SlideShare a Scribd company logo
1 of 4
Download to read offline
Vol 7 No 1 North Americathinkinghighways.com26
OPINION PIECE
 I
am writing this piece on a “redeye”
flight west across North America
from California back home to
Washington, DC. Out of the
aircraft window on this clear winter
evening I see the lights of towns and cities,
and often the lighted pathways between
them, 10,000 metres below, infrastructure
that is the legacy and indeed the crowning
achievement of several generations of
transportation planners.
Not quite visible at this level, and
perhaps less of a problem at this hour
of the night, is the growing problem of
congestion within those bright spots
below. How can all that concrete and
steel down there be made to increase our
mobility as it was intended to do rather
than be a source of frustration? The
answer I would suggest has somewhat
less to do with what was done to
build it in the first place than it does
how it must be managed, monitored
and enhanced going forward.
THE NEW MEASURE OF SCALE
Since the Industrial Revolution began
just over two centuries ago, the evolution
of transportation has been
premised on building
sheer capacity to achieve
economies of scale: taller
and longer bridges,
faster speeds, larger
aircraft and bigger
ships. In my last article I did promise that
I would get back to the Titanic…
One hundred years ago this April,
the worst and most infamous disaster
in transportation history occurred in
the densely trafficked corridor between
North America and Europe – then
as now the most heavily travelled
transport route on Earth. In an effort
to combine speed and capacity the
technology of the day the White Star
Line pushed and broke the limits,
creating a vessel that was far beyond
the navigation and communications
systems of the day and operating it minus
what are now viewed as fundamental
safety standards in terms of both
equipment and operating procedures.
The result as history now knows
was, even by the standards of the
day, an imminently preventable
tragedy that would fundamentally
change the way carriers, regulators
and the travelling public viewed their
responsibilities and entitlements.
As the 20th Century progressed, with
the advent of wireless communications
and eventually radar and then GPS
navigation technology, combined
with and at times driven
by better regulation and
oversight, vastly improved
both the safety and
efficacy of ocean travel
and other modes.
The world became more and more adept
at bigger and faster: take for example
the Golden Gate Bridge, the Channel
Tunnel, Concorde and A380, Shinkansen
and TGV trains, and all the high-speed
multilane motorways and interstates and
autoroutes -bahns and -stradi that now
girdle the developed and increasingly
developing world. Each was in itself an
undeniable technological milestone with
pervasive societal and economic impact.
And, yet, a century beyond the iceberg,
our cities are choked to gridlock and most
of us sit in traffic far more than we would
like, with the minutes contained in 1,500+
lost lives a century ago wasted the world
over countless times a year just in traffic,
and the lives lost and serious injuries as a
result of vehicular collisions far exceeding
those on ships and aircraft with over
40,000 fatalities on US highways alone
each year (compared to zero lives lost in
US commercial aviation during 2011) and
over a million worldwide.
THEREBY HANGSTHETALE
Today’s congestion problem thereby
is far less immediate in terms
of tragic implications, but
indeed no less apparent.
It is clear that there is a
need to find an entirely
new operating model
that extends from
the roadways
David E Pickeral takes the holistic
approach to congestion management
Circumventing
theiceberg
North America Vol 7 No 1 thinkinghighways.com 27
Congestion management
>>>
“ITS is, always was, and indeed always
will be an enablement, not an achievement
in itself, of congestion management”
themselves, to the operations centres, to
and across multiple modes of transit.
Where speed and size proved the
solution, the management of congestion
going forward must encompass a
combination of new technology, applied
in the context of a society where citizens
are willing to promote change not just
at the macro level but in terms of their
own daily behaviour. Highways cannot
continue to be packed and stalled to a
crawl while commuter trains rush by
along the adjacent rail corridor with a
large percentage of empty seats. Resolving
this supply-demand allocation across the
entire transportation network is of course
a huge and unprecedented change, a new
measure of scale, which will define our
success and that of future generations in
clearing congestion and creating a clear
path ahead for mobility.
FILLING MODAL GAPS
All of the aforementioned transportation
achievements have had essentially one
common denominator: the objective of
optimizing one specific mode with the
results of measurable and predictable ROI
from the expenditure of public and private
funds to develop that mode. This was
historically a very logical approach given
that most transportation systems evolved
with an equally focused objective: a
National Road into the growing American
Frontier, for instance, a five-day Atlantic
crossing, or London to New York in less
than three hours. An ever less desirable
result of that focused development is
that modal silos evolved which
OPINION PIECE
limit balancing the
current demand/
capacity ratio of
one mode against
that of the others.
Examples of such
include affording
habitual car commuters
the option of taking the
bus or train, or vice versa
as circumstances dictate, or
perhaps of paying a toll, hiring a
self drive vehicle or taxi, paying for
transit, or using a transportation asset
in a totally different city or even country
with the same open payments account.
The means to do this, though it seemed
a far reach when I first became involved
with the ITS community 18 years ago, is
far from science fiction at this point. New
high throughput devices such as 5.8/5.9
GHz toll tags and readers and low latency
LTE wireless networks are being deployed
around the world. Electronic wallets
and ePayments supported by advanced
encryption algorithms to ensure privacy
and security have already eliminated the
need for physical currency at the level of
the user and the financial networks with
which they interact.
Although the term “silo smashing’ is
an often (and indeed overly) used term
these days, what ITS technology really
offers is the prospect of not so much
breaking down the barriers between
the individual modes as it does fill the
gaps between them. Advanced traveller
information systems can gather real-time
data regarding all events and conditions,
and apply analytics to this huge stream of
data to notify travellers accurately hours
in advance of the exact time journeys will
require and the cost and availability of
everything from fuel to fares to parking,
and even link to payment systems to
seamlessly pay for these and other
commodities and services customised to
the individual route and user.
CHOICES AND
COMMITMENT
Technological enablement is
above all else making congestion
management far more a matter
of actually managing congestion
rather than the two extremes of:
1. Multi-year mega-billion
construction projects to add
lane miles in the hopes of
heading it off
2. Simply reacting to it when
(despite these efforts) it
invariably happens
However let me be clear that ITS is,
always was, and indeed always will be an
enablement, not an achievement in itself,
of congestion management.
What will ensure that ITS will fulfill
its promise of being mere gadgetry has
in the end far less to do with technology
itself as it does how operational doctrines
and policy evolve to promote and
sustain the necessary transformation
of the global transportation ecosystem.
Beyond intermodal flexibility there
must be a commitment from the most
senior officials in government industry
down to the individual user that no
element transportation network should
operate in a vacuum but be leveraged
collectively through ITS. As all ITS is
deployed and made available it is essential,
indeed as essential as the development
of the technology itself, that the
operators and travelling
public remain willing
to both learn to use
it, and likewise to
adapt their collective
and individual
behaviour to take
full advantage of it.
The key is flexibility.
Rather than deciding,
“I am a car commuter,” or
“I always take the train to shop
in the suburbs,” and following that
decision as a matter of habit day in and
day out, there is the willingness to use
the information ever more immediately
and easily available and tailored to each
individual user choose the best journey
option as balanced against both individual
need and the capacity of the transportation
ecosystem itself. The attitude shifts then
from a modally-focused one of seeking
to take a bus trip or bike ride, to one of
mode neutrality, with mobility itself as the
primary requirement.
It then becomes a matter of selecting
the resources that best align to that
requirement with consideration based
on each user’s personal preferences
and margins as to cost, time, comfort,
environmental impact, etc. Along with
the choices presented to them, it will be
essential for travellers to make open-
minded decisions to both meet their own
immediate needs as well as ensure the
overall effectiveness of the transportation
“system of systems.”
In this regard much can be drawn
from the experience of the public safety
community over the past decade since the
tragic events of September 11, 2001, which
was in many ways the start of a revolution
in security planning and preparedness
similar to the one transportation had
experienced on the morning of April 15,
1912. During the past 11 years, though
technology has certainly evolved, even
more can be credited to the development
or enhancement of mutual
aid agreements, statewide
interoperability executive
committees, regional
planning entities and the
like to ensure the same kind
of shift in approach just
discussed for congestion
management: optimized
and aligned resources,
integrated networks,
and the right level
and type information
Vol 7 No 1 North Americathinkinghighways.com28
“It will be essential for travellers to make open-
minded decisions to meet their own immediate
needs as well as toensure the overall effectiveness
of the transportation system of systems”
North America Vol 7 No 1 thinkinghighways.com 29
Congestion management
to the each
decisionmakers
when needed.
As this shift occurs,
I would go so far as to
suggest that much of the
need to “manage” congestion
(a responsibility with which
transportation system planners
and operator in all levels of industry
and government are entrusted with
ensuring and often unduly blamed
for not adequately addressing) will be
substantially obviated by the increased
choices and empowerment each
traveller will now have directly at
his or her disposure to create
a natural “balancing” of the
use between and across all
modes, and of routing and
options within modes.
CONCLUSION
This sort of re-instrumenting,
re-aligning and rethinking will not happen
overnight, but it is already underway
around the world. I do not think it
unreasonable that as the travelling public
gets up every morning and turns on their
ICT devices, each morning they have
collectively and individually some slightly
higher measure of mobility enablement
open to them – a clear path ahead.
DavidPickeralisGlobalDevelopment
ExecutiveforSmarterTransportationatIBM,
basedinWashington,DC
depicker@us.ibm.com
www.linkedin.com/in/pickeral
Forpreviousarticlesbythisauthor,enter
PICKERALintothesearchboxonourhome
pageatthinkinghighways.com
fyi
“This sort of re-instrumenting, re-aligning
and rethinking will not happen overnight, but
it is already underway around the world”

More Related Content

What's hot

Effective Urban Transportation in Smart Environments (2)
Effective Urban Transportation in Smart Environments (2)Effective Urban Transportation in Smart Environments (2)
Effective Urban Transportation in Smart Environments (2)
Anthony M Burns
 
The Case for Hydrogen Powered Streetcars - "hydrolley's"
The Case for Hydrogen Powered Streetcars - "hydrolley's"The Case for Hydrogen Powered Streetcars - "hydrolley's"
The Case for Hydrogen Powered Streetcars - "hydrolley's"
Bill Thunberg
 
Smart city challenge lessons learned
Smart city challenge lessons learnedSmart city challenge lessons learned
Smart city challenge lessons learned
DESMOND YUEN
 

What's hot (16)

Future of Urban Mobility
Future of Urban MobilityFuture of Urban Mobility
Future of Urban Mobility
 
SFScon16 - Jeremy Dalton: “The Way We Move: How open onnovation is changing m...
SFScon16 - Jeremy Dalton: “The Way We Move: How open onnovation is changing m...SFScon16 - Jeremy Dalton: “The Way We Move: How open onnovation is changing m...
SFScon16 - Jeremy Dalton: “The Way We Move: How open onnovation is changing m...
 
Future transport-technology-overview-roadmap-2016
Future transport-technology-overview-roadmap-2016Future transport-technology-overview-roadmap-2016
Future transport-technology-overview-roadmap-2016
 
Effective Urban Transportation in Smart Environments (2)
Effective Urban Transportation in Smart Environments (2)Effective Urban Transportation in Smart Environments (2)
Effective Urban Transportation in Smart Environments (2)
 
National Association of Realtors® Transportation Tool Kit
National Association of Realtors® Transportation Tool KitNational Association of Realtors® Transportation Tool Kit
National Association of Realtors® Transportation Tool Kit
 
San Francisco Smart City Challenge
San Francisco Smart City Challenge San Francisco Smart City Challenge
San Francisco Smart City Challenge
 
Improving Transport Demand Management of Cities
Improving Transport Demand Management of CitiesImproving Transport Demand Management of Cities
Improving Transport Demand Management of Cities
 
The Case for Hydrogen Powered Streetcars - "hydrolley's"
The Case for Hydrogen Powered Streetcars - "hydrolley's"The Case for Hydrogen Powered Streetcars - "hydrolley's"
The Case for Hydrogen Powered Streetcars - "hydrolley's"
 
Thinking Cities N. 7
Thinking Cities N. 7Thinking Cities N. 7
Thinking Cities N. 7
 
JF14_APICS_Rennie
JF14_APICS_RennieJF14_APICS_Rennie
JF14_APICS_Rennie
 
Session 5 case studies
Session 5 case studiesSession 5 case studies
Session 5 case studies
 
Session 5 case studies
Session 5 case studiesSession 5 case studies
Session 5 case studies
 
Smart city challenge lessons learned
Smart city challenge lessons learnedSmart city challenge lessons learned
Smart city challenge lessons learned
 
Metro's Emerging Technology Strategy, Eliot Rose
Metro's Emerging Technology Strategy, Eliot RoseMetro's Emerging Technology Strategy, Eliot Rose
Metro's Emerging Technology Strategy, Eliot Rose
 
RV 2014: TOD Market Dreams + Reality by Christine Maguire
RV 2014: TOD Market Dreams + Reality by Christine MaguireRV 2014: TOD Market Dreams + Reality by Christine Maguire
RV 2014: TOD Market Dreams + Reality by Christine Maguire
 
Top 10 most disruptive maritime solution providers 2020
Top 10 most disruptive maritime solution providers 2020Top 10 most disruptive maritime solution providers 2020
Top 10 most disruptive maritime solution providers 2020
 

Viewers also liked

Viewers also liked (12)

Reforma intima e livre arbtrio
Reforma intima e livre arbtrioReforma intima e livre arbtrio
Reforma intima e livre arbtrio
 
Conteúdo Bárbaro
Conteúdo BárbaroConteúdo Bárbaro
Conteúdo Bárbaro
 
Сменный режим рабочего времени. Суммированный учет. Правильное оформление и о...
Сменный режим рабочего времени. Суммированный учет. Правильное оформление и о...Сменный режим рабочего времени. Суммированный учет. Правильное оформление и о...
Сменный режим рабочего времени. Суммированный учет. Правильное оформление и о...
 
Elconflictoysuselementos 090628162653-phpapp02
Elconflictoysuselementos 090628162653-phpapp02Elconflictoysuselementos 090628162653-phpapp02
Elconflictoysuselementos 090628162653-phpapp02
 
Sesion especial 4
Sesion especial 4Sesion especial 4
Sesion especial 4
 
Спарекс
Спарекс Спарекс
Спарекс
 
Business model
Business modelBusiness model
Business model
 
Day & tha life of a g
Day & tha life of a gDay & tha life of a g
Day & tha life of a g
 
1 3 2015_cambiar_programa
1 3 2015_cambiar_programa1 3 2015_cambiar_programa
1 3 2015_cambiar_programa
 
No blessing, no curse? On the bene…ts of being a resource-rich southern regio...
No blessing, no curse? On the bene…ts of being a resource-rich southern regio...No blessing, no curse? On the bene…ts of being a resource-rich southern regio...
No blessing, no curse? On the bene…ts of being a resource-rich southern regio...
 
SB 1 Simple Present BE 1
SB 1 Simple Present BE 1SB 1 Simple Present BE 1
SB 1 Simple Present BE 1
 
Signos vitales informatica
Signos vitales informaticaSignos vitales informatica
Signos vitales informatica
 

Similar to Thinking Highways - Congestion 4-12

TH - Pulling_Pickeral_ 1-15
TH - Pulling_Pickeral_ 1-15TH - Pulling_Pickeral_ 1-15
TH - Pulling_Pickeral_ 1-15
David Pickeral
 
Thinking Highways-ICM_3-11
Thinking Highways-ICM_3-11Thinking Highways-ICM_3-11
Thinking Highways-ICM_3-11
David Pickeral
 
Methodology And Models For Residential Self Selection
Methodology And Models For Residential Self SelectionMethodology And Models For Residential Self Selection
Methodology And Models For Residential Self Selection
Diane Allen
 
helixator- economic and social effects
helixator- economic and social effectshelixator- economic and social effects
helixator- economic and social effects
Guy Ronen
 
Arup_Future_of_Rail_2050
Arup_Future_of_Rail_2050Arup_Future_of_Rail_2050
Arup_Future_of_Rail_2050
Andrew Carr
 
1Problem StatementIt is impossible to avoid an increase in t.docx
1Problem StatementIt is impossible to avoid an increase in t.docx1Problem StatementIt is impossible to avoid an increase in t.docx
1Problem StatementIt is impossible to avoid an increase in t.docx
durantheseldine
 
future-of-mobility-report2019.pdf
future-of-mobility-report2019.pdffuture-of-mobility-report2019.pdf
future-of-mobility-report2019.pdf
Vara Prasad
 
foresight-47-congestion-charging-north-america
foresight-47-congestion-charging-north-americaforesight-47-congestion-charging-north-america
foresight-47-congestion-charging-north-america
Clark Savolaine
 
38803 Arup_FOR2050_pdf
38803 Arup_FOR2050_pdf38803 Arup_FOR2050_pdf
38803 Arup_FOR2050_pdf
Heather Ceney
 

Similar to Thinking Highways - Congestion 4-12 (20)

TH - Pulling_Pickeral_ 1-15
TH - Pulling_Pickeral_ 1-15TH - Pulling_Pickeral_ 1-15
TH - Pulling_Pickeral_ 1-15
 
Thinking Highways-ICM_3-11
Thinking Highways-ICM_3-11Thinking Highways-ICM_3-11
Thinking Highways-ICM_3-11
 
The Future of Mobility - How Hyperloop, Boom Supersonic and Driverless Cars W...
The Future of Mobility - How Hyperloop, Boom Supersonic and Driverless Cars W...The Future of Mobility - How Hyperloop, Boom Supersonic and Driverless Cars W...
The Future of Mobility - How Hyperloop, Boom Supersonic and Driverless Cars W...
 
TH 4-14 - Development
TH 4-14 - DevelopmentTH 4-14 - Development
TH 4-14 - Development
 
Methodology And Models For Residential Self Selection
Methodology And Models For Residential Self SelectionMethodology And Models For Residential Self Selection
Methodology And Models For Residential Self Selection
 
Future of mobility - An Infographic #EnjoyDigitAll by BNP Paribas
Future of mobility - An Infographic #EnjoyDigitAll by BNP ParibasFuture of mobility - An Infographic #EnjoyDigitAll by BNP Paribas
Future of mobility - An Infographic #EnjoyDigitAll by BNP Paribas
 
future_of_mobility_final.pdf
future_of_mobility_final.pdffuture_of_mobility_final.pdf
future_of_mobility_final.pdf
 
helixator- economic and social effects
helixator- economic and social effectshelixator- economic and social effects
helixator- economic and social effects
 
2014 Keynote Speech @ ITS Arizona Annual Meeting
2014 Keynote Speech @ ITS Arizona Annual Meeting2014 Keynote Speech @ ITS Arizona Annual Meeting
2014 Keynote Speech @ ITS Arizona Annual Meeting
 
Micromobility Explorer - how to make it sustainable
Micromobility Explorer - how to make it sustainableMicromobility Explorer - how to make it sustainable
Micromobility Explorer - how to make it sustainable
 
Arup_Future_of_Rail_2050
Arup_Future_of_Rail_2050Arup_Future_of_Rail_2050
Arup_Future_of_Rail_2050
 
1Problem StatementIt is impossible to avoid an increase in t.docx
1Problem StatementIt is impossible to avoid an increase in t.docx1Problem StatementIt is impossible to avoid an increase in t.docx
1Problem StatementIt is impossible to avoid an increase in t.docx
 
How do you envision the city of the future?
How do you envision the city of the future?How do you envision the city of the future?
How do you envision the city of the future?
 
future-of-mobility-report2019.pdf
future-of-mobility-report2019.pdffuture-of-mobility-report2019.pdf
future-of-mobility-report2019.pdf
 
foresight-47-congestion-charging-north-america
foresight-47-congestion-charging-north-americaforesight-47-congestion-charging-north-america
foresight-47-congestion-charging-north-america
 
Mobility, our interconnected world, and ITS
Mobility, our interconnected world, and ITSMobility, our interconnected world, and ITS
Mobility, our interconnected world, and ITS
 
Moving Forward: Harnessing data to improve business outcomes in travel and tr...
Moving Forward: Harnessing data to improve business outcomes in travel and tr...Moving Forward: Harnessing data to improve business outcomes in travel and tr...
Moving Forward: Harnessing data to improve business outcomes in travel and tr...
 
White Paper: Innovation in Transportation
White Paper: Innovation in TransportationWhite Paper: Innovation in Transportation
White Paper: Innovation in Transportation
 
The elevated future of mobility
The elevated future of mobilityThe elevated future of mobility
The elevated future of mobility
 
38803 Arup_FOR2050_pdf
38803 Arup_FOR2050_pdf38803 Arup_FOR2050_pdf
38803 Arup_FOR2050_pdf
 

More from David Pickeral

Pickeral_Transition_TH 10-15
Pickeral_Transition_TH 10-15Pickeral_Transition_TH 10-15
Pickeral_Transition_TH 10-15
David Pickeral
 
Bus World - Career Driver 9-99
Bus World - Career Driver 9-99Bus World - Career Driver 9-99
Bus World - Career Driver 9-99
David Pickeral
 
TransLaw - Intermodal 1999
TransLaw - Intermodal 1999TransLaw - Intermodal 1999
TransLaw - Intermodal 1999
David Pickeral
 
Bus Ride - Security 05-07
Bus Ride - Security 05-07Bus Ride - Security 05-07
Bus Ride - Security 05-07
David Pickeral
 
Bus Ride - Subscriber 2-05
Bus Ride - Subscriber 2-05Bus Ride - Subscriber 2-05
Bus Ride - Subscriber 2-05
David Pickeral
 
Bus Ride - Next Century 12-05
Bus Ride - Next Century 12-05Bus Ride - Next Century 12-05
Bus Ride - Next Century 12-05
David Pickeral
 
BAH Air Times - CAPs 2000
BAH Air Times - CAPs 2000BAH Air Times - CAPs 2000
BAH Air Times - CAPs 2000
David Pickeral
 
2010-1-27-ITS_Leadership
2010-1-27-ITS_Leadership2010-1-27-ITS_Leadership
2010-1-27-ITS_Leadership
David Pickeral
 
GSI - Global Sustainable Infrastructure
GSI - Global Sustainable InfrastructureGSI - Global Sustainable Infrastructure
GSI - Global Sustainable Infrastructure
David Pickeral
 
Thinking Highways - Distracted 12-09
Thinking Highways - Distracted 12-09Thinking Highways - Distracted 12-09
Thinking Highways - Distracted 12-09
David Pickeral
 
Thinking Highways_Storm_1-14
Thinking Highways_Storm_1-14Thinking Highways_Storm_1-14
Thinking Highways_Storm_1-14
David Pickeral
 
Thinking Highways - Real Time 10-11
Thinking Highways -  Real Time 10-11Thinking Highways -  Real Time 10-11
Thinking Highways - Real Time 10-11
David Pickeral
 
Thinking Highways_Incremental_10-12
Thinking Highways_Incremental_10-12Thinking Highways_Incremental_10-12
Thinking Highways_Incremental_10-12
David Pickeral
 
Klaxon_Pickeral interview_May2012
Klaxon_Pickeral interview_May2012Klaxon_Pickeral interview_May2012
Klaxon_Pickeral interview_May2012
David Pickeral
 
TH-Suggestion-Pickeral_6-14
TH-Suggestion-Pickeral_6-14TH-Suggestion-Pickeral_6-14
TH-Suggestion-Pickeral_6-14
David Pickeral
 
LA RRs - Pickeral GMUSL_12-1995
LA RRs  - Pickeral GMUSL_12-1995LA RRs  - Pickeral GMUSL_12-1995
LA RRs - Pickeral GMUSL_12-1995
David Pickeral
 

More from David Pickeral (20)

Parkofon Introduction
Parkofon IntroductionParkofon Introduction
Parkofon Introduction
 
TH Privilege 9-16
TH Privilege 9-16TH Privilege 9-16
TH Privilege 9-16
 
TH Entrepreneur 1-16
TH Entrepreneur 1-16TH Entrepreneur 1-16
TH Entrepreneur 1-16
 
Pickeral_Transition_TH 10-15
Pickeral_Transition_TH 10-15Pickeral_Transition_TH 10-15
Pickeral_Transition_TH 10-15
 
Bus World - Career Driver 9-99
Bus World - Career Driver 9-99Bus World - Career Driver 9-99
Bus World - Career Driver 9-99
 
TransLaw - Intermodal 1999
TransLaw - Intermodal 1999TransLaw - Intermodal 1999
TransLaw - Intermodal 1999
 
Bus Ride - Security 05-07
Bus Ride - Security 05-07Bus Ride - Security 05-07
Bus Ride - Security 05-07
 
Bus Ride - Subscriber 2-05
Bus Ride - Subscriber 2-05Bus Ride - Subscriber 2-05
Bus Ride - Subscriber 2-05
 
Bus Ride - Next Century 12-05
Bus Ride - Next Century 12-05Bus Ride - Next Century 12-05
Bus Ride - Next Century 12-05
 
BAH Air Times - CAPs 2000
BAH Air Times - CAPs 2000BAH Air Times - CAPs 2000
BAH Air Times - CAPs 2000
 
2010-1-27-ITS_Leadership
2010-1-27-ITS_Leadership2010-1-27-ITS_Leadership
2010-1-27-ITS_Leadership
 
GSI - Global Sustainable Infrastructure
GSI - Global Sustainable InfrastructureGSI - Global Sustainable Infrastructure
GSI - Global Sustainable Infrastructure
 
Thinking Highways - Distracted 12-09
Thinking Highways - Distracted 12-09Thinking Highways - Distracted 12-09
Thinking Highways - Distracted 12-09
 
Thinking Highways_Storm_1-14
Thinking Highways_Storm_1-14Thinking Highways_Storm_1-14
Thinking Highways_Storm_1-14
 
Thinking Highways - Real Time 10-11
Thinking Highways -  Real Time 10-11Thinking Highways -  Real Time 10-11
Thinking Highways - Real Time 10-11
 
TH Ecosystem 7-11
TH Ecosystem 7-11TH Ecosystem 7-11
TH Ecosystem 7-11
 
Thinking Highways_Incremental_10-12
Thinking Highways_Incremental_10-12Thinking Highways_Incremental_10-12
Thinking Highways_Incremental_10-12
 
Klaxon_Pickeral interview_May2012
Klaxon_Pickeral interview_May2012Klaxon_Pickeral interview_May2012
Klaxon_Pickeral interview_May2012
 
TH-Suggestion-Pickeral_6-14
TH-Suggestion-Pickeral_6-14TH-Suggestion-Pickeral_6-14
TH-Suggestion-Pickeral_6-14
 
LA RRs - Pickeral GMUSL_12-1995
LA RRs  - Pickeral GMUSL_12-1995LA RRs  - Pickeral GMUSL_12-1995
LA RRs - Pickeral GMUSL_12-1995
 

Thinking Highways - Congestion 4-12

  • 1. Vol 7 No 1 North Americathinkinghighways.com26 OPINION PIECE  I am writing this piece on a “redeye” flight west across North America from California back home to Washington, DC. Out of the aircraft window on this clear winter evening I see the lights of towns and cities, and often the lighted pathways between them, 10,000 metres below, infrastructure that is the legacy and indeed the crowning achievement of several generations of transportation planners. Not quite visible at this level, and perhaps less of a problem at this hour of the night, is the growing problem of congestion within those bright spots below. How can all that concrete and steel down there be made to increase our mobility as it was intended to do rather than be a source of frustration? The answer I would suggest has somewhat less to do with what was done to build it in the first place than it does how it must be managed, monitored and enhanced going forward. THE NEW MEASURE OF SCALE Since the Industrial Revolution began just over two centuries ago, the evolution of transportation has been premised on building sheer capacity to achieve economies of scale: taller and longer bridges, faster speeds, larger aircraft and bigger ships. In my last article I did promise that I would get back to the Titanic… One hundred years ago this April, the worst and most infamous disaster in transportation history occurred in the densely trafficked corridor between North America and Europe – then as now the most heavily travelled transport route on Earth. In an effort to combine speed and capacity the technology of the day the White Star Line pushed and broke the limits, creating a vessel that was far beyond the navigation and communications systems of the day and operating it minus what are now viewed as fundamental safety standards in terms of both equipment and operating procedures. The result as history now knows was, even by the standards of the day, an imminently preventable tragedy that would fundamentally change the way carriers, regulators and the travelling public viewed their responsibilities and entitlements. As the 20th Century progressed, with the advent of wireless communications and eventually radar and then GPS navigation technology, combined with and at times driven by better regulation and oversight, vastly improved both the safety and efficacy of ocean travel and other modes. The world became more and more adept at bigger and faster: take for example the Golden Gate Bridge, the Channel Tunnel, Concorde and A380, Shinkansen and TGV trains, and all the high-speed multilane motorways and interstates and autoroutes -bahns and -stradi that now girdle the developed and increasingly developing world. Each was in itself an undeniable technological milestone with pervasive societal and economic impact. And, yet, a century beyond the iceberg, our cities are choked to gridlock and most of us sit in traffic far more than we would like, with the minutes contained in 1,500+ lost lives a century ago wasted the world over countless times a year just in traffic, and the lives lost and serious injuries as a result of vehicular collisions far exceeding those on ships and aircraft with over 40,000 fatalities on US highways alone each year (compared to zero lives lost in US commercial aviation during 2011) and over a million worldwide. THEREBY HANGSTHETALE Today’s congestion problem thereby is far less immediate in terms of tragic implications, but indeed no less apparent. It is clear that there is a need to find an entirely new operating model that extends from the roadways David E Pickeral takes the holistic approach to congestion management Circumventing theiceberg
  • 2. North America Vol 7 No 1 thinkinghighways.com 27 Congestion management >>> “ITS is, always was, and indeed always will be an enablement, not an achievement in itself, of congestion management” themselves, to the operations centres, to and across multiple modes of transit. Where speed and size proved the solution, the management of congestion going forward must encompass a combination of new technology, applied in the context of a society where citizens are willing to promote change not just at the macro level but in terms of their own daily behaviour. Highways cannot continue to be packed and stalled to a crawl while commuter trains rush by along the adjacent rail corridor with a large percentage of empty seats. Resolving this supply-demand allocation across the entire transportation network is of course a huge and unprecedented change, a new measure of scale, which will define our success and that of future generations in clearing congestion and creating a clear path ahead for mobility. FILLING MODAL GAPS All of the aforementioned transportation achievements have had essentially one common denominator: the objective of optimizing one specific mode with the results of measurable and predictable ROI from the expenditure of public and private funds to develop that mode. This was historically a very logical approach given that most transportation systems evolved with an equally focused objective: a National Road into the growing American Frontier, for instance, a five-day Atlantic crossing, or London to New York in less than three hours. An ever less desirable result of that focused development is that modal silos evolved which
  • 3. OPINION PIECE limit balancing the current demand/ capacity ratio of one mode against that of the others. Examples of such include affording habitual car commuters the option of taking the bus or train, or vice versa as circumstances dictate, or perhaps of paying a toll, hiring a self drive vehicle or taxi, paying for transit, or using a transportation asset in a totally different city or even country with the same open payments account. The means to do this, though it seemed a far reach when I first became involved with the ITS community 18 years ago, is far from science fiction at this point. New high throughput devices such as 5.8/5.9 GHz toll tags and readers and low latency LTE wireless networks are being deployed around the world. Electronic wallets and ePayments supported by advanced encryption algorithms to ensure privacy and security have already eliminated the need for physical currency at the level of the user and the financial networks with which they interact. Although the term “silo smashing’ is an often (and indeed overly) used term these days, what ITS technology really offers is the prospect of not so much breaking down the barriers between the individual modes as it does fill the gaps between them. Advanced traveller information systems can gather real-time data regarding all events and conditions, and apply analytics to this huge stream of data to notify travellers accurately hours in advance of the exact time journeys will require and the cost and availability of everything from fuel to fares to parking, and even link to payment systems to seamlessly pay for these and other commodities and services customised to the individual route and user. CHOICES AND COMMITMENT Technological enablement is above all else making congestion management far more a matter of actually managing congestion rather than the two extremes of: 1. Multi-year mega-billion construction projects to add lane miles in the hopes of heading it off 2. Simply reacting to it when (despite these efforts) it invariably happens However let me be clear that ITS is, always was, and indeed always will be an enablement, not an achievement in itself, of congestion management. What will ensure that ITS will fulfill its promise of being mere gadgetry has in the end far less to do with technology itself as it does how operational doctrines and policy evolve to promote and sustain the necessary transformation of the global transportation ecosystem. Beyond intermodal flexibility there must be a commitment from the most senior officials in government industry down to the individual user that no element transportation network should operate in a vacuum but be leveraged collectively through ITS. As all ITS is deployed and made available it is essential, indeed as essential as the development of the technology itself, that the operators and travelling public remain willing to both learn to use it, and likewise to adapt their collective and individual behaviour to take full advantage of it. The key is flexibility. Rather than deciding, “I am a car commuter,” or “I always take the train to shop in the suburbs,” and following that decision as a matter of habit day in and day out, there is the willingness to use the information ever more immediately and easily available and tailored to each individual user choose the best journey option as balanced against both individual need and the capacity of the transportation ecosystem itself. The attitude shifts then from a modally-focused one of seeking to take a bus trip or bike ride, to one of mode neutrality, with mobility itself as the primary requirement. It then becomes a matter of selecting the resources that best align to that requirement with consideration based on each user’s personal preferences and margins as to cost, time, comfort, environmental impact, etc. Along with the choices presented to them, it will be essential for travellers to make open- minded decisions to both meet their own immediate needs as well as ensure the overall effectiveness of the transportation “system of systems.” In this regard much can be drawn from the experience of the public safety community over the past decade since the tragic events of September 11, 2001, which was in many ways the start of a revolution in security planning and preparedness similar to the one transportation had experienced on the morning of April 15, 1912. During the past 11 years, though technology has certainly evolved, even more can be credited to the development or enhancement of mutual aid agreements, statewide interoperability executive committees, regional planning entities and the like to ensure the same kind of shift in approach just discussed for congestion management: optimized and aligned resources, integrated networks, and the right level and type information Vol 7 No 1 North Americathinkinghighways.com28 “It will be essential for travellers to make open- minded decisions to meet their own immediate needs as well as toensure the overall effectiveness of the transportation system of systems”
  • 4. North America Vol 7 No 1 thinkinghighways.com 29 Congestion management to the each decisionmakers when needed. As this shift occurs, I would go so far as to suggest that much of the need to “manage” congestion (a responsibility with which transportation system planners and operator in all levels of industry and government are entrusted with ensuring and often unduly blamed for not adequately addressing) will be substantially obviated by the increased choices and empowerment each traveller will now have directly at his or her disposure to create a natural “balancing” of the use between and across all modes, and of routing and options within modes. CONCLUSION This sort of re-instrumenting, re-aligning and rethinking will not happen overnight, but it is already underway around the world. I do not think it unreasonable that as the travelling public gets up every morning and turns on their ICT devices, each morning they have collectively and individually some slightly higher measure of mobility enablement open to them – a clear path ahead. DavidPickeralisGlobalDevelopment ExecutiveforSmarterTransportationatIBM, basedinWashington,DC depicker@us.ibm.com www.linkedin.com/in/pickeral Forpreviousarticlesbythisauthor,enter PICKERALintothesearchboxonourhome pageatthinkinghighways.com fyi “This sort of re-instrumenting, re-aligning and rethinking will not happen overnight, but it is already underway around the world”