Presentation given to University of Oxford Space network Earth Observation workshop on project and activities within OeRC Energy & Environmental ICT group. 9/6/16
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Working with Earth Observation Data, INFORM and the IEA
1. 1
Wood Pulp & Paper Palm Oil Beef Soy Leather
Prof David Wallom
University of Oxford e-Research Centre
2. 2
Forest risk commodities expose supply chain participants to business risk
Reputational
OperationalLegislative
3. 3
Production Point of Aggregation
Production
Point of Aggregation
Production
Point of Aggregation
Production Point of Aggregation
Weighted
Sum
Point of Aggregation
5. 5
Municipal
ities
Export
Port
Import
Port
ProcessorCustomer
Farmer
Le ACME
Animal Feed
Sète
Paranaguá
Cocalinho
Novo São
Joaquim
Rondonópolis
…
Santos
Araguaiana
Barra do
Garças
Itiquira
…
São Francisco
Do Sul
…
Non tropical
Countries
---
I buy my animal
feed from
Le ACME
Animal Feed in
the South of
France
Supermarche
wants to know
if my pork
contributes to
deforestation?
Rondônia - Deforestation Trends
Rondônia is located almost entirely within the Legal Amazon and covers 243,044 km. The state is one of the most deforested in the
Brazilian Amazon, with tree cover of 157,601 km2 in 20132. Deforestation in Rondônia is largely a result of colonization projects and
the expansion of beef and soya production. As global demand grew in the 1960’s, beef production in Rondônia expanded. Road-
building enabled population growth and increased agricultural production. Consequently, state deforestation rates rocketed from the
1980s as land was cleared for pastures, croplands, and urban development. By 1991, Rondônia’s cattle herd was one of the largest in
Brazil, producing almost twice as much beef as the state consumed3. Rondônia’s beef industry continued to expand during subsequent
decades, with cattle herds in the Brazilian Amazon growing by 23 to 33% between 1995-96 and 20064. Large-scale soy production
began in Brazil in the 1990s. By the time the crop arrived in Rondônia, many areas suitable for soy production were already utilised as
cattle pasture. Soy expansion in the state thus often occurred on pastures, displacing cattle production and indirectly causing
deforestation. This trend became especially pronounced following the introduction of the Soy Moratorium in 2006, which saw Brazil’s
largest soya companies commit to avoid sourcing soya from land deforested after 2006.5 Deforestation rates in Rondônia remained
high until 2005, when forest loss decreased rapidly due to a combination of policy initiatives, industrial action, and decreased
consumer demand during the economic crisis6.
State Policy and Initiatives
The state government of Rondônia has supported the implementation of the Forest Code through creating a registry of rural
properties and promoting environmental licensing to create compliance with land use regulations. The state is also a member of the
Governors’ Climate and Forests Task Force (GCF), which seeks to reduce emissions from deforestation and establish governance
frameworks through the collaboration of its 29 member states and provinces. However, most action on protecting Rondônia’s
remaining forest is legislated through national policy.
Cabixi is a municipality in the
Brazilian state of Rondônia in the
North-West region of Brazil.
Unscaled Deforestation Ratio =
0.009
MEDIUM
5% of your Animal
Feed contributed
to deforestation
6. • Define the boundaries of what we consider High, Medium and Low Deforestation Ratio
– Time dependant to track and drive better practices
• Stakeholder engagement
– Engage with a range of specific targets within the supply chain of the pilot commodities and regions as well as with
government and civil‐society stakeholders in both producer and consumer countries
• Better Data
– Consistent machine readable international standardised data formats and access models
– Better ‘in countries of consumption’ tracking
– Open standardised platform for hosting and publishing – remove duplication without ‘vendor
lock in’
– Consistent and agreed methodologies to represent qualitative analyses
• To develop interface with users and mitigation support tools tailored to specific users.
• To integrate NGOs data and transparency tools such as Forest 500.
6
11. DELIVERING VALUE FROM BIG DATA
Gather
Model
Analyse
Display
Earth
Observation
Social
Media
Open
Data
Telecoms
Internet of
Things
11
DEMONSTRATORS
Editor's Notes
Reputational risk: the reputations of consumer-facing companies can be significantly damaged by links to deforestation in supply chains.
Legislative risk: new and emerging regulations at local, national, and international levels pose a compliance risk to businesses, companies, and financial institutions.
Operational risk: securing early access to sustainable supply, which remains limited, is increasingly important as attitudes and practices change.
sigmoid historical weighting function to give the Deforestation Factor (DF) representing the historical penalty for past deforestation
Each step inthesupply chain is a weighted sum of the volume passing from node to node by weight multiplied by its deforestation Factor
Bit dated now, but the overall point is OK. Environmental science is a petabyte-scale field