This document discusses the impact of Covid-19 on the stock market. It provides an overview of Covid-19 cases globally and in India. It also presents charts showing the rapid growth of Covid-19 cases and decreasing number of days for cases to double. The document then examines the impact on stock markets in the US and India, with both seeing sharp declines from their pre-Covid highs. It analyzes the sector-wise impact, finding that banking, aviation, tourism and hospitality saw major declines, while pharmaceuticals and IT saw less impact.
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Index
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Introduction to Stock Market
Covid-19 Overview
Understanding Covid-19 from Charts (India)
Pre Covid-19 Glance at Stock Market
Impact of Covid-19 on Stock Market
Key Sector Impacted due to Covid-19
Way Ahead
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What factors affect stock price?
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Monetary
Policy
Exchange
Rates
Politics
Natural
Disaster
Commodity
Price
Firm
Related
Factors
Covid-19
(Coronavirus)
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What factors affect stock price?
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Potato have become
cheaper
Sales of Company going
up
Competitor has started
new outlet
Employee have gone on
strike
Food inspector has found
low quality material -
Positive Outlook
Negative Outlook
Stock Price reflects the business health
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31st Dec’19
Pneumonia of unknown cause
detected in Wuhan
11th Jan’20
1st Death reported due to
Covid-19
30th Jan’20 India reported its 1st case of
Covid-19 in Kerala
29th Feb’20 USA reported 1st
Covid-19 death
11th Mar’20 WHO declared Covid-19
a Pandemic
24th Mar’20
21 Day lockdown in India (571
confirmed cases)
25th April’20
2,850,853 Covid-19 cases across the
world & 198,116 deaths
(25,029 Covid-19 cases in India)
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Covid-19 at a Glance
Covid-19 is a disease COVID-19 is a disease
caused by the “novel corona virus”
Spreads mostly by coming in direct contact
with Covid-19 patients
Covid-19 has 4 stages of transmission
No Vaccination (Social Distancing is
Important)
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US Markets: Weekly Chart
Pre Covid-19: Stock Markets
• US Equity Market Rallied more than
30% last year
• Strong Economic Activity
• Good Business Performance
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Pre Covid-19: Stock Markets
India Markets: Weekly Chart
• Indian equity market rallied 15% to
12250
• Weaker economy then US
• Government reduced corporate tax
rate
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oImpact of Past Outbreaks on Stock
Market
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• Swine Flu (H1N1)
• Mers
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Covid-19: Impact on Stock Markets
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Covid-19
Impact
Lockdown
Business
Closure
Tourism &
Hospitality
Aviation
High Budget
Expense
Low Sales
Factory
Shutdown
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Covid-19 Impact: US Markets
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Weekly Chart
• No impact of Covid-19 until 21st Feb
• Cases outside China triggered for
Sell off
• US Markets corrected about 33% in
just 1 Month
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Covid-19 Impact: Indian Markets
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Weekly Chart
• Nifty tumbled nearly 40% to 7500
before even 500 cases
• Nifty has recovered post lockdown
• Markets are always forward looking
• Even 10 min old information is
useless
India Markets: Daily Chart
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Sector wise impact of Covid-19
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5.20%
-2.17%
11.04%
7.08%
1.49%
-34.60%
-7.80%
-20.30%
13.00%
-33.00%
-40.00%
-30.00%
-20.00%
-10.00%
0.00%
10.00%
20.00%
Before Covid Afer Covid
Sector
Companies
E.g.
Some Impact Areas
Banking HDFC, ICICI
No or less credit demand, Fund
Liquidity
FMCG HUL, Marico
Less Production, Low demand,
Local store closed
IT TCS, Infosys Low Demand Demand
Pharma Sun Pharma, Cipla
US FDA Approvals, Demand of
APIs in USA
Automobile Maruti, Bajaj Manufacturing facilities shut,
BANKING FMCG IT PHARMA AUTO
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Weekly Chart
PVR Ltd: Covid-19 Impact
PVR: Weekly Chart
• Indian watching movie to escape
slow down
• Strong Fundamentals
• 50% Return (Sep-19 to Feb-20)
• Stock Tumbled nearly 50% due to
Covid-19
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Summary
◦ The spread of Covid-19 has slowed down in India post lockdown
◦ The markets have tumbled post Covid-19 due to multiple reasons
◦ A few sector which have impacted are Banking, Pharma, FMCG etc.
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