
Term  Definition 
Black Swan (Option 1)  An event for which no statistical distribution exists. It can be an event 
that occurred previously but never before occurred at an assumed low 
probability magnitude. 
Black Swan (Option 2)  A hazard or hazard scenario that has not been modelled but if it occurs 
will result in higher consequences that anything else modelled 
Consequence  The result of an event. It may be seen as positive or negative. It may or 
may not be directly monetisable. 
Critical  Infrastructure 
(EC) 
An  asset,  system  or  part  thereof  located  in  Member  States  which  is 
essential for the maintenance of vital societal functions, health, safety, 
security, economic or social well‐being of people, and the disruption or 
destruction of which would have a significant impact in a Member State 
as a result of the failure to maintain those functions 
Critical Infrastructure 
(INFRARISK) 
Elements  of  the  Ten‐T  Core  Transport  Network  such  as  for  example, 
bridges, tunnels, earthworks and other structures (culverts etc.) 
Critical infrastructure  Infrastructure that if non‐operational would result in the occurrence of 
large consequences with a high probability. 
Damage State  A state in which an object does not provide an adequate level of service 
Disaster  An  event  that  has  large  consequences.  The  definition  of  large 
consequences  is  dependent  on  the  situation  and  stakeholders  being 
considered. 
Element at risk  An aspect of the system that plays a significant role in the determination 
of risk, e.g. if the variation of the number of persons living in an area has 
a large effect on the risk in the area, than this element of the system is 
considered to be an element at risk 
Failure  The inability of an object to provide an adequate level of service, e.g. if 
an adequate level of service of a bridge includes having a safety margin 
of  x  and  following  an  earthquake  it  has  a  safety  margin  of  x  ‐1  it  has 
failed, or if an adequate level of service of a road section includes having 
no cracks and following a flood it has cracks, it has failed. 
 
Fault  When an object does not work as intended it is said to have a fault, e.g. 
the bearing  of bridge does not provide the lateral displacement it was 
intended to provide, or the steel of which a track is made does not have 
the specified yield stress. A fault does not mean that the object provides 
an inadequate level of service. 
 
Hazard  Any  event  or  a  sequence  of  events  that  can  lead  to  negative 
consequences.  e.g.  earthquake  or  earthquake  which  leads  to  ground 
accelerations which leads to physical damage of a bridge. 
 
INFRARISK    INFRARISK Terminology 
© The INFRARISK Consortium    6 
 
Term  Definition 
Hazard scenario  A  combination  of  multiple  hazards  that  can  lead  to  negative 
consequences, e.g. earthquake leads to ground accelerations and flood 
leads  to  high  water  levels,  together  they  lead  to  physical  damage  of  a 
bridge and a road section. 
Objective probability  The  probability  determined  using  theoretical  arguments  or  adequate 
statistical data. 
Objective risk  An estimate of the risk obtained using theoretical arguments or adequate 
statistical  data  (for  example  the  annual  expected  fatalities  from  car 
accidents) or from quantified risk analysis methods (QRA, PRA). 
Probability  The likelihood or degree of belief of an event occurring. 
Reliability  The ability of an object to provide an adequate level of service, e.g. fulfill 
code requirements, over a given period of time (e.g. design life). 
Risk  The  multiplication  of  the  probability  of  occurrence  of  an  event  and  its 
consequences for a given hazard, area and time period. 
Risk management  The process of to evaluate and change risk 
Safety  The state of having a low probability of being hurt or killed. 
Stakeholder  An individual, group or organization that can affect, be affected  by, or 
perceive  itself  to  be  affected  by  an  event.  (Within  this  project, 
stakeholders are the users of the INFRARISK Decision Support Tool. 
Subjective probability  The probability determined using intuition and relevant experience. 
System  A bounded group of interrelated, interdependent or interacting elements 
forming  an  entity  that  achieves  a  defined  objective  in  its  environment 
through interaction of its parts. 
Trigger  An  event,  or  multiple  events,  that  cause  another  event  or  events  to 
occur, e.g. a heavy rain fall event is considered to be a trigger, if it causes 
the occurrence of a landslide event. 
Value at risk  The maximum consequences that can occur due to the occurrence of a 
hazard or hazard scenario, e.g. the maximum number of fatalities and the 
maximum  number  of  building  to  be  restored  multiplied  by  the  cost  of 
restoring these.  
Vulnerability  The risk related to a specific event or combination of events. It is seen as 
a subset of risk. For example, the vulnerability related to an earthquake 
occurring  leading  to  a  bridge  collapsing  is  estimated  assuming  that  an 
earthquake  occurs  and  estimating  the  probability  of  the  ground 
accelerations knowing that the earthquake has occurred and multiplying 
these probabilities with the probable consequences.  
 
 
 
 
INFRARISK    INFRARISK Terminology 
© The INFRARISK Consortium    7 
 
2.2 Risk Communication 
Term  Definition 
Acceptable risk  A level of risk, in which, society is not willing to execute interventions to 
reduce  the  risk.  The  acceptable  level  of  risk  depends  on  possible 
interventions  and  ability  of  society  to  execute  an  intervention.  This  is 
synonymous with tolerable risk. . 
Interested party  Person  or  group  having  an  interest  in  the  performance  of  an 
organization.  Examples:  Customers,  owners,  people  in  an  organization, 
suppliers, bankers, unions, partners or society. 
Risk communication  The process of exchanging or sharing information about risk between the 
decision‐maker and other stakeholders. 
Risk perception  Way  in  which  a  stakeholder  views  a  risk,  based  on  a  set  of  values  or 
concerns. 
Stakeholder  An individual, group or organization that can affect, be affected  by, or 
perceive itself to be affected by, a risk 
 
2.3 Risk Assessment 
Term  Definition 
Causal analysis  A process to describe and/or estimate the probability of the occurrence 
of precursor events, i.e. events that lead to other events or causes. 
Consequence analysis  A process to describe and/or estimate subsequent events and setting a 
value to these events. 
Hazard identification  A  process  to  determine  the  hazards  and  hazard  scenarios  to  be 
considered in an analysis. 
Intervention analysis  A process to identify possible interventions to change risk. 
Risk analysis   A  process  to  estimate  risk.  Risk  analysis  is  synonymous  with  risk 
estimation.  
Risk assessment  A process to analyse risks and to determine the possible interventions to 
reduce  risks.  This  may  include  the  determination  of  the  degree  of  risk 
acceptance. This is synonymous  
Risk estimation  A  process  to  estimate  risk.  Risk  estimation  is  synonymous  with  risk 
analysis. 
Risk evaluation  A  process  to  analyse  risks  and  determine  the  possible  interventions  to 
reduce  risks.  This  may  include  the  determination  of  the  degree  of  risk 
acceptance.  This is synonymous with risk assessment. 
Sensitivity analysis  A process to describe and/or calculate the effect of variations in the input 
data and underlying assumptions in general on the final result 
 
INFRARISK    INFRARISK Terminology 
© The INFRARISK Consortium    8 
 
2.4 Risk Control 
Term  Definition 
Mitigation  A  process  of  selection  and  execution  of  interventions  to  reduce  the 
consequences of a particular event. 
Residual risk  The risk remaining after an intervention has been executed to minimize 
risk  or  the  decision  has  been  made  to  execute  no  intervention  to 
minimize risk. 
Risk acceptance  A  process  of  determining  that  no  intervention  should  be  executed  to 
minimize risk 
Risk avoidance  A  process  of  not  becoming  involved  in  a  situation,  with  which  risk  is 
associated. 
Risk control  A process to ensure that the level of risk is acceptable/tolerable. 
Risk financing  Financial  resources  secured  to  ensure  that  interventions  to  execute 
interventions to change risks. 
Risk optimization  A process to minimize the negative risks. 
Risk reduction  A process of selection and execution of interventions to reduce risks. 
Risk retention  The decision that no intervention should be executed to minimize risk. 
Risk transfer  A  process  of  shifting  the  risk  associated  with  one  situation  from  one 
stakeholder to another. 
Risk treatment  A process of selection and execution of interventions to change risk 
Safety management   A process to ensure to  that there is an adequate level of safety 
Tolerable Risk  A level of risk, in which, society is not willing to execute interventions to 
reduce  the  risk.  The  acceptable  level  of  risk  depends  on  possible 
interventions  and  ability  of  society  to  execute  an  intervention.  This  is 
synonymous with acceptable risk.  
 

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Novel Indicators for Critical Infrastructure Risk

  • 2. INFRARISK    INFRARISK Terminology  © The INFRARISK Consortium    i    Project Information  Project Duration:  1/10/2013 ‐ 30/09/2016  Project Coordinator:  Professor Eugene O' Brien  Roughan & O’ Donovan Limited  eugene.obrien@rod.ie  Work Programme:  2013 Cooperation Theme 6:   Environment (Including Climate Change).      Call Topic:  Env.2013.6.4‐4 Towards Stress Testing of Critical Infrastructure  Against Natural Hazards‐FP7‐ENV‐2013‐two stage.  Project Website:  www.infrarisk‐fp7.eu          Partners:      Roughan & O’ Donovan Limited, Ireland    Eidgenössische Technische Hochschule Zürich, Switzerland.    Dragados SA, Spain.    Gavin and Doherty Geosolutions Ltd., Ireland.    Probabilistic Solutions Consult and Training BV, Netherlands.    Agencia Estatal Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas,  Spain.    University College London, United Kingdom.    PSJ, Netherlands.    Stiftelsen SINTEF, Norway.    Ritchey Consulting AB, Sweden.    University  of  Southampton  (IT  Innovation  Centre),  United  Kingdom. 
  • 3. INFRARISK    INFRARISK Terminology  © The INFRARISK Consortium    ii    Document Information  Version  Date  Description  Primary Author  Rev01  18/02/2014  Draft for review  Bryan Adey, Jurgen  Hackl  Rev02  05/04/2014  Revised Draft for  review  Bryan Adey, Jurgen  Hackl   Rev03  10/12/14  Final  Bryan Adey, Jurgen  Hackl  This document and the information contained herein may not be copied, used or disclosed in whole  or part except with the prior written permission of the partners of the INFRARISK Consortium. The  copyright and foregoing restriction on copying, use and disclosure extend to all media in which this  information may be embodied, including magnetic storage, computer print‐out, visual display, etc.   The  information  included  in  this  document  is  correct  to  the  best  of  the  authors’  knowledge.  However, the document is supplied without liability for errors and omissions.   All rights reserved.       
  • 4. INFRARISK    INFRARISK Terminology  © The INFRARISK Consortium    iii    Table of Contents  1.0  INTRODUCTION ......................................................................................................................... 4  2.0  GLOSSARY OF TERMS ................................................................................................................ 5  2.1  General Items ............................................................................................................................ 5  2.2  Risk Communication .................................................................................................................. 7  2.3  Risk Assessment ......................................................................................................................... 7  2.4  Risk Control ................................................................................................................................ 8   
  • 5. INFRARISK    INFRARISK Terminology  © The INFRARISK Consortium    4    1.0 INTRODUCTION  This  document  provides  a  glossary  of  terms  sue  dint  he  INFRARISK  project.  The  purpose  of  this  document is to ensure that all terms used in the project have a specific definition and all partners  have a common understanding of the terms and their definition.  If requested, this terminology document will also be made available to the commission and those  projects  with  which  coordination  is  required,  in  order  to  ensure  a  common  terminology  is  used  between the various projects.         
  • 6. INFRARISK    INFRARISK Terminology  © The INFRARISK Consortium    5    2.0 GLOSSARY OF TERMS  2.1 General Items  Term  Definition  Black Swan (Option 1)  An event for which no statistical distribution exists. It can be an event  that occurred previously but never before occurred at an assumed low  probability magnitude.  Black Swan (Option 2)  A hazard or hazard scenario that has not been modelled but if it occurs  will result in higher consequences that anything else modelled  Consequence  The result of an event. It may be seen as positive or negative. It may or  may not be directly monetisable.  Critical  Infrastructure  (EC)  An  asset,  system  or  part  thereof  located  in  Member  States  which  is  essential for the maintenance of vital societal functions, health, safety,  security, economic or social well‐being of people, and the disruption or  destruction of which would have a significant impact in a Member State  as a result of the failure to maintain those functions  Critical Infrastructure  (INFRARISK)  Elements  of  the  Ten‐T  Core  Transport  Network  such  as  for  example,  bridges, tunnels, earthworks and other structures (culverts etc.)  Critical infrastructure  Infrastructure that if non‐operational would result in the occurrence of  large consequences with a high probability.  Damage State  A state in which an object does not provide an adequate level of service  Disaster  An  event  that  has  large  consequences.  The  definition  of  large  consequences  is  dependent  on  the  situation  and  stakeholders  being  considered.  Element at risk  An aspect of the system that plays a significant role in the determination  of risk, e.g. if the variation of the number of persons living in an area has  a large effect on the risk in the area, than this element of the system is  considered to be an element at risk  Failure  The inability of an object to provide an adequate level of service, e.g. if  an adequate level of service of a bridge includes having a safety margin  of  x  and  following  an  earthquake  it  has  a  safety  margin  of  x  ‐1  it  has  failed, or if an adequate level of service of a road section includes having  no cracks and following a flood it has cracks, it has failed.    Fault  When an object does not work as intended it is said to have a fault, e.g.  the bearing  of bridge does not provide the lateral displacement it was  intended to provide, or the steel of which a track is made does not have  the specified yield stress. A fault does not mean that the object provides  an inadequate level of service.    Hazard  Any  event  or  a  sequence  of  events  that  can  lead  to  negative  consequences.  e.g.  earthquake  or  earthquake  which  leads  to  ground  accelerations which leads to physical damage of a bridge.   
  • 7. INFRARISK    INFRARISK Terminology  © The INFRARISK Consortium    6    Term  Definition  Hazard scenario  A  combination  of  multiple  hazards  that  can  lead  to  negative  consequences, e.g. earthquake leads to ground accelerations and flood  leads  to  high  water  levels,  together  they  lead  to  physical  damage  of  a  bridge and a road section.  Objective probability  The  probability  determined  using  theoretical  arguments  or  adequate  statistical data.  Objective risk  An estimate of the risk obtained using theoretical arguments or adequate  statistical  data  (for  example  the  annual  expected  fatalities  from  car  accidents) or from quantified risk analysis methods (QRA, PRA).  Probability  The likelihood or degree of belief of an event occurring.  Reliability  The ability of an object to provide an adequate level of service, e.g. fulfill  code requirements, over a given period of time (e.g. design life).  Risk  The  multiplication  of  the  probability  of  occurrence  of  an  event  and  its  consequences for a given hazard, area and time period.  Risk management  The process of to evaluate and change risk  Safety  The state of having a low probability of being hurt or killed.  Stakeholder  An individual, group or organization that can affect, be affected  by, or  perceive  itself  to  be  affected  by  an  event.  (Within  this  project,  stakeholders are the users of the INFRARISK Decision Support Tool.  Subjective probability  The probability determined using intuition and relevant experience.  System  A bounded group of interrelated, interdependent or interacting elements  forming  an  entity  that  achieves  a  defined  objective  in  its  environment  through interaction of its parts.  Trigger  An  event,  or  multiple  events,  that  cause  another  event  or  events  to  occur, e.g. a heavy rain fall event is considered to be a trigger, if it causes  the occurrence of a landslide event.  Value at risk  The maximum consequences that can occur due to the occurrence of a  hazard or hazard scenario, e.g. the maximum number of fatalities and the  maximum  number  of  building  to  be  restored  multiplied  by  the  cost  of  restoring these.   Vulnerability  The risk related to a specific event or combination of events. It is seen as  a subset of risk. For example, the vulnerability related to an earthquake  occurring  leading  to  a  bridge  collapsing  is  estimated  assuming  that  an  earthquake  occurs  and  estimating  the  probability  of  the  ground  accelerations knowing that the earthquake has occurred and multiplying  these probabilities with the probable consequences.          
  • 8. INFRARISK    INFRARISK Terminology  © The INFRARISK Consortium    7    2.2 Risk Communication  Term  Definition  Acceptable risk  A level of risk, in which, society is not willing to execute interventions to  reduce  the  risk.  The  acceptable  level  of  risk  depends  on  possible  interventions  and  ability  of  society  to  execute  an  intervention.  This  is  synonymous with tolerable risk. .  Interested party  Person  or  group  having  an  interest  in  the  performance  of  an  organization.  Examples:  Customers,  owners,  people  in  an  organization,  suppliers, bankers, unions, partners or society.  Risk communication  The process of exchanging or sharing information about risk between the  decision‐maker and other stakeholders.  Risk perception  Way  in  which  a  stakeholder  views  a  risk,  based  on  a  set  of  values  or  concerns.  Stakeholder  An individual, group or organization that can affect, be affected  by, or  perceive itself to be affected by, a risk    2.3 Risk Assessment  Term  Definition  Causal analysis  A process to describe and/or estimate the probability of the occurrence  of precursor events, i.e. events that lead to other events or causes.  Consequence analysis  A process to describe and/or estimate subsequent events and setting a  value to these events.  Hazard identification  A  process  to  determine  the  hazards  and  hazard  scenarios  to  be  considered in an analysis.  Intervention analysis  A process to identify possible interventions to change risk.  Risk analysis   A  process  to  estimate  risk.  Risk  analysis  is  synonymous  with  risk  estimation.   Risk assessment  A process to analyse risks and to determine the possible interventions to  reduce  risks.  This  may  include  the  determination  of  the  degree  of  risk  acceptance. This is synonymous   Risk estimation  A  process  to  estimate  risk.  Risk  estimation  is  synonymous  with  risk  analysis.  Risk evaluation  A  process  to  analyse  risks  and  determine  the  possible  interventions  to  reduce  risks.  This  may  include  the  determination  of  the  degree  of  risk  acceptance.  This is synonymous with risk assessment.  Sensitivity analysis  A process to describe and/or calculate the effect of variations in the input  data and underlying assumptions in general on the final result   
  • 9. INFRARISK    INFRARISK Terminology  © The INFRARISK Consortium    8    2.4 Risk Control  Term  Definition  Mitigation  A  process  of  selection  and  execution  of  interventions  to  reduce  the  consequences of a particular event.  Residual risk  The risk remaining after an intervention has been executed to minimize  risk  or  the  decision  has  been  made  to  execute  no  intervention  to  minimize risk.  Risk acceptance  A  process  of  determining  that  no  intervention  should  be  executed  to  minimize risk  Risk avoidance  A  process  of  not  becoming  involved  in  a  situation,  with  which  risk  is  associated.  Risk control  A process to ensure that the level of risk is acceptable/tolerable.  Risk financing  Financial  resources  secured  to  ensure  that  interventions  to  execute  interventions to change risks.  Risk optimization  A process to minimize the negative risks.  Risk reduction  A process of selection and execution of interventions to reduce risks.  Risk retention  The decision that no intervention should be executed to minimize risk.  Risk transfer  A  process  of  shifting  the  risk  associated  with  one  situation  from  one  stakeholder to another.  Risk treatment  A process of selection and execution of interventions to change risk  Safety management   A process to ensure to  that there is an adequate level of safety  Tolerable Risk  A level of risk, in which, society is not willing to execute interventions to  reduce  the  risk.  The  acceptable  level  of  risk  depends  on  possible  interventions  and  ability  of  society  to  execute  an  intervention.  This  is  synonymous with acceptable risk.