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Sales & Marketing Alignment: How to Synergize for Success
DAILY AGRI COMMODITY REPORT SUMMARY
1. DAILY AGRI COMMODITY REPORT
23 July 2015
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2. Market Views
2
MONTH OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHG VOL MONTH OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHG VOL
TURMERIC
AUG 7452 7452 7132 7150 -3.74 16075
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP. 1
7037
SUPP. 2
6925
PIVOT
7245
Turmeric short term
trend is bullish and
May continue in
coming days.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
7357
RES. 2
7565
CORIANDER
AUG 11988 12080 11925 12050 -0.03 10620
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP.1
11957
SUPP. 2
11863
PIVOT
12018
Coriander short term
trend is bearish and May
continue in coming
days.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
12112
RES. 2
12173
GUARGUM
OCT 8740 8950 8610 8890 +1.37 10157
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP. 1
8683
SUPP. 2
8477
PIVOT
8817
Guargum short term
trend is bullish and
May continue in
coming days.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
9023
RES. 2
9157
CASTORSEED
AUG 3980 4003 3960 3980 -0.18 37640
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP. 1
3959
SUPP. 2
3938
PIVOT
3981
Castorseed short term
trend is bearish and
May continue in
coming day.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
4002
RES. 2
4024
3. Most Active Contract
3
NCDEX INDICES
Index Value
Pre.
Close
%
Change
CASTORSEED 3980 3987 -0.18
CHANA 4648 4605 +0.93
CORIANDER 12050 12054 -0.03
GUARGUM 8890 8770 +1.37
JEERA 15835 15990 -0.97
MUSTARD
SEED
4177 4198 -0.50
SOYABEAN 3352 3371 -0.56
TURMERIC 7150 7428 -3.74
TOP LOSERS
SYMBOL EXPIRY DATE
CURRENT
PRICE
CHANGE
CHANGE
%
TURMERIC 20-08-2015 7140.00 -320.00 -4.29%
JEERA 20-08-2015 15830.00 -155.00 -0.97%
COTTON SEED OIL CAKE
AKOLA
20-08-2015 1920.00 -12.00 -0.62%
RAPESEED-MUSTARD
SEED
20-08-2015 4181.00 -26.00 -0.62%
SOYABEAN 20-08-2015 3360.00 -16.00 -0.47%
BARLEY 20-08-2015 1179.00 -5.50 -0.46%
REFINED SOY OIL 20-08-2015 575.95 -1.30 -0.23%
TOP GAINERS
SYMBOL EXPIRY DATE
CURRENT
PRICE
CHANGE CHANGE %
CHANA 20-08-2015 4648.00 38.00 0.82%
CASTOR SEED NEW 20-08-2015 3988.00 4.00 0.10%
CORIANDER 20-08-2015 12010.00 10.00 0.08%
4. Commodities In News
4
ECONOMIC NEWS
Prime Minister Narendra Modi to release 'Vision 2050' for the agriculture
sector prepared by the Indian Council for Agricultural Research (ICAR) on
July 25 at Patna, where he will be the chief guest at the foundation day
celebration.The Vision 2050, paper will cover the challenges expected in
agriculture sector in future and how to tackle it. To fast track the lab to land
programme, four new schemes of ICAR will be launched- farmer first,
student ready, ARYA and mera gaon mera gaurav on the occasion.The
ICAR foundation day celebrations is being organised outside Delhi for the
first time. The prime minister is expected to ask agriculture scientists from
all over the country to speed up the 'lab to land' approach, intended to
provide new technologies to farmers, which will lead to a quantum jump in
agriculture productivity.
Government is looking to check the unbalanced use of fertilisers as it is
deteriorating soil health and at the same time impacting agricultural output
and farmers' income.The soil health has been continuously deteriorating
due to excessive use of urea in place of other essential NPK (nitrogenous,
phosphoric and potassic) fertilisers. And this has a negative impact on
agricultural output and farmers' income, a source said."Farmers use urea, a
rich source of nitrogen, as its price is highly subsidised and lower
compared to the decontrolled NPK fertilisers like DAP and MOP. The
government is looking at this matter.Meanwhile Commission for
Agriculture Costs and Prices ( CACP) has also pointed in its report that
urea price is low in comparison to prices of DAP and MoP, and therefore,
the consumption of fertilisers is "highly skewed".According to industry
sources, attention should be given to allocation of domestic gas for NPK
players to make these soil nutrients more affordable.Urea is the most
commonly used soil nutrient and its retail price is fixed at Rs 5,360 per
tonne. The balance between cost of production (retention price) and selling
price is paid as subsidy to manufacturers.Whereas NPK fertiliser prices are
decontrolled, government only provides fixed subsidy to these players
depending upon the content of various nutrients in them.
Indian cotton prices have increased since April 2015. However given
the expected surplus availability of cotton, the uptrend is unlikely to
sustain, As per the latest report by rating firm ICRA.The increase in the
prices is on account of the relatively slower pace of cotton arrivals in
the market as compared to the previous year and the curtailment of the
supplies from the domestic as well as international markets due to
massive procurement by CCI during the harvest season and subsequent
limited release of cotton by CCI in the markets.Nevertheless, given that
the domestic and global availability of cotton is expected to remain
surplus in CY 2015/16 as well, the uptrend in the prices is unlikely to
sustain and the prices are expected to remain around the MSP levels.
This will however be greatly influenced by CCI’s stocking and release
policy, ICRA said.
Turmeric settled down due to arrival of poor quality turmeric at the
spot market. Prospects of weak in July may not effect turmeric
production as it is sown mainly in irrigated conditions. However,
excess rains during the vegetative and harvesting may adversely affect
the production and quality. Turmeric sowing area reported high in
Maharashtra and Tamil Nadu state during the current sowing period.As
per Spice board of India, the export for the 2014-15 is 86,000 tonnes
worth Rs 744.35 crore compared to 77,500 tonnes and Rs 666.75 crore
in FY14. At Warangal market arrivals were reported at 200 bags,
unchanged as compared to previous day’s arrival. At Salem market
Total arrivals are at 1 quintals, steady as against previous day’s arrival.
At Sangli market arrivals were reported at 2500 quintals, higher by 500
quintals as compared to previous day. Spot turmeric prices at Erode
markets declined as farmers brought only medium and poor quality
turmeric. Though the traders received some new upcountry orders for
the turmeric, the farmers are bringing only medium and poor quality
turmeric for sale.Traders are buying only limited stocks and are
expecting full demand from the second week of August. Around 3,100
bags arrived for sale and 1,600 were sold.
5. 5
Fundamental Watch : Chana
CHANA ARRIVALS AT KEY SPOT MARKETNational Market Update
Government is expected to procure 5000 metric tonnnes of Tur from Malawi
in order to regulate the domestic prices. Tur prices have been increased by
around Rs 30 per kg as compared to the prices of last year across Delhi,
Kolkata and Mumbai. According to a official, government will import Tur
(Arhar) from Malawi, which will help prices to cool down and the procured
pulses will be provided to states from where it will be made available to
people at affordable price.
According to trader’s feed back in Solapur region of Maharashtra, urad and
moong sown area till now have increased by around 20-30% as compared to
last year. But in the recent days farmers have not received sufficient rainfall
and if the situation continues to be the same, it could affect the yield of the
crop. In June, monsoon rains were 13 per cent more than the normal.
However, the Met Department has projected deficient rains for July and
August.
The government of Rajasthan has revised the stock limit to wholesalers from
250 tonnes to 400 tonnes. Of the 400 tonnes, a wholesaler may hold up to 200
tonnes of chana and 200 tonnes of other pulses. An official said warehouses
registered with the Warehousing Development and Regulatory Authority
(WDRA) would also be covered in the norm.
Government agency MMTC opened a tender to import 5000 tonnes of Tur,
the offers must be of minimum 2500 tonnes and remain valid until 24th July
and has to be shipped within 15 September at Mumbai or Chennai port. Tur
can be imported from Myanmar, Mozambique and Malawi.
CENTER 22-July-15 21-July-15 Change
AHMEDNAGAR 4350 4450 -100
ALWAR 4150 4200 -50
BHIND 4050 4050 UNCH
JAIPUR 4525 4550 -25
KANPUR 4825 4850 -25
KOTA 4165 4160 +5
VIJAYWADA 4200 4200 UNCH
6. Technical Outlook
6
SELL CORIANDER AUG BELOW 11925 TARGET 11900 11860 SL
ABOVE 11955
BUY GUARGUM OCT ABOVE 9050 TARGET 9100 9170 SL
BELOW 8990
BUY TURMERIC AUG ABOVE 7210 TARGET 7250 7310 SL
BELOW 7150
SELL CASTORSEED AUG BELOW 3960 TARGET 3935 3905 SL
ABOVE 3990
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