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GOLD
TRADE
Trade, Price &
Strategies
Points To Be Discussed
Today:-
Why Trade Gold?
Factors Influences The Price Of
Gold.
Gold Trading Strategies
Gold News
Gold Price & Chart
Why Trade Gold
 Gold has long been valued by societies
all over the world for its inherent lustre
and malleability.
 Today, traders treasure gold (XAU/USD)
because it is often viewed as the ultimate
safe-haven asset, usually weathering
market turbulence and retaining its value
in periods of uncertainty.
 Traders also use gold to hedge against
inflation and diversify their investments
because gold often reacts differently to
market stimuli than other assets.
Factors Influence The Price Of
Gold
Interest rates:
 Historically, one of the most reliable
determinants of gold’s price has been
the level of real interest rates, or the
interest rate less inflation.
The U.S. dollar:
 One of the biggest points of
contention for gold traders is on the
true correlation between gold and the
U.S. dollar.
Gold Trading Strategies
 As with any trading instrument, there
is no single “best” way to trade gold.
 Many traders from other markets
have found that the technical trading
strategies they employ on other
instruments can easily be adapted to
the gold market, especially given
gold’s tendency to form durable
trends.
Short Term Strategy
 For short-term traders, a classic way to try to
profit from the frequent trends in gold is to use a
moving average crossover strategy.
 In this strategy, a trader would look to buy gold if
a shorter-term moving average crossed above a
longer-term moving average and sell when the
shorter-term moving average crosses below the
longer-term average.
 A 10/60 moving average crossover on the 1hr
chart can be a strong combination for shorter-
term traders. Historically, these settings have
allowed traders to successfully trade the middle
portion of a trend, though there is no guarantee
of future performance.
Chart Showing Strategies
Applied In Gold Market
Long Term Strategy
 Longer-term position traders and investors
can focus more on the fundamentals that
drive gold’s price, such as the level of real
interest rates.
 The chart below shows the relationship
between gold prices and the yield on TIPS, a
proxy for real interest rates in the United
States.
 The inverse correlation is obvious, but it looks
like gold’s rally accelerated as real yields
dropped below 1% in early 2009.
 Not surprisingly, a longer-term look at the
relationship would reveal that gold prices
generally fell in the late 1990s, which were
characterized by real yields above the 1%
Gold Price vs. TIPS Yeild Since
2008
Gold News & Analysis
 Falling Ahead of 30-Year Treasury
Auction, Resistance Reinforced.
 Gold prices declined as the US Dollar,
Treasury yields rose.
 Traders eyed weak demand at US
government bond auctions
 Eyes on 30-year rate auction,
XAU/USD pressured by SMA.
Gold Price & Chart
GOLD TRADE
THANKS FOR LISTENING
GOLD TRADE

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April 14 l Session 1 l GBIH

  • 2. Points To Be Discussed Today:- Why Trade Gold? Factors Influences The Price Of Gold. Gold Trading Strategies Gold News Gold Price & Chart
  • 3. Why Trade Gold  Gold has long been valued by societies all over the world for its inherent lustre and malleability.  Today, traders treasure gold (XAU/USD) because it is often viewed as the ultimate safe-haven asset, usually weathering market turbulence and retaining its value in periods of uncertainty.  Traders also use gold to hedge against inflation and diversify their investments because gold often reacts differently to market stimuli than other assets.
  • 4. Factors Influence The Price Of Gold Interest rates:  Historically, one of the most reliable determinants of gold’s price has been the level of real interest rates, or the interest rate less inflation. The U.S. dollar:  One of the biggest points of contention for gold traders is on the true correlation between gold and the U.S. dollar.
  • 5. Gold Trading Strategies  As with any trading instrument, there is no single “best” way to trade gold.  Many traders from other markets have found that the technical trading strategies they employ on other instruments can easily be adapted to the gold market, especially given gold’s tendency to form durable trends.
  • 6. Short Term Strategy  For short-term traders, a classic way to try to profit from the frequent trends in gold is to use a moving average crossover strategy.  In this strategy, a trader would look to buy gold if a shorter-term moving average crossed above a longer-term moving average and sell when the shorter-term moving average crosses below the longer-term average.  A 10/60 moving average crossover on the 1hr chart can be a strong combination for shorter- term traders. Historically, these settings have allowed traders to successfully trade the middle portion of a trend, though there is no guarantee of future performance.
  • 8. Long Term Strategy  Longer-term position traders and investors can focus more on the fundamentals that drive gold’s price, such as the level of real interest rates.  The chart below shows the relationship between gold prices and the yield on TIPS, a proxy for real interest rates in the United States.  The inverse correlation is obvious, but it looks like gold’s rally accelerated as real yields dropped below 1% in early 2009.  Not surprisingly, a longer-term look at the relationship would reveal that gold prices generally fell in the late 1990s, which were characterized by real yields above the 1%
  • 9. Gold Price vs. TIPS Yeild Since 2008
  • 10. Gold News & Analysis  Falling Ahead of 30-Year Treasury Auction, Resistance Reinforced.  Gold prices declined as the US Dollar, Treasury yields rose.  Traders eyed weak demand at US government bond auctions  Eyes on 30-year rate auction, XAU/USD pressured by SMA.
  • 11. Gold Price & Chart