These slides were part of a presentation by MIT's Deputy Director for Science Research, Adam Schlosser, at the Together in Climate Action: Northeastern North American Policy Summit.
You can see more presentations and listen to interviews with the presenters at ClimateX.mit.edu
Climate-Energy Nexus: Risk, Resiliency, and Recourse - Adam Schlosser
1. CLIMATE-ENERGY NEXUS:
RISK, RESILIENCY, AND
RECOURSE
C. Adam Schlosser
MIT CGCS/JP
Along with colleagues and support from:
Potential impacts of climate
warming and increased
summer heat stress on the
electric grid: A case study for a
large power transformer (LPT)
in the Northeast United States:
X. Gao, C. A. Schlosser and E.
Morgan, Climatic
Change,https://doi.org/10.1007/
s10584-017-2114-x
2.
3. Network of “Critical”
Large Power
Transformers over
Northeast U.S.
PREDICTION CHALLENGE:
INFORMATIVE PROJECTIONS
OF DAMAGING EVENTS TO
CRITICAL ASSETS
NEEDS TO BE RISK-
BASED…
Gao et al., 2017
4. Case Study on Extreme Summer Heat
MITIGATION – UNDERLYING RISK IS LIKELY TO
BE DOUBLED.
NO ACTIONS - RISK COULD BE QUADRUPLED.
WE ARE ADVANCING METHODS OF CLIMATE
PREDICTION TO IMPROVE CONSENSUS AND SKILL
APPLY TO LOCATION AND SPECIFICATIONS OF
“CRITICAL” TRANSFORMERS.
Other Extremes
STRONG
MITIGATI
ON
NO
MITIGATI
ON
OLDNEWOLDNEW
ChangeinHeat
WaveFrequency
PerYear
Late21stCentury
5. THANK YOU
globalchange.mit.edu
INTEGRATION OF CLIMATE SCIENCE, ENGINEERING, ECONOMICS, MACHINE LEARNING,
DECISION-MAKING, TECHNOLOGY, POLICY, POLITICS, AND EDUCATION
BRINGING THIS ALL TO SCALE…
A GLOBAL-SCALE CHALLENGE TO CONFRONT: SUSTAIN
THE CHANGING, GROWING, COMPLEX, AND LINKED
SYSTEMS OF THE NATURAL, MANAGED, AND BUILT
ENVIRONMENTS
Editor's Notes
Among the biggest and most complex machines ever built. Comprised of thousands of generation units, tens of thousands of transformer units, hundreds of thousands of miles of cables across the continent.
Many of its Critical Pieces are Getting Old…Extreme Environmental Events and Conditions Heighten the Risk of Premature Failure
Transformers’ Vital Signs:
Average age: 38 to 40 yrs.
Expensive ($Millions/Unit)
Custom Built (15% Domestic)
Heavy to Transport
Failure Due to Overheating
Overheating: Environmental