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Applying advances in mathematics and
statistics research for science and industry1	
  
Mathema'cal	
  modelling	
  of	
  cascades	
  on	
  networks	
  
	
  
James	
  P.	
  Gleeson	
  
MACSI,	
  Department	
  of	
  Mathema:cs	
  and	
  Sta:s:cs,	
  
University	
  of	
  Limerick	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  	
  
	
  
www.ul.ie/gleeson	
   	
  james.gleeson@ul.ie	
  	
  @gleesonj	
  
Applying advances in mathematics and
statistics research for science and industry2	
  
What	
  is	
  mathema'cal	
  modelling?	
  
	
  
Applying advances in mathematics and
statistics research for science and industry3	
  
Computa'onal	
  Social	
  Science	
  
	
  
Applying advances in mathematics and
statistics research for science and industry4	
  
Popularity	
  of	
  hashtags	
  associated	
  with	
  the	
  Spanish	
  15M	
  protest	
  
movement	
  
	
  
Applying advances in mathematics and
statistics research for science and industry5	
  
Mathema'cal	
  modelling	
  of	
  informa'on	
  cascades	
  
	
  
J.	
  P.	
  Gleeson	
  et	
  al.,	
  “Effects	
  of	
  network	
  structure,	
  compe::on	
  and	
  memory	
  :me	
  
on	
  social	
  spreading	
  phenomena”,	
  Physical	
  Review	
  X,	
  6,	
  021019	
  (2016)	
  [Open]	
  
Applying advances in mathematics and
statistics research for science and industry6	
  
Mathema'cal	
  techniques:	
  branching	
  processes	
  
J.	
  P.	
  Gleeson	
  et	
  al.,	
  “Effects	
  of	
  network	
  structure,	
  compe::on	
  and	
  memory	
  :me	
  
on	
  social	
  spreading	
  phenomena”,	
  Physical	
  Review	
  X,	
  6,	
  021019	
  (2016)	
  [Open]	
  
Applying advances in mathematics and
statistics research for science and industry7	
  
Hashtag	
  cascades	
  on	
  TwiEer	
  
	
  
J.	
  P.	
  Gleeson	
  et	
  al.,	
  “Effects	
  of	
  network	
  structure,	
  compe::on	
  and	
  memory	
  :me	
  
on	
  social	
  spreading	
  phenomena”,	
  Physical	
  Review	
  X,	
  6,	
  021019	
  (2016)	
  [Open]	
  
Applying advances in mathematics and
statistics research for science and industry8	
  
The	
  spreading	
  of	
  apps	
  on	
  Facebook	
  
	
  
J.	
  P.	
  Gleeson,	
  D.	
  Cellai,	
  et	
  al.,	
  “A	
  simple	
  genera:ve	
  model	
  of	
  collec:ve	
  
online	
  behavior”,	
  Proceedings	
  of	
  the	
  Na:onal	
  Academy	
  of	
  Sciences	
  USA,	
  111,	
  
10411	
  (2014)	
  [Open]	
  	
  
Applying advances in mathematics and
statistics research for science and industry9	
  
Retweet	
  cascades	
  from	
  the	
  2015	
  Irish	
  marriage	
  
referendum	
  
	
  
D.	
  J.	
  P.	
  O’Sullivan	
  et	
  al.,	
  “Integra:ng	
  sen:ment	
  and	
  social	
  structure	
  to	
  determine	
  
preference	
  alignments:	
  The	
  Irish	
  Marriage	
  Referendum”,	
  arXiv:1701.00289	
  
Applying advances in mathematics and
statistics research for science and industry10	
  
Summary	
  
	
   Collaborators:	
  
	
  
§  David	
  O’Sullivan,	
  UL	
  
§  Kevin	
  O’Sullivan,	
  UL	
  
§  Yamir	
  Moreno,	
  Zaragoza	
  
§  Raquel	
  A	
  Baños,	
  Zaragoza	
  
§  Jonathan	
  Ward,	
  Leeds	
  
§  William	
  Lee,	
  Portsmouth	
  
§  Mariano	
  Beguerisse-­‐Díaz,	
  Oxford	
  
§  Felix	
  Reed-­‐Tsochas,	
  Oxford	
  
§  J-­‐P	
  Onnela,	
  Harvard	
  
§  Mason	
  A	
  Porter,	
  UCLA	
  
§  Guillermo	
  Hernández,	
  Sinnia	
  
§  Sergey	
  Melnik,	
  LoyaltyOne	
  
§  Davide	
  Cellai,	
  Idiro	
  Analy:cs	
  
Applying advances in mathematics and
statistics research for science and industry11	
  
Applying advances in mathematics and
statistics research for science and industry12	
  
Mathema'cal	
  modelling	
  of	
  cascades	
  on	
  networks	
  
	
  
James	
  P.	
  Gleeson	
  
MACSI,	
  Department	
  of	
  Mathema:cs	
  and	
  Sta:s:cs,	
  
University	
  of	
  Limerick	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  	
  
	
  
www.ul.ie/gleeson	
   	
  james.gleeson@ul.ie	
  	
  @gleesonj	
  

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Mathematical Modelling of Cascades on Networks

  • 1. Applying advances in mathematics and statistics research for science and industry1   Mathema'cal  modelling  of  cascades  on  networks     James  P.  Gleeson   MACSI,  Department  of  Mathema:cs  and  Sta:s:cs,   University  of  Limerick             www.ul.ie/gleeson    james.gleeson@ul.ie    @gleesonj  
  • 2. Applying advances in mathematics and statistics research for science and industry2   What  is  mathema'cal  modelling?    
  • 3. Applying advances in mathematics and statistics research for science and industry3   Computa'onal  Social  Science    
  • 4. Applying advances in mathematics and statistics research for science and industry4   Popularity  of  hashtags  associated  with  the  Spanish  15M  protest   movement    
  • 5. Applying advances in mathematics and statistics research for science and industry5   Mathema'cal  modelling  of  informa'on  cascades     J.  P.  Gleeson  et  al.,  “Effects  of  network  structure,  compe::on  and  memory  :me   on  social  spreading  phenomena”,  Physical  Review  X,  6,  021019  (2016)  [Open]  
  • 6. Applying advances in mathematics and statistics research for science and industry6   Mathema'cal  techniques:  branching  processes   J.  P.  Gleeson  et  al.,  “Effects  of  network  structure,  compe::on  and  memory  :me   on  social  spreading  phenomena”,  Physical  Review  X,  6,  021019  (2016)  [Open]  
  • 7. Applying advances in mathematics and statistics research for science and industry7   Hashtag  cascades  on  TwiEer     J.  P.  Gleeson  et  al.,  “Effects  of  network  structure,  compe::on  and  memory  :me   on  social  spreading  phenomena”,  Physical  Review  X,  6,  021019  (2016)  [Open]  
  • 8. Applying advances in mathematics and statistics research for science and industry8   The  spreading  of  apps  on  Facebook     J.  P.  Gleeson,  D.  Cellai,  et  al.,  “A  simple  genera:ve  model  of  collec:ve   online  behavior”,  Proceedings  of  the  Na:onal  Academy  of  Sciences  USA,  111,   10411  (2014)  [Open]    
  • 9. Applying advances in mathematics and statistics research for science and industry9   Retweet  cascades  from  the  2015  Irish  marriage   referendum     D.  J.  P.  O’Sullivan  et  al.,  “Integra:ng  sen:ment  and  social  structure  to  determine   preference  alignments:  The  Irish  Marriage  Referendum”,  arXiv:1701.00289  
  • 10. Applying advances in mathematics and statistics research for science and industry10   Summary     Collaborators:     §  David  O’Sullivan,  UL   §  Kevin  O’Sullivan,  UL   §  Yamir  Moreno,  Zaragoza   §  Raquel  A  Baños,  Zaragoza   §  Jonathan  Ward,  Leeds   §  William  Lee,  Portsmouth   §  Mariano  Beguerisse-­‐Díaz,  Oxford   §  Felix  Reed-­‐Tsochas,  Oxford   §  J-­‐P  Onnela,  Harvard   §  Mason  A  Porter,  UCLA   §  Guillermo  Hernández,  Sinnia   §  Sergey  Melnik,  LoyaltyOne   §  Davide  Cellai,  Idiro  Analy:cs  
  • 11. Applying advances in mathematics and statistics research for science and industry11  
  • 12. Applying advances in mathematics and statistics research for science and industry12   Mathema'cal  modelling  of  cascades  on  networks     James  P.  Gleeson   MACSI,  Department  of  Mathema:cs  and  Sta:s:cs,   University  of  Limerick             www.ul.ie/gleeson    james.gleeson@ul.ie    @gleesonj