US stocks rose on Wednesday boosted by tech shares, with the S&P 500 and Dow industrials closing at records, while the energy sector was once more the largest weight on the market as crude prices continued to flirt with multi-year lows. Hewlett-Packard,
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Epic research daily special report 27 nov-2014
1. DAILY REPORT
27th NOVEMBER 2014
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Global markets at a glance
Asian stocks were mostly higher on Thursday following a record close on Wall Street, but Japanese markets contin- ued underperforming due to a stronger currency.
European shares inched higher on Wednesday, with Ger- many's blue chip DAX index advancing for the 10th session in a row as investors bet on further monetary stimulus from the European Central Bank. Gains in stocks were capped by a renewed drop in shares of oil services compa- nies. The FTSEurofirst 300 index of top European shares ended 0.02 percent higher at 1,389.18 points, trading in a tight range, while the DAX ended 0.6 percent higher, enjoy- ing its longest winning streak since May 2013.
Wall Street Update
US stocks rose on Wednesday boosted by tech shares, with the S&P 500 and Dow industrials closing at records, while the energy sector was once more the largest weight on the market as crude prices continued to flirt with multi-year lows. Hewlett-Packard, Apple and chipmakers were among the largest advancers. The Dow Jones industrial average rose 12.81 points, or 0.07 percent, to 17,827.75, the S&P 500 gained 5.8 points, or 0.28 percent, to 2,072.83 and the Nasdaq Composite added 29.07 points, or 0.61 percent, to 4,787.32. The S&P's energy sector fell 1.1 percent, taking the declines in the past three sessions to 3.4 percent. Crude prices fell as after OPEC increased signals that it would hold off making any major production cuts this week.
Previous day Roundup
Indian shares gave up afternoon gains to close about flat, even as property shares zoomed on a Delhi government decision to increase the city’s floor area ratio. At close, the Sensex was up 48 points, or 0.17 percent, to 28,386 while the Nifty gained 13 points, or 0.15 percent, to 8,475. The market’s afternoon gains were powered by buying in power and gas stocks after a report said government minis- ters would meet yesterday to finalize gas pooling plans.
Index stats
The Market was very volatile in last session. The sartorial indices performed as follow; Consumer Durables [up 33.69pts], Capital Goods [up 42.67pts], PSU [up 44.43pts], FMCG [up 81.26pts], Realty [down pts], Power [down pts], Auto [up 50.46pts], Healthcare [down 51.20pts], IT [down 18.04pts], Metals [up 120.70Pts], TECK [down 25.19pts], Oil& Gas [up 17.65pts].
World Indices
Index
Value
% Change
D J l
17827.75
+0.07
S&P 500
2072.83
+0.28
NASDAQ
4787.32
+0.61
EURO STO
3226.08
-0.00
FTSE 100
6729.17
-0.03
Nikkei 225
17333.52
-0.29
Hong Kong
24076.81
-0.15
Top Gainers
Company
CMP
Change
% Chg
DLF
152.00
10.05
7.08
GAIL
490.80
13.55
2.84
BHEL
271.50
6.00
2.26
ITC
363.40
8.00
2.25
ASIANPAINT
707.10
15.35
2.22
Top Losers
Company
CMP
Change
% Chg
ZEEL
375.00
18.85
-4.79
JINDALSTEL
142.40
4.45
-3.03
BHARTIARTL
392.20
11.40
-2.82
HCLTECH
1,632.00
25.55
-1.54
ICICIBANK
1,711.00
26.25
-1.51
Stocks at 52 Week’s High
Symbol
Prev. Close
Change
%Chg
ASIANPAINT
707.10
15.35
2.22
HDFC
1,158.00
11.55
1.01
HDFCBANK
949.50
-4.05
-0.42
JKTYRE
601.80
27.85
4.85
JSWENERGY
91.05
4.75
5.50
Indian Indices
Company
CMP
Change
% Chg
NIFTY
8475.75
+12.65
+0.15
SENSEX
28386.19
+48.14
+0.17
Stocks at 52 Week’s Low
Symbol
Prev. Close
Change
%Chg
- -
2. DAILY REPORT
27th NOVEMBER 2014
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STOCK RECOMMENDATIONS [FUTURE]
1. ORIENTAL BANK [FUTURE]
ORIENTAL BANK FUTURE is looking weak on charts, short build up has been seen, we may see more downside, if it sustains below 285 levels. We advise selling around 285- 290 levels with strict stop loss of 296 for the targets of 280-275.
2. JINDAL STEEL [FUTURE]
JINDAL STEEL FUTURE is looking weak on charts, short build up has been seen, we may see more downside, if it sustains below 150 levels. We advise selling around 150-155 levels with strict stop loss of 160 for the targets of 145-140 levels.
EQUITY CASH & FUTURE
STOCK RECOMMENDATION [CASH]
1. IBF INDUSTRIES
JBF INDUSTRIES LTD is looking strong on charts, we may see more upside, if it sustains above 180-185 levels. We advise buying around 185-190 levels with strict stop loss of 175 for the targets of 200-210 levels.
MACRO NEWS The government today finaliseddetails of a package to rescue 16,000 MW of gas-based power plants lying stranded as it looks to increase supplies by raising gen- eration without burdening consumers. ED registers case to probe Jaypee Associates under PMLA Western Union keen to apply for payments bank licence Bank credit growth rises 11% to Rs 62,52,937 crore In India, prices have also fallen due to NMDC cutting prices by Rs 200 a tonne for domestic steel mills, in line with a similar move for foreign importers. Government likely to auction 49 coal blocks to private companies in pilot round Indian chemicals industry to grow at 15 per cent annu- ally: AJV Prasad India dependent on China for 12 drugs on National List of Essential Medicines: Government US court refuses Ranbaxy appeal to block ANDA nod for 2 drugs
3. DAILY REPORT
27th NOVEMBER 2014
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
FUTURE & OPTION
MOST ACTIVE PUT OPTION
Symbol
Op- tion
Type
Strike Price
LTP
Traded Volume (Contracts)
Open Interest
NIFTY
PE
8,400
4.7
16,89,111
68,08,950
NIFTY
PE
8,500
35.6
11,74,069
25,98,675
NIFTY
PE
8,450
13.95
10,39,621
27,46,150
BANKNIFTY
PE
18,000
75.8
1,12,748
3,37,725
TATASTEEL
PE
460
1.25
3,866
6,39,500
RELCAPITAL
PE
480
0.7
3,671
4,31,500
RELIANCE
PE
980
3.1
3,456
6,32,500
SBIN
PE
300
0.35
3,208
26,40,000
MOST ACTIVE CALL OPTION
Symbol
Op- tion
Type
Strike Price
LTP
Traded Volume (Contracts)
Open Interest
NIFTY
CE
8,500
14.55
21,15,833
51,97,250
NIFTY
CE
8,550
3.1
8,75,512
35,39,025
NIFTY
CE
8,600
1.6
6,03,019
49,73,075
BANKNIFTY
CE
18,100
28.9
1,34,131
3,45,175
RELAINCE
CE
1,000
2.25
7,017
26,66,750
RELCAPITAL
CE
500
7.75
6,842
8,39,500
INFY
CE
4,300
26
5,323
2,31,750
DLF
CE
150
3.8
5,222
11,90,000
FII DERIVATIVES STATISTICS
BUY
OPEN INTEREST AT THE END OF THE DAY
SELL
No. of
Contracts
Amount in Crores
No. of
Contracts
Amount in Crores
No. of
Contracts
Amount in
Crores
NET AMOUNT
INDEX FUTURES
241587
5319.21
236558
5433.15
972030
22238.09
-113.95
INDEX OPTIONS
1142872
27740.85
1107948
26996.44
3048421
74777.29
744.41
STOCK FUTURES
494208
14729.46
513318
15322.68
1842517
54794.98
-593.22
STOCK OPTIONS
82348
2650.67
85658
2756.76
101528
3262.59
-106.09
TOTAL
-68.85
STOCKS IN NEWS Kotak Mahindra Bank first bank to fully own an insur- ance business. Moody's cuts IOB's financial strength rating on higher bad loans. ONGC’s Rs 10,000 crore power & gas project in Tripura set for launch Report on ONGC-RIL gas row expected by June. Aurobindo Pharma's subsidiary recalls epilepsy drug in US
NIFTY FUTURE
Nifty Future closed flat in the last trading session. We advise selling around 8430-8420 with strict stop loss 8480 for the targets of 8380-8330
INDICES
R2
R1
PIVOT
S1
S2
NIFTY
8,533.22
8,504.48
8,471.57
8,442.83
8,409.92
BANK NIFTY
18,235.62
18,105.78
17,998.32
17,868.48
17,761.02
4. DAILY REPORT
27th NOVEMBER 2014
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NCDEX
RECOMMENDATIONS
SILVER
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY SILVER DEC ABOVE 36700 TGTS 36900,37300 SL BE- LOW 36400
SELL SILVER DEC BELOW 36400 TGTS 36200,35900 SL ABOVE 36700
GOLD
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY GOLD DEC ABOVE 26500 TGTS 26580,26680 SL BE- LOW 26420
SELL GOLD DEC BELOW 26280 TGTS 26220,26120 SL ABOVE 26370
COMMODITY ROUNDUP
A tepid bag of U.S. indicators weakened the dollar on Wednesday by sending investors rethinking when the Fed- eral Reserve will hike interest rates, which gave gold a shot in the arm earlier, though profit taking took back earlier gains. Gold and the dollar tend to trade inversely with one another. On the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange, gold futures for February delivery were down 0.03% at $1,197.50, up from a session low of $1,194.70 and off a high of $1,201.50.
Primary steel producers might cut prices Rs 500-700 a tonne for December, due to a fall in the cost of raw materi- als and subdued prices abroad. Typically, primary producers follow the trend in the spot market, where products have turned cheaper by up to Rs 700 a tonne for longs and Rs 200-250 a tonne for flats this month. Global prices contin- ued to reel under the threat of imports from China and weakness in demand, forcing producers to cut prices to safeguard market share. Global iron ore prices are likely to remain soft due to increased supply from major producers and weak demand from China.
Copper led the decline of base metals on the benchmark- London Metal Exchange on Wednesday, following weak housing and consumer confidence data in the US. Copper fell two per cent in early trade but recovered to settle at $6,649 a tonne. Nickel and zinc saw declines of 1.37 per cent and 0.53 per cent, settling at $16,230 a tonne and $2,272.5 a tonne, respectively.
Crude oil futures fell 0.67 per cent to Rs 4,610 per barrel yesterday as speculators trimmed positions amid a weak trend in Asian trade. At the MCX, crude oil for delivery in December fell by Rs 31, or 0.67 per cent, to Rs 4,610 per barrel in 2,419 lots. Besides, oil for delivery in January next year moved down by Rs 30, or 0.64 per cent, to Rs 4,645 per barrel in 143 lots. The fall in crude prices at futures trade was primarily after it extended losses in Asian trade amid speculation that the OPEC oil cartel will maintain out- put at this week's closely watched meeting despite a global supply glut. Meanwhile, West Texas Intermediate crude for January delivery shed 24 cents to $73.85 while Brent crude for January eased 17 cents to $78.16 per barrel in mid- morning trade on the New York Mercantile Exchange.
5. DAILY REPORT
27th NOVEMBER 2014
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RECOMMENDATIONS
DHANIYA
BUY DHANIYA DEC ABOVE 13060 TGTS 13090,13130 SL 13020
SELL DHANIYA DEC BELOW 12950 TGTS 12920,12870 SL 12990
GUARSGUM
BUY GUARGUM DEC ABOVE 13850 TGTS 13900,14000 SL 13750
SELL GUARGUM DEC BELOW 13650 TGTS 13600,13500 SL 13750
NCDEX
NCDEX ROUNDUP
Cardamom prices fell by 0.94 per cent to Rs 831.30 per kg in futures trade yesterday as speculators reduced posi- tions amid adequate stocks position in the physical market on account of higher supplies from producing belts. At MCX cardamom for delivery in December contracts fell by Rs 7.90, or 0.94 per cent, to Rs 831.30 per kg in a business turnover of 230 lots. The January contract declined by Rs 6.60, or 0.75 per cent, to Rs 863 per kg in 44 lots. Offload- ing of positions by participants due to a weak trend at spot market on subdued demand mainly put pressure on carda- mom prices at futures trade.
Cotton supplies from the new crop in India, the world's second-largest producer of the fibre, have fallen 19 per- cent so far in the current season that began on October 1, In the spot markets so far farmers have brought in around 3.9 million bales of 170 kg each, down from 4.8 million bales during the same period a year earlier, Mishra said on the sidelines of a conference on Tuesday. The south Asian country is set to harvest a record 40 million bales in this crop year, but a sharp drop in prices is prompting farmers to hold back supply.
NCDEX INDICES
Index
Value
% Change
CASTOR SEED
4718
-0.06
CHANA
3134
-1.17
CORIANDER
12100
+0.81
COTTON SEED
1335
+0.53
GAUR SEED
4829
-0.35
JEERA
12140
-2.53
MUSTARDSEED
3846
-0.64
SOYBEAN
2760
-0.98
SUGAR M GRADE
2760
-0.29
TURMERIC
6190
-0.64
6. DAILY REPORT
27th NOVEMBER 2014
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GBP/INR
BUY GBPINR DEC FROM DEEP LEVEL 97.4500-97.5000 TGT 97.6500,98.8500 SL 97.2500
SELL GBPINR DEC FROM TOP LEVEL 98.1000-98.1200 TGT 97.9000 ,97.7000 SL 98.3000
EUR/INR
BUY EURINR DEC FROM DEEP LEVEL (77.3000-77.2800) TGT 77.5000 ,77.7000 SL 77.0500
SELL EURINR DEC FROM TOP LEVEL (77.8000-77.8500) TGT 77.6000,77.4000 SL 78.05000
CURRENCY MARKET UPDATES:
The Indian rupee closed marginally stronger on Wednesday after being held in a tight range as dollar inflows into the domestic share markets were offset by demand for the greenback from importers looking to meet month-end com- mitments. Sentiment was also cautious ahead of the release of July-September economic growth data on Friday and the Reserve Bank of India's monetary policy review on Decem- ber 2.
India economic growth probably slowed to 5.1 percent in the July-September quarter from a year ago, but economists polled by Reuters doubted whether that would be enough to persuade the central bank to cut interest rates just yet. The partially convertible rupee closed at 61.8450/8550 per dollar versus Tuesday's close of 61.86/87. Moves in the do- mestic share market will also be crucial for cues on foreign fund flows. Shares gained for a fourth session in five, led by blue chips on hopes the central bank would cut its key pol- icy rate.
In the offshore non-deliverable forwards market, the one- month contract was at 62.20 while the three-month was at 62.73.
A tepid mix of U.S. economic indicators sent the dollar weakening against the yen on Wednesday, leaving investors questioning the strength of U.S. recovery and the timing of Federal Reserve rate hikes next year. In U.S. trading, USD/ JPY was down 0.25% at 117.68, up from a session low of 117.44 and off a high of 117.98. The pair was expected to test support at 117.33, last Friday's low, and resistance at 118.57, Monday's high. the yen was down slightly against the euro and down against the pound, with EUR/JPY up 0.03% at 147.20, and GBP/JPY trading up 0.27% at 185.81
U.S. markets will be closed on Thursday for the Thanksgiv- ing holiday.
RBI Reference Rate
Currency
Rate
Currency
Rate
Rupee- $
61.8658
Yen-100
52.5600
Euro
77.2147
GBP
97.2283
MCX COMMODITIES & CURRENCY
7. DAILY REPORT
27th NOVEMBER 2014
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CALL REPORT
PERFORMANCE UPDATES
Date
Commodity/ Currency Pairs
Contract
Strategy
Entry Level
Target
Stop Loss
Remark
26/11/14
MCX GOLD
DEC.
BUY
26450
26530-26630
26360
NOT EXECUTED
26/11/14
MCX GOLD
DEC.
SELL
26280
26220-26120
26370
NOT EXECUTED
26/11/14
MCX SILVER
DEC.
BUY
36700
36900-37300
36400
NOT EXECUTED
26/11/14
MCX SILVER
DEC.
SELL
36350
36150-35850
36650
NOT EXECUTED
26/11/14
NCDEX GUARGUM
NOV.
BUY
14100
14150-14250
14010
SL TRIGGERED
26/11/14
NCDEX GUARGUM
NOV.
SELL
13860
13810-13710
13950
NOT EXECUTED
26/11/14
NCDEX DHANIYA
NOV.
BUY
13130
13160-13210
13080
NOT EXECUTED
26/11/14
NCDEX DHANIYA
NOV.
SELL
12920
12890-12840
12970
SL TRIGGERED
26/11/14
JPY/INR
NOV.
BUY
52.40- 52.45
52.62-52.82
52.20
NO PROFIT NO LOSS
26/11/14
JPY/INR
NOV.
SELL
52.95- 52.90
52.72-52.55
53.15
NOT EXECUTED
26/11/14
GBP/INR
NOV.
BUY
96.70- 96.75
96.95-97.15
96.50
NOT EXECUTED
26/11/14
GBP/INR
NOV.
SELL
97.40- 97.35
97.15-96.95
97.60
NOT EXECUTED
Date
Scrip
CASH/ FUTURE/ OPTION
Strategy
Entry Level
Target
Stop Loss
Remark
26/11/14
NIFTY
FUTURE
BUY
8540-8550
8600-8650
8490
NOT EXECUTED
26/11/14
ZEE
FUTURE
BUY
380-385
395-405
370
CALL OPEN
26/11/14
BIOCON
FUTURE
BUY
460-465
475-485
450
CALL OPEN
26/11/14
BAL PHARMA
CASH
BUY
91-93
96-99
88
BOOKED PROFIT
25/11/14
BHARAT FORGE
FUTURE
BUY
935-940
955-975
920
CALL OPEN
25/11/14
TCS
FUTURE
BUY
2630-2650
2680-2700
2600
CALL OPEN
24/11/14
KTKBANK
FUTURE
BUY
140-142
145-148
135
CALL OPEN
17/11/14
COALINDIA
FUTURE
BUY
350-355
365-375
340
CALL OPEN
13/11/14
HOTEL LEELA
CASH
BUY
24-25
28-30
22
CALL OPEN
07/11/14
ZUARI AGRO
CASH
BUY
280-290
315-330
260
CALL OPEN
8. DAILY REPORT
27th NOVEMBER 2014
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NEXT WEEK'S U.S. ECONOMIC REPORTS
ECONOMIC CALENDAR
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Disclaimer
TIME (ET)
REPORT
PERIOD
ACTUAL
CONSENSUS FORECAST
PREVIOUS
MONDAY, NOV. 24
8:30 AM
CHICAGO FED NATIONAL ACTIVITY INDEX
OCT.
--
0.25 3-MONTH
TUESDAY, NOV. 25
8:30 AM
GDP REVISION
Q3
3.2%
3.5%
9 AM
CASE-SHILLER HOME PRICES
SEPT.
--
5.1% Y-O-Y
9 AM
FHFA HOME PRICES
SEPT.
--
4.8% Y-O-Y
10 AM
CONSUMER CONFIDENCE INDEX
NOV.
95.4
94.5
WEDNESDAY, NOV. 26
8:30 AM
WEEKLY JOBLESS CLAIMS
NOV. 22
N/A
N/A
8:30 AM
PERSONAL INCOME
OCT.
0.4%
0.2%
8:30 AM
CONSUMER SPENDING
OCT.
0.3%
-0.2%
8:30 AM
CORE PCE PRICE INDEX
OCT.
--
0.1%
8:30 AM
DURABLE GOODS ORDERS
OCT.
-1.3%
-1.1%
9:45 AM
CHICAGO PMI
NOV.
--
66.2
9:55 AM
CONSUMER SENTIMENT INDEX
NOV.
--
89.4
10 AM
NEW HOME SALES
OCT.
466,000
467,000
10 AM
PENDING HOME SALES
OCT.
--
0.3%
THURSDAY, NOV. 27
THANKSGIVING DAY NONE SCHEDULED
FRIDAY, NOV. 28
NONE SCHEDULED