Asian shares inched cautiously higher on Tuesday as inves- tors wagered Australia would become the latest country in the region to inject more policy stimulus into its economy.Epic research daily special report 05 may 2015
Asian shares inched cautiously higher on Tuesday as inves-
tors wagered Australia would become the latest country in
the region to inject more policy stimulus into its economy.
Ride the Storm: Navigating Through Unstable Periods / Katerina Rudko (Belka G...
Ā
Asian shares inched cautiously higher on Tuesday as inves- tors wagered Australia would become the latest country in the region to inject more policy stimulus into its economy.Epic research daily special report 05 may 2015
1. DAILY REPORT
05
th
MAY 2015
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
Global markets at a glance
Asian shares inched cautiously higher on Tuesday as inves-
tors wagered Australia would become the latest country in
the region to inject more policy stimulus into its economy.
Liquidity was lacking with markets in Japan, South Korea
and Thailand on holiday and little in the way of major eco-
nomic data on the docket for Tuesday. The pivotal release
of the week, U.S. payrolls, is not until Friday. As a result
MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Ja-
pan .MIAPJ0000PUS was up a slim 0.19 percent.
Wall Street Update
Wall Street ended higher on Monday as corporate earnings
came in better than feared, although shares of McDonald's
declined after the fast-food chain's turnaround plan left
investors wanting more. The Dow Jones industrial aver-
age rose 46.34 points, or 0.26 percent, to end at 18,070.4,
and the S&P 500 gained 6.2 points, or 0.29%, to 2,114.49,
just shy of its record-high close of 2,117.69 on April 24.
The Nasdaq Composite added 11.54 points, or 0.23 per-
cent, to 5,016.93. The benchmark S&P 500 index was post-
ing 14 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq
Composite was recording 55 new highs and 35 new lows.
About 5.6 billion shares changed hands on US exchanges,
compared with the 7.2 billion daily average for the last five
sessions, according to data from BATS Global Markets.
Previous day Roundup
The market was on fire fueled strongly by oil, FMCG and
pharma stocks. The Sensex ended up 479.28 points or 1.8
percent at 27490.59 and the Nifty scaled the 8300-level.
The 50-share index closed up 150.45 points or 1.8 percent
at 8331.95. About 1954 shares advanced, 838 shares de-
clined, and 153 shares were unchanged. ONGC was up 8
percent while Bajaj Auto, Cipla, M&M and BHEL were ma-
jor gainers in the Sensex. Among the laggards were ICICI
Bank, Axis Bank and Tata Motors with marginal losses
Index stats
The Market was very volatile in last session. The sartorial
indices performed as follow; Consumer Durables [up
188.93pts], Capital Goods [up 137.49pts], PSU [up
227.73pts], FMCG [up 158.49pts], Realty [up 39.41pts],
Power [up 41.81pts], Auto [up 284.68pts], Healthcare [up
381.06pts], IT [up 174.89pts], Metals [up 151.08pts], TECK
[up 103.42pts], Oil& Gas [up 323.61pts].
World Indices
Index Value % Change
D J l 18070.40 +0.26
S&P 500 2114.49 +0.29
NASDAQ 5016.93 +0.23
EURO STO 3632.92 +0.48
FTSE 100 6985.95 +0.36
Nikkei 225 19531.63 +0.06
Hong Kong 28208.89 +0.30
Top Gainers
Company CMP Change % Chg
ONGC 329.70 25.70 8.45
BAJAJ-AUTO 2,090.20 141.55 7.26
CIPLA 674.00 38.00 5.97
M&M 1,206.00 61.00 5.33
HCLTECH 924.00 53.45 4.93
Top Losers
Company CMP Change % Chg
TECHM 611.00 10.35 -1.67
ICICIBANK 329.75 1.40 -0.42
TATAMOTORS 508.20 0.05 -0.01
- -
- -
Stocks at 52 Weekās HIGH
Symbol Prev. Close Change %Chg
MANGALAM 41.80 3.05 7.87
RAJESHEXPO 240.50 7.60 3.26
WELSPUNIND 495.00 21.15 4.46
UPL 497.85 7.20 1.47
- -
Indian Indices
Company CMP Change % Chg
NIFTY 8331.95 +15045 +1.84
SENSEX 27490.59 +479.28 +1.77
Stocks at 52 Weekās LOW
Symbol Prev. Close Change %Chg
BALRAMCHIN 44.70 -1.25 -2.72
DBSTOCKBRO 42.40 -0.25 -0.59
2. DAILY REPORT
05
th
MAY 2015
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
STOCK RECOMMENDATION [CASH]
1. ESS DEE (CASH)
ESS DEE ALUMINIUM LTD is looking strong on charts, we
may see more upside, if it sustains above 280 levels. We
advise buying on dips around 270-280 levels with strict
stop loss of 255 for the targets of 295-310 levels.
MACRO NEWS
Indian manufacturing growth eased in April as domestic
demand softened, despite factories cutting prices for the
first time in nearly two years. Falling inflation and a slow-
ing manufacturing industry would reinforce expectations
that RBI will again cut interest rates soon from the cur-
rent 7.5%. The HSBC Manufacturing PMI compiled by
Markit, fell to 51.3 in April from March's 52.1 but
marked its eighteenth month above the 50 level that
separates growth from contraction. Manufacturers re-
duced selling prices for the first time since May 2013,
taking advantage of a weaker rise in the costs of their
raw materials, but that failed to attract new orders.
Results Today: ABB India , Dabur India , Kotak Mahindra
Bank , Century Textiles, SPARC, Century Enka, Elder
Pharma, Firstsource, Muthoot Finance, NIIT Technolo-
gies, Pfizer, Rain Industries, South Indian Bank, State
Bank of Travancore, Tube Investments of India
L&TFH plans to raise Rs 600c via preferential shares. L&T
Infra Finance to raise Rs 300 cr via debentures
IDFC keen on raising rupee denominated offshore
āMasalaā bonds
STOCK RECOMMENDATIONS [FUTURE]
1. WOCKPHARMA [FUTURE]
WOCKPHARMA FUTURE is looking strong on charts, long
build up has been seen, we may see more upside, if it sus-
tains above 1450 levels. We advise buying on dips around
1420 levels with strict stop loss of 1380 for the targets of
1460-1500 levels.
2. CIPLA [FUTURE]
CIPLA FUTURE is looking strong on charts, long build up has
been seen, we may see more upside, if it sustains above 680
levels. We advise buying on dips around 670-680 levels with
strict stop loss of 660 for the targets 690-700 levels.
3. DAILY REPORT
05
th
MAY 2015
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
FUTURE & OPTION
MOST ACTIVE PUT OPTION
Symbol Op-
tion
Type
Strike
Price
LTP Traded
Volume
(Contracts)
Open
Interest
NIFTY PE 8,300 31.5 14,03,377 41,17,125
NIFTY PE 8,400 57.6 11,10,939 39,90,050
NIFTY PE 8,200 16.25 10,34,888 46,65,125
BANKNIFTY PE 17,500 46.5 86,899 5,13,225
YESBANK PE 760 6.2 5,380 3,97,500
SUNPHARMA PE 960 11.15 3,888 4,55,250
SBIN PE 280 3.5 3,593 13,51,250
RELIANCE PE 860 5.8 3,512 5,74,000
MOST ACTIVE CALL OPTION
Symbol Op-
tion
Type
Strike
Price
LTP Traded
Volume
(Contracts)
Open
Interest
NIFTY CE 8,500 72.95 17,93,229 45,96,050
NIFTY CE 8,600 37.65 14,07,216 53,89,500
NIFTY CE 8,400 124 11,33,471 24,93,975
BANKNIFTY CE 18,500 185 1,00,953 4,80,625
SUNPHARMA CE 960 22.5 5,766 8,04,250
TATASTEEL CE 350 10 5,185 13,73,000
SBIN CE 290 3.65 5,161 19,31,250
YESBANK CE 800 18.1 7,976 14,54,500
FII DERIVATIVES STATISTICS
BUY OPEN INTEREST AT THE END OF THE DAYSELL
No. of
Contracts
Amount in
Crores
No. of
Contracts
Amount in
Crores
No. of
Contracts
Amount in
Crores
NET AMOUNT
INDEX FUTURES 85673 1894.35 99558 2174.85 560550 12983.52 -280.49
INDEX OPTIONS 688115 15279.71 576241 12991.87 2292231 57249.99 2287.84
STOCK FUTURES 112358 2875.47 81007 2126.09 1878156 49272.30 749.38
STOCK OPTIONS 52404 1323.49 48626 1218.10 37591 963.08 105.39
TOTAL 2862.12
STOCKS IN NEWS
Future-Bharti Retail to be merged; stock soars 18%
GMR Infra's parent pledges 14.41 pc stake with IL&FS
Trust cos
Bank of India : Rate cut to dent bankās margins by 2-3
bps.
Uttam Galva seeks refinancing under RBIās 5/25
scheme
Rajesh Exports gets boardās nod to set up subsidiary in
Europe
DLF to raise about Rs 3,600 cr this quarter via issue of
securities
NIFTY FUTURE
NIFTY FUTURE recovered from losses and made a bullish
candle. Long build up has been seen. Further we advise
you to buy Nifty if it sustains above current close. So buy
Nifty above 8380 for the targets of 8450 and 8550 with
the stop loss of 8300
INDICES R2 R1 PIVOT S1 S2
NIFTY 8,425 8,378.4 8,299.4 8,252.8 8,173.8
BANK NIFTY 18,717 18,612 18,481 18,376 18,245
4. DAILY REPORT
05
th
MAY 2015
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
RECOMMENDATIONS
GOLD
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY GOLD JUN ABOVE 26900 TGTS 26980,27080 SL BE-
LOW 26810
SELL GOLD JUN BELOW 26800 TGTS 26720,26620 SL ABOVE
26890
SILVER
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY SILVER JUL ABOVE 38150 TGTS 38350,38650 SL BE-
LOW 37850
SELL SILVER JUL BELOW 37700 TGTS 37500,37200 SL ABOVE
38000
COMMODITY ROUNDUP
Indiaās Gold imports soared in last fiscal. The total value of
gold imported in the country jumped nearly 20% to $ 34.32
billion in 2014-15 according to latest official data. Imports of
the metal were USD 28.7 billion the previous fiscal, 2013-14.
The imports almost doubled over year in March to $4.98
billion which pushed the trade deficit to a four-month high
of USD 11.79 billion for the month, according to the Com-
merce Ministry data.
Base metals hit a four-month high on Friday following sea-
sonal demand and expectations of economic stimulus meas-
ures in the world's largest consumer, China. The upsurge is
likely to continue in coming months on supportive funda-
mentals. Faced with its slowest economic growth since
2009, China plans a $1.1 trillion stimulus to boost its econ-
omy and rescue hundreds of dwindling infrastructure pro-
jects across sectors from mining to healthcare. The Chinese
government launched its first $586 billion economic stimu-
lus in 2008.
Copper hit a sessionās high at $6,375 before settling at
$6,362 on Friday. Lead followed suit to touch its highest
since September at $2,153 before settling at $2,139. Alu-
minium hit its highest since December at $1,932 but profit
booking pulled it down to $1,919 in the cash segment.
Nickel prices have been supported by the strike at BHPās
Cerro Matoso mine. With the return of Philippine nickel ore
exports, Chinese laterite ore stocks are now beginning to
increase, and London Metal Exchange (LME) nickel stock-
piles are still rising. Lead was pushed higher in recent weeks
after a large proportion of available LME stocks were with-
drawn by a single buyer.
Futures market traders and large oil speculators cut back on
their overall bullish bets last week after boosting bullish po-
sitions in the four previous weeks. The non-commercial con-
tracts of crude oil futures, traded by large speculators, trad-
ers and hedge funds, totaled a net position of 314,844 con-
tracts in the data reported for April 28th. This was a drop of
8,248 contracts from the previous weekās total of 323,092
net contracts for the data reported through April 21st. For
the week, the standing non-commercial long positions in oil
futures increased by 2,351contracts but were overtaken by
the short positions that rose by 10,599 contracts.
5. DAILY REPORT
05
th
MAY 2015
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
NCDEX
RECOMMENDATIONS
DHANIYA
BUY CORIANDER MAY ABOVE 10500 TARGET 10525 10565
SL BELOW 10475
SELL CORIANDER MAY BELOW 10412 TARGET 10387 10347
SL ABOVE 10437
GUARSGUM
BUY GUARGUM MAY ABOVE 11950 TARGET 12000 12060
SL BELOW 11890
SELL GUARGUM MAY BELOW 11580 TARGET 11530 11470
SL ABOVE 11640
NCDEX ROUNDUP
Coffee exports from the country have increased by 7.22% to
31,060 tonnes in April this year compared to the same
month in 2014, but value realization was lower due to slug-
gish global prices. The country had shipped 28,966 tonnes
of coffee in the same period last year, the Coffee Board said
in its latest report. According to Coffee Board's data, export
value realization was Rs 1,64,078.56 per tonne in the period
under review as against Rs 1,69,561.48 per tonne in the said
period last year. Coffee prices in international markets are
under pressure due to production surplus in Brazil, the
world's leading producer.
Amid profit-booking by participants, jeera prices declined by
0.68% to Rs 18,160 per quintal in futures trading on last
trading day. However, expectations of lower output due to
unseasonal rains in major growing regions restricted the
fall. At NCDEX jeera for delivery in June month moved down
by Rs 125, or 0.68% to Rs 18,160 per quintal with an open
interest of 12,396 lots. Similarly, the spice for delivery in
May contracts traded lower by Rs 105, or 0.59% to Rs
17,790 per quintal in 17,076 lots. Besides profit-booking by
speculators at existing levels, fall in demand in the spot
market against adequate stocks position, weighed on jeera
prices at futures trade
Brazil's sugar exports will fall, a little, in 2015-16 for a third
successive season despite a recovery in cane production, as
mills divert more crop to making ethanol, US farm officials
said. The US Department of Agriculture's Brasilia bureau, in
its first estimate for Brazil's cane crop for the season which
started last month, pegged it at 648m tonnes, a rise of
19.4m tonnes year on year.
NCDEX INDICES
Index Value % Change
CAETOR SEED 3684 +0.11
CHANA 4205 +0.02
CORIANDER 10487 +3.80
COTTON SEED 1827 +0.44
GUAR SEED 4948 +2.29
JEERA 17655 -1.34
MUSTARDSEED 3821 +0.92
REF. SOY OIL 584.7 +0.21
SUGAR M GRADE 2424 -0.45
TURMERIC 8300 -0.74
6. DAILY REPORT
05
th
MAY 2015
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
RBI Reference Rate
Currency Rate Currency Rate
Rupee- $ 63.5780 Yen-100 53.5300
Euro 70.5334 GBP 97.9864
CURRENCY
USD/INR
BUY USDINR MAY ABOVE 63.90 TGT 64.05,64.20 SL 63.75
SELL USDINR MAY BELOW 63.70 TGT 63.55,63.40 SL 63.85
EUR/INR
BUY EURINR MAY ABOVE 71.50 TGT 71.70,71.90 SL 71.30
SELL EURINR MAY BELOW 70.90 TGT 70.70,70.50 SL 71.10
CURRENCY MARKET UPDATES:
India's debt/FX markets were closed on Monday
(yesterday) on account of Buddha poornima.
US Dollar to Indian Rupee Exchange Rate is at a current
level of 62.48, up from 62.28 the previous market day and
up from 60.29 one year ago. This is a change of 0.32% from
the previous market day and 3.63% from one year ago. The
rupee ends weaker at 63.4200/4300 per dollar, versus
Wednesday's close of 63.2950/3050, due to month-end
dollar demand from importers and dollar buying from
banks likely on behalf of foreign clients.
The benchmark 10-year bond yield ends up 4 basis points
at 7.86 percent, as traders trim holdings after auction sup-
ply hits the market ahead of a long weekend. The bench-
mark five-year swap rate up ends up 5 bps at 7.18 percent,
while the one-year rate up 1 bps at 7.59 percent. India's
five-day cash rate ends at 7.75/7.80 percent versus
Wednesday's close of 7.30/7.40 percent.
The Japanese yen weakened sharply in early Asia on Friday
despite consumer price data showing a faster than ex-
pected pace as other data was mixed and more crucial
wages data lay ahead. The data was part of a busy suite
due at the end of the week from around the region, even
with many countries marking the May 1 labor day, includ-
ing China which still posted official manufacturing figures
as well as services.
The Department of Labor reported that the number of in-
dividuals filing for initial jobless benefits in the week end-
ing April 25 fell by 34,000 to a 15-year low 262,000 from
the previous week's total of 296,000.
The euro lost a bit of ground against the yen, slipping to
133.96 EURJPY=R, from Friday's two-month high of 135.29,
while the dollar held at 120.13 yen. Sterling stayed on the
defensive just days before Britons vote in the closest-
fought electoral race in recent history.
7. DAILY REPORT
05
th
MAY 2015
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
CALL REPORT
ST O
PERFORMANCE UPDATES
Date
Commodity/ Currency
Pairs
Contract Strategy Entry Level Target Stop Loss Remark
30/04/15 NCDEX DHANIYA MAY BUY 11230 11255-11295 11205 BOOKED PROFIT
30/04/15 NCDEX DHANIYA MAY SELL 10025 10000-9960 10050 NOT EXECUTED
30/04/15 NCDEX GUARGUM MAY BUY 11850 11900-11960 11790 BOOKED PROFIT
30/04/15 NCDEX GUARGUM MAY SELL 11430 11380-11320 11490 NOT EXECUTED
04/05/15 MCX GOLD JUN BUY 26700 26780-26880 26610 BOOKED FULL PROFIT
04/05/15 MCX GOLD JUN SELL 26500 26420-26320 26590 NOT EXECUTED
04/05/15 MCX SILVER JULY BUY 37300 36850-38150 36350 NOT EXECUTED
04/05/15 MCX SILVER JULY SELL 36900 36700-36400 37200 NOT EXECUTED
30/04/15 USD/INR MAY BUY 63.70 63.85-64.00 63.55 NOT EXECUTED
30/04/15 USD/INR MAY SELL 63.60 63.45-63.30 63.75 NOT EXECUTED
30/04/15 GBP/INR MAY BUY 72.25 70.45-70.65 70.05 NOT EXECUTED
30/04/15 GBP/INR MAY SELL 69.75 69.55-69.35 69.95 NOT EXECUTED
Date Scrip
CASH/
FUTURE/
OPTION
Strategy Entry Level Target Stop Loss Remark
04/05/15 NIFTY FUTURE SELL 8270-8300 8200-8100 8400 CALL OPEN
04/05/15
MOTHERSON
SUMI
FUTURE BUY 495-500 515-530 485 NOT EXECUTED
04/05/15 LICHSFIN FUTURE SELL 440 430-420 450 NOT EXECUTED
04/05/15
MANGALAM
DRUGS
CASH BUY 35-38 40-45 32 NOT EXECUTED
8. DAILY REPORT
05
th
MAY 2015
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
NEXT WEEK'S U.S. ECONOMIC REPORTS
ECONOMIC CALENDAR
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TIME REPORT PERIOD ACTUAL
CONSENSUS
FORECAST
PREVIOUS
MONDAY, MAY 04
10 AM FACTORY ORDERS MARCH 2.1% 0.2%
TUESDAY, MAY 05
8:30 AM TRADE DEFICIT MARCH -$43.0 BLN -$35.4 BLN
10 AM ISM NONMANUFACTURING APRIL 56.7% 56.5%
WEDNESDAY, MAY 06
8:15 AM ADP EMPLOYMENT APRIL -- 189,000
8:30 AM PRODUCTIVITY Q1 -1.0% -2.2%
8:30 AM UNIT LABOR COSTS Q1 3.5% 4.1%
THURSDAY, MAY 07
8:30 AM WEEKLY JOBLESS CLAIMS MAY 2 N/A N/A
3 PM CONSUMER CREDIT MARCH -- $16 BLN
FRIDAY, MAY 08
8:30 AM NONFARM PAYROLLS APRIL 245,000 126,000
8:30 AM UNEMPLOYMENT RATE APRIL 5.4% 5.5%
8:30 AM AVERAGE HOURLY EARNINGS APRIL 0.2% 0.3%
10 AM WHOLESALE INVENTORIES MARCH -- 0.3%