AASHTO October 2014 Summit FINAL 1G Agenda 10 15 14 Rev Herby2
Transportation Strategic Enterprise Resilience for Facing Climate Change - Sil
1. Transportation Strategic Enterprise
Resilience for Facing Climate
Change
TRB Webinar:
Economic and Financial
Dimensions to a Climate
Resilient Transportation
Infrastructure
Silvana V Croope, Ph.D., ENV SP
DelDOT – Delaware Department of Transportation
May 12, 2016
2. Building Blocks
• Planning Levels
• Daily activities and integration to resilience
▫ Economic and Financial Resilience
• Enterprise Risk/Resilience Management
• Supporting Policy(ies)
▫ DelDOT example
3. Planning Levels
Plans, Planning, Projects, Implementation, Management
• Strategic
• Tactic
• Operational
• Long-Term
• Short-Term
• World Economic Forum: Global Risks 2015, 10th Edition
http://www3.weforum.org/docs/WEF_Global_Risks_2015_Report15.pdf
• Summary of the Border Infrastructure Finance Workshop -
https://www.borderplanning.fhwa.dot.gov/documents/JWC_Meetings/Jan2016_Sa
nDiego_JWC_Summary.asp
• Integrating Security into the Project Planning and
Development Process
https://www.planning.dot.gov/documents/Integrating_Security_into_Project_Plan
ning.pdf
• Governor Markell’s Transportation Investments for Delaware’s
Future http://governor.delaware.gov/docs/COTPresentation02-12-14.pdf
4. Daily Activities and Integration to Resilience
Economic Resilience
• Impact on welfare and ability to cope, recover, reconstruct, minimize
consumption losses - macroeconomic resilience: instant or dynamic
(Stephane Hallegatte, The World Bank, May 2014)
5. Daily Activities and Integration to Resilience
Financial Resilience (Revenue Resilience???)
• Financial diversity (e.g. bit coin, miles, credits, currency …)
• Disruptive thinking /technology (protect/grow revenue VS budget constraint,
green energy, …)
• Investment to maintain business continuity and competitiveness
• Different revenue types and certainty
• Financial System Resilience Index
• COST RESILIENCE
System’s interdependencies:
economy part of social
system with ecological limits
Efforts
to
reduce
debt
Cost of
disasters
mining
efforts to
reduce
debt
6. A Framework for Financial
Resilience
Potential Indicators Modified from:
New Economics Foundation
http://b.3cdn.net/nefoundation/70470851bfaddff2a2_xem6ix4qg.pdf
Transportation
Sector Financial
Portfolio and
Strategies ???
7. Enterprise Management
Risk
Old Paradigm New Paradigm Catastrophic Impacts
- Historical base
- Ad hoc activity
- Silo/fragmented
- Financial risk
- Verify/inspect,
identify/detect and react
- Focused on people
- Strategic (vision)
- Continuity of activities
- Entire management
- Holistic (both focused
and with coordination)
- Risks for business
- “ forecast/anticipate,
prevent and monitor
- Focus is expanded to
people and processes
- All Hazards
- Technological
- Physical
- Functional
- Economic
- Financial
- Resources
- Knowns
- Unknowns
- Complex ...
Modified from “The Economist Intelligence
Unit, Manageing Business Risk, pp.10
8. Enterprise Management
Resilience
• Self Insurance vs Insured
▫ Catastrophe VS disasters
• Transportation Assets
• Multidimensional perspective
• Multidisciplinary perspective
• Complex dynamic
interconnected world
• …
11. Transportation Resilience Performace Towards Sustainability – With Growth
“Creation”/
Construction
Improved
Infrastructure
Behavior Pattern
Minimum Acceptable Performance
Service Life:
construction,
maintenance,
rehabilitation Disruption
Loss of Capacity
(compromised
service demand)
Growth
capacity
adjustment
Increased
Resilience Increased
Capacity
Construction
Minimum
Disruption,
Increased
Resilience
(lessons
learned)
Desired
Sustainable
System
Balance
Loss of capacity through time
(lower performance level and
trigger for maintenance,
repair, rehabilitation)
Levels of Investments
and Revenues Needed
Silvana Croope, 2015
12. DelDOT
The Opportunities
• Notice of Opportunities – funding
• Incorporation to daily activities
• None-traditional venues
• Increased P3
• Collaboration more than competition?
• FHWA Vulnerability
Assessment Inclusion of
Econ/Finance dimensions
• Suggest DHS/NIPP
include Econ/Finance
dimensions
• …
13. Thank you!
“When organizational leaders fail to anticipate or plan for multiple
goal-seeking,
the clash of individual versus organizational goals
causes much conflict and lost productivity for all concerned, …
creating a lose-lose situation, …
dehumanization, delayering, and mechanization of work …
alienating many of today’s workers.”
Strategic and Systems Thinking: The Science of System Thinking. S. Haines, 2007.