1. 2022 - Mind Boggling
Questions
1
Presented by Bismarck Rewane
CEO, Financial Derivatives Company Ltd.
March 02, 2022
ÃbÊèrè ???
2. 2
As if we didnât have enough
problems, then comes
Ukraine/Russia
3. 3
âBeware the Ides of Marchâ
- Spurinna
âIt seems to me most strange that men should fear,
seeing that death is a necessary end, which will
come when it will comeâ
- Julius Caesar
4. The 5 Questions
4
I s R u s s i a n - U k r a i n e C r i s i s a 3 r d W o r l d W a r ( N u c l e a r o r
C y b e r ) ?
I s N i g e r i a A p p r o a c h i n g a F i s c a l C l i f f o r I s I t A l l
E x a g g e r a t e d F e a r s ?
I n v e s t i n g i n a P r e - e l e c t i o n C l i m a t e â F i x e d I n c o m e ,
E q u i t i e s , R e a l E s t a t e o r B i t c o i n ?
O i l P r i c e D o w n , N a i r a D o w n ; O i l P r i c e U p , N a i r a
D o w n - I s t h e N a i r a D o o m e d ?
N i g e r i a n I n f l a t i o n S e t t o D e c l i n e â W h y A r e
C o n s u m e r s S t i l l i n T e a r s ?
6. Russia & Ukraine â Global Importance
6
īļ 3rd largest oil producer
īļ 17% of global gas
īļ Wheat & sugar behemoth
īļ Major producer of nickel, copper &
aluminum
RussiaâĻ UkraineâĻ
īļ Breadbasket of Europe
īļ Top supplier of rye and barley across
Europe
īļ 9th biggest wheat producer
īļ 5th largest global corn supplier
īļ Supplies about 50% of global sunoil
7. Russian-Ukraine Crisis â 5 Dimensional Impact
7
Stranded
Nigerian
students
Global debt
and debt
service soar
Energy crisis
Oil, gas and
mineral
shortages
Commodities
market in
turmoil
Financial
markets
roiled by
SWIFT
8. 5,000 Nigerian Students Stranded in Ukraine
Bilateral relationships with foreign educational and scientific
institutions
īļ National Technical University âKharkiv
Polytechnic Instituteâ
īļ Taras Shevchenko National University of Kyiv
īļ Ivan Franko National University of Lviv
īļ Sumy State University
Top Universities
īļ Medicine
īļ Engineering
īļ Aviation
Reputed
īļ Major setback for Nigerian students - STEM
Setbacks
8
9.
10. Nigeria â Torn Between the Devil & the Deep Blue Sea
īļGlobal trade estimated at $5.3trn in 2022
īļNigeriaâs international trade = $8.15bn
38
34.2
13.8
9.4
8.1
4.7
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
China India Indonesia US Spain Belgium
Nigeria's major trading partners (%)
Pro-Russia Anti-Russia
âĸ China
âĸ India
âĸ Brazil
âĸ UAE
âĸ US
âĸ EU
âĸ UK
âĸ Others
10
11. Energy Crisis â Brent at an 8-year High
īļ Brent crossed the $100pb benchmark â currently $118pb
īļ WTI trading at a record high of $110pb
īļ Natural gas price up 67% to $5/mmbtu YTD
īļ An incursion into Kyiv record global energy prices
īļ Russia exercised its veto power at the UN security meeting
īļ Vladimir Putin insists on attacking until Ukraine withdraws its intention of
joining the NATO
īļ Putinâs offense and premeditated approach sowing volatility
11
12. Commodities Market in Turmoil
īļ The grain markets are also affected by the lingering tensions
īļ High demand amid subpar supply
īļ Nigeria â a net importer of food - at the receiving end of the equation
īļ Domestic price of flour, animal feed, cereals and more to climb again
12
Wheat Corn
14.91% YTD 11.21% YTD
13. Financial Markets Roiled by SWIFT
īļ Russian Rouble tumbling as war on Ukraine persists
īļ The UK, US and EU have cut off Russian banks from the financial markets in
the west
īļ The banks are banned from using the Swift international payment system
īļ In response, the Bank of Russia increased its benchmark interest rate by
1,050bps to 20% from 9.5%
īļ âRussia is increasingly becoming an economic pariah, increasingly
isolated from the global financial systemâ â Will WalkerâArnott
13
14. Financial Markets Roiled by SWIFT
14
īļAsset classes weathering an array of headwinds: geopolitical uncertainty,
high inflation, and elevated valuations
īļGeopolitical uncertainty bolstered investors appetite for safe haven assets
(gold)
īļNGX remains oblivious to the global crisis
3.8 4.35
-8.76 -8.23
10.4 10.95
-13.4
-6.53
-6.2 -6.8
-15
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
Asset Classes Performance (%) in 2022
Gold S&P 500 NGX Bitcoin DJIA
During Crisis
Pre-Crisis
15. Debt Service Costs to Climb as Interest Rates Rise
īļ Global monetary policy authorities to embark on monetary policy
tightening spree
īļ US Fed to increase rates in March
īļ BoE signalling modest tightening
īļ Raised its key bank rate by 25bps to 0.5% at its February meeting
īļ Higher interest rates to push up debt service costs for emerging markets
and developing economies
15
16. Implications for Nigeria
Exports
16
Commodities Share of total
(%)
Oil 74.6
Gas 12.8
Others 12.6
Imports
Major imports
Sugar
Wheat
Rice
Aluminum
Terms of trade
Export
prices
Import
prices
>
īļ Nigeria will benefit from higher oil prices, but subsidy will be a major problem
īļ Fiscal gap will be funded through borrowing
īļ Debt service costs will increase as interest rates rise
19. Oil Price , Naira ; Oil Price , Naira â Is the Naira Doomed?
īļ Answer â No
īļ Forex markets are volatile by nature
44
75.3 95.63
61
116
125
146
220
388.21
578
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
Obasanjo Yar'Adua Goodluck Buhari 2022
Oil Price Vs Exchange Rate
Oil price ($pb) Exchange rate (N/$)
*oil prices increased at the tail end of Buhariâs tenure
19
20. Currency Depreciation is Not Nigeria Specific
īļ Despite economic reforms, currencies have shown extreme volatility
īļ Dollar is the most traded convertible currency
īļ 70-75% of all trade is done in dollars
10 years ago 5 years ago Current % Rate of
Depreciation
Nigerian Naira 161 363 578 +259.0
South African
Rand
8.47 12.36 15.36 +81.4
Ghanaian
Cedis
1.90 4.52 6.5 +242.1
Angolan
Kwanza
95.88 165.1 491.07 +412.2
20
21. Against Other Oil Producing Countries
īļ Some oil producers have stronger currencies
īļ Oil revenues were optimally, efficiently and prudently utilized
10 years ago 5 years ago Current % Rate of
Depreciation
Nigerian Naira 161 363 578 +259.0
Saudi Riyal 3.75 3.75 3.75 -
Kuwaiti Dinar 0.28 0.30 0.30 -
21
23. Recent Steps taken by the CBN to Defend the Naira
īļ Rebate â the silver bullet?
Inventory of Policies Level of success
N5 for every dollar scheme Low
Import restrictions Not sure
Scrapping of BDCs Not sure
N65 per dollar ??
Official rate (N/$) 416
Parallel market (N/$) 580
65
Rebate
+ = 481
=
N99/$
īļ Will exporters be willing to give up N99/$ out of patriotism? - NO
23
24. What Should the CBN Do?
īļ Will push the market towards equilibrium
Increase forex
supply and force
price down
significantly
Increase price to
its fair value and
boost forex
supply
24
25. Value of Transactions to Maintain Upward Trend in March
25
īļTotal value of transactions up 1.84% to N29.40trn in February 2022
īļ42.24% higher than N20.67trn in February 2021
īļNo seasonality effect among payment channels except cheques and NEFT
īļWe expect the upward trend to continue in March on inventories build-up
ahead of the Easter holiday
Channels Janâ21 (Nâbn) Febâ21 (Nâbn) Janâ22 (Nâbn) Febâ22 (Nâbn)
Cheques 248.2 277.45 237.26 259.81
POS 489.24 468.91 573.72 575.06
NIP 18,892.81 18,734.46 26,645.18 27,182.01
NEFT 1,374.06 1,194.08 1,415.74 1,385.89
Total 21,004.31 20,674.90 28,871.90 29,402.77
25
28. Is Nigeria Approaching a Fiscal Cliff? Yes, But Not There Yet
īļ Nigeriaâs debt ratios rising but still within the acceptable limit
īļ But total factor productivity is declining
īļ Increasing the risk of a debt cliff
12.2 12.8 12.6
16.2 16.5 16.7
-1.9 -1.9 -1.6 -0.9 1.4 0.7
61.5 58.6 62.5
119.8
106.3
90.2
-20
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
0
5
10
15
20
'2017 '2018 '2019 '2020 '2021 '2022*
External Debt (%GDP) Total Factor Productivity (%) Debt/Export (%)
28
29. Nigeriaâs Precarious Fiscal Position
29
Brent crossed
$100pb
Exchange rate
1.23% (N576/$)
Balance of trade
61.5%
Gross external
reserves 0.5%
Government debt
7.13%
Excess crude
account 98.57%
FAAC
17.8%
Oil production
6.06%
29
30. Delayed Reform âFiscal Gap Widening
īļ President Buhari has submitted a N3trn supplementary budget to NASS
īļ To make additional provision for fuel subsidy (N2.557trn)
īļ Initial subsidy provision was N500bn
īļ Compared to an estimated annual subsidy payment of N3trn
īļ Creating a shortfall of N2.5trn, increasing fiscal deficit to N8.9trn
30
Provision for subsidy
in the 2022 budget
Estimated annual
subsidy payment
Shortfall
N500bn
N3trn
N2.5trn
Subsidy shortfall (N2.5trn)
+
Fiscal Deficit (N6.4trn)
=
39.06% Fiscal Deficit to N8.9trn
31. FG Scouting for Funds
īļ Government trying to raise revenue by
īļ Introducing taxes
īļ Sugar tax - A N10/liter excise duty on all carbonated, non-alcoholic
and sweetened beverages
īļ Digital tax â A 6% tax on turnover for non-resident e-commerce
businesses
īļ Removing tax shelter on government T/Bills and securities
īļ Will mostly affect the banks, pension funds & insurance
īļ Total tax shelter approximated at N200bn
31
32. Implications on Corporates, Investors and Consumers
Corporates
Implications
īļIncrease effective tax rate on companiesâ income
īļSignificant reduction of affected companies profit after tax
īļCompanies affected include banks, insurance firms & PFAs
Investors
Consumers
īļA lower PAT implies a reduction in dividend payments
īļWill prompt rotation of portfolios from affected companies
īļLower investment and a fall in the national savings rate
īļMPS MPC
īļReduced consumption
32
33. Alternative Funding Options - Borrowing
33
Government
Borrowing
Domestic
Borrowing
Ways &
Means
Advances
Investors
Foreign
Borrowing
Commercial
loans
Multilateral
institutions
33
34. Alternative Funding Options - Borrowing
Domestic Borrowing Foreign Borrowing
īļ Concessionary debt structure is
more appropriate
īļWill improve the risk profile
īļRating improves
īļInterest rate hike in advanced
economies to increase debt
service burden
īļRelevance of timing of borrowing
īļWays and Means advances â
how sustainable?
īļDebt service costs to increase
as interest rates rise
34
35.
36. Oil Price & Oil Revenue Paradox
īļ Rally in oil prices with no matching increase in government revenue
Pipeline
vandalism
and theft
The counter-
trade
transactions
Oil
production
sharing
contract
36
37. I s t h e D a n g o t e R e f i n ery N i g e ria's
H a i l M a r y P a s s ?
N o t C o m p l e t e l y T r u e !
37
38. Is Dangote Refinery: Nigeria's Hail Mary Pass?
īļLong petrol queues resurface
īļA nightmare no one wishes for
MC > MR = Negative Profit
īļDangote refinery to the rescue
īļPricing plays a major role
38
39. 39
â U n f o r t u n a t e l y , n o t a n y t i m e s o o n â
When will the Nigerian
consumer smile?
40. Too Early to be Happy?
īļ Fall in food prices is sadly temporary
īļ Living costs are climbing
īļ Domestic airfares up by 100% - new price floor set at N50,000
īļ On higher jet fuel prices, spare part imports and forex scarcity
īļ A Lagos â Abuja return ticket now selling for over N100,000
īļ Rent payments up by an average of 20% as landlords discount for inflation
īļ Electricity costs also high
40
â P e r h a p s i t s s t i l l t o o e a r l y t o b e
h a p p y â
41. Inflation Biting Deep into Peopleâs Pockets
īļ Headline inflation still high at 15.6%
īļ 6.6% above the CBNâs target ceiling of 9% and growth retarding
īļ Disposable income bleeding profusely
īļ If youâve been earning N200,000 as a monthly income â hereâs what
inflation has done to your money
41
2019 2022
Inflation rate (%) 11.98 15.60
Real income (N) 176,040 168,800
The value of your N200,000 has fallen by 4.1% in the last 3 years, meanwhile costs keep climbing
42. Exchange
rate pass
through effect
Insecurity
Logistics
costs and
supply chain
disruptions
Higher
energy
costs (PMS,
diesel &
electricity)
Money
supply
saturation
Will the Cycle Ever End?
īļ In the meantime, inflationary pressures will persist
īļ So the loop continues, till the CBN fully resumes its
primary function of price stability
42
Planting
season
43. Consumer Response
īļ Consumers to keep rationing income to prioritize necessities
īļ No incentive to save
īļ Stalling behaviour from FG in addressing harsh living conditions could:
īļ Trigger public unrest
īļ Increase the rate of emigration
īļ Worsen crime rate/cybercrime
43
46. Monetary â CBN Targets $200bn Non-oil Revenue in
3 Years
īļCBN targets $200bn non-oil revenue in the next 3 to 5 years
īļTo boost forex supply and address currency pressures
īļThis is equivalent to an annual increase of $70bn (17.5% increase in GDP)
īļExport earnings currently at $50.5bn
īļOf which crude oil accounts for 74.6% and gas accounts for 12.8%
īļNon-oil export earnings is currently 12.6% = $6.4bn
Y = C + I + G + NX
$465.1bn $303.0bn $147.1bn $41.3bn -$29.9bn
46
47. The MPCâs Next Move?
īļ Next MPC meeting scheduled for March 22/23
īļ Major considerations would be:
īļ Inflation: 15.6% (Janâ22)
īļ Growth: 3.98% (Q4â21)
īļ Exchange rate pressure (Parallel: N576/$, IEFX: N416/$)
īļNext move:
47
īļ Status quo 11.5% (probability 55%)
īļ To keep stimulating growth at the expense
of rising inflation
īļ A huge disincentive to investment inflows
īļRate hike to 13.5% (probability 45%)
īļTo taper inflation
īļIn tandem with the global trend
48. 48
Investing in a Pre-election
Climate â Equities, Real
Estate or Bitcoin?
49. 49
Investment in a Pre-election YearâĻEquites/Real Estate?
Nigerian Equities Real Estate
Bitcoin
Dollar Investments â
US Equities
10.95%
17.1%
16.9%
8.00%
50. Global Fund Managers In 2022
īļGlobal fund managers confronting an array of headwinds: high
inflation, heightened geopolitical uncertainty and elevated valuations
īļIndustry players are mitigating the impact through strategic
diversification, mergers and acquisitions and robust financing
īļIncreasing capital flight from Russian investments to other emerging
markets
īļIndustry players are buying into growth opportunities in private markets
and ESG funds (environmental, social and governance)
50
51. If You Invested N10mnâĻ.2021 vs 2022 Returns
Investment Securities 2021 Return Investorsâ
Return
2022 âYTD
Return
Investorsâ
Return
US equities (S&P 500) 26.9% N2,690,000 8.00% - N800,000
Nigerian equities 6.07% N607,000 10.95% N 1,095,000
Avg. NTB (364 days) 7% N 700,000 5% N500,000
Real Estate 15% N1,500,000 16.9% N1,690,000
Bitcoin 59.7% N5,970,000 17.1% - N1,710,000
īļUncertainty characterized by the geopolitical war coupled with
forthcoming interest rate hikes will dampen the investment climate
īļBitcoin â best performing asset class in 2021 but unimpressive in 2022
īļInvestors to remain cautious among risky assets
51
52. NGX Indices in February
īļ NGX ASI gained 1.65% in February
īļ All indices in green territory
īļ Reflecting investors renewed interest for
Nigerian equities market
īļ Underpinned by impressive corporate
earnings
īļ Investors rotate their funds as fixed
income yields slide
īļ Rising oil prices spur gains in the oil and
gas industry
7.76%
2.32%
2.82%
2.76%
2.53%
1.65%
Oil & Gas
Consumer Goods
Industrials
Banking
Insurance
NGX ASI
February
52
53.
54. Invest in Equities or Not?
54
īļEquities to remain popular amongst investors as yields in the fixed income
space declines and inflation continues its upward trend
īļ Investors to buy into fundamentally strong stocks with attractive valuations in
a post-election year
īļOil & gas sector to continue its gaining streak, which will be bolstered by
soaring oil prices
īļFX availability to improve cost margins of sensitive sectors
īļStock market sensitive to economic and political vulnerabilities
īļIncreased cost of borrowing will further reduce profitability
īļBanking stocks to gather weak sentiment driven by the elimination of tax
shelter
īļReduced profitability likely to hurt dividend pay-outs
56. Zenith Bank- FYâ2021 Earnings
īļ Zenith bank resilient despite a wobbly year
īļ Gross earnings up 10% to N765.6bn
īļ Underpinned by a 7% growth in net interest income to N320.8bn
īļ Attributable to loan growth
īļ Non-interest income increased by 23% to N309bn
īļ Bottom line grew by 6% to N244.6bn
īļ Supported by the reduction in interest expense and growth in
non-interest income
56
57. Zenith Bank- FYâ2021 Earnings
īļ Total assets up 11% to N9.45trn
īļ Total customer deposit up 21% to N6.42trn (increased
customer base)
īļ Investors set to enjoy mouth-watering final dividends
īļ Dividend up 3.7% to N2.8 (N2.7 in Dec 2020)
īļ NPL ratio declined by 2% to 4.19% (4.29% in Dec 2020)
īļ Liquidity (71.6%) and capital adequacy (21%) ratios remain
above regulatory thresholds
57
58. Elimination of Tax Shelter-Impact on Earnings and Dividend
īļBanking sector pays an average
effective tax rate of 12% relative to
a nominal tax rate of 30%
īļBut effective tax rate expected to
surge due to tax shelter removal on
FGN securities
īļDividend payment and share price
will be negatively impacted as
profitability shrinks
īļInvestors will likely reposition and
hunt after attractive sectors
Zenith Bank 2020 2021
2022*
(based on
new tax
policy)
PBT (Nâbn) 255.9 280.4 280.4
Tax Paid
(Nâbn)
25.3 35.8 84.12
Effective Tax
Rate
10% 12.8% 30%
PAT (Nâbn) 230.6 244.6 196.28
DPS(N) 3 3.1 2.6
Dividend
Yield
12.1% 0.2% to
12.3%
2.7% to
9.6%
58
59. Real Estate Update
īļ Annual GDP growth positive at 2.26%
īļ On increased investor confidence despite low consumer purchasing
power
īļ When inflation climbs, investments in housing and landed properties rise
īļ In a bid to hedge against inflation and garner reasonable yields
īļ But housing deficit still high at 22 million as affordable housing stays scarce
īļ Likely CBN intervention in housing sector to boost growth
īļ Demand for yield by investors amid short supply of real estate to drive
sector activities in the near term
59
60. In the EndâĻ
īļ Investors should diversify their portfolio â depending on your risk appetite
īļ Real estate, equities and fixed income securities are more stable
options
īļ Compared to cryptocurrencies, due to high volatility in the global
markets
60
63. Aviation - Global Update
īļThe aviation industry was already on the mend in Q4â2021
īļMost carriers were already projecting to reach the pre-pandemic load factors
by 2023
īļSingapore Airlines, the gold standard of aviation, reported a sharp
improvement in its earnings, load factor and yield in December 2021
īļNet profit stood at $62.8mn, its first positive earning since the pandemic
īļThe Star Alliance, Lufthansa, Brussels and Swiss, all reported superior
performance in Q4â2021
īļLufthansa recorded an EBIT of $19mn, for the first time since the pandemic
63
64. Aviation - Global Update
īļHeathrow - the worldâs 3rd busiest international airport - showing a slight
resurgence with passenger traffic reaching 2.6mn in January
īļThis is 300% higher than January 2021
īļAfter 2 years of lower passenger traffic, with decline peaking at over 300%
to 19.39mn in 2021, Heathrow expects to return to profitability in 2022
īļThe UK has stopped all COVID-19 restrictions for visiting passengers
īļThe US is also following suit in dismantling COVID-19 restrictions for
vaccinated and boosted passengers
64
65. Aviation - Global Update
īļEasing restrictions are expected to support the recovery momentum
of the global aviation industry
īļIn Q3â21, the industry-wide operating loss was 2.6% of revenues
compared to 13.6% over the April-June period.
īļThere continues to be renewed optimism about recovery
īļHowever, rebound not likely to be broad-based across all
markets
īļMeanwhile, several airlines have halted flights to Ukraine amid the
Russian invasion
65
66. Domestic Travel Update
īļPositive 19.70% growth in 2021 compared to -36.98% contraction in
2020
īļOn high demand mainly driven by sustained insecurity â
kidnappings
īļDomestic airfares to increased by 100% amid forex scarcity and rising
cost of aviation fuel
īļNew United Nigeria Airlines and Air Peace partnership to advance
capacity of airlines
66
67. Domestic VS International airfares
īļDomestic airfares rising at a faster pace than international airfares
īļThe price of a flight from Lagos to Abuja has increased more than a Lagos
to London flight
58261
411,562
105500
422,158
Feb'21
Feb'22
VS
LOS to ABJ LOS to LHR
81% 2.6%
īļ The IATA rate of exchange has been
stable at N444/$, indicating steady
forex supply by the CBN to the airlines
67
68. Domestic Travel Update
īļNigerian passengers flying to the UK without a valid Schengen visa not
eligible to travel with European airlines
īļIn the interim, this is likely to spur an uptick in demand for British Airways flights
to the UK
īļIt will also create additional market for key regional players like Kenya and
Ethiopian airways
īļEmirates airlines has resumed flights to and from Nigeria
īļ7 out of Abuja and 14 out of Lagos
īļThe resumption of Emirates Airlines flights in Nigeria means a disruption to
Qatar Airwaysâ âmonopolyâ
68
68
69. Domestic Travel Update
īļAir Peace is helping bring passengers back from Ukraine
īļMeanwhile, domestic tickets remain high as airlines continue to record full
board
īļThis is driven mainly by insecurity
69
69
72. Political Update- 350 Days to Go!
īļPresident has signed the
Electoral Act
īļFeb 25th 2023 is the Presidential
Election Day
īļWhat are your predictions?
The process is just as important as the outcome
72
73. A 3-Way Horse Race
vs vs
Capacity, Competence, Charisma: the 3 Cs
The 3 Ws: Battle of Wits, Wants & Wallets
73
74. The Political Race Begins- An All Comers Game
Timeline:
Conventions
Elections
Campaigns
Primaries
The race begins February 25, 2022
THE CONTESTANTS
Front
Runners
Dreamers
Political
Mercenaries
Sure
Bankers
Dark Horse
74
75. Players to Watch- many are called but few are chosen
Rotimi
Amaechi
Godswill
Akpabio
Nyesom
Wike
Yemi
Osinbajo
Kayode
Fayemi
Bola
Tinubu
Muhammed
Hayatu-deen
Atiku
Abubakar
Bala
Mohammed
Aminu
Tambuwal
Bukola Saraki
75
76. Political Levers of Control
Security
Agencies
Influencers
and
Celebrities
Social
media
Corporate
Nigeria
International
Financial
Community
Mainstream
Media
Retired
Generals
Crime
Syndicates Incumbent
Administrations
Judges
and
Judiciary
76
77. 77
What Next??
E x p e c t a t i o n , A n t i c i p a t i o n & B r e a t h - H o l d i n g
78. Data Release Calendar
īļ OPEC meeting â March 2
īļ US Fed meeting â March 15/16
īļ February inflation â March 15
īļ MPC meeting â March 22/23
78
79. What Next?
īļ GDP growth to remain mildly positive as base effect wanes
īļ Official headline inflation will fall in February (15.4%) before picking up
more rapidly to 15.6% in March
īļ Food and energy prices will remain high, further eroding consumer
disposable income
īļ Fuel scarcity could linger as Russia-Ukraine tensions delay PMS imports
īļ Exchange rate pressures to persist at both parallel and IEFX markets
īļ Rising oil prices to mildly support external reserves accretion
īļ And boost the CBNâs forex intervention efforts
79
80. What Next?
īļNon-oil exportsâ contribution to forex revenue will be flat
īļN65/$ rebate will be mostly ignored
īļForce majeures and oil bunkering will increase at the expense of the FGN
īļStock market performance could be bullish as yields on fixed income
instruments remain low
īļDomestic investors will keep their eyes on corporate earnings
īļInternational investors will be more focused on the electoral risks
80
81. What Next?
īļCBN will maintain status quo but will commence mopping up liquidity
īļAfter the convention this month, the APC will splinter
īļThe PDP will be embroiled in a zoning squabble
īļThis is the long awaited dance- Azikiwe
81
82. Corporate Humour
Swearing is a compromise between running away and fighting.
â Finley Peter Dunne
82
I would rather have an inferiority complex and be pleasantly surprised
than have a superiority complex and be rudely awakened
â Vanna Bonta
A prisoner of war is a man who tries to kill you and fails, and
then begs you not to kill him.
â Winston Churchill
83. Corporate Humour
One of the penalties for refusing to participate in politics is that you end
up being governed by your inferiors.
â Plato
83
A committee is a group of the unwilling, picked from the unfit to do the
unnecessary
â Richard Harness
Love is like wine; To sip is fine, but to empty the bottle is a
headache.
â Julio Iglesias
84. Corporate Humour
A womanâs mind is cleaner than a manâs. She changes it more often.
â Oliver Herford
84
Men should be like Kleenex soft, strong and disposable.
â Cher
I am a marvellous housekeeper. Every time I leave a man, I keep
his house.
â Zsa Zsa Gabor
85. Corporate Humour
After marriage, husband and wife become two sides of a coin, they
just canât face each other, but still they stay together
â Hemant Joshi
85
A husband is what is left of the lover after the nerve is extracted.
â Helen Rowland
87. Bismarck J. Rewane, MD/CEO
Financial Derivatives Company Ltd.
Lagos, Nigeria
01-6320213
Š 2022. âThis publication is for private circulation only. Any other use or publication without the prior express consent of Financial Derivatives Company
Limited is prohibited.â