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BIG BANKS & SMALL SAVERS 
A new path to profitability 
GAFIS Project Report 
December 2013
“Banks can—indeed must 
— be at the heart of any solution 
to the potentially 
destabilizing trend of 
social and economic 
inequality. 
With their access to capital markets, 
advanced technology, delivery 
systems and public oversight, banks 
offer a secure means for poor people to 
accumulate wealth that can bring greater 
economic security and social inclusion. 
But establishing the kind of accounts 
that poor and low-income 
savers often need—low 
minimum balance, high 
transaction rates and easy 
access—can be a significant 
challenge to profitability and 
sustainability.” 
Chris Page, Chair 
GAFIS Program Advisory Committee
GAFIS PROJECT REPORT | 1 
Contents 
Foreword ..............................................................................................................................2 
Introduction..........................................................................................................................3 
The report format.................................................................................................................5 
1. Fostering institutional change.........................................................................................6 
Drivers of institutional change.....................................................................................7 
Financial inclusion in context: who are the banks’ clients?.......................................9 
The structural shift: from margin to mainstream.....................................................10 
2. Building the business case for a low balance account................................................14 
Making low-balance accounts profitable..................................................................17 
3. Gateways as customer acquisition and “high-touch” channels.................................20 
Agents as a gateway for deposit taking.....................................................................23 
Effects on the business case: activation and activity ...............................................28 
4. How the poor save, informally and formally...............................................................30 
The role of the bank in the client savings portfolio..................................................32 
Conclusion: the journey to date and the way ahead.......................................................36 
Imagining Proposition 2.0..........................................................................................37 
The implications for other banks and financial service providers...........................38 
References .........................................................................................................................40 
Glossary...............................................................................................................................41 
GAFIS project structure .....................................................................................................41 
Annex A: GAFIS bank product features ...........................................................................42 
Annex B: Stylized account assumptions: Proposition 1.0 ..............................................43
• Our five partner banks—Bancolombia, 
BANSEFI (Mexico), Equity Bank (Kenya), 
ICICI Bank (India), and Standard Bank 
(South Africa)—have aggressively tested 
new approaches to attract and better serve 
poor savers. Candid and critical examina-tions 
2 | GAFIS PROJECT REPORT 
from the banks’ “champions” and 
managers informed each other and shaped 
the lessons and models reported here. 
• The conceptualization, project 
management, technical expertise and global 
experience brought to this 
assignment by the principals and field con-sultants 
of BFA has been of 
immense value. They have displayed 
unparalleled support for the partner banks 
while maintaining a clear and independent 
perspective on the project outcomes. 
• Members of the GAFIS Project Advisory 
Committee (see page 41) contributed 
diverse and valuable perspectives that 
helped to shape our strategic approach and 
assess progress through the project. 
• We all acknowledge the often demanding 
and complex administrative support 
provided by RPA Associate Tejas Shah. 
This report is a chronicle of our shared GAFIS 
experience. We hope, at the end, you share our 
optimism that opportunities exist to reduce barri-ers 
and reach new levels of financial inclusion. 
Chris Page, Senior Vice President 
Rockefeller Philanthropy Advisors, Inc. 
23 December 2013 
Foreword 
This report emerges at a time when public trust 
in key institutions, and banks in particular, is at a 
historic low, fueled by the recent global econom-ic 
crisis and the perception that reckless bank-ing 
practices were at fault. Such an assessment, 
however, obscures the broader issue of rising 
social and economic inequality in the world. It is 
estimated that less than 1% of the world’s popu-lation 
holds 41% of all its wealth. Meanwhile, just 
over two thirds control a mere 3% of all wealth 
and struggle to convert those assets into healthy, 
safe and productive lives. 
Banks can—indeed must—be at the heart of 
any solution to reverse this potentially destabiliz-ing 
trend. With their access to capital markets, 
advanced technology, delivery systems and 
public oversight, banks offer a secure means 
for poor people to accumulate wealth that can 
bring greater economic security and social inclu-sion. 
But establishing the kind of accounts that 
poor and low-income savers often need—low 
minimum balance, high transaction rates and 
easy access—can be a significant challenge to 
profitability and sustainability. 
As part of an ongoing commitment to increase 
access to financial services among the world’s 
poor, the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation gener-ously 
supported a four-year project (2010-2013), 
Gateway to Financial Innovations for Savings 
(GAFIS). Under the sponsorship of Rockefeller 
Philanthropy Advisors (RPA) and the manage-ment 
of Bankable Frontier Associates (BFA), 
GAFIS engaged five commercial banks in a quest 
to understand the factors that i) encourage or 
inhibit poor savers; ii) affect institutional capacity 
to serve them and; iii) contribute to a sustainable 
business model. 
For all of us, this has been a journey filled with 
fresh insights, remarkable vision, and exemplary 
commitment among all the participants.
Can large banks make low-balance accounts viable and profitable? 
above and analyze how banks could change the 
dynamic. GAFIS did so by identifying and then 
supporting financial institutions in designing 
and delivering savings products that are useful 
and accessible to the poor—and which deliver a 
sustainable business proposition. GAFIS worked 
with five leading banks —Bancolombia, 
BANSEFI (Mexico), Equity Bank (Kenya), ICICI 
Bank (India), and Standard Bank (South 
Africa)— that collectively hold more than $250 
billion in assets and serve more than 77 million 
customers. 
The GAFIS journey (from 2010 to 2013) is one 
mirrored in many banks around the world—a 
journey from traditional, old-fashioned and often 
exclusive banking practices, to 21st century, 
inclusive retail banking. We dub this the journey 
from banking Proposition 1.0 to Proposition 2.0 
(see Figure 1). The most advanced GAFIS banks 
are, at best, halfway through the journey, but the 
GAFIS findings and commitment to change 
inspire optimism that these oft-perceived “lum-bering 
giants” can compete head to head with 
more nimble, tech-savvy competitors and deliver 
new value to low-income clients. 
Introduction 
What would make low-income 
clients more likely to use bank 
accounts to save? 
How does the use of different 
channels influence the outcome 
for clients and banks? 
People with low and moderate incomes save in 
a variety of ways, as the seminal book, Portfo-lios 
of the Poor,1 has shown. One way is using 
a bank account. But the importance of a bank 
account in a personal or household savings port-folio 
varies greatly. Often, after some initial activ-ity, 
clients let bank accounts go dormant; other 
times, so long as the in-flow continues from 
employers or government, the recipients make 
one periodic withdrawal of all their funds, a 
pattern labeled “dump and pull.”2 Banks across 
the developing world encounter this low-balance 
account profile among the so called mass 
market of lower-income clients. 3 
The Gateway to Financial Innovations for Savings 
(GAFIS) project set out to answer the questions 
Proposition 1.0 
Targeted 
products on a 
pervasive platform 
Proposition 1.5 
Proposition 2.0 
Undifferentiated 
savings/transactional 
account 
Same basic savings 
products, but increasing 
dominance of agent 
channel 
Products and channels 
differentiated by 
client’s savings needs 
1. Collins et al (2009). 
2. That term is used inter alia in the description of South Africa’s Mzansi basic bank account (BFA 2009). 
3. See Findex Note 01, 2012: most formal account holders in developing economies say they deposit and/or 
withdraw in their account once or twice a month. 
GAFIS PROJECT REPORT | 3 
Figure 1: Big banks on the move 
—with new channels and new 
products 
Robust large 
scale agent 
networks
4 | 
Proposition 1.0 Proposition 1.5 Proposition 2.0 
Savings Account No major changes Flexible 
Peer learning, new analytical tools and external 
accountability all supported change 
management in each bank. 
One indicator has been the creation of new 
inclusive banking divisions within two of the 
banks, with bottom-line responsibility for clients 
in the inclusive segment. New products and 
channels are now managed in a more integrated 
fashion—with proactive CEO and board support. 
In total, more than 4 million new GAFIS-linked 
accounts have been opened during the project; 
and poor savers use more than 543,000 of these 
accounts.4 
Development of an agent channel to origi-nate 
and service accounts (Proposition 
1.5) sharply improves the business case. 
Even without changing the product offering, the 
deployment of agents who can originate new 
accounts and take deposits from clients radically 
improves the business case for banks by displac-ing 
more expensive branch-based transactions— 
reducing the net loss per account per month 
to -$1.02 (see Figure 5, page 30). The rollout of 
an agent channel is a necessary condition for a 
bank to sustain a mass account rollout, although 
it is not sufficient in itself (hence it represents 
only a half-step to Proposition 1.5). For the client, 
access to a convenient agent network makes 
it easier to deposit small sums as well as leave 
funds in the account until needed. 
Product Undifferentiated 
Traditional low-balance bank accounts 
(Proposition 1.0) are not close to 
profitable. Basic bank accounts are the work-horse 
product of retail banking today, but they 
often don’t work well for the bank or for the 
customer. For the bank, more than 80% of these 
accounts typically have too low a balance to be 
profitable on their own; and as many as 50% lie 
dormant. Applying full costs, the “stylized” basic 
bank account with a $30 balance loses the bank 
$2.79 each month (see Figure 2, page 15). With 
current cost structures, banks can only make a 
profit on these accounts if the balances exceed 
$800, a virtually unreachable average number 
across a large segment of lower income clients. 
Meanwhile, the customer often finds it incon-venient 
and costly to make small deposits or 
withdrawals through a bank branch structure. 
Structural and business model change 
precedes product innovation. Initially 
framed as an issue mainly of product innovation, 
improving the profitability of a basic account in 
fact demands innovation in service channels, 
internal structure and business model. Large 
banks foster strong internal competition for 
financial, human and IT resources. Marginal or 
experimental products aimed at inclusion are 
unlikely to succeed for long in the ongoing battle 
for resourcing. But external support from the 
GAFIS project helped to facilitate and buttress 
the development of new inclusive propositions. 
(subwallets) 
Dominant 
transaction 
channel 
Branch, ATMs Agents Mobile phone 
Marketing Bought or Required Also sold; 
with SMS outreach Mainly bought 
4. Note that the total opened reflects only accounts linked to the GAFIS project, listed later in Table 5. See Box A for GAFIS definition of ‘poor’. ‘Savers’ 
were account holders with a positive balance in a GAFIS-linked account designed with specific savings features or else exhibiting savings 
behavior of types defined in Section 4 within a general bank account. 
GAFIS PROJECT REPORT
| 5 
banks to identify potentially active clients, which 
in turn increases the odds of cross-selling other 
products. 
By analyzing transactional data from the banks, 
complemented by surveys and financial diaries 
of clients, GAFIS identified three different 
patterns of savings behavior—1) Spend down 
slowly; 2) Accumulate; 3) Preserve, which 
excludes other patterns not deemed savings 
(e.g. so-called “dump & pull”). Low-income 
clients today typically use informal products to 
undertake different types of savings because 
suitable bank products have not been available 
or accessible. Broadening formal savings options 
to support such a range of different types of 
savings behavior is an important goal of 
financial inclusion. 
Banks that shift toward Proposition 2.0 are more 
likely to endure and succeed as large retail banks 
in the 21st century. In fact, the process of learn-ing 
to serve low-income clients profitably with 
new, flexible products should enhance a bank’s 
ability to serve its mid- and upper-income clients 
cost effectively. In the process, this shift could 
change the face of large commercial and retail 
banking.5 
The report format 
This report tells the story of the combined jour-ney 
of the five GAFIS banks in the following way: 
Section 1 highlights the changes banks have 
made to their internal structures and processes 
The GAFIS banks now collectively report some 
25,000 agents, almost 10 times the number at the 
start of the project, and five times the number of 
their branches. GAFIS banks provide evidence 
that an agent channel can play a significant role 
in deposit mobilization for banks, not only in 
processing payments or withdrawals. Building 
a robust large scale agent channel is not easy, 
however. 
In addition to the agent channel, GAFIS banks 
are also starting to use new communication 
channels, sending out SMS messages with 
reminders, information and offers. While GAFIS 
banks’ use of SMS is still at an early stage, initial 
evidence suggests that these messages can 
stimulate higher activation rates in newly opened 
accounts, further improving the business case. 
At the same time, banks are battling with mobile 
operators—which are rapidly emerging as com-petitors 
for both agent channels and financial 
services—for what they consider fair pricing on 
channels used for transactional banking. 
The retail bank of the future (which 
embodies Proposition 2.0) combines 
new agent and mobile channels with new 
tailored and flexible products. A robust 
agent channel enables banks to focus on tailor-ing 
and targeting products to specific customer 
needs. GAFIS banks are starting to combine 
big data from their mass-market accounts with 
qualitative survey insights to better understand 
their low-income client bases. This data enables 
5. Note that the concept ‘Banking 2.0’ has been used to frame a wider version of this proposition—see for example Peric (2013); here we use the 
term ‘Proposition 2.0’ since the GAFIS framing comes from a more limited view, even if the implications are similar. 
GAFIS PROJECT REPORT
6 | 
During the last three years, all GAFIS banks have 
undergone considerable changes. All have expe-rienced 
high turnover in staff: as one indicator of 
this, only one bank had the same executive-level 
GAFIS project champion at the end as at the 
beginning; and only two the same project 
manager. Similarly, only two banks had the same 
CEO in 2013 as in 2009. A high level of staff turn-over 
at all levels reflects, in some of the banks, 
restructuring in response to market pressures; 
and in others, strong competition for formal 
banking skills in the wider financial sector. 
While change in staff has been a common fac-tor, 
the GAFIS banks (see Table 1) fit into three 
categories based on different starting points and 
drivers regarding financial inclusion: 
State owned bank: BANSEFI of Mexico has a 
direct mandate to provide financial services to 
the poor; 
Retail focused bank: Equity Bank of Kenya is 
a multi-channel but mainly single-market retail 
bank that has grown rapidly over the past decade 
from its roots as a small building society to 
become by far the largest retail bank (by number 
of customers) in Kenya; 
Commercial banking groups: Bancolombia, 
ICICI Bank and Standard Bank are large, multi-channel, 
multi-segment banking groups offering 
a comprehensive range of products and services 
across corporate, commercial and retail markets. 
Across these clusters, the institutional change 
observed during GAFIS has been most striking 
among the latter group of large commercial 
banks, where the change process is often 
most complex. 
to address the low-income market in a 
meaningful way, and how they define 
institutional success. 
Section 2 analyzes the business case for typical 
bank accounts, using a model stylized across 
GAFIS banks to show why Proposition 1.0 
accounts are unprofitable, and paths to 
improvement. 
Section 3 describes the emergence of new 
agent channels, their role in account acquisi-tion, 
activation and deposit mobilization—and 
how the new cost structure radically improves 
the business case for low-balance accounts. 
Section 4 looks at demand, examines how 
bank savings fit into low-income client 
portfolios, how banks are using big data and 
customer surveys to deepen their understand-ing 
of client needs, and how this can inform 
value propositions for low-income clients. 
The Conclusion looks ahead to the coming era 
of Proposition 2.0, when new channels deliver 
new products to new, poor savers. 
1. Fostering 
Institutional Change 
GAFIS PROJECT REPORT
| 7 
Country Colombia Mexico Kenya India South Africa 
Ownership Private Public Private Private Private 
Assets 
$ billion 44 2 3 91 100 
Rank in 
country 
1 27 3 2 1 
(by assets) 
Branches 1,002 493 159 3,350 619 
Customers 7m 12m 7m 40m 11m 
ROE 12.1% 5.7% 31% 12.9% 18.5% 
Market cap 
$ billion $12.1 N/A $1.5 $18.7 $19.2 
Source: Bank financial statements, BFA analysis on most recent year end, mainly 2013. 
was formalized in 2012 as a code that would 
hold all financial sector players, including 
banks, accountable for their efforts to pro-mote 
black economic empowerment. These 
requirements for private players are different 
from the clear public mandate that BANSEFI 
carries as a state bank in Mexico to serve 
remote areas and underserved people. 
• Regulatory compliance pressures are also 
growing. In part as a reaction to the global 
financial crisis of 2008, most countries have 
been designing tighter regulations. The 
Basel 3 Accord is now being implemented in 
three of the GAFIS countries with potential 
implications for savings products (described 
further in the Business Case section below). 
The greater emphasis on regulatory compli-ance 
among major banks can absorb scarce 
executive bandwidth and curb banks’ 
Drivers of institutional change 
Powerful underlying forces have been driving 
profound changes in retail banks worldwide over 
the past decade or more: 
• Government mandates to promote financial 
inclusion are expanding. All the countries 
in which GAFIS banks are represented now 
explicitly aim to promote financial inclusion 
as a national policy objective,6 although 
only India has an explicit policy of directly 
mandating the involvement of private banks 
in defined segments (for lending). ICICI 
Bank was first requested to deliver a three-year 
financial inclusion strategy containing 
detailed targets for deposit accounts with 
Indian bank regulators in 2010, and this plan 
was updated in 2013. In South Africa, the 
Financial Sector Charter, first developed 
as a voluntary industry agreement in 2003, 
Table 1: 
GAFIS Partner 
Banks 
6. The regulators in all five GAFIS countries are signatories of the Maya Declaration in which they commit to specific actions to promote inclusion: 
see http://www.afi-global.org/maya-declaration. 
GAFIS PROJECT REPORT
8 | 
In short, these drivers are changing the way 
banks do business, especially at the low end of 
the market. Banks must innovate, but financial 
inclusion can be a double-edged sword: Offer-ing 
the promise of growth in countries where tra-ditional 
middle and upper retail banking markets 
are considered saturated, combined with the 
threat of regulatory or political disruption to their 
business models if left unaddressed. 
appetite for risk and innovation. 
• The concept of “financial citizenship” is 
taking root. The global financial crisis, to-gether 
with other bank-related scandals, has 
challenged the legitimacy of large banks and 
the notion that they play a beneficial role in 
society. 
• Competition from outside the banking 
industry is growing. Perhaps most signifi-cantly 
for the GAFIS banks, technology and 
regulatory changes have unleashed new 
competition for their traditional client 
markets. Equity Bank has faced fierce 
competition from Safaricom’s M-PESA, the 
world’s leading mobile-money service, fo-cused 
on P2P transfers. Competition height-ened 
further with the launch in 2012 of Sa-faricom’s 
M-Shwari savings account (issued 
by a local bank far smaller in retail pres-ence 
than Equity), which also offers clients 
access to small loans. Standard Bank and 
Bancolombia have both seen smaller, more 
nimble competitors, such as Capitec Bank 
or Daviplata, respectively, make inroads into 
traditional retail banking space. In India, the 
regulator plans to license new banks, and 
continues to consider telco-driven mobile 
money solutions, in part to encourage more 
competition in retail banking. Even BANSEFI 
faces the possibility that its current exclusive 
distribution of paying the Oportunidades 
G2P scheme could end in the future. 
GAFIS PROJECT REPORT
| 9 
Table 2: Proportion of mass market clients considered poor according to different metrics 
Country Colombia India Kenya Mexico South Africa 
GDP pc PPP, 
2012 (WDI) $10,587 $3,876 $1,761 $16,731 $11,440 
% of adults 
with a formal 
account 
30% 35% 42% 27% 54% 
(Findex 2011) 
GAFIS banks: Share of mass market clients below: 
Segment 
measured 
Mass market 
(“Personal”) N/A Mass market 
(“Ordinary”) 
Sources: * Banks: GAFIS surveys. Note: Results for ICICI Bank are not shown because the GAFIS baseline 
did not survey the actual client base; for Bancolombia and Standard Bank, the customers measured were 
intentionally the “lower” socioeconomic part of the respective mass markets. 
with a sizable proportion of poor and near poor. 
Such a high proportion is to be expected for a 
state bank like BANSEFI, which specializes in 
government transfers, but even among large 
commercial banks’ mass market segments 
the proportion of poor customers ranges from 
39-70%, according to the locally defined poverty 
line (see Box A below for the GAFIS definitions 
of poverty). If near-poor customers are included, 
the proportion rises to 57-79%.8 
For banks, basic transactional and savings prod-ucts 
have cast the net widely, in the hope that 
some features (such as salary deposit) may 
Financial inclusion in context: 
Who are the banks’ clients? 
The level of formal banking penetration varies 
across GAFIS countries (see Table 2). In South 
Africa, more than half of adults have bank 
accounts, while in Colombia, Mexico and India 
the proportion of poor clients is more in the 
30-40% range. The Kenyan percentage of 42% 
includes a large proportion of non-bank mobile 
wallets that constitute significant competition 
to banks; adults with bank accounts are likely 
closer to 29%.7 
The client bases of GAFIS banks are diverse, 
7. FinAccess National Survey, 2013 
8. “Near poor” is defined here as 25% above the national poverty line (see Box A). 
G2P 
recipients 
Mass market 
(“Inclusive”) 
National 
poverty line* 39% N/A 47% 92% 70% 
$2 PPP/day* 0% N/A 25% 46% 28% 
GAFIS PROJECT REPORT
10 | 
(due to privacy restrictions). 
In Mexico, the GAFIS-supported clients are 
recipients of a major government program 
(Oportunidades), which applies poverty target-ing; 
and in India, a means test is applied by 
ICICI Bank’s agent network partner (CASHPOR), 
which ensures all clients are “poor.” 
The structural shift: from margin 
to mainstream 
For banks, innovation is a complex and multi-faceted 
process involving changes in resourc-ing, 
structure and systems. Innovators have to 
compete aggressively for resources with other 
departments. 
The three GAFIS commercial banks have all ad-opted 
different approaches to the challenge of in-novating 
within a large institution, a process well 
described in Kosta Peric’s book, The Castle and 
the Sandbox (2012). As the leader of SWIFT’s 
Innotribe project to stimulate innovation in the 
SWIFT community of banks, Peric uses the im-age 
of the “castle” to depict an existing business 
such as (but not limited to) a large bank. These 
businesses have constructed elaborate systems 
and procedures as part of their success as “con-servative 
companies in established industries” 
(part of the book’s subtitle). These systems are 
often designed to withstand risk and change; to 
innovate, they need to establish “sandboxes,” or 
incubators, outside of the castle walls in which 
open approaches to innovation can be tested. 
Standard Bank has a long history of trying 
different approaches to what it used to call the 
mass market (see Box B ). In 2007, the Bank set 
up a “sandbox” in the form of a dedicated Com-munity 
Banking team outside of the retail bank, 
ultimately increase usage and that the financial 
service needs of some clients will grow with 
their income over time. The starting point 
for these partner banks mirrors that of 
commercial banks in many countries of the 
developing world. 
Box A: GAFIS definition of poverty 
Poverty lines are cut-off points separating the 
poor from the non-poor, and there are a variety 
of ways to measure them. In the GAFIS project, 
in most countries, BFA implemented both a 
baseline survey to understand the needs of poor 
clients and also an endline survey to measure the 
profile of new client bases. 
To identify poor clients, GAFIS used national 
poverty lines specific to each country, viz.: 
• Colombia, COP 202,083 ($107) per capita, 
per month 
• South Africa, ZAR 762 ($76) per capita, 
per month 
• Kenya, KES 9,526 ($112) in urban areas and 
KES 4,456 ($52) in rural areas 
(monthly per capita). 
Whenever possible, consumption measures 
were preferred over income measures, as they 
are typically superior indicators of well being, 
smoothing for income fluctuations over the 
year. For Kenya and South Africa, for example, 
monthly household expenditure was estimated 
by aggregating reported expenses for various 
household categories. In Colombia, while a simi-lar 
method was used for the baseline survey, an 
income measure was used in the endline survey 
(from the National Statistics Office in 2012), as 
this was deemed the most reliable method based 
on limited available access to existing customers 
GAFIS PROJECT REPORT
| 11 
Banking (CB). CB was to focus on developing in-novative 
ways of better serving the lower-income 
segment. An important part was agent outreach: 
For the first time, recruiting local merchants as 
Standard Bank agents in the communities where 
lower-income segments lived and often worked. 
It was essentially a “sandbox” experiment in 
terms of bank strategy and operational structure. 
GAFIS started its work with SBSA at this stage. 
In 2010, as part of a general bank-wide restruc-turing 
driven by cost cutting, Standard Bank 
integrated the Community Banking team as the 
kernel of a new “Inclusive Banking” division. 
This segment has responsibility for all bank 
products, savings and loans, offered to the mass 
market, which covers 70% of all the Bank’s cus-tomers 
(those earning up to $800 
per month). 
The Inclusive Banking group was now required 
to migrate all its accounts to the bank’s new SAP 
core banking system and all marketing efforts 
had to conform to long-established group stan-dards. 
New product development was temporar-ily 
frozen during this transition and most of the 
original Community Banking team left the bank. 
The “sandbox” had been relocated into the 
“castle,” which restricted its freedom to innovate 
in the same ways. However, a new leader took 
over in 2011, with accountability for the bottom-line 
contribution of this large segment to the 
retail bank’s profitability. She was able to make 
the internal case for resources, rolling out a new 
suite of “Access” products in 2012. There was 
also a mass rollout of around 7,500 agents, many 
which reported to the investment bank respon-sible 
for new products. Led by a non-banker, 
the team experimented with the bank’s first 
deployment of agents, now called Access Points 
(previously called Bank Shops), and with mobile 
banking products separate from the bank’s core 
banking system. 
Box B: From “the sandbox to the castle”: 
Integrating financial inclusion into 
Standard Bank’s core strategy 
As one of the oldest and largest retail banks in 
South Africa, Standard Bank has a long history 
of outreach to what it used to call the “mass 
market” segment. Beginning in the 1990s, as 
apartheid crumbled, Standard Bank actively tried 
different approaches to become more inclusive. 
One of its first attempts was to create a new ring-fenced 
bank, E-Bank, which evolved into E-Plan, 
a transactional and savings product offered as 
part of the main retail banking operations. This 
became SBSA’s core deposit account offering 
for the lower rungs of the formally employed 
and salaried segment, serving around half of all 
SBSA retail bank customers. In 2004, SBSA, to-gether 
with the other large South African banks, 
launched the Mzansi basic bank account, aimed 
at low-income “informal” workers, using largely 
ATM channels. Although the bank met its targets 
for opening Mzansi accounts, this new product 
was a mixed success in that there was little activ-ity 
in the accounts compared to E-Plan. Mzansi 
lacked an accessible channel to appropriately 
serve this target market. 
In 2007, SBSA formed a new unit outside of 
its retail banking structures called Community 
GAFIS PROJECT REPORT
12 | 
systems, which also led to freezes in product 
development and ultimately delayed the rollout 
of the bank’s new mobile-only product called 
Ahorro a la Mano (ALM). With GAFIS support, 
Bancolombia invested heavily in technological 
adjustments to accommodate the ALM innova-tions 
of over-the-air account opening through 
mobile and cardless ATM transactions. 
ICICI Bank’s organizational structure to 
manage the lower-income segments has not 
changed as profoundly in this period. The Rural 
and Inclusive Banking Group (RIBG), headed 
by a Senior General Manager reporting directly 
to the Executive Director in charge of all Retail 
Banking, already existed and continues to be the 
line unit responsible for implementing the bank’s 
financial inclusion strategy. RIBG is now revenue 
generating and, while initially focused primar-ily 
on opening new accounts, is now actively 
promoting greater usage of opened accounts, in 
part based on experience with its Apna accounts 
(supported by GAFIS). 
located in peri-urban and lower-income areas 
where there are no bank branches. Inclusive 
Banking managed to win internal approval for 
new above-the-line and below-the-line market-ing 
approaches, including TV and radio 
mini-soap operas and guerrilla marketing (pic-ture 
on prior page). The Inclusive Banking divi-sion 
is now seen as integral to Standard’s retail 
bank—a core part of the redesigned “castle.” 
Bancolombia arrived at the same outcome via 
a different route. After initially addressing inclu-sion- 
related issues on a project basis, in 2012, 
Bancolombia set up a dedicated financial inclu-sion 
unit reporting to the head of the retail bank. 
The adoption of financial inclusion as one of the 
bank-wide strategic priorities under its new CEO 
in 2011 required a redesign of the “castle.” 
The new strategy brought a big paradigm shift. 
In the past, low-balance accounts were con-sidered 
a problem to be solved, rather than an 
opportunity to be pursued. This change occurred 
at the same time as a transition in core banking 
GAFIS PROJECT REPORT
| 13 
marked in structural terms in part because the 
internal structures of this smaller retail-focused 
bank were simpler at the outset, the Bank was 
already focused on moderate income Kenyans, 
and also because their IT systems were more 
recently implemented. As a result, they could 
accommodate changes in channel and prod-uct 
more easily. From the sometimes envious 
perspective of the larger commercial banks, 
Equity’s “castle” often looked during GAFIS 
more like a “sandbox” in terms of its flexibility 
and ability to embrace rapid change. However, 
while the smallest of the GAFIS private banks by 
assets, Equity is the fastest growing: from around 
250,000 customers 10 years ago to around 7 mil-lion 
today. It is also the most profitable measured 
by return on equity (see Table 1 on page 7). 
Equity demonstrates to larger banks the poten-tial 
of a focused model, even in a competitive 
domestic environment. However, such rapid 
growth places inevitable pressure on organi-zational 
capacity and even culture, as the staff 
changes. By 2010, Equity senior management 
introduced changes to reorient its branch and 
operational managers to serve its lower-income 
segment in the face of strong competition. It has 
also had to manage the rollout of a new agent 
channel, with substantial resource allocation 
prioritized by the CEO. With GAFIS support, the 
Bank established a new Research unit compris-ing 
a half-dozen full-time employees focused on 
understanding the financial needs and patterns 
of the “common Kenyan.” 
Originally, the financial inclusion accounts 
offered by RIBG were hosted on a separate 
version of its core banking system, in order to 
handle large volume small-value transactions. 
As a result, these accounts were not connected 
electronically with the bank’s mainstream retail 
channels. Off-line transactions were primarily 
handled by agents (Business Correspondents, 
or BCs). However, in 2012, ICICI began to en-able 
the financial inclusion accounts to access 
the same functionalities as accounts on the 
mainstream core banking system. For example, 
domestic remittances can now flow directly into 
the GAFIS-supported (CASHPOR) Apna savings 
account from outside (see picture above). This 
IT-specific change underlines the process of 
mainstreaming of the inclusion segment within 
ICICI’s “castle.” 
In all these three large banks, there is now a 
well-resourced line department, headed by a 
senior manager and reporting directly to a senior 
executive in charge of the retail bank. These 
departments are also responsible for bottom-line 
financial results, measured on the same indica-tors 
as other mainstream bank departments: 
headline earnings, economic profits and return 
on equity. Importantly, these inclusive banking 
units all integrate segment, product and agent 
channel responsibility in one group. This integra-tion 
enables the banks to manage better the of-fering 
of products through their agent channels. 
Equity Bank has also undergone profound 
changes. However, Equity’s changes were less 
GAFIS PROJECT REPORT
14 | 
The GAFIS banks differ substantially in how they 
measure costs. Only one bank undertakes full 
activity-based costing, while the others generally 
use hybrid-costing variants to assign transaction 
costs to each service channel. Rather than simply 
average out the (sometimes extreme) differences 
among them, the GAFIS project developed a styl-ized 
financial model of a (Proposition 1.0) typical 
bank account, based on the profile of fees, costs 
and usage that depicts the general case across 
GAFIS banks (see Figure 2).10 
Note that the “ACTA” model allows for dormancy 
as a cost of (A)ccounts, since the median dor-mancy 
rate across basic accounts was around 
50% (with a range of 20% to 80%, depending in 
part how dormancy is defined). Costs to open 
accounts that subsequently go dormant are sub-stantial. 
Adjacencies in the stylized model did not 
include any cross-sell, since the evidence of this 
happening at large scale was limited. The net 
result, shown in red (in Figure 2), is the proposi-tion 
that a stylized account with a $30 balance 
and three transactions per month may lose the 
bank $2.79 per month. 
2. Building the business case for a 
low balance account 
Do banks make money offering low-balance 
accounts? The short answer today is no, but it 
does depend on how one defines and measures 
‘making money’.9 In this section, we apply the 
“ACTA” framework, developed by the Bill & 
Melinda Gates Foundation in 2013, to address the 
question of profitability of low-balance accounts 
in GAFIS banks (see Box C). 
Box C: The “ACTA” framework for 
assessing account profitability 
In 2013, the Financial Services for the Poor team 
at the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation published 
a report called Fighting Poverty through 
Payments, which frames a way of categorizing 
the components of bank account profitability. 
The framework recognizes four possible sources 
of profitability from a financial account: 
• (A)ccount. Revenues include fees charged 
on the account itself less indirect costs such 
as maintaining the account on a core IT 
system and amortized cost of opening an 
account; 
• (C)ash handling. Revenues include fees 
for cash-in, cash-out (CICO) transactions 
(whether ATM, branch or agent) less the 
channel costs to process these cash-handling 
transactions; 
• (T)ransactional. Revenues for other elec-tronic 
transactions, whether charged to 
client or to another, (e.g., a corporate payee 
of bill payments from the account); and 
• (A)djacencies. Income earned on the 
deposit float at a bank, as well as cross-sell, 
up-sell accounts. 
9. GAFIS Focus Note 3, available on www.gafis.net, identified five 
different levels at which the business case was made for banks to 
introduce or sustain a product or segment. 
10. To see the math calculations behind Figure 2, see Annex B. 
GAFIS PROJECT REPORT
| 15 
Figure 2: Profitability for a Proposition 1.0 bank account (with $30 balance) 
A C T A Net 
the value, hence generating most of the adjacen-cy 
float income. For Standard Bank’s AccessSave, 
balances are even more concentrated. Only the 
top 14% of account holders have balances above 
$25, with an average balance of $350, which 
represents 98% of total portfolio balance. But, 
86% of opened accounts (including those even-tually 
closed by the bank for non-activity) have 
balances under $25, with an average of under $2, 
very small even relative to monthly expenditures 
in poor households. Other GAFIS banks show 
similar dynamics depending on the breadth of 
the market served. This skewed distribution 
dramatically affects overall adjacency income 
received on the float. 
As shown in Figure 3, the highest average 
balance in a GAFIS account category is 
Standard Bank’s $151, for its AccessSave ac-count, 
followed closely by Equity Bank’s $135 for 
its Jijenge and School Fees accounts. Bancolom-bia 
and Standard Bank figures reflect high ratios 
of zero-balance accounts (a median of $0 for 
each). ICICI Bank’s figures reflect a relatively flat 
spread among its accountholders, with no 
non-poor higher balances to bring up the 
average or median. 
-1.53 -1.43 
0.50 
0.00 
-0.50 
-1.00 
-1.50 
-2.00 
-2.50 
The GAFIS stylized model above reflects a “TA” 
model in ACTA terms: (T)ransactions and 
(A)djacencies make small but positive contribu-tions 
but (A)ccount and (C)ash-handling costs 
overwhelm these minor positive gains. In fact, 
in some banks, high branch fees discourage 
customers from transacting at the branch, and 
they turn to ATMs (for withdrawals). To the 
extent that banks can charge adequately for ATM 
withdrawals, profits on cash-handling revenues 
can become an important part of the business 
model, although usually not sufficient to offset 
the large loss in the (A)ccount category. 
In the traditional business model for a basic 
Proposition 1.0 account, a big issue is that 
the float income (counted under (A)djacen-cies) 
from the $30 balance falls far short of the 
amount needed to cover relatively high costs 
(reflected in the small $0.11 in Figure 2); indeed, 
it would take an average balance $800 higher, all 
else equal, for the account to break even. This is 
far out of reach for most low-balance accounts 
(see Figure 3). 
In practice, savings balances vary greatly across 
a portfolio of accounts. Typically, 20% (or less) of 
the accounts carry more than 80% (or more) of 
0.07 0.11 
-3.00 -2.79 
Net profit per account per month 
Source: see Annex B 
GAFIS PROJECT REPORT
16 | 
Figure 3: Balance levels across GAFIS banks for GAFIS-supported products 
(positive balance accounts only) 
license of the bank to pursue other lucrative lines 
of business. 
The stylized model also does not value pos-sible 
income growth of the customer over time. 
Equity Bank, for example, explicitly speaks of 
“growing with its customers,” and can point to 
high-income clients today who opened Equity 
accounts when they were quite poor. Thus, large 
banks with a strong emerging customer seg-ment 
represent a kind of portfolio option on the 
growth of this segment. 
While these strategic considerations certainly 
can improve the overall business case for offer-ing 
low-balance accounts, the underlying issue 
remains: Until the inclusive customer segment 
is perceived as profitable, banks will struggle to 
justify internal resource allocation. Because of 
the sheer numbers involved, banks will be vul-nerable 
to more focused competitors who can 
cherry-pick profitable segments. 
Source: GAFIS banks 
ICICI’s 
Apna- 
Cashpor 
Bancolombia’s 
Ahorro a la 
Mano 
A common business case concern with pursu-ing 
the business of low income clients is that the 
bank’s overall average balance is likely to fall; or, 
at worst, the lucrative “20%” of higher income 
clients may be driven away by poor service as 
the result of overcrowded branches, ATMs or call 
centers. 
One clear implication for the business case in a 
Proposition 1.0 world is that a savings product 
aimed exclusively at low-income people (for 
example, at the extreme, a product which sets 
low absolute caps on balances or otherwise 
excludes the non-poor) may be destined to fail. 
This simple framework does not capture the 
strategic financial or non-financial adjacency 
benefits that banks may receive from these ac-counts. 
For example, banks may earn additional 
business from government or corporates and, if 
regulatory compliance requires this, then offer-ing 
loss-making products cross-subsidizes the 
Equity’s 
Jijenge & School 
Fees 
Standard’s 
AccessSave 
BANSEFI’s 
G2P 
GAFIS PROJECT REPORT
| 17 
Bancolombia has recently done this with its 
new product (see Box D). Standard Bank has 
also revised its costing approach so that a higher 
proportion of allocation is based on transactional 
profile, not on the existence of an account which 
would penalize less active low-balance accounts. 
Box D: Bancolombia modifies its 
costing approach 
Bancolombia’s costing model is considered 
the most advanced among the GAFIS banks. In 
generating monthly income statements for each 
client segment, product portfolio and banking 
channel, the bank uses a full activity-based cost-ing 
approach to address how to allocate fixed 
overhead costs to products and divisions, a cen-tral 
facet of bank costing models. The portfolio-level 
view captures variable channel costs linked 
to customer transaction volumes as well as 
fixed costs allocated to product lines, including 
a monthly amortized origination expense per 
account. Bancolombia classifies each client as 
profitable, unprofitable or break-even based on 
his or her total contribution across all products at 
the bank. 
During the GAFIS-supported development of 
Ahorro a la mano (ALM), a cardless product that 
uses only mobile phones to transact, the bank 
realized that the existing cost allocations would 
burden the new product with unrelated expens-es. 
Previously, Bancolombia had not differenti-ated 
customer acquisition and servicing costs by 
channel, since the majority of customers opened 
accounts at bank branches. However, ALM’s 
reliance on over-the-air account opening meant 
Making low-balance accounts profitable 
If the typical basic bank account is not profit-able 
on its own, what are GAFIS banks doing 
about it? A number of strategies can be used to 
improve the business case: 
Adjust costing methodology where 
appropriate. Among GAFIS banks, there is no 
correlation between the rigor of costing models 
and the bank’s overall profitability, nor with 
the effectiveness of its outreach to low-income 
people. In fact, the banks vary widely in their 
level of financial analysis. At one extreme, the 
monthly profit-and-loss position is prepared at 
the level of each individual customer (based on 
regularly adjusted activity-based costing). At the 
other, some banks initially did little or no product 
or segment-level analysis (with no associated 
channel or product-level costing), though GAFIS 
subsequently supported some such costing 
development. Others fall in between, preparing 
portfolio-level profitability, based on some chan-nel 
or transactional benchmarks. 
All bank costing methodologies involve choices 
with consequences for ex ante decision making, 
as well as ex post measurement of outcomes. 
Examples include the treatment of fixed (or 
indirect) costs. Such costs—if truly fixed—are 
arguably less relevant (even irrelevant) in 
decision-making during time horizons less than 
or equal to the time such costs are indeed fixed. 
These discretional elements need to be aligned 
with the long-term strategy of the bank, such that 
the costing model provides relevant information 
to inform decision-making about where to invest 
resources and how to incentivize stakeholders. 
GAFIS PROJECT REPORT
18 | 
Fixed costs of deployment are lower for agents 
while variable costs (commission) are higher, 
hence the agent channel comparative advan-tage 
may be as much about strategic flexibility 
in growing physical footprint (quick set-up 
with low/nil sunk costs) as lower unit costs. 
• Account origination. Whereas branch 
origination costs among GAFIS banks range 
from $15 to more than $25, depending on 
marketing allocations, agent origination 
costs range from $1 to $6, depending on 
commissions and overhead allocation. 
Note that agent channels are usually not expect-ed 
to be profitable in their own right: Leading 
models do not charge the client to deposit, while 
the agent expects a commission. If the client 
merely deposits more at the agent channel with-out 
decreasing branch activity, then the business 
case may even be weakened, unless balances or 
fee-earning transactions (such as ATM withdraw-als 
or electronic payments) increase as a result. 
Increase revenue from e-transactions on 
either or both sides of a payment. Some 
transaction types, such as government benefits 
or remittances, involve an electronic credit into 
an account. This has two effects on the business 
case. First, the e-credit may displace the need for 
it would draw substantially less, if at all, upon the 
bank’s sales force and related platforms. Banco-lombia 
therefore re-calculated a lower monthly 
unit cost for ALM accounts opened remotely 
and serviced (for CICO) off-site at agents or 
at an ATM without a card. This cost reduction 
improved the business case for the new prod-uct, 
and for offering savings and transactional 
products to lower-income segments in Colombia 
in general. 
Use agent channels to reduce origination 
and cash-handling costs. Because most 
GAFIS banks have deployed agents only recently 
on a widespread basis, their costing approaches 
for agent transactions vary more widely than for 
more established channels like ATMs or branch-es. 
Nevertheless, it is possible to represent the 
stylized effect of agent channels on the account 
profitability calculation as follows: 
• Cash-handling (deposits and withdrawals). 
The cost of a deposit or withdrawal at an agent 
depends on the commission paid, which is 
typically less than $0.50 and may be as low as 
$0.10. The cost is as low as a fifth of the cost of 
a branch-teller transaction. While the cost may 
not be cheaper than an ATM withdrawal trans-action, 
the composition of costs is different. 
GAFIS PROJECT REPORT
| 19 
able for the bank. As explained in more depth 
elsewhere,11 the effect of Basel 3 across GAFIS 
banks is likely to vary widely, depending on their 
balance sheet structure. For South African banks, 
which have relied more on wholesale deposits to 
fund their assets, the effects of Basel 3 may make 
retail savings more attractive. This may increase 
the internal float rate paid by the bank Treasury 
for retail savings relative to corporate deposits 
(thus increasing this adjacency income to the 
segment even at the same balance level). But 
this effect may also be countered somewhat as 
banks also bid up interest rates paid to custom-ers 
to compete for retail savers, a direct cost to 
the segment. 
A combination of reducing costs of origination 
and cash handling, combined with more income 
(and lower costs) from electronic transactions 
and higher average balances in the bank, will 
start to improve the business case of basic bank 
accounts. This is especially true when costing 
methodology is aligned to the long-term strategy 
in this segment. In practice, all GAFIS banks are 
attempting a range of initiatives to address vari-ous 
aspects of the ACTA framework (see Table 
3). However, to realize this new vision, banks 
need to reinvent the channels, or gateways, 
through which they transact with clients. 
the recipient to make more expensive branch or 
agent cash deposits into the account. Second, 
the bank may earn additional revenue from fees 
charged to the payer (such as employer or gov-ernment) 
for sending the money to the payee’s 
account. Since the payee does not pay for this 
inflow, these flows are treated here as a type 
of adjacency of revenue from the broader 
ecosystem in which the account holder lives 
and works. 
Exploit cross-sell adjacencies. Most GAFIS 
banks consider cross-selling of other products, 
especially loans, as an important part of their 
strategy. One bank in particular has an explicit 
target of doubling the number of bank products 
used per client during the next five years. Yet few 
have to date cross-sold other products to low 
income account holders on a consistent basis. 
Value additional ‘adjacencies’. Three GAFIS 
banks are in countries where Basel 3 regulations 
affecting banks were implemented in 2013— 
India, Mexico and South Africa. Some of these 
new rules may have an effect on the business 
case for retail savings. Specifically, new liquidity 
requirements will require banks to better match 
the liquidity profile of their assets and liabilities. 
Since retail deposits are seen as more diversi-fied 
and stable than wholesale deposits, they are 
weighted more highly than before in coverage 
calculation and therefore become more desir- 
11. See AFI blog post: http://www.afi-global.org/opinion/2013/5/21/porteous-implementing-basel-iii-what-will-it-mean-future-financial-inclusion. 
GAFIS PROJECT REPORT
20 | 
Table 3: GAFIS banks’ diverse efforts to promote account-level profitability 
accounts to recipients of various government 
or donor programs. ICICI Bank was one of the 
first private Indian banks to be accredited to pay 
out Indian government cash transfer schemes in 
various states. 
Many banks have seen this approach as a safe re-tail 
strategy to serve low-income customers in a 
limited way, since it ensures a regular inflow into 
the account and a regular fee from the payer. If 
that fee is high enough, or if the bank is able to 
charge the client enough for the cash withdrawal 
(though typically not allowed for G2P), these 
accounts can be an attractive proposition, even 
with very low balances. 
Indeed, GAFIS’ original intent was to promote 
additional savings behavior arising from such 
natural gateways—to move beyond the domi-nant 
pattern for G2P of “dump & pull” behavior 
“A” 
(Account) 
3. Gateways as customer acquisi-tion 
and “high-touch” channels 
Traditionally, a bank savings account has been 
regarded as a “bought” product, in that the 
customer chose when and where to open the ac-count 
(although their choice of bank may have 
been influenced by corporate marketing). 
A major exception is when bank accounts are 
required to receive payment flows; for example, 
when a government agency or employer re-quires 
a recipient to open an account if 
s/he wishes to receive the money due. Opor-tunidades 
recipients in Mexico are required to 
open BANSEFI accounts to receive their benefits. 
For BANSEFI, paying conditional cash transfers 
(CCTs, a form of G2P) for the Mexican govern-ment 
is a core business. At the start of GAFIS, 
Standard Bank and Equity Bank already provided 
“C” 
(Cash handling) 
“T” 
(Transactional) 
“A” 
(Adjacency) 
Bancolombia 
Lowering origination 
& maintenance costs 
(agent, mobile, 
cardless platforms) 
Shifting CICO to 
agents or ATM 
Encouraging e-debits, 
via mobile 
Incentivizing balance 
growth & product 
cross-sell w/ insurance 
feature & tiered inter-est 
rates 
BANSEFI 
Lowering origination 
costs (scale of G2P 
mandates) 
Shifting CICO to 
agents 
G2P fees earned from 
delivering e-credits Encouraging cross-sell 
of billpay 
Equity Bank 
Lowering origination 
costs (agent 
channels); aligning 
costing methodology 
Shifting CICO to 
agents 
Encouraging e-debits, 
via mobile (Ordinary 
a/c, not “pure” savings 
accounts) 
Incentivizing balance 
growth & relationship 
deepening eventually 
leads to cross-sell 
ICICI Bank 
Lowering origination 
costs (agent 
channels, mobile 
technology); alterna-tive 
core platform 
CICO exclusively via 
agents 
N/A for savings 
product, except for 
encouraging e-credits 
(P2P, G2P, B2P) 
Encouraging balance 
growth by promoting 
e-credits to fund a/c 
Standard Bank 
Lowering origination 
costs (agent channels, 
mobile technology) 
Shifting CICO to 
agents 
N/A for savings 
product, except for 
encouraging e-credits 
(salary, etc.) 
Incentivizing balance 
growth with discipline 
and bonus interest 
GAFIS PROJECT REPORT
| 21 
eficiaries to a payment provider linked to a small 
bank, following a procurement process marked 
by legal challenge and controversy. All benefit 
payments now have to be routed into those new 
bank accounts, limiting the ability of recipients 
to choose their bank. While beneficiaries may 
withdraw cash from the benefit account and 
then redeposit part into savings accounts at their 
former bank, this is costly and inconvenient, so 
many of the Standard Bank clients’ accounts 
have gone dormant. This potential gateway 
was also effectively closed by a government 
procurement decision. 
BANSEFI, which currently benefits from 
exclusive distribution on payment of the ma-jor 
Oportunidades CCT program in Mexico, 
has yet to see significant savings activity in its 
accounts. Even when its agents are legally able 
to take deposits (still the minority), the most 
commonly observed behavior pattern remains 
“dump & pull.” This is entrenched by rules of 
the CCT scheme, which discourage savings, and 
by many recipients unaware of the existence 
of an account and its features: a 2011 survey of 
BANSEFI account holders revealed that less than 
30% knew the account could be used for sav-ings. 
Even when they do, a further challenge is 
that beneficiaries fear leaving money in the same 
account (or even the same bank), thinking the 
Government may decide that if they can afford to 
save, the welfare payment is no longer needed. 
Engaging clients through SMS messaging 
Savings, which involves accumulation of money 
over time, requires more than a one-time sales 
process; it requires an ongoing relationship in 
which the client has sufficient access to the bank 
account to deposit small amounts. For the client 
to be confident enough to leave balances in the 
account, s/he needs to be able to make small 
withdrawals easily and cost effectively. This 
requires the proximity and convenience that 
agent networks can bring (discussed in more 
detail later in this section). 
with one withdrawal. However, the experience 
of GAFIS partner banks pursuing G2P as a low-cost 
acquisition strategy has been very mixed. 
The downside of relying on G2P payments is 
that a government can change its entire payment 
approach or drag its heels (see Box E). The bank 
proposition of providing financial services based 
on the payment of government benefits alone 
is not, in fact, safe, but risky; and can be hard in 
practice to move beyond the payment only. 
Box E: G2P payments as a gateway 
For three GAFIS banks, government social trans-fers 
were considered to be a primary gateway to 
attracting more savings. However, at the end of 
GAFIS, the evidence of progress towards G2P as 
a gateway for savings remains limited. 
ICICI Bank and its agent network partner FINO 
opened more than 1 million accounts in the 
Indian State of Haryana. Starting in August 2011, 
ICICI established a new model for servicing these 
new account holders by offering more regular 
village presence (several times per week instead 
of once a month as before). This would allow 
clients to leave money in the accounts (and even 
deposit their own funds for safekeeping), since 
they could withdraw as needed rather than only 
on a defined monthly payday. However, just two 
months later, the State Government stopped 
making payments via banks and reverted back 
to making cash payments via local government 
structures. Without regular transfers, only 5% of 
the new bank accounts opened remained active. 
After the bank had invested to build out the ser-vicing 
infrastructure, this gateway was in effect 
closed for a long period. 
At the outset of GAFIS, Standard Bank had more 
than half a million account holders who received 
monthly G2P cash transfers into their accounts. 
These payees were originally identified as a 
primary target for promoting savings behavior. 
However, in 2011, the South African Social Secu-rity 
Agency awarded a single contract for all ben- 
12. See Bold, Porteous & Rotman (2012) for the business case of G2P based on analysis which included three GAFIS countries—Colombia, Mexico 
and South Africa, although focused only on BANSEFI among the GAFIS banks. 
GAFIS PROJECT REPORT
22 | 
days when banks did not even bother to col-lect 
or verify accurate information since postal 
delivery was too expensive or not possible. The 
content of the SMS engagements aim to catalyze 
initial deposits and build trust by confirming 
agent deposit transactions or providing other 
useful information. 
Bancolombia enlisted a U.S.-based firm, Juntos 
Finanzas, to help design and deliver SMS content 
for its ALM account holders. A particular aim is 
to create a high-touch 2-way “conversation” to 
inform (building trust), encourage routine, and 
remind, evolving over time to a form of social 
(media) encouragement, and ultimately offering 
the convenience of links to e-transfer functional-ity 
or locating the nearest CICO point via GPS. 
Standard Bank, with a new transactional product 
aimed at the low-income segment, initiated Proj-ect 
Activate, and now sends a choreographed 
series of SMS messages to new account holders 
during the 100 days following account opening. 
This is deemed a clear success by the bank, with 
inactive ratios cut by around a third year-on-year. 
Project Activate is now being rolled out with the 
AccessSave account. 
However, in addition to physical proximity, there 
are other ways in which banks can reach out to 
touch their customers to encourage or promote 
savings. In traditional mass-market savings ac-counts, 
very little consideration has been given 
to the ex post touch. This is in large part because 
banks could not contact clients in the mass 
market segment—in many cases, because of the 
cost implications, they are even exempt from the 
requirement of sending regular printed account 
statements and often don’t collect accurate ad-dresses 
(if clients even have these). Also, the cost 
of a personal touch was considered prohibitive, 
especially given the uncertain benefit. 
Technology is changing this dynamic 
in two ways: 
• Using data analytics, banks can better identify 
which customers to “touch” (for example, 
those more likely to save, based on their previ-ous 
transaction patterns) and how; and 
• More than 90% of bank clients in GAFIS 
surveys in South Africa, Colombia and Kenya 
now have access to a mobile phone, which 
enables SMS messaging (see Box F). 
Box F: SMS as a new type of “touch” 
Three GAFIS banks (Standard Bank, Bancolom-bia, 
Equity Bank) are using SMS (text messages) 
to communicate with their customers more 
effectively. At Standard Bank and Bancolombia, 
mobile numbers are automatically linked to the 
GAFIS-supported savings account at opening. At 
Equity, a mobile number is not required, but is 
typically obtained. This is a big change from the 
GAFIS PROJECT REPORT
| 23 
prevent or limit access. Another strategy is to 
move into the mobile world: Bancolombia was 
one of the first banks worldwide to acquire a 
majority share of a mobile virtual network opera-tor 
(MVNO), called Uff!, in 2012.14 An MVNO 
does not have physical telco infrastructure but 
rather leases access to the infrastructure of 
others. Because the MVNO pays for wholesale 
access to existing infrastructure, it may be able to 
pass on better terms to its clients. However, even 
MVNOs ultimately require fair access to existing 
mobile infrastructure to succeed, so the role of 
regulators remains important here, too. 
Agents as a gateway for deposit taking 
In 2010, regulators in most GAFIS countries had 
only relatively recently authorized banks to use 
agents to take deposits at all: this change 
happened in 2006 in Colombia and India but 
only in 2009 in Kenya and Mexico. 
Recognizing the need to reduce costs of origina-tion 
and cash handling, and empowered by the 
new regulations, all the banks embarked on 
ambitious plans to build new agent networks. 
Collectively, these banks reported 2,600 agents 
in 2010, but three years later now have nearly 
25,000 (see Table 4). Four of the five GAFIS 
banks already have substantially more agent 
locations than branches. 
Using agents, banks are also able to “sell” basic 
accounts more than they could before. The agent 
channel constitutes a low-cost account acquisi-tion 
strategy, where, depending on the commis-sion 
to the agent per account, agent-originated 
accounts may cost a tenth to half of branch-orig- 
Controlled experiments elsewhere by other 
banks suggest that reminders can increase sav-ings 
balances—although not by much in some 
cases.13 The bigger effect may well come through 
higher and sustained activation levels. It is too 
early to judge the outcome fully at GAFIS banks, 
although early results are promising. 
While SMS communications for reminders and 
balance enquiries show promise as part of an 
activation process, mobile-initiated transactions 
are still low at GAFIS banks relative to other 
channels. Most are actively promoting mobile-enabled 
accounts that allow the customer to pay 
bills or make transfers to other mobile numbers. 
However, most have experienced rising difficul-ties 
with securing access to SMS or USSD mobile 
channels. This is because, in some places, 
banks have had limited access to these channels 
because of competitive factors or because they 
are not yet reliable; and in others, MNOs have 
raised the cost of using these channels substan-tially. 
Bancolombia, for example, faces a 600% 
increase in the cost it has to pay to the domi-nant 
MNO in Colombia (reflecting a shift from 
fixed session costs to per SMS charges); ICICI 
may see its charge at least doubled, as well as 
a process challenge where the customer has to 
pay for each message directly. Access to these 2G 
channels will remain important for all financial 
providers until most low-income customers have 
smartphones with internet capability. 
Banks can respond to these difficulties with 
mobile channels in different ways. One is to 
complain to the communications regulator that 
dominant MNO positions are being abused to 
13. Karlan 2013. 
14. See Uff! website (in Spanish): www.uffmovil.com. 
GAFIS PROJECT REPORT
24 | 
pared with branch-opened accounts. For Equity 
Bank Ordinary Savings Accounts opened since 
January 2011, when agent origination started, 
the active ratio of agent-opened accounts is 
around a quarter lower than the branch-opened 
active ratio. 
inated ones. However, in common with other 
“sold” products like insurance, agent-originated 
accounts also show lower activation rates,15 
especially if the incentives of agents are based on 
opening accounts rather than clients using them. 
Standard Bank’s AccessSave accounts opened at 
agents tend to be significantly less active com- 
Table 4: Agent and cash merchant channel details and statistics 
Bancolombia BANSEFI Equity Bank ICICI Bank Standard 
Bank 
Year of first 
deploying agents 2006 2010 2010 2010 2009 
Number of 
approved agents 1,639 297 7,632 7,500 7,600 
Number of agents 
involved in origi-nating 
accounts 
None, but now 
all can “assist 
self-service” 
OTA opening 
of new ALM 
account16 
None All Most 100 
Number of agents 
providing cash 
handling 
In addition 
to CICO, all 
agents receive 
cash for bill 
payments 
271 All All 7,500 
Number of active 
agents of all types 1,225 271 5,100 7,500 4,150 
Source: GAFIS banks, 2013 
Note: BANSEFI has many G2P payment points (several thousand), which service several million G2P accounts opened during the past few years, but these 
payment points cannot take deposits and so are not counted here; and the new accounts serviced for payment distribution only are also not counted as part 
of the GAFIS count of “new poor savers” (see Box I on page 36). 
15. Meaning accounts into which a first deposit is made after opening. 
16. Note: Bancolombia also has employees (called “PAMs”) that are similar to agents in that they rotate to multiple locations, including many CICO 
agent locations, promoting products and originating accounts. 
GAFIS PROJECT REPORT
| 25 
in agent transactions relative to the number of 
agents (see Box H). For Equity, less than three 
years after deploying agents, transactions 
across agents exceeded the total number of 
either ATM transactions or branch transactions 
on a monthly basis. Deposits make up just over 
half of agent transaction volume, but around 
two-thirds of value transacted at agents; in other 
words, agents have become a significant net 
deposit-taking channel for Equity. Over an equiv-alent 
two-year period to 2013, Bancolombia has 
also seen the number of transactions at its agents 
double, with agent deposits and withdrawals 
virtually equal in value. 
The convenience of agents can also encourage 
more savings through deposits or retention. A 
classic example of the agent in this role is the 
susu deposit collector of West Africa, who liter-ally 
makes daily rounds of clients to collect de-posits, 
reducing transaction costs for clients but 
also encouraging them to save.17 In the GAFIS 
context, CASHPOR, an Indian MFI, has played a 
similar deposit collector role (weekly) for ICICI’s 
Apna savings accounts (see picture here and 
Box G). 
All GAFIS banks have taken a different approach 
to developing agent networks over the past three 
years. ICICI Bank and BANSEFI contracted with 
intermediary institutions, such as CASHPOR or 
FINO in India and DICONSA stores in Mexico, to 
serve as agent network managers. This approach 
enables banks to offer an agent channel with-out 
acquiring or directly managing them, but it 
can create vulnerability and dependence on the 
network manager. 
The other three GAFIS banks have sought to 
build their own networks of agents, which takes 
substantial resources and management skills. 
Equity Bank has recorded the fastest uptake rates 
17. For more background on the Ghanaian version of individual deposit collectors, see http://www.aaeafrica.org/start/the-susu-collection-system-in- 
ghana-and-experiences-in-linking-formal-and-informal-financial-intermediaries/. See also the Care 2012 report Banking on Change which 
describes linkages between a formal bank and village savings and loan associations. 
GAFIS PROJECT REPORT
26 | 
As of October, 2013, around 150,000 (almost a 
third) of CASHPOR’s credit clients had opened 
ICICI savings accounts, with more than 110,000 
of these active (with a positive balance). This is 
a very high active ratio for India, where typically 
less than 20% of “no-frills” (financial inclusion) 
accounts are active. The bank charges customers 
US$2 to open the account (the only product in 
GAFIS to do this) as well as an annual fee (US$1) 
for unlimited CICO transactions. Both fees likely 
contribute to the high active ratio, and reduce the 
chances of over-buying or over-selling. 
The model mobilizes significant deposit activ-ity, 
with an approximately 6:1 volume ratio of 
deposits-to-withdrawals, although the average 
withdrawal is much larger than the average depos-it. 
ICICI also offers Fixed Deposit and Recurring 
Deposit products through agents (though less than 
5,000 accounts to date). 
ICICI’s direct costs in this model come in the form 
of revenue-sharing with CASHPOR, including 
sharing margin on float balances (also unique 
among GAFIS agent relationships), and per-trans-action 
fees (also with ICICI’s Technology Service 
Provider, EKO). These direct (mostly variable) 
costs are covered by ICICI’s sharing of revenues. 
Whether bottom-line profitability is achieved 
depends on how the indirect (mostly fixed) costs 
are allocated. For CASHPOR, the business case 
appears adequate for now to sustain its agent role. 
More importantly, as an NGO with a social mission 
which cannot itself take savings, CASHPOR sees 
that access to a savings account benefits its micro-credit 
clients, and also helps them accumulate 
money for loan-repayment purposes. This sense 
of mission is tough to replicate. 
Box G: ICICI Bank and CASHPOR: Mobilizing 
savings through agents 
To quickly and effectively establish its presence in 
poor and rural areas of the State of Uttar Pradesh, 
ICICI Bank partnered with CASHPOR, an estab-lished 
micro-credit organization, which was also a 
long-term commercial client of ICICI. CASHPOR’s 
primary offering was micro-credit (not savings, 
mainly as a result of regulatory restrictions) and 
thus there was no inherent conflict in serving as an 
agent for ICICI’s savings account. CASHPOR had 
more than 500,000 rural clients, with roving loan 
officers who could potentially double as ICICI 
deposit-taking customer service points (CSPs). 
While initially intending to help ICICI open a 
remittance gateway, CASHPOR itself became a 
“gateway” for new clients to the bank. 
The CASHPOR micro-credit business follows a 
traditional joint liability group lending model, in 
which the loan officer visits multiple groups with 
15-20 women clients each day. Each group meet-ing 
lasts 45 minutes, with the first half dedicated to 
micro-credit and second half to savings activities 
(account openings, CICO and assistance with 
balance inquiries). 
GAFIS PROJECT REPORT
| 27 
Box H: Equity Bank: Rapidly scaling the 
agent channel and agent transactions 
Since early 2011, while the number of transac-tions 
through Equity Bank branches and ATMs 
has stayed relatively constant, the number of 
agent transactions has increased dramatically. 
It now exceeds the number through any other 
single channel—and two thirds of the total 
value of all agent transactions are deposits. 
What has fuelled the rapid scale up at Equity? 
Equity has benefited from the overall consumer 
market in Kenya already being comfortable 
with using agents and mobile phones for basic 
financial transactions. However, chief among 
the factors in the success of Equity’s agent 
rollout is its agent selection process. The bank 
has a history of serving small-business clients, 
and branch managers were incentivized to 
identify well-established businesspeople who 
had repaid loans to the bank. These business 
owners were selected as agents based on their 
proximity to formal and informal markets, trans-portation 
points and busy walkways. Later, other 
agents were also selected based on their location 
nearby the busiest branches. 
Equity agents must set aside physical space near 
or within the existing business. Preference is given 
to those agents that can provide a modicum of pri-vacy 
to customers; some agents have innovatively 
used their marketing collateral to promote privacy. 
Agents are also required to invest in marketing col-lateral, 
POS machines and mobile phones to run 
the business, demonstrating their commitment and 
incentive to make the proposition work. 
Today, more than 25% of the agents’ agent activi-ties 
are profitable as stand-alone businesses. The 
remainder are either near break-even, expect to be 
profitable in the near future, or else consider the 
increased foot traffic in their stores as a sufficient 
reason to offer agency services. Over time, Equity 
Bank has begun to implement a tiered franchise-type 
system for managing agents. The most 
successful agents identify and manage sub-agents, 
which primarily conduct CICO services. 
GAFIS PROJECT REPORT
28 | 
Effects on the business case: 
activation and activity 
The combination of agents in the field and SMS 
messaging to the phone is changing both the 
way banks originate accounts and the intensity 
of their interaction with customers after account 
opening. However, there are variations along the 
spectrum of initial customer choice, which is 
framed as “bought-sold-required” along one axis 
in Figure 4; and with the other axis reflecting the 
engagement after the account opening. 
For “required” accounts, like the traditional In-dian 
G2P no-frills accounts offered by ICICI and 
other banks, ex post engagement by the bank 
with the customer has traditionally been very 
low, especially for those not receiving regular 
G2P. BANSEFI’s full agents, open during shop 
hours, have sought to offer higher touch, even 
though, as Box E related, this alone has not been 
enough to overcome other factors discouraging 
savings and result in higher transactions 
on the account. 
On the other end of the spectrum, for “bought” 
accounts such as ICICI’s Apna-CASHPOR prod-uct, 
regular deposit collection in villages means 
that the Bank remains in regular personal touch 
through its agent. Bancolombia’s Ahorro a la 
Mano account is also bought by customers who 
open the account over-the-air on their mobile 
phone and then deposit or withdraw cash via 
agents or ATMs. The SMS campaigns described 
earlier raise the ex post touch quotient for this 
product, as they do for Standard Bank’s 
AccessSave, which is more reliant on agents 
to sell it. 
Equity’s experience, alongside the microfinance 
experience of CASHPOR for ICICI and the longer 
experience of Bancolombia with cash-handling 
agents, provides evidence that agents can be 
part of a mass outreach strategy that includes 
deposit mobilization. Agents can clearly play a 
role in communities not previously served by 
bank branches: many of Standard Bank’s Access 
Points, for example, reach out into poorer peri-urban 
communities. 
A key business model question for banks is 
whether the clients who use the agent channel 
also use branches. If so, the business case based 
on the cost reduction would be undermined to 
that extent. One way to address this is to limit 
the service channel at which new accounts can 
be used (e.g., restricting branch deposits). But 
even when the new clients can use any channel, 
Equity’s experience so far suggests that a distinct 
new segment of clients is emerging who mainly 
or only use agents—of all Equity clients using 
agents, Equity reports that around two thirds do 
not use any other cash handling channel of 
the bank. 
GAFIS PROJECT REPORT
| 29 
Figure 4: Intensity of “touch” for bought, sold or required products 
typical no frills accounts across banks in India. 
However, we also observe instances of higher 
dormancy resulting from agent origination. 
Hence there is a need to follow more clients 
using the new agent channels over a longer time 
frame to understand better how the dormancy 
profile changes over time, so we here assume no 
net change in dormancy in calculating the shift 
to Proposition 1.5. 
These effects combine to improve the overall 
account level proposition—losing just $1.02 per 
month compared to $2.79 as before—but are 
not sufficient in themselves to make this Propo-sition 
1.5 profitable (see Figure 5). Proposition 
1.5 alone is therefore not a final point, but rather 
an interim step towards Proposition 2.0. This 
will include more user-initiated transactions on 
which fees are paid, as well as higher balances 
and activity rates due to more flexible and useful 
accounts. These further changes combine to 
create at least a near break-even situation for the 
account before any cross selling is contemplated. 
Real profitability will depend on a bank’s ability 
to understand its clients well enough to cross-sell 
other products successfully. 
How do Proposition 1.5 solutions using agents 
change the business-case proposition from that 
of Proposition 1.0 basic accounts? Since the 
agent channels are relatively new, one cannot 
yet be definitive about long-term effects on client 
activity and usage profiles. However, indicative 
evidence from across the GAFIS banks suggests 
the following stylized facts so far: 
Agents usually reduce opening costs relative 
to branch-opened accounts (based on GAFIS 
experience, we assume $6 rather than $15 in the 
stylized model), although there may be a cor-responding 
activation challenge as noted. 
Agents reduce the cost of cash-handling transac-tions 
to as low as a fifth of that in the branch, 
although the fee structure to clients (whether 
charges can be made for deposits) may still 
mean that the bank cannot profit on cash-han-dling 
alone. 
The ex post touch, whether by SMS messaging 
or by human agents, can improve activation 
and usage rates—as shown in the rise in ac-counts 
activated at Standard Bank following the 
Project Activate SMS campaign, or in the more 
than 70% active rate for ICICI’s Apna-CASHPOR 
clients compared with below 20% or below on 
Required 
AccessSave 
GAFIS PROJECT REPORT
30 | 
Figure 5: How Proposition 1.5 improves account-level profitability 
dimensions: The relative value accumulated, 
the period of accumulation (or duration), and 
the client preference for liquidity or illiquidity. 
The resulting three common patterns of savings 
behavior (shown in their location across these 
dimensions in Figure 6 below) can be character-ized 
as: 
Spend down slowly. Transactional balances 
are retained for spending at a later point within a 
relatively short spending cycle (such as a month) 
and with a strong preference for liquidity; 
Accumulate. Balances are built up over time in 
small steps, often with illiquidity built in, such as 
a requirement to regularly contribute and/or an 
inability to access funds until a defined time 
or goal; 
Preserve. Balances that are relatively large are 
held for a longer period with the emphasis on 
preserving the lump sum until needed. 
4. How the poor save, informally 
and formally 
Proposition 2.0 requires that banks tailor 
products to match patterns of financial behav-ior 
already exhibited by the client. This section 
focuses on the learnings from GAFIS about how 
to define and measure savings behavior, and 
what this means for bank products in the context 
of other products already in use. 
For a relatively simple concept, savings is hard to 
define. People save for a variety of reasons (such 
as lifecycle, precautionary, income generating), 
and use a variety of instruments. Clients may 
use what banks call transactional (or debit card 
or basic) accounts to accumulate balances over 
time—that is, to save. And clients may never 
accumulate any balances in what banks call sav-ings 
accounts. 
The portfolios of clients analyzed as part of 
GAFIS demand-side research show at least three 
types of savings behavior. These vary in three 
CICO 
GAFIS PROJECT REPORT
Figure 6: Distinguishing 3 types of savings behavior in a portfolio 
possible images with/without background 
| 31 
responds to transactional patterns based on 
keeping cash in the home (under the mattress) 
so that it is liquid and available for near-term 
planned or unplanned expenditures. For a bank 
account to accommodate this type of savings be-havior, 
it must beat the convenience of the mat-tress, 
even though it is already safer. Spend down 
slowly bank savers may still withdraw all or most 
available funds over a monthly or seasonal cycle, 
but they do so in tranches so average balances 
across the cycle are higher than the “dump & 
pull” profile (withdrawal of full balance immedi-ately 
upon arrival). This behavior type is a short 
term form of savings, but relative to the dump 
and pull pattern, reflects in higher average 
account balances and more activity over time. 
These observed patterns can all be carried out 
using informal instruments which are widely 
used in poor clients’ financial portfolios. For ex-ample, 
poor clients in rural areas of developing 
countries often use livestock, such as cows, as 
instruments to preserve higher value, long-term 
savings. They even have liquidity restrictions 
since the cow must be sold to realize the savings. 
While the informal instrument in this case also 
has the advantage of an income flow (in the 
form of milk production or offspring), and may 
even hold its value or appreciate over time, the 
cow could also die or be stolen, losing all value. 
A formal financial institution wishing to attract 
savings of this type literally has to “beat the cow” 
as a value proposition for the low-income client. 
Equally, “spend down slowly” behavior cor- 
GAFIS PROJECT REPORT
32 | 
The role of the bank in the client savings portfolio 
Some of the GAFIS products target one of these types of savings behavior (see Table 5), by offering a mix of incentives to 
save and a range of associated liquidity (or illiquidity) options, while others allow customers to shape their own use of the 
account. 
Table 5: Bank account features & types of savings 
Product features Savings behavior 
targeted Savings incentives Liquidity restrictions 
Ahorro a la Mano 
(Bancolombia) Any 
Offers free hospitalization 
insurance if balance stays 
above $175; tiered interest 
ranging from 0.25 – 3.5%. 
None: debits (withdrawals, inter-account 
transfers and transfers/ 
payments to 3rd parties) can be 
made anytime. 
Apna account, Fixed 
Deposit & Recurring 
Deposit (ICICI Bank, 
CASHPOR as agent) 
Apna—Any, including 
frequent incidence of 
Accumulate or Preserve 
Recurring deposit— 
Accumulate 
Fixed Deposit—Preserve 
High interest offered on 
all products, including the 
basic Apna (4%) and much 
higher (7%) for Fixed and 
Recurring Deposits. 
The basic Apna account relies on 
weekly visits by MFI collector, a de 
facto liquidity constraint in between 
visits (can withdraw anytime from 
nearest MFI branch, but less 
convenient). 
Fixed and Recurring Deposit 
products offered, with minimum 
thresholds lowered for rural poor. 
AccessSave 
(Standard Bank) 
Any, esp. Accumulate or 
Preserve 
Bonus interest payment if 
savings goal achieved. 
Requires 7-day advance notice in 
order to withdraw. 
G2P recipient account 
(BANSEFI) Spend down slowly Interest paid. None: debits (withdrawals) can be 
made anytime. 
Ordinary savings account 
(Equity) 
Any, esp. Spend down 
slowly and Preserve 
Interest paid only if balance 
above $120. 
None: debits (withdrawals, inter-account 
transfers and transfers/ 
payments to 3rd parties) can be 
made anytime. 
Jijenge account 
(Equity) Accumulate 
Interest paid only with 
balance above $120; bonus 
interest if goal achieved. 
Requires monthly commitment. 
No withdrawal before the end of the 
set term. 
School Fees account 
(Equity) Accumulate Interest paid on all 
balances. 
Four free withdrawals per year, high 
charge thereafter. 
GAFIS PROJECT REPORT
| 33 
While some account types seek to target one 
specific type of savings behavior, open-ended 
savings accounts can accommodate all three 
types. Using transactional data from open-ended 
accounts shows that basic bank accounts are in 
fact used for all types of savings behavior—but 
especially the “spend down slowly” and 
“preserve” type. Regular accumulation behavior 
is less common, since these accounts do not 
offer strong incentives and penalties to reinforce 
regular commitments in the way that accumulat-ing 
savings groups do, for example. 
How does the savings behavior shown in the 
bank account fit into the wider portfolio of 
instruments used by poor customers? Answer-ing 
this requires the ability to link the profile of 
the account to wider information obtained in 
surveys of clients—using identifying numbers 
that do not violate confidentiality requirements 
around bank accounts. During the GAFIS project, 
this intricate exercise was undertaken at one 
bank in particular, yielding the average allocation 
of all financial assets across six different savings 
instruments, according to the savings behavior 
type shown in the one bank account 
(see Figure 7). 
While the specific incentives or limitations may 
be designed to support savings behavior, not all 
are well understood by the clients. With Banco-lombia’s 
new ALM product, for example, only 
18% of the clients surveyed knew that there was 
a free hospitalization insurance benefit if they 
maintained a high enough balance. At Equity 
Bank, the requirement to hold a minimum 
balance of $120 to earn interest in the savings 
account was not widely known. The seven-day 
notice period for a withdrawal in Standard 
Bank’s AccessSave was not universally under-stood, 
as revealed by anecdotes of disappoint-ment 
and surprise when clients were first denied 
a withdrawal without giving the notice. We 
noted earlier that, at GAFIS’ outset in 2011, most 
of BANSEFI’s account holders did not realize the 
account was a bank savings account. 
Financial institutions that allow new clients to 
test their products first can build up trust: for 
example, by making balance inquiries cheap 
and easy so clients can confirm their balances 
frequently at first and understand the impact 
of charges. This is a common pattern: Equity’s 
Jijenge clients made frequent balance checks, 
which are deliberately inexpensive, to help them 
monitor balances and detect any surprises. 
Figure 7: Allocation of financial assets held outside one GAFIS bank 
Source: InFocus Note 3, BFA (2012) 
GAFIS PROJECT REPORT
34 | 
the costs and intensity involved, financial diary 
exercises are typically done on a relatively small 
scale, requiring careful choice of participating 
households to test different client profiles, as 
well as caution in interpreting the results to apply 
to a broader population. Financial diaries yield 
indicative in-depth results but are usually not 
statistically representative of the larger popula-tion 
group. GAFIS undertook four financial diary 
exercises to monitor bank client (and non-client) 
portfolios over time (see Table 6). 
Most of the GAFIS new product launches took 
place relatively late in the project life (2012/3), 
allowing limited time to track shifts in client port-folios. 
Some diary exercises are still underway, 
with additional co-funding to boost their scale, 
and also extend their cycle beyond the limits of 
the main GAFIS project. Despite these constraints 
on results at this point, several observations have 
emerged: 
Several observations are apparent from 
this exercise: 
• First, even dormant customers may be custom-ers 
of another bank, in which case the proposi-tion 
to reactivate them is different than if they 
had stopped using banks altogether; 
• Second, clients who use their bank account 
to spend down slowly seem to use the most 
diverse portfolio of instruments over all; 
• Third, informal savings clubs feature promi-nently 
in all portfolios—even those using the 
bank to preserve or accumulate, which was in 
fact a small number in this sample. 
Building such an integrated view of the client 
from transactional “big data” as well as survey 
data is still in its experimental stage with GAFIS 
banks, but promises to yield valuable informa-tion. 
It is possible that banks can link the ob-served 
savings behavior in accounts with observ-able 
client characteristics to improve targeting of 
different types of customers. The account-level 
profitability clearly varies with the balance and 
activity level in the account, so that better iden-tifying 
clients wishing to preserve usefully large 
sums can become a profitable strategy to grow 
a retail savings book; rather than cycling through 
high transactors with low average balances. 
How have the new GAFIS products changed 
savings portfolios of the clients who use them? 
Simple, one-off surveys rarely track financial 
flows adequately or accurately enough to answer 
this question. But the methodology of financial 
diaries, popularized in the book, Portfolios of 
the Poor, allows for repeated interaction with 
the respondent over a prolonged period. Collect-ing 
close to real-time data on flows helps build 
an individual balance sheet profile. Because of 
GAFIS PROJECT REPORT
| 35 
Diary 
duration Sampling basis Date Diaries concluded 
Purposive sampling across popula-tion 
in 5 areas of country; aimed for 
30 households with Jijenge users; 30 
with School Fees users 
Clients used Equity’s revamped Jijenge and 
new School Fees accounts mainly because they 
sought a separate place for savings oriented to-wards 
a defined goal. For many, the appeal of the 
bank account over the equivalent informal in-strument 
(savings club) was its longer duration; 
and compared to savings at home, bank saving 
offered more privacy from family members 
and friends. 
As the GAFIS research shows, savings patterns 
are diverse. Bank product design must either 
target a specific savings behavior, or else be flex-ible 
enough to allow clients to tailor their usage 
of the account to meet different needs. The more 
banks understand how savings products fit into 
the wider portfolios of clients, the more they will 
be entrusted with the portfolios of the poor. 
Table 6: Financial Diaries studies of GAFIS bank clients 
Location 
Diary 
sample 
size 
Kenya18 300 12 months 
ICICI’s Apna clients started to save regularly in 
their new accounts, although in small amounts. 
After a year or so with an account, the ICICI 
bank account held around 5% of the household’s 
total financial assets (and 9% of the account 
holder’s individual assets)—an important step 
towards diversifying their portfolios from reliance 
on informal savings products. 
On the other hand, some of Standard Bank’s 
new AccessSave clients saved as much as 50% 
of their total financial assets in the new account. 
Some of these clients previously kept the money 
“under the mattress” in their homes. However, 
they recognized that this was risky and that 
AccessSave offered safety, convenience and 
discipline, and appear to have shifted a portion 
of their ‘home bank’ balances into the bank 
as a result. 
November 2013 
India 89 7 months 
Purposive, as follows: At project 
inception, 60 held Apna account and 
CASHPOR loan, 15 held a CASHPOR 
loan only (no Apna), and 15 had 
neither. 
July 2013 
Mexico19 180 10+ months 
Sample includes 120 HHs who re-ceive 
Oportunidades and 60 that are 
poor but do not receive the ben-efit 
for comparison in Oaxaca and 
Puebla states and Mexico City. 
December 2014 
South 
Africa 67 8 months 
Purposive sampling of “Access” 
target market, which by end of study 
included 44 with at least 1 “Access” 
product, including 14 with Access- 
Save. 
June 2013 
18. The Kenyan financial diaries were co-funded by FSDK and the full results will be available via FSDK in 2014. 
19. The Mexican financial diaries were co-funded to create a much larger sample started only in late 2013 so will yield insights only in 2014 outside of 
the project timeframe. 
GAFIS PROJECT REPORT
36 | 
Conclusion: 
The journey to date and the way 
ahead 
The changes within GAFIS partner banks dur-ing 
the project period (2010-2013) have been 
profound. All five banks have made progress by 
designing and launching appropriate new prod-ucts 
and channels to serve low-income clients. 
All make more use of information from diverse 
sources to understand their client base and, 
increasingly, to recognize segments within it. 
All banks have built new agent channels and, in 
some cases, they already contribute substantially 
to the business. 
Collectively, the GAFIS banks have opened more 
than 4.2 million new accounts in GAFIS-linked 
products in less than three years. More impor-tantly, 
they now serve approximately 420,000 
“new, poor savers” as a result of the project (see 
Box I). This number is measured according to 
the GAFIS project definition, which requires evi-dence 
of both savings activity (870,238 accounts) 
and the poverty status of the account holders 
(543,119 new accounts meet both criteria); and 
which also weights the level of attribution to the 
project according to how directly GAFIS was 
involved (reducing the 543,119 to 419,654). Even 
with delays in launching new products at several 
banks, these growing numbers provide early 
indication that large banks can achieve scale 
outreach with their new propositions. 
Box I: The GAFIS project scorecard: 
Desired outcomes and results 
Desired Outcomes GAFIS Results 
Significant learning dissemi-nated 
to the sector about the 
business case for delivering 
useful savings for the poor, 
particularly related to products 
linked to identified gateways. 
Four Focus Notes, as well as 
blogs, local articles and numer-ous 
talks. This report is itself 
a key part of making findings 
accessible to a wider audience. 
At least two large formal 
financial institutions have been 
encouraged and assisted to 
develop viable savings prod-ucts 
for the poor. 
Standard Bank, Bancolombia 
and Equity Bank have launched 
new savings products, while 
the others have all taken steps 
toward more viability of exist-ing 
products. As important, 
several have restructured their 
retail banks to a position to 
deliver inclusive banking well 
into the future. 
500,000 “new, poor savers” use 
GAFIS savings products. 
During the project, banks 
opened more than 4.2 million 
new accounts of types linked 
to GAFIS, of which 870,238 are 
“savers”. Of these, 543,119 are 
also poor, while 419,654 are 
“new, poor savers” attributable 
to GAFIS.20 
20. As of 31 October 2013. 
GAFIS PROJECT REPORT
Big banks-and-small-savers-gafis-project-report-dec2013
Big banks-and-small-savers-gafis-project-report-dec2013
Big banks-and-small-savers-gafis-project-report-dec2013
Big banks-and-small-savers-gafis-project-report-dec2013
Big banks-and-small-savers-gafis-project-report-dec2013
Big banks-and-small-savers-gafis-project-report-dec2013
Big banks-and-small-savers-gafis-project-report-dec2013
Big banks-and-small-savers-gafis-project-report-dec2013
Big banks-and-small-savers-gafis-project-report-dec2013

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Big banks-and-small-savers-gafis-project-report-dec2013

  • 1. BIG BANKS & SMALL SAVERS A new path to profitability GAFIS Project Report December 2013
  • 2. “Banks can—indeed must — be at the heart of any solution to the potentially destabilizing trend of social and economic inequality. With their access to capital markets, advanced technology, delivery systems and public oversight, banks offer a secure means for poor people to accumulate wealth that can bring greater economic security and social inclusion. But establishing the kind of accounts that poor and low-income savers often need—low minimum balance, high transaction rates and easy access—can be a significant challenge to profitability and sustainability.” Chris Page, Chair GAFIS Program Advisory Committee
  • 3. GAFIS PROJECT REPORT | 1 Contents Foreword ..............................................................................................................................2 Introduction..........................................................................................................................3 The report format.................................................................................................................5 1. Fostering institutional change.........................................................................................6 Drivers of institutional change.....................................................................................7 Financial inclusion in context: who are the banks’ clients?.......................................9 The structural shift: from margin to mainstream.....................................................10 2. Building the business case for a low balance account................................................14 Making low-balance accounts profitable..................................................................17 3. Gateways as customer acquisition and “high-touch” channels.................................20 Agents as a gateway for deposit taking.....................................................................23 Effects on the business case: activation and activity ...............................................28 4. How the poor save, informally and formally...............................................................30 The role of the bank in the client savings portfolio..................................................32 Conclusion: the journey to date and the way ahead.......................................................36 Imagining Proposition 2.0..........................................................................................37 The implications for other banks and financial service providers...........................38 References .........................................................................................................................40 Glossary...............................................................................................................................41 GAFIS project structure .....................................................................................................41 Annex A: GAFIS bank product features ...........................................................................42 Annex B: Stylized account assumptions: Proposition 1.0 ..............................................43
  • 4. • Our five partner banks—Bancolombia, BANSEFI (Mexico), Equity Bank (Kenya), ICICI Bank (India), and Standard Bank (South Africa)—have aggressively tested new approaches to attract and better serve poor savers. Candid and critical examina-tions 2 | GAFIS PROJECT REPORT from the banks’ “champions” and managers informed each other and shaped the lessons and models reported here. • The conceptualization, project management, technical expertise and global experience brought to this assignment by the principals and field con-sultants of BFA has been of immense value. They have displayed unparalleled support for the partner banks while maintaining a clear and independent perspective on the project outcomes. • Members of the GAFIS Project Advisory Committee (see page 41) contributed diverse and valuable perspectives that helped to shape our strategic approach and assess progress through the project. • We all acknowledge the often demanding and complex administrative support provided by RPA Associate Tejas Shah. This report is a chronicle of our shared GAFIS experience. We hope, at the end, you share our optimism that opportunities exist to reduce barri-ers and reach new levels of financial inclusion. Chris Page, Senior Vice President Rockefeller Philanthropy Advisors, Inc. 23 December 2013 Foreword This report emerges at a time when public trust in key institutions, and banks in particular, is at a historic low, fueled by the recent global econom-ic crisis and the perception that reckless bank-ing practices were at fault. Such an assessment, however, obscures the broader issue of rising social and economic inequality in the world. It is estimated that less than 1% of the world’s popu-lation holds 41% of all its wealth. Meanwhile, just over two thirds control a mere 3% of all wealth and struggle to convert those assets into healthy, safe and productive lives. Banks can—indeed must—be at the heart of any solution to reverse this potentially destabiliz-ing trend. With their access to capital markets, advanced technology, delivery systems and public oversight, banks offer a secure means for poor people to accumulate wealth that can bring greater economic security and social inclu-sion. But establishing the kind of accounts that poor and low-income savers often need—low minimum balance, high transaction rates and easy access—can be a significant challenge to profitability and sustainability. As part of an ongoing commitment to increase access to financial services among the world’s poor, the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation gener-ously supported a four-year project (2010-2013), Gateway to Financial Innovations for Savings (GAFIS). Under the sponsorship of Rockefeller Philanthropy Advisors (RPA) and the manage-ment of Bankable Frontier Associates (BFA), GAFIS engaged five commercial banks in a quest to understand the factors that i) encourage or inhibit poor savers; ii) affect institutional capacity to serve them and; iii) contribute to a sustainable business model. For all of us, this has been a journey filled with fresh insights, remarkable vision, and exemplary commitment among all the participants.
  • 5. Can large banks make low-balance accounts viable and profitable? above and analyze how banks could change the dynamic. GAFIS did so by identifying and then supporting financial institutions in designing and delivering savings products that are useful and accessible to the poor—and which deliver a sustainable business proposition. GAFIS worked with five leading banks —Bancolombia, BANSEFI (Mexico), Equity Bank (Kenya), ICICI Bank (India), and Standard Bank (South Africa)— that collectively hold more than $250 billion in assets and serve more than 77 million customers. The GAFIS journey (from 2010 to 2013) is one mirrored in many banks around the world—a journey from traditional, old-fashioned and often exclusive banking practices, to 21st century, inclusive retail banking. We dub this the journey from banking Proposition 1.0 to Proposition 2.0 (see Figure 1). The most advanced GAFIS banks are, at best, halfway through the journey, but the GAFIS findings and commitment to change inspire optimism that these oft-perceived “lum-bering giants” can compete head to head with more nimble, tech-savvy competitors and deliver new value to low-income clients. Introduction What would make low-income clients more likely to use bank accounts to save? How does the use of different channels influence the outcome for clients and banks? People with low and moderate incomes save in a variety of ways, as the seminal book, Portfo-lios of the Poor,1 has shown. One way is using a bank account. But the importance of a bank account in a personal or household savings port-folio varies greatly. Often, after some initial activ-ity, clients let bank accounts go dormant; other times, so long as the in-flow continues from employers or government, the recipients make one periodic withdrawal of all their funds, a pattern labeled “dump and pull.”2 Banks across the developing world encounter this low-balance account profile among the so called mass market of lower-income clients. 3 The Gateway to Financial Innovations for Savings (GAFIS) project set out to answer the questions Proposition 1.0 Targeted products on a pervasive platform Proposition 1.5 Proposition 2.0 Undifferentiated savings/transactional account Same basic savings products, but increasing dominance of agent channel Products and channels differentiated by client’s savings needs 1. Collins et al (2009). 2. That term is used inter alia in the description of South Africa’s Mzansi basic bank account (BFA 2009). 3. See Findex Note 01, 2012: most formal account holders in developing economies say they deposit and/or withdraw in their account once or twice a month. GAFIS PROJECT REPORT | 3 Figure 1: Big banks on the move —with new channels and new products Robust large scale agent networks
  • 6. 4 | Proposition 1.0 Proposition 1.5 Proposition 2.0 Savings Account No major changes Flexible Peer learning, new analytical tools and external accountability all supported change management in each bank. One indicator has been the creation of new inclusive banking divisions within two of the banks, with bottom-line responsibility for clients in the inclusive segment. New products and channels are now managed in a more integrated fashion—with proactive CEO and board support. In total, more than 4 million new GAFIS-linked accounts have been opened during the project; and poor savers use more than 543,000 of these accounts.4 Development of an agent channel to origi-nate and service accounts (Proposition 1.5) sharply improves the business case. Even without changing the product offering, the deployment of agents who can originate new accounts and take deposits from clients radically improves the business case for banks by displac-ing more expensive branch-based transactions— reducing the net loss per account per month to -$1.02 (see Figure 5, page 30). The rollout of an agent channel is a necessary condition for a bank to sustain a mass account rollout, although it is not sufficient in itself (hence it represents only a half-step to Proposition 1.5). For the client, access to a convenient agent network makes it easier to deposit small sums as well as leave funds in the account until needed. Product Undifferentiated Traditional low-balance bank accounts (Proposition 1.0) are not close to profitable. Basic bank accounts are the work-horse product of retail banking today, but they often don’t work well for the bank or for the customer. For the bank, more than 80% of these accounts typically have too low a balance to be profitable on their own; and as many as 50% lie dormant. Applying full costs, the “stylized” basic bank account with a $30 balance loses the bank $2.79 each month (see Figure 2, page 15). With current cost structures, banks can only make a profit on these accounts if the balances exceed $800, a virtually unreachable average number across a large segment of lower income clients. Meanwhile, the customer often finds it incon-venient and costly to make small deposits or withdrawals through a bank branch structure. Structural and business model change precedes product innovation. Initially framed as an issue mainly of product innovation, improving the profitability of a basic account in fact demands innovation in service channels, internal structure and business model. Large banks foster strong internal competition for financial, human and IT resources. Marginal or experimental products aimed at inclusion are unlikely to succeed for long in the ongoing battle for resourcing. But external support from the GAFIS project helped to facilitate and buttress the development of new inclusive propositions. (subwallets) Dominant transaction channel Branch, ATMs Agents Mobile phone Marketing Bought or Required Also sold; with SMS outreach Mainly bought 4. Note that the total opened reflects only accounts linked to the GAFIS project, listed later in Table 5. See Box A for GAFIS definition of ‘poor’. ‘Savers’ were account holders with a positive balance in a GAFIS-linked account designed with specific savings features or else exhibiting savings behavior of types defined in Section 4 within a general bank account. GAFIS PROJECT REPORT
  • 7. | 5 banks to identify potentially active clients, which in turn increases the odds of cross-selling other products. By analyzing transactional data from the banks, complemented by surveys and financial diaries of clients, GAFIS identified three different patterns of savings behavior—1) Spend down slowly; 2) Accumulate; 3) Preserve, which excludes other patterns not deemed savings (e.g. so-called “dump & pull”). Low-income clients today typically use informal products to undertake different types of savings because suitable bank products have not been available or accessible. Broadening formal savings options to support such a range of different types of savings behavior is an important goal of financial inclusion. Banks that shift toward Proposition 2.0 are more likely to endure and succeed as large retail banks in the 21st century. In fact, the process of learn-ing to serve low-income clients profitably with new, flexible products should enhance a bank’s ability to serve its mid- and upper-income clients cost effectively. In the process, this shift could change the face of large commercial and retail banking.5 The report format This report tells the story of the combined jour-ney of the five GAFIS banks in the following way: Section 1 highlights the changes banks have made to their internal structures and processes The GAFIS banks now collectively report some 25,000 agents, almost 10 times the number at the start of the project, and five times the number of their branches. GAFIS banks provide evidence that an agent channel can play a significant role in deposit mobilization for banks, not only in processing payments or withdrawals. Building a robust large scale agent channel is not easy, however. In addition to the agent channel, GAFIS banks are also starting to use new communication channels, sending out SMS messages with reminders, information and offers. While GAFIS banks’ use of SMS is still at an early stage, initial evidence suggests that these messages can stimulate higher activation rates in newly opened accounts, further improving the business case. At the same time, banks are battling with mobile operators—which are rapidly emerging as com-petitors for both agent channels and financial services—for what they consider fair pricing on channels used for transactional banking. The retail bank of the future (which embodies Proposition 2.0) combines new agent and mobile channels with new tailored and flexible products. A robust agent channel enables banks to focus on tailor-ing and targeting products to specific customer needs. GAFIS banks are starting to combine big data from their mass-market accounts with qualitative survey insights to better understand their low-income client bases. This data enables 5. Note that the concept ‘Banking 2.0’ has been used to frame a wider version of this proposition—see for example Peric (2013); here we use the term ‘Proposition 2.0’ since the GAFIS framing comes from a more limited view, even if the implications are similar. GAFIS PROJECT REPORT
  • 8. 6 | During the last three years, all GAFIS banks have undergone considerable changes. All have expe-rienced high turnover in staff: as one indicator of this, only one bank had the same executive-level GAFIS project champion at the end as at the beginning; and only two the same project manager. Similarly, only two banks had the same CEO in 2013 as in 2009. A high level of staff turn-over at all levels reflects, in some of the banks, restructuring in response to market pressures; and in others, strong competition for formal banking skills in the wider financial sector. While change in staff has been a common fac-tor, the GAFIS banks (see Table 1) fit into three categories based on different starting points and drivers regarding financial inclusion: State owned bank: BANSEFI of Mexico has a direct mandate to provide financial services to the poor; Retail focused bank: Equity Bank of Kenya is a multi-channel but mainly single-market retail bank that has grown rapidly over the past decade from its roots as a small building society to become by far the largest retail bank (by number of customers) in Kenya; Commercial banking groups: Bancolombia, ICICI Bank and Standard Bank are large, multi-channel, multi-segment banking groups offering a comprehensive range of products and services across corporate, commercial and retail markets. Across these clusters, the institutional change observed during GAFIS has been most striking among the latter group of large commercial banks, where the change process is often most complex. to address the low-income market in a meaningful way, and how they define institutional success. Section 2 analyzes the business case for typical bank accounts, using a model stylized across GAFIS banks to show why Proposition 1.0 accounts are unprofitable, and paths to improvement. Section 3 describes the emergence of new agent channels, their role in account acquisi-tion, activation and deposit mobilization—and how the new cost structure radically improves the business case for low-balance accounts. Section 4 looks at demand, examines how bank savings fit into low-income client portfolios, how banks are using big data and customer surveys to deepen their understand-ing of client needs, and how this can inform value propositions for low-income clients. The Conclusion looks ahead to the coming era of Proposition 2.0, when new channels deliver new products to new, poor savers. 1. Fostering Institutional Change GAFIS PROJECT REPORT
  • 9. | 7 Country Colombia Mexico Kenya India South Africa Ownership Private Public Private Private Private Assets $ billion 44 2 3 91 100 Rank in country 1 27 3 2 1 (by assets) Branches 1,002 493 159 3,350 619 Customers 7m 12m 7m 40m 11m ROE 12.1% 5.7% 31% 12.9% 18.5% Market cap $ billion $12.1 N/A $1.5 $18.7 $19.2 Source: Bank financial statements, BFA analysis on most recent year end, mainly 2013. was formalized in 2012 as a code that would hold all financial sector players, including banks, accountable for their efforts to pro-mote black economic empowerment. These requirements for private players are different from the clear public mandate that BANSEFI carries as a state bank in Mexico to serve remote areas and underserved people. • Regulatory compliance pressures are also growing. In part as a reaction to the global financial crisis of 2008, most countries have been designing tighter regulations. The Basel 3 Accord is now being implemented in three of the GAFIS countries with potential implications for savings products (described further in the Business Case section below). The greater emphasis on regulatory compli-ance among major banks can absorb scarce executive bandwidth and curb banks’ Drivers of institutional change Powerful underlying forces have been driving profound changes in retail banks worldwide over the past decade or more: • Government mandates to promote financial inclusion are expanding. All the countries in which GAFIS banks are represented now explicitly aim to promote financial inclusion as a national policy objective,6 although only India has an explicit policy of directly mandating the involvement of private banks in defined segments (for lending). ICICI Bank was first requested to deliver a three-year financial inclusion strategy containing detailed targets for deposit accounts with Indian bank regulators in 2010, and this plan was updated in 2013. In South Africa, the Financial Sector Charter, first developed as a voluntary industry agreement in 2003, Table 1: GAFIS Partner Banks 6. The regulators in all five GAFIS countries are signatories of the Maya Declaration in which they commit to specific actions to promote inclusion: see http://www.afi-global.org/maya-declaration. GAFIS PROJECT REPORT
  • 10. 8 | In short, these drivers are changing the way banks do business, especially at the low end of the market. Banks must innovate, but financial inclusion can be a double-edged sword: Offer-ing the promise of growth in countries where tra-ditional middle and upper retail banking markets are considered saturated, combined with the threat of regulatory or political disruption to their business models if left unaddressed. appetite for risk and innovation. • The concept of “financial citizenship” is taking root. The global financial crisis, to-gether with other bank-related scandals, has challenged the legitimacy of large banks and the notion that they play a beneficial role in society. • Competition from outside the banking industry is growing. Perhaps most signifi-cantly for the GAFIS banks, technology and regulatory changes have unleashed new competition for their traditional client markets. Equity Bank has faced fierce competition from Safaricom’s M-PESA, the world’s leading mobile-money service, fo-cused on P2P transfers. Competition height-ened further with the launch in 2012 of Sa-faricom’s M-Shwari savings account (issued by a local bank far smaller in retail pres-ence than Equity), which also offers clients access to small loans. Standard Bank and Bancolombia have both seen smaller, more nimble competitors, such as Capitec Bank or Daviplata, respectively, make inroads into traditional retail banking space. In India, the regulator plans to license new banks, and continues to consider telco-driven mobile money solutions, in part to encourage more competition in retail banking. Even BANSEFI faces the possibility that its current exclusive distribution of paying the Oportunidades G2P scheme could end in the future. GAFIS PROJECT REPORT
  • 11. | 9 Table 2: Proportion of mass market clients considered poor according to different metrics Country Colombia India Kenya Mexico South Africa GDP pc PPP, 2012 (WDI) $10,587 $3,876 $1,761 $16,731 $11,440 % of adults with a formal account 30% 35% 42% 27% 54% (Findex 2011) GAFIS banks: Share of mass market clients below: Segment measured Mass market (“Personal”) N/A Mass market (“Ordinary”) Sources: * Banks: GAFIS surveys. Note: Results for ICICI Bank are not shown because the GAFIS baseline did not survey the actual client base; for Bancolombia and Standard Bank, the customers measured were intentionally the “lower” socioeconomic part of the respective mass markets. with a sizable proportion of poor and near poor. Such a high proportion is to be expected for a state bank like BANSEFI, which specializes in government transfers, but even among large commercial banks’ mass market segments the proportion of poor customers ranges from 39-70%, according to the locally defined poverty line (see Box A below for the GAFIS definitions of poverty). If near-poor customers are included, the proportion rises to 57-79%.8 For banks, basic transactional and savings prod-ucts have cast the net widely, in the hope that some features (such as salary deposit) may Financial inclusion in context: Who are the banks’ clients? The level of formal banking penetration varies across GAFIS countries (see Table 2). In South Africa, more than half of adults have bank accounts, while in Colombia, Mexico and India the proportion of poor clients is more in the 30-40% range. The Kenyan percentage of 42% includes a large proportion of non-bank mobile wallets that constitute significant competition to banks; adults with bank accounts are likely closer to 29%.7 The client bases of GAFIS banks are diverse, 7. FinAccess National Survey, 2013 8. “Near poor” is defined here as 25% above the national poverty line (see Box A). G2P recipients Mass market (“Inclusive”) National poverty line* 39% N/A 47% 92% 70% $2 PPP/day* 0% N/A 25% 46% 28% GAFIS PROJECT REPORT
  • 12. 10 | (due to privacy restrictions). In Mexico, the GAFIS-supported clients are recipients of a major government program (Oportunidades), which applies poverty target-ing; and in India, a means test is applied by ICICI Bank’s agent network partner (CASHPOR), which ensures all clients are “poor.” The structural shift: from margin to mainstream For banks, innovation is a complex and multi-faceted process involving changes in resourc-ing, structure and systems. Innovators have to compete aggressively for resources with other departments. The three GAFIS commercial banks have all ad-opted different approaches to the challenge of in-novating within a large institution, a process well described in Kosta Peric’s book, The Castle and the Sandbox (2012). As the leader of SWIFT’s Innotribe project to stimulate innovation in the SWIFT community of banks, Peric uses the im-age of the “castle” to depict an existing business such as (but not limited to) a large bank. These businesses have constructed elaborate systems and procedures as part of their success as “con-servative companies in established industries” (part of the book’s subtitle). These systems are often designed to withstand risk and change; to innovate, they need to establish “sandboxes,” or incubators, outside of the castle walls in which open approaches to innovation can be tested. Standard Bank has a long history of trying different approaches to what it used to call the mass market (see Box B ). In 2007, the Bank set up a “sandbox” in the form of a dedicated Com-munity Banking team outside of the retail bank, ultimately increase usage and that the financial service needs of some clients will grow with their income over time. The starting point for these partner banks mirrors that of commercial banks in many countries of the developing world. Box A: GAFIS definition of poverty Poverty lines are cut-off points separating the poor from the non-poor, and there are a variety of ways to measure them. In the GAFIS project, in most countries, BFA implemented both a baseline survey to understand the needs of poor clients and also an endline survey to measure the profile of new client bases. To identify poor clients, GAFIS used national poverty lines specific to each country, viz.: • Colombia, COP 202,083 ($107) per capita, per month • South Africa, ZAR 762 ($76) per capita, per month • Kenya, KES 9,526 ($112) in urban areas and KES 4,456 ($52) in rural areas (monthly per capita). Whenever possible, consumption measures were preferred over income measures, as they are typically superior indicators of well being, smoothing for income fluctuations over the year. For Kenya and South Africa, for example, monthly household expenditure was estimated by aggregating reported expenses for various household categories. In Colombia, while a simi-lar method was used for the baseline survey, an income measure was used in the endline survey (from the National Statistics Office in 2012), as this was deemed the most reliable method based on limited available access to existing customers GAFIS PROJECT REPORT
  • 13. | 11 Banking (CB). CB was to focus on developing in-novative ways of better serving the lower-income segment. An important part was agent outreach: For the first time, recruiting local merchants as Standard Bank agents in the communities where lower-income segments lived and often worked. It was essentially a “sandbox” experiment in terms of bank strategy and operational structure. GAFIS started its work with SBSA at this stage. In 2010, as part of a general bank-wide restruc-turing driven by cost cutting, Standard Bank integrated the Community Banking team as the kernel of a new “Inclusive Banking” division. This segment has responsibility for all bank products, savings and loans, offered to the mass market, which covers 70% of all the Bank’s cus-tomers (those earning up to $800 per month). The Inclusive Banking group was now required to migrate all its accounts to the bank’s new SAP core banking system and all marketing efforts had to conform to long-established group stan-dards. New product development was temporar-ily frozen during this transition and most of the original Community Banking team left the bank. The “sandbox” had been relocated into the “castle,” which restricted its freedom to innovate in the same ways. However, a new leader took over in 2011, with accountability for the bottom-line contribution of this large segment to the retail bank’s profitability. She was able to make the internal case for resources, rolling out a new suite of “Access” products in 2012. There was also a mass rollout of around 7,500 agents, many which reported to the investment bank respon-sible for new products. Led by a non-banker, the team experimented with the bank’s first deployment of agents, now called Access Points (previously called Bank Shops), and with mobile banking products separate from the bank’s core banking system. Box B: From “the sandbox to the castle”: Integrating financial inclusion into Standard Bank’s core strategy As one of the oldest and largest retail banks in South Africa, Standard Bank has a long history of outreach to what it used to call the “mass market” segment. Beginning in the 1990s, as apartheid crumbled, Standard Bank actively tried different approaches to become more inclusive. One of its first attempts was to create a new ring-fenced bank, E-Bank, which evolved into E-Plan, a transactional and savings product offered as part of the main retail banking operations. This became SBSA’s core deposit account offering for the lower rungs of the formally employed and salaried segment, serving around half of all SBSA retail bank customers. In 2004, SBSA, to-gether with the other large South African banks, launched the Mzansi basic bank account, aimed at low-income “informal” workers, using largely ATM channels. Although the bank met its targets for opening Mzansi accounts, this new product was a mixed success in that there was little activ-ity in the accounts compared to E-Plan. Mzansi lacked an accessible channel to appropriately serve this target market. In 2007, SBSA formed a new unit outside of its retail banking structures called Community GAFIS PROJECT REPORT
  • 14. 12 | systems, which also led to freezes in product development and ultimately delayed the rollout of the bank’s new mobile-only product called Ahorro a la Mano (ALM). With GAFIS support, Bancolombia invested heavily in technological adjustments to accommodate the ALM innova-tions of over-the-air account opening through mobile and cardless ATM transactions. ICICI Bank’s organizational structure to manage the lower-income segments has not changed as profoundly in this period. The Rural and Inclusive Banking Group (RIBG), headed by a Senior General Manager reporting directly to the Executive Director in charge of all Retail Banking, already existed and continues to be the line unit responsible for implementing the bank’s financial inclusion strategy. RIBG is now revenue generating and, while initially focused primar-ily on opening new accounts, is now actively promoting greater usage of opened accounts, in part based on experience with its Apna accounts (supported by GAFIS). located in peri-urban and lower-income areas where there are no bank branches. Inclusive Banking managed to win internal approval for new above-the-line and below-the-line market-ing approaches, including TV and radio mini-soap operas and guerrilla marketing (pic-ture on prior page). The Inclusive Banking divi-sion is now seen as integral to Standard’s retail bank—a core part of the redesigned “castle.” Bancolombia arrived at the same outcome via a different route. After initially addressing inclu-sion- related issues on a project basis, in 2012, Bancolombia set up a dedicated financial inclu-sion unit reporting to the head of the retail bank. The adoption of financial inclusion as one of the bank-wide strategic priorities under its new CEO in 2011 required a redesign of the “castle.” The new strategy brought a big paradigm shift. In the past, low-balance accounts were con-sidered a problem to be solved, rather than an opportunity to be pursued. This change occurred at the same time as a transition in core banking GAFIS PROJECT REPORT
  • 15. | 13 marked in structural terms in part because the internal structures of this smaller retail-focused bank were simpler at the outset, the Bank was already focused on moderate income Kenyans, and also because their IT systems were more recently implemented. As a result, they could accommodate changes in channel and prod-uct more easily. From the sometimes envious perspective of the larger commercial banks, Equity’s “castle” often looked during GAFIS more like a “sandbox” in terms of its flexibility and ability to embrace rapid change. However, while the smallest of the GAFIS private banks by assets, Equity is the fastest growing: from around 250,000 customers 10 years ago to around 7 mil-lion today. It is also the most profitable measured by return on equity (see Table 1 on page 7). Equity demonstrates to larger banks the poten-tial of a focused model, even in a competitive domestic environment. However, such rapid growth places inevitable pressure on organi-zational capacity and even culture, as the staff changes. By 2010, Equity senior management introduced changes to reorient its branch and operational managers to serve its lower-income segment in the face of strong competition. It has also had to manage the rollout of a new agent channel, with substantial resource allocation prioritized by the CEO. With GAFIS support, the Bank established a new Research unit compris-ing a half-dozen full-time employees focused on understanding the financial needs and patterns of the “common Kenyan.” Originally, the financial inclusion accounts offered by RIBG were hosted on a separate version of its core banking system, in order to handle large volume small-value transactions. As a result, these accounts were not connected electronically with the bank’s mainstream retail channels. Off-line transactions were primarily handled by agents (Business Correspondents, or BCs). However, in 2012, ICICI began to en-able the financial inclusion accounts to access the same functionalities as accounts on the mainstream core banking system. For example, domestic remittances can now flow directly into the GAFIS-supported (CASHPOR) Apna savings account from outside (see picture above). This IT-specific change underlines the process of mainstreaming of the inclusion segment within ICICI’s “castle.” In all these three large banks, there is now a well-resourced line department, headed by a senior manager and reporting directly to a senior executive in charge of the retail bank. These departments are also responsible for bottom-line financial results, measured on the same indica-tors as other mainstream bank departments: headline earnings, economic profits and return on equity. Importantly, these inclusive banking units all integrate segment, product and agent channel responsibility in one group. This integra-tion enables the banks to manage better the of-fering of products through their agent channels. Equity Bank has also undergone profound changes. However, Equity’s changes were less GAFIS PROJECT REPORT
  • 16. 14 | The GAFIS banks differ substantially in how they measure costs. Only one bank undertakes full activity-based costing, while the others generally use hybrid-costing variants to assign transaction costs to each service channel. Rather than simply average out the (sometimes extreme) differences among them, the GAFIS project developed a styl-ized financial model of a (Proposition 1.0) typical bank account, based on the profile of fees, costs and usage that depicts the general case across GAFIS banks (see Figure 2).10 Note that the “ACTA” model allows for dormancy as a cost of (A)ccounts, since the median dor-mancy rate across basic accounts was around 50% (with a range of 20% to 80%, depending in part how dormancy is defined). Costs to open accounts that subsequently go dormant are sub-stantial. Adjacencies in the stylized model did not include any cross-sell, since the evidence of this happening at large scale was limited. The net result, shown in red (in Figure 2), is the proposi-tion that a stylized account with a $30 balance and three transactions per month may lose the bank $2.79 per month. 2. Building the business case for a low balance account Do banks make money offering low-balance accounts? The short answer today is no, but it does depend on how one defines and measures ‘making money’.9 In this section, we apply the “ACTA” framework, developed by the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation in 2013, to address the question of profitability of low-balance accounts in GAFIS banks (see Box C). Box C: The “ACTA” framework for assessing account profitability In 2013, the Financial Services for the Poor team at the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation published a report called Fighting Poverty through Payments, which frames a way of categorizing the components of bank account profitability. The framework recognizes four possible sources of profitability from a financial account: • (A)ccount. Revenues include fees charged on the account itself less indirect costs such as maintaining the account on a core IT system and amortized cost of opening an account; • (C)ash handling. Revenues include fees for cash-in, cash-out (CICO) transactions (whether ATM, branch or agent) less the channel costs to process these cash-handling transactions; • (T)ransactional. Revenues for other elec-tronic transactions, whether charged to client or to another, (e.g., a corporate payee of bill payments from the account); and • (A)djacencies. Income earned on the deposit float at a bank, as well as cross-sell, up-sell accounts. 9. GAFIS Focus Note 3, available on www.gafis.net, identified five different levels at which the business case was made for banks to introduce or sustain a product or segment. 10. To see the math calculations behind Figure 2, see Annex B. GAFIS PROJECT REPORT
  • 17. | 15 Figure 2: Profitability for a Proposition 1.0 bank account (with $30 balance) A C T A Net the value, hence generating most of the adjacen-cy float income. For Standard Bank’s AccessSave, balances are even more concentrated. Only the top 14% of account holders have balances above $25, with an average balance of $350, which represents 98% of total portfolio balance. But, 86% of opened accounts (including those even-tually closed by the bank for non-activity) have balances under $25, with an average of under $2, very small even relative to monthly expenditures in poor households. Other GAFIS banks show similar dynamics depending on the breadth of the market served. This skewed distribution dramatically affects overall adjacency income received on the float. As shown in Figure 3, the highest average balance in a GAFIS account category is Standard Bank’s $151, for its AccessSave ac-count, followed closely by Equity Bank’s $135 for its Jijenge and School Fees accounts. Bancolom-bia and Standard Bank figures reflect high ratios of zero-balance accounts (a median of $0 for each). ICICI Bank’s figures reflect a relatively flat spread among its accountholders, with no non-poor higher balances to bring up the average or median. -1.53 -1.43 0.50 0.00 -0.50 -1.00 -1.50 -2.00 -2.50 The GAFIS stylized model above reflects a “TA” model in ACTA terms: (T)ransactions and (A)djacencies make small but positive contribu-tions but (A)ccount and (C)ash-handling costs overwhelm these minor positive gains. In fact, in some banks, high branch fees discourage customers from transacting at the branch, and they turn to ATMs (for withdrawals). To the extent that banks can charge adequately for ATM withdrawals, profits on cash-handling revenues can become an important part of the business model, although usually not sufficient to offset the large loss in the (A)ccount category. In the traditional business model for a basic Proposition 1.0 account, a big issue is that the float income (counted under (A)djacen-cies) from the $30 balance falls far short of the amount needed to cover relatively high costs (reflected in the small $0.11 in Figure 2); indeed, it would take an average balance $800 higher, all else equal, for the account to break even. This is far out of reach for most low-balance accounts (see Figure 3). In practice, savings balances vary greatly across a portfolio of accounts. Typically, 20% (or less) of the accounts carry more than 80% (or more) of 0.07 0.11 -3.00 -2.79 Net profit per account per month Source: see Annex B GAFIS PROJECT REPORT
  • 18. 16 | Figure 3: Balance levels across GAFIS banks for GAFIS-supported products (positive balance accounts only) license of the bank to pursue other lucrative lines of business. The stylized model also does not value pos-sible income growth of the customer over time. Equity Bank, for example, explicitly speaks of “growing with its customers,” and can point to high-income clients today who opened Equity accounts when they were quite poor. Thus, large banks with a strong emerging customer seg-ment represent a kind of portfolio option on the growth of this segment. While these strategic considerations certainly can improve the overall business case for offer-ing low-balance accounts, the underlying issue remains: Until the inclusive customer segment is perceived as profitable, banks will struggle to justify internal resource allocation. Because of the sheer numbers involved, banks will be vul-nerable to more focused competitors who can cherry-pick profitable segments. Source: GAFIS banks ICICI’s Apna- Cashpor Bancolombia’s Ahorro a la Mano A common business case concern with pursu-ing the business of low income clients is that the bank’s overall average balance is likely to fall; or, at worst, the lucrative “20%” of higher income clients may be driven away by poor service as the result of overcrowded branches, ATMs or call centers. One clear implication for the business case in a Proposition 1.0 world is that a savings product aimed exclusively at low-income people (for example, at the extreme, a product which sets low absolute caps on balances or otherwise excludes the non-poor) may be destined to fail. This simple framework does not capture the strategic financial or non-financial adjacency benefits that banks may receive from these ac-counts. For example, banks may earn additional business from government or corporates and, if regulatory compliance requires this, then offer-ing loss-making products cross-subsidizes the Equity’s Jijenge & School Fees Standard’s AccessSave BANSEFI’s G2P GAFIS PROJECT REPORT
  • 19. | 17 Bancolombia has recently done this with its new product (see Box D). Standard Bank has also revised its costing approach so that a higher proportion of allocation is based on transactional profile, not on the existence of an account which would penalize less active low-balance accounts. Box D: Bancolombia modifies its costing approach Bancolombia’s costing model is considered the most advanced among the GAFIS banks. In generating monthly income statements for each client segment, product portfolio and banking channel, the bank uses a full activity-based cost-ing approach to address how to allocate fixed overhead costs to products and divisions, a cen-tral facet of bank costing models. The portfolio-level view captures variable channel costs linked to customer transaction volumes as well as fixed costs allocated to product lines, including a monthly amortized origination expense per account. Bancolombia classifies each client as profitable, unprofitable or break-even based on his or her total contribution across all products at the bank. During the GAFIS-supported development of Ahorro a la mano (ALM), a cardless product that uses only mobile phones to transact, the bank realized that the existing cost allocations would burden the new product with unrelated expens-es. Previously, Bancolombia had not differenti-ated customer acquisition and servicing costs by channel, since the majority of customers opened accounts at bank branches. However, ALM’s reliance on over-the-air account opening meant Making low-balance accounts profitable If the typical basic bank account is not profit-able on its own, what are GAFIS banks doing about it? A number of strategies can be used to improve the business case: Adjust costing methodology where appropriate. Among GAFIS banks, there is no correlation between the rigor of costing models and the bank’s overall profitability, nor with the effectiveness of its outreach to low-income people. In fact, the banks vary widely in their level of financial analysis. At one extreme, the monthly profit-and-loss position is prepared at the level of each individual customer (based on regularly adjusted activity-based costing). At the other, some banks initially did little or no product or segment-level analysis (with no associated channel or product-level costing), though GAFIS subsequently supported some such costing development. Others fall in between, preparing portfolio-level profitability, based on some chan-nel or transactional benchmarks. All bank costing methodologies involve choices with consequences for ex ante decision making, as well as ex post measurement of outcomes. Examples include the treatment of fixed (or indirect) costs. Such costs—if truly fixed—are arguably less relevant (even irrelevant) in decision-making during time horizons less than or equal to the time such costs are indeed fixed. These discretional elements need to be aligned with the long-term strategy of the bank, such that the costing model provides relevant information to inform decision-making about where to invest resources and how to incentivize stakeholders. GAFIS PROJECT REPORT
  • 20. 18 | Fixed costs of deployment are lower for agents while variable costs (commission) are higher, hence the agent channel comparative advan-tage may be as much about strategic flexibility in growing physical footprint (quick set-up with low/nil sunk costs) as lower unit costs. • Account origination. Whereas branch origination costs among GAFIS banks range from $15 to more than $25, depending on marketing allocations, agent origination costs range from $1 to $6, depending on commissions and overhead allocation. Note that agent channels are usually not expect-ed to be profitable in their own right: Leading models do not charge the client to deposit, while the agent expects a commission. If the client merely deposits more at the agent channel with-out decreasing branch activity, then the business case may even be weakened, unless balances or fee-earning transactions (such as ATM withdraw-als or electronic payments) increase as a result. Increase revenue from e-transactions on either or both sides of a payment. Some transaction types, such as government benefits or remittances, involve an electronic credit into an account. This has two effects on the business case. First, the e-credit may displace the need for it would draw substantially less, if at all, upon the bank’s sales force and related platforms. Banco-lombia therefore re-calculated a lower monthly unit cost for ALM accounts opened remotely and serviced (for CICO) off-site at agents or at an ATM without a card. This cost reduction improved the business case for the new prod-uct, and for offering savings and transactional products to lower-income segments in Colombia in general. Use agent channels to reduce origination and cash-handling costs. Because most GAFIS banks have deployed agents only recently on a widespread basis, their costing approaches for agent transactions vary more widely than for more established channels like ATMs or branch-es. Nevertheless, it is possible to represent the stylized effect of agent channels on the account profitability calculation as follows: • Cash-handling (deposits and withdrawals). The cost of a deposit or withdrawal at an agent depends on the commission paid, which is typically less than $0.50 and may be as low as $0.10. The cost is as low as a fifth of the cost of a branch-teller transaction. While the cost may not be cheaper than an ATM withdrawal trans-action, the composition of costs is different. GAFIS PROJECT REPORT
  • 21. | 19 able for the bank. As explained in more depth elsewhere,11 the effect of Basel 3 across GAFIS banks is likely to vary widely, depending on their balance sheet structure. For South African banks, which have relied more on wholesale deposits to fund their assets, the effects of Basel 3 may make retail savings more attractive. This may increase the internal float rate paid by the bank Treasury for retail savings relative to corporate deposits (thus increasing this adjacency income to the segment even at the same balance level). But this effect may also be countered somewhat as banks also bid up interest rates paid to custom-ers to compete for retail savers, a direct cost to the segment. A combination of reducing costs of origination and cash handling, combined with more income (and lower costs) from electronic transactions and higher average balances in the bank, will start to improve the business case of basic bank accounts. This is especially true when costing methodology is aligned to the long-term strategy in this segment. In practice, all GAFIS banks are attempting a range of initiatives to address vari-ous aspects of the ACTA framework (see Table 3). However, to realize this new vision, banks need to reinvent the channels, or gateways, through which they transact with clients. the recipient to make more expensive branch or agent cash deposits into the account. Second, the bank may earn additional revenue from fees charged to the payer (such as employer or gov-ernment) for sending the money to the payee’s account. Since the payee does not pay for this inflow, these flows are treated here as a type of adjacency of revenue from the broader ecosystem in which the account holder lives and works. Exploit cross-sell adjacencies. Most GAFIS banks consider cross-selling of other products, especially loans, as an important part of their strategy. One bank in particular has an explicit target of doubling the number of bank products used per client during the next five years. Yet few have to date cross-sold other products to low income account holders on a consistent basis. Value additional ‘adjacencies’. Three GAFIS banks are in countries where Basel 3 regulations affecting banks were implemented in 2013— India, Mexico and South Africa. Some of these new rules may have an effect on the business case for retail savings. Specifically, new liquidity requirements will require banks to better match the liquidity profile of their assets and liabilities. Since retail deposits are seen as more diversi-fied and stable than wholesale deposits, they are weighted more highly than before in coverage calculation and therefore become more desir- 11. See AFI blog post: http://www.afi-global.org/opinion/2013/5/21/porteous-implementing-basel-iii-what-will-it-mean-future-financial-inclusion. GAFIS PROJECT REPORT
  • 22. 20 | Table 3: GAFIS banks’ diverse efforts to promote account-level profitability accounts to recipients of various government or donor programs. ICICI Bank was one of the first private Indian banks to be accredited to pay out Indian government cash transfer schemes in various states. Many banks have seen this approach as a safe re-tail strategy to serve low-income customers in a limited way, since it ensures a regular inflow into the account and a regular fee from the payer. If that fee is high enough, or if the bank is able to charge the client enough for the cash withdrawal (though typically not allowed for G2P), these accounts can be an attractive proposition, even with very low balances. Indeed, GAFIS’ original intent was to promote additional savings behavior arising from such natural gateways—to move beyond the domi-nant pattern for G2P of “dump & pull” behavior “A” (Account) 3. Gateways as customer acquisi-tion and “high-touch” channels Traditionally, a bank savings account has been regarded as a “bought” product, in that the customer chose when and where to open the ac-count (although their choice of bank may have been influenced by corporate marketing). A major exception is when bank accounts are required to receive payment flows; for example, when a government agency or employer re-quires a recipient to open an account if s/he wishes to receive the money due. Opor-tunidades recipients in Mexico are required to open BANSEFI accounts to receive their benefits. For BANSEFI, paying conditional cash transfers (CCTs, a form of G2P) for the Mexican govern-ment is a core business. At the start of GAFIS, Standard Bank and Equity Bank already provided “C” (Cash handling) “T” (Transactional) “A” (Adjacency) Bancolombia Lowering origination & maintenance costs (agent, mobile, cardless platforms) Shifting CICO to agents or ATM Encouraging e-debits, via mobile Incentivizing balance growth & product cross-sell w/ insurance feature & tiered inter-est rates BANSEFI Lowering origination costs (scale of G2P mandates) Shifting CICO to agents G2P fees earned from delivering e-credits Encouraging cross-sell of billpay Equity Bank Lowering origination costs (agent channels); aligning costing methodology Shifting CICO to agents Encouraging e-debits, via mobile (Ordinary a/c, not “pure” savings accounts) Incentivizing balance growth & relationship deepening eventually leads to cross-sell ICICI Bank Lowering origination costs (agent channels, mobile technology); alterna-tive core platform CICO exclusively via agents N/A for savings product, except for encouraging e-credits (P2P, G2P, B2P) Encouraging balance growth by promoting e-credits to fund a/c Standard Bank Lowering origination costs (agent channels, mobile technology) Shifting CICO to agents N/A for savings product, except for encouraging e-credits (salary, etc.) Incentivizing balance growth with discipline and bonus interest GAFIS PROJECT REPORT
  • 23. | 21 eficiaries to a payment provider linked to a small bank, following a procurement process marked by legal challenge and controversy. All benefit payments now have to be routed into those new bank accounts, limiting the ability of recipients to choose their bank. While beneficiaries may withdraw cash from the benefit account and then redeposit part into savings accounts at their former bank, this is costly and inconvenient, so many of the Standard Bank clients’ accounts have gone dormant. This potential gateway was also effectively closed by a government procurement decision. BANSEFI, which currently benefits from exclusive distribution on payment of the ma-jor Oportunidades CCT program in Mexico, has yet to see significant savings activity in its accounts. Even when its agents are legally able to take deposits (still the minority), the most commonly observed behavior pattern remains “dump & pull.” This is entrenched by rules of the CCT scheme, which discourage savings, and by many recipients unaware of the existence of an account and its features: a 2011 survey of BANSEFI account holders revealed that less than 30% knew the account could be used for sav-ings. Even when they do, a further challenge is that beneficiaries fear leaving money in the same account (or even the same bank), thinking the Government may decide that if they can afford to save, the welfare payment is no longer needed. Engaging clients through SMS messaging Savings, which involves accumulation of money over time, requires more than a one-time sales process; it requires an ongoing relationship in which the client has sufficient access to the bank account to deposit small amounts. For the client to be confident enough to leave balances in the account, s/he needs to be able to make small withdrawals easily and cost effectively. This requires the proximity and convenience that agent networks can bring (discussed in more detail later in this section). with one withdrawal. However, the experience of GAFIS partner banks pursuing G2P as a low-cost acquisition strategy has been very mixed. The downside of relying on G2P payments is that a government can change its entire payment approach or drag its heels (see Box E). The bank proposition of providing financial services based on the payment of government benefits alone is not, in fact, safe, but risky; and can be hard in practice to move beyond the payment only. Box E: G2P payments as a gateway For three GAFIS banks, government social trans-fers were considered to be a primary gateway to attracting more savings. However, at the end of GAFIS, the evidence of progress towards G2P as a gateway for savings remains limited. ICICI Bank and its agent network partner FINO opened more than 1 million accounts in the Indian State of Haryana. Starting in August 2011, ICICI established a new model for servicing these new account holders by offering more regular village presence (several times per week instead of once a month as before). This would allow clients to leave money in the accounts (and even deposit their own funds for safekeeping), since they could withdraw as needed rather than only on a defined monthly payday. However, just two months later, the State Government stopped making payments via banks and reverted back to making cash payments via local government structures. Without regular transfers, only 5% of the new bank accounts opened remained active. After the bank had invested to build out the ser-vicing infrastructure, this gateway was in effect closed for a long period. At the outset of GAFIS, Standard Bank had more than half a million account holders who received monthly G2P cash transfers into their accounts. These payees were originally identified as a primary target for promoting savings behavior. However, in 2011, the South African Social Secu-rity Agency awarded a single contract for all ben- 12. See Bold, Porteous & Rotman (2012) for the business case of G2P based on analysis which included three GAFIS countries—Colombia, Mexico and South Africa, although focused only on BANSEFI among the GAFIS banks. GAFIS PROJECT REPORT
  • 24. 22 | days when banks did not even bother to col-lect or verify accurate information since postal delivery was too expensive or not possible. The content of the SMS engagements aim to catalyze initial deposits and build trust by confirming agent deposit transactions or providing other useful information. Bancolombia enlisted a U.S.-based firm, Juntos Finanzas, to help design and deliver SMS content for its ALM account holders. A particular aim is to create a high-touch 2-way “conversation” to inform (building trust), encourage routine, and remind, evolving over time to a form of social (media) encouragement, and ultimately offering the convenience of links to e-transfer functional-ity or locating the nearest CICO point via GPS. Standard Bank, with a new transactional product aimed at the low-income segment, initiated Proj-ect Activate, and now sends a choreographed series of SMS messages to new account holders during the 100 days following account opening. This is deemed a clear success by the bank, with inactive ratios cut by around a third year-on-year. Project Activate is now being rolled out with the AccessSave account. However, in addition to physical proximity, there are other ways in which banks can reach out to touch their customers to encourage or promote savings. In traditional mass-market savings ac-counts, very little consideration has been given to the ex post touch. This is in large part because banks could not contact clients in the mass market segment—in many cases, because of the cost implications, they are even exempt from the requirement of sending regular printed account statements and often don’t collect accurate ad-dresses (if clients even have these). Also, the cost of a personal touch was considered prohibitive, especially given the uncertain benefit. Technology is changing this dynamic in two ways: • Using data analytics, banks can better identify which customers to “touch” (for example, those more likely to save, based on their previ-ous transaction patterns) and how; and • More than 90% of bank clients in GAFIS surveys in South Africa, Colombia and Kenya now have access to a mobile phone, which enables SMS messaging (see Box F). Box F: SMS as a new type of “touch” Three GAFIS banks (Standard Bank, Bancolom-bia, Equity Bank) are using SMS (text messages) to communicate with their customers more effectively. At Standard Bank and Bancolombia, mobile numbers are automatically linked to the GAFIS-supported savings account at opening. At Equity, a mobile number is not required, but is typically obtained. This is a big change from the GAFIS PROJECT REPORT
  • 25. | 23 prevent or limit access. Another strategy is to move into the mobile world: Bancolombia was one of the first banks worldwide to acquire a majority share of a mobile virtual network opera-tor (MVNO), called Uff!, in 2012.14 An MVNO does not have physical telco infrastructure but rather leases access to the infrastructure of others. Because the MVNO pays for wholesale access to existing infrastructure, it may be able to pass on better terms to its clients. However, even MVNOs ultimately require fair access to existing mobile infrastructure to succeed, so the role of regulators remains important here, too. Agents as a gateway for deposit taking In 2010, regulators in most GAFIS countries had only relatively recently authorized banks to use agents to take deposits at all: this change happened in 2006 in Colombia and India but only in 2009 in Kenya and Mexico. Recognizing the need to reduce costs of origina-tion and cash handling, and empowered by the new regulations, all the banks embarked on ambitious plans to build new agent networks. Collectively, these banks reported 2,600 agents in 2010, but three years later now have nearly 25,000 (see Table 4). Four of the five GAFIS banks already have substantially more agent locations than branches. Using agents, banks are also able to “sell” basic accounts more than they could before. The agent channel constitutes a low-cost account acquisi-tion strategy, where, depending on the commis-sion to the agent per account, agent-originated accounts may cost a tenth to half of branch-orig- Controlled experiments elsewhere by other banks suggest that reminders can increase sav-ings balances—although not by much in some cases.13 The bigger effect may well come through higher and sustained activation levels. It is too early to judge the outcome fully at GAFIS banks, although early results are promising. While SMS communications for reminders and balance enquiries show promise as part of an activation process, mobile-initiated transactions are still low at GAFIS banks relative to other channels. Most are actively promoting mobile-enabled accounts that allow the customer to pay bills or make transfers to other mobile numbers. However, most have experienced rising difficul-ties with securing access to SMS or USSD mobile channels. This is because, in some places, banks have had limited access to these channels because of competitive factors or because they are not yet reliable; and in others, MNOs have raised the cost of using these channels substan-tially. Bancolombia, for example, faces a 600% increase in the cost it has to pay to the domi-nant MNO in Colombia (reflecting a shift from fixed session costs to per SMS charges); ICICI may see its charge at least doubled, as well as a process challenge where the customer has to pay for each message directly. Access to these 2G channels will remain important for all financial providers until most low-income customers have smartphones with internet capability. Banks can respond to these difficulties with mobile channels in different ways. One is to complain to the communications regulator that dominant MNO positions are being abused to 13. Karlan 2013. 14. See Uff! website (in Spanish): www.uffmovil.com. GAFIS PROJECT REPORT
  • 26. 24 | pared with branch-opened accounts. For Equity Bank Ordinary Savings Accounts opened since January 2011, when agent origination started, the active ratio of agent-opened accounts is around a quarter lower than the branch-opened active ratio. inated ones. However, in common with other “sold” products like insurance, agent-originated accounts also show lower activation rates,15 especially if the incentives of agents are based on opening accounts rather than clients using them. Standard Bank’s AccessSave accounts opened at agents tend to be significantly less active com- Table 4: Agent and cash merchant channel details and statistics Bancolombia BANSEFI Equity Bank ICICI Bank Standard Bank Year of first deploying agents 2006 2010 2010 2010 2009 Number of approved agents 1,639 297 7,632 7,500 7,600 Number of agents involved in origi-nating accounts None, but now all can “assist self-service” OTA opening of new ALM account16 None All Most 100 Number of agents providing cash handling In addition to CICO, all agents receive cash for bill payments 271 All All 7,500 Number of active agents of all types 1,225 271 5,100 7,500 4,150 Source: GAFIS banks, 2013 Note: BANSEFI has many G2P payment points (several thousand), which service several million G2P accounts opened during the past few years, but these payment points cannot take deposits and so are not counted here; and the new accounts serviced for payment distribution only are also not counted as part of the GAFIS count of “new poor savers” (see Box I on page 36). 15. Meaning accounts into which a first deposit is made after opening. 16. Note: Bancolombia also has employees (called “PAMs”) that are similar to agents in that they rotate to multiple locations, including many CICO agent locations, promoting products and originating accounts. GAFIS PROJECT REPORT
  • 27. | 25 in agent transactions relative to the number of agents (see Box H). For Equity, less than three years after deploying agents, transactions across agents exceeded the total number of either ATM transactions or branch transactions on a monthly basis. Deposits make up just over half of agent transaction volume, but around two-thirds of value transacted at agents; in other words, agents have become a significant net deposit-taking channel for Equity. Over an equiv-alent two-year period to 2013, Bancolombia has also seen the number of transactions at its agents double, with agent deposits and withdrawals virtually equal in value. The convenience of agents can also encourage more savings through deposits or retention. A classic example of the agent in this role is the susu deposit collector of West Africa, who liter-ally makes daily rounds of clients to collect de-posits, reducing transaction costs for clients but also encouraging them to save.17 In the GAFIS context, CASHPOR, an Indian MFI, has played a similar deposit collector role (weekly) for ICICI’s Apna savings accounts (see picture here and Box G). All GAFIS banks have taken a different approach to developing agent networks over the past three years. ICICI Bank and BANSEFI contracted with intermediary institutions, such as CASHPOR or FINO in India and DICONSA stores in Mexico, to serve as agent network managers. This approach enables banks to offer an agent channel with-out acquiring or directly managing them, but it can create vulnerability and dependence on the network manager. The other three GAFIS banks have sought to build their own networks of agents, which takes substantial resources and management skills. Equity Bank has recorded the fastest uptake rates 17. For more background on the Ghanaian version of individual deposit collectors, see http://www.aaeafrica.org/start/the-susu-collection-system-in- ghana-and-experiences-in-linking-formal-and-informal-financial-intermediaries/. See also the Care 2012 report Banking on Change which describes linkages between a formal bank and village savings and loan associations. GAFIS PROJECT REPORT
  • 28. 26 | As of October, 2013, around 150,000 (almost a third) of CASHPOR’s credit clients had opened ICICI savings accounts, with more than 110,000 of these active (with a positive balance). This is a very high active ratio for India, where typically less than 20% of “no-frills” (financial inclusion) accounts are active. The bank charges customers US$2 to open the account (the only product in GAFIS to do this) as well as an annual fee (US$1) for unlimited CICO transactions. Both fees likely contribute to the high active ratio, and reduce the chances of over-buying or over-selling. The model mobilizes significant deposit activ-ity, with an approximately 6:1 volume ratio of deposits-to-withdrawals, although the average withdrawal is much larger than the average depos-it. ICICI also offers Fixed Deposit and Recurring Deposit products through agents (though less than 5,000 accounts to date). ICICI’s direct costs in this model come in the form of revenue-sharing with CASHPOR, including sharing margin on float balances (also unique among GAFIS agent relationships), and per-trans-action fees (also with ICICI’s Technology Service Provider, EKO). These direct (mostly variable) costs are covered by ICICI’s sharing of revenues. Whether bottom-line profitability is achieved depends on how the indirect (mostly fixed) costs are allocated. For CASHPOR, the business case appears adequate for now to sustain its agent role. More importantly, as an NGO with a social mission which cannot itself take savings, CASHPOR sees that access to a savings account benefits its micro-credit clients, and also helps them accumulate money for loan-repayment purposes. This sense of mission is tough to replicate. Box G: ICICI Bank and CASHPOR: Mobilizing savings through agents To quickly and effectively establish its presence in poor and rural areas of the State of Uttar Pradesh, ICICI Bank partnered with CASHPOR, an estab-lished micro-credit organization, which was also a long-term commercial client of ICICI. CASHPOR’s primary offering was micro-credit (not savings, mainly as a result of regulatory restrictions) and thus there was no inherent conflict in serving as an agent for ICICI’s savings account. CASHPOR had more than 500,000 rural clients, with roving loan officers who could potentially double as ICICI deposit-taking customer service points (CSPs). While initially intending to help ICICI open a remittance gateway, CASHPOR itself became a “gateway” for new clients to the bank. The CASHPOR micro-credit business follows a traditional joint liability group lending model, in which the loan officer visits multiple groups with 15-20 women clients each day. Each group meet-ing lasts 45 minutes, with the first half dedicated to micro-credit and second half to savings activities (account openings, CICO and assistance with balance inquiries). GAFIS PROJECT REPORT
  • 29. | 27 Box H: Equity Bank: Rapidly scaling the agent channel and agent transactions Since early 2011, while the number of transac-tions through Equity Bank branches and ATMs has stayed relatively constant, the number of agent transactions has increased dramatically. It now exceeds the number through any other single channel—and two thirds of the total value of all agent transactions are deposits. What has fuelled the rapid scale up at Equity? Equity has benefited from the overall consumer market in Kenya already being comfortable with using agents and mobile phones for basic financial transactions. However, chief among the factors in the success of Equity’s agent rollout is its agent selection process. The bank has a history of serving small-business clients, and branch managers were incentivized to identify well-established businesspeople who had repaid loans to the bank. These business owners were selected as agents based on their proximity to formal and informal markets, trans-portation points and busy walkways. Later, other agents were also selected based on their location nearby the busiest branches. Equity agents must set aside physical space near or within the existing business. Preference is given to those agents that can provide a modicum of pri-vacy to customers; some agents have innovatively used their marketing collateral to promote privacy. Agents are also required to invest in marketing col-lateral, POS machines and mobile phones to run the business, demonstrating their commitment and incentive to make the proposition work. Today, more than 25% of the agents’ agent activi-ties are profitable as stand-alone businesses. The remainder are either near break-even, expect to be profitable in the near future, or else consider the increased foot traffic in their stores as a sufficient reason to offer agency services. Over time, Equity Bank has begun to implement a tiered franchise-type system for managing agents. The most successful agents identify and manage sub-agents, which primarily conduct CICO services. GAFIS PROJECT REPORT
  • 30. 28 | Effects on the business case: activation and activity The combination of agents in the field and SMS messaging to the phone is changing both the way banks originate accounts and the intensity of their interaction with customers after account opening. However, there are variations along the spectrum of initial customer choice, which is framed as “bought-sold-required” along one axis in Figure 4; and with the other axis reflecting the engagement after the account opening. For “required” accounts, like the traditional In-dian G2P no-frills accounts offered by ICICI and other banks, ex post engagement by the bank with the customer has traditionally been very low, especially for those not receiving regular G2P. BANSEFI’s full agents, open during shop hours, have sought to offer higher touch, even though, as Box E related, this alone has not been enough to overcome other factors discouraging savings and result in higher transactions on the account. On the other end of the spectrum, for “bought” accounts such as ICICI’s Apna-CASHPOR prod-uct, regular deposit collection in villages means that the Bank remains in regular personal touch through its agent. Bancolombia’s Ahorro a la Mano account is also bought by customers who open the account over-the-air on their mobile phone and then deposit or withdraw cash via agents or ATMs. The SMS campaigns described earlier raise the ex post touch quotient for this product, as they do for Standard Bank’s AccessSave, which is more reliant on agents to sell it. Equity’s experience, alongside the microfinance experience of CASHPOR for ICICI and the longer experience of Bancolombia with cash-handling agents, provides evidence that agents can be part of a mass outreach strategy that includes deposit mobilization. Agents can clearly play a role in communities not previously served by bank branches: many of Standard Bank’s Access Points, for example, reach out into poorer peri-urban communities. A key business model question for banks is whether the clients who use the agent channel also use branches. If so, the business case based on the cost reduction would be undermined to that extent. One way to address this is to limit the service channel at which new accounts can be used (e.g., restricting branch deposits). But even when the new clients can use any channel, Equity’s experience so far suggests that a distinct new segment of clients is emerging who mainly or only use agents—of all Equity clients using agents, Equity reports that around two thirds do not use any other cash handling channel of the bank. GAFIS PROJECT REPORT
  • 31. | 29 Figure 4: Intensity of “touch” for bought, sold or required products typical no frills accounts across banks in India. However, we also observe instances of higher dormancy resulting from agent origination. Hence there is a need to follow more clients using the new agent channels over a longer time frame to understand better how the dormancy profile changes over time, so we here assume no net change in dormancy in calculating the shift to Proposition 1.5. These effects combine to improve the overall account level proposition—losing just $1.02 per month compared to $2.79 as before—but are not sufficient in themselves to make this Propo-sition 1.5 profitable (see Figure 5). Proposition 1.5 alone is therefore not a final point, but rather an interim step towards Proposition 2.0. This will include more user-initiated transactions on which fees are paid, as well as higher balances and activity rates due to more flexible and useful accounts. These further changes combine to create at least a near break-even situation for the account before any cross selling is contemplated. Real profitability will depend on a bank’s ability to understand its clients well enough to cross-sell other products successfully. How do Proposition 1.5 solutions using agents change the business-case proposition from that of Proposition 1.0 basic accounts? Since the agent channels are relatively new, one cannot yet be definitive about long-term effects on client activity and usage profiles. However, indicative evidence from across the GAFIS banks suggests the following stylized facts so far: Agents usually reduce opening costs relative to branch-opened accounts (based on GAFIS experience, we assume $6 rather than $15 in the stylized model), although there may be a cor-responding activation challenge as noted. Agents reduce the cost of cash-handling transac-tions to as low as a fifth of that in the branch, although the fee structure to clients (whether charges can be made for deposits) may still mean that the bank cannot profit on cash-han-dling alone. The ex post touch, whether by SMS messaging or by human agents, can improve activation and usage rates—as shown in the rise in ac-counts activated at Standard Bank following the Project Activate SMS campaign, or in the more than 70% active rate for ICICI’s Apna-CASHPOR clients compared with below 20% or below on Required AccessSave GAFIS PROJECT REPORT
  • 32. 30 | Figure 5: How Proposition 1.5 improves account-level profitability dimensions: The relative value accumulated, the period of accumulation (or duration), and the client preference for liquidity or illiquidity. The resulting three common patterns of savings behavior (shown in their location across these dimensions in Figure 6 below) can be character-ized as: Spend down slowly. Transactional balances are retained for spending at a later point within a relatively short spending cycle (such as a month) and with a strong preference for liquidity; Accumulate. Balances are built up over time in small steps, often with illiquidity built in, such as a requirement to regularly contribute and/or an inability to access funds until a defined time or goal; Preserve. Balances that are relatively large are held for a longer period with the emphasis on preserving the lump sum until needed. 4. How the poor save, informally and formally Proposition 2.0 requires that banks tailor products to match patterns of financial behav-ior already exhibited by the client. This section focuses on the learnings from GAFIS about how to define and measure savings behavior, and what this means for bank products in the context of other products already in use. For a relatively simple concept, savings is hard to define. People save for a variety of reasons (such as lifecycle, precautionary, income generating), and use a variety of instruments. Clients may use what banks call transactional (or debit card or basic) accounts to accumulate balances over time—that is, to save. And clients may never accumulate any balances in what banks call sav-ings accounts. The portfolios of clients analyzed as part of GAFIS demand-side research show at least three types of savings behavior. These vary in three CICO GAFIS PROJECT REPORT
  • 33. Figure 6: Distinguishing 3 types of savings behavior in a portfolio possible images with/without background | 31 responds to transactional patterns based on keeping cash in the home (under the mattress) so that it is liquid and available for near-term planned or unplanned expenditures. For a bank account to accommodate this type of savings be-havior, it must beat the convenience of the mat-tress, even though it is already safer. Spend down slowly bank savers may still withdraw all or most available funds over a monthly or seasonal cycle, but they do so in tranches so average balances across the cycle are higher than the “dump & pull” profile (withdrawal of full balance immedi-ately upon arrival). This behavior type is a short term form of savings, but relative to the dump and pull pattern, reflects in higher average account balances and more activity over time. These observed patterns can all be carried out using informal instruments which are widely used in poor clients’ financial portfolios. For ex-ample, poor clients in rural areas of developing countries often use livestock, such as cows, as instruments to preserve higher value, long-term savings. They even have liquidity restrictions since the cow must be sold to realize the savings. While the informal instrument in this case also has the advantage of an income flow (in the form of milk production or offspring), and may even hold its value or appreciate over time, the cow could also die or be stolen, losing all value. A formal financial institution wishing to attract savings of this type literally has to “beat the cow” as a value proposition for the low-income client. Equally, “spend down slowly” behavior cor- GAFIS PROJECT REPORT
  • 34. 32 | The role of the bank in the client savings portfolio Some of the GAFIS products target one of these types of savings behavior (see Table 5), by offering a mix of incentives to save and a range of associated liquidity (or illiquidity) options, while others allow customers to shape their own use of the account. Table 5: Bank account features & types of savings Product features Savings behavior targeted Savings incentives Liquidity restrictions Ahorro a la Mano (Bancolombia) Any Offers free hospitalization insurance if balance stays above $175; tiered interest ranging from 0.25 – 3.5%. None: debits (withdrawals, inter-account transfers and transfers/ payments to 3rd parties) can be made anytime. Apna account, Fixed Deposit & Recurring Deposit (ICICI Bank, CASHPOR as agent) Apna—Any, including frequent incidence of Accumulate or Preserve Recurring deposit— Accumulate Fixed Deposit—Preserve High interest offered on all products, including the basic Apna (4%) and much higher (7%) for Fixed and Recurring Deposits. The basic Apna account relies on weekly visits by MFI collector, a de facto liquidity constraint in between visits (can withdraw anytime from nearest MFI branch, but less convenient). Fixed and Recurring Deposit products offered, with minimum thresholds lowered for rural poor. AccessSave (Standard Bank) Any, esp. Accumulate or Preserve Bonus interest payment if savings goal achieved. Requires 7-day advance notice in order to withdraw. G2P recipient account (BANSEFI) Spend down slowly Interest paid. None: debits (withdrawals) can be made anytime. Ordinary savings account (Equity) Any, esp. Spend down slowly and Preserve Interest paid only if balance above $120. None: debits (withdrawals, inter-account transfers and transfers/ payments to 3rd parties) can be made anytime. Jijenge account (Equity) Accumulate Interest paid only with balance above $120; bonus interest if goal achieved. Requires monthly commitment. No withdrawal before the end of the set term. School Fees account (Equity) Accumulate Interest paid on all balances. Four free withdrawals per year, high charge thereafter. GAFIS PROJECT REPORT
  • 35. | 33 While some account types seek to target one specific type of savings behavior, open-ended savings accounts can accommodate all three types. Using transactional data from open-ended accounts shows that basic bank accounts are in fact used for all types of savings behavior—but especially the “spend down slowly” and “preserve” type. Regular accumulation behavior is less common, since these accounts do not offer strong incentives and penalties to reinforce regular commitments in the way that accumulat-ing savings groups do, for example. How does the savings behavior shown in the bank account fit into the wider portfolio of instruments used by poor customers? Answer-ing this requires the ability to link the profile of the account to wider information obtained in surveys of clients—using identifying numbers that do not violate confidentiality requirements around bank accounts. During the GAFIS project, this intricate exercise was undertaken at one bank in particular, yielding the average allocation of all financial assets across six different savings instruments, according to the savings behavior type shown in the one bank account (see Figure 7). While the specific incentives or limitations may be designed to support savings behavior, not all are well understood by the clients. With Banco-lombia’s new ALM product, for example, only 18% of the clients surveyed knew that there was a free hospitalization insurance benefit if they maintained a high enough balance. At Equity Bank, the requirement to hold a minimum balance of $120 to earn interest in the savings account was not widely known. The seven-day notice period for a withdrawal in Standard Bank’s AccessSave was not universally under-stood, as revealed by anecdotes of disappoint-ment and surprise when clients were first denied a withdrawal without giving the notice. We noted earlier that, at GAFIS’ outset in 2011, most of BANSEFI’s account holders did not realize the account was a bank savings account. Financial institutions that allow new clients to test their products first can build up trust: for example, by making balance inquiries cheap and easy so clients can confirm their balances frequently at first and understand the impact of charges. This is a common pattern: Equity’s Jijenge clients made frequent balance checks, which are deliberately inexpensive, to help them monitor balances and detect any surprises. Figure 7: Allocation of financial assets held outside one GAFIS bank Source: InFocus Note 3, BFA (2012) GAFIS PROJECT REPORT
  • 36. 34 | the costs and intensity involved, financial diary exercises are typically done on a relatively small scale, requiring careful choice of participating households to test different client profiles, as well as caution in interpreting the results to apply to a broader population. Financial diaries yield indicative in-depth results but are usually not statistically representative of the larger popula-tion group. GAFIS undertook four financial diary exercises to monitor bank client (and non-client) portfolios over time (see Table 6). Most of the GAFIS new product launches took place relatively late in the project life (2012/3), allowing limited time to track shifts in client port-folios. Some diary exercises are still underway, with additional co-funding to boost their scale, and also extend their cycle beyond the limits of the main GAFIS project. Despite these constraints on results at this point, several observations have emerged: Several observations are apparent from this exercise: • First, even dormant customers may be custom-ers of another bank, in which case the proposi-tion to reactivate them is different than if they had stopped using banks altogether; • Second, clients who use their bank account to spend down slowly seem to use the most diverse portfolio of instruments over all; • Third, informal savings clubs feature promi-nently in all portfolios—even those using the bank to preserve or accumulate, which was in fact a small number in this sample. Building such an integrated view of the client from transactional “big data” as well as survey data is still in its experimental stage with GAFIS banks, but promises to yield valuable informa-tion. It is possible that banks can link the ob-served savings behavior in accounts with observ-able client characteristics to improve targeting of different types of customers. The account-level profitability clearly varies with the balance and activity level in the account, so that better iden-tifying clients wishing to preserve usefully large sums can become a profitable strategy to grow a retail savings book; rather than cycling through high transactors with low average balances. How have the new GAFIS products changed savings portfolios of the clients who use them? Simple, one-off surveys rarely track financial flows adequately or accurately enough to answer this question. But the methodology of financial diaries, popularized in the book, Portfolios of the Poor, allows for repeated interaction with the respondent over a prolonged period. Collect-ing close to real-time data on flows helps build an individual balance sheet profile. Because of GAFIS PROJECT REPORT
  • 37. | 35 Diary duration Sampling basis Date Diaries concluded Purposive sampling across popula-tion in 5 areas of country; aimed for 30 households with Jijenge users; 30 with School Fees users Clients used Equity’s revamped Jijenge and new School Fees accounts mainly because they sought a separate place for savings oriented to-wards a defined goal. For many, the appeal of the bank account over the equivalent informal in-strument (savings club) was its longer duration; and compared to savings at home, bank saving offered more privacy from family members and friends. As the GAFIS research shows, savings patterns are diverse. Bank product design must either target a specific savings behavior, or else be flex-ible enough to allow clients to tailor their usage of the account to meet different needs. The more banks understand how savings products fit into the wider portfolios of clients, the more they will be entrusted with the portfolios of the poor. Table 6: Financial Diaries studies of GAFIS bank clients Location Diary sample size Kenya18 300 12 months ICICI’s Apna clients started to save regularly in their new accounts, although in small amounts. After a year or so with an account, the ICICI bank account held around 5% of the household’s total financial assets (and 9% of the account holder’s individual assets)—an important step towards diversifying their portfolios from reliance on informal savings products. On the other hand, some of Standard Bank’s new AccessSave clients saved as much as 50% of their total financial assets in the new account. Some of these clients previously kept the money “under the mattress” in their homes. However, they recognized that this was risky and that AccessSave offered safety, convenience and discipline, and appear to have shifted a portion of their ‘home bank’ balances into the bank as a result. November 2013 India 89 7 months Purposive, as follows: At project inception, 60 held Apna account and CASHPOR loan, 15 held a CASHPOR loan only (no Apna), and 15 had neither. July 2013 Mexico19 180 10+ months Sample includes 120 HHs who re-ceive Oportunidades and 60 that are poor but do not receive the ben-efit for comparison in Oaxaca and Puebla states and Mexico City. December 2014 South Africa 67 8 months Purposive sampling of “Access” target market, which by end of study included 44 with at least 1 “Access” product, including 14 with Access- Save. June 2013 18. The Kenyan financial diaries were co-funded by FSDK and the full results will be available via FSDK in 2014. 19. The Mexican financial diaries were co-funded to create a much larger sample started only in late 2013 so will yield insights only in 2014 outside of the project timeframe. GAFIS PROJECT REPORT
  • 38. 36 | Conclusion: The journey to date and the way ahead The changes within GAFIS partner banks dur-ing the project period (2010-2013) have been profound. All five banks have made progress by designing and launching appropriate new prod-ucts and channels to serve low-income clients. All make more use of information from diverse sources to understand their client base and, increasingly, to recognize segments within it. All banks have built new agent channels and, in some cases, they already contribute substantially to the business. Collectively, the GAFIS banks have opened more than 4.2 million new accounts in GAFIS-linked products in less than three years. More impor-tantly, they now serve approximately 420,000 “new, poor savers” as a result of the project (see Box I). This number is measured according to the GAFIS project definition, which requires evi-dence of both savings activity (870,238 accounts) and the poverty status of the account holders (543,119 new accounts meet both criteria); and which also weights the level of attribution to the project according to how directly GAFIS was involved (reducing the 543,119 to 419,654). Even with delays in launching new products at several banks, these growing numbers provide early indication that large banks can achieve scale outreach with their new propositions. Box I: The GAFIS project scorecard: Desired outcomes and results Desired Outcomes GAFIS Results Significant learning dissemi-nated to the sector about the business case for delivering useful savings for the poor, particularly related to products linked to identified gateways. Four Focus Notes, as well as blogs, local articles and numer-ous talks. This report is itself a key part of making findings accessible to a wider audience. At least two large formal financial institutions have been encouraged and assisted to develop viable savings prod-ucts for the poor. Standard Bank, Bancolombia and Equity Bank have launched new savings products, while the others have all taken steps toward more viability of exist-ing products. As important, several have restructured their retail banks to a position to deliver inclusive banking well into the future. 500,000 “new, poor savers” use GAFIS savings products. During the project, banks opened more than 4.2 million new accounts of types linked to GAFIS, of which 870,238 are “savers”. Of these, 543,119 are also poor, while 419,654 are “new, poor savers” attributable to GAFIS.20 20. As of 31 October 2013. GAFIS PROJECT REPORT