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Opinion and consensus dynamics in
tourism digital ecosystems
Rodolfo Baggio
Bocconi University, Italy

Giacomo Del Chiappa
University of Sassari and CRENoS, Italy

ENTER 2014 Research Track

Slide Number 1
Background (1)

The Web is not simply a technological
manifestation but a reflection of
social structures and processes
ENTER 2014 Research Track

Slide Number 2
Background (2)

Tourism destination : digital business ecosystem
– dynamically interlinked real and virtual agents
– digital components are intelligent, active and adaptive
organisms
– system is in continuous evolution (perpetual beta)
ENTER 2014 Research Track

Slide Number 3
Efficiency

Tourism digital ecosystem

System structure affects functions

ENTER 2014 Research Track

Slide Number 4
Background (3)
• Collaboration, harmonization and coordination of
stakeholders’ views pivotal for effective &
competitive tourism development
• Enforced through consensus building

ENTER 2014 Research Track

Slide Number 5
Objectives
• Reconfirm, on more solid bases, structural
interdependence of real & virtual components in
a tourism digital ecosystem

• Investigate how digital ecosystem topology affects
opinion sharing & consensus development among
stakeholders

ENTER 2014 Research Track

Slide Number 6
Materials
Livigno

Elba
Gallura

• Three Italian destinations
– Elba, Gallura, Livigno
– Similar size ( 1000 firms)
– Similar tourism intensity
(500k tourists/year,
strong seasonality)

• Collected data & built
network
– core tourism operators +
websites
– links btw firms & websites
• also weighted
ENTER 2014 Research Track

Slide Number 7
Similar characteristics
& topology

Cumulative deg. distrib.

Materials

ENTER 2014 Research Track

Slide Number 8
Dynamic processes
• Information diffusion
– epidemiological models on network substrate;
– main parameter: infectivity τ
– infection process possible when τ > τC (critical threshold)

• Synchronization
– models consensus formation
– physical model by Kuramoto: system elements are coupled
oscillators, each with intrinsic frequency & characteristic phase
– main parameter: coupling K
– whole system synchronises when K > KC (critical coupling)
(i.e. all oscillators have same phase -> opinions are aligned)

• NB: critical values depend on system configuration
ENTER 2014 Research Track

Slide Number 9
Nets, matrices, eigenvalues & eigenvectors

• For a square (n n) matrix M, it is possible to find a scalar λ
and a vector xn 1 0 satisfying Mx = λx.
• λ, x are called eigenvalues & eigenvectors of M;
– a real symmetric n n matrix M has n real eigenvalues
– the set of distinct eigenvalues is called the spectrum of M

• Eigenvalues and eigenvectors “summarize” network topology
– eigenvalues: global information,
eigenvectors: local (nodal) information
ENTER 2014 Research Track

Slide Number 10
Methods
• Spectral analysis, i.e. analysis of the eigenvalues and
eigenvector of the adjacency & Laplacian matrices of
the 3 networks
– useful, and often computationally more efficient, way to
assess network main parameters

Adjacency matrix:
Laplacian matrix:

ENTER 2014 Research Track

Slide Number 11
Methods
Use 2 results from graph spectral theory:
• Fiedler vector: eigenvector associated with second
smallest Laplacian eigenvalue 2 renders algebraic
connectivity of the network
– large gaps in plot  separation between “communities”

• Spectral radius: largest eigenvalue of adjacency
matrix λN
– SIS epidemic diffusion in undirected graph:
critical threshold τC = 1/λN
– Synchronization: critical coupling KC 1/λN
ENTER 2014 Research Track

Slide Number 12
Results: topology
Fiedler vector
Artificial network w. 2
well separated modules

No trivial separation possible
ENTER 2014 Research Track

Slide Number 13
Results: diffusion & synchronization

• The values for whole ecosystems < those of single
components (minimum is for weighted networks)
NB: weights assigned to links considering probable cost of links
(RR=1, VR=2, VV=3)

ENTER 2014 Research Track

Slide Number 14
Concluding remarks
• Reconfirm that no trivial structural separation is
possible between real and virtual components in a
tourism system

• Combination of real and virtual elements in a single
integrated system provides a more efficient
substrate for the spreading of ideas or the reaching
of a consensus on some issue

ENTER 2014 Research Track

Slide Number 15

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Opinion and Consensus Dynamics in Tourism Digital Ecosystems

  • 1. Opinion and consensus dynamics in tourism digital ecosystems Rodolfo Baggio Bocconi University, Italy Giacomo Del Chiappa University of Sassari and CRENoS, Italy ENTER 2014 Research Track Slide Number 1
  • 2. Background (1) The Web is not simply a technological manifestation but a reflection of social structures and processes ENTER 2014 Research Track Slide Number 2
  • 3. Background (2) Tourism destination : digital business ecosystem – dynamically interlinked real and virtual agents – digital components are intelligent, active and adaptive organisms – system is in continuous evolution (perpetual beta) ENTER 2014 Research Track Slide Number 3
  • 4. Efficiency Tourism digital ecosystem System structure affects functions ENTER 2014 Research Track Slide Number 4
  • 5. Background (3) • Collaboration, harmonization and coordination of stakeholders’ views pivotal for effective & competitive tourism development • Enforced through consensus building ENTER 2014 Research Track Slide Number 5
  • 6. Objectives • Reconfirm, on more solid bases, structural interdependence of real & virtual components in a tourism digital ecosystem • Investigate how digital ecosystem topology affects opinion sharing & consensus development among stakeholders ENTER 2014 Research Track Slide Number 6
  • 7. Materials Livigno Elba Gallura • Three Italian destinations – Elba, Gallura, Livigno – Similar size ( 1000 firms) – Similar tourism intensity (500k tourists/year, strong seasonality) • Collected data & built network – core tourism operators + websites – links btw firms & websites • also weighted ENTER 2014 Research Track Slide Number 7
  • 8. Similar characteristics & topology Cumulative deg. distrib. Materials ENTER 2014 Research Track Slide Number 8
  • 9. Dynamic processes • Information diffusion – epidemiological models on network substrate; – main parameter: infectivity τ – infection process possible when τ > τC (critical threshold) • Synchronization – models consensus formation – physical model by Kuramoto: system elements are coupled oscillators, each with intrinsic frequency & characteristic phase – main parameter: coupling K – whole system synchronises when K > KC (critical coupling) (i.e. all oscillators have same phase -> opinions are aligned) • NB: critical values depend on system configuration ENTER 2014 Research Track Slide Number 9
  • 10. Nets, matrices, eigenvalues & eigenvectors • For a square (n n) matrix M, it is possible to find a scalar λ and a vector xn 1 0 satisfying Mx = λx. • λ, x are called eigenvalues & eigenvectors of M; – a real symmetric n n matrix M has n real eigenvalues – the set of distinct eigenvalues is called the spectrum of M • Eigenvalues and eigenvectors “summarize” network topology – eigenvalues: global information, eigenvectors: local (nodal) information ENTER 2014 Research Track Slide Number 10
  • 11. Methods • Spectral analysis, i.e. analysis of the eigenvalues and eigenvector of the adjacency & Laplacian matrices of the 3 networks – useful, and often computationally more efficient, way to assess network main parameters Adjacency matrix: Laplacian matrix: ENTER 2014 Research Track Slide Number 11
  • 12. Methods Use 2 results from graph spectral theory: • Fiedler vector: eigenvector associated with second smallest Laplacian eigenvalue 2 renders algebraic connectivity of the network – large gaps in plot  separation between “communities” • Spectral radius: largest eigenvalue of adjacency matrix λN – SIS epidemic diffusion in undirected graph: critical threshold τC = 1/λN – Synchronization: critical coupling KC 1/λN ENTER 2014 Research Track Slide Number 12
  • 13. Results: topology Fiedler vector Artificial network w. 2 well separated modules No trivial separation possible ENTER 2014 Research Track Slide Number 13
  • 14. Results: diffusion & synchronization • The values for whole ecosystems < those of single components (minimum is for weighted networks) NB: weights assigned to links considering probable cost of links (RR=1, VR=2, VV=3) ENTER 2014 Research Track Slide Number 14
  • 15. Concluding remarks • Reconfirm that no trivial structural separation is possible between real and virtual components in a tourism system • Combination of real and virtual elements in a single integrated system provides a more efficient substrate for the spreading of ideas or the reaching of a consensus on some issue ENTER 2014 Research Track Slide Number 15