Weekly i forex report 09 jul 2018 by Epic Rsearch

1. 03 Jul – 13 Jul 2018
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WEEKLY INTERNATIONAL FOREX

2. INTERNATIONAL CURRENCY BUZZ
Forex - Dollar Inches Down as Trade Tariff Tensions Continue
Forex - Strong German industry data pushes euro to near three-week high
Forex - GBP/USD refreshes session tops on weaker US ADP report
GBP/USD
The GBP/USD pair continued with its steady climb from the 1.3200 neighborhood and refreshed session tops
in the last hour. The pair stalled overnight retracement from 1-1/2 week tops, led by a Bloomberg report
claimed that Germany sees the UK PM Theresa May's customs plan as unworkable, and seems to have found
decent support near the 1.3200 handle. After yesterday's modest rebound, supported by upbeat US ISM
non-manufacturing PMI and the latest FOMC meeting minutes, escalating US-China trade conflict kept
the US Dollar bulls on the defensive and assisted the pair to catch some fresh bids on the last trading day of
the week. The new US tariffs on $34 billion worth of Chinese imports took effect on Friday, with the latter
retaliating by applying tariffs to the same value of US goods at the same rate and risking a potential full-
blown trade war between the world's two largest economies.
EUR/USD
The EUR/USD pair failed to sustain at higher levels, now easing back towards the 1.17 handle, as the risk-on rally in
the European equities stalled on the back of China’s retaliation to the US tariffs. With the US-China trade war
officially underway, markets turn jittery after the initial positive reaction, as they evaluate the impact of the tariffs
war on the global economic outlook. This explains the consolidative mode seen in the US dollar across its main
competitors, which keeps the upside capped in the spot. An upbeat US jobs report could offer the much-needed
respite to the USD bulls, triggering a sell-off in the pair. “The US economy is expected to have added 195K new jobs
in June, the unemployment rate is seen at record lows of 3.8%, while as usual, wages are barely expected to show
signs of life, up monthly basis 0.3% and by 2.8% YoY,” FXStreet’s Chief Analyst, Valeria Bednarik noted.
WEEKLY INTERNATIONAL FOREX

3. WEEKLY ECONOMIC DATA
WEEKLY INTERNATIONAL FOREX

4. EPIC'S ANALYST SPEAKS
GBP/USD Daily Chart
INTRADAY OUTLOOK
Support: 1.2940
Resistance: 1.3428
RECOMMENDATION:
BUY GBPUSD ABOVE 1.3320 TGT 1.3390 1.3490 SL 1.3250
SELL GBPUSD BELOW 1.3160 TGT 1.3090 1.2990 SL 1.3230
WEEKLY INTERNATIONAL FOREX

5. EPIC'S ANALYST SPEAKS
EUR/USD Daily Chart
INTRADAY OUTLOOK
Support: 1.1450
Resistance: 1.1840
RECOMMENDATION:
BUY EURUSD ABOVE 1.1850 TGT 1.1920 1.2020 SL 1.1780
SELL EURUSD BELOW 1.1670 TGT 1.1600 1.1500 SL 1.1740
WEEKLY INTERNATIONAL FOREX

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WEEKLY INTERNATIONAL FOREX