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Cryptocurrencies and Tokens
Value Drivers and Capital Management
23 October 2018
1
1. Overview
2. Market stats
3. Trends and market drivers
4. Token economy value drivers
5. Key features for assessing ICOs/Offerings
6. Tokens vs private equity for startups
7. STO vs Utility tokens
8. Value and capital management for tokens
Contents
2
3
Disclaimer
Today’s discussion is for information purposes only
No advice is given and you need to do your own research
Cryptocurrencies and tokens are volatile and evolving assets
4
Overview - three key areas for discussion
Trends and drivers of
token economies
Due diligence on
Token Offerings
Money Management
for ICO/STOs
Methods of trading
Three broad methods of trading any asset that applies to cryptocurrencies
5
Long-term
fundamentals based
positions
Short-term technical
trading
Arbitrage across
markets and
platforms
We’ll discuss some of the factors
that drive cryptocurrency and
token values
How to Trade Crypto
6
7
Market performance for select cryptocurrencies
Cryptos by largest market cap
8Source: https://coinmarketcap.com
Total market of crypto over the past 12 months
9Source: https://coinmarketcap.com/charts/
Cryptos are still a relatively small market
10
Source:
https://www.marketwatch.com/story/how-big-is-bitcoin-really-this-c
hart-puts-it-all-in-perspective-2017-06-21
11
Market forces and trends
Some conflicting trends in the market at the moment:
➔ Political and economic uncertainty dampening markets
➔ Uncertain regulatory progress and restrictions by some regulators
➔ Liquidation of ETH to Fiat for many completed ICOs
➔ Continued inflow of institutional funds into the crypto space
➔ Uncertainty as to whether crypto has hit bottom
➔ Media reports that target negative news
Cryptocurrency underlying fundamentals
Bitcoin
➔ Largest market cap
➔ Used for value transfer
➔ Extensive mining
➔ Challenges with scale
and volume
12
Each cryptocurrency has very different factors and utility
affecting its potential long-term value
Ethereum
➔ Largest base for token
offerings
➔ Used for ICO value
transfers
➔ Challenges with scale
and volume
➔ Large pool of
developers
EOS
➔ Emerging competitor
to Ethereum
➔ Fast and scalable
➔ Few token offerings
and DApps
➔ Uncertainty around
governance
13
Token economies
There are some elements that can drive
token economy value
Usage and
adoption of
the token
Dividends
and
Buy-back
schemes
Size and
scalability of
the token
Execution of
the business
plan
Liquidity of
the token
Many ICOs have done well since launch
14Source: https://www.icostats.com/roi-since-ico
Performance of 20 Latest ICOs - avg. 110%
15Source: https://www.icostats.com/roi-since-ico
16
Due Diligence on Token Offerings
Review the team and check backgrounds against Linkedin
Read the whitepaper and token usage in detail
Research some competitors - both startups and established
Examine escrow and lockups
Set some criteria for building your portfolio - industries, size of offer etc
17
Only some types of ventures are suited to ICOs
Blockchain
protocol
Fintech Transactional Contracts
Global Mass Market Disruptive
Typically they are suited to ventures that meet these criteria:
Stage of investment for tokens
18
Earlier in an ICO the greater the discounts or bonuses (but may have be
escrowed)
Suggest invest early if you have a long-term view of the venture
Invest later, with no discount escrow if you want to see if the value spikes after
listing (risky and not based on fundamentals of the business)
To invest early you would have to be active and examine ventures at a very
early stage when they appear less polished and less prepared
Token Economy Design
19
➔ Token offering values, number of tokens and funds required
➔ Use of the tokens and their functionality
➔ The majority of tokens are ERC20 tokens
➔ Token economies can be single tier or multi-tier
➔ Determine whether a token is pure utility (e.g. buying a service) or have
functions like a security (e.g. dividends)
➔ Transfers and transactions within the eco-system
20
Invest in startups - via equity or tokens?
➔ Immediate liquidity and ability to exit the
venture
➔ Larger scale funding (ventures less likely
to run out of cash)
➔ Bigger, platform based ventures
➔ True passive position - don’t need to
spend time with minutes and reports
➔ Limited access to board decisions
➔ Transparency can vary greatly
➔ Just as risky as privately funded
ventures
Tokens
➔ Greater negotiating power for the
investor
➔ Extract better terms via a shareholder
agreement
➔ Greater visibility of financials and
decision making
➔ No liquidity for 3-7 years
➔ Highly restrictive on founders
➔ Sub-scale funding
➔ Just as risky as token economies
➔ Hard to get access to deals
Traditional Equity
21
STOs vs Utility tokens
STOs or Security Token Offerings are becoming more popular
but they may have a very different profile to utility tokens
Utility Tokens Security or Asset Backed Tokens
● Broader audience
● Possibly more liquid
● Faster to market (lower compliance
globally)
● No specific returns to investors
● Lower launch costs (less compliance)
● Fewer investors, more held ‘privately’
● Possibly less liquid
● Slower to launch and high compliance
costs
● May provide returns to investors
(depends on performance)
● Unknown whether a better proposition at
this stage
Value and Capital management for ICOs
22
Delivering value for the token economy requires an ongoing
effort to create liquidity for the tokens and also to manage the
capital proceeds received
Liquidate a
portion of crypto
into other crypto
or Fiat as it is
raised
Pay suppliers in
ETH or other
crypto where
possible
Execute the
business plan
and articulate
this to the
market
Get listed on
exchanges (this
can take time)
Research validates exchange listing is a key
indicator of project value
"... 83% of the 694 ICOs that don't report capital and don't list on an
exchange are inactive after 120 days. For the 420 ICOs that raise
some capital but don't list, this figure falls to 52%, and for the 440
ICOs that list on an exchange, only 16% are inactive in the fifth
month."
2
3Source: Boston College team – Hugo Benedetti and Leonard Kostovetsky
24
Exchanges and Market Making
Token liquidity needs to be actively generated through:
➔ Listing on exchanges,
➔ Activities that promote token holder buying and selling.
Listing on various
exchanges
Ongoing business
announcements and
progress
Liquidity programs
and market makers
Market making can be done
through buy and sell programs
to help liquidity for smaller
token transactions
Ongoing comms and
announcements is a must to
help maintain support and user
activity for the token market
25
OTC - Over the Counter Liquidation of Crypto
➔ Funds raised by most ICOs are in ETH (a little in BTC)
➔ Refers to liquidation (exchange) of ETH into Fiat
➔ Usually conducted by a licenced 3rd party
➔ Fees are approx 1%-3% depending on the size of the transactions
➔ ICOs should consider exchange a portion
(e.g. 20%-50% of received ETH into Fiat to fund operations)
➔ Funds are transferred to a bank account
Thank you for attending!
Genson Glier, Token Markets & Distribution
genson@blocktoken.ai
Ivan Mantelli, ICO & Token Advisory
ivan@blocktoken.ai
BlockToken
https://blocktoken.ai
Telegram: @BlockTokenAI
26

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Investing in Cryptocurrencies and Token Offerings - a how to guide

  • 1. Cryptocurrencies and Tokens Value Drivers and Capital Management 23 October 2018 1
  • 2. 1. Overview 2. Market stats 3. Trends and market drivers 4. Token economy value drivers 5. Key features for assessing ICOs/Offerings 6. Tokens vs private equity for startups 7. STO vs Utility tokens 8. Value and capital management for tokens Contents 2
  • 3. 3 Disclaimer Today’s discussion is for information purposes only No advice is given and you need to do your own research Cryptocurrencies and tokens are volatile and evolving assets
  • 4. 4 Overview - three key areas for discussion Trends and drivers of token economies Due diligence on Token Offerings Money Management for ICO/STOs
  • 5. Methods of trading Three broad methods of trading any asset that applies to cryptocurrencies 5 Long-term fundamentals based positions Short-term technical trading Arbitrage across markets and platforms We’ll discuss some of the factors that drive cryptocurrency and token values
  • 6. How to Trade Crypto 6
  • 7. 7 Market performance for select cryptocurrencies
  • 8. Cryptos by largest market cap 8Source: https://coinmarketcap.com
  • 9. Total market of crypto over the past 12 months 9Source: https://coinmarketcap.com/charts/
  • 10. Cryptos are still a relatively small market 10 Source: https://www.marketwatch.com/story/how-big-is-bitcoin-really-this-c hart-puts-it-all-in-perspective-2017-06-21
  • 11. 11 Market forces and trends Some conflicting trends in the market at the moment: ➔ Political and economic uncertainty dampening markets ➔ Uncertain regulatory progress and restrictions by some regulators ➔ Liquidation of ETH to Fiat for many completed ICOs ➔ Continued inflow of institutional funds into the crypto space ➔ Uncertainty as to whether crypto has hit bottom ➔ Media reports that target negative news
  • 12. Cryptocurrency underlying fundamentals Bitcoin ➔ Largest market cap ➔ Used for value transfer ➔ Extensive mining ➔ Challenges with scale and volume 12 Each cryptocurrency has very different factors and utility affecting its potential long-term value Ethereum ➔ Largest base for token offerings ➔ Used for ICO value transfers ➔ Challenges with scale and volume ➔ Large pool of developers EOS ➔ Emerging competitor to Ethereum ➔ Fast and scalable ➔ Few token offerings and DApps ➔ Uncertainty around governance
  • 13. 13 Token economies There are some elements that can drive token economy value Usage and adoption of the token Dividends and Buy-back schemes Size and scalability of the token Execution of the business plan Liquidity of the token
  • 14. Many ICOs have done well since launch 14Source: https://www.icostats.com/roi-since-ico
  • 15. Performance of 20 Latest ICOs - avg. 110% 15Source: https://www.icostats.com/roi-since-ico
  • 16. 16 Due Diligence on Token Offerings Review the team and check backgrounds against Linkedin Read the whitepaper and token usage in detail Research some competitors - both startups and established Examine escrow and lockups Set some criteria for building your portfolio - industries, size of offer etc
  • 17. 17 Only some types of ventures are suited to ICOs Blockchain protocol Fintech Transactional Contracts Global Mass Market Disruptive Typically they are suited to ventures that meet these criteria:
  • 18. Stage of investment for tokens 18 Earlier in an ICO the greater the discounts or bonuses (but may have be escrowed) Suggest invest early if you have a long-term view of the venture Invest later, with no discount escrow if you want to see if the value spikes after listing (risky and not based on fundamentals of the business) To invest early you would have to be active and examine ventures at a very early stage when they appear less polished and less prepared
  • 19. Token Economy Design 19 ➔ Token offering values, number of tokens and funds required ➔ Use of the tokens and their functionality ➔ The majority of tokens are ERC20 tokens ➔ Token economies can be single tier or multi-tier ➔ Determine whether a token is pure utility (e.g. buying a service) or have functions like a security (e.g. dividends) ➔ Transfers and transactions within the eco-system
  • 20. 20 Invest in startups - via equity or tokens? ➔ Immediate liquidity and ability to exit the venture ➔ Larger scale funding (ventures less likely to run out of cash) ➔ Bigger, platform based ventures ➔ True passive position - don’t need to spend time with minutes and reports ➔ Limited access to board decisions ➔ Transparency can vary greatly ➔ Just as risky as privately funded ventures Tokens ➔ Greater negotiating power for the investor ➔ Extract better terms via a shareholder agreement ➔ Greater visibility of financials and decision making ➔ No liquidity for 3-7 years ➔ Highly restrictive on founders ➔ Sub-scale funding ➔ Just as risky as token economies ➔ Hard to get access to deals Traditional Equity
  • 21. 21 STOs vs Utility tokens STOs or Security Token Offerings are becoming more popular but they may have a very different profile to utility tokens Utility Tokens Security or Asset Backed Tokens ● Broader audience ● Possibly more liquid ● Faster to market (lower compliance globally) ● No specific returns to investors ● Lower launch costs (less compliance) ● Fewer investors, more held ‘privately’ ● Possibly less liquid ● Slower to launch and high compliance costs ● May provide returns to investors (depends on performance) ● Unknown whether a better proposition at this stage
  • 22. Value and Capital management for ICOs 22 Delivering value for the token economy requires an ongoing effort to create liquidity for the tokens and also to manage the capital proceeds received Liquidate a portion of crypto into other crypto or Fiat as it is raised Pay suppliers in ETH or other crypto where possible Execute the business plan and articulate this to the market Get listed on exchanges (this can take time)
  • 23. Research validates exchange listing is a key indicator of project value "... 83% of the 694 ICOs that don't report capital and don't list on an exchange are inactive after 120 days. For the 420 ICOs that raise some capital but don't list, this figure falls to 52%, and for the 440 ICOs that list on an exchange, only 16% are inactive in the fifth month." 2 3Source: Boston College team – Hugo Benedetti and Leonard Kostovetsky
  • 24. 24 Exchanges and Market Making Token liquidity needs to be actively generated through: ➔ Listing on exchanges, ➔ Activities that promote token holder buying and selling. Listing on various exchanges Ongoing business announcements and progress Liquidity programs and market makers Market making can be done through buy and sell programs to help liquidity for smaller token transactions Ongoing comms and announcements is a must to help maintain support and user activity for the token market
  • 25. 25 OTC - Over the Counter Liquidation of Crypto ➔ Funds raised by most ICOs are in ETH (a little in BTC) ➔ Refers to liquidation (exchange) of ETH into Fiat ➔ Usually conducted by a licenced 3rd party ➔ Fees are approx 1%-3% depending on the size of the transactions ➔ ICOs should consider exchange a portion (e.g. 20%-50% of received ETH into Fiat to fund operations) ➔ Funds are transferred to a bank account
  • 26. Thank you for attending! Genson Glier, Token Markets & Distribution genson@blocktoken.ai Ivan Mantelli, ICO & Token Advisory ivan@blocktoken.ai BlockToken https://blocktoken.ai Telegram: @BlockTokenAI 26