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Growing Our Way Out of
Recession: Supporting Fast
   Growing Companies
   Friday 12th November 2009
      Ged Mirfin – BLNW Chief Data Officer
  Landes Land – Lead Data Warehouse Developer

      Presentation to Lancashire County Developments Ltd.
What is the BPI
• Nationally Recognised “Business Objects” data
  base covering businesses in the North West.
• An evidence based data warehouse.
• Used to inform decision makers about planning
  interventions or policies.
• Compliant with Data Protection legislation
• Is the central repository for Business Link data
  and Management Information
• A system that can map commercial business
  classification systems to the language used in
  Local Government and Business Support
• The first B2B profile driven database in the
  public sector
The Business Barometer is
Changing from Stormy to…?
Which companies will lead us out of
                        recession?
             240

             220

             200

             180
Percentage




                                                       UK Average
                                                       Gazelle Low
             160
                                                       Gazelle High
             140
             120

             100

             80
                   Year 0   Year 1   Year 2   Year 3
Can public sector support
 agencies identify these
      companies…

   ... and should we?
Which Companies Will Lead Us Out Of The
              Recession?
• Some Economists believe that 50% of new jobs will be
  from less than 1% of a regions company base.
• High Growth companies (Gazelles) will increase
  Turnover by between 25% and 30% in the next 4
  years.*
• Although Employee Growth will lag behind it is likely to
  be in the region of 20% per annum.*
• Can Public Sector agencies stimulate growth and
  ensure that Gazelle Companies fulfil their maximum
  potential?
• Can Public Sector support agencies engage effectively
  with these companies and should we try?
 *NESTA – “Measuring Business Growth: High-Growth Firms and Their
 Contribution to employment in the UK” – Oct 09
Tracking Gazelles
•   Route out of recession is to back gazelles
•   A gazelles are defined as small, fast growing companies (in reference
    to the fact they can jump higher and run faster than their peers),
•   Gazelles according to one accepted definition are defined as
    companies that have experienced at least 60% growth in employment
    and additionally deflated turnover (turnover adjusted for inflation) over
    a 3 year period.
•   But…they are extremely difficult to spot
•   In the current economic climate especially so….
•   Many Gazelles caught in the cross-hairs as the economic recession
    continues to find its mark wounding some, badly disabling others and
    bringing an unfortunate minority to their knees
•   3 Years Growth is now more likely 2 Years Growth and 1 Year
    of Decline
•   Some Gazelles are now not able to run as fast or jump as high
•   Even in more favourable Economic conditions trained
    Business Hunters found Gazelles difficult to target:
Conserving Gazelles
                      Prominent Markings to
                            look for:                Scientists and/
Young (Late                                          or Academics
20s/Early 30s),              Independent
Highly Educated              Businesses
Business Owners
                                               High Technology
                      Entrepreneurial          Knowledge –Based
                                               Businesses
Niche activities or
Specialised               Advanced
Product Offerings         Manufacturing               Newer
within Older or           using Precision             Businesses do
Traditional               Technology                  not have SIC
Industries                                            Codes


                                Opposite Ends Risk
Based on Specialist             Spectrum 75%
Industrial Parks &              Low/25% Very High
Technology Centres              Risk
What is Commercial Mosaic?
  •Commercial MOSAIC is a business classification system
  •Categorises UK businesses into 13 groups and 50 distinct types,
  based on key variables that influence business behaviour
  •It uses a descriptive naming convention

•Commercial MOSAIC segmentation system
includes:
        •Demographics – Age of business, number
        of employees, turnover, principals’
        background
        •Classification – Businesses with shared
        demographics are grouped together
        •Propensity – Broad description of the
        classification that indicates a business’ likely
        behaviour, for example, in its purchasing.
The Family or Genus Gazelle
Commercial Mosaic Commercial Mosaic                                                  Features
    Group              Type
                                                      Directors under 30 & Well Educated
                                                      Highly productive and skilled work force
                                                      Mature businesses -64% Employ >100
Monumental Monoliths        Farsighted High Flyers    Large Range Business Activities inc. Food, Manufacturing, Textiles,
                                                      Recreation, Sport, Luxury Goods – Niche Business
                                                      Trade Specialist Industrial Centres or Retail Parks

                                                      Highly specialised type engaged manufacture specialist equipment and
                                                      precision instruments esp. telecomms & IT
Specialist Suppliers        Hi Tech Highlights        Medium Sized Businesses
                                                      Independent
                                                      Based Specialist Industrial & Technology Parks

                                                      Newer Independent Businesses
                                                      High Risk – 30% Chance Failure
                                                      Wide Range Activities: Specialist Wholesale, & Retail, Business Support
Independent Entrepreneurs   Developing Dynamos        Services & Recreation
                                                      Small Business but with Very High Amounts of Turnover from Highly Skilled
                                                      & Productive Staff
                                                      Especially Prevalent in North West

                                                      New Independent Businesses. One Third 2 to 3 Years Old
                                                      So New many not have SIC Codes assigned to them
                                                      High Risk – 346% Chance Failure
Independent Entrepreneurs                             Wide Range Activities: Specialist Wholesale, & Retail, Business Support
                            Fledgling High Fliers
                                                      Services & Recreation
                                                      One Third Grow to Employee Much Larger Nos. of Employees
                                                      As Specialist Suppliers first move is generally to specialist industrial parks

                                                      Independent Low Risk High-Tech Businesses
                                                      Engaged Diverse Range of Activities but esp. R&D and Chemical Processing,
Energetic Enterprises       Professional Professors   Especially Prevalent in Northwest Trading from Specialist Industrial &
                                                      Technology Centres near Universities & Hospitals


                                                      New “Knowledge-Based” Businesses
                                                      Especially Prevalent amongst Digital & Crossover Media, Support Services to
Energetic Enterprises       Support Supremos          Financial Industry – High Salaries
                                                      Low Risk Businesses in Areas of High Prosperity. Serviced Offices
Gazelles
A gazelle company is an American expression for small, fast growing companies (in reference to the fact they can
jump higher and run faster than their peers), that creates many job opportunities. Fast growing firms ("gazelles")
  are defined as companies that have experienced at least 60% growth in employment and additionally deflated
                         turnover (turnover adjusted for inflation) over a 3 year period.


              Baby Gazelles:                 Galloping Gazelles:                 Large Gazelles:

             Young, and usually               Fast-expanding “little           Gazelles who turn into
             small, high growth              giants”. Dynamic SMEs              major corporations.
                 enterprises                       often in new                  Grow very quickly
           Young, start-up or spin-          industries that generate           from Start-Ups into
                  out firms.                  large numbers of new                     Large
           “Adolescent” High-Tech                      jobs.                       Organisations
                Companies.                     The subset of high-
                                                growth enterprises             Farsighted High Flyers
            Developing Dynamos,              which are 3 but typically
            Fledgling High Flyers,               5 years or older.
           Professional Professors
                                                Hi-tech Highlights,
                                                Support Supremos



                “Early Start-up                  “Early Maturity                 “Late Maturity
                   phase:                            Phase:                          Phase:
                Up to 3 Years”                    3 to 7 Years”                  7 to 10 Years”
The Power of the BPI: Identifying High Growth Potential Companies



                                                                                 How do you Identify a…
               North West Actively Trading
               Business Locations (425,770)                                         …company that is in a
                                                                                     potential high growth
                                                                                     classification…

                   MOSAIC Gazelles (66,700)                                         …that is mature…
                                                                                    …with a reasonable
                                                                                     turnover…
                           Age Over                                                 …employing 10+ people?
                      Three Years (18,491)


                          Turnover
                      Above £400k (1,465)
                                                                                What do these look like?

                       Employing 10+ (440)




-This information is based on data provided by Experian. The data has been subject to further analysis by Business Link North West
The Power of the BPI: Identifying High Growth Potential Companies




                                      North West Actively Trading
                                      Business Locations (425,785)



                                           MOSAIC Gazelles (66,702)



                                                   Age Over
                                              Three Years (18,490)


                                                  Turnover
                                              Above £400k (1,464)



                                              Employing 10+ (440)



-This information is based on data provided by Experian. The data has been subject to further analysis by Business Link North West.
The power of the BPI: identifying potential high growth companies




-This information is based on data provided by Experian. The data has been subject to further analysis by Business Link North West
The size of the prize – economic impact

                              High Growth Companies



                                     445


       Average Headcount
       Current Headcount
    3 Year Headcount Growth
            New Jobs                                     Average Turnover
                                                         Current Turnover
                                                      3 Year Turnover Growth
                                                          New Turnover
            Estimate                                          Estimate


          120%
           25
          11,125
          13,350                                           £1.0m
                                                            100%
                                                           £445m
                                                           £445m
Action Plan Statistics
                               Action Plan Themes: Intensively Assisted Gazelles
Theme                             Occurances      %     Theme                       Occurances      %
Sales & Marketing                      18      12.68% Export                            6         4.23%
Training, Skills & Workforce
Development                           16        11.27% Staffing, Recruitment & HR       4         2.82%
Supply Chain Membership &
Network Access                        15        10.56% Graduate Placement               3         2.11%
R&D, Innovation & NPD                 12         8.45% Environmental Directives         3         2.11%
Business Diagnostics,                                 Knowledge Transfer
Benchmarking & Planning               12        8.45% Programme                         2         1.41%
Raising Finance, Capital
Expenditure & Debt
Refinancing                           10        7.04% IPR                               2         1.41%
Leadership, Management &
Business Coaching                      8        5.63% Subsidiaries                      1         0.70%
Process Improvement, Efficient
& Lean Manufacturing                   8        5.63% Health & Safety                   1         0.70%
CRM & Database Management              7        4.93% IT                                1         0.70%
New Market Entry & Market
Research                               6        4.23% Succession Planning               1         0.70%
New Premises, New Build &
Business Relocation                    6        4.23% Total                            142       100.00%
The difference with Gazelles is not the type of question
  they ask it’s the complexity of the issue they face…
Category of Assistance                      Gazelle Specific Example
R&D, Innovation and NPD                     Collaborating with local Higher Education Institution
                                            in Grant Funded R & D Knowledge Transfer Project

Sales & Marketing                           Market Scoping Research Project on Need for
                                            Specialist Footwear for those who suffer general foot
                                            discomfort in order to offer products into the
                                            mainstream market

Training & Skills                           Training of Specialist Staff working in the
                                            construction, manufacture and assembly of
                                            equipment in the Nuclear Industry
New Machinery, Process Improvement,         Improvement Production Processes in Specialist
Retooling                                   Marine Manufacturing Company producing products
                                            for the offshore oil extraction industry
Capital Expenditure                         Access to Finance for Relocation Precision
                                            Manufacturing Plant
Relocation & New Premises                   Consolidation of Manufacturing Plant on Single Site
                                            Location including relocation Welsh Manufacturing
                                            Plant to North West
Export                                      JV in Eastern Europe

Relationship Management, Networking,        Obtaining Membership of and Maximising Network
Membership Cluster Organizations/Networks   Opportunities through the Northwest Aerospace
                                            Alliance
Locating Gazelles: Geography & Sector




•   Key Segments (82.45% of Total) include: Developing Dynamos (29.1%) - Newer
    Independent Businesses involved in Specialist Wholesale, & Retail, Business
    Support Services & Recreation employing Highly Skilled & Productive Staff;
    Support Supremos (28.64%) New “Knowledge-Based” Businesses Especially
    Prevalent amongst Digital & Creative Sector - Crossover Media Businesses
    and Hi-tech Highlights (24.71%) Highly specialised type engaged in the
    manufacture of specialist equipment and precision instruments especially
    telecommunications & IT, based on Specialist Industrial & Technology Parks.
Gazelles – Defining Features
• Gazelles concentrated in Strategic
  Investment Areas - 62.36% in Objective 1
  & 2 Zones
• 58.43% however are concentrated in
  Wards exhibiting Average or Above
  Prosperity
• SIC is virtually useless when it comes to
  identifying Gazelles 25.17% of the
  Gazelles we identified have SIC Codes
  beginning with Other or Ending with the
  phrase Not Elsewhere Classified!
• 65.13% of the Gazelles we identified had a
  turnover less than £5M.
Lancashire
Issues
• Gazelles require complex kinds of
  support placing much higher levels of
  demand on Public Sector Agencies
• Gazelles are “Elite Businesses”.
• Supporting them is resource
  intensive requiring prioritisation at
  the expense of existing Business
  Sectors!
• Should We Be Doing This?
How can we work together
to ensure that we combine
 BLNW’s intelligence with
the experience we have in
       the region?

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High Growth Lancashire Lcdl Presentation Anonymised

  • 1. Growing Our Way Out of Recession: Supporting Fast Growing Companies Friday 12th November 2009 Ged Mirfin – BLNW Chief Data Officer Landes Land – Lead Data Warehouse Developer Presentation to Lancashire County Developments Ltd.
  • 2. What is the BPI • Nationally Recognised “Business Objects” data base covering businesses in the North West. • An evidence based data warehouse. • Used to inform decision makers about planning interventions or policies. • Compliant with Data Protection legislation • Is the central repository for Business Link data and Management Information • A system that can map commercial business classification systems to the language used in Local Government and Business Support • The first B2B profile driven database in the public sector
  • 3. The Business Barometer is Changing from Stormy to…?
  • 4. Which companies will lead us out of recession? 240 220 200 180 Percentage UK Average Gazelle Low 160 Gazelle High 140 120 100 80 Year 0 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3
  • 5. Can public sector support agencies identify these companies… ... and should we?
  • 6. Which Companies Will Lead Us Out Of The Recession? • Some Economists believe that 50% of new jobs will be from less than 1% of a regions company base. • High Growth companies (Gazelles) will increase Turnover by between 25% and 30% in the next 4 years.* • Although Employee Growth will lag behind it is likely to be in the region of 20% per annum.* • Can Public Sector agencies stimulate growth and ensure that Gazelle Companies fulfil their maximum potential? • Can Public Sector support agencies engage effectively with these companies and should we try? *NESTA – “Measuring Business Growth: High-Growth Firms and Their Contribution to employment in the UK” – Oct 09
  • 7. Tracking Gazelles • Route out of recession is to back gazelles • A gazelles are defined as small, fast growing companies (in reference to the fact they can jump higher and run faster than their peers), • Gazelles according to one accepted definition are defined as companies that have experienced at least 60% growth in employment and additionally deflated turnover (turnover adjusted for inflation) over a 3 year period. • But…they are extremely difficult to spot • In the current economic climate especially so…. • Many Gazelles caught in the cross-hairs as the economic recession continues to find its mark wounding some, badly disabling others and bringing an unfortunate minority to their knees • 3 Years Growth is now more likely 2 Years Growth and 1 Year of Decline • Some Gazelles are now not able to run as fast or jump as high • Even in more favourable Economic conditions trained Business Hunters found Gazelles difficult to target:
  • 8. Conserving Gazelles Prominent Markings to look for: Scientists and/ Young (Late or Academics 20s/Early 30s), Independent Highly Educated Businesses Business Owners High Technology Entrepreneurial Knowledge –Based Businesses Niche activities or Specialised Advanced Product Offerings Manufacturing Newer within Older or using Precision Businesses do Traditional Technology not have SIC Industries Codes Opposite Ends Risk Based on Specialist Spectrum 75% Industrial Parks & Low/25% Very High Technology Centres Risk
  • 9. What is Commercial Mosaic? •Commercial MOSAIC is a business classification system •Categorises UK businesses into 13 groups and 50 distinct types, based on key variables that influence business behaviour •It uses a descriptive naming convention •Commercial MOSAIC segmentation system includes: •Demographics – Age of business, number of employees, turnover, principals’ background •Classification – Businesses with shared demographics are grouped together •Propensity – Broad description of the classification that indicates a business’ likely behaviour, for example, in its purchasing.
  • 10. The Family or Genus Gazelle Commercial Mosaic Commercial Mosaic Features Group Type Directors under 30 & Well Educated Highly productive and skilled work force Mature businesses -64% Employ >100 Monumental Monoliths Farsighted High Flyers Large Range Business Activities inc. Food, Manufacturing, Textiles, Recreation, Sport, Luxury Goods – Niche Business Trade Specialist Industrial Centres or Retail Parks Highly specialised type engaged manufacture specialist equipment and precision instruments esp. telecomms & IT Specialist Suppliers Hi Tech Highlights Medium Sized Businesses Independent Based Specialist Industrial & Technology Parks Newer Independent Businesses High Risk – 30% Chance Failure Wide Range Activities: Specialist Wholesale, & Retail, Business Support Independent Entrepreneurs Developing Dynamos Services & Recreation Small Business but with Very High Amounts of Turnover from Highly Skilled & Productive Staff Especially Prevalent in North West New Independent Businesses. One Third 2 to 3 Years Old So New many not have SIC Codes assigned to them High Risk – 346% Chance Failure Independent Entrepreneurs Wide Range Activities: Specialist Wholesale, & Retail, Business Support Fledgling High Fliers Services & Recreation One Third Grow to Employee Much Larger Nos. of Employees As Specialist Suppliers first move is generally to specialist industrial parks Independent Low Risk High-Tech Businesses Engaged Diverse Range of Activities but esp. R&D and Chemical Processing, Energetic Enterprises Professional Professors Especially Prevalent in Northwest Trading from Specialist Industrial & Technology Centres near Universities & Hospitals New “Knowledge-Based” Businesses Especially Prevalent amongst Digital & Crossover Media, Support Services to Energetic Enterprises Support Supremos Financial Industry – High Salaries Low Risk Businesses in Areas of High Prosperity. Serviced Offices
  • 11. Gazelles A gazelle company is an American expression for small, fast growing companies (in reference to the fact they can jump higher and run faster than their peers), that creates many job opportunities. Fast growing firms ("gazelles") are defined as companies that have experienced at least 60% growth in employment and additionally deflated turnover (turnover adjusted for inflation) over a 3 year period. Baby Gazelles: Galloping Gazelles: Large Gazelles: Young, and usually Fast-expanding “little Gazelles who turn into small, high growth giants”. Dynamic SMEs major corporations. enterprises often in new Grow very quickly Young, start-up or spin- industries that generate from Start-Ups into out firms. large numbers of new Large “Adolescent” High-Tech jobs. Organisations Companies. The subset of high- growth enterprises Farsighted High Flyers Developing Dynamos, which are 3 but typically Fledgling High Flyers, 5 years or older. Professional Professors Hi-tech Highlights, Support Supremos “Early Start-up “Early Maturity “Late Maturity phase: Phase: Phase: Up to 3 Years” 3 to 7 Years” 7 to 10 Years”
  • 12. The Power of the BPI: Identifying High Growth Potential Companies How do you Identify a… North West Actively Trading Business Locations (425,770)  …company that is in a potential high growth classification… MOSAIC Gazelles (66,700)  …that is mature…  …with a reasonable turnover… Age Over  …employing 10+ people? Three Years (18,491) Turnover Above £400k (1,465) What do these look like? Employing 10+ (440) -This information is based on data provided by Experian. The data has been subject to further analysis by Business Link North West
  • 13. The Power of the BPI: Identifying High Growth Potential Companies North West Actively Trading Business Locations (425,785) MOSAIC Gazelles (66,702) Age Over Three Years (18,490) Turnover Above £400k (1,464) Employing 10+ (440) -This information is based on data provided by Experian. The data has been subject to further analysis by Business Link North West.
  • 14. The power of the BPI: identifying potential high growth companies -This information is based on data provided by Experian. The data has been subject to further analysis by Business Link North West
  • 15. The size of the prize – economic impact High Growth Companies 445 Average Headcount Current Headcount 3 Year Headcount Growth New Jobs Average Turnover Current Turnover 3 Year Turnover Growth New Turnover Estimate Estimate 120% 25 11,125 13,350 £1.0m 100% £445m £445m
  • 16. Action Plan Statistics Action Plan Themes: Intensively Assisted Gazelles Theme Occurances % Theme Occurances % Sales & Marketing 18 12.68% Export 6 4.23% Training, Skills & Workforce Development 16 11.27% Staffing, Recruitment & HR 4 2.82% Supply Chain Membership & Network Access 15 10.56% Graduate Placement 3 2.11% R&D, Innovation & NPD 12 8.45% Environmental Directives 3 2.11% Business Diagnostics, Knowledge Transfer Benchmarking & Planning 12 8.45% Programme 2 1.41% Raising Finance, Capital Expenditure & Debt Refinancing 10 7.04% IPR 2 1.41% Leadership, Management & Business Coaching 8 5.63% Subsidiaries 1 0.70% Process Improvement, Efficient & Lean Manufacturing 8 5.63% Health & Safety 1 0.70% CRM & Database Management 7 4.93% IT 1 0.70% New Market Entry & Market Research 6 4.23% Succession Planning 1 0.70% New Premises, New Build & Business Relocation 6 4.23% Total 142 100.00%
  • 17. The difference with Gazelles is not the type of question they ask it’s the complexity of the issue they face… Category of Assistance Gazelle Specific Example R&D, Innovation and NPD Collaborating with local Higher Education Institution in Grant Funded R & D Knowledge Transfer Project Sales & Marketing Market Scoping Research Project on Need for Specialist Footwear for those who suffer general foot discomfort in order to offer products into the mainstream market Training & Skills Training of Specialist Staff working in the construction, manufacture and assembly of equipment in the Nuclear Industry New Machinery, Process Improvement, Improvement Production Processes in Specialist Retooling Marine Manufacturing Company producing products for the offshore oil extraction industry Capital Expenditure Access to Finance for Relocation Precision Manufacturing Plant Relocation & New Premises Consolidation of Manufacturing Plant on Single Site Location including relocation Welsh Manufacturing Plant to North West Export JV in Eastern Europe Relationship Management, Networking, Obtaining Membership of and Maximising Network Membership Cluster Organizations/Networks Opportunities through the Northwest Aerospace Alliance
  • 18. Locating Gazelles: Geography & Sector • Key Segments (82.45% of Total) include: Developing Dynamos (29.1%) - Newer Independent Businesses involved in Specialist Wholesale, & Retail, Business Support Services & Recreation employing Highly Skilled & Productive Staff; Support Supremos (28.64%) New “Knowledge-Based” Businesses Especially Prevalent amongst Digital & Creative Sector - Crossover Media Businesses and Hi-tech Highlights (24.71%) Highly specialised type engaged in the manufacture of specialist equipment and precision instruments especially telecommunications & IT, based on Specialist Industrial & Technology Parks.
  • 19. Gazelles – Defining Features • Gazelles concentrated in Strategic Investment Areas - 62.36% in Objective 1 & 2 Zones • 58.43% however are concentrated in Wards exhibiting Average or Above Prosperity • SIC is virtually useless when it comes to identifying Gazelles 25.17% of the Gazelles we identified have SIC Codes beginning with Other or Ending with the phrase Not Elsewhere Classified! • 65.13% of the Gazelles we identified had a turnover less than £5M.
  • 21. Issues • Gazelles require complex kinds of support placing much higher levels of demand on Public Sector Agencies • Gazelles are “Elite Businesses”. • Supporting them is resource intensive requiring prioritisation at the expense of existing Business Sectors! • Should We Be Doing This?
  • 22. How can we work together to ensure that we combine BLNW’s intelligence with the experience we have in the region?