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Global Sourcing Update 
Facts & Insights 
Produced by:
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FOREWORD 
[GLOBAL SOURCING UPDATE] 
Core Solutions’ Global Sourcing Update provides research and analysis aimed at informing global sourcing and buying decisions for retailers, brands and other sourcing professionals. Each issue includes a snapshot of key information impacting global sourcing, such as economic conditions in sourcing countries, container shipping prices, currency exchange rates and commodity costs. We also cover hot topics ourselves and include insight from customers and analysts. 
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Contents 
Purchasing Manager’s Index ........................................................................................................ 3 
Major Economic Indicators ........................................................................................................... 4 
Global Competitiveness Index: Selected Indicators, 2013-14 (Ranking of 148 countries) ............ 5 
China Minimum Wage Snapshot .................................................................................................. 6 
Global Low Cost Sourcing Country Wage Snapshot .................................................................... 7 
Container Freight Rates for Major Routes .................................................................................... 8 
Currency Exchange Rates ......................................................................................................... 10 
Global Commodity Rates ........................................................................................................... 11 
Crude Oil ..................................................................................................................................... 11 
Rubber ......................................................................................................................................... 11 
Metals .......................................................................................................................................... 12 
Wood ........................................................................................................................................... 13 
Wool, Hides, Cotton .................................................................................................................... 13 
Plastics and Fibers ...................................................................................................................... 14 
Quality Focus ............................................................................................................................. 15 
Topic Spotlight: The Promise of Myanmar .................................................................................. 17 
CBX Sourcing Solution ............................................................................................................... 18 
Next Steps ................................................................................................................................. 19
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Purchasing Manager’s Index 
To help understand industry and economic conditions in a country, the PMI Index tracks variables such as output, new orders, stock levels, employment and prices across private companies in the manufacturing, construction, retail and service sectors. 
A reading below 50 indicates contraction from the previous month, while a reading above 50 indicates growth. Currently 22 countries and regions conduct the PMI survey and compilation, based on an internationally standardized methodology. 
This update looks at a selection of emerging economies and key sourcing countries, providing indicators for recent months (based on data provided by Markit) 
Trend: Manufacturing conditions in most emerging economies continued to improve going into the second half of the year, with some exceptions due to political or inflationary conditions. China’s manufacturing has seen somewhat of a turnaround in recent months, supported by government policy interventions to stimulate recovery. COUNTRY May 2014 Jun 2014 Jul 2014 INDICATORS 
Brazil 
48.8 
48.7 
49.1 
Output fell steadily for the fourth consecutive month as Brazil’s economy stagnated 
China 
49.4 
50.7 
51.7 
Operating conditions are improving with exports and output at highest level since March 2013 
Czech Republic 
57.3 
54.7 
56.5 
The Czech manufacturing sector experienced a strong performance going into the third quarter 
Egypt 
48.7 
51.5 
-- 
Egypt’s private sector experienced solid improvements in output, orders and exports heading in to 2H 2014 
India 
51.4 
51.5 
53.0 
Business conditions in India improved for the ninth consecutive month on high demand 
Indonesia 
52.4 
52.7 
52.7 
Indonesian manufacturers reported a solid improvement with increasing purchasing activity in recent months 
Mexico 
51.9 
51.8 
51.5 
Some increase in production with a forecast of moderate growth on new exports from abroad 
Poland 
50.8 
50.3 
49.4 
Polish manufacturing entered a downturn in second half of the year with drop in new orders 
Russia 
48.9 
49.1 
51.0 
A marked improvement in the third quarter signaled a turnaround in Russian manufacturing 
South Africa 
49.7 
49.5 
-- 
Private sector output and new orders continued to contract with an impact of mining strikes 
South Korea 
49.5 
48.4 
49.3 
Output and new business fell as Korea’s manufacturing sector and remained weak 
Turkey 
50.1 
48.8 
48.5 
Turkey’s manufacturing sector remained in a downturn on falling new orders and output 
Vietnam 
52.5 
52.3 
51.7 
Expansion of Vietnamese manufacturing continued with some slowing due to inflation and high oil prices 
PMI Index Source: HSBC, Markit
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Major Economic Indicators 
The price index for US imports from China stayed high in June as China’s export growth increased, rising to a 13-month high of 104.1 in May and in June, after registering 103.8 in March and in April. Total value of deals signed at the 115th Canton Fair fell 2.0% from the previous session. Global merchandise trade gained only 2.1% in 2013, predicted to rise at a faster pace in 2014. Selected highlights: 
Cambodia – Exports of textiles and garments rose by 9% by Q1 2014, with an agreement reached to annually review the garment sectors minimum wage 
Indonesia – Exports declined 3.2% yoy to reach US $ 14.3 billion in April, while new president, Joko Widodo, elected in July, is expected to turn things around 
Vietnam – Anti-China riots impacted production while a garment industry development plan for 2020 was approved, with a target of 65% localization of raw materials by 2020 
CPI (% yoy growth) Dec 2013 Jan 2014 Feb 2014 Mar 2014 Apr 2014 May 2014 
Bangladesh 
7.4 
7.5 
7.4 
7.5 
7.5 
- 
Cambodia 
4.7 
4.5 
- 
- 
- 
- 
India 
9.9 
8.8 
8.1 
8.3 
8.6 
- 
Indonesia 
8.4 
8.2 
7.8 
7.3 
7.3 
7.3 
Pakistan 
9.2 
7.9 
7.9 
8.5 
9.2 
- 
Philippines 
4.1 
4.2 
4.1 
3.9 
4.1 
4.5 
Thailand 
1.7 
1.9 
2.0 
2.1 
2.5 
2.6 
Turkey 
7.4 
7.8 
7.9 
8.4 
9.4 
- 
Vietnam 
6.0 
5.5 
4.7 
4.4 
4.5 
4.7 Exports (% yoy growth) Dec 2013 Jan 2014 Feb 2014 Mar 2014 Apr 2014 May 2014 
Bangladesh 
10.5 
7.8 
6.4 
4.8 
16.0 
- 
Cambodia 
43.7 
- 
- 
- 
- 
- 
India 
3.5 
3.8 
-3.7 
-3.2 
5.3 
- 
Indonesia 
10.3 
-5.9 
-2.5 
1.2 
-3.2 
- 
Pakistan 
26.1 
1.9 
18.1 
4.9 
-10.0 
- 
Philippines 
24.9 
-3.0 
11.6 
12.4 
1.3 
- 
Thailand 
1.8 
-2.1 
2.3 
-3.2 
-1.0 
-2.3 
Turkey 
4.6 
8.3 
5.7 
12.4 
- 
- 
Vietnam 
15.4 
-0.8 
13.8 
14.8 
18.9 
15.9 Imports (%yoy growth) Dec 2013 Jan 2014 Feb 2014 Mar 2014 Apr 2014 May 2014 
Bangladesh 
29.9 
8.2 
15.7 
25.6 
- 
- 
Cambodia 
26.8 
- 
- 
- 
- 
- 
India 
-15.3 
-18.1 
-17.1 
-2.1 
-15.0 
- 
Indonesia 
-0.8 
-3.5 
-9.9 
-2.3 
-1.3 
- 
Pakistan 
-2.5 
9.9 
6.4 
-1.6 
4.0 
- 
Philippines 
2.7 
24.7 
1.7 
10.6 
3.0 
- 
Thailand 
-9.9 
-15.5 
-16.6 
-14.2 
-14.5 
-9.3 
Turkey 
16.7 
2.6 
5.9 
-3.0 
- 
- 
Vietnam 
16.1 
-5.5 
12.6 
12.9 
12.2 
10.3 
Source: Fung Group, various statistical bureaus
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Global Competitiveness Index: Selected Indicators, 2013- 14 (Ranking of 148 countries) 
The Global Competitiveness is a ranking of countries based on their competitiveness across different measures such as government regulation, labor market efficiency, education, infrastructure and other measures important to doing business in a country. Below is a selection of emerging economies which are important sourcing locations. As might be expected, Countries which made significant gains in the index include Bangladesh, Indonesia, the Philippines and Vietnam, while China remained relatively flat. 
Source: World Economic Forum
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China Minimum Wage Snapshot 
Minimum wages may be set at the city, province or administrative unit and vary considerably (as the 2013 wage map below indicates) - although the 2011-15 Five Year Plan stipulates an annual increase of 13%. Actual increases have been in excess of 10% annually for more than a decade. 
Source: China Briefing, Dezan Shira 
2014 Minimum Wage Updates 
Region 
Monthly Min Wage (RMB) 
Hourly Min Wage (RMB 
Effective Date 
Shanghai 
1,820 
17 
Apr. 1, 2014 
Shenzhen 
1,808 
16.5 
Feb. 1, 2014 
Beijing 
1,560 
16.9 
Apr. 1, 2014 
Shandong 
Class A District: 1,500 
Class A District: 15 
Mar. 1, 2014 
Class B District: 1,350 
Class B District: 13.5 
Class C District: 1,200 
Class C District: 12 
Shaanxi 
Class A District: 1,280 
Class A District: 12.8 
Feb. 1, 2014 
Class B District: 1,170 
Class B District: 11.7 
Class C District: 1,060 
Class C District:10.6 
Class D District: 970 
Class D District: 9.7 
Chongqing 
Class A District: 1,250 
Class A District: 12.5 
Jan 1, 2014 
Class B District: 1,150 
Class B District: 11.5 
Trends: By April 2014, minimum wage increases were seen in seven key economic areas of China (as indicated in the table above). It is expected that this trend will continue through the remainder of 2014, affecting approximately 28 regions. 
According to some analysts, wages are expected to increase at a more moderate rate of 8% in 2014 compared to 10% plus in previous years. The labor market is expected to remain tight with skill shortages, an aging population and less migrant workers. Studies show that productivity among Chinese workers is higher, which should offset rising labor costs. 
All four regions (central, north, East, West) witnessed double digit wage growth in 2013, ranging from 13.5% to 16.0% 
New Wage Agreements: 
Shanxi – April 1, 2014 
Qinghai – May, 2014 
Yunnan – May 1, 2014 
Sichuan – July 1, 2014 
Jiangxi – July 1, 2014
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Global Low Cost Sourcing Country Wage Snapshot 
Below is a snapshot of minimum wages in key Asia sourcing locations, with the addition of Egypt and Ethiopia. Wages often vary by region or province and in some cases might include costs other than the base wage. In cases with a distinct variance, we provide an average. With greater visibility into social conditions and increasing unrest and union pressure, wages in traditional low cost sourcing countries are on the rise across the board. 
Note: Consult Fair Wage Guide to calculate benchmarks for wages in particular countries on an hourly or piece rate basis and determine a fair wage in those regions. BANGLADESH CAMBODIA CHINA EGYPT ETHIOPIA $68/month (Dec 1, 2013) US$ 83/month US$ 188/month US$ 105/month US$ 23/month 
The minimum wage for entry level workers will increase by 77% to US$68/month from $38 per month. This includes: 
US$ 38.55 - basic wage US$ 15.42 – rent 
US$ 3.21 – medical 
US$ 2.57 - transport 
US$ 8.35 - food subsidy. 
Breakdown 
US $ 55 – Regular 
+ US $ 6 –living 
+US$ 10 – Attendance 
+US$ 5 – Health 
+US$ 7 – Transport 
Total = US$ 83 
Wages expected to increase $20-40 in 2014. 
Set locally, ranges from US$ 138 per month in Jiangxi Province to US$ 238 per month in Shenzhen, Guangdong Province. 
Wages increasing at least 10% per year. 
Currently there is only one national minimum wage; there are no sectorial rates or occupation-based rates. Only one national rate: EGP 700 
Some government institutions and public enterprises set their own minimum wages: public sector employees, earned a monthly minimum wage of US$ 23 INDIA INDONESIA LAOS MALAYSIA MYANMAR US$ 60/month US$ 71-230/month US$ 79 per month US$ 297 per month US$ 65 
From April 1, 2011 the Minimum Wage was raised to US$ 1.73 /day. 
Wages vary by region. 
US$ 2.18 per day in Bihar to US$ 3.40 per day in Haryana. 
The rupee hit an all-time low of 60.76 against the US dollar on 26 June. 
Depends on region. 17 areas have different minimum wage. E.g. Jakarta: US$ 230 
Solo: US$ 109 
Central Java: US $ 71 
Rupiah depreciated to new low: closed at 10,297 against the US 
dollar on 14 August 
Expecting US$ 120 at end of June 2013 – negotiating 
Increase needed to offset migration to Thailand 
US$ 79 per month; employers required to pay US$ 1 meal allowance per day. 
70%-80% of textile workers are foreigners 
US$ 297 per month on the Peninsula Malaysia, and US$ 261 per month for the states of Sabah, Sarawak, and Labuan 
Rates vary widely. 
Rate for day laborers is $0.50 per day. Min wage was temporarily increased to $65 per month pending approval of a new wage bill in late 2013. 
PHILLIPPINES SRI LANKA THAILAND VIETNAM US$ 190- 220 /month US$ 63 US$ 300/ month US$ 78 - 111 /month 
Garments are made in 3 regions and wages range from $6-8 per day. 
In 2013 minimum wages will be replaced with a two-tier system. 1st tier: Minimum floor wage for new hires/ low skilled. 2nd tier: productivity – based system. 
Manila - raise to 466 pesos (US$10/day) as of October 
In the industrial sector, minimum wages are varied depending on the worker category. 
Semi-skilled: US$ 55 – US$ 63 
Skilled: US$ 59 – US$ 75 
Last increase was in April 2012, up 40% 
Automotive industry expansion means textile workers will migrate 
US$ 300 per month applies from 1st Jan 2013 
US$ 85 -95 per month (urban), US$ 67-74 per month (rural) for unskilled laborers at private enterprises 
Proposed min wage increase of US$ 12-19 (15-17%) per month as of Jan 2014 
Sources: WageIndicator.org, SAFSA, Wikipedia
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Container Freight Rates for Major Routes 
The rates below are supplied by The World Container Index - which reports actual spot container freight rates for selected East-West trade routes – and Xeneta which relies on data provided by shippers, allowing users to cross-reference prices. All indices are reported in USD per Forty Foot Container. We report on historical and forward looking rates for key Asia-Europe and Asia-U.S. routes. 
Analysis: Demand for containerized freight has been strong in Europe and North America. Despite and over-supply of freight shipping, container freight rates are not expected to drop much in the coming year as economies continue to recover. Container shipping companies are still struggling to make a profit due to overcapacity and a volatile global economic climate. 
Source: www.worldcontainerindex.com
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Shanghai – Antwerp 40ft 
Market average: $2,021 
Market low: $1,497 
Hong Kong – Hamburg 40ft 
Market average: $2,759 
Market low: $2,099 
Shanghai – Rotterdam 40ft 
Market average: $2,124 
Market low: $1,616 
Source: www.xeneta.com 
Source: www.xeneta.com
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Currency Exchange Rates 
Following are exchange rates and indicators from 30 day to 2 year historical rates for major currencies commonly factored into global sourcing costing estimations. 
EURO to USD: 
EURO to RMB: 
USD to RMB: 
EUR/USD - % change 
2 years 
8.86% 
1 year 
5.05% 
6 months 
0.00% 
3 months 
-1.37% 
30 days 
-0.07% 
Source: Oanda 
USD/RMB - % change 
2 years 
-2.27% 
1 year 
-0.30% 
6 months 
0.96% 
3 months 
-0.12% 
30 days 
-0.12% 
Source: Oanda 
EUR/RMB - % change 
2 years 
6.39% 
1 year 
4.74% 
6 months 
0.96% 
3 months 
-1.49% 
30 days 
-0.19% 
Source: Oanda 
The Euro declined against the USD through Q2, which is on a bullish trend, but is recovering as we head into Q3 2014. 
The Euro has entered a weakening phase against all major currencies, including the RMB as the Euro zone recovery remains soft. 
The Chinese Yuan appreciated slightly against the USD in the first half of 2014, which is expected to continue in the medium term.
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Global Commodity Rates 
Cotton prices have fallen markedly since April as the Chinese government is clearing large stockpiles. Viscose staple fibers fell while PP prices rose over past three months. Crude oil prices continue to be volatile, as uncertainty in the Middle East continue and global oil demand is expected to outpace supply in the near term, putting downward pressure on prices. Metal prices eased during Q2 2014 due to weakening demand from China. 
Crude Oil 
90 
95 
100 
105 
110 
Jun-13 
Jul-13 
Aug-13 
Sep-13 
Oct-13 
Nov-13 
Dec-13 
Jan-14 
Feb-14 
Mar-14 
Apr-14 
May-14 
Crude Oil , average of three spot prices: Dated Brent, WTI and Dubai Fateh 
95 
100 
105 
110 
115 
Jun-13 
Jul-13 
Aug-13 
Sep-13 
Oct-13 
Nov-13 
Dec-13 
Jan-14 
Feb-14 
Mar-14 
Apr-14 
May-14 
Oil - Dated Brent, light blend 38 API, fob U.K., US$ per barrel 
96 
98 
100 
102 
104 
106 
108 
110 
Jun-13 
Jul-13 
Aug-13 
Sep-13 
Oct-13 
Nov-13 
Dec-13 
Jan-14 
Feb-14 
Mar-14 
Apr-14 
May-14 
Oil - Dubai, medium, fob Dubai 
Fateh 32 API, US$ per barrel 
85 
90 
95 
100 
105 
110 
Jun-13 
Jul-13 
Aug-13 
Sep-13 
Oct-13 
Nov-13 
Dec-13 
Jan-14 
Feb-14 
Mar-14 
Apr-14 
May-14 
Oil - West Texas Intermediate 40 API, Midland Texas, US$ per barrel 
0 
20 
40 
60 
80 
100 
120 
140 
Jun-13 
Jul-13 
Aug-13 
Sep-13 
Oct-13 
Nov-13 
Dec-13 
Jan-14 
Feb-14 
Mar-14 
Apr-14 
May-14 
Rubber, Singapore Commodity Exchange, No. 3 Rubber Smoked Sheets, US cents per pound 
Rubber 
Rubber price continue a downward trend in Q3, despite modest recovery in Q2. Oversupply of natural rubber is expected to exceed 4 million tons in the near term. 
Commodity Price Sources: IMF data, Index Mundi, Plasticker
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Metals 
155 
160 
165 
170 
175 
180 
185 
Jun-13 
Jul-13 
Aug-13 
Sep-13 
Oct-13 
Nov-13 
Dec-13 
Jan-14 
Feb-14 
Mar-14 
Apr-14 
May-14 
Metals Price Index, 2005 = 100, includes Copper, Aluminum, Iron Ore, Tin, Nickel, Zinc, Lead, and Uranium Price Indices 
1700 
1750 
1800 
1850 
1900 
1950 
2000 
2050 
2100 
Jun-13 
Jul-13 
Aug-13 
Sep-13 
Oct-13 
Nov-13 
Dec-13 
Jan-14 
Feb-14 
Mar-14 
Apr-14 
May-14 
Zinc, high grade 98% pure, US$ per metric ton 
19000 
20000 
21000 
22000 
23000 
24000 
Jun-13 
Jul-13 
Aug-13 
Sep-13 
Oct-13 
Nov-13 
Dec-13 
Jan-14 
Feb-14 
Mar-14 
Apr-14 
May-14 
Tin, standard grade, LME spot price, US$ per metric ton 
1500 
1600 
1700 
1800 
1900 
Jun-13 
Jul-13 
Aug-13 
Sep-13 
Oct-13 
Nov-13 
Dec-13 
Jan-14 
Feb-14 
Mar-14 
Apr-14 
May-14 
Aluminum, 99.5% min purity, LME spot price, CIF UK ports, US$ per metric ton 
1950 
2000 
2050 
2100 
2150 
2200 
Jun-13 
Jul-13 
Aug-13 
Sep-13 
Oct-13 
Nov-13 
Dec-13 
Jan-14 
Feb-14 
Mar-14 
Apr-14 
May-14 
Lead, 99.97% pure, LME spot price, CIF European Ports, US$ /metric ton 
40 
60 
80 
100 
120 
140 
160 
Jun-13 
Jul-13 
Aug-13 
Sep-13 
Oct-13 
Nov-13 
Dec-13 
Jan-14 
Feb-14 
Mar-14 
Apr-14 
May-14 
China import Iron Ore 62% FE spot (CFR Tianjin port), US $ per metric ton 
6600 
6700 
6800 
6900 
7000 
7100 
7200 
7300 
7400 
Jun-13 
Jul-13 
Aug-13 
Sep-13 
Oct-13 
Nov-13 
Dec-13 
Jan-14 
Feb-14 
Mar-14 
Apr-14 
May-14 
Copper, grade A cathode, LME spot price, CIF Eur ports, US$ / metric ton 
8000 
10000 
12000 
14000 
16000 
18000 
20000 
Jun-13 
Jul-13 
Aug-13 
Sep-13 
Oct-13 
Nov-13 
Dec-13 
Jan-14 
Feb-14 
Mar-14 
Apr-14 
May-14 
Nickel, melting grade, LME spot price, CIF European ports, US$ per metric ton
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Wood 
Wool, Hides, Cotton 
0 
50 
100 
150 
200 
Jun-13 
Jul-13 
Aug-13 
Sep-13 
Oct-13 
Nov-13 
Dec-13 
Jan-14 
Feb-14 
Mar-14 
Apr-14 
May-14 
Soft Logs Average Export price for Douglas Fir, US$ per cubic meter 
270 
280 
290 
300 
310 
320 
330 
Jun-13 
Jul-13 
Aug-13 
Sep-13 
Oct-13 
Nov-13 
Dec-13 
Jan-14 
Feb-14 
Mar-14 
Apr-14 
May-14 
Soft Sawnwood, average export price of Douglas Fir, U.S. Price, US$ per cubic meter 
100 
150 
200 
250 
300 
350 
Jun-13 
Jul-13 
Aug-13 
Sep-13 
Oct-13 
Nov-13 
Dec-13 
Jan-14 
Feb-14 
Mar-14 
Apr-14 
May-14 
Hard Logs, Malaysian meranti, import price Japan, US$ / cubic meter 
780 
800 
820 
840 
860 
880 
900 
920 
940 
Jun-13 
Jul-13 
Aug-13 
Sep-13 
Oct-13 
Nov-13 
Dec-13 
Jan-14 
Feb-14 
Mar-14 
Apr-14 
May-14 
Hard Sawnwood, Dark Red Meranti, C&F U.K port, US$ per cubic meter 
900 
950 
1000 
1050 
1100 
1150 
1200 
Jun-13 
Jul-13 
Aug-13 
Sep-13 
Oct-13 
Nov-13 
Dec-13 
Jan-14 
Feb-14 
Mar-14 
Apr-14 
May-14 
Wool, Coarse, Australian Wool Exchange, US cents per kg 
900 
950 
1000 
1050 
1100 
1150 
1200 
1250 
Jun-13 
Jul-13 
Aug-13 
Sep-13 
Oct-13 
Nov-13 
Dec-13 
Jan-14 
Feb-14 
Mar-14 
Apr-14 
May-14 
Wool, fine, Australian Wool Exchange, US cents / kilogram 
0 
20 
40 
60 
80 
100 
120 
Jun-13 
Jul-13 
Aug-13 
Sep-13 
Oct-13 
Nov-13 
Dec-13 
Jan-14 
Feb-14 
Mar-14 
Apr-14 
May-14 
Hides, Heavy native steers, wholesale dealer's price, fob Shipping Point, US cents / pound 
75 
80 
85 
90 
95 
100 
Jun-13 
Jul-13 
Aug-13 
Sep-13 
Oct-13 
Nov-13 
Dec-13 
Jan-14 
Feb-14 
Mar-14 
Apr-14 
May-14 
Cotton 'A Index', Middling 1-3/32 inch staple, CIF Liverpool, US cents / lb
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Plastics and Fibers 
A selection of plastic related prices is provided below. These are calculated from offer prices in the Plasticker Material Exchange, which provide an indication of trends. 
Analysis: Despite a modest recovery of plastic related prices in Q2, prices experienced a strong downward trend going in the second half of the year. Volatility in oil prices, oversupply of various plastics, along with weaker demand from China, are contributing to this trend. 
1 
1.1 
1.2 
1.3 
1.4 
Jul-13 
Aug-13 
Sep-13 
Oct-13 
Nov-13 
Dec-13 
Jan-14 
Feb-14 
Mar-14 
Apr-14 
May-14 
Jun-14 
Nylon - Price of PA 6.6 
Regrind/ Flakes (Euros/kg) 
0.4 
0.45 
0.5 
0.55 
0.6 
Jul-13 
Aug-13 
Sep-13 
Oct-13 
Nov-13 
Dec-13 
Jan-14 
Feb-14 
Mar-14 
Apr-14 
May-14 
Jun-14 
Polyester - Price Development of PET Regrind/ Flakes (Euro/kg) 
0.60 
0.65 
0.70 
0.75 
0.80 
0.85 
0.90 
Jul-13 
Aug-13 
Sep-13 
Oct-13 
Nov-13 
Dec-13 
Jan-14 
Feb-14 
Mar-14 
Apr-14 
May-14 
Jun-14 
ABS Price Development of ABS Regrind/ Flakes (Euro/kg 
0.42 
0.44 
0.46 
0.48 
0.5 
0.52 
0.54 
Jul-13 
Aug-13 
Sep-13 
Oct-13 
Nov-13 
Dec-13 
Jan-14 
Feb-14 
Mar-14 
Apr-14 
May-14 
Jun-14 
PVC - Price Development of PVC-h Regrind/Flakes (Euro/kg) 
0.52 
0.54 
0.56 
0.58 
0.6 
0.62 
0.64 
Jul-13 
Aug-13 
Sep-13 
Oct-13 
Nov-13 
Dec-13 
Jan-14 
Feb-14 
Mar-14 
Apr-14 
May-14 
Jun-14 
PP - Price Development of PP Regrind/Flakes (Euro/kg) 
0.5 
0.55 
0.6 
0.65 
0.7 
0.75 
Jul-13 
Aug-13 
Sep-13 
Oct-13 
Nov-13 
Dec-13 
Jan-14 
Feb-14 
Mar-14 
Apr-14 
May-14 
Jun-14 
PS - Price Development of PS Regrind/Flakes (Euro/kg) 
Source: Plasticker
Q3 2014 - Global Sourcing Update CORESOLUTIONS 
15 
www.coresolutions.com info@coresolutions.com 
Americas: +1.908.898.1880 Europe: +44.20.8133.0328 Asia: +852.2378.6300 
Quality Focus 
This new section of the Global Sourcing Update will focus on manufacturing/sourcing quality related news and the impact on retailers and brands. This section is contributed largely by AsiaInspection, a leading global provider of quality control services for businesses importing from Asia, Africa, Southern Europe and Latin America. 
Unrest Puts Increased Focus on Quality 
Recent protests due to political tensions with China sent fear into supply chains, with Asia Inspection figures showing that ordered inspections were 3.3 times higher than the average for May 2013 to April 2014. This is due to increased concern from foreign buyers to ensure their supply chain and quality has not been disrupted. In Vietnam, textile and apparel exports increased 18% year-on-year between January and May, reaching $7.5 billion USD. In the first half of the year apparel imports from Vietnam into the US saw a 12.7% increase, well ahead of rival China at 0.9%. 
China is also experiencing unrest, as over 40,000 workers in the Dongguan province engaged in one of the largest industrial disputes in recent times. However China only also saw a 10% increase in inspections in this period, significantly lower than others in the region. Chinese government stimulus efforts have positively impacted manufacturing output going into the second half of 2014. 
The largest inspections growth in Asia was in Cambodia, up 99% year over year, then Bangladesh and Vietnam 73% each, India 63% and China 10%. In growth by industry category, food and food container inspections were up 55% quarter over quarter globally. 
Africa Gains Momentum 
Ordered inspection growth in Asia remained strong with 21% year over year growth. This was surpassed by Africa with 31% inspection growth. Interestingly, growth for inspections in Africa was led by Swaziland which saw 50% growth in just the last quarter. At the same time, Swaziland is losing benefits from the United States under the African Growth and Opportunity Act for its failure to make progress towards internationally recognized workers’ rights.
Q3 2014 - Global Sourcing Update CORESOLUTIONS 
16 
www.coresolutions.com info@coresolutions.com 
Americas: +1.908.898.1880 Europe: +44.20.8133.0328 Asia: +852.2378.6300 
Toxic Chemicals Found in Clothing 
When the Australian Competition and Consumer Commission (ACCC) randomly screened for azo dyes in imported clothing in March of this year, approximately 3% contained carcinogens which may be harmful to human health, resulting in the voluntary recall of over 200,000 items from stores, involving 37 product lines from various retailers. Analyzing its own data, AsiaInspection found that over 5% of all azo dye lab tests in 2014 failed for exceeding the legal minimum. 
"Time and time again we see outsourced manufactured products putting consumers at risk. The fact that 200,000+ products made it to store shelves containing a known cancer causing carcinogen shows the need for stricter controls and testing at the source," said Sebastien Breteau, AsiaInspection CEO. 
Bangladesh Inspection Groups Raise Tensions 
North American and European inspection groups 'The Alliance' and 'The Accord' are together auditing 2,100 of Bangladesh’s 5,600 garment factories, employing some 4 million workers accounting for 80% of the country’s exports. AsiaInspection 2014 data shows that for factories that underwent ethical audits, 27% are at serious risk and 59% are not compliant. 
The groups are involved in a debate with stakeholders over the process by which they shut non-compliant factories. It’s feared that the disruptions may contribute to slowing export growth, with buyers turning to sources they deem more stable, such as China, India and Vietnam. While the groups exist to protect workers, there are practical issues at stake – the protection of jobs and provision of worker compensation during extended shutdowns for repairs, often ordered without notice. So far 14 factories have been shut down and 5 have had their operations limited.
Q3 2014 - Global Sourcing Update CORESOLUTIONS 
17 
www.coresolutions.com info@coresolutions.com 
Americas: +1.908.898.1880 Europe: +44.20.8133.0328 Asia: +852.2378.6300 
Topic Spotlight: The Promise of Myanmar 
Overview 
In 2000, Myanmar was exporting approximately US $800 million in garments, just less than Cambodia, mostly to the US. By 2004, US political sanctions eliminated most of the exports, except for those to Japan and Korea. After a series of political and economic reforms in 2011, Myanmar has transitioned gradually from military dictatorship to civilian rule, gaining increasing attention from the rest of the world. With most of the economic sanctions removed by the US and the EU in late 2012, the long isolated nation has begun to re-embrace the world, witnessing strong influxes of foreign investments and international aid. 
Developments 
 GDP - Has now accelerated to approximately 7.5% for 2013-2014 
 FDI - US $ 4.1 billion in foreign investment, mostly into the manufacturing sector. 
 Exports – Total of US 11.2 billion, an increase of 24.8% over the 2012-2013 fiscal year 
 Garment exports – Reached US $2.2 billion in 2013 
 Comparison to Cambodia – 2012 exports were 22.6% of Cambodia’s total 
 Population – 52.8 million (median age is 27.8) 
 Literacy Rate – 92.7% 
 Average Wage – US$70/month (Bangladesh is US$86) and Cambodia is US$101) 
 Active Unions – Approximately 600 
 Prominent Apparel Brands – H&M, GAP 
 Trade Preferences – ASEAN Free Trade Agreement, Generalized System of Preferences 
Opportunities 
- Large, young, literate working population 
- Relatively low wage rates compared to other Asian 
countries 
- Abundant resources including forestry, metals, 
- Strong strategic location 
- Huge potential for industrial relocation 
Challenges 
- Low productivity – one 8 hour shift per day in a 
factory (compared to 2-3 for other Asian countries) 
- Low utilization of factory space 
- Lack of machinery, electricity and transportation 
infrastructure 
- Inexperienced government and inadequate judicial 
system and intellectual property laws 
- No unified labor code, potential for significant labor 
unrest
Q3 2014 - Global Sourcing Update CORESOLUTIONS 
18 
www.coresolutions.com info@coresolutions.com 
Americas: +1.908.898.1880 Europe: +44.20.8133.0328 Asia: +852.2378.6300 
About Core Solutions 
Core Solutions (CORE) helps retailers, brands and suppliers streamline their supply chains, from Concept to Delivery. CORE’s extended supply chain management platform (CBX) enables organizations to drive greater speed, agility and efficiency and profit in bringing private label and branded merchandise to market. 
The CBX platform, offered as an on-premise system or cloud service, includes functionality for Planning, Product Development, Buying, Sourcing, Order Management, Logistics and Finance. 
CBX Sourcing Solution 
 Provides automated request for quotes for one or more products. 
 Vendors receive email notifications and reminders automatically. 
 Vendors complete quotes online or via Excel interface. 
 Side-by-side quote comparison, with configurable Estimated Landed Cost (ELC) 
 What-If analysis enables staff to adjust cost components to refresh ELC. 
 Facilitates quote review, shortlisting and confirmation between buyers, category managers and sourcing team. 
 Vendor can upload photos/images and product documentations (e.g., instructions, certifications and 3rd party test reports) 
 Reduce overheads in issuing RFQs and processing quotes.
Q3 2014 - Global Sourcing Update CORESOLUTIONS 
19 
www.coresolutions.com info@coresolutions.com 
Americas: +1.908.898.1880 Europe: +44.20.8133.0328 Asia: +852.2378.6300 
Next Steps 
Are you a retailer or a brand interested in…? 
 Streamlining your sourcing operations? 
 Scaling your direct sourcing? 
 Growing your private label program? 
 Driving greater visibility through your supply chain? 
 Increasing profitability for your company? 
Click below to learn more about how Core Solutions can help! 
Request a Callback 
Request a demonstration 
Email: info@coresolutions.com 
Or call our Client Service Team directly: 
Americas: 1.908.898.1880 
Europe: 44.20.8133.0328 
Asia: 852.2378.6300

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Core global sourcing update q3 2014 final

  • 1. Global Sourcing Update Facts & Insights Produced by:
  • 2. Q3 2014 - Global Sourcing Update CORESOLUTIONS 1 www.coresolutions.com info@coresolutions.com Americas: +1.908.898.1880 Europe: +44.20.8133.0328 Asia: +852.2378.6300 FOREWORD [GLOBAL SOURCING UPDATE] Core Solutions’ Global Sourcing Update provides research and analysis aimed at informing global sourcing and buying decisions for retailers, brands and other sourcing professionals. Each issue includes a snapshot of key information impacting global sourcing, such as economic conditions in sourcing countries, container shipping prices, currency exchange rates and commodity costs. We also cover hot topics ourselves and include insight from customers and analysts. IF YOU LIKE THIS CONTENT, PLEASE SHARE: LinkedIn, Facebook, Twitter, Google+
  • 3. Q3 2014 - Global Sourcing Update CORESOLUTIONS 2 www.coresolutions.com info@coresolutions.com Americas: +1.908.898.1880 Europe: +44.20.8133.0328 Asia: +852.2378.6300 Contents Purchasing Manager’s Index ........................................................................................................ 3 Major Economic Indicators ........................................................................................................... 4 Global Competitiveness Index: Selected Indicators, 2013-14 (Ranking of 148 countries) ............ 5 China Minimum Wage Snapshot .................................................................................................. 6 Global Low Cost Sourcing Country Wage Snapshot .................................................................... 7 Container Freight Rates for Major Routes .................................................................................... 8 Currency Exchange Rates ......................................................................................................... 10 Global Commodity Rates ........................................................................................................... 11 Crude Oil ..................................................................................................................................... 11 Rubber ......................................................................................................................................... 11 Metals .......................................................................................................................................... 12 Wood ........................................................................................................................................... 13 Wool, Hides, Cotton .................................................................................................................... 13 Plastics and Fibers ...................................................................................................................... 14 Quality Focus ............................................................................................................................. 15 Topic Spotlight: The Promise of Myanmar .................................................................................. 17 CBX Sourcing Solution ............................................................................................................... 18 Next Steps ................................................................................................................................. 19
  • 4. Q3 2014 - Global Sourcing Update CORESOLUTIONS 3 www.coresolutions.com info@coresolutions.com Americas: +1.908.898.1880 Europe: +44.20.8133.0328 Asia: +852.2378.6300 Purchasing Manager’s Index To help understand industry and economic conditions in a country, the PMI Index tracks variables such as output, new orders, stock levels, employment and prices across private companies in the manufacturing, construction, retail and service sectors. A reading below 50 indicates contraction from the previous month, while a reading above 50 indicates growth. Currently 22 countries and regions conduct the PMI survey and compilation, based on an internationally standardized methodology. This update looks at a selection of emerging economies and key sourcing countries, providing indicators for recent months (based on data provided by Markit) Trend: Manufacturing conditions in most emerging economies continued to improve going into the second half of the year, with some exceptions due to political or inflationary conditions. China’s manufacturing has seen somewhat of a turnaround in recent months, supported by government policy interventions to stimulate recovery. COUNTRY May 2014 Jun 2014 Jul 2014 INDICATORS Brazil 48.8 48.7 49.1 Output fell steadily for the fourth consecutive month as Brazil’s economy stagnated China 49.4 50.7 51.7 Operating conditions are improving with exports and output at highest level since March 2013 Czech Republic 57.3 54.7 56.5 The Czech manufacturing sector experienced a strong performance going into the third quarter Egypt 48.7 51.5 -- Egypt’s private sector experienced solid improvements in output, orders and exports heading in to 2H 2014 India 51.4 51.5 53.0 Business conditions in India improved for the ninth consecutive month on high demand Indonesia 52.4 52.7 52.7 Indonesian manufacturers reported a solid improvement with increasing purchasing activity in recent months Mexico 51.9 51.8 51.5 Some increase in production with a forecast of moderate growth on new exports from abroad Poland 50.8 50.3 49.4 Polish manufacturing entered a downturn in second half of the year with drop in new orders Russia 48.9 49.1 51.0 A marked improvement in the third quarter signaled a turnaround in Russian manufacturing South Africa 49.7 49.5 -- Private sector output and new orders continued to contract with an impact of mining strikes South Korea 49.5 48.4 49.3 Output and new business fell as Korea’s manufacturing sector and remained weak Turkey 50.1 48.8 48.5 Turkey’s manufacturing sector remained in a downturn on falling new orders and output Vietnam 52.5 52.3 51.7 Expansion of Vietnamese manufacturing continued with some slowing due to inflation and high oil prices PMI Index Source: HSBC, Markit
  • 5. Q3 2014 - Global Sourcing Update CORESOLUTIONS 4 www.coresolutions.com info@coresolutions.com Americas: +1.908.898.1880 Europe: +44.20.8133.0328 Asia: +852.2378.6300 Major Economic Indicators The price index for US imports from China stayed high in June as China’s export growth increased, rising to a 13-month high of 104.1 in May and in June, after registering 103.8 in March and in April. Total value of deals signed at the 115th Canton Fair fell 2.0% from the previous session. Global merchandise trade gained only 2.1% in 2013, predicted to rise at a faster pace in 2014. Selected highlights: Cambodia – Exports of textiles and garments rose by 9% by Q1 2014, with an agreement reached to annually review the garment sectors minimum wage Indonesia – Exports declined 3.2% yoy to reach US $ 14.3 billion in April, while new president, Joko Widodo, elected in July, is expected to turn things around Vietnam – Anti-China riots impacted production while a garment industry development plan for 2020 was approved, with a target of 65% localization of raw materials by 2020 CPI (% yoy growth) Dec 2013 Jan 2014 Feb 2014 Mar 2014 Apr 2014 May 2014 Bangladesh 7.4 7.5 7.4 7.5 7.5 - Cambodia 4.7 4.5 - - - - India 9.9 8.8 8.1 8.3 8.6 - Indonesia 8.4 8.2 7.8 7.3 7.3 7.3 Pakistan 9.2 7.9 7.9 8.5 9.2 - Philippines 4.1 4.2 4.1 3.9 4.1 4.5 Thailand 1.7 1.9 2.0 2.1 2.5 2.6 Turkey 7.4 7.8 7.9 8.4 9.4 - Vietnam 6.0 5.5 4.7 4.4 4.5 4.7 Exports (% yoy growth) Dec 2013 Jan 2014 Feb 2014 Mar 2014 Apr 2014 May 2014 Bangladesh 10.5 7.8 6.4 4.8 16.0 - Cambodia 43.7 - - - - - India 3.5 3.8 -3.7 -3.2 5.3 - Indonesia 10.3 -5.9 -2.5 1.2 -3.2 - Pakistan 26.1 1.9 18.1 4.9 -10.0 - Philippines 24.9 -3.0 11.6 12.4 1.3 - Thailand 1.8 -2.1 2.3 -3.2 -1.0 -2.3 Turkey 4.6 8.3 5.7 12.4 - - Vietnam 15.4 -0.8 13.8 14.8 18.9 15.9 Imports (%yoy growth) Dec 2013 Jan 2014 Feb 2014 Mar 2014 Apr 2014 May 2014 Bangladesh 29.9 8.2 15.7 25.6 - - Cambodia 26.8 - - - - - India -15.3 -18.1 -17.1 -2.1 -15.0 - Indonesia -0.8 -3.5 -9.9 -2.3 -1.3 - Pakistan -2.5 9.9 6.4 -1.6 4.0 - Philippines 2.7 24.7 1.7 10.6 3.0 - Thailand -9.9 -15.5 -16.6 -14.2 -14.5 -9.3 Turkey 16.7 2.6 5.9 -3.0 - - Vietnam 16.1 -5.5 12.6 12.9 12.2 10.3 Source: Fung Group, various statistical bureaus
  • 6. Q3 2014 - Global Sourcing Update CORESOLUTIONS 5 www.coresolutions.com info@coresolutions.com Americas: +1.908.898.1880 Europe: +44.20.8133.0328 Asia: +852.2378.6300 Global Competitiveness Index: Selected Indicators, 2013- 14 (Ranking of 148 countries) The Global Competitiveness is a ranking of countries based on their competitiveness across different measures such as government regulation, labor market efficiency, education, infrastructure and other measures important to doing business in a country. Below is a selection of emerging economies which are important sourcing locations. As might be expected, Countries which made significant gains in the index include Bangladesh, Indonesia, the Philippines and Vietnam, while China remained relatively flat. Source: World Economic Forum
  • 7. Q3 2014 - Global Sourcing Update CORESOLUTIONS 6 www.coresolutions.com info@coresolutions.com Americas: +1.908.898.1880 Europe: +44.20.8133.0328 Asia: +852.2378.6300 China Minimum Wage Snapshot Minimum wages may be set at the city, province or administrative unit and vary considerably (as the 2013 wage map below indicates) - although the 2011-15 Five Year Plan stipulates an annual increase of 13%. Actual increases have been in excess of 10% annually for more than a decade. Source: China Briefing, Dezan Shira 2014 Minimum Wage Updates Region Monthly Min Wage (RMB) Hourly Min Wage (RMB Effective Date Shanghai 1,820 17 Apr. 1, 2014 Shenzhen 1,808 16.5 Feb. 1, 2014 Beijing 1,560 16.9 Apr. 1, 2014 Shandong Class A District: 1,500 Class A District: 15 Mar. 1, 2014 Class B District: 1,350 Class B District: 13.5 Class C District: 1,200 Class C District: 12 Shaanxi Class A District: 1,280 Class A District: 12.8 Feb. 1, 2014 Class B District: 1,170 Class B District: 11.7 Class C District: 1,060 Class C District:10.6 Class D District: 970 Class D District: 9.7 Chongqing Class A District: 1,250 Class A District: 12.5 Jan 1, 2014 Class B District: 1,150 Class B District: 11.5 Trends: By April 2014, minimum wage increases were seen in seven key economic areas of China (as indicated in the table above). It is expected that this trend will continue through the remainder of 2014, affecting approximately 28 regions. According to some analysts, wages are expected to increase at a more moderate rate of 8% in 2014 compared to 10% plus in previous years. The labor market is expected to remain tight with skill shortages, an aging population and less migrant workers. Studies show that productivity among Chinese workers is higher, which should offset rising labor costs. All four regions (central, north, East, West) witnessed double digit wage growth in 2013, ranging from 13.5% to 16.0% New Wage Agreements: Shanxi – April 1, 2014 Qinghai – May, 2014 Yunnan – May 1, 2014 Sichuan – July 1, 2014 Jiangxi – July 1, 2014
  • 8. Q3 2014 - Global Sourcing Update CORESOLUTIONS 7 www.coresolutions.com info@coresolutions.com Americas: +1.908.898.1880 Europe: +44.20.8133.0328 Asia: +852.2378.6300 Global Low Cost Sourcing Country Wage Snapshot Below is a snapshot of minimum wages in key Asia sourcing locations, with the addition of Egypt and Ethiopia. Wages often vary by region or province and in some cases might include costs other than the base wage. In cases with a distinct variance, we provide an average. With greater visibility into social conditions and increasing unrest and union pressure, wages in traditional low cost sourcing countries are on the rise across the board. Note: Consult Fair Wage Guide to calculate benchmarks for wages in particular countries on an hourly or piece rate basis and determine a fair wage in those regions. BANGLADESH CAMBODIA CHINA EGYPT ETHIOPIA $68/month (Dec 1, 2013) US$ 83/month US$ 188/month US$ 105/month US$ 23/month The minimum wage for entry level workers will increase by 77% to US$68/month from $38 per month. This includes: US$ 38.55 - basic wage US$ 15.42 – rent US$ 3.21 – medical US$ 2.57 - transport US$ 8.35 - food subsidy. Breakdown US $ 55 – Regular + US $ 6 –living +US$ 10 – Attendance +US$ 5 – Health +US$ 7 – Transport Total = US$ 83 Wages expected to increase $20-40 in 2014. Set locally, ranges from US$ 138 per month in Jiangxi Province to US$ 238 per month in Shenzhen, Guangdong Province. Wages increasing at least 10% per year. Currently there is only one national minimum wage; there are no sectorial rates or occupation-based rates. Only one national rate: EGP 700 Some government institutions and public enterprises set their own minimum wages: public sector employees, earned a monthly minimum wage of US$ 23 INDIA INDONESIA LAOS MALAYSIA MYANMAR US$ 60/month US$ 71-230/month US$ 79 per month US$ 297 per month US$ 65 From April 1, 2011 the Minimum Wage was raised to US$ 1.73 /day. Wages vary by region. US$ 2.18 per day in Bihar to US$ 3.40 per day in Haryana. The rupee hit an all-time low of 60.76 against the US dollar on 26 June. Depends on region. 17 areas have different minimum wage. E.g. Jakarta: US$ 230 Solo: US$ 109 Central Java: US $ 71 Rupiah depreciated to new low: closed at 10,297 against the US dollar on 14 August Expecting US$ 120 at end of June 2013 – negotiating Increase needed to offset migration to Thailand US$ 79 per month; employers required to pay US$ 1 meal allowance per day. 70%-80% of textile workers are foreigners US$ 297 per month on the Peninsula Malaysia, and US$ 261 per month for the states of Sabah, Sarawak, and Labuan Rates vary widely. Rate for day laborers is $0.50 per day. Min wage was temporarily increased to $65 per month pending approval of a new wage bill in late 2013. PHILLIPPINES SRI LANKA THAILAND VIETNAM US$ 190- 220 /month US$ 63 US$ 300/ month US$ 78 - 111 /month Garments are made in 3 regions and wages range from $6-8 per day. In 2013 minimum wages will be replaced with a two-tier system. 1st tier: Minimum floor wage for new hires/ low skilled. 2nd tier: productivity – based system. Manila - raise to 466 pesos (US$10/day) as of October In the industrial sector, minimum wages are varied depending on the worker category. Semi-skilled: US$ 55 – US$ 63 Skilled: US$ 59 – US$ 75 Last increase was in April 2012, up 40% Automotive industry expansion means textile workers will migrate US$ 300 per month applies from 1st Jan 2013 US$ 85 -95 per month (urban), US$ 67-74 per month (rural) for unskilled laborers at private enterprises Proposed min wage increase of US$ 12-19 (15-17%) per month as of Jan 2014 Sources: WageIndicator.org, SAFSA, Wikipedia
  • 9. Q3 2014 - Global Sourcing Update CORESOLUTIONS 8 www.coresolutions.com info@coresolutions.com Americas: +1.908.898.1880 Europe: +44.20.8133.0328 Asia: +852.2378.6300 Container Freight Rates for Major Routes The rates below are supplied by The World Container Index - which reports actual spot container freight rates for selected East-West trade routes – and Xeneta which relies on data provided by shippers, allowing users to cross-reference prices. All indices are reported in USD per Forty Foot Container. We report on historical and forward looking rates for key Asia-Europe and Asia-U.S. routes. Analysis: Demand for containerized freight has been strong in Europe and North America. Despite and over-supply of freight shipping, container freight rates are not expected to drop much in the coming year as economies continue to recover. Container shipping companies are still struggling to make a profit due to overcapacity and a volatile global economic climate. Source: www.worldcontainerindex.com
  • 10. Q3 2014 - Global Sourcing Update CORESOLUTIONS 9 www.coresolutions.com info@coresolutions.com Americas: +1.908.898.1880 Europe: +44.20.8133.0328 Asia: +852.2378.6300 Shanghai – Antwerp 40ft Market average: $2,021 Market low: $1,497 Hong Kong – Hamburg 40ft Market average: $2,759 Market low: $2,099 Shanghai – Rotterdam 40ft Market average: $2,124 Market low: $1,616 Source: www.xeneta.com Source: www.xeneta.com
  • 11. Q3 2014 - Global Sourcing Update CORESOLUTIONS 10 www.coresolutions.com info@coresolutions.com Americas: +1.908.898.1880 Europe: +44.20.8133.0328 Asia: +852.2378.6300 Currency Exchange Rates Following are exchange rates and indicators from 30 day to 2 year historical rates for major currencies commonly factored into global sourcing costing estimations. EURO to USD: EURO to RMB: USD to RMB: EUR/USD - % change 2 years 8.86% 1 year 5.05% 6 months 0.00% 3 months -1.37% 30 days -0.07% Source: Oanda USD/RMB - % change 2 years -2.27% 1 year -0.30% 6 months 0.96% 3 months -0.12% 30 days -0.12% Source: Oanda EUR/RMB - % change 2 years 6.39% 1 year 4.74% 6 months 0.96% 3 months -1.49% 30 days -0.19% Source: Oanda The Euro declined against the USD through Q2, which is on a bullish trend, but is recovering as we head into Q3 2014. The Euro has entered a weakening phase against all major currencies, including the RMB as the Euro zone recovery remains soft. The Chinese Yuan appreciated slightly against the USD in the first half of 2014, which is expected to continue in the medium term.
  • 12. Q3 2014 - Global Sourcing Update CORESOLUTIONS 11 www.coresolutions.com info@coresolutions.com Americas: +1.908.898.1880 Europe: +44.20.8133.0328 Asia: +852.2378.6300 Global Commodity Rates Cotton prices have fallen markedly since April as the Chinese government is clearing large stockpiles. Viscose staple fibers fell while PP prices rose over past three months. Crude oil prices continue to be volatile, as uncertainty in the Middle East continue and global oil demand is expected to outpace supply in the near term, putting downward pressure on prices. Metal prices eased during Q2 2014 due to weakening demand from China. Crude Oil 90 95 100 105 110 Jun-13 Jul-13 Aug-13 Sep-13 Oct-13 Nov-13 Dec-13 Jan-14 Feb-14 Mar-14 Apr-14 May-14 Crude Oil , average of three spot prices: Dated Brent, WTI and Dubai Fateh 95 100 105 110 115 Jun-13 Jul-13 Aug-13 Sep-13 Oct-13 Nov-13 Dec-13 Jan-14 Feb-14 Mar-14 Apr-14 May-14 Oil - Dated Brent, light blend 38 API, fob U.K., US$ per barrel 96 98 100 102 104 106 108 110 Jun-13 Jul-13 Aug-13 Sep-13 Oct-13 Nov-13 Dec-13 Jan-14 Feb-14 Mar-14 Apr-14 May-14 Oil - Dubai, medium, fob Dubai Fateh 32 API, US$ per barrel 85 90 95 100 105 110 Jun-13 Jul-13 Aug-13 Sep-13 Oct-13 Nov-13 Dec-13 Jan-14 Feb-14 Mar-14 Apr-14 May-14 Oil - West Texas Intermediate 40 API, Midland Texas, US$ per barrel 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 Jun-13 Jul-13 Aug-13 Sep-13 Oct-13 Nov-13 Dec-13 Jan-14 Feb-14 Mar-14 Apr-14 May-14 Rubber, Singapore Commodity Exchange, No. 3 Rubber Smoked Sheets, US cents per pound Rubber Rubber price continue a downward trend in Q3, despite modest recovery in Q2. Oversupply of natural rubber is expected to exceed 4 million tons in the near term. Commodity Price Sources: IMF data, Index Mundi, Plasticker
  • 13. Q3 2014 - Global Sourcing Update CORESOLUTIONS 12 www.coresolutions.com info@coresolutions.com Americas: +1.908.898.1880 Europe: +44.20.8133.0328 Asia: +852.2378.6300 Metals 155 160 165 170 175 180 185 Jun-13 Jul-13 Aug-13 Sep-13 Oct-13 Nov-13 Dec-13 Jan-14 Feb-14 Mar-14 Apr-14 May-14 Metals Price Index, 2005 = 100, includes Copper, Aluminum, Iron Ore, Tin, Nickel, Zinc, Lead, and Uranium Price Indices 1700 1750 1800 1850 1900 1950 2000 2050 2100 Jun-13 Jul-13 Aug-13 Sep-13 Oct-13 Nov-13 Dec-13 Jan-14 Feb-14 Mar-14 Apr-14 May-14 Zinc, high grade 98% pure, US$ per metric ton 19000 20000 21000 22000 23000 24000 Jun-13 Jul-13 Aug-13 Sep-13 Oct-13 Nov-13 Dec-13 Jan-14 Feb-14 Mar-14 Apr-14 May-14 Tin, standard grade, LME spot price, US$ per metric ton 1500 1600 1700 1800 1900 Jun-13 Jul-13 Aug-13 Sep-13 Oct-13 Nov-13 Dec-13 Jan-14 Feb-14 Mar-14 Apr-14 May-14 Aluminum, 99.5% min purity, LME spot price, CIF UK ports, US$ per metric ton 1950 2000 2050 2100 2150 2200 Jun-13 Jul-13 Aug-13 Sep-13 Oct-13 Nov-13 Dec-13 Jan-14 Feb-14 Mar-14 Apr-14 May-14 Lead, 99.97% pure, LME spot price, CIF European Ports, US$ /metric ton 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 Jun-13 Jul-13 Aug-13 Sep-13 Oct-13 Nov-13 Dec-13 Jan-14 Feb-14 Mar-14 Apr-14 May-14 China import Iron Ore 62% FE spot (CFR Tianjin port), US $ per metric ton 6600 6700 6800 6900 7000 7100 7200 7300 7400 Jun-13 Jul-13 Aug-13 Sep-13 Oct-13 Nov-13 Dec-13 Jan-14 Feb-14 Mar-14 Apr-14 May-14 Copper, grade A cathode, LME spot price, CIF Eur ports, US$ / metric ton 8000 10000 12000 14000 16000 18000 20000 Jun-13 Jul-13 Aug-13 Sep-13 Oct-13 Nov-13 Dec-13 Jan-14 Feb-14 Mar-14 Apr-14 May-14 Nickel, melting grade, LME spot price, CIF European ports, US$ per metric ton
  • 14. Q3 2014 - Global Sourcing Update CORESOLUTIONS 13 www.coresolutions.com info@coresolutions.com Americas: +1.908.898.1880 Europe: +44.20.8133.0328 Asia: +852.2378.6300 Wood Wool, Hides, Cotton 0 50 100 150 200 Jun-13 Jul-13 Aug-13 Sep-13 Oct-13 Nov-13 Dec-13 Jan-14 Feb-14 Mar-14 Apr-14 May-14 Soft Logs Average Export price for Douglas Fir, US$ per cubic meter 270 280 290 300 310 320 330 Jun-13 Jul-13 Aug-13 Sep-13 Oct-13 Nov-13 Dec-13 Jan-14 Feb-14 Mar-14 Apr-14 May-14 Soft Sawnwood, average export price of Douglas Fir, U.S. Price, US$ per cubic meter 100 150 200 250 300 350 Jun-13 Jul-13 Aug-13 Sep-13 Oct-13 Nov-13 Dec-13 Jan-14 Feb-14 Mar-14 Apr-14 May-14 Hard Logs, Malaysian meranti, import price Japan, US$ / cubic meter 780 800 820 840 860 880 900 920 940 Jun-13 Jul-13 Aug-13 Sep-13 Oct-13 Nov-13 Dec-13 Jan-14 Feb-14 Mar-14 Apr-14 May-14 Hard Sawnwood, Dark Red Meranti, C&F U.K port, US$ per cubic meter 900 950 1000 1050 1100 1150 1200 Jun-13 Jul-13 Aug-13 Sep-13 Oct-13 Nov-13 Dec-13 Jan-14 Feb-14 Mar-14 Apr-14 May-14 Wool, Coarse, Australian Wool Exchange, US cents per kg 900 950 1000 1050 1100 1150 1200 1250 Jun-13 Jul-13 Aug-13 Sep-13 Oct-13 Nov-13 Dec-13 Jan-14 Feb-14 Mar-14 Apr-14 May-14 Wool, fine, Australian Wool Exchange, US cents / kilogram 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 Jun-13 Jul-13 Aug-13 Sep-13 Oct-13 Nov-13 Dec-13 Jan-14 Feb-14 Mar-14 Apr-14 May-14 Hides, Heavy native steers, wholesale dealer's price, fob Shipping Point, US cents / pound 75 80 85 90 95 100 Jun-13 Jul-13 Aug-13 Sep-13 Oct-13 Nov-13 Dec-13 Jan-14 Feb-14 Mar-14 Apr-14 May-14 Cotton 'A Index', Middling 1-3/32 inch staple, CIF Liverpool, US cents / lb
  • 15. Q3 2014 - Global Sourcing Update CORESOLUTIONS 14 www.coresolutions.com info@coresolutions.com Americas: +1.908.898.1880 Europe: +44.20.8133.0328 Asia: +852.2378.6300 Plastics and Fibers A selection of plastic related prices is provided below. These are calculated from offer prices in the Plasticker Material Exchange, which provide an indication of trends. Analysis: Despite a modest recovery of plastic related prices in Q2, prices experienced a strong downward trend going in the second half of the year. Volatility in oil prices, oversupply of various plastics, along with weaker demand from China, are contributing to this trend. 1 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 Jul-13 Aug-13 Sep-13 Oct-13 Nov-13 Dec-13 Jan-14 Feb-14 Mar-14 Apr-14 May-14 Jun-14 Nylon - Price of PA 6.6 Regrind/ Flakes (Euros/kg) 0.4 0.45 0.5 0.55 0.6 Jul-13 Aug-13 Sep-13 Oct-13 Nov-13 Dec-13 Jan-14 Feb-14 Mar-14 Apr-14 May-14 Jun-14 Polyester - Price Development of PET Regrind/ Flakes (Euro/kg) 0.60 0.65 0.70 0.75 0.80 0.85 0.90 Jul-13 Aug-13 Sep-13 Oct-13 Nov-13 Dec-13 Jan-14 Feb-14 Mar-14 Apr-14 May-14 Jun-14 ABS Price Development of ABS Regrind/ Flakes (Euro/kg 0.42 0.44 0.46 0.48 0.5 0.52 0.54 Jul-13 Aug-13 Sep-13 Oct-13 Nov-13 Dec-13 Jan-14 Feb-14 Mar-14 Apr-14 May-14 Jun-14 PVC - Price Development of PVC-h Regrind/Flakes (Euro/kg) 0.52 0.54 0.56 0.58 0.6 0.62 0.64 Jul-13 Aug-13 Sep-13 Oct-13 Nov-13 Dec-13 Jan-14 Feb-14 Mar-14 Apr-14 May-14 Jun-14 PP - Price Development of PP Regrind/Flakes (Euro/kg) 0.5 0.55 0.6 0.65 0.7 0.75 Jul-13 Aug-13 Sep-13 Oct-13 Nov-13 Dec-13 Jan-14 Feb-14 Mar-14 Apr-14 May-14 Jun-14 PS - Price Development of PS Regrind/Flakes (Euro/kg) Source: Plasticker
  • 16. Q3 2014 - Global Sourcing Update CORESOLUTIONS 15 www.coresolutions.com info@coresolutions.com Americas: +1.908.898.1880 Europe: +44.20.8133.0328 Asia: +852.2378.6300 Quality Focus This new section of the Global Sourcing Update will focus on manufacturing/sourcing quality related news and the impact on retailers and brands. This section is contributed largely by AsiaInspection, a leading global provider of quality control services for businesses importing from Asia, Africa, Southern Europe and Latin America. Unrest Puts Increased Focus on Quality Recent protests due to political tensions with China sent fear into supply chains, with Asia Inspection figures showing that ordered inspections were 3.3 times higher than the average for May 2013 to April 2014. This is due to increased concern from foreign buyers to ensure their supply chain and quality has not been disrupted. In Vietnam, textile and apparel exports increased 18% year-on-year between January and May, reaching $7.5 billion USD. In the first half of the year apparel imports from Vietnam into the US saw a 12.7% increase, well ahead of rival China at 0.9%. China is also experiencing unrest, as over 40,000 workers in the Dongguan province engaged in one of the largest industrial disputes in recent times. However China only also saw a 10% increase in inspections in this period, significantly lower than others in the region. Chinese government stimulus efforts have positively impacted manufacturing output going into the second half of 2014. The largest inspections growth in Asia was in Cambodia, up 99% year over year, then Bangladesh and Vietnam 73% each, India 63% and China 10%. In growth by industry category, food and food container inspections were up 55% quarter over quarter globally. Africa Gains Momentum Ordered inspection growth in Asia remained strong with 21% year over year growth. This was surpassed by Africa with 31% inspection growth. Interestingly, growth for inspections in Africa was led by Swaziland which saw 50% growth in just the last quarter. At the same time, Swaziland is losing benefits from the United States under the African Growth and Opportunity Act for its failure to make progress towards internationally recognized workers’ rights.
  • 17. Q3 2014 - Global Sourcing Update CORESOLUTIONS 16 www.coresolutions.com info@coresolutions.com Americas: +1.908.898.1880 Europe: +44.20.8133.0328 Asia: +852.2378.6300 Toxic Chemicals Found in Clothing When the Australian Competition and Consumer Commission (ACCC) randomly screened for azo dyes in imported clothing in March of this year, approximately 3% contained carcinogens which may be harmful to human health, resulting in the voluntary recall of over 200,000 items from stores, involving 37 product lines from various retailers. Analyzing its own data, AsiaInspection found that over 5% of all azo dye lab tests in 2014 failed for exceeding the legal minimum. "Time and time again we see outsourced manufactured products putting consumers at risk. The fact that 200,000+ products made it to store shelves containing a known cancer causing carcinogen shows the need for stricter controls and testing at the source," said Sebastien Breteau, AsiaInspection CEO. Bangladesh Inspection Groups Raise Tensions North American and European inspection groups 'The Alliance' and 'The Accord' are together auditing 2,100 of Bangladesh’s 5,600 garment factories, employing some 4 million workers accounting for 80% of the country’s exports. AsiaInspection 2014 data shows that for factories that underwent ethical audits, 27% are at serious risk and 59% are not compliant. The groups are involved in a debate with stakeholders over the process by which they shut non-compliant factories. It’s feared that the disruptions may contribute to slowing export growth, with buyers turning to sources they deem more stable, such as China, India and Vietnam. While the groups exist to protect workers, there are practical issues at stake – the protection of jobs and provision of worker compensation during extended shutdowns for repairs, often ordered without notice. So far 14 factories have been shut down and 5 have had their operations limited.
  • 18. Q3 2014 - Global Sourcing Update CORESOLUTIONS 17 www.coresolutions.com info@coresolutions.com Americas: +1.908.898.1880 Europe: +44.20.8133.0328 Asia: +852.2378.6300 Topic Spotlight: The Promise of Myanmar Overview In 2000, Myanmar was exporting approximately US $800 million in garments, just less than Cambodia, mostly to the US. By 2004, US political sanctions eliminated most of the exports, except for those to Japan and Korea. After a series of political and economic reforms in 2011, Myanmar has transitioned gradually from military dictatorship to civilian rule, gaining increasing attention from the rest of the world. With most of the economic sanctions removed by the US and the EU in late 2012, the long isolated nation has begun to re-embrace the world, witnessing strong influxes of foreign investments and international aid. Developments  GDP - Has now accelerated to approximately 7.5% for 2013-2014  FDI - US $ 4.1 billion in foreign investment, mostly into the manufacturing sector.  Exports – Total of US 11.2 billion, an increase of 24.8% over the 2012-2013 fiscal year  Garment exports – Reached US $2.2 billion in 2013  Comparison to Cambodia – 2012 exports were 22.6% of Cambodia’s total  Population – 52.8 million (median age is 27.8)  Literacy Rate – 92.7%  Average Wage – US$70/month (Bangladesh is US$86) and Cambodia is US$101)  Active Unions – Approximately 600  Prominent Apparel Brands – H&M, GAP  Trade Preferences – ASEAN Free Trade Agreement, Generalized System of Preferences Opportunities - Large, young, literate working population - Relatively low wage rates compared to other Asian countries - Abundant resources including forestry, metals, - Strong strategic location - Huge potential for industrial relocation Challenges - Low productivity – one 8 hour shift per day in a factory (compared to 2-3 for other Asian countries) - Low utilization of factory space - Lack of machinery, electricity and transportation infrastructure - Inexperienced government and inadequate judicial system and intellectual property laws - No unified labor code, potential for significant labor unrest
  • 19. Q3 2014 - Global Sourcing Update CORESOLUTIONS 18 www.coresolutions.com info@coresolutions.com Americas: +1.908.898.1880 Europe: +44.20.8133.0328 Asia: +852.2378.6300 About Core Solutions Core Solutions (CORE) helps retailers, brands and suppliers streamline their supply chains, from Concept to Delivery. CORE’s extended supply chain management platform (CBX) enables organizations to drive greater speed, agility and efficiency and profit in bringing private label and branded merchandise to market. The CBX platform, offered as an on-premise system or cloud service, includes functionality for Planning, Product Development, Buying, Sourcing, Order Management, Logistics and Finance. CBX Sourcing Solution  Provides automated request for quotes for one or more products.  Vendors receive email notifications and reminders automatically.  Vendors complete quotes online or via Excel interface.  Side-by-side quote comparison, with configurable Estimated Landed Cost (ELC)  What-If analysis enables staff to adjust cost components to refresh ELC.  Facilitates quote review, shortlisting and confirmation between buyers, category managers and sourcing team.  Vendor can upload photos/images and product documentations (e.g., instructions, certifications and 3rd party test reports)  Reduce overheads in issuing RFQs and processing quotes.
  • 20. Q3 2014 - Global Sourcing Update CORESOLUTIONS 19 www.coresolutions.com info@coresolutions.com Americas: +1.908.898.1880 Europe: +44.20.8133.0328 Asia: +852.2378.6300 Next Steps Are you a retailer or a brand interested in…?  Streamlining your sourcing operations?  Scaling your direct sourcing?  Growing your private label program?  Driving greater visibility through your supply chain?  Increasing profitability for your company? Click below to learn more about how Core Solutions can help! Request a Callback Request a demonstration Email: info@coresolutions.com Or call our Client Service Team directly: Americas: 1.908.898.1880 Europe: 44.20.8133.0328 Asia: 852.2378.6300