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臺灣能源轉型與第三接收站
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- 2. 0 50,000 100,000 150,000 200,000 250,000 300,000 1982 1987 1992 1997 2002 2007 2012 2017 % 7 2 9 0 8 2 3 . 4 1 0 1 2
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- 10. 9 14 (二) 研訂天然氣安全存量規範 期程規劃 儲槽容積 天數 安全存量 天數 107年 15 - 108年 15 7 111年 16 8 114年 20 11 116年 24 14 階 段 性 提 升 安全 存量 天數 商業調度 存量天數 事 業 存 量 天 數 儲槽容積 安全存量規定分階段之安全存量天數： 因應國內偶發性氣源中斷，至 少應儲存之天然氣數量。 安全存量明確入法：修正天然 氣事業法，採政府引導方式明 定安全存量，並以漸進式規劃 逐年提高天數。 一、推動期程與目標 (2/2) 儲槽容積 天數 存量調度天數 存量下限天數
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- 15. 10.4% 9.8% 11.9% 16.4% 17.6% 18.9% 19.7% 23.8% 24.4% 25.0% 32.1% 39.0% 45.8% 18.93% 23.01%22.90% 22.04% 27.64% 34.53% 41.86% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50% 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 / 2 3 14 3 - % % % % 0 5 % % % % % 0 / 21 7 6 % % . 8 0 0 / () 3
- 16. 為滿足經濟成長及前述能源 為 260,027 百萬度，在核四商轉 於 354,913 至 357,814 百萬度； 年百萬度約介於 355,106 至 357 •
- 20. 19 GLOBAL GAS LOCK-IN BRIDGE TO DISASTER www.rosalux.eu natural gas with CCS are easier to model by the IAMs than novel system configurations in which gas, or indeed any alternative, is used as a modulating/balancing energy source complementing a large share of variable renewables. Figure 2: Projected share of electricity from natural gas compared with the range of global scenarios consistent with 1.5°C/2°C concerning the share of electricity from gas without CCS. Calculations based on MESSAGE (IIASA 2016), IEA WEO Current lower growth in utilisation of gas replacing coal by “c IEA predicted low exploration of shale gas consumption. A Scenario” projected by 54% between 201 While the IEA, in i Energy Outlook, w increase of gas in co in its New Policies Sc average increase in (IEA 2016c); see also The projected incre distributed equally. demand is expec between 2014 and 2 90%, Middle East by the others it is proj or remain relatively 2016c). The projected inc mirrored in the sha which, according to economies of the US 2). These projection pathway, which requ the electricity mix stranded assets. http://climateactiontracker.org/assets/publications/briefing_papers/CAT-2017-06-16- DecarbonisationSeries-NaturalGas.pdf
- 21. 20 - 50,000.0 100,000.0 150,000.0 200,000.0 250,000.0 300,000.0 350,000.0 400,000.0 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050
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