2. Overview
- Starbucks Corporation (SBUX) โ- Starbucks Corporation (SBUX) โ
international coffeehouse โinternational coffeehouse โ
โStarbucks ExperienceโโStarbucks Experienceโ
-High-quality Coffee and โthirdHigh-quality Coffee and โthird
placeโ between work and homeplaceโ between work and home
-Revenue driversRevenue drivers
- Company-operated retail storesCompany-operated retail stores
- Specialty OperationsSpecialty Operations
3. Overview
- 13,490 retail stores in13,490 retail stores in
North AmericaNorth America
- 5,727 stores internationally5,727 stores internationally
4. Third Place
Experience
- Ideal for informal meeting and aIdeal for informal meeting and a
quiet moment away from the hubbubquiet moment away from the hubbub
of daily life.of daily life.
- Wi-Fi internet access in allWi-Fi internet access in all
stores makes it a place wherestores makes it a place where
customers can work.customers can work.
- Book and music eventsBook and music events
- โโCommunity centerโCommunity centerโ
6. SWOT - Strength
Strengths
โข Most recognizable brand in the specialty coffee
market
โข SBUX experience is unique
โข Howard Shultz is the barista to the world
โข Loyal customer base
โข Desirable store locations on the most desirable
corners of the planet
โข Earnings/Revenue/Profit growth
โข Affluent middle-class customers
โข Low advertising costs (< 1% of revenues)
7. SWOT - Weaknesses
Weaknesses
โข Sparse International presence (US centric)
โข Relatively low switching costs (customers can
easily switch where they buy their coffee)
โข Competitor growth in non-US markets
โข Perceived high priced items
โข Over expansion can lead to cannibalization and
weakened SBUX image
โข Health implications of coffee consumption still up
for debate
8. SWOT - Opportunities
Opportunities
โข Emerging market strategy (Brazil, China, India)
โข Expanding into higher margin food sales
(represents 22% of all sales)
โข New product offerings including energy drinks,
CDโs, health drinks and organic drinks
โข Expansion into the home brewing market
9. SWOT - Threats
Threats
โข Increasing competition (Dunkin Donuts,
McDonalds, Panera)
โข Increasing costs (higher coffee beans, labor, new
store openings): exposure to commodity price
fluctuation
โข Smaller private-owned local coffee houses
โข Coffee supply, distribution channel
11. Porter 5 Forces
Rivalry Among ExistingRivalry Among Existing
PlayersPlayers
โขHigh threat among existing playersHigh threat among existing players
โขThe inputs are fairlyThe inputs are fairly
undifferentiatedundifferentiated
12. Porter 5 Forces
Threat of SubstitutesThreat of Substitutes
โข Very high threat from substitutesVery high threat from substitutes
โข Many coffee drinkers considerMany coffee drinkers consider
tea, hot chocolate, and energytea, hot chocolate, and energy
drinks to be reasonable substitutesdrinks to be reasonable substitutes
for coffee.for coffee.
โข Additionally, customers canAdditionally, customers can
choose to brew their own coffeechoose to brew their own coffee
rather than buy it from a shop.rather than buy it from a shop.
13. Porter 5 Forces
Bargaining Power of SuppliersBargaining Power of Suppliers
โข Very low threat from SuppliersVery low threat from Suppliers
โข Inputs for the industry areInputs for the industry are
standard as opposed tostandard as opposed to
differentiateddifferentiated
โข SBUX can switch easily betweenSBUX can switch easily between
non-bean suppliers and suppliersnon-bean suppliers and suppliers
not locked into specific firmsnot locked into specific firms
14. Porter 5 Forces
Bargaining Power of BuyersBargaining Power of Buyers
โข There is a relatively low level ofThere is a relatively low level of
threat from the bargaining power ofthreat from the bargaining power of
buyers. There are a large number ofbuyers. There are a large number of
buyers with relatively smallbuyers with relatively small
purchases.purchases.
โข Customers do not face anyCustomers do not face any
significant switching costs whensignificant switching costs when
moving between coffee shopsmoving between coffee shops
15. Porter 5 Forces
Threat of New EntrantsThreat of New Entrants
โข Relatively low threat of newRelatively low threat of new
entrants because SBUX has a costentrants because SBUX has a cost
and performance advantage.and performance advantage.
โข SBUX is well-established and hasSBUX is well-established and has
already learned how to continuallyalready learned how to continually
lower costs and improvelower costs and improve
performance.performance.
19. Comparable Store
SalesYear to Date Financial Results
ย
ย
ย ย
Three Quarters Ended Jun 30, 2013
Comparable
Store Sales(1)
ย Sales Growth
ย Change in
Transactions
ย Change in
Ticket
Consolidated
ย 7 % ย
5 % ย 1 %
Americas
ย 7 % ย
5 % ย 2 %
Unitedย States
ย 8 % ย
6 % ย 2 %
EMEA
ย (1 )% ย
2 % ย (2 )%
CAP
ย 9 % ย
7 % ย 2 %
(1)
ย Includesย onlyย Starbucksย company-operatedย storesย openย 13ย monthsย orย longer.
20. Risk
Saturated marketSaturated market
โข Started with 17 coffee shops, currentlyStarted with 17 coffee shops, currently
19,209 in 44 countries. In Seattle there19,209 in 44 countries. In Seattle there
is one shop per 9,400 pplis one shop per 9,400 ppl
Rushed into Markets โ Cost capitalRushed into Markets โ Cost capital
โข Forced to shutdown stores in WesternForced to shutdown stores in Western
Europe due to high rents and slow retailEurope due to high rents and slow retail
outlet growthoutlet growth
International Markets made up 21% of companyโsInternational Markets made up 21% of companyโs
revenue.revenue.
21. Risks
Emerging Markets are unstable.
โข Retail growth unpredictable in these areas
โข Currency Markets remain unstable
โข Access to their Supplies/Products supply
chain could be jeopardized by political
and/or monetary disruptions.
22. Risks
McDonalds and Dunkinโ
Donuts
โข Both are marketing
to Starbucksโ
consumers
The Second Rise of the
Local Coffee Shops
โข Up and coming
generations are
moving back to local
over corporate.
23. Analyst Estimates
Growth Est SBUX Industry Sector S&P 500
Next 5 Years
(per annum)
19.78% 11.88% 15.01% 9.52%
Price/Earnings
(avg. for
comparison
categories)
34.68 29.83 20.22 15.99
PEG Ratio (avg.
for comp
categories)
1.75 1.95 1.87 1.65
Earnings per
Share
Current Qtr
Sep 13
0.46
Next Qtr
Dec 13
0.57
Current Year
Sep 13
2.22
Next Year
Sep 14
2.66
25. Key Financial
Metrics
Fiscal Year-End September
2012 Sales $13.30B
1-Year Sales Growth 13.67%
2012 Net Income 1.38B
1-Year Net Income Growth 11.09%
Total Assets $8.22B
Market Value $56.78B
Prescreen Score Low Risk
At the center of the five forces model about which SBUX must be aware is industry competition arising from the rivalries among existing firms. http://g.virbcdn.com/_f/files/24/FileItem-248845-BusinessAnalysisFinal.pdf
At the center of the five forces model about which SBUX must be aware is industry competition arising from the rivalries among existing firms. http://g.virbcdn.com/_f/files/24/FileItem-248845-BusinessAnalysisFinal.pdf
At the center of the five forces model about which SBUX must be aware is industry competition arising from the rivalries among existing firms. http://g.virbcdn.com/_f/files/24/FileItem-248845-BusinessAnalysisFinal.pdf
At the center of the five forces model about which SBUX must be aware is industry competition arising from the rivalries among existing firms. http://g.virbcdn.com/_f/files/24/FileItem-248845-BusinessAnalysisFinal.pdf
At the center of the five forces model about which SBUX must be aware is industry competition arising from the rivalries among existing firms. http://g.virbcdn.com/_f/files/24/FileItem-248845-BusinessAnalysisFinal.pdf
At the center of the five forces model about which SBUX must be aware is industry competition arising from the rivalries among existing firms. http://g.virbcdn.com/_f/files/24/FileItem-248845-BusinessAnalysisFinal.pdf
*Starbucks trades at 33 times trailing earnings. *Heavily tilted toward domestic market, but is growing in the international market (Brazil, India, China โ with a growing affluence, which are the kinds of customers Starbucks needs) *Investors must decide if the company can fend off the competition before investing. Will Starbucks' store environment and great-tasting coffee keep customers paying high prices, or will customers eventually go to Dunkin or McDonald's for lower-priced coffee? Dunkin *Reaches a different market but can siphon off some of Starbucks customers who do not want to pay $4 for a cup of coffee. *Extensive network of domestic stores McDonalds *poses a price threat *already has an extensive international network (something Starbucks hasnโ t built yet) to capture customers *advertises that $4 coffee is ridiculous, siphon off the cheaper customer *it is trying to increase its image as a place of more quality, which could be a threat to Starbucks (However, nobody is going to confuse McDonald's and Starbucks on the basis of quality; more likely, price-sensitive consumers will increasingly view McDonald's coffee as a viable substitute for Starbucks', while more affluent customers will not switch.)
Lena, et al I put in the graph showing Stock Price for Starbucks, courtesy of Yahoo F
Lena, et al I put in the graph showing Stock Price for Starbucks, courtesy of Yahoo F