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Opinion and Consensus Dynamics in Tourism Digital Ecosystems
1. Opinion and consensus dynamics in
tourism digital ecosystems
Rodolfo Baggio
Bocconi University, Italy
Giacomo Del Chiappa
University of Sassari and CRENoS, Italy
ENTER 2014 Research Track
Slide Number 1
2. Background (1)
The Web is not simply a technological
manifestation but a reflection of
social structures and processes
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Slide Number 2
3. Background (2)
Tourism destination : digital business ecosystem
– dynamically interlinked real and virtual agents
– digital components are intelligent, active and adaptive
organisms
– system is in continuous evolution (perpetual beta)
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Slide Number 3
5. Background (3)
• Collaboration, harmonization and coordination of
stakeholders’ views pivotal for effective &
competitive tourism development
• Enforced through consensus building
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Slide Number 5
6. Objectives
• Reconfirm, on more solid bases, structural
interdependence of real & virtual components in
a tourism digital ecosystem
• Investigate how digital ecosystem topology affects
opinion sharing & consensus development among
stakeholders
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Slide Number 6
7. Materials
Livigno
Elba
Gallura
• Three Italian destinations
– Elba, Gallura, Livigno
– Similar size ( 1000 firms)
– Similar tourism intensity
(500k tourists/year,
strong seasonality)
• Collected data & built
network
– core tourism operators +
websites
– links btw firms & websites
• also weighted
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Slide Number 7
9. Dynamic processes
• Information diffusion
– epidemiological models on network substrate;
– main parameter: infectivity τ
– infection process possible when τ > τC (critical threshold)
• Synchronization
– models consensus formation
– physical model by Kuramoto: system elements are coupled
oscillators, each with intrinsic frequency & characteristic phase
– main parameter: coupling K
– whole system synchronises when K > KC (critical coupling)
(i.e. all oscillators have same phase -> opinions are aligned)
• NB: critical values depend on system configuration
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10. Nets, matrices, eigenvalues & eigenvectors
• For a square (n n) matrix M, it is possible to find a scalar λ
and a vector xn 1 0 satisfying Mx = λx.
• λ, x are called eigenvalues & eigenvectors of M;
– a real symmetric n n matrix M has n real eigenvalues
– the set of distinct eigenvalues is called the spectrum of M
• Eigenvalues and eigenvectors “summarize” network topology
– eigenvalues: global information,
eigenvectors: local (nodal) information
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11. Methods
• Spectral analysis, i.e. analysis of the eigenvalues and
eigenvector of the adjacency & Laplacian matrices of
the 3 networks
– useful, and often computationally more efficient, way to
assess network main parameters
Adjacency matrix:
Laplacian matrix:
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12. Methods
Use 2 results from graph spectral theory:
• Fiedler vector: eigenvector associated with second
smallest Laplacian eigenvalue 2 renders algebraic
connectivity of the network
– large gaps in plot separation between “communities”
• Spectral radius: largest eigenvalue of adjacency
matrix λN
– SIS epidemic diffusion in undirected graph:
critical threshold τC = 1/λN
– Synchronization: critical coupling KC 1/λN
ENTER 2014 Research Track
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14. Results: diffusion & synchronization
• The values for whole ecosystems < those of single
components (minimum is for weighted networks)
NB: weights assigned to links considering probable cost of links
(RR=1, VR=2, VV=3)
ENTER 2014 Research Track
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15. Concluding remarks
• Reconfirm that no trivial structural separation is
possible between real and virtual components in a
tourism system
• Combination of real and virtual elements in a single
integrated system provides a more efficient
substrate for the spreading of ideas or the reaching
of a consensus on some issue
ENTER 2014 Research Track
Slide Number 15