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■ Research Paper
The Advanced Syntegration as the Most
Effective and Efficient Tool for Large-Scale
Disaster Response Coordination
Anja Reissberg*
Department of Geography, University of Hawai’i at Manoa, USA Systems Expert, Malik Management, St. Gallen,
Switzerland
My proposal is to use the Advanced Syntegration as a tool to set up the most efficient and
effective disaster response for catastrophic events—in as short as 2.5 or 3.5 days, organized
right after the event. MSS is a revolutionary highly innovative tool based on a 3-year
research tradition in cybernetic management. This method is an extremely effective and
efficient problem-solving tool with groundbreaking superlative results to deal with high
complexity and solve the biggest challenges and the most pressing decisions of the top
management level. It uses the power of up to 40 key players and their collective knowl-
edge in the intelligence-enhancing, brain-interlinking architecture of the Syntegration.
Copyright © 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.
A more interlinked world needs more effective
organizations. Cybernetic management entails
completely different, innovative and creative solu-
tions for any organizational network or parts
thereof that the methods used today cannot pro-
vide. As the science of effective organization, it
shows how to control complex systems in a holistic
manner. Originating in the field of System
Sciences, its pioneers were Norbert Wiener (1948)
with ‘Cybernetics: Or Control and Communica-
tion in the Animal and the Machine’, Stafford Beer
with the Viable System Model (Brain of the Firm,
1972, 1981) and the Syntegration (Beyond dispute,
1994). Besides Cybernetics, the systems sciences
entail the systems approach, operations research,
general systems theory, system dynamics, learning
organizations and total quality management.
Using nature’s knowledge to overcome increas-
ingly complex problems, it induces self-organization
and self-regulation, the most prevalent natural laws.
It is used in today’s organizations to enhance deci-
sion making and effectiveness and efficiency of given
resources using the best drivers of the system instead
of losing the power inherited in an organization.
Even dying systems can be revived and brought
back from their coma-like states. Management cyber-
netics is the concrete application of natural cybernetic
laws to all types of organizations and institutions cre-
ated by human beings and to interactions with and
within them. Figure 1 shows its main stance: The
whole is greater than the sum of its parts.
Figure 2 represents two concrete applications of
natural cybernetic laws in bionics on the example
of using the shape of box fish in aerodynamics
*Correspondence to: Anja Reissberg, Department of Geography, Malik
Management St. Gallen, Switzerland.
E-mail: Anja.Reissberg@mzsg.ch
Copyright © 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.
Systems Research and Behavioral Science
Syst. Res. 28, 455–464 (2011)
Published online 25 October 2011 in Wiley Online Library
(wileyonlinelibrary.com) DOI: 10.1002/sres.1109
and the dirt-repellent properties of the Lotus plant.
Bionics takes nature’s solutions of 4 billion years of
trial and error processes and turns them into opti-
mal solutions—most effectively and efficiently.
How does this relate to crisis management
under high complexity? The question here is
how many problems can be solved simultan-
eously? How many people does it take? And
how fast can it be performed? It depends on the
method and the interconnections. Linking people
in a chain produces ‘noise and distortion’ A ! B
C ! D ! E. Facing high complexity conventional
methods inevitably hit the wall in large systems
and fail in the face of the complexity of dynamically
interconnected systems. Conventional project pro-
cedures entail a year-long cycle of sequential
Figure 1 The whole is greater than the sum of its parts
Figure 2 Using nature’s knowledge
RESEARCH PAPER Syst. Res.
Copyright © 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. Syst. Res. 28, 455–464 (2011)
DOI: 10.1002/sres
456 Anja Reissberg
rather than simultaneous methods. The cybernetic
challenge ignored most often is the change in
organizational networks that takes place faster than
solutions can be developed. The collective team is
never informed as such because new and different
people come in and leave the network constantly.
The Advanced Syntegration integrates the most im-
portant advantages of both conventional methods:
the small group and the large committee. Several
small groups encompass little knowledge and
reach their limit quickly while being hard to coordi-
nate with each other. Within themselves, they work
fine, but their collective tacit knowledge remains
unused. The resource knowledge is lost and with
it the remaining power that can jolt an organization
and bring it up to speed to deal with the complexity
and velocity of change in the environment of today.
In large committees, more knowledge, experience,
intelligence and power are present, but they are
very inefficient. There are other large-scale commu-
nication processes, such as the U-Process (Senge,
et al., 2004), but because they run over several
months, there is no possibility for top decision
makers to bear with the process because of time
constraints and related opportunity costs. In a di-
saster situation, there is specifically the need for a
fast process, which the Advanced Syntegration
can deliver.
Large-scale catastrophes, so-called high-impact
low-probability (HILP) events, such as the Japan
disaster 2011, the earthquake in Haiti 2010 or the
Asian Tsunami 2004 have an extremely high
complexity and cannot be planned beforehand.
Natural disasters by themselves are already hard
to predict, and the possible disaster situation to
respond to cannot be predicted because the
economic, environmental and socio-cultural vul-
nerability adds to its uncertainty. Even the com-
plexity of the best to-be-foreseen events cannot be
kept under control: hurricanes can be predicted
most accurately because the possible paths can be
tracked before landfall for about 5 days.
Figure 3 shows a product that provides the actual
chance for every location of experiencing at least
tropical storm (39mph or greater) sustained winds
over the following 5days. The white and hatched
regions are the cone of uncertainty, which show the
average track errors during the last 10years superim-
posed on the ‘skinny black line’, which represents
the forecast track for the centre of the storm.
Improvements in forecasts make the storm track
66% reliable within a 5-day forecast. This tool takes
into account uncertainty in track, peak winds, and
the size of the storm and explicitly gives information
about the possible wind impact at individual loca-
tions (US Department of Commerce, National
Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, National
Weather Service, 2006). With those levels of uncer-
tainty in mind, we have to add the complexity of
the disaster management response.
After a HILP event, a plethora of organizations
with different structures, processes and socio-
cultural mindsets have to coordinate under the
pressure of loosing lives by the minute. A multi-
stakeholder decision, coordination and imple-
mentation process emerges with extremely high
complexity, and there is no possibility to plan
for such engagement beforehand because the
variety—the possible states of the system—is so
high that is not to be forecasted—neither on
nature’s side of the impacts or on the organi-
zational side of the response. The case study of a
catastrophic hurricane on O’ahu, Hawai’i with
1 million people on-island and without feasible
evacuation options should demonstrate the details
of complexity at hand and the response capabil-
ities the Advanced Syntegration to match this
variety explosion. Overall, the hurricane risk for
a strong hit or near miss on O’ahu lies at about
1–3%. This probability seems low, but risk is math-
ematically constituted by the probability of an
event times the magnitude of the consequences of
the event. Consequently, the severity of the
impacts needs to be considered. As the vulnerabil-
ity analysis of this case study showed, those
impacts would be catastrophic (Reissberg, 2010).
Nature has solutions in dealing with exactly such
situations, but before I introduce those valuable
insights of bionics, I want to report on more
detailed challenges that arise in such almost un-
solvable multi-stakeholder coordination problems.
This situation calls for collective intelligence and
real-time cooperation.
Those results stem from the study of the hurri-
cane hazard management system of the State of
Hawai’i for a scenario of a Katrina-like storm hitting
the island of O’ahu with metropolitan Honolulu.
Over 1million people inhabiting this island face
Syst. Res. RESEARCH PAPER
Copyright © 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. Syst. Res. 28, 455–464 (2011)
DOI: 10.1002/sres
Advanced Syntegration Tool 457
no possibility of evacuation, 80% of infrastructure
failure and loss of power for several months. To
get into the response range for such environmental
disturbance, a network of organizations is sup-
posed to follow a specific coordination format,
which in practice fails in high complexity situations.
The structural diagnosis through the cybernetic tool
‘the Viable System Model’ (Beer, 1994a, 1994b) came
to the following results with the suggestion of using
the Advanced Syntegration to remove inefficient
and ineffective patterns.
The biggest challenges of such large-scale cata-
strophes are mass care (sheltering, evacuation,
health care, water and food) and infrastructure
(power, communications, transportation) including
the first step of debris removal. The local govern-
ment is overwhelmed, assistance from governmen-
tal, private and NGO relief agencies pour in as well
as international donation efforts. Consequently and
realistically over time, enough resources in financial
and physical terms are available. The worldwide
media drove huge efforts in pulling together
resources for events such as the Asian Tsunami
2004, for example. On a smaller scale, Hurricane
Katrina 2005 in New Orleans made it obvious, that
within the USA, there definitely are enough
resources to not have a hurricane turn into such a
catastrophe with over 1500 deaths. It has therefore
been clearly seen that the speed of coordination is
key to highly reducing the vulnerability of any
given area, exposed to any given event. Throughout
underfunded governmental and other organiza-
tions were emphasized, but the tacit resource
collective intelligence is untapped. Taking the ant
colony as an analogy, neither the single ant nor the
queen knows or is aware of the functioning and of
the whole nor would they be able to consciously
control its complexity, but the collective intelligence
of the whole give emergence to the complex func-
tioning of the colony: the whole is more than the
sum of its parts—the foremost important law of
cybernetics.
Figure 3 Track of Hurricane Katrina 2005
RESEARCH PAPER Syst. Res.
Copyright © 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. Syst. Res. 28, 455–464 (2011)
DOI: 10.1002/sres
458 Anja Reissberg
Further, with a hierarchical structure, more
power inherited in an organization is lost. Infor-
mation can be used as an alternative to authoritar-
ian control, and the process can be steered with
information, not power. This cybernetic principle
can be observed currently in the revolutionary
processes in the North-African states where infor-
mation evidently is more important in the process
than the hierarchical power structures. Within an
Advanced Syntegration, the hierarchy is broken
down, but it is still a democratic process. Infor-
mation is spread throughout, and new ideas
flower that can be turned into reality because all
stakeholders do have their thinking represented
knowing all constraints and opportunities over-
all. Political power struggles resolve themselves
because of the self-organizing and self-regulating
power of information and collective intelligence
and consciousness. Without a non-sensical hierar-
chical structure and free information flow—at least
during the Advanced Syntegration—frustration
can be eliminated and local knowledge appreciated
on the long run. This was specifically important for
Hawai’i because the federal entities in place for a
catastrophic disaster were overwriting local deci-
sion making following their protocols. This process
was very ineffective and time and resources were
lost until those power struggles were resolved.
With clear information, the federal level would
know why to follow local decisions—precisely
because local authorities know the conditions in
the field and the socio-cultural landscape that can
be key in differentiating if certain measures will
work or not. Time-consuming power struggles
on, for example, location of Emergency Operation
Centres, are eliminated, and time—a highly valu-
able resource—is saved and set free. As unrealistic
as it might sound, in Hawai’i, high pet density
among the population and their unwillingness to
evacuate without their pets made local authorities
arrange for pet-friendly sheltering, even though
they are aware that they are short of shelter spaces
for the entire population.
A real killer of effectiveness and efficiency is
ignorance of important aspects leading to, for ex-
ample, unrealistic damage scenarios and therefore
response capabilities. At a regional conference, it
was stated that Honolulu International Airport
would be used after a catastrophic hurricane,
which was rendered impossible by the damage
scenarios—planninglikethisisimpossible.Figure4
shows the airport scenario before and after landfall
during the debris management seminar attended
by some of the people of the regional conference.
Real-time collective intelligence is needed to
create opportunities otherwise unknown and lost.
Here, complexity can be used as an advantage—
namely using the complexity of the group to meet
Figure 4 Honolulu International Airport - Scenario before and after a catastrophic Hurricane event
Syst. Res. RESEARCH PAPER
Copyright © 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. Syst. Res. 28, 455–464 (2011)
DOI: 10.1002/sres
Advanced Syntegration Tool 459
the environmental challenges. Another obstacle
was the combination of the military command-
and-control versus the consensus-based govern-
mental thinking. In nature, adaptation is the
higher form of learning, and a collective team spirit
is created through collective learning during an
Advanced Syntegration. The training on the imple-
mented structures and processes was not com-
pleted during the research phase, which is the
basis of possible functioning. This has to be ensured
besides using an Advanced Syntegration while it
can provide the how, who and when of these pro-
cesses and structures of training programmes. A
big driver of complexity causing variety explosions
was the incompatibilities of the systems such as IT,
geographical distinction or forms for damage
assessments, for example. Co-creating ideas despite
of the variety and complexity and using the complex-
ity of the stakeholders instead of being overwhelmed
by the system’s variety is the solution. The Advanced
Syntegration solves exactly this problem creating
accepted solutions and commitment through inter-
connected thinking and synergies. From an IT
perspective, solutions are available nowadays, but
those hindering processes of miscommunication and
power struggles hinder its useful implementation.
The Advanced Syntegration resolves those obstacles
in 3.5days. Through the participative character of this
process, an extraordinary strong implementation will
perpetuate the outcomes of the event with an imple-
mentation rate of 80% of all measures within 1year.
The number of measures of the resulting action plan
ranged anywhere from 40 to 100.
The Advanced Syntegration is a revolutionary
highly innovative tool based on 30-year research
tradition in cybernetic management. Its power
derives from the combination of simultaneity,
interconnectiveness, participation and speed. It
has three parts: an innovative cybernetic commu-
nication process for knowledge and intelligence
enhancement; holistic management systems for
effective and efficient functioning of organizations;
a menu of simultaneously implemented cybernetic
instruments to control complexity. Its holistic char-
acter integrates four dimensions: the technical,
cultural, management/control and the time level.
It uses the power of up to 40 key players and their
collective knowledge in the intelligence enhancing,
brain-interlinking architecture of the Syntegration,
which is the interaction of System 3 and 4 of the
Viable System Model (Beer, 1972). Its structure is
based on Bucky Fuller’s geodesic domes and has
the form of an Icosahedron. Malik (2011) added
to the Syntegration of Beer (1994a, 1994b) a bou-
quet of cybernetic tools applied during the process
of the Syntegration to more holistically investigate
the system under cybernetic lenses of structure,
strategy and culture. Specifically, the soft factors
play a speed-enhancing role in the process. The
implementation, resulting from the psychological
healing process of the organization, gives the
method the power to reach an average of 80%
implementation rate in 1 year based on over 500
applications accomplished by Malik Management
St. Gallen so far with organizations of up to
100 000 members (see Figure 5; Malik, 2011). Some
of the measures achieved the agreed goal twofold
or threefold. For example, the biggest German
trade cooperation with 110 000 employees and a
revenue of over €30 bn wanted to save €50 m
through the action plan. Instead, €150 m were
identified in those 3.5 days, whereas before, within
15 months, €120 m were identified with an unim-
plementable action plan. Those large-scale
achievements in the business sector are mirrored
with equally valuable results in the governmental
and non-profit sectors. The Bavarian city of Fuerth,
for example, was insolvent by July 2010. Through
the Advanced Syntegration, cutting cost potentials
and realizations were implemented by December
of the same year so that the city was able to keep
its financial independence and turn insolvency
around. The Canadian Blood Service, collecting
approximately 850 000 units of blood annually,
achieved the nationwide pandemic planning and
by ensuring clean blood supply rebuilt the
Canadian’s faith in the nation’s blood supply by
infusing transparency into its structure, culture
and operations. Overall, an organization changes
already within the 3.5days, and those changes
manifest themselves in measurable results during
the implementation phase over the course of the
following months.
The Advanced Syntegration delivers the setup
to coordinate disaster management efforts and
enhance resource effectiveness and efficiency
related to time, money and manpower enormously
to help victims more quickly and therefore creates a
RESEARCH PAPER Syst. Res.
Copyright © 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. Syst. Res. 28, 455–464 (2011)
DOI: 10.1002/sres
460 Anja Reissberg
speed-up process to save lives. All knowledge and
experience can be surfaced. Unthought-of possibil-
ities and opportunities are revealed with all key
organizations involved. Through achieved consen-
sus, trust, commitment maximum implementation
power is gained, and resources in terms of time,
money and manpower can be saved and set free
for the maximum of effectiveness and efficiency of
intelligence, time and resources. It can be used as a
tool to set up the most efficient and effective disaster
response for catastrophic events—in as short as 2.5
or 3.5days, organized right after the event.
The decision process is speed up 100-fold, and
the people’s effectiveness is enhanced 80-fold
using the relevant knowledge of the critical mass.
Usually, a project plan of 40–100 measures is
discussed and implemented throughout 1 year
(365 days), whereas the Advanced Syntegration
takes care of this process within 3.5 days, which
is about 1/100 of 1 year. The 80-fold effectiveness
is derived from the fact that with usual workshop,
formats with an average of five employees, the
number of relationships add up to 5 (people) Â 4
(people)= 20 relationships. The Advanced Synte-
gration handles 42 (people)Â 41 (people) = 1722
relationships. The number 42 comes from the
maximum distribution of people on the Syntegra-
tion architecture of the icosahedrons, which will
be explained in detail later on. The down-scaling
is a simplification and takes into account that
workshops hold sometimes more than five people.
Bucky Fuller’s geodesic dome constitutes the
bionic power of this architecture. The process is
structured along the Icosahedron (Figure 6) con-
stituted by 12 corners and 30 vertices in between.
The start and core of any Syntegration is the
opening question. For the response to a HILP
event, the following is suggested: How can all
organizations be coordinated in the most efficient
and effective way within the next 12 months en-
suring the maximum benefits for the impacted
population? This generic opening question needs
adjustments depending on the disaster type,
regional settings and needs of the impacted. The
corners of the Icosahedron constitute the 12
topics of the Advanced Syntegration to be
reached after the information filter process on
the first half day. The participants, in colour, are
represented by the vertices; five participants
belong to one topic or corner. This way, all topics
and people are equally interlinked. A total of 30
participants hence are active in an Advanced Synte-
gration, but because of its architecture, a total of 42
participants can be housed by occupying 12 vertices
with two participants. The opening question
mentioned earlier would constitute the Mother Syn-
tegration with an outcome of an action plan with an
average 60 measures (see Figure 6; Malik, 2011).
Examples of 12 such topics could be Transporta-
tion, Communication, Public Works and Engineering,
Firefighting, Mass Care, Housing, Emergency Assis-
tance and Human Services, Resource Support, Public
Figure 5 Effects of a Malik SuperSyntegration
Syst. Res. RESEARCH PAPER
Copyright © 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. Syst. Res. 28, 455–464 (2011)
DOI: 10.1002/sres
Advanced Syntegration Tool 461
Health and Medical Services, Urban Search and
Rescue, Oil and Hazardous Material Response, Agri-
culture and Natural Resource, Energy, and others.
Because of the immense complexity at hand in
response to a HILP event, of course 12 topics and a
maximum of 42 participants will not deal with the
overall variety.
Because of its architecture and process from the
Mother Syntegration, 12 Daughter Syntegration
emerge through the 12 topics of the Mother Synte-
gration (Figure 7; Malik, 2011). Overall, a Mother
Syntegration will be performed with the key
personnel of each organization with the outcome
of focus topics and an action plan. Those elements
will turn into a roll-out system of Daughter and
Grandchildren Syntegrations that can cope with the
variety in terms of strategy, structure and culture of
those organizations and the environmental impacts
at hand. The big power and speed of the process is
grounded in the simultaneous development of those
participatory action plans. Like Russian dolls, this
roll-out structure allows the system to become aware
and focus on the most effectiveness-enhancing and
efficiency-enhancing measures. The cybernetic tools
such as the Sensitivity Model and the Management
System Audit support and verify these foci provid-
ing a check on the holistic and synoptic view in
regards to the highly complex challenge.
For example, the topic ‘mass care’ as a daughter
Syntegration can develop the following opening
question: How can we overcome a shortfall of shelter
space for 100000 people while ensuring safety
Figure 7 From the Mother Syntegration to the Daughter Syntegrations
Figure 6 The Advanced Syntegration - the Mother
RESEARCH PAPER Syst. Res.
Copyright © 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. Syst. Res. 28, 455–464 (2011)
DOI: 10.1002/sres
462 Anja Reissberg
before, during and after a catastrophic hurricane?
The information filter will break this question down
into 12 topics (the corners of the Icosahedron), and
the 42 participants will agree on another action plan
with an average of 60 measures within those 3.5days.
Figure 8 (Malik, 2011) shows roll-out calculations of
topics, measures and participants involved including
thetimeline in whichthis immensevariety generation
is possible. With 144 Grandchildren Syntegration,
around 5800 participants can be involved in the time-
frame of about 4months having turned around 1700
measures into an implementable action plan of which
80% are to be expected to be accomplished within
1year. Looking at disasters such as the Asian
Tsunami 2004 and the ongoing response over the
many years to come, this would be an immense in-
crease of effectiveness and efficiency. The Sensitivity
Model (Sensimod), one of the cybernetic tools
applied during an Advanced Syntegration, will pro-
vide an efficiency index for each measure of the
action plan so that resources spent can be followed-
up on.
To emphasize why the Advanced Syntegration is
an ideal method to solve this post-disaster challenge
of multi-organizational disaster management coor-
dination, one has to be aware that large-scale disasters
(HILPs) remain complex emergencies for an extended
period of time, and the probability of repetition of one
specific disaster is very low, therefore no proactive
planning will ever be able to prepare sufficiently for
such an event. Three and a half days of involvement
of the key decision makers of all major organizations
is an investment in terms of time with great pay-off
in terms of effective and efficient resource use on the
long run. The information boost through the collective
intelligence will be the best pay-off of such efforts.
Resources are saved by right prioritization and right
resources allocation. A major enhancement of effec-
tiveness and efficiency with given resources will be
supported by results on the cultural level, namely
consensus and top commitment because the process
is free of hierarchy but still democratic. A boundless
will for implementation through acceptance of the
decisions emerges into a ‘fighting spirit’—from ‘it
can’t be done’ to ‘we can do it’ because the single
stakeholders can see what their contribution to the
whole result is—at one sight.
Overall, the effective and efficient results on the
control and management level are based on finding
the parameters for implementation and installing a
management Global Positioning System (GPS) for
navigation through the Advanced Syntegration.
The simultaneously applied cybernetic tools repre-
sent a check of the single management systems for
performance while setting up the implementation
machine for results. Operations rooms ensure a
fully integrated evaluation of the situation, real-
time control and an overview for controlling and
steering measures. In order to ensure that the sys-
tem thinking that has developed is sustained in
the long-term by the participants, training in system
thinking and teaching the Syntegration format
is the bionic self-organizing and self-regulation
element that makes hierarchical control unneces-
sary over time. The Ecopolicy game is part of the
training of system thinking. Figure 9 (Malik, 2011)
Figure 8 Roll-out calculations of topics, measures, participants involved and speed
Syst. Res. RESEARCH PAPER
Copyright © 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. Syst. Res. 28, 455–464 (2011)
DOI: 10.1002/sres
Advanced Syntegration Tool 463
shows in short the recursively networked control
models that cover all blind spots and synergize
structure, strategy and culture.
Ultimately, the outcome of the Advanced Syn-
tegration lasting 3.5 days is an action plan that
all key stakeholders agree to because of them
being conscious about their active contribution.
This understanding helps and promotes giving
up power struggles and changes the participants’
perspectives. Even uncomfortable facts are accepted
because of the synoptic view of its necessity for the
achievement of goals and the good of the whole.
Knowing that without that contribution, the opening
question will not be reached gives the right perspec-
tive to accept the consequences of the measures.
Obviously, they agreed to the goal of the opening
question, and they know about their importance be-
cause of their selection into the infoset of a maximum
of 42 people to work on this challenge. The needs of a
large-scale post-disaster coordination challenge can be
met by such intelligence-enhancing process to use the
resources in place in the best possible way. As a matter
of fact, the response to a HILP event will remain an ad
hoc reaction even with the best preparedness possible.
To get this variety explosion under control—variety
being all possible states of a system—the Advanced
Syntegration is a template to plug all organizations
into—any type from governmental to non-profit and
private sector—and coordinate them in the most effect-
ive and efficient way.
REFERENCES
Beer S. 1972. Brain of the Firm. John Wiley: London
and New York.
Beer S. 1981. Brain of the Firm. 2nd edn. John Wiley:
London and New York.
Beer S. 1994a. The Heart of Enterprise. John Wiley:
London and New York.
Beer S. 1994b. Beyond Dispute: The Invention of Team
Syntegrity. John Wiley: Chichester.
Malik F. 2011. Strategie: Navigieren in der Komplexität
der Neuen Welt. Band 3 in: Management: Komplexität
meistern. Campus Verlag: Frankfurt and New York.
Reissberg A. 2010. A cybernetic approach to hurricane
hazard management on O’ahu. University of Hawai’i:
Hawai’i.
Senge P, Scharmer O, Jaworski J, Flowers BS. 2004. Pres-
ence: Human Purpose and the Field of the Future.
Cambridge: MA, USA.
Figure 9 Recursively networked control models applied during an Advanced Syntegration
RESEARCH PAPER Syst. Res.
Copyright © 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. Syst. Res. 28, 455–464 (2011)
DOI: 10.1002/sres
464 Anja Reissberg

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2011_Wiley_Publication_Reissberg

  • 1. ■ Research Paper The Advanced Syntegration as the Most Effective and Efficient Tool for Large-Scale Disaster Response Coordination Anja Reissberg* Department of Geography, University of Hawai’i at Manoa, USA Systems Expert, Malik Management, St. Gallen, Switzerland My proposal is to use the Advanced Syntegration as a tool to set up the most efficient and effective disaster response for catastrophic events—in as short as 2.5 or 3.5 days, organized right after the event. MSS is a revolutionary highly innovative tool based on a 3-year research tradition in cybernetic management. This method is an extremely effective and efficient problem-solving tool with groundbreaking superlative results to deal with high complexity and solve the biggest challenges and the most pressing decisions of the top management level. It uses the power of up to 40 key players and their collective knowl- edge in the intelligence-enhancing, brain-interlinking architecture of the Syntegration. Copyright © 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. A more interlinked world needs more effective organizations. Cybernetic management entails completely different, innovative and creative solu- tions for any organizational network or parts thereof that the methods used today cannot pro- vide. As the science of effective organization, it shows how to control complex systems in a holistic manner. Originating in the field of System Sciences, its pioneers were Norbert Wiener (1948) with ‘Cybernetics: Or Control and Communica- tion in the Animal and the Machine’, Stafford Beer with the Viable System Model (Brain of the Firm, 1972, 1981) and the Syntegration (Beyond dispute, 1994). Besides Cybernetics, the systems sciences entail the systems approach, operations research, general systems theory, system dynamics, learning organizations and total quality management. Using nature’s knowledge to overcome increas- ingly complex problems, it induces self-organization and self-regulation, the most prevalent natural laws. It is used in today’s organizations to enhance deci- sion making and effectiveness and efficiency of given resources using the best drivers of the system instead of losing the power inherited in an organization. Even dying systems can be revived and brought back from their coma-like states. Management cyber- netics is the concrete application of natural cybernetic laws to all types of organizations and institutions cre- ated by human beings and to interactions with and within them. Figure 1 shows its main stance: The whole is greater than the sum of its parts. Figure 2 represents two concrete applications of natural cybernetic laws in bionics on the example of using the shape of box fish in aerodynamics *Correspondence to: Anja Reissberg, Department of Geography, Malik Management St. Gallen, Switzerland. E-mail: Anja.Reissberg@mzsg.ch Copyright © 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. Systems Research and Behavioral Science Syst. Res. 28, 455–464 (2011) Published online 25 October 2011 in Wiley Online Library (wileyonlinelibrary.com) DOI: 10.1002/sres.1109
  • 2. and the dirt-repellent properties of the Lotus plant. Bionics takes nature’s solutions of 4 billion years of trial and error processes and turns them into opti- mal solutions—most effectively and efficiently. How does this relate to crisis management under high complexity? The question here is how many problems can be solved simultan- eously? How many people does it take? And how fast can it be performed? It depends on the method and the interconnections. Linking people in a chain produces ‘noise and distortion’ A ! B C ! D ! E. Facing high complexity conventional methods inevitably hit the wall in large systems and fail in the face of the complexity of dynamically interconnected systems. Conventional project pro- cedures entail a year-long cycle of sequential Figure 1 The whole is greater than the sum of its parts Figure 2 Using nature’s knowledge RESEARCH PAPER Syst. Res. Copyright © 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. Syst. Res. 28, 455–464 (2011) DOI: 10.1002/sres 456 Anja Reissberg
  • 3. rather than simultaneous methods. The cybernetic challenge ignored most often is the change in organizational networks that takes place faster than solutions can be developed. The collective team is never informed as such because new and different people come in and leave the network constantly. The Advanced Syntegration integrates the most im- portant advantages of both conventional methods: the small group and the large committee. Several small groups encompass little knowledge and reach their limit quickly while being hard to coordi- nate with each other. Within themselves, they work fine, but their collective tacit knowledge remains unused. The resource knowledge is lost and with it the remaining power that can jolt an organization and bring it up to speed to deal with the complexity and velocity of change in the environment of today. In large committees, more knowledge, experience, intelligence and power are present, but they are very inefficient. There are other large-scale commu- nication processes, such as the U-Process (Senge, et al., 2004), but because they run over several months, there is no possibility for top decision makers to bear with the process because of time constraints and related opportunity costs. In a di- saster situation, there is specifically the need for a fast process, which the Advanced Syntegration can deliver. Large-scale catastrophes, so-called high-impact low-probability (HILP) events, such as the Japan disaster 2011, the earthquake in Haiti 2010 or the Asian Tsunami 2004 have an extremely high complexity and cannot be planned beforehand. Natural disasters by themselves are already hard to predict, and the possible disaster situation to respond to cannot be predicted because the economic, environmental and socio-cultural vul- nerability adds to its uncertainty. Even the com- plexity of the best to-be-foreseen events cannot be kept under control: hurricanes can be predicted most accurately because the possible paths can be tracked before landfall for about 5 days. Figure 3 shows a product that provides the actual chance for every location of experiencing at least tropical storm (39mph or greater) sustained winds over the following 5days. The white and hatched regions are the cone of uncertainty, which show the average track errors during the last 10years superim- posed on the ‘skinny black line’, which represents the forecast track for the centre of the storm. Improvements in forecasts make the storm track 66% reliable within a 5-day forecast. This tool takes into account uncertainty in track, peak winds, and the size of the storm and explicitly gives information about the possible wind impact at individual loca- tions (US Department of Commerce, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, National Weather Service, 2006). With those levels of uncer- tainty in mind, we have to add the complexity of the disaster management response. After a HILP event, a plethora of organizations with different structures, processes and socio- cultural mindsets have to coordinate under the pressure of loosing lives by the minute. A multi- stakeholder decision, coordination and imple- mentation process emerges with extremely high complexity, and there is no possibility to plan for such engagement beforehand because the variety—the possible states of the system—is so high that is not to be forecasted—neither on nature’s side of the impacts or on the organi- zational side of the response. The case study of a catastrophic hurricane on O’ahu, Hawai’i with 1 million people on-island and without feasible evacuation options should demonstrate the details of complexity at hand and the response capabil- ities the Advanced Syntegration to match this variety explosion. Overall, the hurricane risk for a strong hit or near miss on O’ahu lies at about 1–3%. This probability seems low, but risk is math- ematically constituted by the probability of an event times the magnitude of the consequences of the event. Consequently, the severity of the impacts needs to be considered. As the vulnerabil- ity analysis of this case study showed, those impacts would be catastrophic (Reissberg, 2010). Nature has solutions in dealing with exactly such situations, but before I introduce those valuable insights of bionics, I want to report on more detailed challenges that arise in such almost un- solvable multi-stakeholder coordination problems. This situation calls for collective intelligence and real-time cooperation. Those results stem from the study of the hurri- cane hazard management system of the State of Hawai’i for a scenario of a Katrina-like storm hitting the island of O’ahu with metropolitan Honolulu. Over 1million people inhabiting this island face Syst. Res. RESEARCH PAPER Copyright © 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. Syst. Res. 28, 455–464 (2011) DOI: 10.1002/sres Advanced Syntegration Tool 457
  • 4. no possibility of evacuation, 80% of infrastructure failure and loss of power for several months. To get into the response range for such environmental disturbance, a network of organizations is sup- posed to follow a specific coordination format, which in practice fails in high complexity situations. The structural diagnosis through the cybernetic tool ‘the Viable System Model’ (Beer, 1994a, 1994b) came to the following results with the suggestion of using the Advanced Syntegration to remove inefficient and ineffective patterns. The biggest challenges of such large-scale cata- strophes are mass care (sheltering, evacuation, health care, water and food) and infrastructure (power, communications, transportation) including the first step of debris removal. The local govern- ment is overwhelmed, assistance from governmen- tal, private and NGO relief agencies pour in as well as international donation efforts. Consequently and realistically over time, enough resources in financial and physical terms are available. The worldwide media drove huge efforts in pulling together resources for events such as the Asian Tsunami 2004, for example. On a smaller scale, Hurricane Katrina 2005 in New Orleans made it obvious, that within the USA, there definitely are enough resources to not have a hurricane turn into such a catastrophe with over 1500 deaths. It has therefore been clearly seen that the speed of coordination is key to highly reducing the vulnerability of any given area, exposed to any given event. Throughout underfunded governmental and other organiza- tions were emphasized, but the tacit resource collective intelligence is untapped. Taking the ant colony as an analogy, neither the single ant nor the queen knows or is aware of the functioning and of the whole nor would they be able to consciously control its complexity, but the collective intelligence of the whole give emergence to the complex func- tioning of the colony: the whole is more than the sum of its parts—the foremost important law of cybernetics. Figure 3 Track of Hurricane Katrina 2005 RESEARCH PAPER Syst. Res. Copyright © 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. Syst. Res. 28, 455–464 (2011) DOI: 10.1002/sres 458 Anja Reissberg
  • 5. Further, with a hierarchical structure, more power inherited in an organization is lost. Infor- mation can be used as an alternative to authoritar- ian control, and the process can be steered with information, not power. This cybernetic principle can be observed currently in the revolutionary processes in the North-African states where infor- mation evidently is more important in the process than the hierarchical power structures. Within an Advanced Syntegration, the hierarchy is broken down, but it is still a democratic process. Infor- mation is spread throughout, and new ideas flower that can be turned into reality because all stakeholders do have their thinking represented knowing all constraints and opportunities over- all. Political power struggles resolve themselves because of the self-organizing and self-regulating power of information and collective intelligence and consciousness. Without a non-sensical hierar- chical structure and free information flow—at least during the Advanced Syntegration—frustration can be eliminated and local knowledge appreciated on the long run. This was specifically important for Hawai’i because the federal entities in place for a catastrophic disaster were overwriting local deci- sion making following their protocols. This process was very ineffective and time and resources were lost until those power struggles were resolved. With clear information, the federal level would know why to follow local decisions—precisely because local authorities know the conditions in the field and the socio-cultural landscape that can be key in differentiating if certain measures will work or not. Time-consuming power struggles on, for example, location of Emergency Operation Centres, are eliminated, and time—a highly valu- able resource—is saved and set free. As unrealistic as it might sound, in Hawai’i, high pet density among the population and their unwillingness to evacuate without their pets made local authorities arrange for pet-friendly sheltering, even though they are aware that they are short of shelter spaces for the entire population. A real killer of effectiveness and efficiency is ignorance of important aspects leading to, for ex- ample, unrealistic damage scenarios and therefore response capabilities. At a regional conference, it was stated that Honolulu International Airport would be used after a catastrophic hurricane, which was rendered impossible by the damage scenarios—planninglikethisisimpossible.Figure4 shows the airport scenario before and after landfall during the debris management seminar attended by some of the people of the regional conference. Real-time collective intelligence is needed to create opportunities otherwise unknown and lost. Here, complexity can be used as an advantage— namely using the complexity of the group to meet Figure 4 Honolulu International Airport - Scenario before and after a catastrophic Hurricane event Syst. Res. RESEARCH PAPER Copyright © 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. Syst. Res. 28, 455–464 (2011) DOI: 10.1002/sres Advanced Syntegration Tool 459
  • 6. the environmental challenges. Another obstacle was the combination of the military command- and-control versus the consensus-based govern- mental thinking. In nature, adaptation is the higher form of learning, and a collective team spirit is created through collective learning during an Advanced Syntegration. The training on the imple- mented structures and processes was not com- pleted during the research phase, which is the basis of possible functioning. This has to be ensured besides using an Advanced Syntegration while it can provide the how, who and when of these pro- cesses and structures of training programmes. A big driver of complexity causing variety explosions was the incompatibilities of the systems such as IT, geographical distinction or forms for damage assessments, for example. Co-creating ideas despite of the variety and complexity and using the complex- ity of the stakeholders instead of being overwhelmed by the system’s variety is the solution. The Advanced Syntegration solves exactly this problem creating accepted solutions and commitment through inter- connected thinking and synergies. From an IT perspective, solutions are available nowadays, but those hindering processes of miscommunication and power struggles hinder its useful implementation. The Advanced Syntegration resolves those obstacles in 3.5days. Through the participative character of this process, an extraordinary strong implementation will perpetuate the outcomes of the event with an imple- mentation rate of 80% of all measures within 1year. The number of measures of the resulting action plan ranged anywhere from 40 to 100. The Advanced Syntegration is a revolutionary highly innovative tool based on 30-year research tradition in cybernetic management. Its power derives from the combination of simultaneity, interconnectiveness, participation and speed. It has three parts: an innovative cybernetic commu- nication process for knowledge and intelligence enhancement; holistic management systems for effective and efficient functioning of organizations; a menu of simultaneously implemented cybernetic instruments to control complexity. Its holistic char- acter integrates four dimensions: the technical, cultural, management/control and the time level. It uses the power of up to 40 key players and their collective knowledge in the intelligence enhancing, brain-interlinking architecture of the Syntegration, which is the interaction of System 3 and 4 of the Viable System Model (Beer, 1972). Its structure is based on Bucky Fuller’s geodesic domes and has the form of an Icosahedron. Malik (2011) added to the Syntegration of Beer (1994a, 1994b) a bou- quet of cybernetic tools applied during the process of the Syntegration to more holistically investigate the system under cybernetic lenses of structure, strategy and culture. Specifically, the soft factors play a speed-enhancing role in the process. The implementation, resulting from the psychological healing process of the organization, gives the method the power to reach an average of 80% implementation rate in 1 year based on over 500 applications accomplished by Malik Management St. Gallen so far with organizations of up to 100 000 members (see Figure 5; Malik, 2011). Some of the measures achieved the agreed goal twofold or threefold. For example, the biggest German trade cooperation with 110 000 employees and a revenue of over €30 bn wanted to save €50 m through the action plan. Instead, €150 m were identified in those 3.5 days, whereas before, within 15 months, €120 m were identified with an unim- plementable action plan. Those large-scale achievements in the business sector are mirrored with equally valuable results in the governmental and non-profit sectors. The Bavarian city of Fuerth, for example, was insolvent by July 2010. Through the Advanced Syntegration, cutting cost potentials and realizations were implemented by December of the same year so that the city was able to keep its financial independence and turn insolvency around. The Canadian Blood Service, collecting approximately 850 000 units of blood annually, achieved the nationwide pandemic planning and by ensuring clean blood supply rebuilt the Canadian’s faith in the nation’s blood supply by infusing transparency into its structure, culture and operations. Overall, an organization changes already within the 3.5days, and those changes manifest themselves in measurable results during the implementation phase over the course of the following months. The Advanced Syntegration delivers the setup to coordinate disaster management efforts and enhance resource effectiveness and efficiency related to time, money and manpower enormously to help victims more quickly and therefore creates a RESEARCH PAPER Syst. Res. Copyright © 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. Syst. Res. 28, 455–464 (2011) DOI: 10.1002/sres 460 Anja Reissberg
  • 7. speed-up process to save lives. All knowledge and experience can be surfaced. Unthought-of possibil- ities and opportunities are revealed with all key organizations involved. Through achieved consen- sus, trust, commitment maximum implementation power is gained, and resources in terms of time, money and manpower can be saved and set free for the maximum of effectiveness and efficiency of intelligence, time and resources. It can be used as a tool to set up the most efficient and effective disaster response for catastrophic events—in as short as 2.5 or 3.5days, organized right after the event. The decision process is speed up 100-fold, and the people’s effectiveness is enhanced 80-fold using the relevant knowledge of the critical mass. Usually, a project plan of 40–100 measures is discussed and implemented throughout 1 year (365 days), whereas the Advanced Syntegration takes care of this process within 3.5 days, which is about 1/100 of 1 year. The 80-fold effectiveness is derived from the fact that with usual workshop, formats with an average of five employees, the number of relationships add up to 5 (people) Â 4 (people)= 20 relationships. The Advanced Synte- gration handles 42 (people)Â 41 (people) = 1722 relationships. The number 42 comes from the maximum distribution of people on the Syntegra- tion architecture of the icosahedrons, which will be explained in detail later on. The down-scaling is a simplification and takes into account that workshops hold sometimes more than five people. Bucky Fuller’s geodesic dome constitutes the bionic power of this architecture. The process is structured along the Icosahedron (Figure 6) con- stituted by 12 corners and 30 vertices in between. The start and core of any Syntegration is the opening question. For the response to a HILP event, the following is suggested: How can all organizations be coordinated in the most efficient and effective way within the next 12 months en- suring the maximum benefits for the impacted population? This generic opening question needs adjustments depending on the disaster type, regional settings and needs of the impacted. The corners of the Icosahedron constitute the 12 topics of the Advanced Syntegration to be reached after the information filter process on the first half day. The participants, in colour, are represented by the vertices; five participants belong to one topic or corner. This way, all topics and people are equally interlinked. A total of 30 participants hence are active in an Advanced Synte- gration, but because of its architecture, a total of 42 participants can be housed by occupying 12 vertices with two participants. The opening question mentioned earlier would constitute the Mother Syn- tegration with an outcome of an action plan with an average 60 measures (see Figure 6; Malik, 2011). Examples of 12 such topics could be Transporta- tion, Communication, Public Works and Engineering, Firefighting, Mass Care, Housing, Emergency Assis- tance and Human Services, Resource Support, Public Figure 5 Effects of a Malik SuperSyntegration Syst. Res. RESEARCH PAPER Copyright © 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. Syst. Res. 28, 455–464 (2011) DOI: 10.1002/sres Advanced Syntegration Tool 461
  • 8. Health and Medical Services, Urban Search and Rescue, Oil and Hazardous Material Response, Agri- culture and Natural Resource, Energy, and others. Because of the immense complexity at hand in response to a HILP event, of course 12 topics and a maximum of 42 participants will not deal with the overall variety. Because of its architecture and process from the Mother Syntegration, 12 Daughter Syntegration emerge through the 12 topics of the Mother Synte- gration (Figure 7; Malik, 2011). Overall, a Mother Syntegration will be performed with the key personnel of each organization with the outcome of focus topics and an action plan. Those elements will turn into a roll-out system of Daughter and Grandchildren Syntegrations that can cope with the variety in terms of strategy, structure and culture of those organizations and the environmental impacts at hand. The big power and speed of the process is grounded in the simultaneous development of those participatory action plans. Like Russian dolls, this roll-out structure allows the system to become aware and focus on the most effectiveness-enhancing and efficiency-enhancing measures. The cybernetic tools such as the Sensitivity Model and the Management System Audit support and verify these foci provid- ing a check on the holistic and synoptic view in regards to the highly complex challenge. For example, the topic ‘mass care’ as a daughter Syntegration can develop the following opening question: How can we overcome a shortfall of shelter space for 100000 people while ensuring safety Figure 7 From the Mother Syntegration to the Daughter Syntegrations Figure 6 The Advanced Syntegration - the Mother RESEARCH PAPER Syst. Res. Copyright © 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. Syst. Res. 28, 455–464 (2011) DOI: 10.1002/sres 462 Anja Reissberg
  • 9. before, during and after a catastrophic hurricane? The information filter will break this question down into 12 topics (the corners of the Icosahedron), and the 42 participants will agree on another action plan with an average of 60 measures within those 3.5days. Figure 8 (Malik, 2011) shows roll-out calculations of topics, measures and participants involved including thetimeline in whichthis immensevariety generation is possible. With 144 Grandchildren Syntegration, around 5800 participants can be involved in the time- frame of about 4months having turned around 1700 measures into an implementable action plan of which 80% are to be expected to be accomplished within 1year. Looking at disasters such as the Asian Tsunami 2004 and the ongoing response over the many years to come, this would be an immense in- crease of effectiveness and efficiency. The Sensitivity Model (Sensimod), one of the cybernetic tools applied during an Advanced Syntegration, will pro- vide an efficiency index for each measure of the action plan so that resources spent can be followed- up on. To emphasize why the Advanced Syntegration is an ideal method to solve this post-disaster challenge of multi-organizational disaster management coor- dination, one has to be aware that large-scale disasters (HILPs) remain complex emergencies for an extended period of time, and the probability of repetition of one specific disaster is very low, therefore no proactive planning will ever be able to prepare sufficiently for such an event. Three and a half days of involvement of the key decision makers of all major organizations is an investment in terms of time with great pay-off in terms of effective and efficient resource use on the long run. The information boost through the collective intelligence will be the best pay-off of such efforts. Resources are saved by right prioritization and right resources allocation. A major enhancement of effec- tiveness and efficiency with given resources will be supported by results on the cultural level, namely consensus and top commitment because the process is free of hierarchy but still democratic. A boundless will for implementation through acceptance of the decisions emerges into a ‘fighting spirit’—from ‘it can’t be done’ to ‘we can do it’ because the single stakeholders can see what their contribution to the whole result is—at one sight. Overall, the effective and efficient results on the control and management level are based on finding the parameters for implementation and installing a management Global Positioning System (GPS) for navigation through the Advanced Syntegration. The simultaneously applied cybernetic tools repre- sent a check of the single management systems for performance while setting up the implementation machine for results. Operations rooms ensure a fully integrated evaluation of the situation, real- time control and an overview for controlling and steering measures. In order to ensure that the sys- tem thinking that has developed is sustained in the long-term by the participants, training in system thinking and teaching the Syntegration format is the bionic self-organizing and self-regulation element that makes hierarchical control unneces- sary over time. The Ecopolicy game is part of the training of system thinking. Figure 9 (Malik, 2011) Figure 8 Roll-out calculations of topics, measures, participants involved and speed Syst. Res. RESEARCH PAPER Copyright © 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. Syst. Res. 28, 455–464 (2011) DOI: 10.1002/sres Advanced Syntegration Tool 463
  • 10. shows in short the recursively networked control models that cover all blind spots and synergize structure, strategy and culture. Ultimately, the outcome of the Advanced Syn- tegration lasting 3.5 days is an action plan that all key stakeholders agree to because of them being conscious about their active contribution. This understanding helps and promotes giving up power struggles and changes the participants’ perspectives. Even uncomfortable facts are accepted because of the synoptic view of its necessity for the achievement of goals and the good of the whole. Knowing that without that contribution, the opening question will not be reached gives the right perspec- tive to accept the consequences of the measures. Obviously, they agreed to the goal of the opening question, and they know about their importance be- cause of their selection into the infoset of a maximum of 42 people to work on this challenge. The needs of a large-scale post-disaster coordination challenge can be met by such intelligence-enhancing process to use the resources in place in the best possible way. As a matter of fact, the response to a HILP event will remain an ad hoc reaction even with the best preparedness possible. To get this variety explosion under control—variety being all possible states of a system—the Advanced Syntegration is a template to plug all organizations into—any type from governmental to non-profit and private sector—and coordinate them in the most effect- ive and efficient way. REFERENCES Beer S. 1972. Brain of the Firm. John Wiley: London and New York. Beer S. 1981. Brain of the Firm. 2nd edn. John Wiley: London and New York. Beer S. 1994a. The Heart of Enterprise. John Wiley: London and New York. Beer S. 1994b. Beyond Dispute: The Invention of Team Syntegrity. John Wiley: Chichester. Malik F. 2011. Strategie: Navigieren in der Komplexität der Neuen Welt. Band 3 in: Management: Komplexität meistern. Campus Verlag: Frankfurt and New York. Reissberg A. 2010. A cybernetic approach to hurricane hazard management on O’ahu. University of Hawai’i: Hawai’i. Senge P, Scharmer O, Jaworski J, Flowers BS. 2004. Pres- ence: Human Purpose and the Field of the Future. Cambridge: MA, USA. Figure 9 Recursively networked control models applied during an Advanced Syntegration RESEARCH PAPER Syst. Res. Copyright © 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. Syst. Res. 28, 455–464 (2011) DOI: 10.1002/sres 464 Anja Reissberg