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India Project & Soft Risk Advisors to European Companies
	
  
©	
  LH-­‐Blenheim	
  Advisors	
  2011	
  
1	
  
	
  
	
  
INDIA	
  INSIGHT	
  -­‐	
  2011	
  
Culture-­‐Driven	
  Soft	
  Risks,	
  
Tactical	
  Success	
  &	
  the	
  20/80	
  Rule	
  
	
  
Local	
   culture	
   driven	
   soft	
   risks	
   in	
   India	
   can,	
   by	
   an	
   effective	
   and	
  
discreet	
  RAM	
  tactical	
  strategy,	
  lead	
  to	
  a	
  competitive	
  advantage	
  in	
  
India	
   -­‐	
   or,	
   in	
   failing	
   to	
   take	
   adequate	
   measures,	
   to	
   the	
  
undermining	
   of	
   corporate	
   integrity,	
   reputation	
   and	
   capital	
   loss,	
  
and	
  possible	
  imprisonment.	
  
	
  
Considerations	
  include:	
  
	
  
• KEY	
  DRIVERS	
  OF	
  SOFT	
  RISKS	
  
Two	
  key	
  drivers	
  of	
  the	
  threats	
  to	
  UK	
  companies	
  already	
  in	
  India,	
  or	
  
newly	
  entering	
  India	
  are	
  (a)	
  subtle	
  Manipulation	
  by	
  the	
  Indian	
  side	
  
(partners,	
   agents,	
   senior	
   employees,	
   local	
   advisors,	
   bureaucrats/	
  
government	
  officials,	
  and	
  (b)	
  Corruption	
  and	
  Bribery.	
  	
  
	
  
• NOT	
  A	
  LEVEL	
  PLAYING	
  FIELD	
  
In	
  India,	
  the	
  Rule	
  of	
  Law	
  can	
  prove	
  to	
  be	
  a	
  moving	
  goal	
  post,	
  fuelled	
  
by	
   the	
   twin	
   local	
   engines	
   of	
   manipulation	
   and	
   corruption.	
   Moving	
  
parts	
   can	
   range	
   from	
   community	
   and	
   family	
   affiliations,	
   vested	
  
politics,	
  sheer	
  opportunism,	
  habitual	
  behavior	
  and	
  cultural	
  attitude.	
  
	
  
• TACTICAL	
  SUCCESS	
  IN	
  THIS	
  FIELD	
  
The	
   risks	
   and	
   commercial	
   disadvantage	
   can	
   be	
   neutralized	
   by	
   the	
  
timely	
   adoption	
   of	
   a	
   RAM	
   Strategy	
   attitude:	
   Recognize	
   -­‐	
   Assess	
   &	
  
Measure	
   	
   -­‐	
   Manage	
   &	
   Respond.	
   	
   RAM	
   the	
   Soft	
   Risks.	
   This	
   RAM	
  
Strategy	
  is	
  not	
  quite	
  the	
  same	
  as	
  the	
  business	
  Strategic/Project	
  Plan,	
  
Commercial	
  Evaluation,	
  or	
  Legal/Financial	
  Due	
  Diligence	
  stages	
  prior	
  
to	
  and	
  when	
  entering	
  and	
  establishing	
  in	
  India.	
  Local	
  culture	
  driven	
  
Soft	
   Risks	
   by	
   their	
   very	
   nature	
   are	
   subtle,	
   hidden,	
   undisclosed	
   and	
  
least	
  expected	
  by	
  the	
  Western	
  side.	
  
	
  
	
  
 
India Project & Soft Risk Advisors to European Companies
	
  
©	
  LH-­‐Blenheim	
  Advisors	
  2011	
  
2	
  
	
  
• LIFE-­‐CYCLE	
  
The	
  RAM	
  Strategy	
  is	
  a	
  crucial	
  effort	
  by	
  western	
  decision-­‐makers	
  and	
  
risk	
   officers	
   to	
   recognize	
   and	
   deal	
   with	
   soft	
   risks	
   that	
   arise	
  
continually	
  throughout	
  the	
  life	
  cycle	
  of	
  entering,	
  establishing,	
  dealing	
  
and	
  operating	
  in	
  India.	
  As	
  long	
  as	
  local	
  partners,	
  agents,	
  advisors	
  and	
  
government	
   officials	
   are	
   to	
   be	
   interfaced.	
   	
   The	
   RAM	
   response	
   can	
  
shift	
  the	
  power	
  balance	
  away	
  from	
  the	
  local	
  parties,	
  allowing	
  focus	
  
on	
  real	
  business.	
  
	
  
• COMPETITIVE	
  ADVANTAGE	
  
Knowledge	
   of	
   the	
   underlying	
   manipulation	
   and	
   actions	
   of	
   these	
  
parties	
  can	
  convert	
  the	
  commercial	
  disadvantage	
  into	
  a	
  competitive	
  
advantage	
   by	
   providing	
   a	
   choice	
   of	
   responses	
   to	
   balance	
   self-­‐
protection	
  and	
  preserving	
  the	
  local	
  relationship	
  and	
  opportunity.	
  
	
  
• PREVENTION	
  OF	
  REPUTATION	
  AND	
  CAPITAL	
  LOSS	
  	
  
An	
  apparently	
  healthy	
  P&L	
  account	
  from	
  the	
  India	
  venture	
  is	
  a	
  failure	
  
if	
  reputation	
  loss	
  arises	
  from	
  underlying	
  manipulation	
  by	
  local	
  parties	
  
and	
  corruption.	
  Quite	
  often,	
  the	
  local	
  party	
  may	
  count	
  on,	
  and	
  even	
  
arrange	
   covertly,	
   the	
   threat	
   to	
   reputation	
   loss	
   to	
   induce	
   a	
   shift	
   of	
  
position.	
  Trial	
  of	
  media	
  is	
  an	
  increasingly	
  common	
  tool	
  in	
  the	
  local	
  
arsenal,	
  and	
  the	
  western	
  side	
  easily	
  manipulated,	
  leading	
  to	
  threat	
  of	
  
a	
  double	
  blow	
  by	
  the	
  home	
  country	
  media.	
  
	
  
• CORPORATE	
  INTEGRITY	
  &	
  THE	
  UK	
  BRIBERY	
  LAW	
  2011	
  
Manipulation	
   in	
   India	
   leading	
   to	
   involvement	
   in	
   corruption	
   and	
  
bribery	
  by	
  local	
  parties	
  (partners,	
  agents,	
  employees,	
  advisors)	
  can	
  
potentially	
   lead	
   to	
   strict	
   liability	
   in	
   the	
   form	
   of	
   imprisonment	
   and	
  
hefty	
  penalties	
  for	
  UK	
  directors	
  under	
  the	
  new	
  proposed	
  UK	
  Bribery	
  
Act.	
  
	
  
• 20/80	
  INDIA	
  RULE	
  	
  
Experience	
   of	
   doing	
   business	
   in	
   India	
   and	
   achieving	
   local	
   cultural	
  
insights	
   will	
   indicate:	
   	
   20%	
   of	
   the	
   total	
   effort	
   in	
   entering	
   and	
  
succeeding	
   in	
   India	
   will,	
   if	
   applied	
   to	
   paying	
   attention	
   to	
   local	
   soft	
  
risk	
   scenarios,	
   inevitably	
   yield	
   80	
   %	
   of	
   the	
   success	
   in	
   the	
   Indian	
  
Venture.	
  

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The 20:80 Rule For India

  • 1.   India Project & Soft Risk Advisors to European Companies   ©  LH-­‐Blenheim  Advisors  2011   1       INDIA  INSIGHT  -­‐  2011   Culture-­‐Driven  Soft  Risks,   Tactical  Success  &  the  20/80  Rule     Local   culture   driven   soft   risks   in   India   can,   by   an   effective   and   discreet  RAM  tactical  strategy,  lead  to  a  competitive  advantage  in   India   -­‐   or,   in   failing   to   take   adequate   measures,   to   the   undermining   of   corporate   integrity,   reputation   and   capital   loss,   and  possible  imprisonment.     Considerations  include:     • KEY  DRIVERS  OF  SOFT  RISKS   Two  key  drivers  of  the  threats  to  UK  companies  already  in  India,  or   newly  entering  India  are  (a)  subtle  Manipulation  by  the  Indian  side   (partners,   agents,   senior   employees,   local   advisors,   bureaucrats/   government  officials,  and  (b)  Corruption  and  Bribery.       • NOT  A  LEVEL  PLAYING  FIELD   In  India,  the  Rule  of  Law  can  prove  to  be  a  moving  goal  post,  fuelled   by   the   twin   local   engines   of   manipulation   and   corruption.   Moving   parts   can   range   from   community   and   family   affiliations,   vested   politics,  sheer  opportunism,  habitual  behavior  and  cultural  attitude.     • TACTICAL  SUCCESS  IN  THIS  FIELD   The   risks   and   commercial   disadvantage   can   be   neutralized   by   the   timely   adoption   of   a   RAM   Strategy   attitude:   Recognize   -­‐   Assess   &   Measure     -­‐   Manage   &   Respond.     RAM   the   Soft   Risks.   This   RAM   Strategy  is  not  quite  the  same  as  the  business  Strategic/Project  Plan,   Commercial  Evaluation,  or  Legal/Financial  Due  Diligence  stages  prior   to  and  when  entering  and  establishing  in  India.  Local  culture  driven   Soft   Risks   by   their   very   nature   are   subtle,   hidden,   undisclosed   and   least  expected  by  the  Western  side.      
  • 2.   India Project & Soft Risk Advisors to European Companies   ©  LH-­‐Blenheim  Advisors  2011   2     • LIFE-­‐CYCLE   The  RAM  Strategy  is  a  crucial  effort  by  western  decision-­‐makers  and   risk   officers   to   recognize   and   deal   with   soft   risks   that   arise   continually  throughout  the  life  cycle  of  entering,  establishing,  dealing   and  operating  in  India.  As  long  as  local  partners,  agents,  advisors  and   government   officials   are   to   be   interfaced.     The   RAM   response   can   shift  the  power  balance  away  from  the  local  parties,  allowing  focus   on  real  business.     • COMPETITIVE  ADVANTAGE   Knowledge   of   the   underlying   manipulation   and   actions   of   these   parties  can  convert  the  commercial  disadvantage  into  a  competitive   advantage   by   providing   a   choice   of   responses   to   balance   self-­‐ protection  and  preserving  the  local  relationship  and  opportunity.     • PREVENTION  OF  REPUTATION  AND  CAPITAL  LOSS     An  apparently  healthy  P&L  account  from  the  India  venture  is  a  failure   if  reputation  loss  arises  from  underlying  manipulation  by  local  parties   and  corruption.  Quite  often,  the  local  party  may  count  on,  and  even   arrange   covertly,   the   threat   to   reputation   loss   to   induce   a   shift   of   position.  Trial  of  media  is  an  increasingly  common  tool  in  the  local   arsenal,  and  the  western  side  easily  manipulated,  leading  to  threat  of   a  double  blow  by  the  home  country  media.     • CORPORATE  INTEGRITY  &  THE  UK  BRIBERY  LAW  2011   Manipulation   in   India   leading   to   involvement   in   corruption   and   bribery  by  local  parties  (partners,  agents,  employees,  advisors)  can   potentially   lead   to   strict   liability   in   the   form   of   imprisonment   and   hefty  penalties  for  UK  directors  under  the  new  proposed  UK  Bribery   Act.     • 20/80  INDIA  RULE     Experience   of   doing   business   in   India   and   achieving   local   cultural   insights   will   indicate:     20%   of   the   total   effort   in   entering   and   succeeding   in   India   will,   if   applied   to   paying   attention   to   local   soft   risk   scenarios,   inevitably   yield   80   %   of   the   success   in   the   Indian   Venture.