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Panel 9: Travel and the Next Technology Frontiers: From Virtual to Space
Adventures in Commercial Space
Jonathan Firth - Chief Operating Officer, D-Orbit
10th January 2020
Guildford
Travel & Next Technology Frontiers
Global Space Economy and Tourism
My Experience with Virgin Galactic
D-Orbit and a Vision for the Future
Global Space Economy and Tourism
Global Space Economy and Tourism
Global Space Economy and Tourism
Space systems are vital for telecommunications, earth observation, remote sensing,
resource management, navigation, infrastructure development and national security
“Data is the new oil - companies building on
data are very successful now
and will be more successful in the future”
Khaldoon Khalifa Al Mubarak - CEO and Managing Director
Mubadala Investment Co (Abu Dhabi sovereign wealth fund)
Space Economy: the sector and its derived activities
Global Space Economy and Tourism
Global Space Economy
2020: Valued at USD ~400 billion
Projected grow to:
• USD 558 billion by 2026 – Market Forecast
• USD 2.7 trillion by the 2040’s – Bank of America Merrill Lynch
Space is Key for Growth in many Verticals - Space systems
provide key information, insights and services
Global Space Economy and Tourism
Today’s new Space markets are growing fastest for
commercial applications by providing access to
affordable imagery, communications, and other
types of data from Space
Many small, privately-backed early stage Space-
related companies are being created
Space Economy: the sector and its derived activities
Global Space Economy and Tourism
• Falling launch costs
• Reusable launch vehicle development
• Revolution in both small satellite technology and small launch
vehicles
• Availability of Capital / Recovery after World Recession (2007-2009)
• Government Policy
These factors attract new entrants throughout the space sector’s
value chain (from satellite and rocket manufacturing, to launching
satellites and people, to downstream services) Source: OECD
Transformative factors
Global Space Economy and Tourism
Global Space
Economy:
Equity
Investments
Space equity investments
since 2009 add up to
over USD20 billion in over
400 space companies
Source: Space Angels
Global Space Economy and Tourism
Global Space Economy and Tourism
Source: ULA
Global Space Economy and Tourism
Source: ULA
My Experience with Virgin Galactic
SpaceShipOne - Mojave, CA – 4th October 2004
My Experience with Virgin Galactic
15
Space Altitude Achieved
Mojave, CA – December 2018
My Experience with Virgin Galactic
Consumer Permission
to Enter Numerous
Industries
Commercial Focus
with Intent to
Make a Difference
High Impact, Cost
Effective Marketing
Attracts Talented
People and
Complementary
Business Partners
Customer
Experience is Key,
Drives Loyalty
My Experience with Virgin Galactic
WhiteKnight (carrier aircraft)
SpaceShipOne
(spacecraft)
Early Customer Insights Defined
Flight Experience and Informed
Design of New Spacecraft
Service/Price Announced,
Five Person Start Up Team
Established in London
Market Study on
Consumer Interest in
Flying to Space
My Experience with Virgin Galactic
Reservations Grew at
Approx. 100 Per Year,
from over 50 Nations
Space Altitude,
with Award of
Astronaut Status
View of Earth
and Blackness
of Space
Desire to Bring
Friends and
Family to Watch
Out of Seat
Weightless
Experience
‘G’ Forces were an
Unknown vs.
% Ability to Fly
Opportunity to be
in First Thousand
People in Space
My Experience with Virgin Galactic
Trials Demonstrated That
Only Normal Level of
Health Would Be Required
Richard B
Participated
in the Trial
Founders Were Invited to
Ride Centrifuge Programmed
to Spaceship ‘G’ Profile
Securing
Reservations Was An
Intensive Process
Customers Making
Full Deposit Became
‘Founders’
My Experience with Virgin Galactic
1 2 3 4
Customer Experience:
Sub-Orbital Spaceflight Offering
My Experience with Virgin Galactic
1 2 3 4
Tourism Experience:
Secondary Offerings and Revenue Opportunities
My Experience with Virgin Galactic
22Mojave, CA – 31st October 2014
Flight Test Accident
in 2014 Resulted in
Loss of Spacecraft
Virgin’s Own Internal
Review Absorbed
Corrective Actions
Comprehensive
Investigation by US
Safety Authority
Co-Pilot Killed,
Pilot Injured But
Parachuted Safely
Insurers Paid for Lost
Vehicle, Cover with
Aviation Market
My Experience with Virgin Galactic
‘Space Tourism’ & Off World Expeditions
‘Space tourism’ - space travel for recreational, leisure or business purposes (potential
includes suborbital, orbital and lunar missions), and all Earth-related tourism activity
To date, only orbital space tourism has been performed - by the Russian Space Agency
Projected that the personal spaceflight market (commercial aviation plus tourism)
could be worth USD23 billion by 2030
Virgin Galactic and Blue Origin aim to provide suborbital flights in the near term
SpaceX has announced its first passenger for a trip to Moon orbit
“Space tourism could be the stepping stone for the development of long-haul travel
on earth serviced by space. In a decade, high speed travel via outer space will
compete with long-distance airline flights.” - UBS Analysis, 2019
My Experience with Virgin Galactic
D-Orbit and a Vision for the Future
25
D-ORBIT’S VISION: In-space transportation and
servicing to enable profitable business and human
expansion in a sustainable space environment
D-Orbit and a Vision for the Future
D-Orbit and a Vision for the Future
D-Orbit and a Vision for the Future
27
D-Orbit’s services
cover the entire
lifecycle of space
missions adding value
to our customers’
businesses
Streamlined in-space
and on-ground
operations with
innovative
technologies
D-Orbit and a Vision for the Future
28
ION CubeSat Carrier:
a free-flying dispenser developed
and operated by D-ORBIT
Time Reduction from
Launch to Revenue
85%UP
TO Lower Cost for Constellation
Deployment
40%UP
TO
Space Impact is widening
Emerging digital technologies and innovative operating models
are expanding the role of Space in multiple economic sectors
(in the way that GPS has done in the past, for example)
Technologies like artificial intelligence, blockchain and augmented reality
“can disrupt the status quo of what we currently think of as ‘Space’ by
advancing it, optimizing it or making it cheaper, faster or more accessible”
Source: ‘Tech Trends 2019: Space industry perspective’ - Deloitte report, April 2019
D-Orbit and a Vision for the Future
30
New Business Models
Example: Holistic Mission Control (D-Orbit)
Space
Mission Ground
Control
Data and
Applications
New Space Solutions
“As a service” providers
are developing their
offerings – provision of
full turnkey services for
customers
Shift is from buying
rockets to buying
services
Ensuring that all humanity can continue to use Space for peaceful
purposes and socioeconomic benefit now and in the long term will
require international cooperation and agreements
“Space tools are highly relevant for the attainment of all 17 Sustainable
Development Goals and their respective targets, either directly or indirectly”
UN Office for Outer Space Affairs, June 2018
Greater Focus on Space Sustainability
D-Orbit and a Vision for the Future
Orbital debris is a global
problem
New Business Models
Example: Space Debris Management
European Space Agency estimates 900,000
pieces of debris larger than 1cm are in orbit
D-Orbit and a Vision for the Future
Technologies that
could move
humanity from
making temporary
visits into Space
towards setting up a
permanent presence
D-Orbit and a Vision for the Future
New Business Models
Example: In-Space Manufacturing
Building Lunar Habitats
D-Orbit and a Vision for the Future
Mining of the Moon and Asteroids
D-Orbit and a Vision for the Future
36
1. Space Investment is at Record Levels
2. Commercial Space (aka NewSpace) has driven change
3. Many new players internationally
D-Orbit and a Vision for the Future
My Experience with Virgin Galactic
Global Space Economy and Tourism
1. New Market Created by VG: Personal Spaceflight
2. Proof of Safety for Humans not yet achieved
3. Many Opportunities beyond the Participants
1. In-Space Transportation systems are being developed
2. Autonomous Systems will lead activities
3. Impact is Widening: “Today’s ‘Science Fiction’ is
Tomorrow’s ‘Science Fact’ “ (Isaac Asimov)
37

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Panel 9: Travel and the Next Technology Frontiers: From Virtual to Space Adventures in Commercial Space

  • 1. Panel 9: Travel and the Next Technology Frontiers: From Virtual to Space Adventures in Commercial Space Jonathan Firth - Chief Operating Officer, D-Orbit 10th January 2020 Guildford
  • 2. Travel & Next Technology Frontiers Global Space Economy and Tourism My Experience with Virgin Galactic D-Orbit and a Vision for the Future
  • 3. Global Space Economy and Tourism
  • 4. Global Space Economy and Tourism
  • 5. Global Space Economy and Tourism Space systems are vital for telecommunications, earth observation, remote sensing, resource management, navigation, infrastructure development and national security
  • 6. “Data is the new oil - companies building on data are very successful now and will be more successful in the future” Khaldoon Khalifa Al Mubarak - CEO and Managing Director Mubadala Investment Co (Abu Dhabi sovereign wealth fund) Space Economy: the sector and its derived activities Global Space Economy and Tourism
  • 7. Global Space Economy 2020: Valued at USD ~400 billion Projected grow to: • USD 558 billion by 2026 – Market Forecast • USD 2.7 trillion by the 2040’s – Bank of America Merrill Lynch Space is Key for Growth in many Verticals - Space systems provide key information, insights and services Global Space Economy and Tourism
  • 8. Today’s new Space markets are growing fastest for commercial applications by providing access to affordable imagery, communications, and other types of data from Space Many small, privately-backed early stage Space- related companies are being created Space Economy: the sector and its derived activities Global Space Economy and Tourism
  • 9. • Falling launch costs • Reusable launch vehicle development • Revolution in both small satellite technology and small launch vehicles • Availability of Capital / Recovery after World Recession (2007-2009) • Government Policy These factors attract new entrants throughout the space sector’s value chain (from satellite and rocket manufacturing, to launching satellites and people, to downstream services) Source: OECD Transformative factors Global Space Economy and Tourism
  • 10. Global Space Economy: Equity Investments Space equity investments since 2009 add up to over USD20 billion in over 400 space companies Source: Space Angels Global Space Economy and Tourism
  • 11. Global Space Economy and Tourism Source: ULA
  • 12. Global Space Economy and Tourism Source: ULA
  • 13. My Experience with Virgin Galactic
  • 14. SpaceShipOne - Mojave, CA – 4th October 2004 My Experience with Virgin Galactic
  • 15. 15 Space Altitude Achieved Mojave, CA – December 2018 My Experience with Virgin Galactic
  • 16. Consumer Permission to Enter Numerous Industries Commercial Focus with Intent to Make a Difference High Impact, Cost Effective Marketing Attracts Talented People and Complementary Business Partners Customer Experience is Key, Drives Loyalty My Experience with Virgin Galactic
  • 17. WhiteKnight (carrier aircraft) SpaceShipOne (spacecraft) Early Customer Insights Defined Flight Experience and Informed Design of New Spacecraft Service/Price Announced, Five Person Start Up Team Established in London Market Study on Consumer Interest in Flying to Space My Experience with Virgin Galactic Reservations Grew at Approx. 100 Per Year, from over 50 Nations
  • 18. Space Altitude, with Award of Astronaut Status View of Earth and Blackness of Space Desire to Bring Friends and Family to Watch Out of Seat Weightless Experience ‘G’ Forces were an Unknown vs. % Ability to Fly Opportunity to be in First Thousand People in Space My Experience with Virgin Galactic
  • 19. Trials Demonstrated That Only Normal Level of Health Would Be Required Richard B Participated in the Trial Founders Were Invited to Ride Centrifuge Programmed to Spaceship ‘G’ Profile Securing Reservations Was An Intensive Process Customers Making Full Deposit Became ‘Founders’ My Experience with Virgin Galactic
  • 20. 1 2 3 4 Customer Experience: Sub-Orbital Spaceflight Offering My Experience with Virgin Galactic
  • 21. 1 2 3 4 Tourism Experience: Secondary Offerings and Revenue Opportunities My Experience with Virgin Galactic
  • 22. 22Mojave, CA – 31st October 2014 Flight Test Accident in 2014 Resulted in Loss of Spacecraft Virgin’s Own Internal Review Absorbed Corrective Actions Comprehensive Investigation by US Safety Authority Co-Pilot Killed, Pilot Injured But Parachuted Safely Insurers Paid for Lost Vehicle, Cover with Aviation Market My Experience with Virgin Galactic
  • 23. ‘Space Tourism’ & Off World Expeditions ‘Space tourism’ - space travel for recreational, leisure or business purposes (potential includes suborbital, orbital and lunar missions), and all Earth-related tourism activity To date, only orbital space tourism has been performed - by the Russian Space Agency Projected that the personal spaceflight market (commercial aviation plus tourism) could be worth USD23 billion by 2030 Virgin Galactic and Blue Origin aim to provide suborbital flights in the near term SpaceX has announced its first passenger for a trip to Moon orbit “Space tourism could be the stepping stone for the development of long-haul travel on earth serviced by space. In a decade, high speed travel via outer space will compete with long-distance airline flights.” - UBS Analysis, 2019 My Experience with Virgin Galactic
  • 24. D-Orbit and a Vision for the Future
  • 25. 25 D-ORBIT’S VISION: In-space transportation and servicing to enable profitable business and human expansion in a sustainable space environment D-Orbit and a Vision for the Future
  • 26. D-Orbit and a Vision for the Future D-Orbit and a Vision for the Future
  • 27. 27 D-Orbit’s services cover the entire lifecycle of space missions adding value to our customers’ businesses Streamlined in-space and on-ground operations with innovative technologies D-Orbit and a Vision for the Future
  • 28. 28 ION CubeSat Carrier: a free-flying dispenser developed and operated by D-ORBIT Time Reduction from Launch to Revenue 85%UP TO Lower Cost for Constellation Deployment 40%UP TO
  • 29. Space Impact is widening Emerging digital technologies and innovative operating models are expanding the role of Space in multiple economic sectors (in the way that GPS has done in the past, for example) Technologies like artificial intelligence, blockchain and augmented reality “can disrupt the status quo of what we currently think of as ‘Space’ by advancing it, optimizing it or making it cheaper, faster or more accessible” Source: ‘Tech Trends 2019: Space industry perspective’ - Deloitte report, April 2019 D-Orbit and a Vision for the Future
  • 30. 30 New Business Models Example: Holistic Mission Control (D-Orbit) Space Mission Ground Control Data and Applications New Space Solutions “As a service” providers are developing their offerings – provision of full turnkey services for customers Shift is from buying rockets to buying services
  • 31. Ensuring that all humanity can continue to use Space for peaceful purposes and socioeconomic benefit now and in the long term will require international cooperation and agreements “Space tools are highly relevant for the attainment of all 17 Sustainable Development Goals and their respective targets, either directly or indirectly” UN Office for Outer Space Affairs, June 2018 Greater Focus on Space Sustainability D-Orbit and a Vision for the Future
  • 32. Orbital debris is a global problem New Business Models Example: Space Debris Management European Space Agency estimates 900,000 pieces of debris larger than 1cm are in orbit D-Orbit and a Vision for the Future
  • 33. Technologies that could move humanity from making temporary visits into Space towards setting up a permanent presence D-Orbit and a Vision for the Future New Business Models Example: In-Space Manufacturing
  • 34. Building Lunar Habitats D-Orbit and a Vision for the Future
  • 35. Mining of the Moon and Asteroids D-Orbit and a Vision for the Future
  • 36. 36 1. Space Investment is at Record Levels 2. Commercial Space (aka NewSpace) has driven change 3. Many new players internationally D-Orbit and a Vision for the Future My Experience with Virgin Galactic Global Space Economy and Tourism 1. New Market Created by VG: Personal Spaceflight 2. Proof of Safety for Humans not yet achieved 3. Many Opportunities beyond the Participants 1. In-Space Transportation systems are being developed 2. Autonomous Systems will lead activities 3. Impact is Widening: “Today’s ‘Science Fiction’ is Tomorrow’s ‘Science Fact’ “ (Isaac Asimov)
  • 37. 37