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Partnerships (PPP) to Implement Rail
Infrastructure in Vietnam
Hung Tran
CEO – Monitor Consulting
1
GSM Rail Expansion Summit 2017
Hanoi, Nov.30- Dec.1, 2017
About Monitor Consulting
Who is Monitor Consulting
• A leading consulting company in Public- Private Partnership (PPP) and infrastructure consulting
practice in Vietnam;
• An integrated team of international and local professionals in project finance, PPP, legal and
project development.
Why Monitor Consulting is unique in Vietnam
• A proven track record of PPP, infrastructure project development and transactions in Vietnam;
• Our strengths and propositions are derived from a unique combination of expertise and
knowledge in PPP, Project Finance, Industry-specific experience and Government Insights;
• Engaged in the key developments of PPP legal and policy development in Vietnam for years;
• A unique depth and breadth of knowledge in dealing extensively with PPP legal and policy issues
of Vietnam.
2
Railway has more rooms to develop due to the low historical
investment & its potential economic return
3
10.6
1.8 1 1.1
25.6
3.7
7.1
3
85
4.6
23.6
2.8
96.8
4.5
28.3
2.6
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Roads Railways Air Transport Waterways
Billionpassenger-km
Transport Evolution , Vietnam, 1992-2014
1992 2002 2012 2014
• Source: GSO and Monitor Consulting’s Analysis
29
5.5
4.5
3
1.5
Transport Projections, 2016-2020 ($ billion)
Road
Railway
Airway
Marine
Inland waterway
• Source: MOT and Monitor Consulting’s Analysis
• Length: 19.7 km
• Adjusted investment: US$2.5 billion
• Construction: 2007-2020 (expected)
• Funding source: Japanese ODA
4
The recent urban metro/railway projects in Vietnam
Hanoi
• Length: 13.05 km
• Adjusted investment: US$870 million
• Construction: 2010-2018 (expected)
• Funding source: Chinese ODA
HCM City
Highlights of Vietnam’s Railway Master plan and Strategies
• Focus on railway infrastructure connecting economic hubs, ports,
industrial zones and neighboring countries
• Urban railway development with the priorities in Hanoi and HCMC to
improve metropolitan mobility
• PPP is expected to play an important role to mobilize capital for rail
projects
5
Pipeline of Major Railway Projects
1. Upgrade existing railroad gauge from one meter to 1.435m
2. Phased construction of a North-South high speed train
3. Urban railway system In Ho Chi Minh City (08 routes) and
tramway/monorail projects
4. Urban railway system in Hanoi (10 routes) with estimated investment
US$40 billion
6
7
LAWS Procurement
Law
CIRCULARS
Circular 02/2016/TT-
BKHĐT- Guidelines
on PPP project
selection, project
proposal, FS
assessment and
approval
DECREES
Decree 30/2015/NĐ-
CP dated 17/3/2015
on Investor selection
Decree 15/2015/NĐ-
CP dated 14/02/2015
on PPP
Construction
Law
Investment
Law
Circular
55/2016/TT-BTC
Financial
management of PPP
projects
Circular
15/2016/TT-
BKHĐT-
guidelines on RFQ,
RFP for PPP
projects
PPP legal framework in Vietnam
Public
Investment
Law
Budget Law
Circular 06/2016/TT-
BKHĐT- Guidelines
on converting public
investment projects,
PPP contracts,
investment
certificates & PE
PPP Circulars
by functional
ministries
• PPP seems to be critical option given the state budget tights
• The PPP law will be soon drafted to replace the PPP decree
• Financial mechanisms for PPP: PDF (US$30 million); VGF : on study
8
The good news with PPP in Vietnam
Key challenges in financing rail projects in Vietnam
• Fiscal Constraints (High budget deficits and high level of government debt
and pressure to reduce, less concessional ODA) and less room to finance
large rail projects by state funding
• Complexity and incomplete legal framework to attract private investment
• Governance in policy making, project procurement and project delivery
• Lack of bankable rail projects
• Undeveloped capital markets
• Lack of necessary in-country capacity
9
Finding the right partners in rail projects in Vietnam
• Most of railway projects are categorized as National or Class A
projects which needs the approvals from the Central Government,
even urban railway projects in local authorities
• Implementing agencies are Ministry of Transport and/or Local
authorities (Hanoi, Ho Chi Minh City)
• Most of potential local investors in urban rail projects are from real
estate sector
• Local private rail operators are not existed
10
Unsolicited urban railway projects are on the rise
• Leading local real estate developers are interested in urban railway
projects in Hanoi
• Unsolicited proposals maybe the case as long as the government’s
limited capability to prepare the feasibility studies
• Competitive bidding vs. Unsolicited proposals
11
Hung Tran – CEO
Email: hung@monitor.com.vn
Mobile: (84) 903443690
Monitor Consulting
16th Floor, Icon4 Tower, 243A De La Thanh Street,
Dong Da District, Hanoi, Vietnam
www.monitor.com.vn
DISCLAIMER
The information contained in this communication is confidential and may be legally privileged. It is intended solely for the use of the individual
or entity to whom it is addressed and others authorized to receive it. If you are not the intended recipient you are hereby notified that any
disclosure, copying, distribution or taking action in reliance of the contents of this communication is strictly prohibited and may be unlawful.
Monitor Consulting is not responsible or liable for the proper or complete transmission of the information contained in this communication or
for any delay in its receipt.
Any opinions or advice contained in this communication are subject to the terms and conditions expressed in the applicable governing
engagement letter/contract. Opinions, conclusions and other information in this communication and any attachments that do not relate to
Monitor Consulting’s official business are neither given nor endorsed by it.
12

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Partnerships (PPP) to Implement Rail Infrastructure in Vietnam

  • 1. Partnerships (PPP) to Implement Rail Infrastructure in Vietnam Hung Tran CEO – Monitor Consulting 1 GSM Rail Expansion Summit 2017 Hanoi, Nov.30- Dec.1, 2017
  • 2. About Monitor Consulting Who is Monitor Consulting • A leading consulting company in Public- Private Partnership (PPP) and infrastructure consulting practice in Vietnam; • An integrated team of international and local professionals in project finance, PPP, legal and project development. Why Monitor Consulting is unique in Vietnam • A proven track record of PPP, infrastructure project development and transactions in Vietnam; • Our strengths and propositions are derived from a unique combination of expertise and knowledge in PPP, Project Finance, Industry-specific experience and Government Insights; • Engaged in the key developments of PPP legal and policy development in Vietnam for years; • A unique depth and breadth of knowledge in dealing extensively with PPP legal and policy issues of Vietnam. 2
  • 3. Railway has more rooms to develop due to the low historical investment & its potential economic return 3 10.6 1.8 1 1.1 25.6 3.7 7.1 3 85 4.6 23.6 2.8 96.8 4.5 28.3 2.6 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 Roads Railways Air Transport Waterways Billionpassenger-km Transport Evolution , Vietnam, 1992-2014 1992 2002 2012 2014 • Source: GSO and Monitor Consulting’s Analysis 29 5.5 4.5 3 1.5 Transport Projections, 2016-2020 ($ billion) Road Railway Airway Marine Inland waterway • Source: MOT and Monitor Consulting’s Analysis
  • 4. • Length: 19.7 km • Adjusted investment: US$2.5 billion • Construction: 2007-2020 (expected) • Funding source: Japanese ODA 4 The recent urban metro/railway projects in Vietnam Hanoi • Length: 13.05 km • Adjusted investment: US$870 million • Construction: 2010-2018 (expected) • Funding source: Chinese ODA HCM City
  • 5. Highlights of Vietnam’s Railway Master plan and Strategies • Focus on railway infrastructure connecting economic hubs, ports, industrial zones and neighboring countries • Urban railway development with the priorities in Hanoi and HCMC to improve metropolitan mobility • PPP is expected to play an important role to mobilize capital for rail projects 5
  • 6. Pipeline of Major Railway Projects 1. Upgrade existing railroad gauge from one meter to 1.435m 2. Phased construction of a North-South high speed train 3. Urban railway system In Ho Chi Minh City (08 routes) and tramway/monorail projects 4. Urban railway system in Hanoi (10 routes) with estimated investment US$40 billion 6
  • 7. 7 LAWS Procurement Law CIRCULARS Circular 02/2016/TT- BKHĐT- Guidelines on PPP project selection, project proposal, FS assessment and approval DECREES Decree 30/2015/NĐ- CP dated 17/3/2015 on Investor selection Decree 15/2015/NĐ- CP dated 14/02/2015 on PPP Construction Law Investment Law Circular 55/2016/TT-BTC Financial management of PPP projects Circular 15/2016/TT- BKHĐT- guidelines on RFQ, RFP for PPP projects PPP legal framework in Vietnam Public Investment Law Budget Law Circular 06/2016/TT- BKHĐT- Guidelines on converting public investment projects, PPP contracts, investment certificates & PE PPP Circulars by functional ministries
  • 8. • PPP seems to be critical option given the state budget tights • The PPP law will be soon drafted to replace the PPP decree • Financial mechanisms for PPP: PDF (US$30 million); VGF : on study 8 The good news with PPP in Vietnam
  • 9. Key challenges in financing rail projects in Vietnam • Fiscal Constraints (High budget deficits and high level of government debt and pressure to reduce, less concessional ODA) and less room to finance large rail projects by state funding • Complexity and incomplete legal framework to attract private investment • Governance in policy making, project procurement and project delivery • Lack of bankable rail projects • Undeveloped capital markets • Lack of necessary in-country capacity 9
  • 10. Finding the right partners in rail projects in Vietnam • Most of railway projects are categorized as National or Class A projects which needs the approvals from the Central Government, even urban railway projects in local authorities • Implementing agencies are Ministry of Transport and/or Local authorities (Hanoi, Ho Chi Minh City) • Most of potential local investors in urban rail projects are from real estate sector • Local private rail operators are not existed 10
  • 11. Unsolicited urban railway projects are on the rise • Leading local real estate developers are interested in urban railway projects in Hanoi • Unsolicited proposals maybe the case as long as the government’s limited capability to prepare the feasibility studies • Competitive bidding vs. Unsolicited proposals 11
  • 12. Hung Tran – CEO Email: hung@monitor.com.vn Mobile: (84) 903443690 Monitor Consulting 16th Floor, Icon4 Tower, 243A De La Thanh Street, Dong Da District, Hanoi, Vietnam www.monitor.com.vn DISCLAIMER The information contained in this communication is confidential and may be legally privileged. It is intended solely for the use of the individual or entity to whom it is addressed and others authorized to receive it. If you are not the intended recipient you are hereby notified that any disclosure, copying, distribution or taking action in reliance of the contents of this communication is strictly prohibited and may be unlawful. Monitor Consulting is not responsible or liable for the proper or complete transmission of the information contained in this communication or for any delay in its receipt. Any opinions or advice contained in this communication are subject to the terms and conditions expressed in the applicable governing engagement letter/contract. Opinions, conclusions and other information in this communication and any attachments that do not relate to Monitor Consulting’s official business are neither given nor endorsed by it. 12