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FINANCIAL
MANAGEMENT
2012
EDS – Dr Harvey Gill 1012
Welcome
 Financial Analysis of various
corporate exercises with intelligent
use of customized Financial
Models.
 Conducting analysis of financial
information as a basis of business
decisions
 Financial decisions to support
business strategy and control
Harvey Gill 2012
2
EDS
Learning Outcomes
 evaluate the strength of the
corporate finance function within a
listed company as a basis for
assessment of financial strength,
business strategy and compliance
framework
 scan for key financial parameters
and success factors for a business
entity or project
 compute key trends and marginsHarvey Gill 2012
3
EDS
Learning Outcomes
 compute sufficiently comprehensive
ratios to determine the financial
health, project evaluation and
business valuation
 build a financial template for
complete financial analysis
Harvey Gill 2012
4
EDS
Harvey Gill 2012
5
EDS
Harvey Gill 2012EDS
6
STOCKS
ON THE
HO CHI
MINH CITY
STOCK
EXCHANGE
ARE
CURRENTLY
SLIGHTLY
BELOW
THEIR
LEVEL ONE
YEAR
AGO…
PROLOGUE :
What is the profile of a GOOD
BUSINESS
Harvey Gill 2012
7
EDS
 Quick catch up session on latest financial reporting
developments based on IFRS
 Key financial information available from Annual
Reports
 Financing policies and strategies from the Balance Sheet
 Financial Leverage
 Asset Financing
 Asset composition
 Cost structures and margins from the Income Statement
 Cost Margins
 Profit Margins
 Business Profiling
 Linking key financial criteria to related financial
analysis Harvey Gill 2012
8
EDS
Background to FRS
 Reporting prior to Published Standards
 SSAP
 International Accounting Stds - IAS
 Implemented through local accounting bodies
 Vietnam Association of Certified Public Accountants
 Malaysian Institute of Chartered Public Accountants
 The Philippine Institute of Certified Accountants
 Institute of Public Accountants Australia
 NO FORCE OF LAW
 Very localized, international comparison difficult
Harvey Gill 2012
9
EDS
International Financial
Reporting
 Asian standards based largely on IAS from
UK and AAS from Australia
 As of 2012, we are fully converged with
International FRS so that :
 Global investors can better understand Asian
financial reports
 Allow Asian businesses to go global
 Better practices in corporate Asia
 Support the drive to internationalization
Harvey Gill 2012
10
EDS
IMPACT of Convergence
 Business Process – getting qualified staff
 Risk management
 Internal Audit
 External Auditor - cannot contribute notes to
the accounts anymore
 Tax Issues - the gap widens !
 Private Companies normally have a different
Framework
Harvey Gill 2012
11
EDS
IFRS :
Components of Financial
Statements
 Statement of Financial Position (SFP)
 Statement of Comprehensive Income (SCI)
 Statement of Changes in Equity (SCE)
 Statement of Cash Flows (SCF)
 Notes to the Financial Statements
Harvey Gill 2012
12
EDS
 Quick catch up session on latest financial reporting
developments based on IFRS
 Key financial information available from Annual
Reports
 Financing policies and strategies from the Balance Sheet
 Financial Leverage
 Asset Financing
 Asset composition
 Cost structures and margins from the Income Statement
 Cost Margins
 Profit Margins
 Business Profiling
 Linking key financial criteria to related financial
analysis Harvey Gill 2012
13
EDS
Statement of Financial Position
USE IT TO :
 Evaluating capital structure
 Analyzing liquidity, solvency and financial
flexibility
 Basis of computing rates of return
 Subject to the usual accounting info
limitations
Harvey Gill 2012
14
EDS
What is NEW
 Assets classified as Current / Non Current
 SFP totals at TA = TF
 Assets held for Sale (AFS) shown separately
- These are investment in Funds, Derivatives
etc.
 Liabilities directly associated with AFS to be
disclosed
 Bonds available for sale to be shown
separately Harvey Gill 2012
15
EDS
SFP Minimum Disclosure Items
 PPE
 Investment Property
 Intangible Assets
 Financial Assets (except
those categorized
elsewhere)
 Investments (accounted for
under equity method)
 Biological assets
 Inventories
 Trade and other
receivables
 Cash & Cash Equivalents
 Held for Sale Assets
(IFRS 5)
 Trade & other payables
 Provisions
 Financial liabilities (except
those categorized
elsewhere)
 Liabilities or Assets for
Tax (IFRS 112)
 Disposal groups of
Liabilities ‘held for sale’ -
IFRS 5
 Non controlling interest
presented within equity
 Issued capital and
reserves attributable to
parent’s equity holders
Harvey Gill 2012
16
EDS
SCI disclosures
 Unrealized profits from valuation of Investment
properties
 Fair value changes in Investments
 Results from discontinued operations to be
shown separately
 Changes in value of cash flows from hedges
 Income tax for Income Statement and
Comprehensive Income shown separately
 Distinguish Profit for the year and
Comprehensive Income - indicating portion
attributable to shareholders
Harvey Gill 2012
17
EDS
Recognition of Revenue and
Cost
 IFRS Framework calls for recognition of
elements when:
 It is probable that any future economic benefits
associated with the item will flow to or from the
entity; and
 The item as a cost or value that can be
measured reliable
Harvey Gill 2012
18
EDS
ANALYSIS
 Financial Leverage
Total Borrowings / Equity
 Asset Financing
Total Borrowings / Total Assets
 Asset composition
Percentile Analysis of Items
Case Study : Transmile
Harvey Gill 2012
19
EDS
The SCI matches Revenue with
costs incurred to generate that R
SERVICE INDUSTRIES
 Identification of Facilities
 Costing the Facilities
 Classification of the Costs
TRADING / MANUFACTURING INDUSTRIES
 Costs of Creating / Getting Your product
 Costs of ensuring delivery to consumers
 Back-End Costs
 Finance Costs
Harvey Gill 2012
20
EDS
Cost Management is a key
component of Good Financial
Management
COSTS :
 DIRECT COSTS
 INDIRECT COSTS
 FIXED COSTS
 VARIABLE COSTS
Harvey Gill 2012
21
EDS
Financial Performance is
measured at many levels
Per Product or in Total
 GROSS PROFIT = GP
 OPERATING PROFIT = OP
 EARNINGS BEFORE
INTEREST, TAX, DEPRECIATION &
AMORTIZATION = EBITDA
 EARNINGS BEFORE INTEREST & TAX = EBIT
 PROFIT BEFORE TAX = PBT OR EBT
 NET PROFIT AFTER TAX = NET INCOME = NPAT
Harvey Gill 2012
22
EDS
Fixed vs Variable Costs
 Identification of mainly fixed costs
 Variable Costs per service unit
 Breakeven throughput for various airport
services
 Impact of fixed costs on bottom line
 Sensitizing bottom line to business volume
Harvey Gill 2012
23
EDS
Mainly Fixed Costs
 Staff Basic Remuneration
 Contractual Payments
 Fee Payments
 Others from you… ?
Harvey Gill 2012
24
EDS
Mainly Variable Costs
 Costs linked to usage rates
 Costs for outsourced services on per unit basis
 Time rated claims
 Volume related claims
 Others from you…?
Harvey Gill 2012
25
EDS
 Quick catch up session on latest financial reporting
developments based on IFRS
 Key financial information available from Annual
Reports
 Financing policies and strategies from the Balance Sheet
 Financial Leverage
 Asset Financing
 Asset composition
 Cost structures and margins from the Income Statement
 Cost Margins
 Profit Margins
 Business Profiling
 Linking key financial criteria to related financial
analysis Harvey Gill 2012
26
EDS
RATE OF PROFITS -
MARGINS
COSTS OF SALES MARGIN
OPERATING COST MARGIN
OPERATING PROFIT MARGIN
NET PROFIT AFTER TAX MARGIN
INVENTORIES MARGIN
ACCOUNTS RECEIVABLE MARGIN
CASH RESERVES MARGIN
Harvey Gill 2012
27
EDS
RATE OF PROFITS -
RETURNS
OPERATING ROI = OP / TOA
NET ROI = NPAT / TA
SELLING EFFICIENCY = R / TA
Harvey Gill 2012
28
EDS
BUSINESS PROFILING completes
the Financial Analysis
Harvey Gill 2012
29
EDS
ISSUES WITH ANNUAL REPORTS
 Subject to Accounting Standards that are
evolving all the time
 Information getting more complex - therefore
easier to hide critical decision making facts!
 Some level of window dressing remains
prevalent
 Requires comparison with industry & external
economic data to be more meaningful
 Accuracy depends on level of Internal Controls
on Financial Reporting (ICFR) Harvey Gill 2012
30
EDS
WINDOW DRESSING
 Double stating revenues - Transmile
 Depreciation Rates - Enron
 Capitalisation of Expenditure Policies
 Stock write – off and valuation policies
 Debt write off and provision
 Off Balance Sheet Items
 Fictitious Assets
 Stocks with dubious value
 Investment in Shelf companies
 Debtors without credit worthiness
Harvey Gill 2012
31
EDS
BUSINESS PROFILING
DASHBOARD – Part 1 & 2
N CORE AREA Data Items Details
1 BASE LINE 1. Name
2. Industry
3. Sector
4. Key Players
5. Relative Position
2 OPERATING
ENVIRONMENT
1. Principal Activities ; Product /
Service
2. People – Culture - Skill
3. Organisational Structure
4. Regulatory & Quality
Framework
Harvey Gill 2012
32
EDS
Harvey Gill 2012
33
EDS
FMCG - TELCO -
PROPERTY
Harvey Gill 2012
34
EDS
ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS
This usually involves
 Identification of key environmental economic drivers
affecting capital markets and corporate performance
 Scoring the impact of these key drivers by application
of impact scores and expected probabilities
 Environmental Economic Factors can be:
 Social
 Technology Related
 Financial or Economic
 Sustainability, Governance, Compliance related
 Politically related
Harvey Gill 2012
35
EDS
Harvey Gill 2012
36
EDS
EDS
Data from the SCI
 TURNOVER
 Cost Build Up
 Seven Levels of Profits
 GROSS
 OPERATING
 EBITDA
 EBIT
 NPBT
 NPAT = PAT = PATMI
 RETAINED
USED FOR RATIO ANALYSIS
Harvey Gill 2012
37
Operating Costs - DIGI - SCI 2011
Harvey Gill 2012
38
EDS
EDS
Data from the SFP
 Financial Organization
 Assets vs Funding
 Asset Base
 Unexpired Values
 Shareholder Fund
 The changing form of Liabilities
 Hidden Reserves
 Contingent Liabilities
Harvey Gill 2012
39
SETTING UP YOUR EXCEL
TEMPLATE - Income Statement
No. ITEM Current Year Last Year
1 REVENUE
2 COST OF SALES
3 OPERATING
PROFIT
4 NET PROFIT AFTER
TAX
5 INTEREST (Finance
Charges)
6 DIVIDENDS
Harvey Gill 2012
40
EDS
SFP Template
No ITEM Current Year Last Year
1 Total Fixed Operating Assets
2 Total Other Fixed Assets
3 TOTAL FIXED ASSETS
4 TOTAL CURRENT ASSETS
5 TOTAL ASSETS
6 TOTAL OPERATING ASSETS (1 + 4 )
7 Inventories
8 Accounts Receivable
9 Cash & Cash Equivalents
Harvey Gill 2012
41
EDS
SFP Template
No ITEM Current Year Last Year
1 Current Liabilities
2 Long Term Liabilities
3 Deferred & Other Liabilities
4 TOTAL LIABILITIES
5 TOTAL EQUITY
6 Balancing Item = TA - TL –
TE
7 Total Borrowings
Harvey Gill 2012
42
EDS
TARGET SECTORS &
COMPANIES
 Identification of selected listed companies for
creating financial template
 Agreement on format of template for core
financial analysis
 Capturing the information from the financial
statements
Harvey Gill 2012
43
EDS
Harvey Gill 2012
44
EDS
Business Value
 Fair market Value of Net Assets
= (TA @ FMV - TL ) / No. of shares
 Capitalization of Sustainable Earnings
= EPS x Applicable PE Ratio
Harvey Gill 2012
45
EDS
DEFINING SHAREHOLDER
VALUE
 ENHANCING
FUTURE CASH
FLOWS
 REDUCING RISK
 SUSTAINABILITY
Harvey Gill 2012EDS
TWO CORE DRIVERS : THIRD OVERLAY
46
SHAREHOLDER VALUE
DRIVERS
Harvey Gill 2012EDS
 MAXIMISE PROJECTED CASH FLOWS
 MAINTAIN POSITIVE NPV ON PROJECTED
EARNINGS
 REDUCE RISK
47
MAXIMISE FUTURE CASH
FLOWS
Harvey Gill 2012EDS
 MAY BE MEASURED AS FREE CASH
FLOW = CASH FLOW AVAILABLE FROM
OPERATING THE BUSINESS BEFORE
CONSIDERING HOW IT IS FINANCED (I.E.
FREE OF FINANCING CASH FLOWS)
 EBIT – TAX + CHANGES IN WC +
CHANGES IN FIXED ASSET INVESTMENT
 DATA AVAILABLE FROM CASH FLOW
STATEMENT
48
MAINTAIN POSITIVE NPV
Harvey Gill 2012EDS
 FEASIBILITY OF PROJECTED CASH
FLOWS FROM A SPECIFIC CORPORATE
EXERCISE EG:
 ISSUE OF BONDS
 BIDDING FOR PROJECTS
 CAPEX DECISIONS
 TAKE-OVER & MERGERS
49
REDUCE RISK
Harvey Gill 2012EDS
FOUR WAY RISK MANAGEMENT
FRAMEWORK
 AVOID
 TRANSFER
 ELIMINATE
 MANAGE & MITIGATE
50
QUESTIONS & REVIEW
harwindar@gmail.com

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Financial Analysis and Modeling

  • 2. Welcome  Financial Analysis of various corporate exercises with intelligent use of customized Financial Models.  Conducting analysis of financial information as a basis of business decisions  Financial decisions to support business strategy and control Harvey Gill 2012 2 EDS
  • 3. Learning Outcomes  evaluate the strength of the corporate finance function within a listed company as a basis for assessment of financial strength, business strategy and compliance framework  scan for key financial parameters and success factors for a business entity or project  compute key trends and marginsHarvey Gill 2012 3 EDS
  • 4. Learning Outcomes  compute sufficiently comprehensive ratios to determine the financial health, project evaluation and business valuation  build a financial template for complete financial analysis Harvey Gill 2012 4 EDS
  • 6. Harvey Gill 2012EDS 6 STOCKS ON THE HO CHI MINH CITY STOCK EXCHANGE ARE CURRENTLY SLIGHTLY BELOW THEIR LEVEL ONE YEAR AGO…
  • 7. PROLOGUE : What is the profile of a GOOD BUSINESS Harvey Gill 2012 7 EDS
  • 8.  Quick catch up session on latest financial reporting developments based on IFRS  Key financial information available from Annual Reports  Financing policies and strategies from the Balance Sheet  Financial Leverage  Asset Financing  Asset composition  Cost structures and margins from the Income Statement  Cost Margins  Profit Margins  Business Profiling  Linking key financial criteria to related financial analysis Harvey Gill 2012 8 EDS
  • 9. Background to FRS  Reporting prior to Published Standards  SSAP  International Accounting Stds - IAS  Implemented through local accounting bodies  Vietnam Association of Certified Public Accountants  Malaysian Institute of Chartered Public Accountants  The Philippine Institute of Certified Accountants  Institute of Public Accountants Australia  NO FORCE OF LAW  Very localized, international comparison difficult Harvey Gill 2012 9 EDS
  • 10. International Financial Reporting  Asian standards based largely on IAS from UK and AAS from Australia  As of 2012, we are fully converged with International FRS so that :  Global investors can better understand Asian financial reports  Allow Asian businesses to go global  Better practices in corporate Asia  Support the drive to internationalization Harvey Gill 2012 10 EDS
  • 11. IMPACT of Convergence  Business Process – getting qualified staff  Risk management  Internal Audit  External Auditor - cannot contribute notes to the accounts anymore  Tax Issues - the gap widens !  Private Companies normally have a different Framework Harvey Gill 2012 11 EDS
  • 12. IFRS : Components of Financial Statements  Statement of Financial Position (SFP)  Statement of Comprehensive Income (SCI)  Statement of Changes in Equity (SCE)  Statement of Cash Flows (SCF)  Notes to the Financial Statements Harvey Gill 2012 12 EDS
  • 13.  Quick catch up session on latest financial reporting developments based on IFRS  Key financial information available from Annual Reports  Financing policies and strategies from the Balance Sheet  Financial Leverage  Asset Financing  Asset composition  Cost structures and margins from the Income Statement  Cost Margins  Profit Margins  Business Profiling  Linking key financial criteria to related financial analysis Harvey Gill 2012 13 EDS
  • 14. Statement of Financial Position USE IT TO :  Evaluating capital structure  Analyzing liquidity, solvency and financial flexibility  Basis of computing rates of return  Subject to the usual accounting info limitations Harvey Gill 2012 14 EDS
  • 15. What is NEW  Assets classified as Current / Non Current  SFP totals at TA = TF  Assets held for Sale (AFS) shown separately - These are investment in Funds, Derivatives etc.  Liabilities directly associated with AFS to be disclosed  Bonds available for sale to be shown separately Harvey Gill 2012 15 EDS
  • 16. SFP Minimum Disclosure Items  PPE  Investment Property  Intangible Assets  Financial Assets (except those categorized elsewhere)  Investments (accounted for under equity method)  Biological assets  Inventories  Trade and other receivables  Cash & Cash Equivalents  Held for Sale Assets (IFRS 5)  Trade & other payables  Provisions  Financial liabilities (except those categorized elsewhere)  Liabilities or Assets for Tax (IFRS 112)  Disposal groups of Liabilities ‘held for sale’ - IFRS 5  Non controlling interest presented within equity  Issued capital and reserves attributable to parent’s equity holders Harvey Gill 2012 16 EDS
  • 17. SCI disclosures  Unrealized profits from valuation of Investment properties  Fair value changes in Investments  Results from discontinued operations to be shown separately  Changes in value of cash flows from hedges  Income tax for Income Statement and Comprehensive Income shown separately  Distinguish Profit for the year and Comprehensive Income - indicating portion attributable to shareholders Harvey Gill 2012 17 EDS
  • 18. Recognition of Revenue and Cost  IFRS Framework calls for recognition of elements when:  It is probable that any future economic benefits associated with the item will flow to or from the entity; and  The item as a cost or value that can be measured reliable Harvey Gill 2012 18 EDS
  • 19. ANALYSIS  Financial Leverage Total Borrowings / Equity  Asset Financing Total Borrowings / Total Assets  Asset composition Percentile Analysis of Items Case Study : Transmile Harvey Gill 2012 19 EDS
  • 20. The SCI matches Revenue with costs incurred to generate that R SERVICE INDUSTRIES  Identification of Facilities  Costing the Facilities  Classification of the Costs TRADING / MANUFACTURING INDUSTRIES  Costs of Creating / Getting Your product  Costs of ensuring delivery to consumers  Back-End Costs  Finance Costs Harvey Gill 2012 20 EDS
  • 21. Cost Management is a key component of Good Financial Management COSTS :  DIRECT COSTS  INDIRECT COSTS  FIXED COSTS  VARIABLE COSTS Harvey Gill 2012 21 EDS
  • 22. Financial Performance is measured at many levels Per Product or in Total  GROSS PROFIT = GP  OPERATING PROFIT = OP  EARNINGS BEFORE INTEREST, TAX, DEPRECIATION & AMORTIZATION = EBITDA  EARNINGS BEFORE INTEREST & TAX = EBIT  PROFIT BEFORE TAX = PBT OR EBT  NET PROFIT AFTER TAX = NET INCOME = NPAT Harvey Gill 2012 22 EDS
  • 23. Fixed vs Variable Costs  Identification of mainly fixed costs  Variable Costs per service unit  Breakeven throughput for various airport services  Impact of fixed costs on bottom line  Sensitizing bottom line to business volume Harvey Gill 2012 23 EDS
  • 24. Mainly Fixed Costs  Staff Basic Remuneration  Contractual Payments  Fee Payments  Others from you… ? Harvey Gill 2012 24 EDS
  • 25. Mainly Variable Costs  Costs linked to usage rates  Costs for outsourced services on per unit basis  Time rated claims  Volume related claims  Others from you…? Harvey Gill 2012 25 EDS
  • 26.  Quick catch up session on latest financial reporting developments based on IFRS  Key financial information available from Annual Reports  Financing policies and strategies from the Balance Sheet  Financial Leverage  Asset Financing  Asset composition  Cost structures and margins from the Income Statement  Cost Margins  Profit Margins  Business Profiling  Linking key financial criteria to related financial analysis Harvey Gill 2012 26 EDS
  • 27. RATE OF PROFITS - MARGINS COSTS OF SALES MARGIN OPERATING COST MARGIN OPERATING PROFIT MARGIN NET PROFIT AFTER TAX MARGIN INVENTORIES MARGIN ACCOUNTS RECEIVABLE MARGIN CASH RESERVES MARGIN Harvey Gill 2012 27 EDS
  • 28. RATE OF PROFITS - RETURNS OPERATING ROI = OP / TOA NET ROI = NPAT / TA SELLING EFFICIENCY = R / TA Harvey Gill 2012 28 EDS
  • 29. BUSINESS PROFILING completes the Financial Analysis Harvey Gill 2012 29 EDS
  • 30. ISSUES WITH ANNUAL REPORTS  Subject to Accounting Standards that are evolving all the time  Information getting more complex - therefore easier to hide critical decision making facts!  Some level of window dressing remains prevalent  Requires comparison with industry & external economic data to be more meaningful  Accuracy depends on level of Internal Controls on Financial Reporting (ICFR) Harvey Gill 2012 30 EDS
  • 31. WINDOW DRESSING  Double stating revenues - Transmile  Depreciation Rates - Enron  Capitalisation of Expenditure Policies  Stock write – off and valuation policies  Debt write off and provision  Off Balance Sheet Items  Fictitious Assets  Stocks with dubious value  Investment in Shelf companies  Debtors without credit worthiness Harvey Gill 2012 31 EDS
  • 32. BUSINESS PROFILING DASHBOARD – Part 1 & 2 N CORE AREA Data Items Details 1 BASE LINE 1. Name 2. Industry 3. Sector 4. Key Players 5. Relative Position 2 OPERATING ENVIRONMENT 1. Principal Activities ; Product / Service 2. People – Culture - Skill 3. Organisational Structure 4. Regulatory & Quality Framework Harvey Gill 2012 32 EDS
  • 34. FMCG - TELCO - PROPERTY Harvey Gill 2012 34 EDS
  • 35. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS This usually involves  Identification of key environmental economic drivers affecting capital markets and corporate performance  Scoring the impact of these key drivers by application of impact scores and expected probabilities  Environmental Economic Factors can be:  Social  Technology Related  Financial or Economic  Sustainability, Governance, Compliance related  Politically related Harvey Gill 2012 35 EDS
  • 37. EDS Data from the SCI  TURNOVER  Cost Build Up  Seven Levels of Profits  GROSS  OPERATING  EBITDA  EBIT  NPBT  NPAT = PAT = PATMI  RETAINED USED FOR RATIO ANALYSIS Harvey Gill 2012 37
  • 38. Operating Costs - DIGI - SCI 2011 Harvey Gill 2012 38 EDS
  • 39. EDS Data from the SFP  Financial Organization  Assets vs Funding  Asset Base  Unexpired Values  Shareholder Fund  The changing form of Liabilities  Hidden Reserves  Contingent Liabilities Harvey Gill 2012 39
  • 40. SETTING UP YOUR EXCEL TEMPLATE - Income Statement No. ITEM Current Year Last Year 1 REVENUE 2 COST OF SALES 3 OPERATING PROFIT 4 NET PROFIT AFTER TAX 5 INTEREST (Finance Charges) 6 DIVIDENDS Harvey Gill 2012 40 EDS
  • 41. SFP Template No ITEM Current Year Last Year 1 Total Fixed Operating Assets 2 Total Other Fixed Assets 3 TOTAL FIXED ASSETS 4 TOTAL CURRENT ASSETS 5 TOTAL ASSETS 6 TOTAL OPERATING ASSETS (1 + 4 ) 7 Inventories 8 Accounts Receivable 9 Cash & Cash Equivalents Harvey Gill 2012 41 EDS
  • 42. SFP Template No ITEM Current Year Last Year 1 Current Liabilities 2 Long Term Liabilities 3 Deferred & Other Liabilities 4 TOTAL LIABILITIES 5 TOTAL EQUITY 6 Balancing Item = TA - TL – TE 7 Total Borrowings Harvey Gill 2012 42 EDS
  • 43. TARGET SECTORS & COMPANIES  Identification of selected listed companies for creating financial template  Agreement on format of template for core financial analysis  Capturing the information from the financial statements Harvey Gill 2012 43 EDS
  • 45. Business Value  Fair market Value of Net Assets = (TA @ FMV - TL ) / No. of shares  Capitalization of Sustainable Earnings = EPS x Applicable PE Ratio Harvey Gill 2012 45 EDS
  • 46. DEFINING SHAREHOLDER VALUE  ENHANCING FUTURE CASH FLOWS  REDUCING RISK  SUSTAINABILITY Harvey Gill 2012EDS TWO CORE DRIVERS : THIRD OVERLAY 46
  • 47. SHAREHOLDER VALUE DRIVERS Harvey Gill 2012EDS  MAXIMISE PROJECTED CASH FLOWS  MAINTAIN POSITIVE NPV ON PROJECTED EARNINGS  REDUCE RISK 47
  • 48. MAXIMISE FUTURE CASH FLOWS Harvey Gill 2012EDS  MAY BE MEASURED AS FREE CASH FLOW = CASH FLOW AVAILABLE FROM OPERATING THE BUSINESS BEFORE CONSIDERING HOW IT IS FINANCED (I.E. FREE OF FINANCING CASH FLOWS)  EBIT – TAX + CHANGES IN WC + CHANGES IN FIXED ASSET INVESTMENT  DATA AVAILABLE FROM CASH FLOW STATEMENT 48
  • 49. MAINTAIN POSITIVE NPV Harvey Gill 2012EDS  FEASIBILITY OF PROJECTED CASH FLOWS FROM A SPECIFIC CORPORATE EXERCISE EG:  ISSUE OF BONDS  BIDDING FOR PROJECTS  CAPEX DECISIONS  TAKE-OVER & MERGERS 49
  • 50. REDUCE RISK Harvey Gill 2012EDS FOUR WAY RISK MANAGEMENT FRAMEWORK  AVOID  TRANSFER  ELIMINATE  MANAGE & MITIGATE 50