9. • Average weekly
hours,manufacturing
• Index of supplier
deliveries
• Money supply
• Stock price
• Interest rate spread
Leading
• Employees on non
agricultural payrolls
• Inustrial Production
• Manufacturing and
trade sales
Coincident
• Average duration of
unemployment
• Inventory to sales ratio
• Labor cost per unit
• Commercial and
industrial loans
• Consumer price index
Lagging
Cyclical Indicator Approach
10. 0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 year 4 Year 5 year 6
Business Cycle Indicator Series
Leading Coincident Lagging
11. Limitations of Cyclical Indicator Approach
False
signals
Currency of
the data
and
Revision
Economic
sectors not
represented
12. Analytical Measures of performance
Diffusion Index
◉ Rates of changes
◉ Comparison with previous cycles
13. HELLO!
I am Fahim Hasanul Islam (1503)
WE are here because we love to give presentations.
You can find me at @frsclicks@gmail.com
28. HELLO!
I am Robiul Islam (1509)
WE are here because we love to give presentations.
You can find me at @srobiulislam1509@gmail.com
29. Dividend Discount Models vs. Free Cash Flow Models
◉ FCFE = Net Income
+ Depreciation
– Capital Expenditures
– Increase in NC Working Capital
+ New Debt Issued
– Debt Paid
40. Computation
Investors must decide if they agree with the
prevailing price earning ratio based on how it
compare to the P/E ratio for the aggregate market,
for the farms industry and similar firms and stocks .