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Lecture 8
Macroeconomics
Opening
Prayer
Quiz Master
Chapter 11
Unemployment
Culture
Human Beings
Ideas
Physical Human Intellectual Financial
Inventions
Entrepreneurs Free Markets
Innovations
The Capitals of Innovation
trust
health
skills
knowledge
personality
relationships
Human Capital
Unemployment
Inactive Human
Capital
Three Types of
Unemployment
Frictional
Seasonal
Structural
Frictional
Unemployment
Time to find a new
job
Seasonal
Unemployment
Demand changes
with the season
Structural
Unemployment
Too many workers
Change in Demand
What kind of
unemployment
is caused by
smartphones?
99% Reduction in Energy
449 watts to 5 watts
Unemployment Rate
Labor Force
Participation Rate
Rate are Ratios
Labor Force
Adults 16+ who have jobs
or are looking for jobs.
Employed + Unemployed
Employed
paid employees
work in own business
unpaid workers in family business
full-time and part-time
jobs but temporary absence
Unemployed
not employed
available
tried to find a job in the last four weeks
waiting to be recalled from layoff
Not in Labor Force
not employed
full-time student
homemaker
military
retiree
discouraged workers
Discouraged Worker
Discouraged Worker
People who would like
to work but have given
up looking for a job in
the last four weeks
Who Measures?
Department of Labor
Bureau of Labor Statistics
Two Surveys
The Current Population Survey (CPS) "household
survey" Sample of 60,000 households.
The Current Employment Statistics Survey (CES):
"payroll survey" sample of 160,000 businesses and
government agencies that represent 400,000 individual
employees.
Labor Force
Participation Rate
The percent of the Adult
Population that is in the
Labor Force
Population 330
Adults 254
Labor Force 160
Employed 152
Under 16 76
Not in Labor Force 94
8 Unemployed
Employed 152 8
Unemployed
Not in Labor Force 94 Under 16 76
Labor Force
Participation Rate
=
Labor Force
÷
Adults
Unemployment Rate =
Unemployed
÷
Labor Force
Rates
3,000 people live in Pooleynesia. There are
250 people under 16. 450 people are not
in the labor force. 230 people are
unemployed.
1. What is the Labor Force Participation
Rate?
2. What is the Unemployment Rate?
Calculating Unemployment Rates
Employed
+ Unemployed
= Labor Force
# %
100%
The unemployment rate is 10% and there
are 4,500 people employed. What is the
number unemployed?
10%
90%
4,500
5,000
500
4,500 ÷ .90 = 5,000
Calculating Unemployment Rates
Employed
+ Unemployed
= Labor Force
# %
100%
The unemployment rate is 5% and there are
2,500 people unemployed. What is the
number employed?
5%
95%
47,500
50,000
2,500
2,500 ÷ .05 = 50,000
Calculating Unemployment Rates
Employed
+ Unemployed
= Labor Force
# %
100%
The unemployment rate is 3% and there are 19,400
people employed. There are 30,000 adults. What is
labor force participation rate?
3%
97%
19,400
20,000
600
19,400 ÷ .97 = 20,000
20,000 ÷ 30,000 = .67 or 67%
Unemployment
Who measures it?
How is it measured?
1945 1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
Year
0
N
1945 1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
Year
0
20
40
60
Share
of
the
civilian
labor
force
(%)
Hover over chart to
Adjust year range
data display.
Notes: Includes perso
civilian noninstitution
that are employed or
looking for work. Bas
persons 16 years of a
The comparability of
data has been affecte
times by methodolog
changes in the Curre
Survey.
Source: 1948-2015 a
averages, Current Po
Survey, U.S. Bureau
Statistics
Graph by the Women
Men
Women
Problems
Overstate - Above actual
Cash workers
Understate - Below actual
Discouraged workers
Frédéric Bastiat
(1801-1850)
There is only one difference between a
bad economist and a good one: the bad
economist con
fi
nes himself to the
visible effect; the good economist takes
into account both the effect than can
be seen and those effects than must be
foreseen.
What is Seen andWhat in Not Seen,
1850
Natural Rate of
Unemployment
The normal rate of
unemployment around
which the unemployment
rate fluctuates
Cyclical
Unemployment
The deviation of
unemployment from its
natural rate
Structural
Unemployment
Creative
Destruction
10% a year
Unemployment
Insurance
Government program to
provide income when
workers become
unemployed
Unemployment
Insurance
Unintended Consequence
Moral Hazard
May prolong unemployment
Minimum Wage Laws
Government sets a
minimum wage that can
legally be paid
Price Floor
$0
$5
$10
$15
$20
0 10 20 30 40 50 60
Supply
Demand
Wage
Workers
Equilibrium
Wage
30 workers
30 jobs
no
unemployment
Minimum Wage
40 workers
20 jobs
20 unemployed
workers
Minimum Wage
20 workers
get a raise
10 workers
lose job
10 new
unemployed
workers
Minimum
Wage
Labor Union
Worker association that
negotiates with
employers over wages,
benefits, and conditions

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