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1. DAILY COMMODITY REPORT
21st FEBRUARY
Our Presence
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2. DAILY MARKET WRAPUP
21st FEBRUARY
COMMODITY
CONTRACT
OPEN PRICE
HIGH
LOW
CLOSE PRICE
%CHANGE
OI (in lots)
GOLD
05-APR-14
29960
29980
29790
29882
-0.47
11260
SILVER
05-MAR-14
47592
47670
47151
47486
-0.56
9536
CRUDEOIL
19-MAR-14
6420
6437
6391
6414
+0.28
11016
COPPER
28-FEB-14
451
451
447.8
449.75
-0.41
7973
LEAD
28-FEB-14
133.3
133.3
132.1
132.3
-0.68
3091
NICKEL
28-FEB-14
900.5
900.5
890.1
890.9
-1.04
5367
NATURALGAS
25-FEB-14
381.4
395.5
366.1
386.2
+3.09
14974
ZINC
28-FEB-14
127.75
127.9
126.75
127.5
-0.47
2436
ALUMINIUM
28-FEB-14
107.7
107.95
106.85
107.7
-0.14
2473
LME WAREHOUSE STOCKS (20-FEB- 2014)
METAL
ALUMINIUM
-4275
COPPER
-1025
LEAD
-600
NICKEL
-42
TIN
YOUR MINTVISORY
TONNES IN STORAGE
-165
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3. INTERNATIONAL MARKETS
21st FEBRUARY
PRECIOUS AND INDUSTRY METALS
COMMODITY
UNITS
PRICE
CHANGE
% CHANGE
CONTRACT
COMEX GOLD
USD/T OZ.
1,317.80
+0.90
+0.07%
APR 14
GOLD SPOT
USD/T OZ.
1,317.78
-5.19
-0.39%
N/A
COMEX SILVER
USD/T OZ.
21.64
-0.22
-0.98%
MAY 14
COMEX COPPER
USD/LB.
327.70
-0.20
-0.06%
MAY 14
PLATINUM SPOT
USD/T OZ.
1,416.13
-1.43
-0.10%
N/A
ENERGY COMMODITY FUTURES
COMMODITY
UNITS
PRICE
CHANGE
% CHANGE
CONTRACT
CRUDE OIL (WTI)
USD/BBL.
102.75
0.00
0.00%
APR 14
CRUDE OIL (BRENT)
USD/BBL.
110.28
-0.02
-0.02%
APR 14
RBOB GASOLINE
USD/GAL.
284.74
+0.08
+0.03%
MAR 14
NYMEX NATURAL GAS
USD/MMBTU
6.16
+0.10
+1.57%
MAR 14
NYMEX HEATING OIL
USD/GAL.
317.30
-0.47
-0.15%
MAR 14
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4. INTRADAY SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE
21st FEBRUARY
COMMODITY
EXPIRY
SUP.2
SUP.1
PIVOT
RES.1
RES.2
ALUMINIUM
28-FEB
107.05
107.50
108.15
108.60
109.25
COPPER
28-FEB
448.03
449.52
451.23
452.72
454.43
CRUDEOIL
19-MAR
6391
6414
6437
6460
6483
GOLD
5-APR
29788
29884
29978
30074
30168
LEAD
28-FEB
131.83
132.57
133.03
133.77
134.23
NATURALGAS
25-FEB
369.70
382.60
399.10
412.00
428.50
NICKEL
28-FEB
887.2
893.8
897.6
904.2
908.0
SILVER
5-MAR
47201
47436
47720
47955
48239
ZINC
28-FEB
126.87
127.38
128.02
128.53
129.17
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5. MOST ACTIVE CONTRACTS
21st FEBRUARY
Symbol
Expiry Date
LTP
Value (In Lacs)
Volume (In Lots)
NATURAL GAS
25-02-2014
390.90
11.70
3.09%
SILVERMICRO
28-02-2014
47534.00
-259.00
-0.54%
CRUDE OIL
19-03-2014
6424.00
18.00
0.28%
SILVER M
28-02-2014
47529.00
-266.00
-0.56%
SILVER
05-03-2014
47518.00
-269.00
-0.56%
COPPER
28-02-2014
449.55
-1.85
-0.41%
LEADMINI
28-02-2014
132.40
-0.90
-0.68%
COPPERMINI
28-02-2014
449.60
-1.80
-0.40%
NICKELMINI
28-02-2014
892.30
-9.20
-1.02%
GOLD
05-04-2014
29890.00
-141.00
-0.47%
YOUR MINTVISORY
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6. TODAY,S COMMODITY NEWS
21st FEBRUARY
COMMODITY HEADLINES
Silver down 0.8% on global cues.
Hawala premiums for gold smuggling shoot up to 4%.
Gold import restriction helps parallel economy more than real economy.
Lead down 0.3% on subdued spot demand, overseas trend.
Aluminium down 0.2% on global cues.
Nickel down 0.8% on sluggish demand, global cues.
Cardamom 0.4% on pick-up in demand.
Refined soya up 0.4% on rising demand.
Potato up 0.4% on strong demand.
Crude oil up 0.5% on overseas cues.
Oil holds above $100 on strong China lending data.
Crude oil down 0.2% on Asian cues.
India's 2014/15 natural rubber imports to fall.
Recovery in rubber's growth imminent.
Cotton exports to reach 10 mn bales.
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7. COMMODITY BUZZ AND ECONOMIC EVENTS
21st FEBRUARY
SPECIAL NEWS
European Commission on Thursday, the DG ECFIN
flash estimate of the consumer confidence indicator decreased in the euro area to -12.7 levels in February
2014, down from -11.7 in January 2014 and, to a lesser
extent, in the EU to -9.3 from -8.8 in January 2014.
Fresh selling is likely to emerge in castor seed futures
from higher levels due to fresh arrivals in local
mandies along with higher production estimates in the
current year. The NCDEX futures to encounter fresh
selling from 4222-4230 levels in the near term. As per
market sources, fresh arrivals of around 45-60 thousand bags have been reported in the major mandies of
Gujarat with the price range of Rs 3600-3700 per quintal Traders are expecting rise in daily arrivals from the
February end due to new supplies from Rajasthan.
The NCDEX Castor seed March delivery settled at Rs
4184 per quintal , up marginally by 0.36% in last trading. The NCDEX futures declined by almost Rs 100 per
quintal in last one week. Technically, selling is likely
to emerge from 4222-4230 levels, while supports are
likely at 4140-415 levels in the near term.
YOUR MINTVISORY
COMMODITY BUZZ
Bullion were trading lower with gold and silver lower to
$1314 and $21.6 per ounce mark; weaker by 0.4% and 1% respectively at the COMEX platform. CPI could see positive uptick; there is a chance for negative surprise from jobless
claims due to the extremely high winter period in the US. If
the Jobless claims number disappoints heavily we could see
some gains coming into the yellow metal. On silver though
we are maintaining our selling stance while also feel the underperformance in the commodity would continue in the
evening session as well.
Base metals 3M forwards at the LME platform are trading
lower in the range of 0.2% to 0.6% at the time of writing the
report. Metals pack continued to trade lower for the larger
part of the day taking negative cues from the weak manufacturing data from the Euro-Zone. The inventory data was positive for nickel wherein the cancelled warrants for the commodity increased by 1% and helped the commodity reduce its
losses from the morning session.
Crude oil's active April contract at the NYMEX is trading
marginally lower by 0.15% down to $102.65 per barrel. In the
Indian markets, prices for the March expiry are trading with
moderate gains as we adjust for the additional gains seen last
night at the NYMEX, post the closing of the MCX markets.
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8. EPIC RESEARCH– ANALYST SPEAKS
21st FEBRUARY
SILVER
SILVER MCX Short term trend is UP, Immediate support @ 45700 Immediate Resistance @ 49600.
Yesterday Intraday Range of SILVER MCX was 519. Open Interest was down. For today Keep a close eye on US data, volatility may
Rule the overall Market due to USDINR Movements.
BUY SILVER ABOVE 47700 TGTS 47900/48200 SL 47350
SELL SILVER BELOW 47100 TGTS 46900/46600 SL 47450
YOUR MINTVISORY
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9. EPIC RESEARCH– ANALYST SPEAKS
21st FEBRUARY
GOLD
GOLD MCX Short term trend is UP, Immediate support @ 29500 Immediate Resistance @ 30500.
Yesterday Intraday Range of GOLD MCX was 190. Open Interest was down. For today Keep a close eye on US data, volatility may
Rule the overall Market due to USDINR Movements.
BUY GOLD(APR) ABOVE 29950 TGTS 30030/30130 SL 29830
SELL GOLD(APR) BELOW 29790 TGTS 29710/29610 SL 29910
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10. EPIC RESEARCH– ANALYST SPEAKS
21st FEBRUARY
CASTORSEED
RESISTANCE 1
4200.0
RESISTANCE 2
4216.0
PIVOT
4181.0
SUPPORT 1
4146.0
SUPPORT 2
4165.0
Castor seed mar contract short term trend is "consolidate " Immediate support @ 4140 Immediate Resistance @ 4200
Yesterday Castor seed mar closed @ 4192. intraday range was 35 pts. trend is bearish to sideways Momentum indicate RSI is
below mid range signs down side. But short term trend is sideways
BUY CASTORSEED MAR ABOVE 4200 TGTS 4230,4280 SL 4150
SELL CASTORSEED MAR BELOW 4140 TGTS 4110,4060 SL 4190
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11. 21st FEBRUARY
EPIC RESEARCH– ANALYST SPEAKS
DHANIYA
RESISTANCE 1
9022.3
RESISTANCE 2
9086.7
PIVOT
8952.7
SUPPORT 1
8888.3
SUPPORT 2
8818.7
Dhaniya April Short term trend is "Down", Immediate support @ 8930 Immediate Resistance @ 9020
Yesterday Dhaniya April Closed @ 8948 .Intraday Range of Dhaniya mar was 134 pts, but consolidating today expecting from
here Dhaniya Mar will go for new low allover trend is bullish.
BUY DHANIYA APR ABOVE 9020 TGTS 9050,9100 SL 8970
SELL DHANIYA APR BELOW 8930 TGTS 8900,8850 SL 8980
YOUR MINTVISORY
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12. TODAY’S ECONOMIC EVENTS
21st FEBRUARY
FRIDAY, FEBRUARY 21
TIME
COUNTRY
EVENT
05:20
JPY
Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes
15:00
GBP
Core Retail Sales (MoM)
-1.4%
2.8%
15:00
GBP
Core Retail Sales (YoY)
5.0%
6.1%
15:00
GBP
Retail Sales (YoY)
5.0%
5.3%
15:00
GBP
Retail Sales (MoM)
-1.0%
2.6%
19:00
CAD
Core CPI (YoY)
1.0%
1.3%
19:00
CAD
Core CPI (MoM)
0.1%
-0.4%
19:00
CAD
Core Retail Sales (MoM)
0.2%
0.4%
19:00
CAD
CPI (YoY)
1.0%
1.2%
19:00
CAD
CPI (MoM)
0.1%
-0.2%
19:00
CAD
Retail Sales (MoM)
-1.0%
0.6%
19:30
MXN
Mexican GDP (YoY)
1.1%
1.3%
20:30
USD
Existing Home Sales (MoM)
-4.3%
1.0%
20:30
USD
Existing Home Sales
4.68M
4.87M
23:40
USD
FOMC Member Bullard Speaks
YOUR MINTVISORY
ACTUAL FORECAST PREVIOUS
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13. DISCLAIMER
21st FEBRUARY
The information and views in this report, our website & all the service we provide are believed to be reliable, but we do not accept any responsibility (or liability) for errors of fact or opinion. Users have the right to choose the product/s that suits them the most.
Sincere efforts have been made to present the right investment perspective. The information contained herein is based on analysis and up
on sources that we consider reliable. This material is for personal information and based upon it & takes no responsibility.
The information given herein should be treated as only factor, while making investment decision. The report does not provide individually
tailor-made investment advice. Epic research recommends that investors independently evaluate particular investments and strategies, and
encourages investors to seek the advice of a financial adviser. Epic research shall not be responsible for any transaction conducted based on
the information given in this report, which is in violation of rules and regulations of NSE and BSE.
The share price projections shown are not necessarily indicative of future price performance. The information herein, together with all estimates and forecasts, can change without notice. Analyst or any person related to epic research might be holding positions in the stocks
recommended. It is understood that anyone who is browsing through the site has done so at his free will and does not read any views expressed as a recommendation for which either the site or its owners or anyone can be held responsible for. Any surfing and reading of
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Investment in equity & bullion market has its own risks.
We, however, do not vouch for the accuracy or the completeness thereof. we are not responsible for any loss incurred whatsoever for any
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