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NORTH 
EAST ASIA 
ERICSSON MOBILITY REPORT APPENDIX 
NOVEMBER 2014
Market overview 
Key figures: North East Asia 
2 ERICSSON MOBILITY REPORT NORTH EAST ASIA NOVEMBER 2014 
Top three data services used by mobile phone users 
(Percentage of daily users) 
52% 
59% 
Instant messaging Streaming music 
29% 
62% 
Emails Instant messaging 
54% 
With a population of around 1.6 billion, North East Asia 
represents 22 percent of the world’s population. Japan 
and China are currently the second and third largest 
consumer markets in the world after the US. 
The uptake in data-centric mobile devices has led to 
rapid data growth in mobile networks. Fast adoption of 
locally developed social network and instant messaging 
applications has emerged as a key trend among 
consumers in North East Asia. 
Mainland China’s extensive and rapid ongoing deployment 
of LTE means that the number of subscriptions for the 
technology is forecast to exceed 1.2 billion by the end 
of 2020. It will therefore represent more than one third 
of the total global subscriptions for LTE. By the end 
of 2014, the average monthly data usage per active 
subscription, including all technologies, will be around 
300 MB in China. Total mobile data traffic in China will 
increase over 14 times between 2014 and 2020, compared 
to around 8 times globally. To put this increase into 
perspective, the total LTE traffic in China in 2020 will be 
approximately equal to total global mobile traffic in 2014. 
Studies into how the global standard of 5G can support 
the growth in traffic and meet the increased demand for 
a better user experience have been established in Japan, 
South Korea and China. Developers of this technology are 
aiming to reduce latency, support significant increases 
in data volumes, and improve energy efficiency and 
battery life. 
Consumer trends 
Consumer behaviors in North East Asia are changing 
rapidly, enabled by mobile devices and broadband 
connections. However, each market displays its own 
distinct trends, due to varying levels of development 
maturity and cultural differences. 
Out of the countries studied globally, China has the most 
users who regard new technology as exciting. 
In Japan, there is rapid smartphone uptake among 
young people. The Japanese are practical when dealing 
with new technology, and it is mainly viewed as a tool 
that needs to be mastered in order to facilitate their 
jobs and lives. 
Smartphone ownership and wide internet coverage 
enables South Koreans to instantly access the 
internet anywhere and at any time. 
From voice to data 
Services that once required a computer can now 
be accessed through mobile phones, a trend that is 
steadily increasing. Voice calls and SMS are no longer 
the dominant services, especially for smartphone 
users, more of whom are making regular use of 
data-based applications. 
Urban China 
www 
Browsing 
Japan 
www 
Browsing 
60% 
68% 
South Korea 
www 
80% 
71% 
Browsing Instant messaging Emails 
M 
Mobile subscriptions (million) 
Smartphone subscriptions (million) 
Total mobile traffic (PB/month) 
2014 
1,575 
1,030 
850 
2020 
2,100 
1,800 
7,000 
CAGR 2014–2020 
5% 
10% 
40% 
IM 
IM 
IM 
Source: Ericsson ConsumerLab (2014) 
Base: Mobile phone users
NORTH EAST ASIA NOVEMBER 2014 ERICSSON MOBILITY REPORT 3 
“It’s important to be able to access the 
internet wherever I am.” 
Japan Urban China South Korea 
Usage of data services continues to grow rapidly 
in urban China. Instant messaging (WeChat, QQ) is 
the most popular over-the-top service and is used 
by nearly 60 percent of smartphone owners in cities 
on daily basis. This increasing popularity of mobile 
instant messaging poses a threat to the traditional 
SMS service.1 Out of those who use both mobile instant 
messaging and SMS, 35 percent claim that they are 
sending fewer text messages than before they had their 
messenger app. Price and user-friendly experiences 
are the primary drivers behind the transition from 
SMS to instant messaging applications.2 
Mobile users in Japan are more data-oriented than 
voice-oriented. The most popular services used on a 
daily basis on mobile phones are web browsing and 
email. Only 19 percent regularly make or receive voice 
calls on their device, a decrease from 30 percent in 
2013. 29 percent of mobile users in Japan think they 
would be fine without using traditional voice calls or 
SMS if they could access internet services any time.2 
South Koreans, irrespective of where they are, want 
to have access to information at any time. Around 
42 percent of consumers in South Korea rated the 
need for high accessibility as most important, 
followed by the need to be updated when they want 
at 19 percent. Access to mobile data has an impact 
on voice behavior: 47 percent of smartphone users 
make internet calls at least once a week, and 37 
percent of those smartphone users state that they 
make traditional phone calls less than they did 
before internet calls were available. Mobile users 
who plan to upgrade their mobile connection 
stated that they would access more messaging, 
payment and banking services after upgrading.1 
Media behaviors 
Watching TV and video is now a multi-screen activity 
– consumers choose their devices based on a range 
of situational factors, and may switch screens while 
watching. People also watch more on their own and 
in different places and at different times. This trend is 
especially distinctive in markets like South Korea 
where 3G/4G data services are prevalent. 
Mobile devices that allow for the consumption of 
video on the go and new services enabling seamless 
access to video content have given rise to another new 
behavior called place-shifting. This means consumers 
start watching a video on one device, then continue 
watching it on another in a new place. More than 
one-third of consumers in South Korea place-shift 
on a weekly basis.1 
Subscription-based Video on Demand (S-VOD) services 
have become the go-to choice for continuous viewing 
habits and routines. Traditional broadcast and Pay TV 
channels are seen by many as ‘content repositories’ 
from which consumers can cherry-pick individual 
pieces of content for later viewing. Binge viewing – 
watching multiple TV series’ episodes back-to-back 
– is a trend that has taken off thanks to the introduction 
of S-VOD. Nearly half of South Korean users prefer all 
TV episodes to be released at once.1 
TV and media content is a core element in consumers’ 
ideal TV solution. As video quality improves, so do 
consumers’ quality expectations. 58 percent of 
Taiwanese consumers state that HD quality is a vital 
aspect of their optimal TV or video experience, and 
43 percent of consumers in Taiwan are willing to pay 
for 4K/Ultra High Definition (UHD) content.1 
Agree Neutral Disagree 
24% 
10% 
37% 
16% 
42% 
5% 
66% 
47% 53% 
Source: Ericsson ConsumerLab (2014) 
>1/3 
of consumers in South Korea 
place-shift on a weekly basis 
1 Ericsson ConsumerLab (2014) 
2 Ericsson ConsumerLab (2013)
Mobile subscriptions 
Mobile subscriptions in North East Asia will exceed 
1.5 billion in 2014, representing approximately 
22 percent of global mobile subscriptions. It is 
predicted that the region’s mobile subscriptions will grow 
at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 5 percent 
between 2014 and 2020, leading to over 2 billion mobile 
subscriptions by the end of 2020. This is primarily due 
to the increase in mobile subscriptions in China. 
Around 300 million smartphone subscriptions will be 
added to mobile networks in North East Asia during 
2014 – an increase of around 40 percent. By the 
end of 2014, the total number is expected to reach 
around 1,030 million, representing almost 40 percent 
of global smartphone subscriptions. Mainland 
China’s smartphone market is the world’s largest 
in terms of volume, and is more than twice the size 
of the US market, which is the second largest. 
By the end of 2014, it is estimated that smartphone 
subscription penetration in North East Asia will reach 
around 65 percent. By the end of 2020, smartphone 
subscriptions are expected to be around 1.8 billion 
– more than the total population in the region. 
The fast adoption of smartphones among consumers in 
North East Asia has had a positive effect on data traffic 
and revenues, as well as average revenue per user (ARPU). 
2.1 billion 
mobile subscriptions 
by the end of 2020 
Mobile subscriptions, North East Asia (million) LTE subscriptions, North East Asia (million) 
2,000 
1,500 
1,000 
4 ERICSSON MOBILITY REPORT NORTH EAST ASIA NOVEMBER 2014 
In Japan, the adoption of smartphones has been slower 
than in many other developed markets, due to the fact 
that advanced feature phones with internet connectivity 
and apps were already available on the market. However, 
Japan’s early access to mobile phones with internet 
connectivity has resulted in data representing a high 
share of operator revenue for many years now. 
LTE networks were deployed widely across South Korea, 
Japan and Hong Kong during 2012. By the end 
of 2014, LTE subscription penetration will reach 
50 percent in Japan and close to 80 percent in South 
Korea – the highest in the world. It is estimated that 
Japan and Korea will represent 25 percent of the world’s 
LTE subscriptions at the end of 2014. Mainland China 
has started to roll out LTE and will experience a rapid 
shift from 2G/3G to 4G, adding around 1.2 billion LTE 
subscriptions by the end of 2020. Total LTE subscriptions 
in North East Asia are forecast to be close to 1.5 billion. 
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 
2,500 
500 
0 
Mainland China 
Japan 
South Korea 
Taiwan, Hong Kong and Macau 
1,600 
1,400 
1,200 
1,000 
800 
600 
400 
200 
0 
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 
Mobile subscriptions do not include M2M subscriptions
Population coverage 
Population coverage, North East Asia 
~85% >85% 
~95% >95% >95% 
~25% 
LTE 
LTE 
WCDMA/HSPA 
WCDMA/HSPA 
GSM/EDGE 
GSM/EDGE 
2013 2020 2013 2020 2013 2020 
>95% 
of the population 
will be covered 
by LTE in 2020 
NORTH EAST ASIA NOVEMBER 2014 ERICSSON MOBILITY REPORT 5 
Mobile network coverage in the region is constantly 
increasing as more base stations are deployed. 
Population coverage is the proportion of the population 
in an area that has sufficient signal to connect to a mobile 
network. It should be noted that the ability to utilize the 
technology is subject to other factors, such as access to 
devices and subscriptions. 
GSM/EDGE has not been deployed in Japan and South 
Korea. As a result, GSM/EDGE population coverage in 
the region is lower than the projected global average 
in 2020. WCDMA/HSPA had a population coverage of 
around 95 percent in the region during 2013, significantly 
higher than the global average of around 65 percent. 
Japan and South Korea were early adopters of LTE and 
the population coverage is already close to 100 percent 
in those countries. LTE build-out is continuing to increase 
performance as well as cover less populated areas. 
Operators in Mainland China and Taiwan have also started 
commercial LTE deployments. In 2020 it is predicted that 
LTE will cover 95 percent of the population in the region. 
The launch of LTE in Mainland China will make North East 
Asia the largest market for the technology in the world. 
Japan and South Korea have no GSM/EDGE deployments and therefore the regional average population coverage is lower than for China.
Mobile traffic 
Mobile traffic, North East Asia (monthly ExaBytes) 
7 
6 
5 
4 
3 
2 
Voice 9x 
Data 
growth in mobile 
data traffic between 
2014 and 2020 
6 ERICSSON MOBILITY REPORT NORTH EAST ASIA NOVEMBER 2014 
App coverage 
The coverage area for any given app is relative 
to the level of network performance needed for 
it to function. App coverage describes the area 
with a high probability of experiencing sufficient 
network performance to run a given app, e.g. 
video streaming or web browsing. Smart devices 
and apps continually evolve to encompass newer 
capabilities, and therefore require more network 
resources to provide a good user experience. 
App coverage is an integrated view of mobile 
broadband network coverage, capacity and quality. 
Data consumption per subscription differs across the 
region. The lowest average is measured in Mainland 
China, however it is increasing with the introduction of 
LTE. The average usage per subscription in Japan is 
around 1.4 GB per month, while the average for LTE users 
in South Korea is above 3 GB per month. Mobile data 
traffic in the region is expected to have a CAGR of nearly 
40 percent between 2014 and 2020 due to significant 
increases in usage per subscription, driven by the rapid 
influx of smart devices. The growth rate in mobile data 
traffic is comparable to the global forecast. 
1 
0 
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 
Network 
performance 
Smartphone 
app 
User 
experience
Median (50% probability) downlink throughput (Kbps) Cell-edge (90% probability) downlink throughput (Kbps) 
NORTH EAST ASIA NOVEMBER 2014 ERICSSON MOBILITY REPORT 7 
Network performance 
The rapid uptake of smart devices, including both 
smartphones and tablets, has fueled consumer demand 
for a better user experience. In response, operators are 
now deploying 4G/LTE coverage and capacity. Japan 
and South Korea have been at the forefront of the global 
LTE roll out, and massive projects for the technology are 
currently underway in Mainland China. 
Measurements from Speedtest.net have been analyzed 
to better understand the real user experience. A user 
can expect the median rate or higher with a 50 percent 
probability, and the cell-edge rate or higher with a 
90 percent probability, throughout the network coverage 
area. Due to continued LTE deployments, South Korea and 
Japan had median downlink throughput speeds that were 
significantly higher than the global median in Q2 2014 – 
9 Mbps and 7 Mbps, respectively. 
However, a different user experience is observed in 
the cell edge comparison. In Japan, users experience 
downlink throughput speeds that are a third lower than 
the global average. This could be because in Japan if a 
subscriber exceeds his data plan’s limit, the downlink 
throughput is throttled. In Taiwan, cell-edge speed is 
ahead of other markets. One of the factors contributing to 
this could be the non-throttling policy imposed on service 
providers by regulators. 
Chinese operators commercially launched LTE networks 
between Q4 2013 and Q1 2014. LTE traffic is just starting to 
pick up, and therefore typical download throughput speed 
per user is higher compared to users in other more mature 
LTE markets with higher traffic load in the networks. This 
explains the upturn for China in Q4 2013 in the graphs. 
To benchmark median and cell-edge performance, more 
conclusive data is needed. Therefore, only data up to Q4 
2013 for China is shown in the graphs. Overall, North East 
Asia markets are around 40 percent higher in downlink 
throughput compared to the average downlink throughput 
measured in the top 50 global markets. 
In most of the countries in the region, mobile broadband 
plays a very important role wherever Wi-Fi is not available. 
Regardless of the availability of Wi-Fi access points, public 
reliance on it is decreasing, especially for those who use 
smartphones for spontaneous purposes. This creates a 
potential opportunity for LTE operators in countries such 
as South Korea, where more LTE users prefer accessing 
mobile networks on public transport or when outside in 
public places. 
Consumers are becoming more data-centric and have high 
expectations for network performance. In addition, they 
are becoming less tolerant towards poor performance and 
will churn if their expectations are not met. The majority of 
LTE users in South Korea state that having a fast network 
is more important than the price plan when selecting an 
operator. Most LTE users in Japan claim that they would 
change their subscriptions for better 3G/4G network 
coverage and speed.3 
South Korea 
Japan 
Hong Kong 
Taiwan 
Mainland China 
Global, top 50 
12,000 
10,000 
8,000 
6,000 
4,000 
2,000 
Source: Ericsson analysis of data from Speedtest.net provided by Ookla (2014) 
3 Ericsson ConsumerLab (2013) 
1,400 
1,200 
1,000 
800 
600 
400 
200 
0 0 
Q1 
2012 
Q1 
2012 
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 
2013 
Q1 
2013 
Q2 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 
2014 
Q3 Q4 Q1 
2014 
Q2 Q2
EAB-14:061079 Uen, Revision B 
© Ericsson AB 2014 
Ericsson is the driving force behind the Networked Society – a world leader in 
communications technology and services. Our long-term relationships with every 
major telecom operator in the world allow people, businesses and societies to fulfill 
their potential and create a more sustainable future. 
Our services, software and infrastructure – especially in mobility, broadband and the 
cloud – are enabling the telecom industry and other sectors to do better business, 
increase efficiency, improve the user experience and capture new opportunities. 
With more than 110,000 professionals and customers in 180 countries, we combine 
global scale with technology and services leadership. We support networks that 
connect more than 2.5 billion subscribers. Forty percent of the world’s mobile traffic 
is carried over Ericsson networks. And our investments in research and development 
ensure that our solutions – and our customers – stay in front. 
Founded in 1876, Ericsson has its headquarters in Stockholm, Sweden. Net sales in 
2013 were SEK 227.4 billion (USD 34.9 billion). Ericsson is listed on NASDAQ OMX 
stock exchange in Stockholm and the NASDAQ in New York. 
The contents of this document are based on a number of 
theoretical dependencies and assumptions and Ericsson shall 
not be bound by or liable for any statement, representation, 
undertaking or omission made in this document. Furthermore 
Ericsson may at any time change the contents of this document 
at its sole discretion and shall not be liable for the consequences 
of such changes. 
The content of this document is subject to revision without 
notice due to continued progress in methodology, design and 
manufacturing. Ericsson shall have no liability for any error or 
damage of any kind resulting from the use of this document. 
Ericsson 
SE-126 25 Stockholm, Sweden 
Telephone +46 10 719 00 00 
www.ericsson.com

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Ericsson Mobility Report November 2014: Regional Appendices - North East Asia

  • 1. NORTH EAST ASIA ERICSSON MOBILITY REPORT APPENDIX NOVEMBER 2014
  • 2. Market overview Key figures: North East Asia 2 ERICSSON MOBILITY REPORT NORTH EAST ASIA NOVEMBER 2014 Top three data services used by mobile phone users (Percentage of daily users) 52% 59% Instant messaging Streaming music 29% 62% Emails Instant messaging 54% With a population of around 1.6 billion, North East Asia represents 22 percent of the world’s population. Japan and China are currently the second and third largest consumer markets in the world after the US. The uptake in data-centric mobile devices has led to rapid data growth in mobile networks. Fast adoption of locally developed social network and instant messaging applications has emerged as a key trend among consumers in North East Asia. Mainland China’s extensive and rapid ongoing deployment of LTE means that the number of subscriptions for the technology is forecast to exceed 1.2 billion by the end of 2020. It will therefore represent more than one third of the total global subscriptions for LTE. By the end of 2014, the average monthly data usage per active subscription, including all technologies, will be around 300 MB in China. Total mobile data traffic in China will increase over 14 times between 2014 and 2020, compared to around 8 times globally. To put this increase into perspective, the total LTE traffic in China in 2020 will be approximately equal to total global mobile traffic in 2014. Studies into how the global standard of 5G can support the growth in traffic and meet the increased demand for a better user experience have been established in Japan, South Korea and China. Developers of this technology are aiming to reduce latency, support significant increases in data volumes, and improve energy efficiency and battery life. Consumer trends Consumer behaviors in North East Asia are changing rapidly, enabled by mobile devices and broadband connections. However, each market displays its own distinct trends, due to varying levels of development maturity and cultural differences. Out of the countries studied globally, China has the most users who regard new technology as exciting. In Japan, there is rapid smartphone uptake among young people. The Japanese are practical when dealing with new technology, and it is mainly viewed as a tool that needs to be mastered in order to facilitate their jobs and lives. Smartphone ownership and wide internet coverage enables South Koreans to instantly access the internet anywhere and at any time. From voice to data Services that once required a computer can now be accessed through mobile phones, a trend that is steadily increasing. Voice calls and SMS are no longer the dominant services, especially for smartphone users, more of whom are making regular use of data-based applications. Urban China www Browsing Japan www Browsing 60% 68% South Korea www 80% 71% Browsing Instant messaging Emails M Mobile subscriptions (million) Smartphone subscriptions (million) Total mobile traffic (PB/month) 2014 1,575 1,030 850 2020 2,100 1,800 7,000 CAGR 2014–2020 5% 10% 40% IM IM IM Source: Ericsson ConsumerLab (2014) Base: Mobile phone users
  • 3. NORTH EAST ASIA NOVEMBER 2014 ERICSSON MOBILITY REPORT 3 “It’s important to be able to access the internet wherever I am.” Japan Urban China South Korea Usage of data services continues to grow rapidly in urban China. Instant messaging (WeChat, QQ) is the most popular over-the-top service and is used by nearly 60 percent of smartphone owners in cities on daily basis. This increasing popularity of mobile instant messaging poses a threat to the traditional SMS service.1 Out of those who use both mobile instant messaging and SMS, 35 percent claim that they are sending fewer text messages than before they had their messenger app. Price and user-friendly experiences are the primary drivers behind the transition from SMS to instant messaging applications.2 Mobile users in Japan are more data-oriented than voice-oriented. The most popular services used on a daily basis on mobile phones are web browsing and email. Only 19 percent regularly make or receive voice calls on their device, a decrease from 30 percent in 2013. 29 percent of mobile users in Japan think they would be fine without using traditional voice calls or SMS if they could access internet services any time.2 South Koreans, irrespective of where they are, want to have access to information at any time. Around 42 percent of consumers in South Korea rated the need for high accessibility as most important, followed by the need to be updated when they want at 19 percent. Access to mobile data has an impact on voice behavior: 47 percent of smartphone users make internet calls at least once a week, and 37 percent of those smartphone users state that they make traditional phone calls less than they did before internet calls were available. Mobile users who plan to upgrade their mobile connection stated that they would access more messaging, payment and banking services after upgrading.1 Media behaviors Watching TV and video is now a multi-screen activity – consumers choose their devices based on a range of situational factors, and may switch screens while watching. People also watch more on their own and in different places and at different times. This trend is especially distinctive in markets like South Korea where 3G/4G data services are prevalent. Mobile devices that allow for the consumption of video on the go and new services enabling seamless access to video content have given rise to another new behavior called place-shifting. This means consumers start watching a video on one device, then continue watching it on another in a new place. More than one-third of consumers in South Korea place-shift on a weekly basis.1 Subscription-based Video on Demand (S-VOD) services have become the go-to choice for continuous viewing habits and routines. Traditional broadcast and Pay TV channels are seen by many as ‘content repositories’ from which consumers can cherry-pick individual pieces of content for later viewing. Binge viewing – watching multiple TV series’ episodes back-to-back – is a trend that has taken off thanks to the introduction of S-VOD. Nearly half of South Korean users prefer all TV episodes to be released at once.1 TV and media content is a core element in consumers’ ideal TV solution. As video quality improves, so do consumers’ quality expectations. 58 percent of Taiwanese consumers state that HD quality is a vital aspect of their optimal TV or video experience, and 43 percent of consumers in Taiwan are willing to pay for 4K/Ultra High Definition (UHD) content.1 Agree Neutral Disagree 24% 10% 37% 16% 42% 5% 66% 47% 53% Source: Ericsson ConsumerLab (2014) >1/3 of consumers in South Korea place-shift on a weekly basis 1 Ericsson ConsumerLab (2014) 2 Ericsson ConsumerLab (2013)
  • 4. Mobile subscriptions Mobile subscriptions in North East Asia will exceed 1.5 billion in 2014, representing approximately 22 percent of global mobile subscriptions. It is predicted that the region’s mobile subscriptions will grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 5 percent between 2014 and 2020, leading to over 2 billion mobile subscriptions by the end of 2020. This is primarily due to the increase in mobile subscriptions in China. Around 300 million smartphone subscriptions will be added to mobile networks in North East Asia during 2014 – an increase of around 40 percent. By the end of 2014, the total number is expected to reach around 1,030 million, representing almost 40 percent of global smartphone subscriptions. Mainland China’s smartphone market is the world’s largest in terms of volume, and is more than twice the size of the US market, which is the second largest. By the end of 2014, it is estimated that smartphone subscription penetration in North East Asia will reach around 65 percent. By the end of 2020, smartphone subscriptions are expected to be around 1.8 billion – more than the total population in the region. The fast adoption of smartphones among consumers in North East Asia has had a positive effect on data traffic and revenues, as well as average revenue per user (ARPU). 2.1 billion mobile subscriptions by the end of 2020 Mobile subscriptions, North East Asia (million) LTE subscriptions, North East Asia (million) 2,000 1,500 1,000 4 ERICSSON MOBILITY REPORT NORTH EAST ASIA NOVEMBER 2014 In Japan, the adoption of smartphones has been slower than in many other developed markets, due to the fact that advanced feature phones with internet connectivity and apps were already available on the market. However, Japan’s early access to mobile phones with internet connectivity has resulted in data representing a high share of operator revenue for many years now. LTE networks were deployed widely across South Korea, Japan and Hong Kong during 2012. By the end of 2014, LTE subscription penetration will reach 50 percent in Japan and close to 80 percent in South Korea – the highest in the world. It is estimated that Japan and Korea will represent 25 percent of the world’s LTE subscriptions at the end of 2014. Mainland China has started to roll out LTE and will experience a rapid shift from 2G/3G to 4G, adding around 1.2 billion LTE subscriptions by the end of 2020. Total LTE subscriptions in North East Asia are forecast to be close to 1.5 billion. 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2,500 500 0 Mainland China Japan South Korea Taiwan, Hong Kong and Macau 1,600 1,400 1,200 1,000 800 600 400 200 0 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Mobile subscriptions do not include M2M subscriptions
  • 5. Population coverage Population coverage, North East Asia ~85% >85% ~95% >95% >95% ~25% LTE LTE WCDMA/HSPA WCDMA/HSPA GSM/EDGE GSM/EDGE 2013 2020 2013 2020 2013 2020 >95% of the population will be covered by LTE in 2020 NORTH EAST ASIA NOVEMBER 2014 ERICSSON MOBILITY REPORT 5 Mobile network coverage in the region is constantly increasing as more base stations are deployed. Population coverage is the proportion of the population in an area that has sufficient signal to connect to a mobile network. It should be noted that the ability to utilize the technology is subject to other factors, such as access to devices and subscriptions. GSM/EDGE has not been deployed in Japan and South Korea. As a result, GSM/EDGE population coverage in the region is lower than the projected global average in 2020. WCDMA/HSPA had a population coverage of around 95 percent in the region during 2013, significantly higher than the global average of around 65 percent. Japan and South Korea were early adopters of LTE and the population coverage is already close to 100 percent in those countries. LTE build-out is continuing to increase performance as well as cover less populated areas. Operators in Mainland China and Taiwan have also started commercial LTE deployments. In 2020 it is predicted that LTE will cover 95 percent of the population in the region. The launch of LTE in Mainland China will make North East Asia the largest market for the technology in the world. Japan and South Korea have no GSM/EDGE deployments and therefore the regional average population coverage is lower than for China.
  • 6. Mobile traffic Mobile traffic, North East Asia (monthly ExaBytes) 7 6 5 4 3 2 Voice 9x Data growth in mobile data traffic between 2014 and 2020 6 ERICSSON MOBILITY REPORT NORTH EAST ASIA NOVEMBER 2014 App coverage The coverage area for any given app is relative to the level of network performance needed for it to function. App coverage describes the area with a high probability of experiencing sufficient network performance to run a given app, e.g. video streaming or web browsing. Smart devices and apps continually evolve to encompass newer capabilities, and therefore require more network resources to provide a good user experience. App coverage is an integrated view of mobile broadband network coverage, capacity and quality. Data consumption per subscription differs across the region. The lowest average is measured in Mainland China, however it is increasing with the introduction of LTE. The average usage per subscription in Japan is around 1.4 GB per month, while the average for LTE users in South Korea is above 3 GB per month. Mobile data traffic in the region is expected to have a CAGR of nearly 40 percent between 2014 and 2020 due to significant increases in usage per subscription, driven by the rapid influx of smart devices. The growth rate in mobile data traffic is comparable to the global forecast. 1 0 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Network performance Smartphone app User experience
  • 7. Median (50% probability) downlink throughput (Kbps) Cell-edge (90% probability) downlink throughput (Kbps) NORTH EAST ASIA NOVEMBER 2014 ERICSSON MOBILITY REPORT 7 Network performance The rapid uptake of smart devices, including both smartphones and tablets, has fueled consumer demand for a better user experience. In response, operators are now deploying 4G/LTE coverage and capacity. Japan and South Korea have been at the forefront of the global LTE roll out, and massive projects for the technology are currently underway in Mainland China. Measurements from Speedtest.net have been analyzed to better understand the real user experience. A user can expect the median rate or higher with a 50 percent probability, and the cell-edge rate or higher with a 90 percent probability, throughout the network coverage area. Due to continued LTE deployments, South Korea and Japan had median downlink throughput speeds that were significantly higher than the global median in Q2 2014 – 9 Mbps and 7 Mbps, respectively. However, a different user experience is observed in the cell edge comparison. In Japan, users experience downlink throughput speeds that are a third lower than the global average. This could be because in Japan if a subscriber exceeds his data plan’s limit, the downlink throughput is throttled. In Taiwan, cell-edge speed is ahead of other markets. One of the factors contributing to this could be the non-throttling policy imposed on service providers by regulators. Chinese operators commercially launched LTE networks between Q4 2013 and Q1 2014. LTE traffic is just starting to pick up, and therefore typical download throughput speed per user is higher compared to users in other more mature LTE markets with higher traffic load in the networks. This explains the upturn for China in Q4 2013 in the graphs. To benchmark median and cell-edge performance, more conclusive data is needed. Therefore, only data up to Q4 2013 for China is shown in the graphs. Overall, North East Asia markets are around 40 percent higher in downlink throughput compared to the average downlink throughput measured in the top 50 global markets. In most of the countries in the region, mobile broadband plays a very important role wherever Wi-Fi is not available. Regardless of the availability of Wi-Fi access points, public reliance on it is decreasing, especially for those who use smartphones for spontaneous purposes. This creates a potential opportunity for LTE operators in countries such as South Korea, where more LTE users prefer accessing mobile networks on public transport or when outside in public places. Consumers are becoming more data-centric and have high expectations for network performance. In addition, they are becoming less tolerant towards poor performance and will churn if their expectations are not met. The majority of LTE users in South Korea state that having a fast network is more important than the price plan when selecting an operator. Most LTE users in Japan claim that they would change their subscriptions for better 3G/4G network coverage and speed.3 South Korea Japan Hong Kong Taiwan Mainland China Global, top 50 12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 Source: Ericsson analysis of data from Speedtest.net provided by Ookla (2014) 3 Ericsson ConsumerLab (2013) 1,400 1,200 1,000 800 600 400 200 0 0 Q1 2012 Q1 2012 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 2013 Q1 2013 Q2 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 2014 Q3 Q4 Q1 2014 Q2 Q2
  • 8. EAB-14:061079 Uen, Revision B © Ericsson AB 2014 Ericsson is the driving force behind the Networked Society – a world leader in communications technology and services. Our long-term relationships with every major telecom operator in the world allow people, businesses and societies to fulfill their potential and create a more sustainable future. Our services, software and infrastructure – especially in mobility, broadband and the cloud – are enabling the telecom industry and other sectors to do better business, increase efficiency, improve the user experience and capture new opportunities. With more than 110,000 professionals and customers in 180 countries, we combine global scale with technology and services leadership. We support networks that connect more than 2.5 billion subscribers. Forty percent of the world’s mobile traffic is carried over Ericsson networks. And our investments in research and development ensure that our solutions – and our customers – stay in front. Founded in 1876, Ericsson has its headquarters in Stockholm, Sweden. Net sales in 2013 were SEK 227.4 billion (USD 34.9 billion). Ericsson is listed on NASDAQ OMX stock exchange in Stockholm and the NASDAQ in New York. The contents of this document are based on a number of theoretical dependencies and assumptions and Ericsson shall not be bound by or liable for any statement, representation, undertaking or omission made in this document. Furthermore Ericsson may at any time change the contents of this document at its sole discretion and shall not be liable for the consequences of such changes. The content of this document is subject to revision without notice due to continued progress in methodology, design and manufacturing. Ericsson shall have no liability for any error or damage of any kind resulting from the use of this document. Ericsson SE-126 25 Stockholm, Sweden Telephone +46 10 719 00 00 www.ericsson.com