Presented by Sheila Watson at TransportDay 2015, at COP21:
Learn more: globalfueleconomy.org
About the session: The Role of Fuel Efficiency for transport modes in achieving the 1.5º/2ºC Objective
Fuel efficiency measures in transport play and will still play a key role in the future in order to meet whatever agreement will be reached in Paris the next month. This approach has proven it can deliver CO2 emissions reductions in the transport sector – which is one of the key emitters at global level – and it is applicable in a crossmode way.
There is currently an underestimation of the potential that fuel efficiency measures can play in delivering CO2 emissions reductions. Technology and science is well developed and continuously improving on this field, however policy/political developments on this direction do not seem to take off – in large part due to pressure from industry and other groups with different interests.
Policy makers, industry, civil society and academics must work together in the development of fuel efficiency standards, making sure at the same time that enforcement is well defined and established. This will result in CO2 emissions reductions contributing to the UNFCCC objective - investments in technology and improvements of regulations in place.
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The Role of Fuel Efficiency for transport modes in achieving the 1.5º/2ºC Objective
1. Transport Day – Fuel Efficiency
side event
Sheila Watson
Executive Secretary
GFEI
Paris Dec 6th 2015
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7. Country by country progress on fuel economy
Status Region
Projected share
of global LDV
sales in 2030
Reduction in new
LDV CO2 rates
with adopted
standards
2005-2030
China 29% 34%
India 16% 26%
US 13% 52%
EU 12% 39%
Brazil 3% 13%
Japan 2% 27%
Mexico 2% 14%
Canada 1% 49%
South Korea 1% 48%
Saudi Arabia 1% 15%
Total 80% 38%
No efficiency
standards Total 20% 4%
100% 27%
Adopted LDV
efficiency
standards
Global sales-weighted average
Source: Fuel Economy State of the World 2016, GFEI
Most OECD markets as well as major non-oecd markets such as Brazil, China and India have LDV fuel economy policies in place – and as the slope shows they are projected forwards and tightening over time.,
And as this table shows this means that almost 80% of LDVs sold in 2030 will be regulated, and if the paths in the previous graph are followed, they will have an average of 27% lower specific fuel consumption (LGE/100km) compared to 2005
But whilst some eg The US, Canada and Sth Korea will have pretty much achieved the GFEI target on average we will only be half way. So these markets need to pick up the pace, and of course the other 20% need to get going
This graph – which you really need to look at in the report whilst wearing strong glasses - is in some respects an extension of the previous one produced by UNEP, and adding in other countries with no policies, no long term targets and little or no FE improvement (in fact some are worsening)
It also shows that for countries like Mauritius when policies are put in place the fuel economy improves.
Finally it exemplifies the role of imports from regulated markets – the solid lines near the bottom of the spread are countries like Tunisia and Morocco
- the levels are already near the 4l/100km average.
This is one reason why we are working so hard to get new countries working with GFEI
Today we are announcing 40 new countries as a result of this campaign including
28 Malaysia 29 Bangladesh 30 Kazakhstan 31 Mali 32 Nigeria 33 Togo 34 Tanzania 35 Rwanda 36 Bolivia 37 Argentina 38 Ecuador 39 Ukraine 40 Jordan 41 Colombia 42 Djibouti 43 Dominican Republic 44 Guatemala 45 Moldova 46 Pakistan 47 Panama 48 St. Lucia 49 UAE 50 Zambia 512 Ghana 52 Malawi 53 Zimbabwe 54 Honduras 55 Nicaragua 56 El Salvador 57 Botswana