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SNAP-ON INC.
TICKER: SNA
SECTOR: INDUSTRIALS
ANALYSTS: JAY ROPER, COOPER STROUT
RECOMMENDATION: HOLD
INVESTMENT THESIS
 SNA is a potential buy
 High operating margins in all business segments
 Growth in higher margin products
 Why a hold
 Q3 earnings increased the price 7%
 Low revenue growth of 3% in last 2 years
 Skeptical of company growth drivers
STOCK INFORMATION
 Market Cap: $9.83 Billion
 Beta: 1.09
 Dividend Yield: 1.54%
 Current Price: $154.92
 52 Week High: $174.75
 52 Week Low: $133.09
1-YEAR HISTORICAL STOCK PRICE
ABOUT SNAP-ON
 Established in 1920
 Headquartered in Kenosha, Wisconsin
 Developer and manufacturer of tool and equipment solutions for professional tool
users
 Serves primarily the auto repair industry - also marine, and aviation industries,
vehicle manufacturers, utilities, and government and industrial organizations
MISSION
 Go directly to the customer
 Premium tools
 A tool for all industries, all situations
 One stop shop
CORPORATE LEADERSHIP
 Nicholas Pinchuk
 President & CEO since 2007
 Experienced in operations, finance, engineering
PRODUCTS
22,000 products
Over 2,000 registered patents
Tools, storage, computer software,
car lifts, sensors
DISTRIBUTION CHANNELS:
FRANCHISING
 No brick and mortar stores
 Franchising through rolling retail stores
 Weekly visits to customers
 Ranked 22nd in Entrepreneur's Franchise 500 List
Outside
Inside
DISTRIBUTION CHANNELS:
COMPANY DIRECT SALES
 Sales representatives sell directly to OEMs and auto repair businesses
 Sales of more expensive Snap-on products
 Industrial and governmental direct sales
DISTRIBUTION CHANNELS:
E-COMMERCE
 Reaches customers without a nearby
franchise
 “Not a significant source of revenue”
DISTRIBUTION CHANNELS:
PARTNERS AND OTHER SELLERS
Home Depot, Sears, Costco Stock Car Racing - Team PenskeColleges - Snap-on Certification
 Main source of revenue
 What Snap-on is known for
 This segment is linked to success of the mobile van
franchises
 Primarily sell to vehicle service and repair technicians
SEGMENTS:
TOOLS GROUP
SEGMENTS:
REPAIR SERVICES & INFORMATION GROUP
 Business operations that serve professional vehicle
repair customers worldwide, primarily owners and
managers of independent repair shops and OEM
dealerships
 Variety of productivity and information products
 Diagnostic products – ex: New thermal imaging tool
 Service and repair information products
 Business management systems and services
SEGMENTS:
COMMERCIAL & INDUSTRIAL GROUP
 Non auto repair sales
 Industry specific tools and software
 Serves a broad range of industrial and
commercial customers
SEGMENTS:
FINANCING
 Profits off of lending money to companies with
interest
 Finance franchise start-ups
 Finance larger customer purchases
 Expanding to become a key part of operations
GEOGRAPHICAL BREAKDOWN
 Revenue Breakdown
 70% North America
 18% Europe
 7% Asia/Pacific
 5% Rest of the World
 Sells to 130 countries
 600 franchises were added in
last 10 years
COMPETITORS
Competes directly with Snap-on’s tools segment and has some overlap in
other SNA segments
- 3.5 times the tool segment revenue of SNA
- Security, Healthcare
- Greater international presence
Competes directly with Snap-on’s tools segment and financing segment
Also distributes tools through rolling shops that visit customers directly
- Offers 13,000 products – vs. SNA’s 22,000
- 1,500 US Franchises – vs. SNA’s 3,345
- No international presence – vs. SNA’s 30% international presence
COMPETITOR COMPARISON
 Market Cap: $18 Billion
 Profit Margin: 8.47%
 ROA: 5.90%
 P/E: 18.69
 Price/Sales: 1.6
 US Market Share of Power Tools: 37.9%
 $188 Million in Research & Engineering
 Market Cap: $9.2 billion
 Profit Margin: 14.51%
 ROA: 11.47%
 P/E: 17.70
 Price/Sales: 2.5
 US Market Share of Power Tools: 16.2%
 $50 Million in Research & Engineering
SNA VS. MACHINERY INDUSTRY
• Not a direct comparison
• Tools is a subgroup of the machinery industry
• SNA sells less sophisticated tools/machinery than a lot
of the companies in this industry
GROWTH DRIVERS:
INDUSTRY TRENDS
 Aging vehicle ages are
projected to increase
maintenance demand
 New vehicles are more
complex and new cars will
increase the need for
diagnostics
GROWTH DRIVERS:
STRATEGIES
 Acquisitions
 10/17 - Collision repair, truck alignment company – $155 million
 Brake equipment company - $41 million
 Build in emerging markets
 New products - ex. diagnostic thermal imager
 Asia Pacific – establish more of a physical presence
 Releasing more products for specific industries
 929 new aviation products last year
RISKS
 Low growth in last 2 years - especially international
 “The cost and penalties for failure can be high”
 Number of franchises outside the U.S. have grown only half as fast as U.S. franchises
 Rising steel prices – require a raise in tool prices
 Difficult macro environment for machinery growth in areas like oil and gas, military and
the Middle East - lowers SNA’s Commercial & Industrials Group sales
 FX risk – 10.2 million of unfavorable currency translation so far 2016 – mostly from
Brexit
FINANCIALS:
NINE MONTHS ENDED
Commercial & Industrial Tools Repair Systems & Information Financial Services
Revenue $645 million $1,216 million $680 million $270 million
Operating 14.4% 17.1% 25.0% 71.0%
Earnings
Earnings -2.7% 12.8% 7.0% 17.5%
Change
from Q3 2015
FINANCIALS:
REVENUE BY SEGMENT
FINANCIALS:
EARNINGS STATEMENT
• 3% top line growth
• Increasing profit margins
• Strong increase in bottom line
FINANCIALS:
BALANCE SHEET
• Overall strong balance sheet
• A- debt rating allows for low cost of debt
FINANCIALS:
CASH FLOWS
• Growing finance segment
DCF:
ASSUMPTIONS
DCF:
OUTPUT
Recommendation: HOLD
Thank you
Questions?
Investment Thesis
Distribution Channels
Segments
Competitors
Geographical Breakdown
Growth Drivers
Risks
Financial Statements
DCF Assumptions
Extra:
More Info on Franchises
Other Growth Drivers
Debt Payments
Q3 Earnings
MORE ABOUT FRANCHISING
 Snap-on profits off of products and services sold, monthly fees, and its credit program
Q3 2016 EARNINGS
Bottom Line Beat
 EPS of $2.22/share vs. Expected $2.15/share
Top Line Miss
 Reported $834.1 million in Revenue vs. Expected $847.8
Result
 Stock rose 7%
OTHER GROWTH DRIVERS:
DEBT PAYMENTS
 Cost of debt estimated at 4.5%
 Strong A- credit rating
 No concern over future debt payments
 Recent acquisition of Car-O-Line will be purchased through cash and commercial
paper

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Snap-On Tools: Hold Rating Despite Q3 Beat

  • 1. SNAP-ON INC. TICKER: SNA SECTOR: INDUSTRIALS ANALYSTS: JAY ROPER, COOPER STROUT RECOMMENDATION: HOLD
  • 2. INVESTMENT THESIS  SNA is a potential buy  High operating margins in all business segments  Growth in higher margin products  Why a hold  Q3 earnings increased the price 7%  Low revenue growth of 3% in last 2 years  Skeptical of company growth drivers
  • 3. STOCK INFORMATION  Market Cap: $9.83 Billion  Beta: 1.09  Dividend Yield: 1.54%  Current Price: $154.92  52 Week High: $174.75  52 Week Low: $133.09
  • 5. ABOUT SNAP-ON  Established in 1920  Headquartered in Kenosha, Wisconsin  Developer and manufacturer of tool and equipment solutions for professional tool users  Serves primarily the auto repair industry - also marine, and aviation industries, vehicle manufacturers, utilities, and government and industrial organizations
  • 6. MISSION  Go directly to the customer  Premium tools  A tool for all industries, all situations  One stop shop
  • 7. CORPORATE LEADERSHIP  Nicholas Pinchuk  President & CEO since 2007  Experienced in operations, finance, engineering
  • 8. PRODUCTS 22,000 products Over 2,000 registered patents Tools, storage, computer software, car lifts, sensors
  • 9. DISTRIBUTION CHANNELS: FRANCHISING  No brick and mortar stores  Franchising through rolling retail stores  Weekly visits to customers  Ranked 22nd in Entrepreneur's Franchise 500 List Outside Inside
  • 10. DISTRIBUTION CHANNELS: COMPANY DIRECT SALES  Sales representatives sell directly to OEMs and auto repair businesses  Sales of more expensive Snap-on products  Industrial and governmental direct sales
  • 11. DISTRIBUTION CHANNELS: E-COMMERCE  Reaches customers without a nearby franchise  “Not a significant source of revenue”
  • 12. DISTRIBUTION CHANNELS: PARTNERS AND OTHER SELLERS Home Depot, Sears, Costco Stock Car Racing - Team PenskeColleges - Snap-on Certification
  • 13.  Main source of revenue  What Snap-on is known for  This segment is linked to success of the mobile van franchises  Primarily sell to vehicle service and repair technicians SEGMENTS: TOOLS GROUP
  • 14. SEGMENTS: REPAIR SERVICES & INFORMATION GROUP  Business operations that serve professional vehicle repair customers worldwide, primarily owners and managers of independent repair shops and OEM dealerships  Variety of productivity and information products  Diagnostic products – ex: New thermal imaging tool  Service and repair information products  Business management systems and services
  • 15. SEGMENTS: COMMERCIAL & INDUSTRIAL GROUP  Non auto repair sales  Industry specific tools and software  Serves a broad range of industrial and commercial customers
  • 16. SEGMENTS: FINANCING  Profits off of lending money to companies with interest  Finance franchise start-ups  Finance larger customer purchases  Expanding to become a key part of operations
  • 17. GEOGRAPHICAL BREAKDOWN  Revenue Breakdown  70% North America  18% Europe  7% Asia/Pacific  5% Rest of the World  Sells to 130 countries  600 franchises were added in last 10 years
  • 18. COMPETITORS Competes directly with Snap-on’s tools segment and has some overlap in other SNA segments - 3.5 times the tool segment revenue of SNA - Security, Healthcare - Greater international presence Competes directly with Snap-on’s tools segment and financing segment Also distributes tools through rolling shops that visit customers directly - Offers 13,000 products – vs. SNA’s 22,000 - 1,500 US Franchises – vs. SNA’s 3,345 - No international presence – vs. SNA’s 30% international presence
  • 19. COMPETITOR COMPARISON  Market Cap: $18 Billion  Profit Margin: 8.47%  ROA: 5.90%  P/E: 18.69  Price/Sales: 1.6  US Market Share of Power Tools: 37.9%  $188 Million in Research & Engineering  Market Cap: $9.2 billion  Profit Margin: 14.51%  ROA: 11.47%  P/E: 17.70  Price/Sales: 2.5  US Market Share of Power Tools: 16.2%  $50 Million in Research & Engineering
  • 20. SNA VS. MACHINERY INDUSTRY • Not a direct comparison • Tools is a subgroup of the machinery industry • SNA sells less sophisticated tools/machinery than a lot of the companies in this industry
  • 21. GROWTH DRIVERS: INDUSTRY TRENDS  Aging vehicle ages are projected to increase maintenance demand  New vehicles are more complex and new cars will increase the need for diagnostics
  • 22. GROWTH DRIVERS: STRATEGIES  Acquisitions  10/17 - Collision repair, truck alignment company – $155 million  Brake equipment company - $41 million  Build in emerging markets  New products - ex. diagnostic thermal imager  Asia Pacific – establish more of a physical presence  Releasing more products for specific industries  929 new aviation products last year
  • 23. RISKS  Low growth in last 2 years - especially international  “The cost and penalties for failure can be high”  Number of franchises outside the U.S. have grown only half as fast as U.S. franchises  Rising steel prices – require a raise in tool prices  Difficult macro environment for machinery growth in areas like oil and gas, military and the Middle East - lowers SNA’s Commercial & Industrials Group sales  FX risk – 10.2 million of unfavorable currency translation so far 2016 – mostly from Brexit
  • 24. FINANCIALS: NINE MONTHS ENDED Commercial & Industrial Tools Repair Systems & Information Financial Services Revenue $645 million $1,216 million $680 million $270 million Operating 14.4% 17.1% 25.0% 71.0% Earnings Earnings -2.7% 12.8% 7.0% 17.5% Change from Q3 2015
  • 26. FINANCIALS: EARNINGS STATEMENT • 3% top line growth • Increasing profit margins • Strong increase in bottom line
  • 27. FINANCIALS: BALANCE SHEET • Overall strong balance sheet • A- debt rating allows for low cost of debt
  • 31. Thank you Questions? Investment Thesis Distribution Channels Segments Competitors Geographical Breakdown Growth Drivers Risks Financial Statements DCF Assumptions Extra: More Info on Franchises Other Growth Drivers Debt Payments Q3 Earnings
  • 32. MORE ABOUT FRANCHISING  Snap-on profits off of products and services sold, monthly fees, and its credit program
  • 33. Q3 2016 EARNINGS Bottom Line Beat  EPS of $2.22/share vs. Expected $2.15/share Top Line Miss  Reported $834.1 million in Revenue vs. Expected $847.8 Result  Stock rose 7%
  • 35. DEBT PAYMENTS  Cost of debt estimated at 4.5%  Strong A- credit rating  No concern over future debt payments  Recent acquisition of Car-O-Line will be purchased through cash and commercial paper

Editor's Notes

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